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We aimed to directly compare the cost-effectiveness of Hungarian (following the NELSON trial) and NLST screening protocols, two trials influencing lung-cancer-screening implementation internationally. A decision-analytic model analyzing the cost-effectiveness of Hungarian protocols was manipulated to reflect the protocols of the NLST, while maintaining features specific to the Hungarian healthcare setting. In the Hungarian protocol, there are three possible outcomes to the initial round of screening, positive, negative, and indeterminate, indicating an uncertain degree of suspicion for lung cancer. This protocol differs from the NLST, in which the only possible screening outcomes are positive or negative, with no indeterminate option. The NLST pathway for smokers aged 55-74 resulted in a EUR 43 increase in the total average lifetime costs compared to the Hungarian screening pathway and resulted in a lifetime gain of 0.006 QALYs. The incremental costs and QALYs yielded an ICER of 7875 EUR/QALY. Our results demonstrate that assigning any suspicious LDCT screen as a positive result (NLST protocol) rather than indeterminate (Hungarian protocol) can reduce patient uncertainty and yield a slight QALY gain that is worth the additional use of resources according to Hungary's willingness-to-pay threshold. A stratified analysis by age was also conducted, revealing decreasing cost-effectiveness when screening older cohorts. Our study provides insight into the cost-effectiveness, advantages, and disadvantages of various LDCT screening protocols for lung cancer and can assist other countries as they implement their screening programs.
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OBJECTIVES: Clinical data and cost-effectiveness analyses from several countries support the use of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) to screen patients with high risk of lung cancer (LC). This study aimed to explore the economic value of screening LC with LDCT in Hungary. METHODS: Cohorts of screened and nonscreened subjects were simulated in a decision analytic model over their lifetime. Five steps in the patient trajectory were distinguished: no LC, nondiagnosed LC, screening, diagnosed LC, and post-treatment. Patient pathways were populated based on the Hungarian pilot study of screening, the Nederlands-Leuvens Longkanker Screenings Onderzoek (NELSON) LC screening trial, and local incidence and prevalence data. Healthcare costs were obtained from the National Health Insurance Fund. Utility data were obtained from international sources and adjusted to local tariffs. Scenarios according to screening frequency, age bands (50-74, 55-74 years), and smoking status were analyzed. RESULTS: Annual LDCT-based screening compared with no screening for 55- to 74-year-old current smokers showed 0.031 quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gains for an additional 137, which yields 5707 per QALY. Biennial screening for the same target population showed that purchasing 1 QALY would cost 10 203. The least cost-effective case was biennial screening of the general population aged 50 to 74 years, which yielded 37 931 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Screening LC with LDCT for a high-risk population could be cost-effective in Hungary. For the introduction of screening with LDCT, targeting the most vulnerable groups while having a long-term approach on costs and benefits is essential.
Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Hungría , Proyectos Piloto , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/prevención & control , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodosRESUMEN
Aims: The favourable effects of bariatric surgeries on body weight reduction and glucose control have been demonstrated in several studies. Additionally, the cost-effectiveness of bariatric surgeries has been confirmed in several analyses. The aim of the current analysis was to demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of bariatric surgeries in obese patients with type 2 diabetes in Hungary compared to conventional diabetes treatments based on economic modelling of published clinical trial results. Materials and Methods: Patients entered the simulation model at the age of 45 with body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m2 and type 2 diabetes. The model was performed from the public payer's perspective, comparing sleeve gastrectomy (SG) and Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) procedures to conventional care of diabetes. The results were provided separately for three BMI categories. Results: The base-case analysis demonstrated that both surgery types were dominant; i.e., they saved 17 064 to 24 384 Euro public payer expenditures and resulted in improved health outcomes (1.36 to 1.50 quality-adjusted life years gain (QALY)) in the three BMI categories. Bariatric surgeries extended the life expectancy and the disease-free survival times of all the investigated diabetes complications. All the scenario analyses confirmed the robustness of the base-case analysis, such that bariatric surgeries remained dominant compared to conventional diabetes treatments. Conclusion: The results of this cost-effectiveness analysis highlight the importance of bariatric surgeries as alternatives to conventional diabetes treatments in the obese population. Therefore, it is strongly recommended that a wider population has access to these surgeries in Hungary.