The relationship between duration of untreated psychosis and outcome: an eight-year prospective study.

Longer duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) prior to the initiation of treatment has been found to predict poorer short-term clinical and functional outcomes in patients with first-episode psychosis (FEP). The extent to which the relationship between DUP and outcome is maintained in the medium-to-long term however remains unclear. We examined the influence of DUP on clinical and functional outcomes in a prospective, naturalistic study of 318 FEP patients followed up 8 years after initial treatment at a specialist early psychosis service. Quality of life, social and occupational functioning, positive and negative symptoms at 8 years were assessed using standardized instruments. Multiple linear regression analyses indicated that, after controlling for the effects of other factors, shorter DUP correlated moderately with decreased severity of positive symptoms, and enhanced social and occupational functioning and quality of life. There was no uniform point associated with medium-to-long term impairment, with some domains of outcome more sensitive to treatment delay than others. However a consistent finding was that outcomes for these domains were significantly worse when DUP exceeded 3 months. Among those with a schizophrenia-spectrum diagnosis, DUP exceeding 1 year was associated with poorer outcome. No association was found between DUP and negative symptoms in either diagnostic group. As with short-term prognosis, DUP appears to be an independent predictor of prognosis in the medium-to-long term. Results support the need for assertive early detection strategies to facilitate the timely delivery of effective intervention programs to those with emerging psychotic illness in order to reduce the risk of long term deleterious outcomes.

The EPPIC follow-up study of first-episode psychosis: longer-term clinical and functional outcome 7 years after index admission.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the longer-term clinical and functional outcome of a large, epidemiologic representative cohort of individuals experiencing a first episode of psychosis. METHOD: A naturalistic, prospective follow-up of an epidemiologic sample of 723 consecutive first-episode psychosis patients, followed between January 1998 and April 2005, at a median of 7.4 years after initial presentation to the Early Psychosis Prevention and Intervention Centre (EPPIC) in Melbourne, Australia. EPPIC is a frontline public mental health early psychosis program, servicing a geographically defined catchment area with a population of about 800,000 people. The main outcome measures included the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale, the Schedule for the Assessment of Negative Symptoms, the Beck Depression Inventory, the Global Assessment of Functioning Scale, the Social and Occupational Functioning Assessment Scale, the Quality of Life Scale, and the remission criteria developed by the Remission in Schizophrenia Working Group. RESULTS: Follow-up information was collected on up to 90.0% (n = 651) of the baseline cohort of 723 participants, with 66.9% (n = 484) interviewed. In the last 2 years, 57% of individuals with schizophrenia/schizophreniform, 54% with schizoaffective disorder, 62% with affective psychosis, and 68% with other psychotic disorders reported some paid employment. Depending upon the criteria applied, symptomatic remission at follow-up was observed in 37%-59% of the cohort. Social/vocational recovery was observed in 31% of the cohort. Approximately a quarter achieved both symptomatic remission and social/vocational recovery. CONCLUSION: The relatively positive outcomes are consistent with a beneficial effect of specialized early intervention programs; however it is premature to draw firm conclusions. There was no control group and there are many differences between the relevant comparison studies and the present one. Although difficult to conduct, large scale controlled health services research trials are required to definitively determine the impact and optimal duration of specialized early psychosis programs.