Conditional Survival With Increasing Duration of ICU Admission: An Observational Study of Three Intensive Care Databases.

OBJECTIVES: Prolonged admissions to an ICU are associated with high resource utilization and personal cost to the patient. Previous reports suggest increasing length of stay may be associated with poor outcomes. Conditional survival represents the probability of future survival after a defined period of treatment on an ICU providing a description of how prognosis evolves over time. Our objective was to describe conditional survival as length of ICU stay increased. DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study of three large intensive care databases. SETTING: Three intensive care databases, two in the United States (Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III and electronic ICU) and one in United Kingdom (Post Intensive Care Risk-Adjusted Alerting and Monitoring). PATIENTS: Index admissions to intensive care for patients 18 years or older. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 11,648, 38,532, and 165,125 index admissions were analyzed from Post Intensive Care Risk-Adjusted Alerting and Monitoring, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III and electronic ICU databases respectively. In all three cohorts, conditional survival declined over the first 5-10 days after ICU admission and changed little thereafter. In patients greater than or equal to 75 years old conditional survival continued to decline with increasing length of stay. CONCLUSIONS: After an initial period of 5-10 days, probability of future survival does not appear to decrease with increasing length of stay in unselected patients admitted to ICUs in United Kingdom and United States [corrected]. These findings were consistent between the three populations and suggest that a prolonged admission to an ICU is not a reason for a pessimism in younger patients but may indicate a poor prognosis in the older population.

An exploration of social and economic outcome and associated health-related quality of life after critical illness in general intensive care unit survivors: a 12-month follow-up study.

INTRODUCTION: The socio-economic impact of critical illnesses on patients and their families in Europe has yet to be determined. The aim of this exploratory study was to estimate changes in family circumstances, social and economic stability, care requirements and access to health services for patients during their first 12 months after ICU discharge. METHODS: Multi-center questionnaire-based study of survivors of critical illness at 6 and 12 months after ICU discharge. RESULTS: Data for 293 consenting patients who spent greater than 48 hours in one of 22 UK ICUs were obtained at 6 and 12 months post-ICU discharge. There was little evidence of a change in accommodation or relationship status between pre-admission and 12 months following discharge from an ICU. A negative impact on family income was reported by 33% of all patients at 6 months and 28% at 12 months. There was nearly a 50% reduction in the number of patients who reported employment as their sole source of income at 12 months (19% to 11%) compared with pre-admission. One quarter of patients reported themselves in need of care assistance at 6 months and 22% at 12 months. The majority of care was provided by family members (80% and 78%, respectively), for half of whom there was a negative impact on employment. Amongst all patients receiving care, 26% reported requiring greater than 50 hours a week. Following discharge, 79% of patients reported attending their primary care physician and 44% had seen a community nurse. Mobility problems nearly doubled between pre-admission and 6 months (32% to 64%). Furthermore, 73% reported moderate or severe pain at 12 months and 44% remained significantly anxious or depressed. CONCLUSIONS: Survivors of critical illness in the UK face a negative impact on employment and commonly have a care requirement after discharge from hospital. This has a corresponding negative impact on family income. The majority of the care required is provided by family members. This effect was apparent by 6 months and had not materially improved by 12 months. This exploratory study has identified the potential for a significant socio-economic burden following critical illness.

Regional citrate anticoagulation versus systemic heparin anticoagulation for continuous kidney replacement therapy in intensive care.

PURPOSE: Many intensive care units (ICUs) have transitioned from systemic heparin anticoagulation (SHA) to regional citrate anticoagulation (RCA) for continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT). We evaluated the clinical and health economic impacts of ICU transition to RCA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We surveyed all adult general ICUs in England and Wales to identify transition dates and conducted a micro-costing study in eight ICUs. We then conducted an interrupted time-series analysis of linked, routinely collected health records. RESULTS: In 69,001 patients who received CKRT (8585 RCA, 60,416 SHA) in 181 ICUs between 2009 and 2017, transition to RCA was not associated with a change in 90-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio 0.98, 95% CI 0.89-1.08) but was associated with step-increases in duration of kidney support (0.53 days, 95% CI 0.28-0.79), advanced cardiovascular support (0.23 days, 95% CI 0.09-0.38) and ICU length of stay (0.86 days, 95% CI 0.24-1.49). The estimated one-year incremental net monetary benefit per patient was £ - 2376 (95% CI £ - 3841-£ - 911), with an estimated likelihood of cost-effectiveness of <0.1%. CONCLUSIONS: Transition to RCA was associated with significant increases in healthcare resource use, without corresponding clinical benefit, and is highly unlikely to be cost-effective over a one-year time horizon.

Hospital outcomes associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation during ICU admission: A multicentre competing risks analysis.

PURPOSE: New onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in critically ill patients has been associated with increased short-term mortality. Analyses that do not take into account the time-varying nature of NOAF can underestimate its association with hospital outcomes. We investigated the prognostic association of NOAF with hospital outcomes using competing risks methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study in three general adult intensive care units (ICUs) in the UK from June 2008 to December 2015. We excluded patients with known prior atrial fibrillation or an arrhythmia within four hours of ICU admission. To account for the effect of NOAF on the rate of death per unit time and the rate of discharge alive per unit time we calculated subdistribution hazard ratios (SDHRs). RESULTS: Of 7541 patients that fulfilled our inclusion criteria, 831 (11.0%) developed NOAF during their ICU admission. NOAF was associated with an increased duration of hospital stay (CSHR 0.68 (95% CI 0.63-0.73)) and an increased rate of in-hospital death per unit time (CSHR 1.57 (95% CI 1.37-1.1.81)). This resulted in a strong prognostic association with dying in hospital (adjusted SDHR 2.04 (1.79-2.32)). NOAF lasting over 30 min was associated with increased hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Using robust methods we demonstrate a stronger prognostic association between NOAF and hospital outcomes than previously reported.

Prophylactic use of platelets in critically ill patients with thrombocytopaenia: A retrospective two-centre observational study.

PURPOSE: We report the use and effect of prophylactic platelet transfusions in critically ill thrombocytopaenic patients, comparing patients with or without bone marrow failure as a cause of thrombocytopaenia. METHODS: A retrospective observational study of admissions to three intensive care units (ICU) in the UK. We identified thrombocytopaenic patients who received a platelet transfusion and extracted the platelet count prior and subsequent to platelet transfusion. We grouped patients with or without suspected bone marrow failure, defined by a total white cell count ≤1.0 × 109/L. RESULTS: Of 11,757 admissions, 399 (3.4%) patients received a platelet transfusion for thrombocytopaenia. The median [IQR] platelet count prior to transfusion in patients without bone marrow failure was 42 [28-64] × 109/L versus 14 [7-24] × 109/L (p < .0001) in those with. The median [IQR] increment in platelets following transfusion was lower in patients with marrow failure (12 [-1-23] × 109/L) compared to those without (18 [5-36] × 109/L) (p = .006). CONCLUSIONS: Platelet transfusions were given at a higher median platelet count than suggested by guidelines. Patients with bone marrow failure were transfused at a lower threshold and experienced a smaller increment in platelet count when compared to patients without marrow failure.