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AIM: To determine whether net water uptake (NWU) based on automated software evaluation could predict futile recanalisation in patients with acute anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion (LVO). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with acute anterior circulation LVO undergoing mechanical thrombectomy in Jinling Hospital were evaluated retrospectively. NWU and other baseline data were evaluated by performing univariate and multivariate analyses. The primary endpoint was 90-day modified Rankin scale score ≥3. A nomogram to predict poor clinical outcomes was developed based on multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 135 patients who underwent thrombectomy with a TICI grade ≥2b were enrolled. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the following factors were identified as independent predictors of futile recanalisation: age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.055, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.004-1.110, p=0.035), female (OR: 0.289, 95 % CI: 0.098-0.850, p=0.024), hypertension (OR: 3.182, 95 % CI: 1.160-8.728, p=0.025), high blood glucose level (OR: 1.36, 95 % CI: 1.087-1.701, p=0.007), admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (OR: 1.082, 95 % CI: 1.003-1.168, p=0.043), and NWU (OR: 1.312, 95 % CI: 1.038-1.659, p=0.023). CONCLUSIONS: NWU based on Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography (CT) Score (ASPECTS) could be used to predict the occurrence of futile recanalisation in patients with acute anterior circulation LVO ischaemic stroke.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Femenino , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Accidente Cerebrovascular/cirugía , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Isquemia Encefálica/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Agua , Trombectomía/métodos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Objective: To explore the value of a new modified T3 sub-staging for the prognosis evaluation in gallbladder cancer patients. Methods: This is a retrospective case-series study. The clinical data of patients with pathologically confirmed stage T3 gallbladder cancer who were admitted to the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery,the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2011 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 190 patients were enrolled in this study, 67 males and 123 females, with an age (M(IQR)) of 63(14) years (range:17 to 88 years). The stage T3 was divided into four sub-stages according to the site of tumor invasion: (1) T3a:tumor perforates the serosa,but not invading the liver and one other adjacent structure; (2) T3b:tumor perforates the serosa and invades one other adjacent structure,but not the liver; (3) T3c:tumor perforates the serosa and invades the liver,but not one other adjacent structure; (4) T3d:tumor perforates the serosa,invades the liver and one other adjacent structure. To evaluate the application value of this modified sub-staging,the Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve,univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were done using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model respectively. Results: According to the modified T3 sub-staging method,34 patients (17.9%) were in stage T3a,24 cases(12.6%) were in stage T3b, 97 cases (51.1%) were in stage T3c, and 35 cases (18.4%) were in stage T3d. The median survival time of patients in stages T3a,T3b,T3c and T3d after radical resection was 72.0 months, 32.0 months, 12.0 months and 10.0 months, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of patients in stage T3a, T3b, T3c and T3d were 79.4%, 53.3%, and 53.3%; 79.2%, 44.6%, and 26.0%;49.5%,27.5%,and 18.1%;42.9%,15.9%, and 15.9% (χ2=18.349,P<0.01),respectively. Univariate analysis showed that gallbladder stones,pathological differentiation,perineural invasion, N stage,postoperative adjuvant therapy and modified T3 substage were factors affecting patient prognosis(all P<0.05). Cox multivariate analysis showed that modified sub-stages with T3c (HR=2.043, 95%CI:1.176 to 3.549) and T3d(HR=2.419, 95%CI:1.284 to 4.555), accompanied by gallbladder stones (HR=1.661,95%CI:1.150 to 2.398),pathological differentiation with poorly differentiated(HR=1.709,95%CI:1.198 to 2.438), and the N stage with N1 and N2(HR=1.602, 95%CI:1.090 to 2.355, 2.714, 95%CI: 1.621 to 4.544) were independent prognostic risk factors for patients in stage T3,while postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy(HR=0.351) was a protective factor for prognosis. There was no statistically significant difference in survival between patients with stage T3a and T3b who underwent hepatic wedge resection and liver segment or major resection (P=0.402). For patients with stage T3c and T3d with liver invasion,the survival difference after hepatic wedge resection and segmental or major resection was statistically significant (P=0.008). Conclusion: The modified T3 sub-staging system based on the depth and direction of tumor invasion maybe helpful to further stratify the prognosis of patients with gallbladder cancer.
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Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/cirugía , Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
Objective: To investigate the effect of the number of positive preoperative serological tumor markers on the surgical approach and prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Methods: This is a retrospective case-series study. Data from 548 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection from October 2010 to April 2019 were retrospectively collected in 10 hospitals of China. There were 277 males and 271 females with an age of (57.8±10.2)years(range:23 to 84 years). Four hundred and twenty-six patients(77.7%) had at least one positive preoperative serum tumor marker. The data collection included the results of 4 preoperative serological tumor markers,other preoperative indicators(5 prodromal symptoms, 6 medical history,8 preoperative serological indicators,5 preoperative imaging indicators,and 14 preoperative pathological examination indicators),baseline data (gender and age),surgical methods,and prognostic follow-up data. Four preoperative results of serologic tumor marker and surgical procedure were converted into categorical variables. The number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers was used as the treatment variable,the surgical method was used as the mediating variable,and the survival time was used as the outcome variable. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to screen for other preoperative indicators which were independent factors that influenced the surgical procedure and the prognosis of patients as covariates to analyze the mediating effect. Results: Of the 548 patients included in the study, 176 patients (32.1%) underwent partial hepatectomy,151 patients(27.5%) underwent hemihepatectomy, and 221 patients(40.3%) underwent partial hepatectomy or hemihepatectomy combined with other treatments. The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers,intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,portal vein invasion,pathological differentiation,pathological type,vascular invasion,T stage,N stage and maximum tumor diameter were independent factors influencing the surgical procedure(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,pathological differentiation and T stage were independent prognostic factors for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,differentiation and T stage were included as covariates in the mediation effect model. The results showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers before surgery had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ß=-0.092, P=0.039),and had a positive predictive effect on the surgical method (ß=0.244,P<0.01). The number of positive serum tumor markers had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ß=-0.151, P=0.002). Direct and indirect effects accounted for 71.3% and 28.7% of total effects,respectively. Conclusions: The higher the positive number of preoperative tumor markers,the worse the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The number of positive cells not only directly affects the prognosis of patients,but also indirectly affects the prognosis of patients by affecting the surgical method.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Biomarcadores de Tumor , Colangiocarcinoma , Humanos , Colangiocarcinoma/cirugía , Colangiocarcinoma/sangre , Colangiocarcinoma/diagnóstico , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pronóstico , Anciano , Biomarcadores de Tumor/sangre , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/cirugía , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/sangre , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/diagnóstico , Adulto , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Adulto Joven , Hepatectomía/métodos , Periodo PreoperatorioRESUMEN
Objective: To explore the clinical value of adjuvant therapy in patients with T3 gallbladder cancer (GBC) who have undergone R0 resection. Methods: Clinical and pathological data from 415 patients with T3 GBC who underwent surgical treatment in 7 tertiary centers in China from January 2013 to December 2018 were collected,including 251 males and 164 females,aged (61±11)years (range: 26 to 88 years). Depending on whether to receive adjuvant therapy after radical resection,the patients were divided into the radical resection group alone (group A,n=358) and the radical resection combined with the postoperative adjuvant therapy group (group B,n=57). The general data of the two groups were matched 1â¶1 by propensity score matching method,and the caliper value was 0.02.Clinicopathological characteristics,overall survival and disease-free survival of the two groups were compared.The Cox regression model was used for multivariate analysis,and patients with at least one or more independent risk factors were classified as high-risk clinicopathological subtypes. Subgroup analysis was performed to assess the clinical value of adjuvant therapy after radical resection in patients with high-risk clinicopathological subtypes. Results: After the matching,there were 42 patients in each of the two groups. The incidence of gallbladder cancer and the number of dissected lymph nodes in group B after cholecystectomy were higher than those in group A (χ2=9.224,2.570,both P<0.05). There were no significant differences in overall survival rate and disease-free survival rate between the two groups before and after matching (all P>0.05). The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9>39 U/ml,nerve invasion,tumor location (liver side or bilateral),TNM stage â ¢B to â £B ,poorly differentiated tumor were independent prognostic factors of overall survival and disease-free survival of patients with T3 stage gallbladder cancer (all P<0.05).Three hundred and twenty-nine patients(79.3%) had high-risk clinicopathological subtypes,and the median survival time after curative resection with and without adjuvant therapy was 17 months and 34 months respectively,and the 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates were respectively 40.0%,21.3% and 46.0%,46.0% (χ2=4.042,P=0.044);the median disease-free survival time was 9 months and 13 months,and the 3-year and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 23.4%,13.6% and 30.2%,18.2% (χ2=0.992,P=0.319). Conclusions: Postoperative adjuvant therapy following radical surgery did not yield significant improvements in the overall survival and disease-free survival rates of patients diagnosed with T3 gallbladder cancer. However, it demonstrated a significant extension in the overall survival rate for patients presenting high-risk clinicopathological subtypes.
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Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Terapia Combinada , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/diagnóstico , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Objective: To establish a predictive model for survival benefit of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) who received adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection. Methods: The clinical and pathological data of 249 patients with ICC who underwent radical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy at 8 hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively collected. There were 121 males and 128 females,with 88 cases>60 years old and 161 cases≤60 years old. Feature selection was performed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Overall survival time and survival status were used as outcome indicators,then target clinical features were selected. Patients were stratified into high-risk group and low-risk group,survival differences between the two groups were analyzed. Using the selected clinical features, the traditional CoxPH model and deep learning DeepSurv survival prediction model were constructed, and the performance of the models were evaluated according to concordance index(C-index). Results: Portal vein invasion, carcinoembryonic antigen>5 µg/L,abnormal lymphocyte count, low grade tumor pathological differentiation and positive lymph nodes>0 were independent adverse prognostic factors for overall survival in 249 patients with adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection (all P<0.05). The survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (P<0.05). Using the above five features, the traditional CoxPH model and the deep learning DeepSurv survival prediction model were constructed. The C-index values of the training set were 0.687 and 0.770, and the C-index values of the test set were 0.606 and 0.763,respectively. Conclusion: Compared with the traditional Cox model, the DeepSurv model can more accurately predict the survival probability of patients with ICC undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy at a certain time point, and more accurately judge the survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy.
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Objectives: To construct a nomogram for prediction of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) lymph node metastasis based on inflammation-related markers,and to conduct its clinical verification. Methods: Clinical and pathological data of 858 ICC patients who underwent radical resection were retrospectively collected at 10 domestic tertiary hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2018. Among the 508 patients who underwent lymph node dissection,207 cases had complete variable clinical data for constructing the nomogram,including 84 males,123 females,109 patients≥60 years old,98 patients<60 years old and 69 patients were pathologically diagnosed with positive lymph nodes after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to calculate the accuracy of preoperative imaging examinations to determine lymph node status,and the difference in overall survival time was compared by Log-rank test. Partial regression squares and statistically significant preoperative variables were screened by backward stepwise regression analysis. R software was applied to construct a nomogram,clinical decision curve and clinical influence curve,and Bootstrap method was used for internal verification. Moreover,retrospectively collecting clinical information of 107 ICC patients with intraoperative lymph node dissection admitted to 9 tertiary hospitals in China from January 2019 to June 2021 was for external verification to verify the accuracy of the nomogram. 80 patients with complete clinical data but without lymph node dissection were divided into lymph node metastasis high-risk group and low-risk group according to the score of the nomogram among the 858 patients. Log-rank test was used to compare the overall survival of patients with or without lymph node metastasis diagnosed by pathology. Results: The area under the curve of preoperative imaging examinations for lymph node status assessment of 440 patients was 0.615,with a false negative rate of 62.8% (113/180) and a false positive rate of 14.2% (37/260). The median survival time of 207 patients used to construct a nomogram with positive or negative postoperative pathological lymph node metastases was 18.5 months and 27.1 months,respectively (P<0.05). Five variables related to lymph node metastasis were screened out by backward stepwise regression analysis,which were combined calculi,neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio,albumin,liver capsule invasion and systemic immune inflammation index,according to which a nomogram was constructed with concordance index(C-index) of 0.737 (95%CI: 0.667 to 0.806). The C-index of external verification was 0.674 (95%CI:0.569 to 0.779). The calibration prediction curve was in good agreement with the reference curve. The results of the clinical decision curve showed that when the risk threshold of high lymph node metastasis in the nomogram was set to about 0.32,the maximum net benefit could be obtained by 0.11,and the cost/benefit ratio was 1â¶2. The results of clinical influence curve showed that when the risk threshold of high lymph node metastasis in the nomogram was set to about 0.6,the probability of correctly predicting lymph node metastasis could reach more than 90%. There was no significant difference in overall survival time between patients with high/low risk of lymph node metastasis assessed by the nomogram and those with pathologically confirmed lymph node metastasis or without lymph node metastasis (Log-rank test:P=0.082 and 0.510,respectively). Conclusion: The prediction accuracy of preoperative nomogram for ICC lymph node metastasis based on inflammation-related markers is satisfactory,which can be used as a supplementary method for preoperative diagnosis of lymph node metastasis and is helpful for clinicians to make personalized decision of lymph node dissection for patients with ICC.
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Objective: To explore the value of preoperative peripheral blood inflammatory biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after radical resection. Methods: A total of 124 patients who underwent radical resection for ICC in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was conducted to determine the best cut-off values of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune inflammatory index (SII), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI). Univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression model. Based on the independent prognostic factors screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis, a nomogram model of overall survival prediction for ICC patients after radical resection was established. Results: Among the 124 patients, 87 patients died and 37 patients survived during the follow-up period. The median overall survival time of the whole patients was 21 months. ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve (AUC) of NLR, PLR, LMR, SII and SIRI for predicting the overall survival of ICC patients after radical resection were 57.86%, 64.21%, 60.61%, 67.57% and 66.03%, respectively. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that the inflammatory biomarkers of NLR, PLR, SII, and SIRI were associated with overall survival of ICC after radical resection (HR=1.787, 95%CI: 1.165-2.741; HR=1.181, 95% CI: 1.224-2.892; HR=2.412, 95% CI: 1.565-3.717; HR=1.648, 95% CI: 1.081-2.513). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the inflammatory biomarker of SII was an independent prognostic factor of ICC after radical resection (HR=1.863, 95% CI: 1.161-2.989). According to the best cut-off value of SII to predict the overall survival of ICC patients after radical resection (709.86×10(9)/L), the patients were divided into low SII group (SII≤709.86×10(9)/L) and high SII group (SII>709.86×10(9)/L). In the high SII group, the proportions of NLR>3.31, PLR>3.31, SIRI>1.30×10(9)/L, carbohydrate antigen 19-9>39.0 U/ml, Child-Pugh liver function (grade B), hemi-hepatic/extended hepatectomy, combined perineural invasion, N1 stage and TNM stage (â ¢B) were higher than those in the low SII group (P<0.05). Based on the independent prognostic factors screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis, a nomogram model of overall survival prediction for ICC after radical resection was established, the C-index values of the training set and testing set were 0.774 and 0.737, respectively. Conclusions: Preoperative peripheral blood inflammatory marker SII is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients after radical resection. The nomogram model of overall survival prediction established that included SII has a good predictive ability and can be used to evaluate the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients after radical resection.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Humanos , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Inflamación , Colangiocarcinoma/cirugía , Linfocitos , Neutrófilos , Biomarcadores , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/cirugía , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/patología , Conductos Biliares Intrahepáticos/patologíaRESUMEN
Objective: To examine the correlation between perineural invasion and clinicopathological factors and the role of perineural invasion on the prognosis of patients with curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma. Methods: The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 548 patients with gallbladder carcinoma who underwent radical surgery from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. There were 173 males and 375 females,with age(M(IQR)) of 62(14)years(range:30 to 88 years). The correlations between perineural invasion and the clinicopathological features were analyzed. The relationship between prognosis and clinicopathological factors were further analyzed. The survival curve was drawn using the Kaplan-Meier method. The univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were done using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model respectively. Results: Radical resection was performed in 548 cases,including 59 cases(10.8%) with perineural invasion. The results of univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion was related to serum bilirubin level,serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) level,CA19-9 level,T stage,lymph node metastasis,liver invasion,vessel invasion and tumor location(all P<0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder were independent risk factors of perineural invasion in gallbladder carcinoma. Survival of 367 patients in T3-T4 stages were analyzed. The prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma patients with perineural invasion was significantly worse than that of patients without perineural invasion(median survival time:12.0 months vs. 34.7 months,P<0.01). Univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion,gallbladder stones,gallbladder polyps,CA125,CEA,CA19-9,serum bilirubin level,tumor location,N stage,liver invasion and pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). The results of Cox proportional hazard model showed that perineural invasion,N stage,liver invasion,gallbladder stones,pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). Conclusions: Jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder are independent risk factors for perineural invasion of gallbladder carcinoma. Perineural invasion is one of the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of T3-T4 stage gallbladder carcinoma.
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Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar , Bilirrubina , Antígeno CA-19-9 , Antígeno Carcinoembrionario , Femenino , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/patología , Humanos , Masculino , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Objective: To establish a survival prediction model based on the independent prognostic factors of long-term prognosis after laparoscopic liver resection(LLR) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC). Methods: The clinical and pathological data of 351 consecutive patients with ICC who received radical LLR in 13 Chinese medical centers from August 2010 to May 2021 were collected retrospectively. There were 190 males and 161 females,aged(M(IQR)) 61(14)years(range:23 to 93 years). The total cohort was randomly divided into a training dataset(264 cases) and a validation dataset(87 cases). The patients were followed up by outpatient service or telephone,and the deadline for follow-up was October 2021. Based on the training dataset,the multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to screen the independent influencing factors of long-term prognosis to construct a Nomogram model. The Nomogram model's discrimination,calibration,and clinical benefit were evaluated through internal and external validation,and an assessment of the overall value of two groups was made through the use of a receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve. Results: There was no significant difference in clinical and pathological characteristics and long-term survival results between the training and validation datasets(all P>0.05). The multivariate Cox analysis showed that CA19-9,CA125,conversion to laparotomy during laparoscopic surgery,and lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic factors for ICC patients after LLR(all P<0.05). The survival Nomogram was established based on the independent prognostic factors obtained from the above screening. The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve of 1, 3 and 5-year overall survival rates of patients in the training dataset were 0.794(95%CI:0.721 to 0.867),0.728(95%CI:0.618 to 0.839) and 0.799(95%CI:0.670 to 0.928),and those in the validation dataset were 0.787(95%CI:0.660 to 0.915),0.831(95%CI:0.678 to 0.983) and 0.810(95%CI:0.639 to 0.982). Internal and external validation proved that the model exhibited a certain discrimination,calibration,and clinical applicability. Conclusion: The survival Nomogram model based on the independent influencing factors of long-term prognosis after LLR for ICC(including CA19-9,CA125,conversion to laparotomy during laparoscopic surgery,and lymph node metastasis) exhibites a certain differentiation,calibration,and clinical practicability.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Laparoscopía , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/cirugía , Conductos Biliares Intrahepáticos/patología , Antígeno CA-19-9 , Colangiocarcinoma/diagnóstico , Femenino , Humanos , Metástasis Linfática , Masculino , Nomogramas , Pronóstico , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Objectives: To investigate the clinical value of adjuvant chemotherapy(ACT) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC) who underwent radical resection and to explore the optimal population that can benefit from ACT. Methods: A retrospective cohort study method was adopted. The clinical and pathological data of 685 patients with ICC who underwent curative intent resection in 10 Chinese hepatobiliary surgery centers from January 2010 to December 2018 were collected;There were 355 males and 330 females. The age(M(IQR)) was 58(14) years (range: 22 to 83 years). Propensity score matching(PSM) was applied to balance the differences between the adjuvant and non-adjuvant chemotherapy groups. Log-rank test was used to compare the prognosis of the two groups of patients. A Bayesian network recurrence-free survival(RFS) prediction model was constructed using the median RFS time (14 months) as the target variable, and the importance of the relevant prognostic factors was ranked according to the multistate Birnbaum importance calculation. A survival prognostic prediction table was established to analyze the population benefiting from adjuvant chemotherapy. Results: Among 685 patients,214 received ACT and 471 did not receive ACT. A total of 124 pairs of patients were included after PSM, and patients in the ACT group had better overall survival (OS) and RFS than those in the non-ACT group(OS: 32.2 months vs. 18.0 months,P=0.003;RFS:18.0 months vs. 10.0 months,P=0.001). The area under the curve of the Bayesian network RFS prediction model was 0.7124. The results of the prognostic factors in order of importance were microvascular invasion (0.158 2),perineural invasion (0.158 2),N stage (0.155 8),T stage (0.120 9), hepatic envelope invasion (0.090 3),adjuvant chemotherapy (0.072 1), tumor location (0.057 5), age (0.042 3), pathological differentiation (0.034 0), sex (0.029 3), alpha-fetoprotein (0.028 9) and preoperative jaundice (0.008 5). A survival prediction table based on the variables with importance greater than 0.1 (microvascular invasion,perineural invasion,N stage,T staging) and ACT showed that all patients benefited from ACT (increase in the probability of RFS≥14 months from 2.21% to 7.68%), with a more significant increase in the probability of RFS≥14 months after ACT in early-stage patients. Conclusion: ACT after radical resection in patients with ICC significantly prolongs the OS and RFS of patients, and the benefit of ACT is greater in early patients.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Teorema de Bayes , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/patología , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/cirugía , Conductos Biliares Intrahepáticos/patología , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Colangiocarcinoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Colangiocarcinoma/patología , Colangiocarcinoma/cirugía , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Pronóstico , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
We report the first observation of non-Markovian stochastic resonance (SR), and we discover that memory effects in the nonlinearity extremely enlarge the SR bandwidth. Our experimental system is an oil-filled microcavity which, driven by a continuous wave laser, has memory in its nonlinear optical response. Modulating the cavity length while adding noise to the driving laser, we observe a peak in the transmitted signal-to-noise ratio as a function of the noise variance. Through simulations, we reproduce our observations and extrapolate that the SR bandwidth could be â¼3000 times larger in our cavity than in a Kerr-nonlinear cavity. Experiments evidencing this memory-enhanced bandwidth across two decades are presented. As an extension of our results, we numerically demonstrate an order-of-magnitude enhancement in energy harvesting thanks to a nonlinearity with memory.
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BACKGROUND: Patients with plaque psoriasis treated with biologic therapies need more efficacious, safe and convenient treatments to improve quality of life. Risankizumab and secukinumab inhibit interleukin-23 and interleukin-17A, respectively, and are effective in adult patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis but have different dosing regimens. OBJECTIVES: To compare directly the efficacy and safety of risankizumab vs. secukinumab over 52 weeks. METHODS: IMMerge was an international, phase III, multicentre, open-label, efficacy-assessor-blinded, active-comparator study, in which adult patients with chronic, moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis were randomized in a 1 : 1 ratio to treatment with risankizumab 150 mg or secukinumab 300 mg. Primary efficacy endpoints were the proportions of patients achieving ≥ 90% improvement from baseline in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 90) at week 16 (noninferiority comparison with margin of 12%) and week 52 (superiority comparison). RESULTS: In total 327 patients from nine countries were treated with risankizumab (n = 164) or secukinumab (n = 163). Risankizumab was noninferior to secukinumab in the proportion of patients achieving PASI 90 at week 16 [73·8% vs. 65·6%; difference of 8·2%, 96·25% confidence interval (CI)-2·2 to 18·6; within the 12% noninferiority margin] and superior to secukinumab at week 52 (86·6% vs. 57·1%; difference of 29·8%, 95% CI 20·8-38·8; P < 0·001), thus meeting both primary endpoints. All secondary endpoints (PASI 100, static Physician's Global Assessment 0 or 1, and PASI 75) at week 52 demonstrated superiority for risankizumab vs. secukinumab (P < 0·001). No new safety concerns were identified. CONCLUSIONS: At week 52, risankizumab demonstrated superior efficacy and similar safety with less frequent dosing compared with secukinumab.
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Psoriasis , Calidad de Vida , Adulto , Anticuerpos Monoclonales , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados , Método Doble Ciego , Humanos , Psoriasis/tratamiento farmacológico , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Several clinician-rated scoring systems are available to assess nail psoriasis severity, but only one has been partially validated. OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate the Physician's Global Assessment of Fingernail Psoriasis (PGA-F), a new clinician-rated severity scale. METHODS: A literature review, concept elicitation, pilot cognitive debriefing and clinical expert consultations informed the development of the PGA-F. A multistage mixed-methods analysis consisted of practising dermatologist cognitive interviews (n = 10) for instrument clarity, relevance and comprehensiveness. Inter-rater reliability (IRR) of ratings from dermatologists (n = 22) and clinical trial investigators (n = 8) was tested using many-facet Rasch analysis. Concurrent validity between the PGA-F and modified Nail Psoriasis Severity Index (mNAPSI) at screening and baseline was assessed along with the degree of discrimination. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for single raters at multiple assessments determined IRR. RESULTS: The PGA-F synthesizes severity ratings across multiple disease features that classify individuals into 1 of 5 levels (clear to severe). Cognitive interviews confirmed content validity: all (n = 10, 100%) participants who agreed clinical criteria were consistent with nail psoriasis; no mismatched severity levels; and training photographs were realistic representations. All PGA-F items were locally independent and targeted patients along the severity continuum with complementary precision (item fit statistics: < the 1.5 acceptability threshold; exact agreements among the dermatologists [44%] and trial investigators [61.5%] exceeded 40% of acceptability threshold). Clinician reliability exceeded the threshold of acceptability for dermatologists and clinical trial investigators: 0.85 and 0.73, respectively. There was adequate correlation (>0.30) between mNAPSI and PGA-F at baseline and Week 26 with significant discrimination of severity and monotonic increases in the mNAPSI for each level of categorical severity on the PGA-F. ICC results for each type of IRR indicate that clinicians were consistent in individual patient ratings. CONCLUSION: The PGA-F is a rapid, valid and reliable clinician-rated severity scale for use in clinical practice and research.
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Médicos , Psoriasis , Humanos , Uñas , Psoriasis/diagnóstico , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
1. The objectives of the present study were to investigate the complete mitochondrial genome, genetic diversity and maternal origin of Huainan Partridge chicken (HPC).2. One complete mitochondrial genome and 37 complete D-loop regions of HPC were sequenced. Moreover, 400 mitochondrial genome D-loop sequences of Chinese native chicken were downloaded from the National Centre for Biotechnology Information database.3. The complete HPC genome was 16,785 bp in size, including 22 tRNA genes, two rRNA genes, 13 protein-coding genes and one non-coding control region. The haplotype diversity and nucleotide diversity of HPC were 0.964, and 0.00615, respectively. Twenty-three variable sites defining 22 haplotypes were identified, and the 22 haplotypes were distributed into three haplogroups (A, B, and C).4. In conclusion, HPC has a typical vertebrate mitochondrial genome, relatively high haplotype diversity, relatively low nucleotide diversity, and potentially three maternal lineages. HPC showed considerable genetic information exchange with Southwest Chinese chicken populations and had not admixed with European commercial breeds in the course of domestication.
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Genoma Mitocondrial , Animales , Pollos/genética , ADN Mitocondrial/genética , Variación Genética , Haplotipos , FilogeniaRESUMEN
Objective: To explore the value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio index (GPRI) for predicting the prognosis of patients with HBV-related intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after radical resection. Methods: The data of 79 patients who underwent radical resection for HBV-related ICC in the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 48(60.8%) patients were male and 31 (39.2%) patients were female, (56.9±11.2) years old. X-Tile statistical software was used to determine the best cut-off values of NLR and GPRI. The χ2 test was conducted to analyze the relationship between preoperative NLR and GPRI and the clinicopathological characteristics, and the Cox proportional hazard regression model was conducted for multivariate analysis. A nomogram prognostic prediction model was established based on independent risk factors screened by Cox regression model. Results: The best cut-off values of NLR and GPRI were 3.13 and 1.31 determined by the X-Tile software, respectively. With the best cut-off value, 79 patients were divided into NLR≤3.13 group (45 cases) and NLR>3.13 group (34 cases). GPRI≤1.31 group (54 cases) and GPRI>1.31 group (25 cases). Compared with the preoperative NLR ≤3.13 group, the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis and atrophy, poor pathological differentiation, tumor diameter>5 cm and late TNM stage was significantly increased in the NLR>3.13 group (all P<0.05); Compared with preoperative GPRI ≤1.31 group, the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis and atrophy was significantly increased in the GPRI>1.31 group (P=0.025). The postoperative overall survival time of the included patients was 2 to 126 months, with the median survival time being 18 months, and the 1, 3-year overall survival rates were 63.3%, 32.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that NLR, GPRI, liver cirrhosis and atrophy, and lymphatic metastasis were independent risk factors affecting the overall survival of patients with HBV-related ICC after radical resection (P<0.05). A nomogram prediction model was established based on independent risk factors, with the C-index of 0.750, and the prediction effect was close to the actual survival outcome of the patients. Conclusion: Preoperative peripheral blood NLR and GPRI can be used to predict the prognosis of patients with HBV-related ICC after radical resection.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Anciano , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/cirugía , Conductos Biliares Intrahepáticos , Colangiocarcinoma/cirugía , Femenino , Virus de la Hepatitis B , Humanos , Linfocitos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neutrófilos , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , gamma-GlutamiltransferasaRESUMEN
Objective: To evaluate the related factors of gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia(GBIN) and establish the prediction models for gallstones related GBIN. Methods: The clinicopathological data of 750 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for gallstones at Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2018 and the postoperative pathological examination showed chronic cholecystitis or GBIN were analyzed retrospectively,including 150 cases of gallstones with GBIN and 600 cases of gallstones with chronic cholecystitis.There were 264 males and 486 females with age of (51.3±14.5) years (range: 18 to 90 years).The related factors for gallstones related GBIN were screened by χ2 test and Logistic regression model,and the prediction models were established based on independent related factors and internal validation was conducted.The original data were randomly divided into a training cohort(526 cases) and a validation cohort(224 cases) at a ratio of 7â¶3,and the nomogram and tree augmented naïve Bayes were conducted to establish the prediction model for gallstones related GBIN.The consistency index(C-index),calibration chart,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) and confusion matrix were used to evaluate the prediction performance of the two models. Results: Univariate analysis showed that age,gallstones history(years),gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,whether the gallbladder wall thickened or not,gallstones diameter,and number of gallstones were related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN (χ²=19.957,8.599,9.724,9.301,8.341,15.288,9.169,all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that age (OR=2.23,95%CI:1.50-3.31,P<0.01),gallbladder size (OR=2.11,95%CI:1.17-3.80,P=0.013),whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not (OR=1.80,95%CI=1.13-2.88,P=0.014),gallstones diameter(OR=2.98,95%CI:1.71-5.21,P<0.01),and number of gallstones (OR=2.14,95%CI=1.34-3.42,P<0.01) were independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN; the C-index of the nomogram in training cohort and validation cohort were 0.708 and 0.696,respectively.The AUC of the two models in training cohort were 70.60% and 70.73%,and in validation cohort were 68.14% and 67.47%,respectively.The accuracy of the two models in training cohort were 69.96% and 70.72%,and in validation cohort were 66.96% and 67.41%,respectively. Conclusion: Age,gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,gallstones diameter and number of gallstones are independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN,and the nomogram and tree augmented naïve Bayes prediction models based on the above factors can be used to predict the occurrence of GBIN.
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Objective: To examine a survival prognostic model applicable for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) based on Bayesian network. Methods: The clinical and pathological data of ICC patients who underwent curative intent resection in ten Chinese hepatobiliary surgery centers from January 2010 to December 2018 were collected.A total of 516 patients were included in the study.There were 266 males and 250 females.The median age(M(QR)) was 58(14) years.One hundred and sixteen cases (22.5%) with intrahepatic bile duct stones,and 143 cases (27.7%) with chronic viral hepatitis.The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis.The univariate and multivariate analysis were implemented respectively using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model.One-year survival prediction models based on tree augmented naive Bayesian (TAN) and naïve Bayesian algorithm were established by Bayesialab software according to different variables,a nomogram model was also developed based on the independent predictors.The receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the prediction effect of the models. Results: The overall median survival time was 25.0 months,and the 1-,3-and 5-year cumulative survival rates was 76.6%,37.9%,and 21.0%,respectively.Univariate analysis showed that gender,preoperative jaundice,pathological differentiation,vascular invasion,microvascular invasion,liver capsule invasion,T staging,N staging,margin,intrahepatic bile duct stones,carcinoembryonic antigen,and CA19-9 affected the prognosis(χ2=5.858-54.974, all P<0.05).The Cox multivariate model showed that gender,pathological differentiation,liver capsule invasion,T stage,N stage,intrahepatic bile duct stones,and CA19-9 were the independent predictive factors(all P<0.05). The AUC of the TAN model based on all 19 clinicopathological factors was 74.5%,and the AUC of the TAN model based on the 12 prognostic factors derived from univariate analysis was 74.0%,the AUC of the naïve Bayesian model based on 7 independent prognostic risk factors was 79.5%,the AUC and C-index of the nomogram survival prediction model based on 7 independent prognostic risk factors were 78.8% and 0.73,respectively. Conclusion: The Bayesian network model may provide a relatively accurate prognostic prediction for ICC patients after curative intent resection and performed superior to the nomogram model.
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We investigate, experimentally and theoretically, the dynamics of a laser-driven cavity with noninstantaneous effective photon-photon interactions. Scanning the laser-cavity frequency detuning at different speeds across an optical bistability, we find a hysteresis area that is a nonmonotonic function of the speed. In the limit of fast scans comparable to the memory time of the interactions, we demonstrate that the hysteresis area decays following a universal power law with scaling exponent -1. We further demonstrate a regime of non-Markovian dynamics emerging from white noise. This regime is evidenced by peaked distributions of residence times in the metastable states of our system. Our results offer new perspectives for exploring the physics of scaling, universality, and metastability, in non-Markovian regimes using arrays of bistable optical cavities with low quality factors, driven by low laser powers, and at room temperature.
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BACKGROUND: Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) is a chronic skin disease characterized by inflammatory lesions that flare unpredictably. The impact of weekly adalimumab (ADAew) on HS flare is not well-characterized. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of disease flare on health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in moderate-to-severe HS patients and to determine the effect of ADAew on disease flare using integrated data from two phase 3 trials over 36 weeks. METHODS: In period A (12 weeks), Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) score change from baseline was compared in patients who flared and those who did not, regardless of treatment. The proportion of patients experiencing flare, duration of flare and time to flare was evaluated for ADAew vs. placebo (PBO). In period B (24 weeks), proportion of patients experiencing flare who received continuous ADAew treatment through 36 weeks was assessed. RESULTS: HRQOL was markedly improved among those who did not experience flare. In period A, the proportion of patients who experienced flare was significantly lower with ADAew vs. PBO (12.3% vs. 35.3%, P < 0.001). ADAew patients also had longer time to first flare (101 days vs. 57 days; P < 0.001) and shorter flare duration (18.9 days vs. 32.0 days, respectively; P = 0.001) vs. PBO. Through 36 weeks of treatment, 20.2% of ADAew patients flared, and for those who achieved at least a partial clinical response to ADAew at 12 weeks, only 5.7% flared. CONCLUSIONS: Flare reduction is an important measure in HS that correlates with clinically meaningful improvement in HRQOL. ADAew reduces HS flare through 12 and subsequent 36 weeks of treatment.
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Hidradenitis Supurativa , Adalimumab/uso terapéutico , Antiinflamatorios/uso terapéutico , Hidradenitis Supurativa/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Brote de los Síntomas , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence of postoperative vocal cord immobility in patients following endotracheal intubation underwent general anesthesia. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled patients who underwent surgical procedures with endotracheal intubation under general anesthesia from January 2014 to December 2018 in Peking University First Hospital. Demographic and treatment data were obtained for patients with hoarseness and vocal cord fixation. The incidence of postoperative hoarseness and vocal cord fixation were presented and clinical outcomes were further analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 85 998 patients following tracheal intubation and general anesthesia were enrolled in this study. Hoarseness was observed in 222 (0.26%) patients postoperatively. Sixteen patients (73%) were accomplished with symptoms of choking on water, dysphonia and sore throat. Twenty-nine patients with persistent hoarseness on the third postoperative day needed further treatment by otolaryngologists. Among them, seven patients had pharyngolaryngitis and twenty-two patients (0.026%) were demonstrated postoperative vocal cord immobility. There were seventeen patients (77%) with left-side vocal cord fixation and five patients (23%) with right-side vocal cord fixation. Nine patients were identified with arytenoid dislocation. Seven patients had left vocal cord fixation and two patients had right-side vocal cord fixation. Seven patients were intubated under the guidance of visual laryngoscope. One patient was confirmed difficult airway and intubated with light wand. One patient was inserted with laryngeal mask airway. One patient was suspected to have hoarseness caused by gastric tube before anesthesia. One patient showed simultaneously left recurrent laryngeal nerve abnormality on laryngeal electromyography result. The symptom of hoarseness ranged between 6 and 31 days. Three patients underwent closed reduction under local anesthesia and one patient demonstrated spontaneous recovery. Among the remaining thirteen patients with vocal cord immobility, two patients were demonstrated vocal cord paralysis. Eleven patients underwent neck surgery, thyroid surgery and cardiothoracic surgery and further examinations including laryn-geal electromyography and computed tomography help to determine the diagnosis were not performed. All patients were treated with inhaled corticosteroid conservatively. Five patients had significant improvement of symptom and almost regained normal voice. One patient had slight improvement and sixteen patients were not relieved before discharge. CONCLUSION: Patients with hoarseness and vocal fold immobility after endotracheal intubation should be treated properly and immediately.