Changes in Australian food anaphylaxis admission rates following introduction of updated allergy prevention guidelines.

BACKGROUND: Food anaphylaxis admission rates have increased steadily in recent decades. Global food allergy prevention guidelines recommending early introduction of allergenic foods were introduced in 2015-2016. Australian guidelines to not delay the introduction of allergenic foods were introduced in 2007-2008. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to examine whether introduction of Australian guidelines (2007-2008) and global allergy prevention guidelines (2015-2016) were associated with reductions in food anaphylaxis admission rates. METHODS: We compared food anaphylaxis admission rates across 3 periods: 1998-1999 to 2006-2007, 2007-2008 to 2014-2015, and 2015-2016 to 2018-2019. RESULTS: Annual food anaphylaxis admission rates increased 9-fold between 1998-1999 and 2018-2019, from 2.0 per 105 population to 18.2 per 105 population; the highest absolute rates were in those younger than 1 year. When year-on-year rates of change were examined across the 3 time periods, the annual rate of increase slowed after 2007-2008 in those aged 1 to 4 years (17.6%, 6.2%, and 3.9% per year, respectively) and those aged 5 to 9 years (22%, 13.9%, and -2.4%, respectively), and after 2015-2016, in those aged 10 to 14 years (17.5%, 18.0%, and 10.8%, respectively). By contrast, the year-on-year rate of increase accelerated in those younger than 1 year (5.2%, 8.0%, and 18.0%, respectively) and in all age groups older than 15 years. CONCLUSIONS: Although food anaphylaxis continues to increase overall, there is preliminary evidence indicating a slowing in the year-on-year rate of increase among those aged 1 to 4, 5 to 9, and 10 to 14 years, coinciding with introduction of updated infant feeding and allergy prevention guidelines in 2007-2008 and 2015-2016. Changes to the guidelines may have contributed to an attenuated rate of increase in food anaphylaxis in these age groups, as well as to increased rates in those younger than 1 year.

Time trends in Australian hospital anaphylaxis admissions in 1998-1999 to 2011-2012.

BACKGROUND: Studies from the United Kingdom, the United States, and Australia have reported increased childhood food allergy and anaphylaxis prevalence in the 15 years after 1990. OBJECTIVE: We sought to examine whether childhood food allergy/anaphylaxis prevalence has increased further since 2004-2005. METHODS: We examined hospital anaphylaxis admission rates between 2005-2006 and 2011-2012 and compared findings with those from 1998-1999 to 2004-2005. RESULTS: Overall population food-related anaphylaxis admission rates (per 10(5) population per year) increased from 5.6 in 2005-2006 to 8.2 in 2011-2012 (a 1.5-fold increase over 7 years). The highest rates occurred in children aged 0 to 4 years (21.7 in 2005-2006 and 30.3 in 2011-2012, a 1.4-fold increase), but the greatest proportionate increase occurred in those aged 5 to 14 years (5.8-12.1/10(5) population/y, respectively, a 2.1-fold increase) compared with those aged 15 to 29 years and 30 years or older (a 1.5- and 1.3-fold increase, respectively). Not only did absolute food-related anaphylaxis admissions increase, but the modeled year-on-year rate of increase in overall food-related anaphylaxis admissions also increased over time from an additional 0.35 per 10(5) population/y in 1998-1999 (all ages) to 0.49 in 2004-2005 and 0.63 in 2011-2012 (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Food-related anaphylaxis has increased further in all age groups since 2004-2005. Although the major burden falls on those aged 0 to 4 years, there is preliminary evidence for a recent acceleration in incidence rates in those aged 5 to 14 years. This contrasts with the previous decade in which the greatest proportionate increase was in those aged 0 to 4 years. These findings suggest a possible increasing burden of disease among adolescents and adults who carry the highest risk for fatal anaphylaxis.

Shifts in the seasonal distribution of deaths in Australia, 1968-2007.

Studies in temperate countries have shown that both hot weather in summer and cold weather in winter increase short-term (daily) mortality. The gradual warming, decade on decade, that Australia has experienced since the 1960s, might therefore be expected to have differentially affected mortality in the two seasons, and thus indicate an early impact of climate change on human health. Failure to detect such a signal would challenge the widespread assumption that the effect of weather on mortality implies a similar effect of a change from the present to projected future climate. We examine the ratio of summer to winter deaths against a background of rising average annual temperatures over four decades: the ratio has increased from 0.71 to 0.86 since 1968. The same trend, albeit of varying strength, is evident in all states of Australia, in four age groups (aged 55 years and above) and in both sexes. Analysis of cause-specific mortality suggests that the change has so far been driven more by reduced winter mortality than by increased summer mortality. Furthermore, comparisons of this seasonal mortality ratio calculated in the warmest subsets of seasons in each decade, with that calculated in the coldest seasons, show that particularly warm annual conditions, which mimic the expected temperatures of future climate change, increase the likelihood of higher ratios (approaching 1:1). Overall, our results indicate that gradual climate change, as well as short-term weather variations, affect patterns of mortality.

Increased ratio of summer to winter deaths due to climate warming in Australia, 1968-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if global warming has changed the balance of summer and winter deaths in Australia. METHODS: Counts of summer and winter cause-specific deaths of subjects aged 55 and over for the years 1968-2018 were entered into a Poisson time-series regression. Analysis was stratified by states and territories of Australia, by sex, age and cause of death (respiratory, cardiovascular, and renal diseases). The warmest and coldest subsets of seasons were compared. RESULTS: Warming over 51 years was associated with a long-term increase in the ratio of summer to winter mortality from 0.73 in the summer of 1969 to 0.83 in the summer of 2018. The increase occurred faster in years that were warmer than average. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality in the warmest and coldest times of the year is converging as annual average temperatures rise. Implications for public health: If climate change continues, deaths in the hottest months will come to dominate the burden of mortality in Australia.

Do women's perceptions of care at the time of unexplained stillbirth influence their wishes for management in subsequent pregnancy? An Internet-based empirical study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to examine women's perceptions of their care at the time of unexplained stillbirth, and whether these appear to affect wishes for management in subsequent pregnancy. METHODS: An Internet-based survey was conducted of women after unexplained stillbirth, seeking information about their perceptions of management, and their wishes for care in a subsequent pregnancy. RESULTS: One hundred and five completed surveys were included in the study group. Only 18 respondents (17%) reported that the diagnosis was broken in an uncaring way. Twenty respondents (19%) felt 'rushed into making decisions'. Almost all respondents (95%) felt that they were given adequate time with the baby after delivery. Fifty-seven respondents (54%) consented to perinatal autopsy. Most women (93%) wanted additional testing in their next pregnancy, 81% wanted delivery before the due date, but only 26% wanted cesarean delivery next time. CONCLUSION: Women's perceptions of care at the time of an unexplained stillbirth did not appear to influence their wishes for management in the next pregnancy.

Characteristics of childhood peanut allergy in the Australian Capital Territory, 1995 to 2007.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether clinical features of peanut allergy have changed in the past decade alongside possible increasing prevalence. OBJECTIVE: The clinical features of peanut allergy over 13 years were examined with regard to age of onset, sex distribution, severity, and incidence. METHODS: Retrospective study of 778 patients (age 4 months to 66 years) diagnosed with peanut allergy at a community-based specialist allergy practice in the Australian Capital Territory. RESULTS: Most peanut allergy (90%) developed by age 72 months. In this group, there were no significant time-dependent changes in sex distribution, reaction severity, or age of first reaction (mean/median 12/15.1 months). Later age of first reaction was associated with an increased risk of anaphylaxis in the overall population (P < .01) and in those with onset by 72 months, in whom risk increased by 22.7% (CI, 3.3-45.7) for every additional year of age (P < .02). Asthma was associated with increased risk of anaphylaxis (odds ratio, 1.9; P < .001). In children with peanut allergy, 22% experienced anaphylaxis with first exposure and 30% with anaphylaxis had preceding milder reactions. The estimated minimum incidences of peanut allergy and sensitization by age 72 months for children born in the Australian Capital Territory in 2004 were 1.15% and 1.53%, respectively (by end December 2007), compared with 0.73% and 0.84% for those born in 2001. CONCLUSION: Although most characteristics of peanut allergy have changed little over the period of the last 13 years (onset age, sex, comorbidity, severity), later onset was associated with greater risk of anaphylaxis. Our data are consistent with a rise in incidence.

Estimating the rate of cesarean section by maternal request: anonymous survey of obstetricians in Australia.

BACKGROUND: The rate of cesarean section in Australia now exceeds 30 percent, and evidence from population studies indicates that maternal requests for elective cesarean delivery might make an important contribution. The objective of this study was to explore the rate of such deliveries in Australia, in the absence of a formal investigation. METHODS: An anonymous survey was sent to all 1,239 specialist obstetricians and 317 obstetric specialty trainees in Australia. Specialists were asked the number of elective cesarean deliveries they performed in 2006 that satisfied the National Institutes of Health definition of maternal request cesarean delivery. Trainees were asked whether they intended to agree to maternal requests for cesarean section in their future specialist practice. RESULTS: The response rate from specialists was 98.6 percent, and from trainees was 81 percent. To account for possibility of multiple submissions, we performed two analyses: one using all responses, the other after removing 297 surveys in the second mail-out that were identical to surveys received from the first mail-out (n = 735). Proportions were similar in both groups. We estimated that between 8,553 and 12,434 maternal request cesarean sections were performed in Australia in 2006, representing at least 17 percent of all elective cesarean sections, and slightly more than 3 percent of all births. CONCLUSION: Maternal request is an important contributor to cesarean section rates in Australia.

Women's expectations of management in their next pregnancy after an unexplained stillbirth: an Internet-based empirical study.

BACKGROUND: Unexplained stillbirth is the largest contributor to perinatal death, accounting for one-third of stillbirths. There appears to be no increase in perinatal death rates in the pregnancies that follow an unexplained stillbirth. However, these pregnancies have increased rates of induced labour and elective caesarean section, as well as preterm birth, low birthweight, instrumental delivery, 'fetal distress' and postpartum haemorrhage. AIM: To study the wishes for future pregnancy management in women who have suffered an unexplained stillbirth. METHODS: An Internet-based survey of women after an unexplained stillbirth, seeking demographic information and reproductive history, details of management of the index stillbirth and information about their wishes for subsequent pregnancy management (antenatal surveillance, early delivery and caesarean delivery). RESULTS: Of the total respondents included in the study, 93% wanted 'testing' over and above normal pregnancy care in their next pregnancy. Of the respondents, 81% wanted early delivery and 26% wanted a Caesarean delivery, irrespective of obstetric indications. These wishes were not influenced by socio-demographic factors, management of the index stillbirth (with the exception of having had a Caesarean delivery) or advice received on management of the next pregnancy (with the exception of being advised to have an early or Caesarean delivery). CONCLUSIONS: The women surveyed wanted increased fetal surveillance and early delivery, but not necessarily elective caesarean section.

Preliminary development and validation of an Australian community participation questionnaire: types of participation and associations with distress in a coastal community.

Participating in the social and civic life of communities is protectively associated with the onset and course of physical and mental disorders, and is considered important in achieving health promotion goals. Despite its importance in health research, there is no systematically developed measure of community participation. Our aim was to undertake the preliminary development of a community participation questionnaire, including validating it against an external reference, general psychological distress. Participants were 963 randomly selected community members, aged 19-97, from coastal New South Wales, Australia, who completed an anonymous postal survey. There were 14 types of community participation, most of which were characterised by personal involvement, initiative and effort. Frequency of participation varied across types and between women and men. Based on multiple linear regression analyses, controlling for socio-demographic factors, nine types of participation were independently and significantly associated with general psychological distress. Unexpectedly, for two of these, "expressing opinions publicly" and "political protest", higher levels of participation were associated with higher levels of distress. The other seven were: contact with immediate household, extended family, friends, and neighbours; participating in organised community activities; taking an active interest in current affairs; and religious observance. We called these the "Big 7". Higher levels of participation in the Big 7 were associated with lower levels of distress. Participating in an increasing number of the Big 7 types of participation was strongly associated in linear fashion with decreasing distress.

A comparison of methods for calculating population exposure estimates of daily weather for health research.

BACKGROUND: To explain the possible effects of exposure to weather conditions on population health outcomes, weather data need to be calculated at a level in space and time that is appropriate for the health data. There are various ways of estimating exposure values from raw data collected at weather stations but the rationale for using one technique rather than another; the significance of the difference in the values obtained; and the effect these have on a research question are factors often not explicitly considered. In this study we compare different techniques for allocating weather data observations to small geographical areas and different options for weighting averages of these observations when calculating estimates of daily precipitation and temperature for Australian Postal Areas. Options that weight observations based on distance from population centroids and population size are more computationally intensive but give estimates that conceptually are more closely related to the experience of the population. RESULTS: Options based on values derived from sites internal to postal areas, or from nearest neighbour sites--that is, using proximity polygons around weather stations intersected with postal areas--tended to include fewer stations' observations in their estimates, and missing values were common. Options based on observations from stations within 50 kilometres radius of centroids and weighting of data by distance from centroids gave more complete estimates. Using the geographic centroid of the postal area gave estimates that differed slightly from the population weighted centroids and the population weighted average of sub-unit estimates. CONCLUSION: To calculate daily weather exposure values for analysis of health outcome data for small areas, the use of data from weather stations internal to the area only, or from neighbouring weather stations (allocated by the use of proximity polygons), is too limited. The most appropriate method conceptually is the use of weather data from sites within 50 kilometres radius of the area weighted to population centres, but a simpler acceptable option is to weight to the geographic centroid.

Within-occasion intraindividual variability and preclinical diagnostic status: is intraindividual variability an indicator of mild cognitive impairment?

Intraindividual variability in cognitive test performance has the potential to be a good marker of preclinical Alzheimer's disease status (S. C. Li & U. Lindenberger, 1999). Using cross-sectional community data from 2,317 individuals aged 60-64 years, the authors of this study found that variability was greater in individuals who met criteria for mild cognitive impairment or aging-associated cognitive decline but not for age-associated memory impairment. Higher variability was associated with lower education and a non-English-speaking background. In contrast to previous findings, variability in this study did not contribute uniquely to meeting criteria for mild cognitive impairment. The reasons for the differences may reside in the authors' method of estimating mean independent variability, the use of an occasion-specific measure, or the relatively younger age of the participants. Follow-up of the cohort in 4 years will yield data on the prospective validity of variability as a risk factor for impairment.

Non-linear relationships between cognitive function and alcohol consumption in young, middle-aged and older adults: the PATH Through Life Project.

AIMS: To investigate associations, including non-linear relationships, between cognitive function and alcohol consumption, testing for moderating effects of age and gender and for differences across outcome measures. Design Cross-sectional general population samples of three age cohorts. Setting Canberra and Queanbeyan, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: The total sample of 7485 consisted of 2404 men and women aged 20-24 years, 2530 aged 40-44 years, and 2551 aged 60-64 years, selected from the electoral rolls. Measurements Self-report data using hand-held computers provided weekly alcohol consumption from the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) frequency, quantity and binge-drinking items, and socio-demographic factors. Spot-the-Word, digits backwards, the Symbol-Digit Modalities Test (SDMT), immediate recall and reaction-time tests were conducted by trained interviewers. FINDINGS: Findings varied across dependent variables, but there was a general tendency for light drinkers (up to 20/10 g alcohol per day in men/women, respectively) to perform better than abstainers, occasional drinkers or those drinking at hazardous/harmful levels (>40/20 g per day in men/women). Poorer performance of hazardous/harmful drinkers was seen only in men, whereas that of abstainers was evident in both sexes but was stronger in women. After adjustment for education and race, male hazardous/harmful drinkers no longer performed significantly less well than light drinkers, whereas male and female abstainers and occasional drinkers still did so. CONCLUSIONS: Abstainers have poorer cognitive function than light drinkers and further investigation is needed to determine what factors contribute to this.

Mental health first aid training of the public in a rural area: a cluster randomized trial [ISRCTN53887541].

BACKGROUND: A Mental Health First Aid course has been developed which trains members of the public in how to give initial help in mental health crisis situations and to support people developing mental health problems. This course has previously been evaluated in a randomized controlled trial in a workplace setting and found to produce a number of positive effects. However, this was an efficacy trial under relatively ideal conditions. Here we report the results of an effectiveness trial in which the course is given under more typical conditions. METHODS: The course was taught to members of the public in a large rural area in Australia by staff of an area health service. The 16 Local Government Areas that made up the area were grouped into pairs matched for size, geography and socio-economic level. One of each Local Government Area pair was randomised to receive immediate training while one served as a wait-list control. There were 753 participants in the trial: 416 in the 8 trained areas and 337 in the 8 control areas. Outcomes measured before the course started and 4 months after it ended were knowledge of mental disorders, confidence in providing help, actual help provided, and social distance towards people with mental disorders. The data were analysed taking account of the clustered design and using an intention-to-treat approach. RESULTS: Training was found to produce significantly greater recognition of the disorders, increased agreement with health professionals about which interventions are likely to be helpful, decreased social distance, increased confidence in providing help to others, and an increase in help actually provided. There was no change in the number of people with mental health problems that trainees had contact with nor in the percentage advising someone to seek professional help. CONCLUSIONS: Mental Health First Aid training produces positive changes in knowledge, attitudes and behaviour when the course is given to members of the public by instructors from the local health service.

Thoracic hyperkyphosis: a survey of Australian physiotherapists.

BACKGROUND: Age-related thoracic hyperkyphosis can lead to poor health outcomes including pain and dysfunction. Physiotherapists are fundamentally involved in the assessment and treatment of this problem but there is no published data that details assessment and treatment strategies or the attitudes of practitioners with respect to hyperkyphosis. PURPOSE: The purpose of the study is to ascertain current physiotherapy practice for, and attitudes to, the assessment and treatment of thoracic hyperkyphosis in Australia. METHOD: A stratified random sample (N = 468) of Australian physiotherapists in all states and territories working in hospitals, outpatient clinics and community clinics were sent an anonymous cross-sectional postal survey. The survey had six sections identifying clinical profile, prevalence, measurement strategy, treatment frequency, treatment strategy and evidence source. RESULTS: A response rate of 47% with anonymity preserved was achieved. The majority of respondents had a musculoskeletal practice profile (75%). Seventy-eight per cent encountered hyperkyphosis at least weekly, and three treatment sessions were most commonly given (35%). Visual inspection was almost universally used to assess the degree of hyperkyphosis (98%), and for 64% it was their only measurement tool. Postural re-education was the most common treatment strategy (90%) but the range of treatments reported was diverse. The primary source of evidence used by the majority of respondents was their undergraduate education, and there was concern expressed that physiotherapists lack good evidence upon which to make therapeutic decisions about hyperkyphosis. CONCLUSIONS: Thoracic hyperkyphosis is commonly encountered by physiotherapists. Measurement of treatment efficacy is highly subjective, and the treatment modalities employed are diverse. Many physiotherapists based their management of hyperkyphosis on their undergraduate education alone.

Echocardiography in the detection of cardioembolism in a stroke population.

Both transthoracic (TTE) and transoesophageal (TOE) echocardiography are used routinely to investigate ischaemic stroke. We retrospectively assessed the incidence of abnormalities on TTE/TOE and whether an abnormal TTE/TOE result could have been predicted on the basis of ancillary tests and clinical cardiological examination. Data from 428 patients were analysed. The diagnostic yield of TTE was 12%. For TOE there was a diagnostic yield of 40% in tests actually performed. Overall, echocardiography altered management in 5% of patients. A significant correlation was found between clinical cardiac disease, stroke subtype and the diagnostic yield of TTE. We conclude that the vast majority of abnormal findings occur in patients who already have clinical evidence of cardiac disease. This suggests that the use of these tests should not be "routine", but determined on an individual patient basis.

Projections of future numbers of dementia cases in Australia with and without prevention.

OBJECTIVE: To produce projections of the number of dementia cases in Australia from 2000 to 2050. These projections examine the effects of an ageing population on number of dementia cases and also the potential impact of preventive strategies that delay age of dementia onset. METHOD: Data from several meta-analyses of dementia prevalence and incidence were combined with age-specific population projections to arrive at estimates of future numbers of cases. A statistical model of dementia incidence was developed and used to estimate the effects of delaying onset by up to 5 years. RESULTS: Without prevention, prevalence of dementia is estimated to increase from 172 000 in 2000 to 588 000 in 2050. Over the same period, the incidence of dementia is estimated to increase from 43 000 to 143 000 new cases a year. Delaying onset by 5 years would decrease prevalence in 2050 by 44%. Even a 6-month delay would reduce prevalence by 6%. CONCLUSIONS: Ageing of the population will lead to a rapid increase in number of dementia cases and an increasing burden for the working-age population. However, even modest prevention efforts could lessen the impact.

Prevalence of mild cognitive impairment in 60- to 64-year-old community-dwelling individuals: The Personality and Total Health through Life 60+ Study.

This epidemiological study aimed at determining the prevalence of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in 60- to 64-year-old individuals using different diagnostic criteria. Community dwelling individuals (n = 2,551) in the age range of 60-64 years were recruited randomly through the electoral roll. They were screened using the MMSE and a short cognitive battery, and those who screened positive underwent detailed medical and cognitive assessments. Extant MCI-related diagnoses were established by consensus. Predictive regression models on the sub-sample were used to determine population prevalence for the diagnoses. Of the 224 subjects who screened positive for MCI, 112 underwent a detailed assessment and 74% met the criteria for at least one recognised diagnosis of mild cognitive deficit (MCI and related diagnoses). By predictive regression modelling, the prevalence of any MCI diagnosis was 13.7% (95% CI 9.1-30.2) in the population of 60- to 64-year-olds. The estimated prevalence rates for specific diagnoses were: MCI 3.7%, ageing-associated cognitive decline 3.1%, Clinical Dementia Rating score (0.5) 2.8%, age-associated memory impairment 1%, other cognitive disorders 0.9%, and mild neurocognitive disorder 0.6%. Agreement on 'caseness' between various proposed diagnoses was at best fair and generally poor. Memory and other cognitive problems not meeting the threshold for dementia are relatively common in 60- to 64-year-old individuals living in the community. The prevalence rate varies up to six-fold according to the diagnostic criteria applied, with limited overlap between diagnoses. There is an urgent need for standardization of the criteria.

Suicide and mental health in rural, remote and metropolitan areas in Australia.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the prevalence of mental health disorders and the use of professional help by area of residence, age and sex; and to determine whether the differences parallel differences in suicide rates. DESIGN: Retrospective cross-sectional analysis of Australian national mortality data (1997-2000) and the National Survey of Mental Health and Wellbeing (1997), using broad area-of-residence classifications based on the Rural, Remote and Metropolitan Area (RRMA) index. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: (a) Suicide rates; (b) prevalence of depression, anxiety and substance-use disorders; and (c) use of health professionals for mental health problems - by age, sex and area of residence. RESULTS: Higher suicide rates were evident for men, particularly young men in rural (40.4 per 100 000; z, 3.2) and remote (51.7 per 100 000; z, 7.2) populations compared with metropolitan (31.8 per 100 000) populations. Although the proportion of young men reporting mental health disorders did not differ significantly between rural (23.5%; z, -0.5) and remote (18.8%; z, -1.6) areas compared with metropolitan (25.6%) areas, young men with a mental health disorder from non-metropolitan areas were significantly less likely than those from metropolitan areas to seek professional help for a mental health disorder (11.4% v 25.2%; z, -2.2). CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to investigate why young men in non-metropolitan areas, the population with the greatest suicide risk, do and do not engage with mental health services.