Predictors of Readmission Following Treatment for Traumatic Hemothorax.

INTRODUCTION: Retained-hemothorax after trauma can be associated with prolonged hospitalization, empyema, pneumonia, readmission, and the need for additional intervention. The purpose of this study is to reduce patient morbidity associated with retained-hemothorax by defining readmission rates and identifying predictors of readmission after traumatic hemothorax. METHODS: The Nationwide Readmission Database for 2017 was queried for patients with an index admission for traumatic hemothorax during the first 9 mo of the year. Deaths during the index admission were excluded. Data collected includes demographics, injury mechanism, outcomes and interventions including chest tube, video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery, and thoracotomy. Chest-related readmissions (CRR) were defined as hemothorax, pleural effusion, pyothorax, and lung abscess. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to identify predictors of readmission. RESULTS: There were 13,903 patients admitted during the study period with a mean age of 53 ± 21, 75.2% were admitted after blunt versus 18.3% penetrating injury. The overall 90-day readmission rate was 20.8% (n = 2896). The 90-day CRR rate was 5.7% (n = 794), with 80.5% of these occurring within 30 d. Of all CRR, 62.3% (n = 495) required an intervention (chest tube 72.7%, Thoracotomy 26.9%, video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery 0.4%). Mortality for CRR was 6.2%. Predictors for CRR were age >50, pyothorax or pleural effusion during the index admission and discharge to another healthcare facility or skilled nursing facility. CONCLUSIONS: Majority of CRR after traumatic hemothorax occur within 30 d of discharge and frequently require invasive intervention. These findings can be used to improve post discharge follow-up and monitoring.

Outcomes and risk factors for delayed-onset postoperative respiratory failure: a multi-center case-control study by the University of California Critical Care Research Collaborative (UC3RC).

BACKGROUND: Few interventions are known to reduce the incidence of respiratory failure that occurs following elective surgery (postoperative respiratory failure; PRF). We previously reported risk factors associated with PRF that occurs within the first 5 days after elective surgery (early PRF; E-PRF); however, PRF that occurs six or more days after elective surgery (late PRF; L-PRF) likely represents a different entity. We hypothesized that L-PRF would be associated with worse outcomes and different risk factors than E-PRF. METHODS: This was a retrospective matched case-control study of 59,073 consecutive adult patients admitted for elective non-cardiac and non-pulmonary surgical procedures at one of five University of California academic medical centers between October 2012 and September 2015. We identified patients with L-PRF, confirmed by surgeon and intensivist subject matter expert review, and matched them 1:1 to patients who did not develop PRF (No-PRF) based on hospital, age, and surgical procedure. We then analyzed risk factors and outcomes associated with L-PRF compared to E-PRF and No-PRF. RESULTS: Among 95 patients with L-PRF, 50.5% were female, 71.6% white, 27.4% Hispanic, and 53.7% Medicare recipients; the median age was 63 years (IQR 56, 70). Compared to 95 matched patients with No-PRF and 319 patients who developed E-PRF, L-PRF was associated with higher morbidity and mortality, longer hospital and intensive care unit length of stay, and increased costs. Compared to No-PRF, factors associated with L-PRF included: preexisiting neurologic disease (OR 4.36, 95% CI 1.81-10.46), anesthesia duration per hour (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.04-1.44), and maximum intraoperative peak inspiratory pressure per cm H20 (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.06-1.22). CONCLUSIONS: We identified that pre-existing neurologic disease, longer duration of anesthesia, and greater maximum intraoperative peak inspiratory pressures were associated with respiratory failure that developed six or more days after elective surgery in adult patients (L-PRF). Interventions targeting these factors may be worthy of future evaluation.

Emergency General Surgery and the Gallbladder: The Affordable Care Act's Impact on Practice Patterns.

BACKGROUND: Gallbladder disease frequently requires emergency general surgery (EGS). The Affordable Care Act (ACA) mandated health insurance coverage for all with the intent to improve access to care and decrease morbidity, mortality, and costs. We hypothesize that after the ACA open-enrollment in 2014 the number of EGS cholecystectomies decreased as access to care improved with a shift in EGS cholecystectomies to teaching institutions. METHODS: A retrospective review of the National Inpatient Sample Database from 2012 to quarter 3 of 2015 was performed. Patients age 18-64, with a nonelective admission for gallbladder disease based on ICD-9 codes, were collected. Outcomes measured included cholecystectomy, complications, mortality, and wage index-adjusted costs. The effect of the ACA was determined by comparing preACA to postACA years. RESULTS: 189,023 patients were identified. In the postACA period the payer distribution for admissions decreased for Self-pay (19.3% to 13.6%, P < 0.001), Medicaid increased (26.3% to 34.0%, P < 0.001) and Private insurance was unchanged (48.6% to 48.7%, P = 0.946). PostACA, admissions to teaching hospitals increased across all payer types, EGS cholecystectomies decreased, while complications increased, and mortality was unchanged. Median costs increased significantly for Medicaid and Private insurance while Self-pay was unchanged. Based on adjusted DID analyses for Insured compared to Self-pay patients, EGS cholecystectomies decreased (-2.7% versus -1.21%, P = 0.033) and median cost increased more rapidly (+$625 versus +$166, P = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: The ACA has changed EGS, shifting the majority of patients to teaching institutions despite insurance type and decreasing the need for EGS cholecystectomy. The trend toward higher complication rate with increased overall cost requires attention.

Methamphetamine Use is Associated with Increased Surgical Site Infections after Trauma Laparotomy.

BACKGROUND: Methamphetamine (METH) use causes significant vasoconstriction, which can be severe enough to cause bowel ischemia. Methamphetamines have also been shown to alter the immune response. These effects could predispose METH users to poor wound healing, increased infections, and other post-operative complications. We hypothesized that METH users would have longer length of stay and higher rates of complications compared to non-METH users. METHODS: The trauma registry for our urban Level 1 trauma center was searched for patients that received an exploratory laparotomy from 2016 to 2019. A total 204 patients met criteria and 52 (25.5%) were METH positive. Length of stay (LOS), ventilator days, abbreviated injury scale (AIS), and wound class were compared using nonparametric statistics. Age and injury severity score (ISS) were compared using a Student's t-test. A Chi Square or Fisher's Exact test was used to compare sex, mechanism of injury, and rates of infectious complications. RESULTS: Methamphetamine-positive patients had a significantly higher rate of surgical site infections (7.4% versus 0%, P = 0.001). Patients that developed surgical site infection had equivalent rates of smoking and diabetes, as well as equivalent abdominal AIS and wound class compared to those who did not develop surgical site infection. Hospital and ICU LOS, ventilator days, ISS, and mortality were equivalent between METH positive and negative patients. Rates of other infectious complications were the same between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Methamphetamine use is associated with an increased rate of surgical site infection after trauma laparotomy. Other serious complications and mortality were not affected by METH use.

Risk Factors Associated With Early Postoperative Respiratory Failure: A Matched Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative respiratory failure is the most common serious postoperative pulmonary complication, yet little is known about factors that can reduce its incidence. We sought to elucidate modifiable factors associated with respiratory failure that developed within the first 5 d after an elective operation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Matched case-control study of adults who had an operation at five academic medical centers between October 1, 2012 and September 30, 2015. Cases were identified using administrative data and confirmed via chart review by critical care clinicians. Controls were matched 1:1 to cases based on hospital, age, and surgical procedure. RESULTS: Our total sample (n = 638) was 56.4% female, 71.3% white, and had a median age of 62 y (interquartile range 51, 70). Factors associated with early postoperative respiratory failure included male gender (odds ratio [OR] 1.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-2.63), American Society of Anesthesiologists class III or greater (OR 2.85, 95% CI 1.74-4.66), greater number of preexisting comorbidities (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.004-1.30), increased operative duration (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.06-1.22), increased intraoperative positive end-expiratory pressure (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.13-1.35) and tidal volume (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.004-1.27), and greater net fluid balance at 24 h (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.07-1.28). CONCLUSIONS: We found greater intraoperative ventilator volume and pressure and 24-h fluid balance to be potentially modifiable factors associated with developing early postoperative respiratory failure. Further studies are warranted to independently verify these risk factors, explore their role in development of early postoperative respiratory failure, and potentially evaluate targeted interventions.

The Effects of Cross-Border Transport on Patients With Tibia Fractures.

BACKGROUND: Tibia fractures are common after trauma. Prior studies have shown that delays in treatment are associated with poor outcomes. A subpopulation of our patients are transported from Mexico, adding barriers to prompt care. We hypothesized that patients with tibia fractures crossing from Mexico would have delays in treatment and subsequently worse outcomes. METHODS: The trauma registry of an American College of Surgeons-verified level 1 trauma center was retrospectively reviewed for all tibia fractures admitted from 2010 to 2015. Data collection included demographics, country of injury, characterization of injuries, interventions, complications, and outcomes. Patients were subdivided into those injured in the United States and in Mexico, and the two groups were compared. RESULTS: A total of 498 patients were identified, 440 from the United States and 58 from Mexico. Mexico patients were more severely injured overall, with higher injury severity scores and a higher percentage of patients with abbreviated injury scale scores ≥3 for both head and chest regions. Mexico patients had longer times from injury to admission, as well as increased times to both debridement of open fractures and operative fixation after admission. On subgroup analysis of patients with isolated tibia fractures (other system abbreviated injury scale < 3), times from arrival to treatment and injury severity score were no longer statistically different. CONCLUSIONS: Patients crossing the border from Mexico with tibia fractures have delays in time to admission and from admission to operative management, although this is primarily due to other severe injuries. Ongoing systems development is required to minimize delays in care and optimize outcomes.

Readmissions After Acute Hospitalization for Traumatic Brain Injury.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is associated with functional deficits, impaired cognition, and medical complications that continue well after the initial injury. Many patients seek medical care at other health care facilities after discharge, rather than returning to the admitting trauma center, making assessment of readmission rates and readmission diagnoses difficult to determine. The objective of this study was to determine the incidence and factors associated with readmission to any acute care hospital after an index admission for TBI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Nationwide Readmission Database was queried for all patients admitted with a TBI during the first 3 mo of 2015. Nonelective readmissions for this population were then collected for the remainder of 2015. Patients who died during the index admission were excluded. Demographic data, injury mechanism, type of TBI, the number of readmissions, days from discharge to readmission, readmission diagnosis, and mortality were studied. RESULTS: Of the 15,277 patients with an index admission for TBI, 5296 patients (35%) required at least 1 readmission. Forty percent of readmissions occurred within the first 30 d after discharge from the index trauma admission. The most common primary diagnosis on readmission was SDH, followed by septicemia, urinary tract infection, and aspiration. Readmission rates increased with age, with 75% of readmissions occurring in patients aged >65 y. Initial discharge to a skilled nursing facility (Relative Risk [RR], 1.60) or leaving the hospital against medical advice (RR, 1.59) increased the risk of readmission. Patients with fall as their mechanism of injury and a subdural hematoma were more likely to require readmission compared with other types of mechanisms with TBI (RR, 1.59 and RR, 1.21, respectively; P < 0.001). Notably, the first readmission was to a different hospital for 39.5% of patients and 46.9% of patients had admissions to at least one facility outside that of their original presentation. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital readmission is common for patients discharged after TBI. Elderly patients who fall with resultant subdural hematoma are at especially high risk for complications and readmission. Understanding potentially preventable causes for readmission can be used to guide discharge planning pathways to decrease morbidity in this patient population.

Venous thromboembolism risk after spinal cord injury: A secondary analysis of the CLOTT study.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with spinal cord injury (SCI) are at high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis (VTEppx) is frequently delayed in patients with SCI because of concerns for bleeding risk. Here, we hypothesized that delaying VTEppx until >48 hours would be associated with increased risk of thrombotic events. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of the 2018 to 2020 prospective, observational, cohort Consortium of Leaders in the Study of Traumatic Thromboembolism (CLOTT) study of patients aged 18 to 40 years, at 17 US level 1 trauma centers. Patients admitted for >48 hours with documented SCI were evaluated. Timing of initiation of VTEppx, rates of thrombotic events (deep vein thrombosis [DVT] and pulmonary embolism [PE]), and missed VTEppx doses were analyzed. The primary outcome was VTE (DVT + PE). RESULTS: There were 343 patients with SCI. The mean ± SD age was 29.0 ± 6.6 years, 77.3% were male, and 78.7% sustained blunt mechanism. Thrombotic events occurred in 33 patients (9.6%): 30 DVTs (8.7%) and 3 PEs (0.9%). Venous thromboembolism prophylaxis started at ≤24 hours in 21.3% of patients and 49.3% at ≤48 hours. The rate of VTE for patients started on VTEppx ≤48 hours was 7.1% versus 12.1% if started after 48 hours ( p = 0.119). After adjusting for differences in risk factors between cohorts, starting ≤48 hours was independently associated with fewer VTEs (odds ratio, 0.45; 95% confidence interval, 0.101-0.978; p = 0.044). Unfractionated heparin was associated with a VTE rate of 21.0% versus 7.5% in those receiving enoxaparin as prophylaxis ( p = 0.003). Missed doses of VTEppx were common (29.7%) and associated with increased thrombotic events, although this was not significant on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Rates of thrombotic events in patients with SCI are high. Prompt initiation of VTEppx with enoxaparin and efforts aimed at avoiding missed doses are critical to limit thrombotic events in these high-risk patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.

One size does not fit all: Sex bias in pharmacologic venous thromboembolism prophylaxis.

BACKGROUND: The optimal enoxaparin dosing strategy to achieve venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis in trauma patients remains unclear. Current dosing guidelines often include weight, age, and renal function but still fail to achieve appropriate prophylactic anti-Xa levels in many patients. We hypothesized that additional patient factors influence anti-Xa response to enoxaparin in trauma patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective review of patients admitted to a Level 1 trauma center for ≥4 days from July 2015 to September 2020, who received enoxaparin VTE prophylaxis per protocol (50-59 kg, 30 mg/dose; 60-99 kg, 40 mg/dose; ≥100 kg, 50 mg/dose; all doses every 12 hours) and had an appropriately timed peak anti-Xa level. Multivariate regression was performed to identify independent predictors of prophylactic anti-Xa levels (0.2-0.4 IU/mL) upon first measurement. RESULTS: The cohort (N = 1,435) was 76.4% male, with a mean ± SD age of 49.9 ± 20.0 years and a mean ± SD weight of 82.5 ± 20.2 kg (males, 85.2 kg; females, 73.7 kg; p <0.001). Overall, 68.6% of patients (n = 984) had a prophylactic anti-Xa level on first assessment (69.6% of males, 65.1% of females). Males were more likely to have a subprophylactic level than females (22.1% vs. 8.0%, p <0.001), whereas females were more likely to have supraprophylactic levels than males (26.9% vs. 8.3%, p < 0.001). When controlling for creatinine clearance, anti-Xa level was independently associated with dose-to-weight ratio (odds ratio, 0.191 for 0.5 mg/kg; p < 0.001; confidence interval, 0.151-0.230) and female sex (odds ratio, 0.060; p < 0.001; confidence interval, 0.047-0.072). Weight and age were not significant when controlling for the other factors. CONCLUSION: Male patients have a decreased anti-Xa response to enoxaparin when compared with female patients, leading to a greater incidence of subprophylactic anti-Xa levels in male patients at all dose-to-weight ratios. To improve the accuracy of VTE chemoprophylaxis, sex should be considered as a variable in enoxaparin dosing models. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic/Care Management; Level III.

Characterizing the frequency, morbidity, and types of traumatic brain injuries after the Mexico-San Diego border wall extension: a retrospective cohort review.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of the US-Mexico border wall height extension on traumatic brain injuries (TBIs) and related costs. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, patients who presented to the UC San Diego Health Trauma Center for injuries from falling at the border wall between 2016 and 2021 were considered. Patients in the pre-height extension period (January 2016-May 2018) were compared with those in the post-height extension period (January 2020-December 2021). Demographic characteristics, clinical data, and hospital charges were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 383 patients were identified: 51 (0 TBIs, 68.6% male) in the pre-height extension cohort and 332 (14 TBIs, 77.1% male) in the post-height extension cohort, with mean ages of 33.5 and 31.5 years, respectively. There was an increase in the average number of TBIs per month (0.0 to 0.34) and operative TBIs per month (0.0 to 0.12). TBIs were associated with increased Injury Severity Score (8.8 vs 24.2, p < 0.001), median (IQR) hospital length of stay (5.0 [2-11] vs 8.5 [4-45] days, p = 0.03), and median (IQR) hospital charges ($163,490 [$86,369-$277,918] vs $243,658 [$136,769-$1,127,920], p = 0.04). TBIs were normalized for changing migration rates on the basis of Customs and Border Protection apprehensions. CONCLUSIONS: This heightened risk of intracranial injury among vulnerable immigrant populations poses ethical and economic concerns to be addressed regarding border wall infrastructure.

Prospective validation and application of the Trauma-Specific Frailty Index: Results of an American Association for the Surgery of Trauma multi-institutional observational trial.

BACKGROUND: The frailty index is a known predictor of adverse outcomes in geriatric patients. Trauma-Specific Frailty Index (TSFI) was created and validated at a single center to accurately identify frailty and reliably predict worse outcomes among geriatric trauma patients. This study aims to prospectively validate the TSFI in a multi-institutional cohort of geriatric trauma patients. METHODS: This is a prospective, observational, multi-institutional trial across 17 American College of Surgeons Levels I, II, and III trauma centers. All geriatric trauma patients (65 years and older) presenting during a 3-year period were included. Frailty status was measured within 24 hours of admission using the TSFI (15 variables), and patients were stratified into nonfrail (TSFI, ≤0.12), prefrail (TSFI, 0.13-0.25), and frail (TSFI, >0.25) groups. Outcome measures included index admission mortality, discharge to rehabilitation centers or skilled nursing facilities (rehab/SNFs), and 3-month postdischarge readmissions, fall recurrences, complications, and mortality among survivors of index admission. RESULTS: A total of 1,321 geriatric trauma patients were identified and enrolled for validation of TSFI (nonfrail, 435 [33%]; prefrail, 392 [30%]; frail, 494 [37%]). The mean ± SD age was 77 ± 8 years; the median (interquartile range) Injury Severity Score was 9 (5-13). Overall, 179 patients (14%) had a major complication, 554 (42%) were discharged to rehab/SNFs, and 63 (5%) died during the index admission. Compared with nonfrail patients, frail patients had significantly higher odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.93; p = 0.018), major complications (aOR, 3.55; p < 0.001), and discharge to rehab/SNFs (aOR, 1.98; p < 0.001). In addition, frailty was significantly associated with higher adjusted odds of mortality, major complications, readmissions, and fall recurrence at 3 months postdischarge ( p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: External applicability of the TSFI (15 variables) was evident at a multicenter cohort of 17 American College of Surgeons trauma centers in geriatric trauma patients. The TSFI emerged as an independent predictor of worse outcomes, both in the short-term and 3-month postdischarge. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.

A Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator-Derived Predictive Model for Postoperative Respiratory Failure in a Heterogeneous Adult Elective Surgery Patient Population.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative respiratory failure (PRF) is associated with increased hospital charges and worse patient outcomes. Reliable prediction models can help to guide postoperative planning to optimize care, to guide resource allocation, and to foster shared decision-making with patients. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can a predictive model be developed to accurately identify patients at high risk of PRF? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In this single-site proof-of-concept study, we used structured query language to extract, transform, and load electronic health record data from 23,999 consecutive adult patients admitted for elective surgery (2014-2021). Our primary outcome was PRF, defined as mechanical ventilation after surgery of > 48 h. Predictors of interest included demographics, comorbidities, and intraoperative factors. We used logistic regression to build a predictive model and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator procedure to select variables and to estimate model coefficients. We evaluated model performance using optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating curve and area under the precision-recall curve and calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and Brier scores. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-five patients (0.94%) demonstrated PRF. The 18-variable predictive model included: operations on the cardiovascular, nervous, digestive, urinary, or musculoskeletal system; surgical specialty orthopedic (nonspine); Medicare or Medicaid (as the primary payer); race unknown; American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥ III; BMI of 30 to 34.9 kg/m2; anesthesia duration (per hour); net fluid at end of the operation (per liter); median intraoperative FIO2, end title CO2, heart rate, and tidal volume; and intraoperative vasopressor medications. The optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating curve was 0.835 (95% CI,0.808-0.862) and the area under the precision-recall curve was 0.156 (95% CI, 0.105-0.203). INTERPRETATION: This single-center proof-of-concept study demonstrated that a structured query language extract, transform, and load process, based on readily available patient and intraoperative variables, can be used to develop a prediction model for PRF. This PRF prediction model is scalable for multicenter research. Clinical applications include decision support to guide postoperative level of care admission and treatment decisions.

Not so FAST-Chest ultrasound underdiagnoses traumatic pneumothorax.

BACKGROUND: Ultrasonography for trauma is a widely used tool in the initial evaluation of trauma patients with complete ultrasonography of trauma (CUST) demonstrating equivalence to computed tomography (CT) for detecting clinically significant abdominal hemorrhage. Initial reports demonstrated high sensitivity of CUST for the bedside diagnosis of pneumothorax. We hypothesized that the sensitivity of CUST would be greater than initial supine chest radiograph (CXR) for detecting pneumothorax. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients diagnosed with pneumothorax from 2018 through 2020 at a Level I trauma center was performed. Patients included had routine supine CXR and CUST performed prior to intervention as well as confirmatory CT imaging. All CUST were performed during the initial evaluation in the trauma bay by a registered sonographer. All imaging was evaluated by an attending radiologist. Subgroup analysis was performed after excluding occult pneumothorax. Immediate tube thoracostomy was defined as tube placement with confirmatory CXR within 8 hours of admission. RESULTS: There were 568 patients screened with a diagnosis of pneumothorax, identifying 362 patients with a confirmed pneumothorax in addition to CXR, CUST, and confirmatory CT imaging. The population was 83% male, had a mean age of 45 years, with 85% presenting due to blunt trauma. Sensitivity of CXR for detecting pneumothorax was 43%, while the sensitivity of CUST was 35%. After removal of occult pneumothorax (n = 171), CXR was 78% sensitive, while CUST was 65% sensitive (p < 0.01). In this subgroup, CUST had a false-negative rate of 36% (n = 62). Of those patients with a false-negative CUST, 50% (n = 31) underwent tube thoracostomy, with 85% requiring immediate placement. CONCLUSION: Complete ultrasonography of trauma performed on initial trauma evaluation had lower sensitivity than CXR for identification of pneumothorax including clinically significant pneumothorax requiring tube thoracostomy. Using CUST as the primary imaging modality in the initial evaluation of chest trauma should be considered with caution. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Test study, Level IV.

Electronic health record machine learning model predicts trauma inpatient mortality in real time: A validation study.

INTRODUCTION: Patient outcome prediction models are underused in clinical practice because of lack of integration with real-time patient data. The electronic health record (EHR) has the ability to use machine learning (ML) to develop predictive models. While an EHR ML model has been developed to predict clinical deterioration, it has yet to be validated for use in trauma. We hypothesized that the Epic Deterioration Index (EDI) would predict mortality and unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission in trauma patients. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a trauma registry was used to identify patients admitted to a level 1 trauma center for >24 hours from October 2019 to July 2020. We evaluated the performance of the EDI, which is constructed from 125 objective patient measures within the EHR, in predicting mortality and unplanned ICU admissions. We performed a 5 to 1 match on age because it is a major component of EDI, then examined the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and benchmarked it against Injury Severity Score (ISS) and new injury severity score (NISS). RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 1,325 patients admitted with a mean age of 52.5 years and 91% following blunt injury. The in-hospital mortality rate was 2%, and unplanned ICU admission rate was 2.6%. In predicting mortality, the maximum EDI within 24 hours of admission had an AUROC of 0.98 compared with 0.89 of ISS and 0.91 of NISS. For unplanned ICU admission, the EDI slope within 24 hours of ICU admission had a modest performance with an AUROC of 0.66. CONCLUSION: Epic Deterioration Index appears to perform strongly in predicting in-patient mortality similarly to ISS and NISS. In addition, it can be used to predict unplanned ICU admissions. This study helps validate the use of this real-time EHR ML-based tool, suggesting that EDI should be incorporated into the daily care of trauma patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic, level III.

Readmission after splenic salvage: How real is the risk?

BACKGROUND: Hemorrhage due to delayed splenic rupture is a potentially fatal complication of nonoperative management of splenic injuries. Suboptimal postdischarge follow-up has made measuring the incidence of failed splenic salvage challenging. We hypothesized that readmission after splenic salvage is rare; however, readmissions for splenic conditions would be associated with a high rate of splenectomy. METHODS: The National Readmission Database for 2016 and 2017 was queried for trauma admissions with the International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes for splenic injury. Patients with missing discharge disposition, discharge to a short-term hospital, death during index admission, or admitted in December were excluded. The primary endpoint was nonelective 30-day readmission for splenic diagnoses after nonoperative management during the index admission. Outcomes collected included transfusions, complications, interventions at readmission, and mortality. RESULTS: There were 22,736 patients admitted for a traumatic splenic injury; 15,596 (68.6%) underwent no intervention, 2,261 (9.9%) were treated with embolization only, and 4,509 (19.8%) underwent splenectomy. The overall 30-day readmission rate was 8.4%, whereas the spleen-related readmission rate was 2.0%. For those treated with embolization or no intervention, the spleen-related 30-day readmission rate was 2.4%, with the majority (69.4%) occurring within 7 days of discharge. The most common complications were pleural effusion (23.0%), sepsis (4.4%), splenic abscess (3.9%), and splenic infarct (3.0%). Those patients readmitted for spleen-related diagnoses after undergoing splenic salvage during the index admission had a 22.3% rate of splenectomy and mortality of 1.6%. CONCLUSION: Readmission after splenic salvage is rare, with the majority presenting within 1 week of discharge. However, of those readmitted for spleen injury-related diagnoses there was a high rate of splenectomy. Patients managed with splenic salvage should be counseled on the risk of potential failure and need for readmission and operation after discharge.

Management of choledocholithiasis in the elderly: Same-admission cholecystectomy remains the standard of care.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend that patients with choledocholithiasis undergo same-admission cholecystectomy. The compliance with this guideline is poor in elderly patients. We hypothesized that elderly patients treated with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) alone would have higher complication and readmission rates than the patients treated with cholecystectomy. METHODS: The Nationwide Readmissions Database was queried for all patients aged ≥65 years with admission for choledocholithiasis January to June 2016. The patients were divided based on index treatment received: (1) no intervention; (2) ERCP alone; or (3) cholecystectomy. Multivariate analyses identified predictors of cholecystectomy during index admission and of readmissions. RESULTS: A total of 16,121 patients with choledocholithiasis were admitted; 38.4% underwent cholecystectomy, 37.6% endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography alone, and 24.0% no intervention. The patients not receiving a cholecystectomy were more likely to be older, female, have a higher Elixhauser score, do-not-resuscitate status, and at a teaching hospital (all P < .001). Emergency readmissions for recurrent biliary disease were lowest in patients undoing a cholecystectomy (2.2% vs 9.2% endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and 12.4% no intervention, P < .001), as were readmissions for complications (3.6% vs 5.5% and 7.8%, P < .001). Cholecystectomy reduced rates of readmissions for recurrent disease (odds ratio 0.168, P < .001), for complications (odds ratio 0.540, P < .001), and death during readmission (odds ratio 0.503, P = .007); endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography alone reduced only rates of readmissions. Age was not a predictor of readmission or death. CONCLUSION: Index admission cholecystectomy is associated with a lower risk of readmission for biliary disease or complications, as well as death during readmission, in elderly patients. Age alone is not predictive of outcomes; surgical intervention should be guided by clinical condition, comorbidities, and patient preference.

Developing a National Trauma Research Action Plan: Results from the acute resuscitation, initial patient evaluation, imaging, and management research gap Delphi survey.

BACKGROUND: Injury is the leading cause of death in patients aged 1 to 45 years and contributes to a significant public health burden for individuals of all ages. To achieve zero preventable deaths and disability after injury, the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Medicine called for the development of a National Trauma Research Action Plan to improve outcomes for military and civilian trauma patients. Because rapid resuscitation and prompt identification and treatment of injuries are critical in achieving optimal outcomes, a panel of experts was convened to generate high-priority research questions in the areas of acute resuscitation, initial evaluation, imaging, and definitive management on injury. METHODS: Forty-three subject matter experts in trauma care and injury research were recruited to perform a gap analysis of current literature and prioritize unanswered research questions using a consensus-driven Delphi survey approach. Four Delphi rounds were conducted to generate research questions and prioritize them using a 9-point Likert scale. Research questions were stratified as low, medium, or high priority, with consensus defined as ≥60% of panelists agreeing on the priority category. Research questions were coded using a taxonomy of 118 research concepts that were standard across all National Trauma Research Action Plan panels. RESULTS: There were 1,422 questions generated, of which 992 (69.8%) reached consensus. Of the questions reaching consensus, 327 (33.0%) were given high priority, 621 (62.6%) medium priority, and 44 (4.4%) low priority. Pharmaceutical intervention and fluid/blood product resuscitation were most frequently scored as high-priority intervention concepts. Research questions related to traumatic brain injury, vascular injury, pelvic fracture, and venous thromboembolism prophylaxis were highly prioritized. CONCLUSION: This research gap analysis identified more than 300 high-priority research questions within the broad category of Acute Resuscitation, Initial Evaluation, Imaging, and Definitive Management. Research funding should be prioritized to address these high-priority topics in the future.

General surgeon involvement in the care of patients designated with an American Association for the Surgery of Trauma-endorsed ICD-10-CM emergency general surgery diagnosis code in Wisconsin.

BACKGROUND: The current national burden of emergency general surgery (EGS) illnesses and the extent of surgeon involvement in the care of these patients remain largely unknown. To inform needs assessments, research, and education, we sought to: (1) translate previously developed International Classification of Diseases (ICD), 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) diagnosis codes representing EGS conditions to ICD 10th Revision, CM (ICD-10-CM) codes and (2) determine the national burden of and assess surgeon involvement across EGS conditions. METHODS: We converted ICD-9-CM codes to candidate ICD-10-CM codes using General Equivalence Mappings then iteratively refined the code list. We used National Inpatient Sample 2016 to 2017 data to develop a national estimate of the burden of EGS disease. To evaluate surgeon involvement, using Wisconsin Hospital Association discharge data (January 1, 2016 to June 30, 2018), we selected adult urgent/emergent encounters with an EGS condition as the principal diagnosis. Surgeon involvement was defined as a surgeon being either the attending provider or procedural physician. RESULTS: Four hundred and eighty-five ICD-9-CM codes mapped to 1,696 ICD-10-CM codes. The final list contained 985 ICD-10-CM codes. Nationally, there were 2,977,843 adult patient encounters with an ICD-10-CM EGS diagnosis. Of 94,903 EGS patients in the Wisconsin Hospital Association data set, most encounters were inpatient as compared with observation (75,878 [80.0%] vs. 19,025 [20.0%]). There were 57,780 patients (60.9%) that underwent any procedure. Among all Wisconsin EGS patients, most had no surgeon involvement (64.9% [n = 61,616]). Of the seven most common EGS diagnoses, surgeon involvement was highest for appendicitis (96.0%) and biliary tract disease (77.1%). For the other five most common conditions (skin/soft tissue infections, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, intestinal obstruction/ileus, pancreatitis, diverticular disease), surgeons were involved in roughly 20% of patient care episodes. CONCLUSION: Surgeon involvement for EGS conditions ranges from highly likely (appendicitis) to relatively unlikely (skin/soft tissue infections). The wide range in surgeon involvement underscores the importance of multidisciplinary collaboration in the care of EGS patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic/epidemiological, Level III.

Youth violence prevention can be enhanced by geospatial analysis of trauma registry data.

BACKGROUND: Geographic information systems (GIS) have been used to understand relationships between trauma mechanisms, locations, and social determinants for injury prevention. We hypothesized that GIS analysis of trauma center registry data for assault patients aged 14 years to 29 years with census tract data would identify geospatial and structural determinants of youth violence. METHODS: Admissions to a Level I trauma center from 2010 to 2019 were retrospectively reviewed to identify assaults in those 14 years to 29 years. Prisoners were excluded. Home and injury scene addresses were geocoded. Cluster analysis was performed with the Moran I test for spatial autocorrelation. Census tract comparisons were done using American Communities Survey (ACS) data by t-test and linear regression. RESULTS: There were 1,608 admissions, 1,517 (92.4%) had complete addresses and were included in the analysis. Mean age was 23 ± 3.8 years, mean ISS was 7.5 ± 6.2, there were 11 (0.7%) in-hospital deaths. Clusters in six areas of the trauma catchment were identified with a Moran I value of 0.24 ( Z score = 17.4, p < 0.001). Linear regression of American Communities Survey demographics showed predictors of assault were unemployment (odds ratio, 4.5; 95% confidence interval, 2.7-6.4; p < 0.001), Spanish spoken at home (odds ratio, 6.6; 95% confidence interval, 3.4-9.8; p < 0.001) and poverty level (odds ratio, 1.9; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-2.7; p < 0.001). Education level of less than high school diploma, single parent households and race were not significant predictors. CONCLUSION: GIS analysis of registry data can identify high-risk areas for youth violence and correlated social and structural determinants. Violence prevention efforts can be better targeted geographically and socioeconomically with better understanding of these risk factors. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic/Epidemiological; Level III.

Decreasing use of pancreatic necrosectomy and NSQIP predictors of complications and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Surgical pancreatic necrosectomy (SPN) is an option for the management of infected pancreatic necrosis. The literature indicates that an escalating, combined endoscopic, interventional radiology and minimally invasive surgery "step-up" approach, such as video-assisted retroperitoneal debridement, may reduce the number of required SPNs and ICU complications, such as multiple organ failure. We hypothesized that complications for surgically treated severe necrotizing pancreatitis patients decreased during the period of adoption of the "step-up" approach. METHODS: The American college of surgeons national surgery quality improvement program database (ACS-NSQIP) was used to find SPN cases from 2007 to 2019 in ACS-NSQIP submitting hospitals. Mortality and Clavien-Dindo class 4 (CD4) ICU complications were collected. Predictors of outcomes were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: There were 2457 SPN cases. SPN cases decreased from 0.09% in 2007 to 0.01% in 2019 of NSQIP operative cases (p < 0.001). Overall mortality was 8.5% and did not decrease with time. CD4 complications decreased from 40 to 27% (p < 0.001). There was a 65% reduction in SPN cases requiring a return to the operating room. Multivariate predictors of complications were emergency general surgery (EGS, p < 0.001), serum albumin (p < 0.0001) and modified frailty index (mFI) (p < 0.0001). Multivariate predictors of mortality were EGS (p < 0.0001), serum albumin (p < 0.0001), and mFI (p < 0.04). The mFI decreased after 2010 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: SPNs decreased after 2010, with decreasing CD4 complications, decreasing reoperation rates and stable mortality rates, likely indicating broad adoption of a "step-up" approach. Larger, prospective studies to compare indications and outcomes for "step up" versus open SPN are warranted.