High Intraocular Pressure Is Independently Associated With New-Onset Systemic Hypertension Over a 10-Year Period.

BACKGROUND: Systemic hypertension (HT) is associated with the development of increased intraocular pressure (IOP), a risk factor for glaucoma. However, it remains unclear whether high IOP is a risk factor for HT.Methods and Results: We investigated 7,487 Japanese individuals (4,714 men, 2,773 women; mean [±SD] age 49±9 years) who underwent annual health checkups in 2006. Over the 10-year follow-up period, 1,232 (24.3%) men and 370 (11.5%) women developed new-onset HT, defined as initiation of antihypertensive drug treatment or blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg. After dividing IOP into tertiles (T1-T3), Cox proportional hazards analysis (adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, obesity, current smoking, alcohol consumption, family history of HT, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and diabetes and dyslipidemia diagnoses at baseline) revealed a significantly higher risk of newly developed HT in T3 (IOP ≥14 mmHg; hazard ratio 1.14; 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.29; P=0.038) using T1 (IOP ≤11 mmHg) as the reference group. There was no significant interaction between sex and IOP tertile (P=0.153). A restricted cubic spline model showed a gradual but robust increase in the hazard ratio for new-onset HT with increasing IOP. CONCLUSIONS: High IOP is an independent risk factor for the development of HT over a 10-year period.

Deciphering metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: insights from predictive modeling and clustering analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: New nomenclature of steatotic liver disease (SLD) including metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD), MASLD and increased alcohol intake (MetALD), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) has recently been proposed. We investigated clustering analyses to decipher the complex landscape of SLD pathologies including the former nomenclature of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). METHODS: Japanese individuals who received annual health checkups including abdominal ultrasonography (n = 15 788, men/women: 10 250/5538, mean age: 49 years) were recruited. RESULTS: The numbers of individuals with SLD, MASLD, MetALD, ALD, NAFLD, and MAFLD were 5603 (35.5%), 4227 (26.8%), 795 (5.0%), 324 (2.1%), 3982 (25.8%), and 4946 (31.3%), respectively. Clustering analyses using t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding and K-means to visually represent interconnections in SLDs uncovered five cluster formations. MASLD and NAFLD mainly shared three clusters including (i) low alcohol intake with relatively low-grade obesity; (ii) obesity with dyslipidemia; and (iii) dysfunction of glucose metabolism. Both MetALD and ALD displayed one distinct cluster intertwined with alcohol consumption. MAFLD widely shared all of the five clusters. In machine learning-based analyses using algorithms of random forest and extreme gradient boosting and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, fatty liver index (FLI), calculated by body mass index, waist circumference, and levels of γ-glutamyl transferase and triglycerides, was selected as a useful feature for SLDs. CONCLUSIONS: The new nomenclature of SLDs is useful for obtaining a better understanding of liver pathologies and for providing valuable insights into predictive factors and the dynamic interplay of diseases. FLI may be a noninvasive predictive marker for detection of SLDs.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease predicts new onset of chronic kidney disease better than fatty liver or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Possible associations of chronic kidney disease (CKD) with fatty liver (FL) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have recently been focused on. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), defined as FL with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus or metabolic abnormalities, has been proposed as a new feature of chronic liver disease. However, the relationship between MAFLD and new onset of CKD has not been fully addressed. METHODS: We investigated the associations of FL, NAFLD and MAFLD with the development of CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or positive for urinary protein, over a 10-year period in 28 890 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects with no data for abdominal ultrasonography and subjects with CKD at baseline, a total of 13 159 subjects (men 8581, women 4578; mean age 48 years) were recruited. RESULTS: The prevalence of FL, NAFLD and MAFLD was 34.6% (men 45.1%, women 15.1%), 32.8% (men 42.7%, women 14.5%) and 32.3% (men 42.4%, women 13.4%), respectively. During the 10-year follow-up period, 2163 subjects (men 1475, women 688) had new onset of CKD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model analyses showed that MAFLD [hazard ratio 1.12 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.26); P = .027] but not FL or NAFLD was an independent risk factor for new onset of CKD after adjustment of age, sex, eGFR, current smoking habit, ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, overweight/obesity, hypertension and dyslipidemia. The addition of MAFLD [continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) 0.154, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) 0.0024] to traditional risk factors without metabolic abnormalities significantly improved the discriminatory capacity better than did the addition of FL (NRI 0.138, IDI 0.0018) or NAFLD (NRI 0.132, IDI 0.0017). CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD is modestly and independently associated with new onset of CKD and predicts the risk for development of CKD better than FL or NAFLD.

High fatty liver index is an independent predictor of ischemic heart disease during a 10-year period in a Japanese population.

AIM: Fatty liver index (FLI), which is calculated by using body mass index, waist circumference and levels of γ-glutamyl transferase and triglycerides, is a validated surrogate marker of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. We retrospectively investigated the relationship between FLI and the development of ischemic heart disease (IHD) during a 10-year period. METHODS: Among subjects who received annual health checkups (n = 28 990), a total of 18 851 subjects (men/women: 11 659/7192) were enrolled after exclusion of subjects with missing data and those with IHD at baseline. RESULTS: FLI at baseline was significantly higher in men than in women. During the 10-year period, 450 men (3.9%) and 123 women (1.7%) had new onset of IHD determined by a self-reported questionnaire survey. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with a restricted cubic spline showed that hazard risk (HR) for the development of IHD increased with a higher FLI at baseline after adjustment of age, sex, current smoking habit, family history of IHD and diagnosis of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidemia and chronic kidney disease at baseline. There was no significant interaction between FLI and sex for the adjusted HR. When divided by tertiles of FLI at baseline (T1∼T3), the adjusted risk for development of IHD in the T3 group (HR [95% confidence interval]: 1.34 [1.05-1.71]) was significantly higher than that in the T1 group as the reference. The addition of FLI into traditional risk factors for IHD significantly improved the discriminatory capability. CONCLUSIONS: A high level of FLI is an independent predictor of new onset of IHD during a 10-year period.

Prediction and validation of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease by fatty liver index in a Japanese population.

Fatty liver index (FLI) calculated by using body mass index (BMI), waist circumference and levels of γ-glutamyl transferase and triglycerides is a non-invasive predictor of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The original study in Italy showed that the cutoff level for prediction of NAFLD was FLI ≥60. However, the sex difference in FLI was not taken into consideration, and it is unclear whether the cutoff value can be applied to other races. We investigated the cutoff value of FLI for prediction of NAFLD determined by abdominal ultrasonography using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses in 14,471 Japanese subjects (men/women: 9,240/5,231; mean age: 48 ± 9 years). There was a significant interaction between sex and FLI for detection of NAFLD (p < 0.001). The cutoff values of FLI in men and women were 35.1 (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.82) and 15.6 (AUC: 0.91), respectively. When the subjects were divided by the absence and presence of obesity (BMI ≥25), there was a significant interaction between FLI and obesity for detection of NAFLD in women (p < 0.001) but not in men (p = 0.679). The cutoff values of FLI in non-obese/obese men and women were 22.6/52.6 and 11.2/33.2, respectively. In conclusion, the cutoff value of FLI for prediction of NAFLD in Japanese individuals was lower than that in the original study, and there is a significant sex difference. The simple and useful cutoff values in Japanese men and women are FLI ≥35 (non-obese/obese: 23/53) and FLI ≥16 (non-obese/obese: 11/33), respectively.

Inverse Association Between Fatty Liver at Baseline Ultrasonography and Remission of Type 2 Diabetes Over a 2-Year Follow-up Period.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Improvement of fatty liver may be required for remission of type-2 diabetes. However, there is no longitudinal evidence on whether fatty liver reduces the chances for remission of type-2 diabetes. We investigated the association between fatty liver and remission of type-2 diabetes (the primary analysis), and also the association between improvement of fatty liver and remission of type-2 diabetes (the secondary analysis). METHODS: We collected data from 66961 people who underwent screening for type-2 diabetes from 2008 through 2016 at a single center in Japan. The primary analysis included 2567 patients with type-2 diabetes without chronic renal failure or a history of hemodialysis who underwent ultrasonography to detect fatty liver, all of whom had follow-up testing, including blood testing, for a median 24.5 months after the baseline ultrasonography. The secondary analysis included 1833 participants with fatty liver at baseline who underwent a second ultrasonography, and participants who had fatty liver at baseline but not at the second visit were considered to have had improvement of fatty liver. Remission of type-2 diabetes was defined as a fasting plasma glucose level below 126 mg/dL and an HbA1c level below 6.5% for more than 6 months without anti-diabetic drugs. Odds ratios (ORs) of remission of type-2 diabetes were estimated using logistic-regression models. RESULTS: A lower proportion of patients who had fatty liver detected by ultrasonography at baseline (8.7%, 167/1910) had remission of type-2 diabetes during the follow-up period than patients without fatty liver (13.1%, 86/657). Fatty liver at baseline was associated with a lower odds of remission of type-2 diabetes (multivariable-adjusted OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.37-0.72). A higher proportion of patients who had improvement of fatty liver had remission of type-2 diabetes (21.1%, 32/152) than patients with no improvement of fatty liver (7.7%, 129/1681). Improvement of fatty liver was associated with a higher odds of remission of type-2 diabetes (multivariable-adjusted OR, 3.08; 95% CI, 1.94-4.88). CONCLUSIONS: Over a follow-up period of approximate 2 years, remission of type-2 diabetes was less common in people with fatty liver detected by ultrasonography, and improvement of fatty liver was independently associated with type-2 diabetes remission.

Prediction of new onset of diabetes mellitus during a 10-year period by using a combination of levels of alanine aminotransferase and γ-glutamyl transferase.

Levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT) have been reported to be associated with increased risk of diabetes mellitus (DM). However, whether a combination of levels of ALT and GGT predicts new onset of DM better than does ALT or GGT alone in both males and females has not fully been addressed. We investigated the relationship between the combination of ALT and GGT and DM development during a 10-year follow-up period in 13,919 subjects (male/female: 8,983/4,936; age 48 ± 10 years) who received health examinations. During the 10-year period, 617 males (6.9%) and 153 females (3.1%) had new onset of DM. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with a restricted cubic spline showed that hazard ratios (HRs) of DM development increased with higher levels of ALT and GGT at baseline in both sexes after adjustment of confounding factors. When divided into 4 subgroups of high (H-) and low (L-) levels of ALT (male/female: 27/21 U/L) and GGT (male/female: 43/23 U/L) using cutoff values shown by receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, the adjusted HR in the H-ALT/H-GGT group was significantly higher than HR in the L-ALT/L-GGT group as the reference in males (HR [95% confidence interval]: 1.73[1.36-2.20], p < 0.001) but was not significantly higher in females (1.50 [0.97-2.33], p = 0.065). The addition of the combination of H-ALT/H-GGT to traditional risk factors with and without H-ALT or H-GGT alone significantly improved the discriminatory capability for predicting development of DM. In conclusion, the combination of H-ALT/H-GGT efficiently predicts development of DM in male individuals but not significantly in female individuals.

Association between pancreatic fat and incidence of metabolic syndrome: a 5-year Japanese cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Previous cross-sectional studies showed that pancreatic fat was associated with metabolic syndrome. However, no longitudinal study has evaluated whether people with high pancreatic fat are likely to develop future metabolic syndrome. This study investigated the association between baseline pancreatic fat and metabolic syndrome incidence. METHODS: In 2008-2009, 320 participants without metabolic syndrome underwent health checks, which included unenhanced computed tomography, and were followed up annually for 4-5 years. Baseline pancreatic fat amounts were evaluated using a histologically validated method that measured differences between pancreas and spleen attenuations on computed tomography. The participants were divided into low (reference), intermediate, and high pancreatic fat groups based on pancreas and spleen attenuation tertiles. Metabolic syndrome incidence was evaluated annually over a median follow-up period of 4.99 (interquartile range, 4.88-5.05) years, in accordance with the 2009 harmonized criteria. Risk ratios (RRs) for the association between baseline pancreatic fat amounts and metabolic syndrome incidence were estimated using Poisson regression models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, liver fat, pre-metabolic syndrome, cigarette use, alcohol use, and physical activity. RESULTS: Metabolic syndrome incidence was 30.6% (98/320). Pancreatic fat was associated with an increased incidence of metabolic syndrome, based on a univariate analysis (RRs [95% confidence interval], 3.14 [1.74-5.67] and 3.96 [2.23-7.03] in the intermediate and high pancreatic fat groups, respectively). The association remained statistically significant in the multivariate analysis (RR [95% confidence interval], 2.04 [1.14-3.64] and 2.30 [1.28-4.14] for the same groups, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Pancreatic fat predicts the future risk of metabolic syndrome.

The impact of elevation of serum uric acid level on the natural history of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and its sex difference.

BACKGROUND: The impact of elevation of the serum uric acid level (SUA) on the natural history of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) remains controversial. METHODS: If elevation of SUA is a result, rather than a cause, of a decline in GFR, the relationship between SUA and GFR should be the same in the same population over years except for shifts by age-dependent reduction of GFR. We tested this hypothesis using data from two cohorts and a group of allopurinol-treated patients. RESULTS: In Cohort 1 consisting of urban residents aged 40.6 ± 9.0 years (n = 3 446), SUA was inversely correlated with estimated GFR (eGFR) in both men and women, and the slope of the SUA-eGFR relationship was steeper in women than in men. The slopes of the regression lines became significantly steeper after a 6-year interval in both sexes, and the change in the slope was larger in women. A similar sex difference in the SUA-eGFR relationship and 6-year change in the slope were observed in Cohort 2 consisting of rural town residents aged 61.7 ± 12.2 years (n = 404). Multiple regression analyses showed that explanatory factors of eGFR after a 6-year interval were age and SUA at baseline in both cohorts, and partial regression coefficients of SUA were more negative in women than in men. The SUA-eGFR relationship in allopurinol-treated patients (n = 346, 63.5 ± 13.3 years old) was similar to that in Cohort 2. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that elevation of SUA accelerates the yearly decline in eGFR and that women are more susceptible to urate-induced decline in eGFR.

Calculated Small Dense Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Level is A Predominant Predictor for New Onset of Ischemic Heart Disease.

AIM: A high level of directly measured small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) is a strong risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD). However, it remains unclear whether estimated sdLDL-C level is a predictor for IHD. We investigated the associations of new onset of IHD with levels of total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides (TG), LDL-C and calculated sdLDL-C by Sampson's equation. METHODS: After exclusion of subjects with IHD or those with TG ≥ 800 mg/dL, a total of 18,176 subjects (men/women: 11,712/6,464, mean age: 46 years) were recruited among 28,990 Japanese individuals who received annual health checkups. RESULTS: During the 10-year follow-up period, 456 men (3.9%) and 121 women (1.9%) newly developed IHD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses after adjustment of age, sex, obesity, smoking habit, family history of IHD, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypertension and diabetes mellitus at baseline showed that the hazard ratio (HR) (1.38 [95% confidence interval: 1.03-1.85]) for new onset of IHD in subjects with the 4th quartile (Q4) of sdLDL-C (≥ 42 mg/dL) was significantly higher than that in subjects with the 1st quartile (Q1) (≤ 24 mg/dL) as the reference, though the adjusted HRs in subjects with Q2-Q4 of TC, HDL-C, non-HDL-C, LDL-C and TG were comparable with those in subjects with Q1 of the respective lipid fractions. The adjusted HR with a restricted cubic spline increased with a higher level of calculated sdLDL-C as a continuous value at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: sdLDL-C level calculated by Sampson's equation is a predominant predictor for the development of IHD in a general Japanese population.

A high level of thyroid-stimulating hormone is a risk factor for the development of chronic kidney disease in men: a 10-year cohort study.

Hypothyroidism has been reported to be associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the impact of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) on new onset of CKD and its gender dependence remain undetermined. We investigated the association of serum TSH level and the development of CKD defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or positive for urine protein in 28,990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After excluding subjects with no data for serum TSH, urinalysis and eGFR and those with CKD at baseline, a total of 10,392 subjects (men/women: 6802/3590, mean age: 48 years) were recruited. During a 10-year follow-up, 1185 men (6.7%) and 578 women (2.9%) newly developed CKD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models after adjustment of age, body mass index, smoking habit, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, ischemic heart disease and eGFR (≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2) showed that the hazard ratio (HR) for the development of CKD in the high TSH (> 4.2 mU/L) group was significantly higher than that in the low TSH (≤ 4.2 mU/L) group in men (HR [95% confidence interval]: 1.41 [1.09-1.83]) but not in women (1.08 [0.77-1.51]). There was a significant interaction between sex and the category of TSH level for the development of CKD (p = 0.02). The adjusted HR with a restricted cubic spline increased with a higher level of TSH in men but not in women. In conclusion, a high level of TSH is associated with an increased risk for the development of CKD in men but not in women.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is associated with an increase in systolic blood pressure over time: linear mixed-effects model analyses.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), a new feature of fatty liver (FL) disease that is defined as FL with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus or metabolic dysregulation, has been reported to be associated with the development of diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular disease. However, the association between MAFLD and hypertension remains unclear. We investigated the association between MAFLD and systolic blood pressure (SBP) over a 10-year period in 28,990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects without data for SBP and abdominal ultrasonography at baseline, a total of 17,021 subjects (men/women: 10,973/6048; mean age: 49 years) were recruited. Linear mixed-effects model analyses using diagnoses of FL, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or MAFLD and age, sex, SBP, use of anti-hypertensive drugs, levels of uric acid and estimated glomerular filtration rate, family history of hypertension and habits of current smoking and alcohol drinking at baseline as well as the duration of the observation period and the interaction between each covariate and the duration of the observation period showed that the significant association of change in SBP over time with diagnosis of MAFLD (estimate: 0.223 mmHg/year, P < 0.001) was greater than that with diagnoses of FL (estimate: 0.196 mmHg/year, P < 0.001) and NAFLD (estimate: 0.203 mmHg/year, P < 0.001). Furthermore, the rate of increase in SBP over time was higher in subjects with MAFLD than in subjects without FL and subjects with FL who had no MAFLD. In conclusion, MAFLD is significantly associated with an increase in SBP over time. The presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is significantly associated with an increase in systolic blood pressure over time.

An increase in calculated small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol predicts new onset of hypertension in a Japanese cohort.

A disorder of lipid metabolism is involved in cardiovascular diseases including hypertension. A high level of small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) is a strong risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. However, the association between sdLDL-C and hypertension has not been fully investigated. We investigated the associations between the development of hypertension during a 10-year period and levels of total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides (TG), and LDL-C and sdLDL-C calculated by using the Sampson equations in 28,990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects with missing data, those with hypertension, and those with TG ≥ 800 mg/dL at baseline, a total of 15,177 subjects (men/women: 9374/5803, mean age: 46 years) were recruited. During the 10-year period, 2379 men (25.4%) and 724 women (12.5%) had new onset of hypertension. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model analyses showed that levels of HDL-C, non-HDL-C, TG and sdLDL-C, but not levels of TC and LDL-C, were independent risk factors for the development of hypertension after adjustment of age, sex, family history of hypertension, systolic blood pressure, obesity, current smoking habit, alcohol drinking habit, estimated glomerular filtration rate, diagnosis of diabetes mellitus and use of lipid-lowering drugs and that the adjusted risk of sdLDL-C (per 1-standard deviation) was highest (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval: 1.09 [1.05-1.13]). The addition of sdLDL-C to traditional risk factors for hypertension significantly improved the discriminatory capability, which was better than that of other lipid fractions. In conclusion, a high level of calculated sdLDL-C predicts the development of hypertension.

Coexistence of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease and Chronic Kidney Disease Is a More Potent Risk Factor for Ischemic Heart Disease.

Background Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), defined as fatty liver with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes, or metabolic abnormalities, is a newly proposed disease. However, it remains unclear whether the coexistence of MAFLD and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a more potent risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD). Methods and Results We investigated the risk of the combination of MAFLD and CKD for development of IHD during a 10-year follow-up period in 28 990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects without data for abdominal ultrasonography or with the presence of IHD at baseline, a total of 14 141 subjects (men/women: 9195/4946; mean age, 48 years) were recruited. During the 10-year period (mean, 6.9 years), 479 subjects (men/women, 397/82) had new onset of IHD. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significant differences in rates of the cumulative incidence of IHD in subjects with and those without MAFLD (n=4581) and CKD (n=990; stages 1/2/3/4-5, 198/398/375/19). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model analyses showed that coexistence of MAFLD and CKD, but not MAFLD or CKD alone, was an independent predictor for development of IHD after adjustment for age, sex, current smoking habit, family history of IHD, overweight/obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia (hazard ratio, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.02-2.22]). The addition of the combination of MAFLD and CKD to traditional risk factors for IHD significantly improved the discriminatory capability. Conclusions The coexistence of MAFLD and CKD predicts new onset of IHD better than does MAFLD or CKD alone.

Serum uric acid level is associated with an increase in systolic blood pressure over time in female subjects: Linear mixed-effects model analyses.

Whether hyperuricemia is a true risk factor for elevated blood pressure (BP) is controversial, and the sex-specific effects of serum uric acid (SUA) on BP during a follow-up period remain unclear. We investigated whether the association of SUA level with systolic or diastolic BP during a 10-year period differs by sex in a Japanese general population of individuals who received annual health examinations (n = 28,990). After exclusion of subjects who had no BP or SUA data at baseline, a total of 22,994 subjects (male/female: 14,603/8391, age: 47 ± 11 years) were recruited. After adjustment for age; body mass index; BP; SUA level; use of drugs for hyperuricemia and hypertension; diagnosis of diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease; family history of hypertension; habits of current smoking and alcohol consumption at baseline; the duration of the observation period; and the interaction between each covariate and the duration of the observation period indicated a significant association of SUA level with change in systolic or diastolic BP over time. There was a significant interaction between sex and SUA level for the change in systolic BP (P = 0.003) but not the change in diastolic BP (P = 0.081). The SUA level at baseline (per 1 mg/dL) was significantly associated with a change in systolic BP over time in females (estimate: 0.073 mmHg/year, P = 0.003) but not in males (estimate: 0.020 mmHg/year, P = 0.160). In conclusion, a high SUA level at baseline is significantly associated with an increase in systolic BP over time in female individuals but not in male individuals.

High fibrosis-4 index predicts the new onset of ischaemic heart disease during a 10-year period in a general population.

Aims: The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, calculated using age, platelet count, and levels of aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase, is a non-invasive indicator for the detection of liver fibrosis. Advanced hepatic fibrosis is associated with morbidity and mortality in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. However, the relationship between liver fibrosis and the development of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) has not fully been addressed. Methods and results: We investigated the association between the FIB-4 index and the new onset of IHD during a 10-year period in a general population of subjects who received annual health examinations (n = 28 990). After exclusion of subjects with missing data and those with a history of IHD at baseline, a total of 13 448 subjects (men/women: 8774/4674, mean age: 48 years) were included. During the 10-year period, 378 men (4.3%) and 77 women (1.6%) had a new onset of IHD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with a restricted cubic spline showed that hazard risk for the development of IHD increased with a higher FIB-4 index at baseline after adjustment of age, sex, fatty liver (FL) determined by ultrasonography, estimated glomerular filtration rate, habits of current smoking and alcohol drinking, family history of IHD, and diagnosis of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidaemia. When divided by FL, the FIB-4 index becomes an independent predictor for the development of IHD in subjects with FL but not in those without FL. The addition of the FIB-4 index to traditional risk factors for IHD significantly improved the discriminatory capability. Conclusion: A high level of the FIB-4 index predicts the new onset of IHD during a 10-year period.

Increased LDL-cholesterol level is associated with deterioration of renal function in males.

Background: Relationships between levels of serum lipid fractions and the time course of renal function are discrepant in the literature. Here we examined this issue by analyses of healthy subjects in a cohort. Methods: Of all subjects who received health examinations at Keijinkai Maruyama Clinic, Sapporo in 2006, subjects with hypertension, diabetes mellitus or chronic kidney disease (CKD) and those taking medication for dyslipidemia were excluded and a total of 5586 subjects (male/female: 3563/2023, mean age: 43 ± 8 years) were followed for 10 years. Results: Linear mixed effect models showed that baseline low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) level was negatively associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) during the 10-year follow-up period after adjustment for confounders. Interactions between the follow-up year and baseline level of LDL-C or high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C) for eGFR values during the follow-up period were significant in males but not in females. There were no significant interactions for eGFR between the follow-up year and baseline levels of total cholesterol, triglycerides, or HDL-C/triglycerides ratio. During the follow-up period, 346 males and 223 females developed CKD. When male subjects were divided into subgroups according to tertiles of baseline levels of LDL-C, the adjusted risk for CKD in the third tertial group was significantly higher than that in the first tertile group as a reference [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 1.39 (1.02-1.90), P = .035]. Such a difference was not observed for LDL-C tertiles in females or HDL-C tertiles in both sexes. Conclusions: A high LDL-C level may be a risk factor for new-onset CKD in apparently healthy males.

Fat Distribution Patterns and Future Type 2 Diabetes.

Fat accumulation in the liver, pancreas, skeletal muscle, and visceral bed relates to type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the distribution of fat among these compartments is heterogenous and whether specific distribution patterns indicate high T2D risk is unclear. We therefore investigated fat distribution patterns and their link to future T2D. From 2,168 individuals without diabetes who underwent computed tomography in Japan, this case-cohort study included 658 randomly selected individuals and 146 incident cases of T2D over 6 years of follow-up. Using data-driven analysis (k-means) based on fat content in the liver, pancreas, muscle, and visceral bed, we identified four fat distribution clusters: hepatic steatosis, pancreatic steatosis, trunk myosteatosis, and steatopenia. In comparisons with the steatopenia cluster, the adjusted hazard ratios for incident T2D were 4.02 (95% CI 2.27-7.12) for the hepatic steatosis cluster, 3.38 (1.65-6.91) for the pancreatic steatosis cluster, and 1.95 (1.07-3.54) for the trunk myosteatosis cluster. The clusters were replicated in 319 German individuals without diabetes who underwent MRI and metabolic phenotyping. The distribution of the glucose area under the curve across the four clusters found in Germany was similar to the distribution of T2D risk across the four clusters in Japan. Insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion differed across the four clusters. Thus, we identified patterns of fat distribution with different T2D risks presumably due to differences in insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion.

Relationship between Brachial-Ankle Pulse Wave Velocity and Fundus Arteriolar Area Calculated Using a Deep-Learning Algorithm.

PURPOSE: Retinal vessels reflect alterations related to hypertension and arteriosclerosis in the physical status. Previously, we had reported a deep-learning algorithm for automatically detecting retinal vessels and measuring the total retinal vascular area in fundus photographs (VAFP). Herein, we investigated the relationship between VAFP and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV), which is the gold standard for arterial stiffness assessment in clinical practice. METHODS: Retinal photographs (n = 696) obtained from 372 individuals who visited the Keijinkai Maruyama Clinic for regular health checkups were used to analyze VAFP. Additionally, the baPWV was measured for each patient. Automatic retinal-vessel segmentation was performed using our deep-learning algorithm, and the total arteriolar area (AA) and total venular area (VA) were measured. Correlations between baPWV and several parameters, including AA and VA, were assessed. RESULTS: The baPWV was negatively correlated with AA (R = -0.40, n = 696, P < 2.2e-16) and VA (R = -0.36, n = 696, P < 2.2e-16). Independent variables (AA, sex, age, and systolic blood pressure) selected using the stepwise method showed a significant correlation with baPWV. The estimated baPWV, calculated using a regression equation with variables including AA, showed a better correlation with the measured baPWV (R = 0.70, n = 696, P < 2.2e-16) than the estimated value without AA (R = 0.68, n = 696, P < 2.2e-16). CONCLUSIONS: AA and VA were significantly correlated with baPWV. Moreover, baPWV estimated using AA correlated well with the actual baPWV. VAFP may serve as an alternative biomarker for evaluating systemic arterial stiffness.

A Deep Learning Architecture for Vascular Area Measurement in Fundus Images.

Purpose: To develop a novel evaluation system for retinal vessel alterations caused by hypertension using a deep learning algorithm. Design: Retrospective study. Participants: Fundus photographs (n = 10 571) of health-check participants (n = 5598). Methods: The participants were analyzed using a fully automatic architecture assisted by a deep learning system, and the total area of retinal arterioles and venules was assessed separately. The retinal vessels were extracted automatically from each photograph and categorized as arterioles or venules. Subsequently, the total arteriolar area (AA) and total venular area (VA) were measured. The correlations among AA, VA, age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure were analyzed. Six ophthalmologists manually evaluated the arteriovenous ratio (AVR) in fundus images (n = 102), and the correlation between the SBP and AVR was evaluated manually. Main Outcome Measures: Total arteriolar area and VA. Results: The deep learning algorithm demonstrated favorable properties of vessel segmentation and arteriovenous classification, comparable with pre-existing techniques. Using the algorithm, a significant positive correlation was found between AA and VA. Both AA and VA demonstrated negative correlations with age and blood pressure. Furthermore, the SBP showed a higher negative correlation with AA measured by the algorithm than with AVR. Conclusions: The current data demonstrated that the retinal vascular area measured with the deep learning system could be a novel index of hypertension-related vascular changes.