Low birthweight in patients with type 2 diabetes is associated with elevated risk of cardiovascular events and mortality.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Low birthweight is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes and CVD. This prospective cohort study investigated whether lower birthweight increases CVD risk after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Original midwife records were evaluated for 8417 participants recently diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in the Danish Centre for Strategic Research in Type 2 Diabetes (DD2) cohort. Patients were followed for the first occurrence of a composite CVD endpoint (myocardial infarction, coronary revascularisation, peripheral arterial disease, stroke, unstable angina, heart failure or CVD death), a three-component endpoint comprising major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and all-cause mortality. Ten-year risks were estimated using the Aalen-Johansen estimator considering non-CVD death as a competing risk. HRs were determined by Cox regression. Models were controlled for sex, age, calendar year at birth, family history of diabetes and born-at-term status. RESULTS: A total of 1187 composite CVD endpoints, 931 MACE, and 1094 deaths occurred during a median follow-up period of 8.5 years. The 10-year standardised composite CVD risk was 19.8% in participants with a birthweight <3000 g compared with 16.9% in participants with a birthweight of 3000-3700 g, yielding a risk difference (RD) of 2.9% (95% CI 0.4, 5.4) and an adjusted HR of 1.20 (95% CI 1.03, 1.40). The 10-year MACE risk for birthweight <3000 g was similarly elevated (RD 2.4%; 95% CI 0.1, 4.7; HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.01, 1.46). The elevated CVD risk was primarily driven by stroke, peripheral arterial disease and CVD death. All-cause mortality showed no substantial difference. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Having a birthweight <3000 g is associated with higher CVD risk among patients with type 2 diabetes, driven primarily by risk of stroke and CVD death.

Empagliflozin to elderly and obese patients with increased risk of developing heart failure: Study protocol for the Empire Prevent trial program.

INTRODUCTION: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have previously demonstrated cardioprotective properties in patients with type 2 diabetes, suggesting a preventive effect on heart failure (HF). The Empire Prevent trial program investigates the therapeutic potential for HF prevention by evaluating the cardiac, metabolic, and renal effects of the SGLT2 inhibitor empagliflozin in patients with increased risk of developing HF, but without diabetes or established HF. METHODS: The Empire Prevent trial program is an investigator-initiated, double-blind, randomized clinical trial program including elderly and obese patients (60-84 years, body mass index >28 kg/m2) with at least one manifestation of hypertension, cardiovascular or chronic kidney disease, but no history of diabetes or HF. The aims are to investigate the effects of empagliflozin on 1) physical capacity and left ventricular and atrial structural changes with peak oxygen consumption and left ventricular mass as primary endpoints (Empire Prevent Cardiac), and 2) cardiac-adipose tissue interaction and volume homeostasis with primary endpoints of changes in epicardial adipose tissue and estimated extracellular volume (Empire Prevent Metabolic). At present, 138 of 204 patients have been randomized in the Empire Prevent trial program. Patients are randomized 1:1 to 180 days treatment with empagliflozin 10 mg daily or placebo, while undergoing a comprehensive examination program at baseline and follow-up. DISCUSSION: The Empire Prevent trial program will mark the first step towards elucidating the potential of SGLT2 inhibition for HF prevention in an outpatient setting in elderly and obese patients with increased risk of developing HF, but with no history of diabetes or established HF. Furthermore, the Empire Prevent trial program will supplement the larger event-driven trials by providing mechanistic insights to the beneficial effects of SGLT2 inhibition. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Both parts of the trial program have been registered on September 13th 2021 (Clinical Trial Registration numbers: NCT05084235 and NCT05042973) before enrollment of the first patient. All patients will provide oral and written informed consent. The trial is approved by The Regional Committee on Health Research Ethics and the Danish Medicines Agency. Data will be disseminated through scientific meetings and peer-reviewed journals irrespective of outcome.

Lifetime and 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction in individuals with type 1 diabetes: The LIFE-T1D model.

AIMS: To develop and externally validate the LIFE-T1D model for the estimation of lifetime and 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals with type 1 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A sex-specific competing risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model was derived in individuals with type 1 diabetes without prior CVD from the Swedish National Diabetes Register (NDR), using age as the time axis. Predictors included age at diabetes onset, smoking status, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, glycated haemoglobin level, estimated glomerular filtration rate, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, albuminuria and retinopathy. The model was externally validated in the Danish Funen Diabetes Database (FDDB) and the UK Biobank. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.8 years (interquartile interval 6.1-17.1 years), 4608 CVD events and 1316 non-CVD deaths were observed in the NDR (n = 39 756). The internal validation c-statistic was 0.85 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-0.85) and the external validation c-statistics were 0.77 (95% CI 0.74-0.81) for the FDDB (n = 2709) and 0.73 (95% CI 0.70-0.77) for the UK Biobank (n = 1022). Predicted risks were consistent with the observed incidence in the derivation and both validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The LIFE-T1D model can estimate lifetime risk of CVD and CVD-free life expectancy in individuals with type 1 diabetes without previous CVD. This model can facilitate individualized CVD prevention among individuals with type 1 diabetes. Validation in additional cohorts will improve future clinical implementation.

Low-grade inflammation in persons with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes: The role of abdominal adiposity and putative mediators.

AIMS: To determine the magnitude of the association between abdominal adiposity and low-grade inflammation in persons with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes (T2D) and to determine to what extent this association is mediated by low physical activity level, hyperinsulinaemia, hyperglycaemia, dyslipidaemia, hypertension, and comorbidities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We measured waist circumference, clinical characteristics, and inflammatory markers i.e. tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), in >9000 persons with recently diagnosed T2D. We applied multiple mediation analysis using structural equation modelling, with adjustment for age and sex. RESULTS: Waist circumference as a proxy for abdominal adiposity was positively associated with all inflammatory markers. Hence, a one-standard deviation (SD) increase in waist circumference (SD = 15 cm) was associated with a 22%, 35%, and 46% SD increase in TNF-α (SD = 1.5 pg/mL), IL-6 (SD = 4.4 pg/mL), and hsCRP (SD = 6.9 mg/L), respectively. The level of hyperinsulinaemia assessed by fasting C-peptide was quantitatively the most important mediator, accounting for 9%-25% of the association between abdominal adiposity and low-grade inflammation, followed by low physical activity (5%-7%) and high triglyceride levels (2%-6%). Although mediation of adiposity-induced inflammation by greater comorbidity and higher glycated haemoglobin levels reached statistical significance, their impact was minor (1%-2%). CONCLUSIONS: In persons with recently diagnosed T2D, there was a clear association between abdominal adiposity and low-grade inflammation. A considerable part (20%-40%) of this association was mediated by other factors, with hyperinsulinaemia as a potentially important driver of adiposity-induced inflammation in T2D.

Association between COVID-19 and the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Portugal - a registry study.

BACKGROUND: Viral respiratory infections may precipitate type 1 diabetes (T1D). A possible association between the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus responsible for COVID-19, and the incidence of T1D is being determined. This study was carried out using Portuguese registries, aiming at examining temporal trends between COVID-19 and T1D. METHODS: Hospital data, comparing the incidence before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, from children and young adults diagnosed with new-onset T1D, was acquired beginning in 2017 and until the end of 2022. Data was obtained from nine different Portuguese hospital units. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, beginning in March 2020, was assessed comparing the annual numbers of new-onset T1D cases. The annual median levels of glucose, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and fasting C-peptide at T1D diagnosis were compared. The annual number of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) episodes among new T1D cases was also assessed at two centers. RESULTS: In total, data from 574 newly diagnosed T1D patients was analyzed, including 530 (92.3%) children. The mean ages for child and adult patients were 9.1 (SD 4.4) and 32.8 (SD 13.6) years, respectively. 57.8% (331/573) were male, one patient had unknown sex. The overall median (25-75 percentiles) levels of glucose, HbA1c and fasting C-peptide at diagnosis were 454 mg/dL (356-568), 11.8% (10.1-13.4) and 0.50 µg/L (0.30-0.79), respectively. DKA at T1D diagnosis was present in 48.4% (76/157). For eight centers with complete 2018 to 2021 data (all calendar months), no overall significant increase in T1D cases was observed during the COVID-19 pandemic, i.e. 90 cases in 2018, 90 cases in 2019, 112 in 2020 and 100 in 2021 (P for trend = 0.36). Two of the centers, Faro (CHUA) and Dona Estefânia (CHULC) hospitals, did however see an increase in T1D from 2019 to 2020. No significant changes in glucose (P = 0.32), HbA1c (P = 0.68), fasting C-peptide (P = 0.20) or DKA frequency (P = 0.68) at the time of T1D diagnosis were observed over the entire study period. CONCLUSION: The T1D incidence did not increase significantly, when comparing the years before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did key metabolic parameters or number of DKA episodes change.

Triglyceride-glucose index improves risk prediction beyond traditional risk factors and hypertension mediated organ damage in healthy adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a surrogate measure of insulin resistance, is associated with hypertension mediated organ damage (HMOD) and cardiovascular disease. This study investigated the association between TyG index and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and its interaction with traditional risk factors and HMOD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Healthy subjects recruited from the general population were thoroughly examined and followed for MACE using nation-wide registries. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the association between TyG index and MACE occurrence. Models were adjusted for Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) risk factors, pulse wave velocity, left ventricular mass index, carotid atherosclerotic plaque status, and microalbuminuria. Continuous net reclassification and Harrell's Concordance index (C-index) were used to assess the added prognostic value of TyG index. During a follow-up period of mean 15.4 ± 4.7 years, MACE were observed in 332 (17%) of 1970 included participants. TyG index was associated with MACE; HR = 1.44 [95%CI:1.30-1.59] per standard deviation. After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular (CV) risk factors, HR was 1.16 [95%CI:1.03-1.31]. The association between TyG index and MACE remained significant after further adjustment for each HMOD component. However, this finding was evident only in subjects aged 41 or 51 years (HR = 1.39; 95%CI:1.15-1.69). Including TyG index in a risk model based on traditional CV risk factors improved C-index with 0.005 (P = 0.042). CONCLUSION: In this population-based study of healthy middle-aged subjects, TyG index was associated with MACE independently of traditional CV risk factors and HMOD. TyG index may have a potential role in future risk prediction systems.

High-intensity interval training combining rowing and cycling improves but does not restore beta-cell function in type 2 diabetes.

Aim: We investigated whether a high-intensity interval training (HIIT) protocol could restore beta-cell function in type 2 diabetes compared with sedentary obese and lean individuals. Materials and methods: In patients with type 2 diabetes, and age-matched, glucose-tolerant obese and lean controls, we examined the effect of 8 weeks of supervised HIIT combining rowing and cycling on the acute (first-phase) and second-phase insulin responses, beta-cell function adjusted for insulin sensitivity (disposition index), and serum free fatty acid (FFA) levels using the Botnia clamp (1-h IVGTT followed by 3-h hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp). Results: At baseline, patients with type 2 diabetes had reduced insulin sensitivity (~40%), acute insulin secretion (~13-fold), and disposition index (>35-fold), whereas insulin-suppressed serum FFA was higher (⁓2.5-fold) compared with controls (all P < 0.05). The HIIT protocol increased insulin sensitivity in all groups (all P < 0.01). In patients with type 2 diabetes, this was accompanied by a large (>200%) but variable improvement in the disposition index (P < 0.05). Whereas insulin sensitivity improved to the degree seen in controls at baseline, the disposition index remained markedly lower in patients with type 2 diabetes after HIIT (all P < 0.001). In controls, HIIT increased the disposition index by ~20-30% (all P < 0.05). In all groups, the second-phase insulin responses and insulin-suppressed FFA levels were reduced in response to HIIT (all P < 0.05). No group differences were seen in these HIIT-induced responses. Conclusion: HIIT combining rowing and cycling induced a large but variable increase in beta-cell function adjusted for insulin sensitivity in type 2 diabetes, but the disposition index remained severely impaired compared to controls, suggesting that this defect is less reversible in response to exercise training than insulin resistance. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03500016).

Acute Exercise Increases GDF15 and Unfolded Protein Response/Integrated Stress Response in Muscle in Type 2 Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Regular exercise is a key prevention strategy for obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). Exerkines secreted in response to exercise or recovery may contribute to improved systemic metabolism. Conversely, an impaired exerkine response to exercise and recovery may contribute to cardiometabolic diseases. OBJECTIVE: We investigated if the exercise-induced regulation of the exerkine, growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) and its putative upstream regulators of the unfolded protein response (UPR)/integrated stress response (ISR) is impaired in skeletal muscle in patients with T2D compared with weight-matched glucose-tolerant men. METHODS: Thirteen male patients with T2D and 14 age- and weight-matched overweight/obese glucose-tolerant men exercised at 70% of VO2max for 1 hour. Blood and skeletal muscle biopsies were sampled before, immediately after, and 3 hours into recovery. Serum and muscle transcript levels of GDF15 and key markers of UPR/ISR were determined. Additionally, protein/phosphorylation levels of key regulators in UPR/ISR were investigated. RESULTS: Acute exercise increased muscle gene expression and serum GDF15 levels in both groups. In recovery, muscle expression of GDF15 decreased toward baseline, whereas serum GDF15 remained elevated. In both groups, acute exercise increased the expression of UPR/ISR markers, including ATF4, CHOP, EIF2K3 (encoding PERK), and PPP1R15A (encoding GADD34), of which only CHOP remained elevated 3 hours into recovery. Downstream molecules of the UPR/ISR including XBP1-U, XBP1-S, and EDEM1 were increased with exercise and 3 hours into recovery in both groups. The phosphorylation levels of eIF2α-Ser51, a common marker of unfolded protein response (UPR) and ISR, increased immediately after exercise in controls, but decreased 3 hours into recovery in both groups. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, exercise-induced regulation of GDF15 and key markers of UPR/ISR are not compromised in patients with T2D compared with weight-matched controls.

Investigating the role of obesity, circadian disturbances and lifestyle factors in people with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder: Study protocol for the SOMBER trial.

The aim of this study is to investigate circadian rhythms in independently living adults with obesity and mental disease, exploring the interplay between biological markers and lifestyle factors. Eighty participants divided equally into four groups; (i) people with obesity and schizophrenia; (ii) people with obesity and bipolar disorder; (iii) people with obesity without mental disease or sleep disorders, and (iv) people without obesity, mental disease or sleep disorders. Over two consecutive days, participants engage in repeated self-sampling of hair follicle and saliva; concurrently, data is collected on diet, body temperature, light exposure, sleep parameters, and physical activity by accelerometry. Hair follicles are analyzed for circadian gene expression, saliva samples for cortisol and melatonin concentrations. Circadian rhythms are investigated by cosinor analysis. The study employs a participant-tailored sampling schedule to minimize disruptions to daily routine and enhance ecological validity. The methodology aims to provide a comprehensive insight into the factors contributing to circadian disruptions in people with obesity, bipolar disorder and schizophrenia, potentially informing strategies for future management and mitigation. Trial registration: (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05413486).

Risk of Diabetic Retinopathy According to Subtype of Type 2 Diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes is a heterogeneous disease that can be subdivided on the basis of ß-cell function and insulin sensitivity. We investigated the presence, incidence, and progression of diabetic retinopathy (DR) according to subtypes of type 2 diabetes. In a national cohort, we identified three subtypes of type 2 diabetes: classical, hyperinsulinemic, and insulinopenic type 2 diabetes, based on HOMA2 measurements. From the Danish Registry of Diabetic Retinopathy we extracted information on level of DR. We used several national health registries to link information on comorbidity, medications, and laboratory tests. We found individuals with hyperinsulinemic type 2 diabetes were less likely to have DR at entry date compared with those with classical type 2 diabetes, whereas individuals with insulinopenic type 2 diabetes were more likely to have DR. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, individuals with hyperinsulinemic type 2 diabetes had a decreased risk of both incidence and progression of DR compared to those with classical type 2 diabetes. We did not find any clear difference in risk of incident or progression of DR in individuals with insulinopenic compared to classical type 2 diabetes. These findings indicate that subcategorization of type 2 diabetes is important in evaluating the risk of DR.

Lipid Levels and Risk of Diabetic Polyneuropathy in 2 Danish Type 2 Diabetes Cohorts.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Reduction of blood lipids may aid in preventing diabetic polyneuropathy (DPN), but evidence remains conflicting. We investigated the association between lipid parameters and DPN risk in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of individuals with newly diagnosed T2DM and a cross-sectional study using a clinically recruited T2DM cohort. Triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and non-HDL cholesterol were measured in routine diabetes care. Each lipid parameter was categorized according to the latest cutoffs in clinical guidelines on dyslipidemia. DPN was assessed with validated hospital diagnosis codes in the population-based cohort and with the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument questionnaire in the clinical cohort. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) using Cox regression and prevalence ratios (PRs) using Poisson regression. RESULTS: We included 61,853 individuals in the population-based cohort (median age 63 [quartiles 54-72] years) and 4,823 in the clinical cohort (median age 65 [quartiles 57-72] years). The incidence rate of hospital-diagnosed DPN in the population-based cohort was 3.6 per 1000 person-years during a median follow-up of 7.3 years. Achieving guideline targets for HDL, LDL, and non-HDL cholesterol showed no association with DPN risk. By contrast, adjusted HRs (95% CI) for DPN were 1.02 (0.89-1.18) for triglyceride levels between 150 and 204 mg/dL (1.7-2.3 mmol/L) and 1.28 (1.13-1.45) for levels >204 mg/dL (2.3 mmol/L). In the clinical cohort with a DPN prevalence of 18%, DPN associated strongly with triglycerides >204 mg/dL (2.3 mmol/L) with an adjusted PR (95% CI) of 1.40 (1.21-1.62). The prevalence of DPN was modestly elevated for individuals with HDL cholesterol <39 mg/dL (1.0/1.3 mmol/L) in men and <50 mg/dL (1.3 mmol/L) in women (PR 1.13 [0.99-1.28]) and for individuals with non-HDL cholesterol >131 mg/dL (3.4 mmol/L) (PR 1.27 [1.05-1.52]). In both cohorts, spline models showed an increasing risk of DPN starting from triglyceride levels >124 mg/dL (1.4 mmol/L). All results were similar among statin users. DISCUSSION: High triglyceride levels are a strong DPN risk factor. Future intervention studies shall determine whether triglyceride reduction is more important for DPN prevention than reduction of other lipids.

Presence and development of diabetic retinopathy in 16 999 patients with type 1 diabetes in the Danish Registry of Diabetic Retinopathy.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the five-year incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and associated risk markers in patients with type 1 diabetes in the national Danish DR-screening programme. METHODS: Based on national data, we included all 16 999 patients with type 1 diabetes in the Danish Registry of Diabetic Retinopathy, who attended the national screening programme in the period 2013-2018. According to the worse eye at first screening, DR was classified (levels 0-4) and linked with various national health registries to retrieve information on diabetes duration, systemic comorbidity, and medication. RESULTS: At first screening, median age and duration of diabetes were 45.0 and 16.7 years, and 57.5% were males. The prevalence and five-year incidences for DR and progression to proliferative DR (PDR) were 44.2%, 8.9% and 2.0%, respectively. In multivariable Cox models, the incidence endpoints were associated with duration of diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.63-1.89, and HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.73-2.40 per 10 years), moderately low Charlson Comorbidity Index score (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.10-1.47, and HR 2.80, 95% CI 2.23-3.51), and use of blood pressure lowering medication (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.36, and HR 1.98, 95% CI 1.53-2.57). CONCLUSION: In a study of all patients with type 1 diabetes from the Danish DR-screening programme, we identified duration of diabetes, systemic disease and use of anti-hypertensive treatment as consistent risk markers for incident and progressive DR.

Association of continuous subcutaneous insulin therapy and diabetic retinopathy in type 1 diabetes: A national cohort study.

AIM: This study aimed to investigate the short-and long-term effect on diabetic retinopathy (DR) in individuals with type 1 diabetes treated with continuous subcutaneous insulin injections (CSII) compared to those using multiple daily injections (MDI). METHODS: We conducted a register-based matched cohort study utilizing data from the Danish Registry of Diabetic Retinopathy as well as several other national Danish health registers. Our cohort consisted of all individuals with type 1 diabetes who attended the Danish screening program for DR from 2013 to 2022. We included individuals registered with CSII treatment, and compared them to individuals using MDI, matched by age, sex, and DR level. Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the outcomes. RESULTS: The study included 674 individuals treated with CSII and 2006 matched MDI users. In our cohort 53.4 % were female and median age was 36 (IQR 27-47). Average follow-up risk-time was 4.8 years. There was no difference in the risk of DR worsening between the CSII group and MDI group (HR 1.05 [95%CI 0.91; 1.22], p = 0.49). However, an increased risk of focal photocoagulation was observed in the CSII group (HR 2.40 [95%CI 1.11; 5.19], p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that CSII treatment does not confer a significant difference in the overall short- and long-term risk of DR worsening or ocular intervention compared to MDI treatment. These results provide insights into the DR outcomes of CSII treatment in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Diabetic retinopathy as an independent marker of cardiovascular disease in type 1 diabetes: Results from a nationwide longitudinal matched case-cohort study.

PURPOSE: To investigate diabetic retinopathy (DR) as a potential marker of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in adults with type 1 diabetes attending the Danish DR-screening programme and non-diabetes adults. METHODS: In this registry-based matched case-cohort study, we identified 16 547 adults with type 1 diabetes, who were registered in the Danish Registry of Diabetic Retinopathy (DiaBase). Each case was age- and sex-matched by five non-diabetes individuals (n = 82 399), and odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated for incident and upcoming CVD in multivariable models. RESULTS: Adults with type 1 diabetes (median age 44.5 years, 57.6% male) were more likely to have prevalent CVD (OR 1.29; 95% CI, 1.20-1.38) and to develop CVD within 5 years (HR 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30) as compared to non-diabetes control. However, adults without DR were less likely to develop CVD (HR 0.84; 95% CI, 0.72-0.97) compared to the reference population. For adults with type 1 diabetes, there was an increasing risk for incident CVD for increasing levels of DR (HR 1.33, 1.95, 1.71 and 2.39 for DR-levels 1-4, respectively). Patients with CVD at the time of the first screening had a higher risk to develop DR during follow-up (HR 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02-1.49). CONCLUSION: In a nationwide matched case-cohort study adjusted for potential confounders, DR was identified as an independent marker of prevalent and incident CVD in type 1 diabetes with increasing risk demonstrated for higher levels of DR. Likewise, CVD also independently predicted the risk of incident DR.