Unemployment and mortality in a large Italian cohort.

BACKGROUND: Aim of this study was to examine the association between unemployment and mortality, taking into account potential confounders of this association. A secondary objective was to assess whether the association between unemployment and mortality was modified by lack of household economic resources. METHODS: Prospective cohort composed of a representative sample of Italian subjects 30-55 years who participated in the Italian National Health Survey 1999-2000, followed up for mortality up to 2012 (15 656 men and 11 463 women). Data were analyzed using Cox regression models, stratified by gender and adjusted for health status, behavioral risk factors, socioeconomic position and position in the household. The modifying effect of the lack of economic resources was assessed by testing its interaction with unemployment on mortality. RESULTS: Among women, unemployment was not associated with mortality, whereas among men, higher mortality was found from all causes (HR = 1.82), which was not modified by lack of economic resources, and from neoplasms (HR = 1.59), cardiovascular diseases (HR = 2.58) and suicides (HR = 5.01). CONCLUSIONS: Results for men were robust to the adjustment for main potential confounders, suggesting a causal relationship between unemployment and mortality. The lack of effect modification by economic resources supports the relevance of the loss of non-material benefits of work on mortality.

Therapy With Agents Acting on the Renin-Angiotensin System and Risk of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection.

Exposure to agents acting on the renin-angiotensin system was not associated with a risk increase of COVID-19 infection in 2 Italian matched case-control studies, 1 nested in hypertensive patients and the other in patients with cardiovascular diseases or diabetes.

Temporal dynamics in total excess mortality and COVID-19 deaths in Italian cities.

BACKGROUND: Standardized mortality surveillance data, capable of detecting variations in total mortality at population level and not only among the infected, provide an unbiased insight into the impact of epidemics, like COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease). We analysed the temporal trend in total excess mortality and deaths among positive cases of SARS-CoV-2 by geographical area (north and centre-south), age and sex, taking into account the deficit in mortality in previous months. METHODS: Data from the Italian rapid mortality surveillance system was used to quantify excess deaths during the epidemic, to estimate the mortality deficit during the previous months and to compare total excess mortality with deaths among positive cases of SARS-CoV-2. Data were stratified by geographical area (north vs centre and south), age and sex. RESULTS: COVID-19 had a greater impact in northern Italian cities among subjects aged 75-84 and 85+ years. COVID-19 deaths accounted for half of total excess mortality in both areas, with differences by age: almost all excess deaths were from COVID-19 among adults, while among the elderly only one third of the excess was coded as COVID-19. When taking into account the mortality deficit in the pre-pandemic period, different trends were observed by area: all excess mortality during COVID-19 was explained by deficit mortality in the centre and south, while only a 16% overlap was estimated in northern cities, with quotas decreasing by age, from 67% in the 15-64 years old to 1% only among subjects 85+ years old. CONCLUSIONS: An underestimation of COVID-19 deaths is particularly evident among the elderly. When quantifying the burden in mortality related to COVID-19, it is important to consider seasonal dynamics in mortality. Surveillance data provides an impartial indicator for monitoring the following phases of the epidemic, and may help in the evaluation of mitigation measures adopted.

Publisher Correction to: Temporal dynamics in total excess mortality and COVID-19 deaths in Italian cities.

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via the original article.

Mortality study of employees at a chemical manufacturing plant using administrative databases.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated mortality in a cohort of 1,988 male workers at a chemical manufacturing plant (1981-2011) and evaluated the quality of the results obtained using administrative databases. METHODS: Information about the workers was obtained from the archives of the Italian National Institute for Social Insurance. Vital status and causes of death were ascertained through record linkage with electronic archives and follow-up mailing. Regional reference rates were used to calculate standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 90% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: The analysis showed increased SMR for selected cancers of a priori interest: respiratory system (SMR: 126.8; 90%CI: 105-152), pleura (330.5; 90%CI 164-596), and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (196.1; 90%CI 102-342). CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate an effect of hazardous exposures among workers in this chemical manufacturing plant. Using administrative databases to construct historical cohorts is an efficient method in time and resources, for estimating the risk of mortality and generating hypotheses. Am. J. Ind. Med. 59:866-876, 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Social inequalities in total and cause-specific mortality of a sample of the Italian population, from 1999 to 2007.

BACKGROUND: There is extensive documentation on social inequalities in mortality across Europe, showing heterogeneity among countries. Italy contributed to this comparative research, through longitudinal systems from northern or central cities of the country. This study aims to analyse educational inequalities in general and cause-specific mortality in a sample of the Italian population. METHODS: Study population was selected within a cohort of 123,056 individuals, followed up for mortality through record linkage with national archive of death certificates for the period 1999-2007. People aged between 25 and 74 years were selected (n = 81,763); relative risks of death by education were estimated through Poisson models, stratified according to sex and adjusted for age and geographic area of residence. Heterogeneity of risks by area of residence was evaluated. RESULTS: Men and women with primary education or less show 79% and 63% higher mortality risks, respectively, compared with graduates. Mortality risks seem to frequently increase with decreasing education, with a significant linear trend among men. For men, social inequalities appear related to mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system and to all neoplasms, whereas for women, they are related to inequalities in cancer mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Results from the first follow-up of a national sample highlight that Italy presents significant differences in mortality according to the socio-economic conditions of both men and women. These results not only challenge policies aimed at redistributing resources to individuals and groups, but also those policies that direct programmes and resources for treatment and prevention according to the different health needs.

[Air pollution and mortality in twenty-five Italian cities: results of the EpiAir2 Project]. / Inquinamento atmosferico e mortalità in venticinque città italiane: risultati del progetto EpiAir2.

OBJECTIVES: this study aims at presenting the results from the Italian EpiaAir2 Project on the short-term effects of air pollution on adult population (35+ years old) in 25 Italian cities. DESIGN: the short-term effects of air pollution on resident people died in their city were analysed adopting the time series approach. The association between increases in 10µg/m(3) in PM10, PM2.5, NO2 and O3 air concentration and natural, cardiac, cerebrovascular and respiratory mortality was studied. City-specific Poisson models were fitted to estimate the association of daily concentrations of pollutants with daily counts of deaths. The analysis took into account temporal and meteorological factors to control for potential confounding effect. Pooled estimates have been derived from random effects meta-analysis, evaluating the presence of heterogeneity in the city specific results. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: it was analysed 422,723 deaths in the 25 cities of the project among people aged 35 years or more, resident in each city during the period 2006-2010. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: daily counts of natural, cardiac, cerebrovascular, and respiratory mortality, obtained from the registries of each city. Demographic information were obtained by record linkage procedure with the civil registry of each city. RESULTS: mean number of deaths for natural causes ranged from 513 in Rovigo to 20,959 in Rome. About 25% of deaths are due to cardiac diseases, 10% to cerebrovascular diseases, and 7% to respiratory diseases. It was found an immediate effect of PM10 on natural mortality (0.51%; 95%CI 0.16-0.86; lag 0-1). More relevant and prolonged effects (lag 0-5) have been found for PM2.5 (0.78%; 95%CI 0.12-1.46) and NO2 (1.10%; 95%CI 0.63-1.58). Increases in cardiac mortality are associated with PM10 (0.93%; 95%CI 0.16-1.70) and PM2.5 (1.25%; 95%CI 0.17-2.34), while for respiratory mortality exposure to NO2 has an important role (1.67%; 95%CI 0.23-3.13; lag 2-5), as well as PM10 (1.41%; 95%CI - 0.23;+3.08). Results are strongly homogeneous among cities, except for respiratory mortality. No effect has been found for cerebrovascular mortality and weak evidence of association has been observed between ozone and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: a clear increase in mortality associated to air pollutants was observed. More important are the effects of NO2 (on natural mortality), mostly associated with traffic emissions, and of PM2.5 (on cardiac and respiratory mortality). Nitrogen dioxide shows an independent effect from the particulate matter, as observed in the bi-pollutant models.

[Life expectancy, strenuous work and pension system's fairness. First evidence from the Work Histories Italian Panel]. / Aspettative di vita, lavori usuranti ed equità del sistema previdenziale. Prime evidenze dal Work Histories Italian Panel.

OBJECTIVE: the study aims to estimate the differentials in life expectancy by income and work history in Italy during the 2000's, in order to evaluate the level of actuarial equity of the recent Italian retirement reform in computing benefits proportional to the contributions paid. DESIGN: retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: mortality follow up of a 1% sample of the Italian workforce employed or self employed in the private sector, retired between 1985 and 2003 (about 63,000 people), whose work history and income since 1985 is registered in the National Institute for Social Insurance (INPS) data base. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: mortality differentials computed through Cox model. RESULTS: social inequalities in survival in favour of the more advantaged categories of income and occupational classes are observed. CONCLUSION: the principle of actuarial equity assumes that life expectancy varies only according to age and birth cohort; nevertheless inequalities in life expectancy exist also along other dimensions, like income and occupational class: this means that the system is producing an opposite redistribution, from the careers more socially disadvantaged to the less disadvantaged ones.

An Italian Network of Population-Based Birth Cohorts to Evaluate Social and Environmental Risk Factors on Pregnancy Outcomes: The LEAP Study.

In Italy, few multicentre population-based studies on pregnancy outcomes are available. Therefore, we established a network of population-based birth cohorts in the cities of Turin, Reggio Emilia, Modena, Bologna, and Rome (northern and central Italy), to study the role of socioeconomic factors and air pollution exposure on term low birthweight, preterm births and the prevalence of small for gestational age. In this article, we will report the full methodology of the study and the first descriptive results. We linked 2007-2013 delivery certificates with municipal registry data and hospital records, and selected singleton livebirths from women who lived in the cities for the entire pregnancy, resulting in 211,853 births (63% from Rome, 21% from Turin and the remaining 16% from the three cities in Emilia-Romagna Region). We have observed that the association between socioeconomic characteristics and air pollution exposure varies by city and pollutant, suggesting a possible effect modification of both the city and the socioeconomic position on the impact of air pollution on pregnancy outcomes. This is the largest Italian population-based birth cohort, not distorted by selection mechanisms, which has also the advantage of being sustainable over time and easily transferable to other areas. Results from the ongoing multivariable analyses will provide more insight on the relative impact of different strands of risk factors and on their interaction, as well as on the modifying effect of the contextual characteristics. Useful recommendations for strategies to prevent adverse pregnancy outcomes may eventually derive from this study.

LIFE Med Hiss: An innovative cohort design for public health.

The aim of MED HISS methodology was to test the effectiveness of a low-cost approach to study long-term effects of air pollution, applicable in all European countries. This approach is potentially exportable to other environmental issues where a cohort representative of the country population is needed. The cohort is derived from the National Health Interview Survey, compulsory in European countries, which has information on individual lifestyle factors. In Life Med Hiss approach, subjects recruited have been linked at individual level with health data and have been then followed-up for mortality and hospital admissions outcomes. Exposure values of air pollution (PM2.5 and NO2) have been assigned using national dispersion models, enhanced by the information derived from monitoring station with data fusion techniques, and then upscaled at municipality level (highest level of detail achievable for the Italian Survey). Results for mortality have been used to test the effectiveness of this methodology and are encouraging if compared with European ones. The advantages of this technique are summarized below: •It uses a cohort already available and compulsory in European countries•It uses air quality modelling data, available for most of the countries•It permits to implement versatile environmental surveillance systems.