The natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis: an international collaborative study.

UNLABELLED: Information on the long-term prognosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is limited. We sought to describe the long-term morbidity and mortality of patients with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis by prospectively studying 247 such patients from four international centers (in Australia, USA, UK and Italy). Their natural history was then compared with 264 patients with HCV infection who were either naïve or non-responders to treatment. Both cohorts were Child-Pugh class A and had advanced fibrosis (stage 3) or cirrhosis (stage 4) confirmed by liver biopsy at enrollment. In the NAFLD cohort, followed up for a mean of 85.6 months (range, 6-297), there were 48 (19.4%) liver-related complications and 33 (13.4%) deaths or liver transplants. In the HCV cohort, followed up for 74.9 months (mean; range, 6-238), there were 47 (16.7%) liver-related complications and 25 (9.4%) deaths or liver transplants. When adjusting for baseline differences in age and gender, the cumulative incidence of liver-related complications was lower in the NAFLD than the HCV cohort (P = 0.03), including incident hepatocellular cancer (6 versus 18; P = 0.03), but that of cardiovascular events (P = 0.17) and overall mortality (P = 0.6) were similar in both groups. In the NAFLD cohort, platelet count, stage 4 fibrosis, lowered platelet count, and lowered serum cholesterol and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were associated with liver-related complications; an aspartate aminotransferase/ALT ratio >1 and older age were associated with overall mortality, and higher serum bilirubin levels and stage 4 fibrosis were associated with liver-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis have lower rates of liver-related complications and hepatocellular cancer than corresponding patients with HCV infection, but similar overall mortality. Some clinical and laboratory features predict liver-related complications and other outcomes in patients with NAFLD.

Genotype-specific interactions of insulin resistance, steatosis, and fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C.

UNLABELLED: The interaction between insulin resistance (IR), steatosis and genotype to fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has not been comprehensively assessed. We hypothesized that IR is a key mediator for the development of both steatosis and fibrosis in 346 untreated, nondiabetic patients solely infected with either genotype 1 or 3. We examined for genotype-specific interactions between IR, steatosis and fibrosis by performing subgroup analyses. Because cirrhosis is known to cause IR, we repeated the analysis in a cohort of 313 noncirrhotic HCV-infected patients. We confirmed the impact of IR on fibrosis by analysis of 153 lean subjects in whom any effect of steatosis would be minimized. In HCV genotype 3 patients, increased steatosis was linked to high viral load (P = 0.001), and was not associated with fibrosis (P = 0.1). In contrast, body mass index (P = 0.04) and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) (P = 0.01) contributed directly to steatosis in HCV genotype 1. HOMA-IR rather than steatosis was independently associated with fibrosis for both HCV genotype 1 (OR, 3.22; P = 0.02) and genotype 3 (OR, 3.17; P = 0.04). Exclusion of cirrhotic subjects did not alter the findings with respect to the greater contribution of IR compared to hepatic steatosis, as a predictor of fibrosis (P = 0.02). Genotype-specific subgroup analyses did not alter this finding. The extent of HOMA-IR remained significantly associated with fibrosis in lean patients, independent of the confounding effect of body mass index on IR (OR, 8.02; P = 0.003). CONCLUSION: IR is a major independent determinant of fibrosis in chronic HCV infection, regardless of the genotype and the severity of liver damage.

Insulin resistance and liver injury in hepatitis C is not associated with virus-specific changes in adipocytokines.

UNLABELLED: The role of tumor necrosis factor alpha, interleukin 6, leptin, and adiponectin in the pathogenesis of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated insulin resistance (IR) remains controversial. We tested the hypothesis that these adipocytokines contribute to chronic HCV-associated IR and liver injury by first comparing their serum levels and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in 154 untreated, non-diabetic, HCV-infected male subjects with fibrosis stage 0-2, to that in 75 healthy volunteers matched for age, body mass index (BMI), and waist-hip ratio (WHR). We next examined whether the adipocytokine levels were associated with the extent of hepatic steatosis, portal/periportal inflammation and fibrosis in our total cohort of 240 HCV-infected male subjects. Significantly higher levels of HOMA-IR (2.12 versus 1.63, P = 0.01), TNFalpha (1.28 versus 0.60 pg/ml, P < 0.001) and IL6 (2.42 versus 1.15 pg/ml, P = 0.001) were noted in the HCV cohort compared with healthy controls respectively, but there were no significant differences in leptin and adiponectin concentrations. By multiple linear regression, independent predictors of HOMA-IR included the body mass index, and the serum levels of leptin (positive correlation) and adiponectin (negative correlation), but not that of TNFalpha and IL6. Only TNFalpha levels were correlated with the extent of histological injury (portal/periportal inflammation, P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Whereas leptin and adiponectin contribute to IR, none of the adipocytokines accounted for the elevated IR in HCV-infected subjects. The adipocytokines were not associated with histological features of chronic HCV infection except for TNFalpha which correlated with portal/periportal inflammation. HCV-associated IR is most likely an adipocytokine-independent effect of the virus to modulate insulin sensitivity.

The NAFLD fibrosis score: a noninvasive system that identifies liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD.

UNLABELLED: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and advanced liver fibrosis are at the highest risk for progressing to end-stage liver disease. We constructed and validated a scoring system consisting of routinely measured and readily available clinical and laboratory data to separate NAFLD patients with and without advanced fibrosis. A total of 733 patients with NAFLD confirmed by liver biopsy were divided into 2 groups to construct (n = 480) and validate (n = 253) a scoring system. Routine demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were analyzed by multivariate modeling to predict presence or absence of advanced fibrosis. Age, hyperglycemia, body mass index, platelet count, albumin, and AST/ALT ratio were independent indicators of advanced liver fibrosis. A scoring system with these 6 variables had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 and 0.82 in the estimation and validation groups, respectively. By applying the low cutoff score (-1.455), advanced fibrosis could be excluded with high accuracy (negative predictive value of 93% and 88% in the estimation and validation groups, respectively). By applying the high cutoff score (0.676), the presence of advanced fibrosis could be diagnosed with high accuracy (positive predictive value of 90% and 82% in the estimation and validation groups, respectively). By applying this model, a liver biopsy would have been avoided in 549 (75%) of the 733 patients, with correct prediction in 496 (90%). CONCLUSION: a simple scoring system accurately separates patients with NAFLD with and without advanced fibrosis, rendering liver biopsy for identification of advanced fibrosis unnecessary in a substantial proportion of patients.

Beyond insulin resistance in NASH: TNF-alpha or adiponectin?

Adiponectin has antilipogenic and anti-inflammatory effects, while tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) reduces insulin sensitivity and has proinflammatory effects. We examined (1) the extent to which hypoadiponectinemia and TNF-alpha activation are features of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and (2) whether serum levels of these markers correlate with the severity of histological changes in 109 subjects with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), including 80 with NASH and 29 with simple steatosis. By multivariate analysis, subjects with NASH had reduced adiponectin level and increased TNF-alpha and soluble TNF receptor 2 (sTNFR2)-but not leptin levels, compared with controls matched by age, sex, and body mass index; these differences were independent of the increased insulin resistance (by homeostasis model [HOMA-IR]) in NASH. When compared with simple steatosis, NASH was associated with lower adiponectin levels and higher HOMA-IR, but there were no significant differences in the levels of TNF-alpha and sTNFR2. The majority of subjects with steatohepatitis (77%) had adiponectin levels less than 10 microg/mL and HOMA-IR greater than 3 units, but only 33% of those with pure steatosis had these findings. HOMA-IR and low serum adiponectin were also independently associated with increased grades of hepatic necroinflammation. In conclusion, hypoadiponectinemia is a feature of NASH independent of insulin resistance. Reduced adiponectin level is associated with more extensive necroinflammation and may contribute to the development of necroinflammatory forms of NAFLD.

Changes in serum albumin during treatment of chronic hepatitis B with lamivudine: effects of response and emergence of drug resistance.

OBJECTIVES: In chronic hepatitis B patients treated with lamivudine, the incidence of drug resistance increases with the duration of therapy. The effect of drug resistance on hepatic synthetic function is not well defined. The aim of the present study was to assess the effect of lamivudine therapy on hepatic synthetic function in patients with moderately severe chronic hepatitis B and, particularly, to determine the effect of drug resistance. METHODS: Hepatic synthetic function was assessed using serial measurements of serum albumin in 38 patients (26 with cirrhosis) in an open-label treatment program. RESULTS: An initial antiviral response (hepatitis B virus [HBV] DNA undetectable by hybridization assay) occurred in all patients, and nine of 22 (41%) hepatitis B e antigen-positive cases underwent hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion. Among 29 patients with undetectable serum HBV DNA at the end of observation, the mean serum albumin concentration rose from 39.9 +/- 0.7 to 43.2 +/- 0.6 g/L, corresponding to a yearly increase of 1.85 g/L (p < 0.001). This was largely attributable to an increase among cirrhotic patients. Nine patients (24%) developed resistance to lamivudine, all after 12 months of treatment. Among them, the mean serum albumin concentration had increased from 39.6 +/- 1.2 to 42.9 +/- 0.8 g/L before resistance emerged, but then decreased to 39.3 +/- 1.7 g/L (p = 0.01) at the time of reappearance of HBV DNA. CONCLUSION: Suppression of viral replication by lamivudine improves hepatic synthetic function in chronic hepatitis B patients, but emergence of drug resistance is associated with a rapid decline in serum albumin, at least to pretreatment levels.

Genotype-specific mechanisms for hepatic steatosis in chronic hepatitis C infection.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic steatosis is common in hepatitis C, but the relative importance of host and viral factors is controversial. In the present prospective study, we examined metabolic factors associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver and viral genotype as predictors of steatosis and fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C infection. METHODS: In 124 chronic hepatitis C patients, the association between liver histology and the following was investigated: demographic and anthropometric data, alcohol intake, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, triglyceride, transferrin saturation, ferritin, insulin, c-peptide, glucose and insulin resistance (homeostasis model). RESULTS: By multivariate analysis, genotype 3 was associated with increased steatosis grade (P = 0.02). There were significant pairwise interactions between genotype 3 status and total cholesterol (P = 0.01), current alcohol intake (P = 0.04) and serum ALT (P = 0.01). This showed that the etiology of steatosis was different in patients with genotype 3 and those with non-genotype 3 chronic hepatitis C infection. In genotype 3 patients, the degree of steatosis was inversely associated with serum cholesterol (P = 0.005) and positively associated with serum triglyceride (P = 0.02). There was no association between body mass index (BMI) and the extent of steatosis. Among patients with other genotypes, the steatosis grade was strongly influenced by BMI (P < 0.0001) and serum ALT (P < 0.01). Independent predictors of fibrosis were age (P = 0.001), past alcohol intake (P = 0.04), ALT (P = 0.002), serum insulin (P = 0.001) and portal inflammation (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Hepatitis C genotype 3 may interfere with pathways of hepatic lipid metabolism, whereas increased BMI appears to be a more important pathogenic factor in other genotypes. Although steatosis and BMI were not associated with hepatic fibrosis, their relationship with serum insulin suggests that metabolic factors related to insulin action could influence fibrogenesis in hepatitis C.

Long-term outcomes of cirrhosis in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis compared with hepatitis C.

Data on the long-term outcome of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-associated cirrhosis are few, and most reports describe cases of cryptogenic cirrhosis associated with risk factors for NASH but without histologic definition. In this prospective cohort study, we describe the long-term morbidity and mortality of 23 patients with NASH-associated cirrhosis defined by strict clinicopathologic criteria. Outcomes were compared with 46 age- and gender-matched patients with cirrhosis from chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection: 23 untreated and 23 nonresponders to antiviral therapy. During follow-up (mean, 84 months; median, 60 months; range, 5-177 months), 9 of the 23 NASH-associated cirrhosis cases developed liver-related morbidity (8 ascites and/or encephalopathy, 1 variceal bleeding). The probability of complication-free survival was 83%, 77%, and 48% at 1, 3, and 10 years, respectively, and the cumulative probability of overall survival was 95%, 90%, and 84% at 1, 3, and 10 years, respectively. Five deaths were from liver failure, 1 from a non-liver-related cause. By multivariate analysis, bilirubin (P =.02) and platelet (P =.04) were independent predictors of complication-free survival; bilirubin (P =.05) was the only predictor for overall survival. After controlling for these factors, there was no difference in complication-free or overall survival between the NASH-cirrhosis cohort and either group of HCV-cirrhosis. However, 8 cases of liver cancer occurred in the HCV-cirrhosis groups compared with none among NASH cases. In conclusion, liver failure is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in NASH-associated cirrhosis. The prognosis is either similar or less severe than HCV-cirrhosis, except that HCC appears less common.

Insulin resistance is associated with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and fibrosis progression [corrected].

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chronic hepatitis C virus infection is associated with an increased prevalence of type 2 diabetes. We hypothesized that virus-induced insulin resistance may be a mechanism for fibrogenesis in chronic hepatitis C virus infection. METHODS: In 260 hepatitis C virus-infected subjects, we examined the relationship between histological findings and anthropometric and biochemical data, including insulin resistance determined by the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA-IR). We also compared fasting serum insulin, C peptide, and HOMA-IR levels between the subset of 121 hepatitis C virus patients with stage 0 or 1 hepatic fibrosis and 137 healthy volunteers matched by sex, body mass index, and waist-hip ratio. RESULTS: Hepatitis C virus-infected subjects with stage 0 or 1 hepatic fibrosis had higher levels of insulin, C peptide, and HOMA-IR (all P < or = 0.01) compared with matched healthy controls. In the 250 hepatitis C virus patients (fibrosis stage 0 to 4), viral genotype and portal, but not lobular, inflammation were univariate predictors of HOMA-IR. By multiple linear regression analysis, independent predictors of HOMA-IR included body mass index (P < 0.001), previous failed antiviral treatment (P < 0.001), portal inflammatory grade (P < 0.001), and genotype 3 status (P = 0.01). Genotype 3 had significantly lower HOMA-IR than other genotypes (which were comparable when adjusted for effects of the remaining independent predictors). HOMA-IR was an independent predictor for the degree of fibrosis (P < 0.001) and the rate of fibrosis progression (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Hepatitis C virus may induce insulin resistance irrespective of the severity of liver disease, and this effect seems to be genotype specific. Further, our findings support the hypothesis that insulin resistance may contribute to fibrotic progression in chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

Improved prediction of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C using measures of insulin resistance in a probability index.

We sought to develop a clinically useful index comprising standard and physiologically relevant variables to predict the probability of significant hepatic fibrosis in subjects with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Fibrosis was graded as mild (stages F0 or F1) or significant (stages F2-F4). Thirty-five clinical and laboratory parameters were analyzed initially in 176 patients with detectable HCV RNA to derive a fibrosis probability index (FPI) to predict significant fibrosis. This index then was validated in a second group of 126 subjects. Among 18 variables associated with severe fibrosis on univariate analysis, multiple logistic regression analysis identified age, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total cholesterol level, insulin resistance (by homeostasis model), and past alcohol intake as independent predictors of significant fibrosis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was 0.84 for the initial cohort and 0.77 for the validation cohort. In the initial cohort, the sensitivity of the FPI based on these five predictors was 96%, and the negative predictive value was 93% at a score of >/=0.2. At scores >/=0.8, the FPI was 94% specific and had a positive predictive value of 87%. In conclusion, an FPI using routinely assessed markers and incorporating a measure of insulin resistance can reliably predict the probability of significant hepatic fibrosis in most patients with chronic HCV infection. Such an index should prove useful to guide decision making regarding the need for liver biopsy, and potentially for avoiding or deferring biopsy in a large proportion of patients with mild liver disease.

NASH and insulin resistance: Insulin hypersecretion and specific association with the insulin resistance syndrome.

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is often linked with disorders that are clearly associated with insulin resistance (IR): obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and hypertriglyceridemia. We tested the hypotheses that (1) IR is an essential requirement for the development of NASH and (2) a high association between IR and liver disease is relatively specific for NASH. We measured body mass index (BMI), waist/hip ratio, and fasting serum lipid, insulin, C-peptide, and glucose levels in 66 patients with NASH (21 with advanced fibrosis and 45 with mild fibrosis). IR was determined by the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA). We also determined the strength of the association of NASH with insulin resistance syndrome (IRS) as defined by World Health Organization criteria. To assess whether the finding of IR was relatively specific to NASH rather than simply to obesity or liver disease, we compared the results of a subset of 36 patients with less-severe NASH with 36 age- and sex-matched patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) of comparable fibrotic severity. IR was confirmed in 65 patients (98%) with NASH, and 55 (87%) fulfilled minimum criteria for IRS. IR was found in lean as well as in overweight and obese patients. The IR values and the prevalence of IRS (75% vs. 8.3%) were significantly higher in those with NASH than in comparable cases of HCV. Hyperinsulinemia was attributable to increased insulin secretion rather than decreased hepatic extraction. In conclusion, most patients with NASH have IRS, and there is a near-universal association between NASH and IR irrespective of obesity. IR is present in mild as well as advanced cases of NASH but is unusual in chronic HCV of similar fibrotic severity.