Abdominal CT Body Composition Thresholds Using Automated AI Tools for Predicting 10-year Adverse Outcomes.

Background CT-based body composition measures derived from fully automated artificial intelligence tools are promising for opportunistic screening. However, body composition thresholds associated with adverse clinical outcomes are lacking. Purpose To determine population and sex-specific thresholds for muscle, abdominal fat, and abdominal aortic calcium measures at abdominal CT for predicting risk of death, adverse cardiovascular events, and fragility fractures. Materials and Methods In this retrospective single-center study, fully automated algorithms for quantifying skeletal muscle (L3 level), abdominal fat (L3 level), and abdominal aortic calcium were applied to noncontrast abdominal CT scans from asymptomatic adults screened from 2004 to 2016. Longitudinal follow-up documented subsequent death, adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular event, and heart failure), and fragility fractures. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to derive thresholds for body composition measures to achieve optimal ROC curve performance and high specificity (90%) for 10-year risks. Results A total of 9223 asymptomatic adults (mean age, 57 years ± 7 [SD]; 5152 women and 4071 men) were evaluated (median follow-up, 9 years). Muscle attenuation and aortic calcium had the highest diagnostic performance for predicting death, with areas under the ROC curve of 0.76 for men (95% CI: 0.72, 0.79) and 0.72 for women (95% CI: 0.69, 0.76) for muscle attenuation. Sex-specific thresholds were higher in men than women (P < .001 for muscle attenuation for all outcomes). The highest-performing markers for risk of death were muscle attenuation in men (31 HU; 71% sensitivity [164 of 232 patients]; 72% specificity [1114 of 1543 patients]) and aortic calcium in women (Agatston score, 167; 70% sensitivity [152 of 218 patients]; 70% specificity [1427 of 2034 patients]). Ninety-percent specificity thresholds for muscle attenuation for both risk of death and fragility fractures were 23 HU (men) and 13 HU (women). For aortic calcium and risk of death and adverse cardiovascular events, 90% specificity Agatston score thresholds were 1475 (men) and 735 (women). Conclusion Sex-specific thresholds for automated abdominal CT-based body composition measures can be used to predict risk of death, adverse cardiovascular events, and fragility fractures. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Ohliger in this issue.

Deep Learning CT-based Quantitative Visualization Tool for Liver Volume Estimation: Defining Normal and Hepatomegaly.

Background Imaging assessment for hepatomegaly is not well defined and currently uses suboptimal, unidimensional measures. Liver volume provides a more direct measure for organ enlargement. Purpose To determine organ volume and to establish thresholds for hepatomegaly with use of a validated deep learning artificial intelligence tool that automatically segments the liver. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, liver volumes were successfully derived with use of a deep learning tool for asymptomatic outpatient adults who underwent multidetector CT for colorectal cancer screening (unenhanced) or renal donor evaluation (contrast-enhanced) at a single medical center between April 2004 and December 2016. The performance of the craniocaudal and maximal three-dimensional (3D) linear measures was assessed. The manual liver volume results were compared with the automated results in a subset of renal donors in which the entire liver was included at both precontrast and postcontrast CT. Unenhanced liver volumes were standardized to a postcontrast equivalent, reflecting a correction of 3.6%. Linear regression analysis was performed to assess the major patient-specific determinant or determinants of liver volume among age, sex, height, weight, and body surface area. Results A total of 3065 patients (mean age ± standard deviation, 54 years ± 12; 1639 women) underwent multidetector CT for colorectal screening (n = 1960) or renal donor evaluation (n = 1105). The mean standardized automated liver volume ± standard deviation was 1533 mL ± 375 and demonstrated a normal distribution. Patient weight was the major determinant of liver volume and demonstrated a linear relationship. From this result, a linear weight-based upper limit of normal hepatomegaly threshold volume was derived: hepatomegaly (mL) = 14.0 × (weight [kg]) + 979. A craniocaudal threshold of 19 cm was 71% sensitive (49 of 69 patients) and 86% specific (887 of 1030 patients) for hepatomegaly, and a maximal 3D linear threshold of 24 cm was 78% sensitive (54 of 69) and 66% specific (678 of 1030). In the subset of 189 patients, the median difference in hepatic volume between the deep learning tool and the semiautomated or manual method was 2.3% (38 mL). Conclusion A simple weight-based threshold for hepatomegaly derived by using a fully automated CT-based liver volume segmentation based on deep learning provided an objective and more accurate assessment of liver size than linear measures. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Sosna in this issue.

Fully Automated Deep Learning Tool for Sarcopenia Assessment on CT: L1 Versus L3 Vertebral Level Muscle Measurements for Opportunistic Prediction of Adverse Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND. Sarcopenia is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. CT-based skeletal muscle measurements for sarcopenia assessment are most commonly performed at the L3 vertebral level. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article is to compare the utility of fully automated deep learning CT-based muscle quantitation at the L1 versus L3 level for predicting future hip fractures and death. METHODS. This retrospective study included 9223 asymptomatic adults (mean age, 57 ± 8 [SD] years; 4071 men, 5152 women) who underwent unenhanced low-dose abdominal CT. A previously validated fully automated deep learning tool was used to assess muscle for myosteatosis (by mean attenuation) and myopenia (by cross-sectional area) at the L1 and L3 levels. Performance for predicting hip fractures and death was compared between L1 and L3 measures. Performance for predicting hip fractures and death was also evaluated using the established clinical risk scores from the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) and Framingham risk score (FRS), respectively. RESULTS. Median clinical follow-up interval after CT was 8.8 years (interquartile range, 5.1-11.6 years), yielding hip fractures and death in 219 (2.4%) and 549 (6.0%) patients, respectively. L1-level and L3-level muscle attenuation measurements were not different in 2-, 5-, or 10-year AUC for hip fracture (p = .18-.98) or death (p = .19-.95). For hip fracture, 5-year AUCs for L1-level muscle attenuation, L3-level muscle attenuation, and FRAX score were 0.717, 0.709, and 0.708, respectively. For death, 5-year AUCs for L1-level muscle attenuation, L3-level muscle attenuation, and FRS were 0.737, 0.721, and 0.688, respectively. Lowest quartile hazard ratios (HRs) for hip fracture were 2.20 (L1 attenuation), 2.45 (L3 attenuation), and 2.53 (FRAX score), and for death were 3.25 (L1 attenuation), 3.58 (L3 attenuation), and 2.82 (FRS). CT-based muscle cross-sectional area measurements at L1 and L3 were less predictive for hip fracture and death (5-year AUC ≤ 0.571; HR ≤ 1.56). CONCLUSION. Automated CT-based measurements of muscle attenuation for myosteatosis at the L1 level compare favorably with previously established L3-level measurements and clinical risk scores for predicting hip fracture and death. Assessment for myopenia was less predictive of outcomes at both levels. CLINICAL IMPACT. Alternative use of the L1 rather than L3 level for CT-based muscle measurements allows sarcopenia assessment using both chest and abdominal CT scans, greatly increasing the potential yield of opportunistic CT screening.

Detection of High-Risk Sessile Serrated Lesions: Multitarget Stool DNA Versus CT Colonography.

BACKGROUND. The serrated pathway for colorectal cancer (CRC) development is increasingly recognized. Sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) that are large (≥ 10 mm) and/or have dysplasia (i.e., high-risk SSLs) are at higher risk of progression to CRC. Detection of SSLs is challenging given their predominantly flat and right-sided location. The yield of noninvasive screening tests for detection of high-risk SSLs is unclear. OBJECTIVE. The aim of this study was to compare noninvasive screening detection of high-risk SSLs between the multitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test and CT colonography (CTC). METHODS. This retrospective study included 7974 asymptomatic adults (4705 women, 3269 men; mean age, 60.0 years) who underwent CRC screening at a single center by mt-sDNA from 2014 to 2019 (n = 3987) or by CTC from 2009 to 2019 (n = 3987). Clinical interpretations of CTC examinations were recorded. Subsequent colonoscopy findings and histology of resected polyps were also recorded. Chi-square or two-sample t tests were used to compare results between mt-sDNA and CTC using 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds for test positivity. RESULTS. The overall colonoscopy referral rate for a positive screening test was 13.1% (522/3987) for mt-sDNA versus 12.2% (487/3987; p = .23) and 6.5% (260/3987; p < .001) for CTC at 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds, respectively. The PPV for high-risk SSLs was 5.5% (26/476) for mt-sDNA versus 14.4% (66/457; p < .001) and 25.9% (63/243; p < .001) for CTC at the 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds, respectively. The overall screening yield of high-risk SSLs was 0.7% (26/3987) for mt-sDNA versus 1.7% (66/3987; p < .001) and 1.6% (63/3987; p < .001) for CTC at 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds, respectively. CONCLUSION. CTC at 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds had significantly higher yield and PPV for high-risk SSLs compared with mt-sDNA. CLINICAL IMPACT. The significantly higher detection of high-risk SSLs by CTC than by mt-sDNA should be included in discussions with patients who decline colonoscopy and opt for noninvasive screening.

Hepatic Steatosis: CT-Based Prevalence in Adults in China and the United States and Associations With Age, Sex, and Body Mass Index.

BACKGROUND. Calibrated CT fat fraction (FFCT) measurements derived from un-enhanced abdominal CT reliably reflect liver fat content, allowing large-scale population-level investigations of steatosis prevalence and associations. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to compare the prevalence of hepatic steatosis, as assessed by calibrated CT measurements, between population-based Chinese and U.S. cohorts, and to investigate in these populations the relationship of steatosis with age, sex, and body mass index (BMI). METHODS. This retrospective study included 3176 adults (1985 women and 1191 men) from seven Chinese provinces and 8748 adults (4834 women and 3914 men) from a single U.S. medical center, all drawn from previous studies. All participants were at least 40 years old and had undergone unenhanced abdominal CT in previous studies. Liver fat content measurements on CT were cross-calibrated to MRI proton density fat fraction measurements using phantoms and expressed as adjusted FFCT measurements. Mild, moderate, and severe steatosis were defined as adjusted FFCT of 5.0-14.9%, 15.0-24.9%, and 25.0% or more, respectively. The two cohorts were compared. RESULTS. In the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, the median adjusted FFCT for women was 4.7% and 4.8%, respectively, and that for men was 5.8% and 6.2%, respectively. In the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, steatosis prevalence for women was 46.3% and 48.7%, respectively, whereas that for men was 58.9% and 61.9%, respectively. Severe steatosis prevalence was 0.9% and 1.8% for women and 0.2% and 2.6% for men in the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, respectively. Adjusted FFCT did not vary across age decades among women or men in the Chinese cohort, although it increased across age decades among women and men in the U.S. cohort. Adjusted FFCT and BMI exhibited weak correlation (r = 0.312-0.431). Among participants with normal BMI, 36.8% and 38.5% of those in the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, respectively, had mild steatosis, and 3.0% and 1.5% of those in the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, respectively, had moderate or severe steatosis. Among U.S. participants with a BMI of 40.0 or greater, 17.7% had normal liver content. CONCLUSION. Steatosis and severe steatosis had higher prevalence in the U.S. cohort than in the Chinese cohort in both women and men. BMI did not reliably predict steatosis. CLINICAL IMPACT. The findings provide new information on the dependence of hepatic steatosis on age, sex, and BMI.

Utility of Multiparametric CT for Identification of High-Risk NAFLD.

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the utility of laboratory and CT metrics in identifying patients with high-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). MATERIALS AND METHODS. Patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD who underwent CT within 1 year of biopsy were included. Histopathologic review was performed by an experienced gastrointestinal pathologist to determine steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis. The presence of any lobular inflammation and hepatocyte ballooning was categorized as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis (stage F3 or higher) were categorized as having high-risk NAFLD. Aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) laboratory scores were calculated. CT metrics included hepatic attenuation, liver segmental volume ratio (LSVR), splenic volume, liver surface nodularity score, and selected texture features. In addition, two readers subjectively assessed the presence of NASH (present or not present) and fibrosis (stages F0-F4). RESULTS. A total of 186 patients with NAFLD (mean age, 49 years; 74 men and 112 women) were included. Of these, 87 (47%) had NASH and 112 (60%) had moderate to severe steatosis. A total of 51 patients were classified as fibrosis stage F0, 42 as F1, 23 as F2, 37 as F3, and 33 as F4. Additionally, 70 (38%) had advanced fibrosis (stage F3 or F4) and were considered to have high-risk NAFLD. FIB-4 score correlated with fibrosis (ROC AUC of 0.75 for identifying high-risk NAFLD). Of the individual CT parameters, LSVR and splenic volume performed best (AUC of 0.69 for both for detecting high-risk NAFLD). Subjective reader assessment performed best among all parameters (AUCs of 0.78 for reader 1 and 0.79 for reader 2 for detecting high-risk NAFLD). FIB-4 and subjective scores were complementary (combined AUC of 0.82 for detecting high-risk NAFLD). For NASH assessment, FIB-4 performed best (AUC of 0.68), whereas the AUCs were less than 0.60 for all individual CT features and subjective assessments. CONCLUSION. FIB-4 and multiple CT findings can identify patients with high-risk NAFLD (advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis). However, the presence of NASH is elusive on CT.

Liver Steatosis Categorization on Contrast-Enhanced CT Using a Fully Automated Deep Learning Volumetric Segmentation Tool: Evaluation in 1204 Healthy Adults Using Unenhanced CT as a Reference Standard.

BACKGROUND. Hepatic attenuation at unenhanced CT is linearly correlated with the MRI proton density fat fraction (PDFF). Liver fat quantification at contrast-enhanced CT is more challenging. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article is to evaluate liver steatosis categorization on contrast-enhanced CT using a fully automated deep learning volumetric hepatosplenic segmentation algorithm and unenhanced CT as the reference standard. METHODS. A fully automated volumetric hepatosplenic segmentation algorithm using 3D convolutional neural networks was applied to unenhanced and contrast-enhanced series from a sample of 1204 healthy adults (mean age, 45.2 years; 726 women, 478 men) undergoing CT evaluation for renal donation. The mean volumetric attenuation was computed from all designated liver and spleen voxels. PDFF was estimated from unenhanced CT attenuation and served as the reference standard. Contrast-enhanced attenuations were evaluated for detecting PDFF thresholds of 5% (mild steatosis, 10% and 15% (moderate steatosis); PDFF less than 5% was considered normal. RESULTS. Using unenhanced CT as reference, estimated PDFF was ≥ 5% (mild steatosis), ≥ 10%, and ≥ 15% (moderate steatosis) in 50.1% (n = 603), 12.5% (n = 151) and 4.8% (n = 58) of patients, respectively. ROC AUC values for predicting PDFF thresholds of 5%, 10%, and 15% using contrast-enhanced liver attenuation were 0.669, 0.854, and 0.962, respectively, and using contrast-enhanced liver-spleen attenuation difference were 0.662, 0.866, and 0.986, respectively. A total of 96.8% (90/93) of patients with contrast-enhanced liver attenuation less than 90 HU had steatosis (PDFF ≥ 5%); this threshold of less than 90 HU achieved sensitivity of 75.9% and specificity of 95.7% for moderate steatosis (PDFF ≥ 15%). Liver attenuation less than 100 HU achieved sensitivity of 34.0% and specificity of 94.2% for any steatosis (PDFF ≥ 5%). A total of 93.8% (30/32) of patients with contrast-enhanced liver-spleen attenuation difference 10 HU or less had moderate steatosis (PDFF ≥ 15%); a liver-spleen difference less than 5 HU achieved sensitivity of 91.4% and specificity of 95.0% for moderate steatosis. Liver-spleen difference less than 10 HU achieved sensitivity of 29.5% and specificity of 95.5% for any steatosis (PDFF ≥ 5%). CONCLUSION. Contrast-enhanced volumetric hepatosplenic attenuation derived using a fully automated deep learning CT tool may allow objective categoric assessment of hepatic steatosis. Accuracy was better for moderate than mild steatosis. Further confirmation using different scanning protocols and vendors is warranted. CLINICAL IMPACT. If these results are confirmed in independent patient samples, this automated approach could prove useful for both individualized and population-based steatosis assessment.

Utilizing Fully Automated Abdominal CT-Based Biomarkers for Opportunistic Screening for Metabolic Syndrome in Adults Without Symptoms.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic syndrome describes a constellation of reversible cardiometabolic abnormalities associated with cardiovascular risk and diabetes. The present study investigates the use of fully automated abdominal CT-based biometric measures for opportunistic identification of metabolic syndrome in adults without symptoms. MATERIALS AND METHODS: International Diabetes Federation criteria were applied to a cohort of 9223 adults without symptoms who underwent unenhanced abdominal CT. After patients with insufficient clinical data for diagnosis were excluded, the final cohort consisted of 7785 adults (mean age, 57.0 years; 4361 women and 3424 men). Previously validated and fully automated CT-based algorithms for quantifying muscle, visceral and subcutaneous fat, liver fat, and abdominal aortic calcification were applied to this final cohort. RESULTS: A total of 738 subjects (9.5% of all subjects; mean age, 56.7 years; 372 women and 366 men) met the clinical criteria for metabolic syndrome. Subsequent major cardiovascular events occurred more frequently in the cohort with metabolic syndrome (p < 0.001). Significant differences were observed between the two groups for all CT-based biomarkers (p < 0.001). Univariate L1-level total abdominal fat (area under the ROC curve [AUROC] = 0.909; odds ratio [OR] = 27.2), L3-level skeletal muscle index (AUROC = 0.776; OR = 5.8), and volumetric liver attenuation (AUROC = 0.738; OR = 5.1) performed well when compared with abdominal aortic calcification scoring (AUROC = 0.578; OR = 1.6). An L1-level total abdominal fat threshold of 460.6 cm2 was 80.1% sensitive and 85.4% specific for metabolic syndrome. For women, the AUROC was 0.930 when fat and muscle measures were combined. CONCLUSION: Fully automated quantitative tissue measures of fat, muscle, and liver derived from abdominal CT scans can help identify individuals who are at risk for metabolic syndrome. These visceral measures can be opportunistically applied to CT scans obtained for other clinical indications, and they may ultimately provide a more direct and useful definition of metabolic syndrome.

Opportunistic Screening at Abdominal CT: Use of Automated Body Composition Biomarkers for Added Cardiometabolic Value.

Abdominal CT is a frequently performed imaging examination for a wide variety of clinical indications. In addition to the immediate reason for scanning, each CT examination contains robust additional data on body composition that generally go unused in routine clinical practice. There is now growing interest in harnessing this additional information. Prime examples of cardiometabolic information include measurement of bone mineral density for osteoporosis screening, quantification of aortic calcium for assessment of cardiovascular risk, quantification of visceral fat for evaluation of metabolic syndrome, assessment of muscle bulk and density for diagnosis of sarcopenia, and quantification of liver fat for assessment of hepatic steatosis. All of these relevant biometric measures can now be fully automated through the use of artificial intelligence algorithms, which provide rapid and objective assessment and allow large-scale population-based screening. Initial investigations into these measures of body composition have demonstrated promising performance for prediction of future adverse events that matches or exceeds the best available clinical prediction models, particularly when these CT-based measures are used in combination. In this review, the concept of CT-based opportunistic screening is discussed, and an overview of the various automated biomarkers that can be derived from essentially all abdominal CT examinations is provided, drawing heavily on the authors' experience. As radiology transitions from a volume-based to a value-based practice, opportunistic screening represents a promising example of adding value to services that are already provided. If the potentially high added value of these objective CT-based automated measures is ultimately confirmed in subsequent investigations, this opportunistic screening approach could be considered for intentional CT-based screening. ©RSNA, 2021.

Diagnostic Performance of Multitarget Stool DNA and CT Colonography for Noninvasive Colorectal Cancer Screening.

BackgroundMultitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) screening has increased rapidly since simultaneous approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services in 2014, whereas CT colonography screening remains underused and is not covered by Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.PurposeTo report postapproval clinical experience with mt-sDNA screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) and compare results with CT colonography screening at the same center.Materials and MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, asymptomatic adults underwent clinical mt-sDNA screening during a 5-year interval (2014-2019). Electronic medical records were searched to verify test results and document subsequent optical colonoscopy and histopathologic findings. A similar analysis was performed for CT colonography screening during a 15-year interval (2004-2019), with consideration of thresholds for positivity of both 6-mm and 10-mm polyp sizes. χ2 or two-sample t tests were used for group comparisons.ResultsA total of 3987 asymptomatic adult patients (mean age, 64 years ± 9 [standard deviation]; 2567 women) underwent mt-sDNA screening and 9656 patients (mean age, 57 years ± 8; 5200 women) underwent CT colonography. Test-positive rates for mt-sDNA and for 6-mm- and 10-mm-threshold CT colonography were 15.2%, 16.4%, and 6.7%, respectively. Optical colonoscopy follow-up rates for positive results of mt-sDNA and 6-mm- and 10-mm-threshold CT colonography were 13.1%, 12.3%, and 5.9%, respectively. Positive predictive values (PPVs) for any neoplasm 6 mm or greater, advanced neoplasia, and CRC for mt-sDNA were 54.2%, 22.7%, and 1.9% respectively; for 6-mm-threshold CT colonography, PPVs were 76.8%, 44.3%, and 2.7%; for 10-mm-threshold CT colonography, PPVs were 84.5%, 75.2%, and 5.2%, respectively (P < .001 for mt-sDNA vs CT colonography for all except 6-mm CRC at CT colonography). For mt-sDNA versus 6-mm-threshold CT colonography, overall detection rates for advanced neoplasia were 2.7% and 5.0%, respectively (P < .001); corresponding detection rates for CRC were 0.23% and 0.31%, respectively (P = .43).ConclusionThe detection rates of advanced neoplasia at CT colonography screening were greater than those of multitarget stool DNA. Detection rates were similar for colorectal cancer.© RSNA, 2020See also the editorial by Yee in this issue.

Automated Abdominal CT Imaging Biomarkers for Opportunistic Prediction of Future Major Osteoporotic Fractures in Asymptomatic Adults.

Background Body composition data from abdominal CT scans have the potential to opportunistically identify those at risk for future fracture. Purpose To apply automated bone, muscle, and fat tools to noncontrast CT to assess performance for predicting major osteoporotic fractures and to compare with the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) reference standard. Materials and Methods Fully automated bone attenuation (L1-level attenuation), muscle attenuation (L3-level attenuation), and fat (L1-level visceral-to-subcutaneous [V/S] ratio) measures were derived from noncontrast low-dose abdominal CT scans in a generally healthy asymptomatic adult outpatient cohort from 2004 to 2016. The FRAX score was calculated from data derived from an algorithmic electronic health record search. The cohort was assessed for subsequent future fragility fractures. Subset analysis was performed for patients evaluated with dual x-ray absorptiometry (n = 2106). Hazard ratios (HRs) and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed. Results A total of 9223 adults were evaluated (mean age, 57 years ± 8 [standard deviation]; 5152 women) at CT and were followed over a median time of 8.8 years (interquartile range, 5.1-11.6 years), with documented subsequent major osteoporotic fractures in 7.4% (n = 686), including hip fractures in 2.4% (n = 219). Comparing the highest-risk quartile with the other three quartiles, HRs for bone attenuation, muscle attenuation, V/S fat ratio, and FRAX were 2.1, 1.9, 0.98, and 2.5 for any fragility fracture and 2.0, 2.5, 1.1, and 2.5 for femoral fractures, respectively (P < .001 for all except V/S ratio, which was P ≥ .51). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for fragility fracture were 0.71, 0.65, 0.51, and 0.72 at 2 years and 0.63, 0.62, 0.52, and 0.65 at 10 years, respectively. For hip fractures, 2-year AUC for muscle attenuation alone was 0.75 compared with 0.73 for FRAX (P = .43). Multivariable 2-year AUC combining bone and muscle attenuation was 0.73 for any fragility fracture and 0.76 for hip fractures, respectively (P ≥ .73 compared with FRAX). For the subset with dual x-ray absorptiometry T-scores, 2-year AUC was 0.74 for bone attenuation and 0.65 for FRAX (P = .11). Conclusion Automated bone and muscle imaging biomarkers derived from CT scans provided comparable performance to Fracture Risk Assessment Tool score for presymptomatic prediction of future osteoporotic fractures. Muscle attenuation alone provided effective hip fracture prediction. © RSNA, 2020 See also the editorial by Smith in this issue.

Automated Liver Fat Quantification at Nonenhanced Abdominal CT for Population-based Steatosis Assessment.

Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and its consequences are a growing public health concern requiring cross-sectional imaging for noninvasive diagnosis and quantification of liver fat. Purpose To investigate a deep learning-based automated liver fat quantification tool at nonenhanced CT for establishing the prevalence of steatosis in a large screening cohort. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, a fully automated liver segmentation algorithm was applied to noncontrast abdominal CT examinations from consecutive asymptomatic adults by using three-dimensional convolutional neural networks, including a subcohort with follow-up scans. Automated volume-based liver attenuation was analyzed, including conversion to CT fat fraction, and compared with manual measurement in a large subset of scans. Results A total of 11 669 CT scans in 9552 adults (mean age ± standard deviation, 57.2 years ± 7.9; 5314 women and 4238 men; median body mass index [BMI], 27.8 kg/m2) were evaluated, including 2117 follow-up scans in 1862 adults (mean age, 59.2 years; 971 women and 891 men; mean interval, 5.5 years). Algorithm failure occurred in seven scans. Mean CT liver attenuation was 55 HU ± 10, corresponding to CT fat fraction of 6.4% (slightly fattier in men than in women [7.4% ± 6.0 vs 5.8% ± 5.7%; P < .001]). Mean liver Hounsfield unit varied little by age (<4 HU difference among all age groups) and only weak correlation was seen with BMI (r2 = 0.14). By category, 47.9% (5584 of 11 669) had negligible or no liver fat (CT fat fraction <5%), 42.4% (4948 of 11 669) had mild steatosis (CT fat fraction of 5%-14%), 8.8% (1025 of 11 669) had moderate steatosis (CT fat fraction of 14%-28%), and 1% (112 of 11 669) had severe steatosis (CT fat fraction >28%). Excellent agreement was seen between automated and manual measurements, with a mean difference of 2.7 HU (median, 3 HU) and r2 of 0.92. Among the subcohort with longitudinal follow-up, mean change was only -3 HU ± 9, but 43.3% (806 of 1861) of patients changed steatosis category between first and last scans. Conclusion This fully automated CT-based liver fat quantification tool allows for population-based assessment of hepatic steatosis and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, with objective data that match well with manual measurement. The prevalence of at least mild steatosis was greater than 50% in this asymptomatic screening cohort. © RSNA, 2019.

Does Nonenhanced CT-based Quantification of Abdominal Aortic Calcification Outperform the Framingham Risk Score in Predicting Cardiovascular Events in Asymptomatic Adults?

Purpose To determine if abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) at CT predicts cardiovascular events independent of Framingham risk score (FRS). Materials and Methods For this retrospective study, electronic health records for 829 asymptomatic patients (mean age, 57.9 years; 451 women, 378 men) who underwent nonenhanced CT colonography screening between April 2004 and March 2005 were reviewed for subsequent cardiovascular events; mean follow-up interval was 11.2 years ± 2.8 (standard deviation). Institutional review board approval was obtained. CT-based AAC was retrospectively quantified as a modified Agatston score by using a semiautomated tool. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used for time-to-event analysis; receiver operating characteristic curves and net reclassification improvement compared predictive abilities of AAC and FRS. Results An index cardiovascular event occurred after CT in 156 (19%) of 829 patients (6.7 years ± 3.5, including heart attack in 39 [5%] and death in 79 [10%]). AAC was higher in the cardiovascular event cohort (mean AAC, 3478 vs 664; P < .001). AAC was a strong predictor of cardiovascular events at both univariable and multivariable Cox modeling, independent of FRS (P < .001). Kaplan-Meier plots showed better separation with AAC over FRS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was higher for AAC than FRS at all evaluated time points (eg, AUC of 0.82 vs 0.64 at 2 years; P = .014). By using a cutoff point of 200, AAC improved FRS risk categorization with net reclassification improvement of 35.4%. Conclusion CT-based abdominal aortic calcification was a strong predictor of future cardiovascular events, outperforming the Framingham risk score. This finding suggests a potential opportunistic role in abdominal nonenhanced CT scans performed for other clinical indications. © RSNA, 2018.

Opportunistic Osteoporosis Screening at Routine Abdominal and Thoracic CT: Normative L1 Trabecular Attenuation Values in More than 20 000 Adults.

Background Abdominal and thoracic CT provide a valuable opportunity for osteoporosis screening regardless of the clinical indication for imaging. Purpose To establish reference normative ranges for first lumbar vertebra (L1) trabecular attenuation values across all adult ages to measure bone mineral density (BMD) at routine CT. Materials and Methods Reference data were constructed from 20 374 abdominal and/or thoracic CT examinations performed at 120 kV. Data were derived from adults (mean age, 60 years ± 12 [standard deviation]; 56.1% [11 428 of 20 374] women). CT examinations were performed with (n = 4263) or without (n = 16 111) intravenous contrast agent administration for a variety of unrelated clinical indications between 2000 and 2018. L1 Hounsfield unit measurement was obtained either with a customized automated tool (n = 11 270) or manually by individual readers (n = 9104). The effects of patient age, sex, contrast agent, and manual region-of-interest versus fully automated L1 Hounsfield unit measurement were assessed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results Mean L1 attenuation decreased linearly with age at a rate of 2.5 HU per year, averaging 226 HU ± 44 for patients younger than 30 years and 89 HU ± 38 for patients 90 years or older. Women had a higher mean L1 attenuation compared with men (P < .008) until menopause, after which both groups had similar values. Administration of intravenous contrast agent resulted in negligible differences in mean L1 attenuation values except in patients younger than 40 years. The fully automated method resulted in measurements that were average 21 HU higher compared with manual measurement (P < .004); at intrapatient subanalysis, this difference was related to the level of transverse measurement used (midvertebra vs off-midline level). Conclusion Normative ranges of L1 vertebra trabecular attenuation were established across all adult ages, and these can serve as a quick reference at routine CT to identify adults with low bone mineral density who are at risk for osteoporosis. © RSNA, 2019 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Smith in this issue.

Multiparametric CT for Noninvasive Staging of Hepatitis C Virus-Related Liver Fibrosis: Correlation With the Histopathologic Fibrosis Score.

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to develop a multiparametric CT algorithm to stage liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Abdominal CT and laboratory measures in 469 patients with HCV (340 men and 129 women; mean age, 50.1 years) were compared against the histopathologic Metavir fibrosis reference standard (F0, n = 49 patients; F1, n = 69 patients; F2, n = 102 patients; F3, n = 76 patients; F4, n = 173 patients). From the initial candidate pool, nine CT and two laboratory measures were included in the final assessment (CT-based features: hepatosplenic volumetrics, texture features, liver surface nodularity [LSN] score, and linear CT measurements; laboratory-based measures: Fibrosis-4 [FIB-4] score and aspartate transaminase-to-platelets ratio index [APRI]). Univariate logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression were performed with ROC analysis, proportional odds modeling, and probabilities. RESULTS: ROC AUC values for the model combining all 11 parameters for discriminating significant fibrosis (≥ F2), advanced fibrosis (≥ F3), and cirrhosis (F4) were 0.928, 0.956, and 0.972, respectively. For all nine CT-based parameters, these values were 0.905, 0.936, and 0.972, respectively. Using more simplified panels of two, three, or four parameters yielded good diagnostic performance; for example, a two-parameter model combining only LSN score with FIB-4 score had ROC AUC values of 0.886, 0.915, and 0.932, for significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. The LSN score performed best in the univariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Multiparametric CT assessment of HCV-related liver fibrosis further improves performance over the performance of individual parameters. An abbreviated panel of LSN score and FIB-4 score approached the diagnostic performance of more exhaustive panels. Results of the abbreviated panel compare favorably with elastography, but this approach has the advantage of retrospective assessment using preexisting data without planning.

Quantification of Liver Fat Content With Unenhanced MDCT: Phantom and Clinical Correlation With MRI Proton Density Fat Fraction.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relation between unenhanced CT liver attenuation values and MRI-derived proton density fat fraction (PDFF) for estimation of liver fat content at CT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A CT-MRI phantom was constructed and imaged containing 12 vials with lipid fractions ranging from 0% to 100%. For the retrospective clinical arm, 221 patients (120 men, 101 women; mean age, 54 years) underwent both unenhanced CT and chemical shift-encoded MRI of the liver between 2007 and 2017. Among these patients, 92 had more than one 120-kV CT scan for comparison. CT attenuation and MRI PDFF were derived with coregistered ROI measurements in the right hepatic lobe. The 120-kV subgroup of CT examinations performed within 1 month of MRI PDFF examinations (n = 72) served as the primary cohort for linear correlation. The effects of different tube voltage settings, time intervals between CT and MRI, and iron overload were assessed. Linear least squares regression analysis was performed. RESULTS: Phantom results showed excellent linear fit between CT attenuation and MRI PDFF (r2 = 0.986). In patients, 120-kV CT performed within 1 month of MRI PDFF exhibited strong linear correlation (r2 = 0.828) that closely matched the phantom data, yielding the following clinical CT-MRI conversion formula: MRI PDFF (%) = -0.58 × CT attenuation (HU) + 38.2. Correlation worsened for CT-to-MRI intervals longer than 1 month (r2 = 0.565), and this specific relationship did not apply as well to non-120-kV settings (r2 = 0.554). For patients with multiple scans, correlation progressively worsened over time. CT-based liver fat content was underestimated in several patients with iron overload. CONCLUSION: The linear correlation between unenhanced CT attenuation and MRI PDFF allows quantification of liver fat content by means of unenhanced CT in clinical practice. As expected, correlation worsened with increasing CT-MRI time interval, variable tube voltage settings, and iron overload.

Prevalence of Vertebral Compression Fractures on Routine CT Scans According to L1 Trabecular Attenuation: Determining Relevant Thresholds for Opportunistic Osteoporosis Screening.

OBJECTIVE: Radiologists interpreting body CT scans may be the first to identify osteoporosis and associated vertebral fractures. This study correlates L1 trabecular attenuation measurements with prevalent vertebral body fractures in older adults undergoing routine CT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Mean L1 trabecular attenuation was measured at thoracoabdominal CT in 1966 consecutive adults (983 men and 983 women) 65 years and older (mean age, 74.1 ± 6.6 [SD] years). Sagittal reconstructions and lateral scouts were analyzed for moderate or severe thoracolumbar vertebral compression fractures according to the Genant semiquantitative assessment method. The diagnostic performance of L1 attenuation for the evaluation of prevalent vertebral fractures was assessed, including ROC curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 162 (8.2%) individuals (mean age, 78.3 years; 66 men, 96 women) had at least one moderate or severe vertebral fracture. The mean L1 attenuation was 70.2 HU among patients with a prevalent fracture, whereas it was 132.3 HU among patients without fracture (p < 0.001). The prevalence of moderate or severe vertebral compression fractures was 32.5% when L1 attenuation was ≤ 90 HU. Prevalence increased to 49.2% with L1 attenuation of ≤ 50 HU. ROC curve analysis determined an optimal threshold of 90 HU (sensitivity = 86.9%, specificity = 83.9%), with a corresponding AUC of 0.895. The odds ratio of having a moderate or severe vertebral compression fracture was 31.9 for L1 attenuation ≤ 90 HU (95% CI, 20.2-50.5; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with moderate or severe vertebral compression fractures have significantly lower L1 attenuation values than patients who do not. L1 attenuation ≤ 90 HU may represent an optimal threshold for determining risk for osteoporotic vertebral fractures.

Improved CT-based Osteoporosis Assessment with a Fully Automated Deep Learning Tool.

Purpose: To develop, test, and validate a deep learning (DL) tool that improves upon a previous feature-based CT image processing bone mineral density (BMD) algorithm and compare it against the manual reference standard. Materials and Methods: This single-center, retrospective, Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant study included manual L1 trabecular Hounsfield unit measurements from abdominal CT scans in 11 035 patients (mean age, 58 years ± 12 [SD]; 6311 women) as the reference standard. Automated level selection and L1 trabecular region of interest (ROI) placement were then performed in this CT cohort with both a previously validated feature-based image processing tool and a new DL tool. Overall technical success rates and agreement with the manual reference standard were assessed. Results: The overall success rate of the DL tool in this heterogeneous patient cohort was significantly higher than that of the older image processing BMD algorithm (99.3% vs 89.4%, P < .001). Using this DL tool, the closest median Hounsfield unit values for single-, three-, and seven-slice vertebral ROIs were within 5% of the manual reference standard Hounsfield unit values in 35.1%, 56.9%, and 85.8% of scans; within 10% in 56.6%, 75.6%, and 92.9% of scans; and within 25% in 76.5%, 89.3%, and 97.1% of scans, respectively. Trade-offs in sensitivity and specificity for osteoporosis assessment were observed from the single-slice approach (sensitivity, 39.4%; specificity, 98.3%) to the minimum value of the multislice approach (for seven contiguous slices; sensitivity, 71.3% and specificity, 94.6%). Conclusion: The new DL BMD tool demonstrated a higher success rate than the older feature-based image processing tool, and its outputs can be targeted for higher specificity or sensitivity for osteoporosis assessment.Keywords: CT, CT-Quantitative, Abdomen/GI, Skeletal-Axial, Spine, Deep Learning, Machine Learning Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2022.

Effect of surgeon volume on pediatric thyroid surgery outcomes: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric thyroidectomy has been identified as a surgical procedure that may benefit from concentrating cases to high-volume surgeons. This systematic review aimed to address the definition of "high-volume surgeon" for pediatric thyroidectomy and to examine the relationship between surgeon volume and outcomes. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov, and OpenGrey databases were searched for through February 2020 for studies which reported on pediatric thyroidectomy and specified surgeon volume and surgical outcomes. RESULTS: Ten studies, encompassing 6430 patients, were included in the review. Five single-center retrospective studies reported only on high-volume surgeons, one single center retrospective study reported on only low-volume surgeons, and four national database studies (2 cross sectional, 2 retrospective reviews) reported outcomes for both high-volume and low-volume surgeons. Majority of patients underwent total thyroidectomy (54.9%); common indications for surgery were malignancy (41.7%) and hyperthyroidism/thyroiditis (40.5%). Rates of transient hypocalcemia (11.4% - 74.2%), transient recurrent laryngeal nerve injury (0% - 9.7%), and bleeding (0.5% - 4.3%) varied across studies. Definitions for high-volume pediatric thyroid surgeons ranged from ≥9 annual pediatric thyroid operations to >200 annual thyroid operations (with >30 pediatric cases). Four studies reported significantly better outcomes, including lower post-operative complications and shorter length of hospital stay, for patients treated by high-volume surgeons. CONCLUSIONS: Despite significant variation in caseloads to define volume, pediatric thyroid patients have generally better outcomes when operated on by higher volume surgeons. Concentration thyroidectomy cases to a smaller cohort of surgeons within pediatric practices may confer improved outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses; Level IV.

Erratum: Use of Variational Autoencoders with Unsupervised Learning to Detect Incorrect Organ Segmentations at CT.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1148/ryai.2021200218.].