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Computing the rate of evolution in spatially structured populations is difficult. A key quantity is the fixation time of a single mutant with relative reproduction rate r which invades a population of residents. We say that the fixation time is "fast" if it is at most a polynomial function in terms of the population size N. Here we study fixation times of advantageous mutants (r > 1) and neutral mutants (r = 1) on directed graphs, which are those graphs that have at least some one-way connections. We obtain three main results. First, we prove that for any directed graph the fixation time is fast, provided that r is sufficiently large. Second, we construct an efficient algorithm that gives an upper bound for the fixation time for any graph and any r ≥ 1. Third, we identify a broad class of directed graphs with fast fixation times for any r ≥ 1. This class includes previously studied amplifiers of selection, such as Superstars and Metafunnels. We also show that on some graphs the fixation time is not a monotonically declining function of r; in particular, neutral fixation can occur faster than fixation for small selective advantages.
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Algoritmos , Biología Computacional , Biología Computacional/métodos , Mutación , Modelos Genéticos , Simulación por Computador , Evolución BiológicaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Despite the extensive volume of research published on checklists in the intensive care unit (ICU), no review has been published on the broader role of checklists within the intensive care unit, their implementation and validation, and the recommended clinical context for their use. Accordingly, a scoping review was necessary to map the current literature and to guide future research on intensive care checklists. This review focuses on what checklists are currently used, how they are used, process of checklist development and implementation, and outcomes associated with checklist use. METHODS: A systematic search of MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar databases was conducted, followed by a grey literature search. The abstracts of the identified studies were screened. Full texts of relevant articles were reviewed, and the references of included studies were subsequently screened for additional relevant articles. Details of the study characteristics, study design, checklist intervention, and outcomes were extracted. RESULTS: Our search yielded 2046 studies, of which 167 were selected for further analysis. Checklists identified in these studies were categorised into the following types: rounding checklists; delirium screening checklists; transfer and handover checklists; central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) prevention checklists; airway management checklists; and other. Of 72 significant clinical outcomes reported, 65 were positive, five were negative, and two were mixed. Of 122 significant process of care outcomes reported, 114 were positive and eight were negative. CONCLUSIONS: Checklists are commonly used in the intensive care unit and appear in many clinical guidelines. Delirium screening checklists and rounding checklists are well implemented and validated in the literature. Clinical and process of care outcomes associated with checklist use are predominantly positive. Future research on checklists in the intensive care unit should focus on establishing clinical guidelines for checklist types and processes for ongoing modification and improvements using post-intervention data.
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Lista de Verificación , Delirio , Humanos , Cuidados Críticos , Unidades de Cuidados IntensivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership Module 4 reports the first international comparison of ovarian cancer (OC) diagnosis routes and intervals (symptom onset to treatment start), which may inform previously reported variations in survival and stage. METHODS: Data were collated from 1110 newly diagnosed OC patients aged >40 surveyed between 2013 and 2015 across five countries (51-272 per jurisdiction), their primary-care physicians (PCPs) and cancer treatment specialists, supplement by treatment records or clinical databases. Diagnosis routes and time interval differences using quantile regression with reference to Denmark (largest survey response) were calculated. RESULTS: There were no significant jurisdictional differences in the proportion diagnosed with symptoms on the Goff Symptom Index (53%; P = 0.179) or National Institute for Health and Care Excellence NG12 guidelines (62%; P = 0.946). Though the main diagnosis route consistently involved primary-care presentation (63-86%; P = 0.068), onward urgent referral rates varied significantly (29-79%; P < 0.001). In most jurisdictions, diagnostic intervals were generally shorter and other intervals, in particular, treatment longer compared to Denmark. CONCLUSION: This study highlights key intervals in the diagnostic pathway where improvements could be made. It provides the opportunity to consider the systems and approaches across different jurisdictions that might allow for more timely ovarian cancer diagnosis and treatment.
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Benchmarking , Neoplasias Ováricas , Carcinoma Epitelial de Ovario , Femenino , Humanos , Neoplasias Ováricas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Ováricas/terapia , Atención Primaria de Salud , Derivación y ConsultaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Women from socio-economically deprived areas are less likely to develop and then to survive breast cancer (BC). Whether associations between deprivation and BC incidence and survival differ by tumour molecular subtypes and mode of detection in Scotland are unknown. METHODS: Data consisted of 62,378 women diagnosed with invasive BC between 2000 and 2016 in Scotland. Incidence rates and time trends were calculated for oestrogen receptor positive (ER+) and negative (ER-) tumours and stratified by the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) quintiles and screening status. SIMD is an area-based measure derived across seven domains: income, employment, education, health, access to services, crime and housing. We calculated adjusted hazard ratios (aHR [95% confidence intervals]) for BC death by immunohistochemical surrogates of molecular subtypes for the most versus the least deprived quintile. We adjusted for mode of detection and other confounders. RESULTS: In Scotland, screen-detected ER+tumour incidence increased over time, particularly in the least deprived quintile [Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) = 2.9% with 95% CI from 1.2 to 4.7]. No marked differences were observed for non-screen-detected ER+tumours or ER- tumours by deprivation. BC mortality was higher in the most compared to the least deprived quintile irrespective of ER status (aHR = 1.29 [1.18, 1.41] for ER+ and 1.27 [1.09, 1.47] for ER- tumours). However, deprivation was associated with significantly higher mortality for luminal A and HER2-enriched tumours (aHR = 1.46 [1.13, 1.88] and 2.10 [1.23, 3.59] respectively) but weaker associations for luminal B and TNBC tumours that were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Deprivation is associated with differential BC incidence trends for screen-detected ER+tumours and with higher mortality for select tumour subtypes. Future efforts should evaluate factors that might be associated with reduced survival in deprived populations and monitor progress stratified by tumour subtypes and mode of detection.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Escolaridad , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Renta , Pobreza , Factores SocioeconómicosRESUMEN
The term, "aerosol-generating procedures" (AGPs), was proposed during the prior SARS-CoV-1 epidemic in order to maximise healthcare worker and patient protection. The concept of AGPs has since expanded to include routine therapeutic processes such as various modes of oxygen delivery and non-invasive ventilation modalities. Evidence gained during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has brought into question the concept of AGPs with regard to intubation, airway management, non-invasive ventilation and high flow nasal oxygen delivery. Although encounters where these procedures occur may still be associated with increased risk of infectious transmission, this is a function of the clinical context and not because the procedure itself is aerosol-generating.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa de Paciente a Profesional/prevención & control , Lenguaje , COVID-19/prevención & control , Aerosoles y Gotitas Respiratorias , Personal de Salud , OxígenoRESUMEN
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The physiologically difficult airway is one in which physiologic alterations in the patient increase the risk for cardiorespiratory and other complications during tracheal intubation and transition to positive pressure ventilation. This review will summarize the recent literature around the emerging concept of the physiologically difficult airway, describe its relevance and various patient types in which this entity is observed. RECENT FINDINGS: Physiologic derangements during airway management occur due acute illness, pre-existing disease, effects of anesthetic agents, and positive pressure ventilation. These derangements are especially recognized in critically ill patients, but can also occur in otherwise healthy patients including obese, pregnant and pediatric patients who have certain physiological alterations. Critically ill patients may have a physiologically difficult airway due to the presence of acute respiratory failure, hypoxemia, hypotension, severe metabolic acidosis, right ventricular failure, intracranial hypertension, and risk of aspiration of gastric contents during tracheal intubation. SUMMARY: Understanding the physiological alterations and the risks involved in patients with a physiologically difficult airway is necessary to optimize the physiology and adopt strategies to avoid complications during tracheal intubation. Further research will help us better understand the optimal strategies to improve outcomes in these patients.
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Manejo de la Vía Aérea , Hipotensión , Manejo de la Vía Aérea/efectos adversos , Niño , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Femenino , Humanos , Hipotensión/etiología , Hipoxia/etiología , Intubación Intratraqueal/efectos adversos , EmbarazoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Despite advancements, aortofemoral bypass (AFB) remains the most durable option for aortoiliac occlusive disease. Although runoff has been shown to be associated with AFB patency, the association of the Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) thigh runoff scoring system with patency has not been assessed. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the association between the SVS runoff scoring system and limb-based primary patency after AFB. METHODS: Institutional data for patients undergoing AFB with preoperative runoff imaging available from 2000 to 2017 were queried. Runoff scores were assigned according to the presence of occlusive disease in the superficial femoral artery and profunda femoris artery (minimum, 1; maximum, 10) as described by the 1997 SVS reporting standards for lower extremity ischemia. Limb-based patency was the primary endpoint. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare the long-term limb-based patency and freedom from reintervention between limbs with runoff scores ≥6 and those with runoff scores <6. Propensity score-weighted Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to evaluate the association between a runoff score of ≥6 and primary patency loss, controlling for other factors associated with primary patency. RESULTS: In 161 patients, 316 limbs had undergone revascularization. The mean patient age was 66.7 ± 11.3 years, and 51.6% were women. Most limbs had undergone revascularization for claudication (56.5%). Most (89.4%) had TransAtlantic InterSociety Consensus class D lesions, 27.3% had required suprarenal or higher clamping, and 11.2% had undergone concomitant mesenteric intervention. A femoral outflow adjunct and concurrent lower extremity bypass was required in 41.8% and 2.9% of limbs, respectively. Those with a runoff score of ≥6 had experienced greater rates of 30-day myocardial infarction (11% vs 1%; P = .005), respiratory failure (11% vs 1%; P = .005), and mortality (8% vs 0%; P ≤ .006). The median follow-up period was 4.0 years (interquartile range, 6.5 years). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year primary patency was 94.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 91.9%-97.3%), 89.2% (95% CI, 85.4%-93.2%), and 81.4% (95% CI, 76.0%-87.1%), respectively. The 5-year primary-assisted patency, secondary patency, and freedom from reintervention were 84.9% (95% CI, 79.7%-90.5%), 91.7% (95% CI, 87.3%-96.3%), and 83.3% (95% CI, 78.3%-88.7%), respectively. Patients with a runoff score of ≥6 had lower primary (log-rank P < .01), primary-assisted (P < .01), and secondary patency (P = .01). The factors associated with the loss of primary patency included a high runoff score (runoff score of ≥6: hazard ratio [HR], 4.1; 95% CI, 2.1-8.0; P < .01), simultaneous mesenteric endarterectomy (HR, 13.5; 95% CI, 1.9-97.8; P = .01), and chronic kidney disease (HR, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.5-14.6; P = .01). Increasing age (HR, 0.94 per year; 95% CI, 0.91-0.97; P < .01) and hyperlipidemia (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.23-0.85; P = .01) were protective. CONCLUSIONS: The SVS femoral runoff score is an important factor associated with long-term AFB limb patency. Scores of ≥6 portend for worse limb outcomes and a greater incidence of operative complications. The SVS score can be determined from preoperative axial imaging studies and serve as a guide in decision-making and operative planning.
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Aorta/cirugía , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Arteria Femoral/cirugía , Angiografía por Resonancia Magnética , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/cirugía , Injerto Vascular , Anciano , Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Aorta/fisiopatología , Constricción Patológica , Femenino , Arteria Femoral/diagnóstico por imagen , Arteria Femoral/fisiopatología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/fisiopatología , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Flujo Sanguíneo Regional , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Injerto Vascular/efectos adversos , Grado de Desobstrucción VascularRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: More people are surviving a first primary cancer and experiencing a second, different cancer. However, little is known about the diagnostic journeys of patients with second primary cancer (SPC). This study explores the views of patients and general practitioners (GPs) on their experiences of pathways to diagnosis of SPC, including the influence of a previous diagnosis of cancer on symptom appraisal, help-seeking and referral decisions. METHODS: Qualitative interviews with patients with a SPC diagnosis and case-linked GP interviews in a Scottish primary care setting. In-depth face to face or telephone interviews were conducted, underpinned by a social constructionist approach. Interviews were transcribed and Braun and Clarke's thematic analysis undertaken. Three analysts from the research team read transcripts and developed the coding framework using QSR NVivo version 10, with input from a fourth researcher. Themes were developed from refined codes and interpreted in the context of existing literature and theory. RESULTS: Interviews were conducted with 23 patients (aged 43-84 years) with a SPC diagnosis, and 7 GPs. Five patient themes were identified: Awareness of SPC, symptom appraisal and help-seeking, pathways to diagnosis, navigating the healthcare system, and impact of SPC. GPs interviews identified: experience and knowledge of SPC and referrals and decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: Insights into the pathway to diagnosis of SPC highlights the need for increased awareness of and vigilance for SPC among patients and healthcare providers (HCPs), and emotional support to manage the psychosocial burden.
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Médicos Generales/psicología , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/psicología , Evaluación de Síntomas/psicología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Concienciación , Toma de Decisiones Clínicas , Femenino , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Conducta de Búsqueda de Ayuda , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Atención Primaria de Salud , Distrés Psicológico , Investigación Cualitativa , Derivación y Consulta , EscociaRESUMEN
This paper describes analysis of dropcast nanocrystalline and electrochemically deposited films of NiO and α-Fe2O3 as model metal oxide semiconductors immersed in redox-inactive organic electrolyte solutions using electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS). Although the data reported here fit a circuit commonly used to model EIS data of metal oxide electrodes, which comprises an RC circuit nested inside a second RC circuit that is in series with a resistor, our interpretation of the physical meaning of these circuit elements differs from that applied to EIS measurements of metal oxide electrodes immersed in redox-active media. The data presented here are most consistent with an interpretation in which the nested RC circuit represents charge transfer between the metal oxide film and the underlying metal electrode, and the non-nested RC circuit represents the resistance and capacitance associated with formation of a charge-compensating double-layer at the exposed interface between the metal electrode and electrolyte solution. Applying this interpretation to analysis of EIS data collected for metal oxide films in organic media enables the impact of film morphology on electrochemical behavior to be distinguished from the effects of the intrinsic electronic structure of the metal oxide. This distinction is crucial to the evaluation of nanostructured metal oxide electrodes for electrochemical energy storage and electrocatalysis applications.
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BACKGROUND: Emergency front-of-neck airway rescue is recommended in a can't intubate, can't oxygenate clinical scenario. Cannula cricothyroidotomy has been reported as having a high failure rate. Our primary aim was to estimate the angle of the trachea in relation to the horizontal axis in a simulated emergency front-of-neck airway rescue position. Our secondary aims were to estimate the optimal cannula angle of approach and evaluate the anatomical relationship of the cricothyroid membrane (CTM) to adjacent structures. We also assessed whether the CTM lies above or below the neck midpoint, a point equidistant from the suprasternal notch (SSN), and the chin surface landmarks. All measurements were compared between the male and female subjects. METHODS: Subjects having elective computed tomography of their thorax were consented to have extension of the computed tomography to include their neck. A preliminary radiation dose and risk assessment deemed the additional radiation to be of very low risk (level IIa). Subjects were positioned supinely on the computed tomography table. Standard neck extension was achieved by placing a pillow under the scapulae and a rolled towel under the neck to simulate emergency front-of-neck airway rescue positioning. RESULTS: Fifty-two subjects were included in this study: 31 men and 21 women. The mean angle of the trachea in relation to the horizontal axis was 25.5° (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.8-29.1) in men and 14.0° (95% CI, 11.5-16.5) in women. The mean minimum angles required for hypothetical cannula cricothyroidotomy for men and women were 55.2° (95% CI, 51.8-58.7) and 50.5° (95% CI, 45.4-55.6), respectively. The CTM was located lower in the neck in men compared to women. The CTM was located below the neck midpoint in 30 of 30 (100%) male subjects and 11 of 20 (55%) female subjects (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The trachea angulates posteriorly in a simulated emergency front-of-neck airway rescue position in supine subjects and to a greater degree in men compared to women (P < .001). The minimum angle required for hypothetical cannula cricothyroidotomy was >45° in the majority (75%) of subjects studied. A steeper cannula angle of approach may be more reliable and warrants further clinical study. If airway anatomy is indistinct and performing a vertical scalpel cricothyroidotomy, consideration should be given to performing this incision lower in the neck in men compared to women.
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Manejo de la Vía Aérea/métodos , Cartílago Cricoides/diagnóstico por imagen , Servicios Médicos de Urgencia/métodos , Cuello/diagnóstico por imagen , Cartílago Tiroides/diagnóstico por imagen , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Cartílago Cricoides/anatomía & histología , Cartílago Cricoides/cirugía , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Cuello/cirugía , Estudios Prospectivos , Cartílago Tiroides/anatomía & histología , Cartílago Tiroides/cirugía , Tráquea/anatomía & histología , Tráquea/diagnóstico por imagen , Tráquea/cirugíaRESUMEN
AIM: To describe the clinical features, treatment and outcomes of acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in children admitted to the national referral hospital in Dili, Timor-Leste. METHODS: This prospective study documented cases of ARF and RHD in children aged 14 years and under who were admitted between June 2017 and May 2019. ARF was diagnosed using an adapted version of the 2015 Jones criteria and presumed (rather than proven) exposure to group A Streptococcus. Clinical and echocardiographic findings, comorbidities and discharge outcomes are reported. RESULTS: A total of 63 patients were admitted with ARF or RHD; 54 were diagnosed with RHD for the first time. Median age was 11 years (range 3-14); 48% were female. Of those with echocardiograms, 56/58 had RHD, 55/56 (98%) had mitral regurgitation (37/55 (67%) severe), 11/56 (20%) had mitral stenosis and 43/56 (77%) had aortic regurgitation. Left ventricular dysfunction (55%), pulmonary hypertension (64%) and cardiac failure (78%) were common. Four (6%) patients died in hospital, and 30/59 (51%) of surviving patients were lost to follow up. CONCLUSIONS: Community echocardiography screening has reported a high prevalence of undetected mild to moderate cases of RHD in Timor-Leste, whereas this hospital study documents mostly severe disease among hospitalised patients with a high case fatality rate and loss to follow up. RHD is a significant health problem in Timor-Leste and improved recognition and diagnosis, as well as effective delivery of treatment and follow-up are imperative.
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Fiebre Reumática , Cardiopatía Reumática , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Pacientes Internos , Prevalencia , Estudios Prospectivos , Fiebre Reumática/complicaciones , Fiebre Reumática/epidemiología , Cardiopatía Reumática/complicaciones , Cardiopatía Reumática/epidemiología , Timor Oriental/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Importance: Tracheal intubation is one of the most commonly performed and high-risk interventions in critically ill patients. Limited information is available on adverse peri-intubation events. Objective: To evaluate the incidence and nature of adverse peri-intubation events and to assess current practice of intubation in critically ill patients. Design, Setting, and Participants: The International Observational Study to Understand the Impact and Best Practices of Airway Management in Critically Ill Patients (INTUBE) study was an international, multicenter, prospective cohort study involving consecutive critically ill patients undergoing tracheal intubation in the intensive care units (ICUs), emergency departments, and wards, from October 1, 2018, to July 31, 2019 (August 28, 2019, was the final follow-up) in a convenience sample of 197 sites from 29 countries across 5 continents. Exposures: Tracheal intubation. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the incidence of major adverse peri-intubation events defined as at least 1 of the following events occurring within 30 minutes from the start of the intubation procedure: cardiovascular instability (either: systolic pressure <65 mm Hg at least once, <90 mm Hg for >30 minutes, new or increase need of vasopressors or fluid bolus >15 mL/kg), severe hypoxemia (peripheral oxygen saturation <80%) or cardiac arrest. The secondary outcomes included intensive care unit mortality. Results: Of 3659 patients screened, 2964 (median age, 63 years; interquartile range [IQR], 49-74 years; 62.6% men) from 197 sites across 5 continents were included. The main reason for intubation was respiratory failure in 52.3% of patients, followed by neurological impairment in 30.5%, and cardiovascular instability in 9.4%. Primary outcome data were available for all patients. Among the study patients, 45.2% experienced at least 1 major adverse peri-intubation event. The predominant event was cardiovascular instability, observed in 42.6% of all patients undergoing emergency intubation, followed by severe hypoxemia (9.3%) and cardiac arrest (3.1%). Overall ICU mortality was 32.8%. Conclusions and Relevance: In this observational study of intubation practices in critically ill patients from a convenience sample of 197 sites across 29 countries, major adverse peri-intubation events-in particular cardiovascular instability-were observed frequently.
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Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Hipotensión/etiología , Intubación Intratraqueal/efectos adversos , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia , Anciano , Enfermedad Crítica/mortalidad , Femenino , Paro Cardíaco/etiología , Humanos , Hipoxia/etiología , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Intubación Intratraqueal/métodos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Errores Médicos/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Respiración Artificial , Vasoconstrictores/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: We describe temporal trends in breast cancer incidence by molecular subtypes in Scotland because public health prevention programmes, diagnostic and therapeutic services are shaped by differences in tumour biology. METHODS: Population-based cancer registry data on 72,217 women diagnosed with incident primary breast cancer from 1997 to 2016 were analysed. Age-standardised rates (ASR) and age-specific incidence were estimated by tumour subtype after imputing the 8% of missing oestrogen receptor (ER) status. Joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort models were used to assess whether significant differences were observed in incidence trends by ER status. RESULTS: Overall, ER-positive tumour incidence increased by 0.4%/year (95% confidence interval (CI): -0.1, 1.0). Among routinely screened women aged 50-69 years, we observed an increase in ASR from 1997 to 2011 (1.6%/year, 95% CI: 1.2-2.1). ER-negative tumour incidence decreased among all ages by 2.5%/year (95% CI: -3.9 to -1.1%) over the study period. Compared with the 1941-1959 birth cohort, women born in 1912-1940 had lower incidence rate ratios (IRR) for ER+ tumours and women born in 1960-1986 had lower IRR for ER- tumours. CONCLUSIONS: Future incidence and survival reporting should be monitored by molecular subtypes to inform clinical planning and cancer control programmes.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Neoplasias de la Mama/metabolismo , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Receptor ErbB-2/metabolismo , Receptores de Estrógenos/metabolismo , Sistema de Registros , Escocia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Despite endovascular advancements, aortofemoral bypass (AFB; aortounifemoral and aortobifemoral bypass) remains the most durable option for aortoiliac occlusive disease. Whereas AFB reduces vascular aortoiliac reintervention, the impact of laparotomy-associated and groin wound complications on morbidity and reintervention is unclear. The aim of this study was to establish the incidence of nonvascular complications after AFB and to determine their effect on reintervention. METHODS: Institutional data for AFB (2000-2017) were queried. Primary end points included laparotomy-associated and groin wound complications. Total reintervention was defined as the composite outcome of reinterventions for laparotomy and groin wound complications and graft patency. Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated freedom from reintervention. Fine-Gray method for competing long-term risk determined predictors of laparotomy complications. Logistic regression, adjusting variability for patient-level clustering, determined predictors of wound complications. RESULTS: There were 553 limbs in 281 patients (272 aortobifemoral and 9 aortounifemoral bypasses; age, 67.6 ± 11.0 years; 50.5% female). Ninety (32%) patients had prior abdominal surgery, 3.2% had prior ventral hernia (VH) repair, 2.9% had untreated VH, and 0.7% had history of small bowel obstruction. The majority of patients underwent AFB for claudication (66.2%); 87.2% had TransAtlantic Inter-Society Consensus (TASC) D lesions, 31.4% required a suprarenal clamp or higher, 16.4% had concomitant renovisceral revascularization, and 6.4% were receiving anticoagulation. Sixty-seven (12.1%) limbs had redo femoral artery exposures, 32.4% required femoral outflow adjunct, and 1.8% had simultaneous lower extremity bypass. The 30-day mortality was 2.9%. During median follow-up of 5.3 years (interquartile range, 7.3 years), 21% had laparotomy complications (VH, 15.3%; small bowel obstruction, 7.5%; other, 2.1%), including 10.0% requiring operative intervention. Sixty-seven (12%) groins had a wound complication; 4.9% required intervention. Unadjusted 1-, 3-, and 5-year freedom from graft reintervention was 93.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 90.1%-96.5%), 85.3% (80.7%-90.2%), and 79.6% (74.1%-85.5%), respectively. Freedom from total reintervention at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years was 82.1% (95% CI, 77.4%-87.1%), 73.6% (68.0%-79.6%), and 65.1% (58.7%-72.2%). Predictors of laparotomy complications were untreated VH (P = .01) and hypertension (P = .01). Protective factors were thoracoabdominal approach (P < .01) and aortounifemoral bypass (P < .01). Predictors of wound complications included body mass index (per kg, 1.07; CI, 1.01-1.15; P = .018), anticoagulation (2.59; CI, 1.01-8.37; P = .049), and previous iliac stents (2.60; CI, 1.36-4.94; P = .004). CONCLUSIONS: Whereas AFB is a durable reconstruction with infrequent need for graft reintervention, laparotomy- and groin wound-associated complications contribute significantly to morbidity and reintervention after AFB. Predictive factors for laparotomy and groin wound complications should be considered in preoperative planning and selection of patients for AFB and in the discussion of outcomes.
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Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Arteria Femoral/cirugía , Laparotomía/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Cicatrización de Heridas , Anciano , Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , Boston/epidemiología , Femenino , Arteria Femoral/diagnóstico por imagen , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/diagnóstico , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Reoperación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: This statement was planned on 11 March 2020 to provide clinical guidance and aid staff preparation for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Australia and New Zealand. It has been widely endorsed by relevant specialty colleges and societies. MAIN RECOMMENDATIONS: Generic guidelines exist for the intubation of different patient groups, as do resources to facilitate airway rescue and transition to the "can't intubate, can't oxygenate" scenario. They should be followed where they do not contradict our specific recommendations for the COVID-19 patient group. Consideration should be given to using a checklist that has been specifically modified for the COVID-19 patient group. Early intubation should be considered to prevent the additional risk to staff of emergency intubation and to avoid prolonged use of high flow nasal oxygen or non-invasive ventilation. Significant institutional preparation is required to optimise staff and patient safety in preparing for the airway management of the COVID-19 patient group. The principles for airway management should be the same for all patients with COVID-19 (asymptomatic, mild or critically unwell). Safe, simple, familiar, reliable and robust practices should be adopted for all episodes of airway management for patients with COVID-19. CHANGES IN MANAGEMENT AS A RESULT OF THIS STATEMENT: Airway clinicians in Australia and New Zealand should now already be involved in regular intensive training for the airway management of the COVID-19 patient group. This training should focus on the principles of early intervention, meticulous planning, vigilant infection control, efficient processes, clear communication and standardised practice.
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Manejo de la Vía Aérea/normas , Infecciones por Coronavirus/terapia , Control de Infecciones/normas , Intubación Intratraqueal/normas , Neumonía Viral/terapia , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Adulto , Manejo de la Vía Aérea/métodos , Australia , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Consenso , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Control de Infecciones/métodos , Intubación Intratraqueal/métodos , Masculino , Nueva Zelanda , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Endovascular therapy is first-line treatment for aortoiliac occlusive disease. This shift has altered case volume, patient selection, and risk profile for aortobifemoral bypass (ABF). Given this, we sought to investigate factors influencing morbidity and mortality after ABF in the endovascular era. METHODS: Data for patients undergoing primary ABF from 2000 to 2017 were queried. Primary endpoints included major complication (unplanned return to the operating room, life-or-limb-threatening complications, and 30-day readmission or death) and long-term survival. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models determined predictors of primary endpoints. Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated patency, freedom from reintervention, and long-term survival. RESULTS: During these 17 years, 256 patients underwent primary ABF. Mean age was 67.9 ± 10.6 years and 51.2% were women. Most had claudication (69.5%); 28.9% had critical ischemia. Sixty-five (25.4%) patients had prior aortoiliac endovascular intervention, 106 (41.4%) required aortic cuff endarterectomy, 111 (43.3%) femoral outflow adjunct, 9 (3.5%) simultaneous lower extremity bypass, and 230 (89.8%) had Trans-Atlantic Inter-Society Consensus D lesions. Concomitant renovisceral revascularization was needed in 42 (16.4%) patients. Thirty-day mortality was 2.7%. Major complication occurred in 92 patients (35.9%). Predictors included prior endovascular intervention (odds ratio [OR], 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-4.1; P = 0.01), malignancy (OR, 2.6; 95% CI: 1.3-5.3; P = 0.01), intraoperative complication (OR, 3.3; 95% CI: 1.3-9.2; P = 0.03), operative blood loss, (OR, 1.0 per 100 ml; 95% CI: 1.0-1.0; P = 0.03), and cuff endarterectomy (OR, 1.8; 95% CI: 1.0-3.1; P = 0.04). Median follow-up was 5.3 years (interquartile range: 7.2 years). Survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 94%, 90%, and 82% respectively. Primary patency and freedom from reintervention at 5 years were 76% and 79%, respectively. Predictors of late mortality included malignancy (hazard ratio [HR], 2.3; 95% CI: 1.3-3.9; P < 0.01), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR, 1.8; 95% CI: 1.1-3.1; P = 0.02), congestive heart failure (HR, 2.3; 95% CI: 1.2-4.3; P = 0.01), Rutherford's class (HR, 1.5; 95% CI: 1.1-2.1; P = 0.01), operative blood loss (HR 1.0 per 100 ml; 95% CI: 1.0-1.0; P = 0.04) and chronic kidney disease (HR, 2.3; 95% CI: 1.2-4.2; P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Although late outcomes after ABF in the contemporary era remain acceptable, major complications are frequent. Operative complexity and prior endovascular revascularization predict complications. Long-term survival is driven by degree of limb ischemia and comorbidities. These should be considered in selection for ABF, potentially modifying approach to improve outcomes.
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Enfermedades de la Aorta/cirugía , Arteriopatías Oclusivas/cirugía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Arteria Femoral/cirugía , Arteria Ilíaca/cirugía , Injerto Vascular/métodos , Anciano , Enfermedades de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedades de la Aorta/mortalidad , Enfermedades de la Aorta/fisiopatología , Arteriopatías Oclusivas/diagnóstico por imagen , Arteriopatías Oclusivas/mortalidad , Arteriopatías Oclusivas/fisiopatología , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Arteria Femoral/diagnóstico por imagen , Arteria Femoral/fisiopatología , Humanos , Arteria Ilíaca/diagnóstico por imagen , Arteria Ilíaca/fisiopatología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Supervivencia sin Progresión , Reoperación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Injerto Vascular/efectos adversos , Injerto Vascular/mortalidad , Grado de Desobstrucción VascularRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Little is known about the health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of men living with advanced prostate cancer. We report population-wide functional outcomes and HRQOL in men with all stages of prostate cancer and identify implications for health-care delivery. METHODS: For this population-based study, men in the UK living 18-42 months after diagnosis of prostate cancer were identified through cancer registration data. A postal survey was administered, which contained validated measures to assess functional outcomes (urinary incontinence, urinary irritation and obstruction, bowel, sexual, and vitality and hormonal function), measured with the Expanded Prostate Cancer Index Composite short form (EPIC-26), plus questions about use of interventions for sexual dysfunction) and generic HRQOL (assessed with the 5-level EuroQol five dimensions questionnaire [EQ-5D-5L] measuring mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain or discomfort, and anxiety or depression, plus a rating of self-assessed health). Log-linear and binary logistic regression models were used to compare functional outcomes and HRQOL across diagnostic stages and self-reported treatment groups. Each model included adjustment for age, socioeconomic deprivation, and number of other long-term conditions. FINDINGS: 35â823 (60·8%) of 58â930 men responded to the survey. Disease stage was known for 30â733 (85·8%) of 35â823 men; 19â599 (63·8%) had stage I or II, 7209 (23·4%) stage III, and 3925 (12·8%) stage IV disease. Mean adjusted EPIC-26 domain scores were high, indicating good function, except for sexual function, for which scores were much lower. Compared with men who did not receive androgen deprivation therapy, more men who received the therapy reported moderate to big problems with hot flushes (30·7% [95% CI 29·8-31·6] vs 5·4% [5·0-5·8]), low energy (29·4% [95% CI 28·6-30·3] vs 14·7% [14·2-15·3]), and weight gain (22·5%, 21·7-23·3) vs 6·9% [6·5-7·3]). Poor sexual function was common (81·0%; 95% CI 80·6-81·5), regardless of stage, and more than half of men (n=18â782 [55·8%]) were not offered any intervention to help with this condition. Overall, self-assessed health was similar in men with stage I-III disease, and although slightly reduced in those with stage IV cancer, 23·5% of men with metastatic disease reported no problems on any EQ-5D dimension. INTERPRETATION: Men diagnosed with advanced disease do not report substantially different HRQOL outcomes to those diagnosed with localised disease, although considerable problems with hormonal function and fatigue are reported in men treated with androgen deprivation therapy. Sexual dysfunction is common and most men are not offered helpful intervention or support. Service improvements around sexual rehabilitation and measures to reduce the effects of androgen deprivation therapy are required. FUNDING: The Movember Foundation, in partnership with Prostate Cancer UK.
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Neoplasias de la Próstata/epidemiología , Calidad de Vida , Incontinencia Urinaria/epidemiología , Anciano , Antagonistas de Andrógenos/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Medición de Resultados Informados por el Paciente , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Autoinforme , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Incontinencia Urinaria/patologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Adjuvant chemotherapy in early stage breast cancer has been shown to reduce mortality in a large meta-analysis of over 100 randomised trials. However, these trials largely excluded patients aged 70 years and over or with higher levels of comorbidity. There is therefore uncertainty about whether the effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy generalises to these groups, hindering patient and clinician decision-making. This study utilises administrative healthcare data-real world data (RWD)-and econometric methods for causal analysis to estimate treatment effectiveness in these trial-underrepresented groups. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Women with early breast cancer aged 70 years and over and those under 70 years with a high level of comorbidity were identified and their records extracted from Scottish Cancer Registry (2001-2015) data linked to other routine health records. A high level of comorbidity was defined as scoring 1 or more on the Charlson comorbidity index, being in the top decile of inpatient stays, and/or having 5 or more visits to specific outpatient clinics, all within the 5 years preceding breast cancer diagnosis. Propensity score matching (PSM) and instrumental variable (IV) analysis, previously identified as feasible and valid in this setting, were used in conjunction with Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios for death from breast cancer and death from all causes. The analysis adjusts for age, clinical prognostic factors, and socioeconomic deprivation; the IV method may also adjust for unmeasured confounding factors. Cohorts of 9,653 and 7,965 were identified for women aged 70 years and over and those with high comorbidity, respectively. In the ≥70/high comorbidity cohorts, median follow-up was 5.17/6.53 years and there were 1,935/740 deaths from breast cancer. For women aged 70 years and over, the PSM-estimated HR was 0.73 (95% CI 0.64-0.95), while for women with high comorbidity it was 0.67 (95% CI 0.51-0.86). This translates to a mean predicted benefit in terms of overall survival at 10 years of approximately3% (percentage points) and 4%, respectively. A limitation of this analysis is that use of observational data means uncertainty remains both from sampling uncertainty and from potential bias from residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study, as RWD, should be interpreted with caution and in the context of existing and emerging randomised data. The relative effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy in reducing mortality in patients with early stage breast cancer appears to be generalisable to the selected trial-underrepresented groups.
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Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Quimioterapia Adyuvante/métodos , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: An association between detectable faecal haemoglobin (f-Hb) and both the risk of death from colorectal cancer (CRC) and all-cause mortality has been reported. We set out to confirm or refute this observation in a UK population and to explore the association between f-Hb, as indicated by a positive guaiac faecal occult blood test (gFOBT) result, and different causes of death. DESIGN: All individuals (134 192) who participated in gFOBT screening in Tayside, Scotland between 29/03/2000 and 29/03/2016 were studied by linking their test result (positive or negative) with mortality data from the National Records of Scotland database and following to 30/03/2016. RESULTS: Those with a positive test result (n=2714) had a higher risk of dying than those with a negative result, from CRC: HR 7.79 (95% CI 6.13 to 9.89), p<0.0001, (adjusted for, gender, age, deprivation quintile and medication that can cause bleeding) and all non-CRC causes: HR 1.58 (95% CI 1.45 to 1.73), p<0·0001.· In addition, f-Hb detectable by gFOBT was significantly associated with increased risk of dying from circulatory disease, respiratory disease, digestive diseases (excluding CRC), neuropsychological disease, blood and endocrine disease and non-CRC. CONCLUSION: The presence of detectable f-Hb is associated with increased risk of death from a wide range of causes.
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Mortalidad , Sangre Oculta , Anciano , Causas de Muerte , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Bases de Datos como Asunto , Utilización de Medicamentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Femenino , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/inducido químicamente , Humanos , Masculino , Registro Médico Coordinado , Persona de Mediana Edad , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Escocia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: PREDICT is a widely used online prognostication and treatment benefit tool for patients with early stage breast cancer. The aim of this study was to conduct an independent validation exercise of the most up-to-date version of the PREDICT algorithm (version 2) using real-world outcomes from the Scottish population of women with breast cancer. METHODS: Patient data were obtained for all Scottish Cancer Registry (SCR) records with a diagnosis of primary invasive breast cancer diagnosed in the period between January 2001 and December 2015. Prognostic scores were calculated using the PREDICT version 2 algorithm. External validity was assessed by statistical analysis of discrimination and calibration. Discrimination was assessed by area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC). Calibration was assessed by comparing the predicted number of deaths to the observed number of deaths across relevant sub-groups. RESULTS: A total of 45,789 eligible cases were selected from 61,437 individual records. AUC statistics ranged from 0.74 to 0.77. Calibration results showed relatively close agreement between predicted and observed deaths. The 5-year complete follow-up sample reported some overestimation (11.5%), while the 10-year complete follow-up sample displayed more limited overestimation (1.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Validation results suggest that the PREDICT tool remains essentially relevant for contemporary patients with early stage breast cancer.