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Progress on surgical system strengthening has been slow due to a disconnect between evidence generation and the information required for effective policymaking. This systematic mapping review sought to assess critical research gaps in the field of global surgery guided by the World Health Organisation Health Systems building block framework, analysis of authorship and funding patterns, and an exploration of emerging research partnership networks. Literature was systematically mapped to identify, screen, and synthesize results of publications in the global surgery field between 2015 and March 2022. We searched four databases and included literature published in seven languages. A social network analysis determined the network attributes of research institutions and their transient relationships in shaping the global surgery research agenda. We identified 2,298 relevant studies out of 92,720 unique articles searched. Research output increased from 453 in 2015-16 to 552 in 2021-22, largely due to literature on Covid-19 impacts on surgery. Sub-Saharan Africa (792/2298) and South Asia (331/2298) were the most studied regions, although high-income countries represented a disproportionate number of first (42%) and last (43%) authors. Service delivery received the most attention, including the surgical burden and quality and safety of services, followed by capacity-building efforts in low- and middle-income countries. Critical research in economics and financing, essential infrastructure and supplies, and surgical leadership necessary to guide policy decisions at the country level were lacking. Global surgical systems remain largely under-researched. Knowledge diffusion requires an emphasis on developing sustainable research partnerships and capacity across low- and middle-income countries. A renewed focus must be given to equipping countries with tools for effective decision-making to enhance investments in high-quality surgical services.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Sur de Asia , Creación de Capacidad , Bases de Datos Factuales , RentaRESUMEN
The bundling of clinical expertise in centralised treatment centres is considered an effective intervention to improve quality and efficiency of acute stroke care. In 2010, 8 London Trusts were converted into Hyper Acute Stroke Units. The intention was to discontinue acute stroke services in 22 London hospitals. However, in reality, provision of services declined only gradually, and 2 years later, 15% of all patients were still treated in Trusts without a Hyper Acute Stroke Unit. This study evaluates the impact of centralising London's stroke care on 7 process and outcome indicators using a difference-in-difference analysis with two treatment groups, Hyper Acute and discontinued London Trusts, and data on all stroke patients recorded in the hospital episode statistics database from April 2006 to April 2014. The policy resulted in improved thrombolysis treatment and lower rates of pneumonia in acute units. However, 6 indicators worsened in the Trusts that were meant to discontinue services, including deaths within 7 and 30 days, readmissions, brain scan rates, and thrombolysis treatment. The reasons for these results are difficult to uncover and could be related to differences in patient complexity, data recording, or quality of care. The findings highlight that actual implementation of centralisation policies needs careful monitoring and evaluation.
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Atención a la Salud/métodos , Hospitales/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación de Procesos y Resultados en Atención de Salud , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , Anciano , Femenino , Política de Salud , Humanos , Londres , Masculino , Modelos EconométricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although many hospital readmission reduction initiatives have been introduced globally, health care systems ultimately aim to improve patients' health and well-being. We examined whether the hospitals that report greater success in reducing readmissions also see greater improvements in patient-reported outcomes. RESEARCH DESIGN: We examined hospital groups (Trusts) that provided hip replacement or knee replacement surgery in England between April 2010 and February 2013. For each Trust, we calculated risk-adjusted 30-day readmission rates from administrative datasets. We also obtained changes in patient-reported health between presurgical assessment and 6-month follow-up, using general health EuroQuol five dimensions questionaire (EQ-5D) and EuroQuol visual analogue scales (EQ-VAS) and procedure-specific (Oxford Hip and Knee Scores) measures. Panel models were used to assess whether changes over time in risk-adjusted readmission rates were associated with changes over time in risk-adjusted health gains. RESULTS: Each percentage point reduction in the risk-adjusted readmission rate for hip replacement was associated with an additional health gain of 0.004 for EQ-5D [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.002-0.006], 0.39 for EQ-VAS (95% CI, 0.26-0.52), and 0.32 for Oxford Hip Score (95% CI, 0.15-0.27). Corresponding figures for knee replacement were 0.003 for EQ-5D (95% CI, 0.001-0.004), 0.21 for EQ-VAS (95% CI, 0.12-0.30), and 0.14 in the Oxford Knee Score (95% CI, 0.09-0.20). CONCLUSIONS: Reductions in readmission rates were associated with modest improvements in patients' sense of their health and well-being at the hospital group level. In particular, fears that efforts to reduce readmission rates have had unintended consequences for patients appear to be unfounded.
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Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Cadera/estadística & datos numéricos , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/estadística & datos numéricos , Estado de Salud , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Medición de Resultados Informados por el Paciente , Anciano , Inglaterra , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Calidad de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Ajuste de Riesgo , Factores SocioeconómicosAsunto(s)
Administración Financiera/organización & administración , Salud Global/economía , Necesidades y Demandas de Servicios de Salud/economía , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/tratamiento farmacológico , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/economía , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/prevención & control , Organización de la Financiación , Humanos , Cooperación Internacional , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/economía , Malaria/prevención & control , Tuberculosis/tratamiento farmacológico , Tuberculosis/economía , Tuberculosis/prevención & controlRESUMEN
Background: Since the early 2000s, the National Health Service (NHS) in England has expanded provision of publicly funded care in private hospitals as a strategy to meet growing demand for elective care. This study aims to compare patient outcomes, efficiency and adverse events in private and NHS hospitals when providing elective hip and knee replacement. Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study including patients ≥18 years, undergoing a publicly funded elective hip or knee replacement in private and NHS hospitals in England between January 1st 2016 and March 31st 2019. Comparative probability was estimated for three patient outcome measures (in-hospital mortality, emergency readmissions with 28 days, hospital transfers), two efficiency measures (pre-operative length of stay (LOS) >0 day and post-operative LOS >2 days), and four adverse events (hospital-associated infection, adverse drug reactions, pressure ulcers, venous thromboembolism). Probit regression was used to adjust for observable confounding followed by instrumental variable (IV) analyses to also account for unobserved confounding at the patient-level. Propensity score matching was then used as a robustness check. Findings: Our study sample included 169,232 patients in private hospitals, and 262,659 patients in NHS hospitals. Estimates from probit regression indicated that treatment in private hospital was associated with reduced probability of in-hospital mortality (-0.0009, 95% CI -0.0010, -0.0007), emergency readmissions (-0.0181, 95% CI -0.0191, -0.0172), hospital transfers (-0.0076, 95% CI -0.0084, -0.0068), prolonged post-operative LOS (-0.1174, 95% CI -0.1547, -0.0801), hospital-associated infection (-0.0115, 95% CI -0.0123, -0.0107), adverse drug reactions (-0.0051, 95% CI -0.0056, -0.0046), pressure ulcers (-0.0017, 95% CI -0.0019, -0.0014), and venous thromboembolism (-0.0027, 95% CI -0.0031, -0.0022). IV analyses produced no significant differences between private and NHS hospitals, except for lower probability in private hospitals of hospital-associated infection (-0.0057, 95% CI -0.0081, -0.0032), and greater probability in private hospitals of prolonged post-operative LOS (0.2653, 95% CI 0.1833, 0.3472). Propensity score matching produced similar results to probit regression. Interpretation: Our findings indicate there is potentially important unobservable confounding at the patient-level between private and NHS hospitals not adjusted for when using probit regression or propensity score matching. Funding: This research did not receive any dedicated funding.
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This study determined the feasibility of investing revenues raised through Nigeria's sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) tax of 10 Naira/l to support the implementation of the National, Surgical, Obstetrics, Anaesthesia and Nursing Plan, which aims to strengthen access to surgical care in the country. We conducted a mixed-methods political economy analysis. This included a modelling exercise to predict the revenues from Nigeria's SSB tax based on its current tax rate over a period of 5 years, and for several scenarios such as a 20% ad valorem tax recommended by the World Health Organization. We performed a gap analysis to explore the differences between fiscal space provided by the tax and the implementation cost of the surgical plan. We conducted qualitative interviews with key stakeholders and performed thematic analyses to identify opportunities and barriers for financing surgery through tax revenues. At its current rate, the SSB tax policy has the potential to generate 35 914 111 USD in year 1, and 189 992 739 USD over 5 years. Compared with the 5-year adjusted surgical plan cost of 20 billion USD, the tax accounts for â¼1% of the investment required. There is a substantial scope for further increases in the tax rate in Nigeria, yielding potential revenues of up to 107 663 315 USD, annually. Despite an existing momentum to improve surgical care, there is no impetus to earmark sugar tax revenues for surgery. Primary healthcare and the prevention and treatment of non-communicable diseases present as the most favoured investment areas. Consensus within the medical community on importance of primary healthcare, along the recent government transition in Nigeria, offers a policy window for promoting a higher SSB tax rate and an adoption of other sin taxes to generate earmarked funds for the healthcare system. Evidence-based advocacy is necessary to promote the benefits from investing into surgery.
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Impuestos , Impuestos/economía , Nigeria , Humanos , Bebidas Azucaradas/economía , Política de Salud , Política , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/economíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Congenital myelomeningocele, or spina bifida (SB), is the predominant congenital anomaly of the central nervous system. Beyond its implications on neonatal mortality, SB impacts the long-term quality of life in affected children. This study sought to investigate the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among children with SB treated at Ethiopia's leading pediatric neurosurgical facility. METHODS: Set at Zewditu Memorial Hospital in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, this hospital-based cross-sectional study spanned from June 30 to September 30, 2022. It incorporated 232 children, using data gathered through interviewer-led questionnaires. The HRQoL was measured using the PedsQL 4.0, a 23-item generic scale. RESULTS: The study's participants had a median age of 5 years (interquartile range = 3 to 6 years). The aggregate mean scores on the PedsQL 4.0 tallied at 68.59 ± 18.01. The lowest scores emerged from queries on school participation, whereas physical and emotional functioning registered the highest scores. Through multiple regression analyses, variables such as family income, monthly household income, number of children, and the presence of a neurogenic bladder showed strong association with HRQoL. CONCLUSIONS: This study fills a gap in the literature providing information on the HRQoL and its associated factors for children with SB in low-resourced settings. We champion the proactive integration of quality-of-life metrics into neurosurgical care policy and practice. Given the enduring consequences of SB, interventions honing the HRQoL can steer children toward realizing their intrinsic and enhance societal participation and contribution.
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Nurse workforce shortages put healthcare systems under pressure, moving the nursing profession into the core of healthcare policymaking. In this paper, we shift the focus from workforce policy to workforce politics and highlight the political role of nurses in healthcare systems in England, Spain, Sweden, and the Netherlands. Using a comparative discursive institutionalist approach, we study how nurses are organised and represented in these four countries. We show how nurse politics plays out at the levels of representation, working conditions, career building, and by breaking with the public healthcare system. Although there are differences between the countries - with nurses in England and Spain under more pressure than in the Netherlands and Sweden - nurses are often not represented in policy discourses; not just because of institutional ignorance but also because of fragmentation of the profession itself. This institutional ignorance and lack of collective representation, we argue, requires attention to foster the role and position of nurses in contemporary healthcare systems.
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The ongoing violent conflict in Northern Ethiopia has caused displacement, death, and destruction. Health services infrastructure became one of the primary victims of the war, leaving millions unable to access essential surgical health services at a time when demand for surgical interventions is on the rise. Rehabilitating surgical services was identified as a priority by the federal government, regional health bureaus, and humanitarian organizations, forming an integral part in rebuilding communities after war. Under the auspices of the Federal Ministry of Health of Ethiopia, a hospital twinning program between providers in non-conflict and conflict affected areas was first introduced in December 2021, now including 13 active partnerships. The program builds on a previous best practice gained from the Ethiopian Hospital Alliance for Quality to strengthen local health care providers in regaining capabilities to serve local populations. Field experience of two hospital twinning projects have shown significant scope of organizational peer support at times of crisis, successfully enabling conflict-afflicted hospitals to regain the capacity necessary to re-introduce surgical services. While overcoming challenges such as lack of basic supplies including electricity and blood may be required to further increase the scope of this program in Northern Ethiopia, relative success highlights important lessons for similar approaches in areas affected by conflict, or natural disasters.
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic substantially disrupted healthcare utilization patterns, globally. South Korea had been praised widely in its efforts to contain the spread of the pandemic, which may have contributed to a significantly smaller reduction in healthcare utilization compared to neighboring countries. However, it remains unknown how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted utilization patterns across population sub-groups, particularly vulnerable patient groups in South Korea. This paper quantifies the changes in healthcare utilization attributable to COVID-19 and the COVID-19 vaccination by sub-groups. Methods: An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to examine the impact of COVID-19 on healthcare utilization in South Korea from January 2016 to December 2022 using aggregated patient-level data from the national health insurance system that accounts for 99% of all healthcare services in South Korea. We applied negative binomial models adjusting for seasonality and serial correlation. Falsification tests were conducted to test the validity of breakpoints. Stratified analyses by type of healthcare services, age, sex, income level, health facility type, and avoidable/non-avoidable hospitalizations was performed, and we assessed differences in utilization trends between population groups across three phases of the pandemic. Findings: In early 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a reduction in monthly volume of outpatient utilization by 15.7% [95% CI 13.3%-18.1%, p < 0.001] and inpatient utilization by 11.6% [10.1%-13.0%, p < 0.001]. Most utilization recovered and rebounded to pre-COVID-19 levels as of December 2022 although variations existed. We observed heterogeneity in the magnitude of relative changes in utilization across types of services, varying from a 42.7% [36.8%-48.0%, p < 0.001] decrease for pediatrics, a 23.4% [20.1%-26.5%%, p < 0.001] reduction in utilization of public health centers, and a 24.2% [21.2%-27.0%, p < 0.001] reduction in avoidable hospitalizations compared to the pre-pandemic period. Contrary to global trends, health utilization among the elderly population (65 and older) in South Korea saw only marginal reductions compared to other age groups. Similarly, Medicaid patients and lower income groups experienced a smaller reduction compared to higher income groups. Interpretation: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare utilization in South Korea was less pronounced compared to the global average. Utilization of vulnerable populations, including adults over 65 years old and lowest-income groups reduced less than other type of patients. Funding: No funding.
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Despite the acceleration in the use of digital health technologies across different aspects of the healthcare system, the full potential of real-world data (RWD) and real-world evidence (RWE) arising from the technologies is not being utilised in decision-making. We examine current national efforts and future opportunities to systematically use RWD and RWE in decision-making in five countries (Estonia, Finland, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom), and then develop a framework for promotion of the systematic use of RWD and RWE. A review assesses current national efforts, complemented with a three-round consensus-building exercise among an international group of experts (n1 = 44, n2 = 24, n3 = 24) to derive key principles. We find that Estonia and Finland have invested and developed digital health-related policies for several years; Germany and Italy are the more recent arrivals, while the United Kingdom falls somewhere in the middle. Opportunities to promote the systematic use of RWD and RWE were identified for each country. Eight building blocks principles were agreed through consensus, relating to policy scope, institutional role and data collection. Promoting post-market surveillance and digital health technology vigilance ought to rely on clarity in scope and data collection with consensus reached on eight principles to leverage RWD and RWE.
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AIMS: We aimed to confirm that three-dimensional echocardiography-derived right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) is better associated with adverse cardiopulmonary outcomes than the conventional echocardiographic parameters. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis of studies reporting the impact of unit change of RVEF, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), fractional area change (FAC), and free-wall longitudinal strain (FWLS) on clinical outcomes (all-cause mortality and/or adverse cardiopulmonary outcomes). Hazard ratios (HRs) were rescaled by the within-study SDs to represent standardized changes. Within each study, we calculated the ratio of HRs related to a 1 SD reduction in RVEF versus TAPSE, or FAC, or FWLS, to quantify the association of RVEF with adverse outcomes relative to the other metrics. These ratios of HRs were pooled using random-effects models. RESULTS: Ten independent studies were identified as suitable, including data on 1,928 patients with various cardiopulmonary conditions. Overall, a 1 SD reduction in RVEF was robustly associated with adverse outcomes (HR = 2.64 [95% CI, 2.18-3.20], P < .001; heterogeneity: I2 = 65%, P = .002). In studies reporting HRs for RVEF and TAPSE, or RVEF and FAC, or RVEF and FWLS in the same cohort, head-to-head comparison revealed that RVEF showed significantly stronger association with adverse outcomes per SD reduction versus the other 3 parameters (vs TAPSE, HR = 1.54 [95% CI, 1.04-2.28], P = .031; vs FAC, HR = 1.45 [95% CI, 1.15-1.81], P = .001; vs FWLS, HR = 1.44 [95% CI, 1.07-1.95], P = .018). CONCLUSION: Reduction in three-dimensional echocardiography-derived RVEF shows stronger association with adverse clinical outcomes than conventional right ventricular functional indices; therefore, it might further refine the risk stratification of patients with cardiopulmonary diseases.
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Ecocardiografía Tridimensional , Disfunción Ventricular Derecha , Humanos , Volumen Sistólico , Función Ventricular Derecha , Ecocardiografía/métodos , Ventrículos Cardíacos/diagnóstico por imagen , Disfunción Ventricular Derecha/diagnóstico por imagenRESUMEN
The global shortage of skilled anaesthesiologists, surgeons and obstetricians is a leading cause of high unmet surgical need. Although anaesthetic and surgical task-shifting are widely practised to mitigate this barrier, little is known about their safety and efficacy. This systematic review seeks to highlight the existing evidence on the clinical outcomes of patients operated on by non-physicians or non-specialist physicians globally. Relevant articles were identified by searching four databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL and Global Health) in all languages between January 2008 and February 2022. Retrieved documents were screened against pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria, and their qualities were appraised critically. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers and findings were synthesized narratively. In total, 40 studies have been included. Thirty-five focus on task-shifting for surgical and obstetric procedures, whereas four studies address anaesthetic task-shifting; one study covers both interventions. The majority are located in sub-Saharan Africa and the USA. Seventy-five per cent present perioperative mortality outcomes and 85% analyse morbidity measures. Evidence from low- and middle-income countries, which primarily concentrates on caesarean sections, hernia repairs and surgical male circumcisions, points to the overall safety of non-surgeons. On the other hand, the literature on surgical task-shifting in high-income countries (HICs) is limited to nine studies analysing tube thoracostomies, neurosurgical procedures, caesarean sections, male circumcisions and basal cell carcinoma excisions. Finally, only five studies pertaining to anaesthetic task-shifting across all country settings answer the research question with conflicting results, making it difficult to draw conclusions on the quality of non-physician anaesthetic care. Overall, it appears that non-specialists can safely perform high-volume, low-complexity operations. Further research is needed to understand the implications of surgical task-shifting in HICs and to better assess the performance of non-specialist anaesthesia providers. Future studies must adopt randomized study designs and include long-term outcome measures to generate high-quality evidence.
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Anestésicos , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Cesárea , África del Sur del Sahara , RentaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To examine the trends and characteristics of opioid-related hospital admissions in England over 10 years, and its burden for the National Health Service and public finances. DESIGN: Patient-level data from the Hospital Episode Statistics database to examine all opioid-related hospitalisations from 2008 to 2018, stratified by type of opioid admission and patient demographics. SETTING: All National Health Service hospitals in England. PARTICIPANTS: Patients hospitalised from the harmful use of opioids. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The number of opioid-related hospitalisations, length of stay, in-hospital mortality, 30-day readmission rate and treatment costs. RESULTS: Opioid-related hospitalisations increased by 48.9%, from 10,805 admissions in 2008 to 16,091 admissions in 2018, with total treatment costs of £137 million. The growth in opioid-related hospitalisations was 21% above the corresponding rate for all other emergency admissions in England. Relative changes showed that hospitalisations increased most for individuals older than 55 years (160%), those living in the most affluent areas of England (93.8%), and suffering from four co-morbidities (627.6%) or more. Hospitals reduced mean patient length of stay from 2.8 days to 1.1 days over 10 years. Mean in-hospital mortality was 0.4% and mean 30-day readmission risk was 16.6%. CONCLUSION: Opioid use is an increasing public health concern in England, though hospitalisation and mortality rates are less pronounced than in other countries. There are concerns about significant rises in hospitalisations from older, less deprived and sicker population groups. Our findings should prompt policymakers to go beyond monitoring mortality statistics when assessing the impacts of harmful use of opioids.
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Analgésicos Opioides , Medicina Estatal , Analgésicos Opioides/efectos adversos , Estudios de Cohortes , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Hospitalización , Humanos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
People with developmental disability have higher health care needs and lower life expectancy compared with the general population. Poor quality of care resulting from interpersonal and systemic discrimination may further entrench existing inequalities. We examined the prevalence of five avoidable in-hospital patient safety incidents (adverse drug reactions, hospital-acquired infections, pressure ulcers, postoperative pulmonary embolism or deep vein thrombosis, and postoperative sepsis) for four developmental disability groups (people with intellectual disability, chromosomal abnormalities, pervasive developmental disorders, and congenital malformation syndrome) in the English National Health Service during the period April 2017-March 2019. We found that the likelihood of experiencing harm in disability groups was up to 2.7-fold higher than in patients without developmental disability. Patient safety incidents led to an excess length-of-stay in hospital of 3.6-15.4 days and an increased mortality risk of 1.4-15.0 percent. We show persisting quality differences in patients with developmental disability, requiring an explicit national policy focus on the needs of such patients to reduce inequalities, reach parity of care, and lower the burden on health system resources.
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Discapacidades del Desarrollo , Medicina Estatal , Niño , Discapacidades del Desarrollo/epidemiología , Hospitales , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Seguridad del Paciente , Complicaciones PosoperatoriasRESUMEN
Opioid abuse has become a public health concern among many developed countries, with policymakers searching for strategies to mitigate adverse effects on population health and the wider economy. The United Kingdom has seen dramatic increases in opioid-related mortality following the financial crises in 2008. We examine the impact of spending cuts resulting from government prescribed austerity measures on opioid-related hospitalisations and mortality, thereby expanding on existing evidence suggesting a countercyclical relationship with macroeconomic performance. We take advantage of the variation in spending cuts passed down from central government to local authorities since 2010, with reductions in budgets of up to fifty percent in some areas resulting in the rescaling of vital public services. Longitudinal panel data methods are used to analyse a comprehensive, linked dataset that combines information from spending records, official death registry data and large administrative health care data for 152 local authorities (i.e., unitary authorities and county councils) in England between April 2010 and March 2017. A total of 280,827 people experienced a hospital admission in the English National Health Service because of an opioid overdose and 14,700 people died from opioids across the study period. Local authorities that experienced largest spending cuts also saw largest increases in opioid abuse. Interactions between changes in unemployment and spending items for welfare programmes show evidence about the importance for governments to protect populations from social-risk effects at times of deteriorating macroeconomic performance. Our study carries important lessons for countries aiming to address high rates of opioid abuse, including the United States, Canada and Sweden.
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Analgésicos Opioides , Trastornos Relacionados con Opioides , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapéutico , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Humanos , Trastornos Relacionados con Opioides/tratamiento farmacológico , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Medicina Estatal , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Following a virtual standstill in the delivery of elective procedures in England, a national block contract between the NHS and the independent sector aimed to help restart surgical care. This study aims to describe subsequent changes in trends in elective care service delivery following implementation of the initial iteration of this contract. METHODS: Population-based retrospective cohort study, assessing the delivery of all publicly funded and privately funded elective care delivered in England between 1 April 2020 and 31 July 2020 compared with the same period in 2019. Discharge data from the Hospital Episode Statistics and private healthcare data from the Private Health Information Network was stratified by specialty, procedure, length of stay and patient complexity in terms of age and Charlson Comorbidity Index. RESULTS: COVID-19 significantly reduced publicly funded elective care activity, though changes were more pronounced in the independent sector (-65.1%) compared with the NHS (-52.7%), whereas reductions in privately funded elective care activity were similar in both independent sector hospitals (-74.2%) and NHS hospitals (-72.9%). Patient complexity increased in the independent sector compared with the previous year, with mixed findings in NHS hospitals. Most specialties, irrespective of sector or funding mechanisms, experienced a reduction in hospital admissions. However, some specialities, including medical oncology, clinical oncology, clinical haematology and cardiology, experienced an increase in publicly-funded elective care activity in the independent sector. CONCLUSION: Elective care delivered by the independent sector remained significantly below historic levels, although this overlooks significant variation between regions and specialities. There may be opportunities to learn from regions which achieved more significant increases in publicly funded elective care in independent sector providers as a strategy to address the growing backlog of elective care.
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COVID-19 , Medicina Estatal , COVID-19/epidemiología , Atención a la Salud , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos , Humanos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk of an avoidable adverse event for high-need patients in England and Germany and the causal impact that has on outcomes. DATA SOURCES: We use administrative, secondary data for all hospital inpatients in 2018. Patient records for the English National Health Service are provided by the Hospital Episode Statistics database and for the German health care system accessed through the Research Data Center of the Federal Statistical Office. STUDY DESIGN: We calculated rates of three hospital-acquired adverse events and their causal impact on mortality and length of stay through propensity score matching and estimation of average treatment effects. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: Patients were identified based on diagnoses codes and translated Patient Safety Indicators developed by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: For the average hospital stay, the risk of an adverse event was 5.37% in the English National Health Service and 3.26% in the German health care system. High-need patients are more likely to experience an adverse event, driven by hospital-acquired infections (2.06%-4.45%), adverse drug reactions (2.37%-2.49%), and pressure ulcers (2.25%-0.45%). Adverse event risk is particularly high for patients with advancing illnesses (10.50%-27.11%) and the frail elderly (17.75%-28.19%). Compared to the counterfactual, high-need patients with an adverse event are more likely to die during their hospital stay and experience a longer length of stay. CONCLUSIONS: High-need patients are particularly vulnerable with an adverse event risking further deterioration of health status and adding resource use. Our results indicate the need to assess the costs and benefits of a hospital stay, particularly when care could be provided in settings considered less hazardous.