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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The utility of serial liver stiffness measurements (LSM) to predict decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) remains unclear. We aimed to validate whether comparing serial LSM is superior to using the current LSM to predict liver-related events (LRE) in patients with cACLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this retrospective analysis of an international registry, patients with cACLD and serial LSM were followed up until index LRE. We compared the performance of both the dynamic LSM changes and the current LSM in predicting LRE using Cox regression analysis, considering time zero of follow-up as the date of latest liver stiffness measurement. In all, 480 patients with cACLD with serial LSM were included from 5 countries. The commonest etiology of cACLD was viral (53%) and MASLD (34%). Over a median follow-up of 68 (IQR: 45 -92) months, 32% experienced a LSM decrease to levels below 10kPa (resolved cACLD) and 5.8% experienced LRE. Resolved cACLD were more likely to be nondiabetic and had better liver function. While a higher value of the current LSM was associated with higher LREs, LSM changes over time (LSM slope) were not associated with LRE. In multivariable Cox regression, neither the prior LSM nor the LSM slope added predictive value to latest liver stiffness measurement. CONCLUSIONS: Once the current LSM is known, previous LSM values do not add to the prediction of LREs in patients with cACLD.
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BACKGROUND/AIMS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is recommended for risk stratification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). More recently, AGILE3 + and AGILE4 have combined LSM with clinical parameters to identify patients with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively. However, there are limited data on prognostic performance of these scores in key at-risk subgroups such as those with diabetes and obesity compared to LSM alone. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study including 1903 adult patients with NAFLD from tertiary care centers in the United States and Singapore undergoing VCTE between 2015 and 2022. Primary predictors were FAST, LSM, AGILE3 + , and AGILE4 scores and the primary outcome was liver-related events (LRE). Patients were further stratified by diabetes and obesity status. Prognostic performance was measured using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (tAUC) at 5 years. RESULTS: In total, 25 LRE occurred and the overall incidence rate of LRE was 4.4 per 1000 person-years. tAUC for predicting LRE in the overall group was significantly higher with AGILE3 + (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) and AGILE4 (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) compared to LSM (0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.94]) (p = 0.001 and 0.009, respectively) and FAST (0.73 [95% CI: 0.59-0.86]) (p < 0.001 for both). Similarly, tAUC was significantly higher in those with T2D for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.92 vs 0.86, respectively) (p = 0.015) and FAST (0.92 vs 0.73, respectively) (p = 0.008). Among people with obesity, tAUC was significantly higher for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.95 vs 0.89, respectively) (p = 0.005) and FAST (0.95 vs 0.76, respectively) (p = 0.0035). Though AGILE4 had a higher tAUC in these subgroups compared to LSM, it did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSION: AGILE3 + significantly outperforms LSM and FAST for predicting LRE in patients with NAFLD including in those with diabetes or obesity.
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About 5% of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients experienced treatment failure with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. The global data on the practice and treatment outcomes of Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir (SOF/VEL/VOX) in DAA-experienced CHC patients remains sparse. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy and safety of SOF/VEL/VOX as a salvage treatment in DAA-experienced CHC patients. We searched five electronic databases from inception to 31 January 2023. The study outcomes were SVR12 and treatment-related adverse effects, with subgroup analysis performed based on genotype, cirrhosis, HCC, prior SOF/VEL exposure, and region. We identified and analyzed data from 24 studies (2877 DAA-experienced CHC patients); 17.2% had prior SOF/VEL exposure, 25% received ribavirin with SOF/VEL/VOX, and 42% had pre-treatment resistance-associated substitution (RAS) testing performed. Eastern Mediterranean had a higher pooled SVR12 than the America and Europe regions (p < 0.05). Predictors of SOF/VEL/VOX failure were genotype 3, active HCC, baseline cirrhosis, and prior SOF/VEL. Baseline RAS mutation and ribavirin supplementation were not associated with higher SVR12. Treatment discontinuation because of drug-related adverse events was uncommon (10 studies, 0.2%). In summary, SOF/VEL/VOX is efficacious and safe for retreatment in DAA-experienced CHC patients, even with RAS mutation. Our findings support SOF/VEL/VOX as a first-line rescue treatment for DAA-experienced CHC patients.