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PURPOSE: We aimed to investigate the role of the recipient's age strata in modifying the associations between risk factors and mortality in non-elderly adult kidney transplant (KT) recipients (KTR). METHODS: We stratified 108,695 adult KTRs between 2000 and 2016 with conditional 1-year survival after KT into cohorts based on age at transplant: 18-49 years and 50-64 years. We excluded KTRs aged < 18 years or > / = 65 years. KTRs were observed for 5 years during the 2nd through 6th years post-KT for the outcome, all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Increasing recipient age strata (18-49-year-old and 50-64-year-old) correlated with decreasing 6-year post-KT survival rates conditional on 1-year survival (79% and 57%, respectively, p < 0.0001). Middle adult age stratum was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality than young adult age stratum in KTRs of Hispanic/Latino and other races [HR = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.04-1.45 and HR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.16-1.97, respectively] and with a primary native renal diagnosis of hypertension or glomerulonephritis [HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.12-1.55 and HR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.10-151, respectively]. When compared with the young adult age stratum, the middle adult age stratum had a mitigating effect on the higher risk of mortality associated with sirolimus-mycophenolate or sirolimus-tacrolimus than the standard calcineurin inhibitor-mycophenolate regimen [HR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.57-0.99 and HR = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.57-0.89, respectively]. CONCLUSION: Among adult non-elderly KTRs, the age strata, 18-49 years, and 50-64 years, have varying modifying effects on the strength and direction of associations between some specific risk factors and all-cause mortality.
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OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to identify consistent predictors of multiple adverse outcomes of adult deceased donor (DD) kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) of varying sensitization status. METHODS: We used the national transplant database in studying 62037 adult DD-KTRs between Dec. 2007 and Jun. 2015 stratified into sensitization cohorts based on calculated panel reactive antibody (CPRA) of <10%, 10%-79%, and ≥80%. We used multivariable logistic regressions for the analysis of risks for delayed graft function (DGF), and of acute rejection (AR) and hospitalization in the first year of transplant, and Cox hazard regression for 5-year overall graft loss (OAGL) and death. RESULTS: The kidney donor risk index (KDRI) highest two quartiles ≥1.45 and 1.15-1.44 were the most consistent predictors for 100% of adverse outcomes (OAGL, death, DGF, AR, and hospitalization) with high significance (P<0.0001) across all sensitization cohorts. The two risk factors that were consistently associated with 80% of adverse outcomes across sensitization cohorts were: (1) pre-transplant dialysis duration >2 years was significantly associated with increased risks of overall graft loss, death, DGF, and hospitalization; and (2) Black KTR race was significantly associated with increased risks of DGF, AR, and hospitalization, and decreased risk of death. Diabetes and KTR age >65 (years) were significant risk factors for overall loss and death across sensitization cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The two highest KDRI quartiles, pre-transplant dialysis duration >2 years, and African American recipient race are consistent predictors of multiple adverse outcomes in adult DDKTRs across sensitization strata and should be among the factors considered in clinical decision-making and research models in kidney transplantation.
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BACKGROUND: Human leukocyte antigen mismatch(es) (HLA-mm) between donors and recipients has not been extensively studied either as a risk factor for solid organ malignancy (SOM) or as a modifier of associations between nonpharmacologic risk factors and SOM in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). METHODS: In a secondary analysis from a previous study, 166,256 adult KTRs in 2000-2018 who survived the first 12 months post-transplant free of graft loss or malignancy were classified into 0, 1-3, and 4-6 standard HLA-mm cohorts. Multivariable cause-specific Cox regressions analyzed the risks of SOM and all-cause mortality (ac-mortality) in 5 years following the first KT year. Comparisons of associations between SOM and risk factors in HLA mismatch cohorts were made by estimating the ratios of adjusted hazard ratios. RESULTS: Compared with 0 HLA-mm, 1-3 HLA-mm was not associated, and 4-6 HLA-mm was equivocally associated with increased risk of SOM [hazard ratio, (HR) = 1.05, 95%, confidence interval (CI) = 0.94-1.17 and HR = 1.11, 95% CI = 1.00-1.34, respectively]. Both 1-3 HLA-mm and 4-6 HLA-mm were associated with increased risk of ac-mortality compared with 0 HLA mm [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.12, 95%, Confidence Interval (CI) = 1.08-1.18) and (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.09-1.22), respectively]. KTR's history of pre-transplant cancer, age 50-64, and >/=65 years were associated with increased risks of SOM and ac-mortality in all HLA mismatch cohorts. Pre-transplant dialysis >2 years, diabetes as the primary renal disease, and expanded or standard criteria deceased donor transplantation were risk factors for SOM in the 0 and 1-3 HLA-mm cohorts and of ac-mortality in all HLA-mm cohorts. KTRs male sex or history of previous kidney transplant was a risk factor for SOM in the 1-3 and 4-6 HLA-mm cohorts and of ac-mortality in all HLA-mm cohorts. CONCLUSION: Direct association between SOM and the degree of HLA mismatching is equivocal and limited to the 4-6 HLA-mm stratum; however, the degree of HLA mismatching has significant modifying effects on the associations between specific nonpharmacologic risk factors and SOM in KTRs.