Graph neural networks for clinical risk prediction based on electronic health records: A survey.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to comprehensively review the use of graph neural networks (GNNs) for clinical risk prediction based on electronic health records (EHRs). The primary goal is to provide an overview of the state-of-the-art of this subject, highlighting ongoing research efforts and identifying existing challenges in developing effective GNNs for improved prediction of clinical risks. METHODS: A search was conducted in the Scopus, PubMed, ACM Digital Library, and Embase databases to identify relevant English-language papers that used GNNs for clinical risk prediction based on EHR data. The study includes original research papers published between January 2009 and May 2023. RESULTS: Following the initial screening process, 50 articles were included in the data collection. A significant increase in publications from 2020 was observed, with most selected papers focusing on diagnosis prediction (n = 36). The study revealed that the graph attention network (GAT) (n = 19) was the most prevalent architecture, and MIMIC-III (n = 23) was the most common data resource. CONCLUSION: GNNs are relevant tools for predicting clinical risk by accounting for the relational aspects among medical events and entities and managing large volumes of EHR data. Future studies in this area may address challenges such as EHR data heterogeneity, multimodality, and model interpretability, aiming to develop more holistic GNN models that can produce more accurate predictions, be effectively implemented in clinical settings, and ultimately improve patient care.

A 3D deep learning model to predict the diagnosis of dementia with Lewy bodies, Alzheimer's disease, and mild cognitive impairment using brain 18F-FDG PET.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to develop and validate a 3D deep learning model that predicts the final clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD), dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), mild cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer's disease (MCI-AD), and cognitively normal (CN) using fluorine 18 fluorodeoxyglucose PET (18F-FDG PET) and compare model's performance to that of multiple expert nuclear medicine physicians' readers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective 18F-FDG PET scans for AD, MCI-AD, and CN were collected from Alzheimer's disease neuroimaging initiative (556 patients from 2005 to 2020), and CN and DLB cases were from European DLB Consortium (201 patients from 2005 to 2018). The introduced 3D convolutional neural network was trained using 90% of the data and externally tested using 10% as well as comparison to human readers on the same independent test set. The model's performance was analyzed with sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1 score, receiver operating characteristic (ROC). The regional metabolic changes driving classification were visualized using uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) and network attention. RESULTS: The proposed model achieved area under the ROC curve of 96.2% (95% confidence interval: 90.6-100) on predicting the final diagnosis of DLB in the independent test set, 96.4% (92.7-100) in AD, 71.4% (51.6-91.2) in MCI-AD, and 94.7% (90-99.5) in CN, which in ROC space outperformed human readers performance. The network attention depicted the posterior cingulate cortex is important for each neurodegenerative disease, and the UMAP visualization of the extracted features by the proposed model demonstrates the reality of development of the given disorders. CONCLUSION: Using only 18F-FDG PET of the brain, a 3D deep learning model could predict the final diagnosis of the most common neurodegenerative disorders which achieved a competitive performance compared to the human readers as well as their consensus.

Adopting transfer learning for neuroimaging: a comparative analysis with a custom 3D convolution neural network model.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, neuroimaging with deep learning (DL) algorithms have made remarkable advances in the diagnosis of neurodegenerative disorders. However, applying DL in different medical domains is usually challenged by lack of labeled data. To address this challenge, transfer learning (TL) has been applied to use state-of-the-art convolution neural networks pre-trained on natural images. Yet, there are differences in characteristics between medical and natural images, also image classification and targeted medical diagnosis tasks. The purpose of this study is to investigate the performance of specialized and TL in the classification of neurodegenerative disorders using 3D volumes of 18F-FDG-PET brain scans. RESULTS: Results show that TL models are suboptimal for classification of neurodegenerative disorders, especially when the objective is to separate more than two disorders. Additionally, specialized CNN model provides better interpretations of predicted diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: TL can indeed lead to superior performance on binary classification in timely and data efficient manner, yet for detecting more than a single disorder, TL models do not perform well. Additionally, custom 3D model performs comparably to TL models for binary classification, and interestingly perform better for diagnosis of multiple disorders. The results confirm the superiority of the custom 3D-CNN in providing better explainable model compared to TL adopted ones.

Dynamic Causal Explanation Based Diffusion-Variational Graph Neural Network for Spatiotemporal Forecasting.

Graph neural networks (GNNs), especially dynamic GNNs, have become a research hotspot in spatiotemporal forecasting problems. While many dynamic graph construction methods have been developed, relatively few of them explore the causal relationship between neighbor nodes. Thus, the resulting models lack strong explainability for the causal relationship between the neighbor nodes of the dynamically generated graphs, which can easily lead to a risk in subsequent decisions. Moreover, few of them consider the uncertainty and noise of dynamic graphs based on the time series datasets, which are ubiquitous in real-world graph structure networks. In this article, we propose a novel dynamic diffusion-variational GNN (DVGNN) for spatiotemporal forecasting. For dynamic graph construction, an unsupervised generative model is devised. Two layers of graph convolutional network (GCN) are applied to calculate the posterior distribution of the latent node embeddings in the encoder stage. Then, a diffusion model is used to infer the dynamic link probability and reconstruct causal graphs (CGs) in the decoder stage adaptively. The new loss function is derived theoretically, and the reparameterization trick is adopted in estimating the probability distribution of the dynamic graphs by evidence lower bound (ELBO) during the backpropagation period. After obtaining the generated graphs, dynamic GCN and temporal attention are applied to predict future states. Experiments are conducted on four real-world datasets of different graph structures in different domains. The results demonstrate that the proposed DVGNN model outperforms state-of-the-art approaches and achieves outstanding root mean square error (RMSE) results while exhibiting higher robustness. Also, by F1-score and probability distribution analysis, we demonstrate that DVGNN better reflects the causal relationship and uncertainty of dynamic graphs. The website of the code is https://github.com/gorgen2020/DVGNN.