PRedicting the EVolution of SubjectIvE Cognitive Decline to Alzheimer's Disease With machine learning: the PREVIEW study protocol.

BACKGROUND: As disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for Alzheimer's disease (AD) are becoming a reality, there is an urgent need to select cost-effective tools that can accurately identify patients in the earliest stages of the disease. Subjective Cognitive Decline (SCD) is a condition in which individuals complain of cognitive decline with normal performances on neuropsychological evaluation. Many studies demonstrated a higher prevalence of Alzheimer's pathology in patients diagnosed with SCD as compared to the general population. Consequently, SCD was suggested as an early symptomatic phase of AD. We will describe the study protocol of a prospective cohort study (PREVIEW) that aim to identify features derived from easily accessible, cost-effective and non-invasive assessment to accurately detect SCD patients who will progress to AD dementia. METHODS: We will include patients who self-referred to our memory clinic and are diagnosed with SCD. Participants will undergo: clinical, neurologic and neuropsychological examination, estimation of cognitive reserve and depression, evaluation of personality traits, APOE and BDNF genotyping, electroencephalography and event-related potential recording, lumbar puncture for measurement of Aß42, t-tau, and p-tau concentration and Aß42/Aß40 ratio. Recruited patients will have follow-up neuropsychological examinations every two years. Collected data will be used to train a machine learning algorithm to define the risk of being carriers of AD and progress to dementia in patients with SCD. DISCUSSION: This is the first study to investigate the application of machine learning to predict AD in patients with SCD. Since all the features we will consider can be derived from non-invasive and easily accessible assessments, our expected results may provide evidence for defining cost-effective and globally scalable tools to estimate the risk of AD and address the needs of patients with memory complaints. In the era of DMTs, this will have crucial implications for the early identification of patients suitable for treatment in the initial stages of AD. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER (TRN): NCT05569083.

Personalized modeling of Alzheimer's disease progression estimates neurodegeneration severity from EEG recordings.

INTRODUCTION: Early identification of Alzheimer's disease (AD) is necessary for a timely onset of therapeutic care. However, cortical structural alterations associated with AD are difficult to discern. METHODS: We developed a cortical model of AD-related neurodegeneration accounting for slowing of local dynamics and global connectivity degradation. In a monocentric study we collected electroencephalography (EEG) recordings at rest from participants in healthy (HC, n = 17), subjective cognitive decline (SCD, n = 58), and mild cognitive impairment (MCI, n = 44) conditions. For each patient, we estimated neurodegeneration model parameters based on individual EEG recordings. RESULTS: Our model outperformed standard EEG analysis not only in discriminating between HC and MCI conditions (F1 score 0.95 vs 0.75) but also in identifying SCD patients with biological hallmarks of AD in the cerebrospinal fluid (recall 0.87 vs 0.50). DISCUSSION: Personalized models could (1) support classification of MCI, (2) assess the presence of AD pathology, and (3) estimate the risk of cognitive decline progression, based only on economical and non-invasive EEG recordings. Highlights: Personalized cortical model estimating structural alterations from EEG recordings.Discrimination of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) and Healthy (HC) subjects (95%)Prediction of biological markers of Alzheimer's in Subjective Decline (SCD) Subjects (87%)Transition correctly predicted for 3/3 subjects that converted from SCD to MCI after 1y.

Degradation of EEG microstates patterns in subjective cognitive decline and mild cognitive impairment: Early biomarkers along the Alzheimer's Disease continuum?

Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathological changes may begin up to decades earlier than the appearance of the first symptoms of cognitive decline. Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) could be the first pre-clinical sign of possible AD, which might be followed by mild cognitive impairment (MCI), the initial stage of clinical cognitive decline. However, the neural correlates of these prodromic stages are not completely clear yet. Recent studies suggest that EEG analysis tools characterizing the cortical activity as a whole, such as microstates and cortical regions connectivity, might support a characterization of SCD and MCI conditions. Here we test this approach by performing a broad set of analyses to identify the prominent EEG markers differentiating SCD (n = 57), MCI (n = 46) and healthy control subjects (HC, n = 19). We found that the salient differences were in the temporal structure of the microstates patterns, with MCI being associated with less complex sequences due to the altered transition probability, frequency and duration of canonic microstate C. Spectral content of EEG, network connectivity, and spatial arrangement of microstates were instead largely similar in the three groups. Interestingly, comparing properties of EEG microstates in different cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers profiles, we found that canonic microstate C displayed significant differences in topography in AD-like profile. These results show that the progression of dementia might be associated with a degradation of the cortical organization captured by microstates analysis, and that this leads to altered transitions between cortical states. Overall, our approach paves the way for the use of non-invasive EEG recordings in the identification of possible biomarkers of progression to AD from its prodromal states.