External validation of the 0/1h-algorithm and derivation of a 0/2h-algorithm using a new point-of-care Hs-cTnI assay.

BACKGROUND: The high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) I point-of-care (POC) hs-cTnI-PATHFAST assay has recently become clinically available. METHODS: We aimed to externally validate the hs-cTnI-PATHFAST 0/1h-algorithm recently developed for the early diagnosis of non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and derive and validate a 0/2-algorithm in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute chest discomfort included in a multicenter diagnostic study. Two independent cardiologists centrally adjudicated the final diagnoses using all the clinical and study-specific information available including serial measurements of hs-cTnI-Architect. RESULTS: Among 1,532 patients (median age 60 years, 33% [n = 501] women), NSTEMI was the final diagnosis in 13%. External validation of the hs-cTnI-PATHFAST 0/1h-algorithm showed very high negative predictive value (NPV; 100% [95%CI, 99.5%-100%]) and sensitivity 100% (95%CI, 98.2%-100%) for rule-out of NSTEMI. Positive predictive value (PPV) and specificity for rule-in of NSTEMI were high (74.9% [95%CI, 68.3%-80.5%] and 96.4% [95%CI, 95.2%-97.3%], respectively). Among 1,207 patients (median age 61 years, 32% [n = 391] women) available for the derivation (n = 848) and validation (n = 359) of the hs-cTnI-PATHFAST 0/2h-algorithm, a 0h-concentration <3 ng/L or a 0h-concentration <4 ng/L with a 2h-delta <4ng/L ruled-out NSTEMI in 52% of patients with a NPV of 100% (95%CI, 98-100) and sensitivity of 100% (95%CI, 92.9%-100%) in the validation cohort. A 0h-concentration ≥90ng/L or a 2h-delta ≥ 55ng/L ruled-in 38 patients (11%): PPV 81.6% (95%CI, 66.6-90.8), specificity 97.7% (95%CI, 95.4-98.9%). CONCLUSIONS: The POC hs-cTnI-PATHFAST assay allows rapid and effective rule-out and rule-in of NSTEMI using both a 0/1h- and a 0/2h-algorithm with high NPV/sensitivity for rule-out and high PPV/specificity for rule-in. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00470587.

Association of preoperative beta-blocker use and cardiac complications after major noncardiac surgery: a prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiac complications after major noncardiac surgery are common and associated with high morbidity and mortality. How preoperative use of beta-blockers may impact perioperative cardiac complications remains unclear. METHODS: In a multicentre prospective cohort study, preoperative beta-blocker use was ascertained in consecutive patients at elevated cardiovascular risk undergoing major noncardiac surgery. Cardiac complications were prospectively monitored and centrally adjudicated by two independent experts. The primary endpoint was perioperative myocardial infarction or injury attributable to a cardiac cause (cardiac PMI) within the first three postoperative days. The secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiac events (MACE), defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, acute heart failure, life-threatening arrhythmia, and cardiovascular death and all-cause death after 365 days. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting to account for differences between patients receiving beta-blockers and those who did not. RESULTS: A total of 3839/10 272 (37.4%) patients (mean age 74 yr; 44.8% female) received beta-blockers before surgery. Patients on beta-blockers were older, and more likely to be male with established cardiorespiratory and chronic kidney disease. Cardiac PMI occurred in 1077 patients, with a weighted odds ratio of 1.03 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94-1.12, P=0.55) for patients on beta-blockers. Within 365 days of surgery, 971/10 272 (9.5%) MACE had occurred, with a weighted hazard ratio of 0.99 (95% CI 0.83-1.18, P=0.90) for patients on beta-blockers. CONCLUSION: Preoperative use of beta-blockers was not associated with decreased cardiac complications including cardiac perioperative myocardial infarction or injury and major adverse cardiac event. Additionally, preoperative use of beta-blockers was not associated with increased all-cause death within 30 and 365 days. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02573532.

Troponin in early presenters to rule out myocardial infarction.

AIMS: Whether a single cardiac troponin measurement can safely rule out myocardial infarction in patients presenting within a few hours of symptom onset is uncertain. The study aim was to assess the performance of troponin in early presenters. METHODS AND RESULTS: In patients with possible myocardial infarction, the diagnostic performance of a single measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I at presentation was evaluated and externally validated in those tested ≤3, 4-12, and >12 h from symptom onset. The limit-of-detection (2 ng/L), rule-out (5 ng/L), and sex-specific 99th centile (16 ng/L in women; 34 ng/L in men) thresholds were compared. In 41 103 consecutive patients [60 (17) years, 46% women], 12 595 (31%) presented within 3 h, and 3728 (9%) had myocardial infarction. In those presenting ≤3 h, a threshold of 2 ng/L had greater sensitivity and negative predictive value [99.4% (95% confidence interval 99.2%-99.5%) and 99.7% (99.6%-99.8%)] compared with 5 ng/L [96.5% (96.2%-96.8%) and 99.3% (99.1%-99.4%)]. In those presenting ≥3 h, the sensitivity and negative predictive value were similar for both thresholds. The sensitivity of the 99th centile was low in early and late presenters at 71.4% (70.6%-72.2%) and 92.5% (92.0%-93.0%), respectively. Findings were consistent in an external validation cohort of 7088 patients. CONCLUSION: In early presenters, a single measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I below the limit of detection may facilitate the safe rule out of myocardial infarction. The 99th centile should not be used to rule out myocardial infarction at presentation even in those presenting later following symptom onset.

Combining anatomical and biochemical markers in the detection and risk stratification of coronary artery disease.

AIM: We aimed to test the hypothesis if combining coronary artery calcium score (Ca-score) as a quantitative anatomical marker of coronary atherosclerosis with high-sensitive cardiac troponin as a quantitative biochemical marker of myocardial injury provided incremental value in the detection of functional relevant CAD (fCAD) and risk stratification. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients undergoing myocardial perfusion SPECT (MPS) without prior CAD were enrolled. The diagnosis of fCAD was based on the presence of ischemia on MPS and coronary angiography- fCAD was centrally adjudicated in the diagnostic and prognostic domain. Diagnostic accuracy was evaluated using the area under receiver-operating characteristic curve. The composite of cardiovascular death and non-fatal acute myocardial infarction (AMI) within 730 days were the primary prognostic endpoints.Among 1715 patients eligible for the diagnostic analysis, 399 patients had fCAD. The combination of Ca-Score and hs-cTnT had good diagnostic accuracy for the diagnosis of fCAD, AUC 0.79 (95 % CI 0.77-0.81), but no incremental value compared to the Ca-score alone (AUC 0.79 (95%CI 0.77-0.81, p=0.965). Similar results were observed using hs-cTnI (AUC 0.80, 95%CI 0.77-0.82) instead of hs-cTnT.Among 1709 patients (99.7%) with available follow-up, 59 patients (3.5%) suffered the composite primary prognostic endpoint (nonfatal AMI n=34, CV death n=28).Both, Ca-score and hs-cTnT had independent prognostic value. Increased risk was restricted to patients with elevation in both markers. CONCLUSION: The combination of the Ca-score with hs-cTnT increases the prognostic accuracy for future events defining fCAD, but does not provide incremental value versus the Ca-Score alone for the diagnosis of fCAD.

Incremental value of C-reactive protein to the MEESSI acute heart failure risk score.

AIMS: We hypothesized that the current gold standard for risk stratification of patients with acute heart failure (AHF), the Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF (MEESSI-AHF) risk score, can be further improved by adding systemic inflammation as quantified by C-reactive protein (CRP). METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective multicentre diagnostic study (BASEL V), AHF was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists. The MEESSI-AHF risk score was calculated using an established reduced and recalibrated model containing 12 independent risk factors. Model extension was performed by refitting and adding CRP in the logistic regression model with 30-day mortality as binary outcome. Discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness were used to assess the performance of the extended Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients (MEESSI) model. Validation was performed in an independent, retrospective and single-centre AHF cohort. Among 1208 AHF patients with complete data allowing calculation of the recalibrated MEESSI and the extended MEESSI models, the prognostic accuracy for 30-day mortality of the extended MEESSI model (c-statistic 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.87) was significantly higher compared to the recalibrated model (c-statistic 0.79, 95% CI 0.75-0.83, p = 0.013). The extended model allowed to stratify a higher percentage of patients into the lowest risk group compared to the recalibrated model (33.1% vs. 20.3%). Demonstrating a calibration plot's slope of 1.00 (95% CI 0.81-1.19) and an intercept of 0.0 (95% CI -0.22 to 0.22), the extended MEESSI model achieved excellent and improved calibration. Results were confirmed in the independent validation cohort (n = 575). CONCLUSIONS: Quantifying inflammation using CRP concentration provided incremental value in AHF risk stratification using the established MEESSI model.

Prediction of perioperative myocardial infarction/injury in high-risk patients after noncardiac surgery.

AIMS: Perioperative myocardial infarction/injury (PMI) is a surprisingly common yet difficult-to-predict cardiac complication in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. We aimed to assess the incremental value of preoperative cardiac troponin (cTn) concentration in the prediction of PMI. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among prospectively recruited patients at high cardiovascular risk (age ≥65 years or ≥45 years with preexisting cardiovascular disease), PMI was defined as an absolute increase in high-sensitivity cTnT (hs-cTnT) concentration of ≥14 ng/L (the 99th percentile) above the preoperative concentration. Perioperative myocardial infarction/injury was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using serial measurements of hs-cTnT. Using logistic regression, three models were derived: Model 1 including patient- and procedure-related information, Model 2 adding routinely available laboratory values, and Model 3 further adding preoperative hs-cTnT concentration. Models were also compared vs. preoperative hs-cTnT alone. The findings were validated in two independent cohorts. Among 6944 patients, PMI occurred in 1058 patients (15.2%). The predictive accuracy as quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71-0.74] for Model 1, 0.75 (95% CI 0.74-0.77) for Model 2, 0.79 (95% CI 0.77-0.80) for Model 3, and 0.74 for hs-cTnT alone. Model 3 included 10 preoperative variables: age, body mass index, known coronary artery disease, metabolic equivalent >4, risk of surgery, emergency surgery, planned duration of surgery, haemoglobin, platelet count, and hs-cTnT. These findings were confirmed in both independent validation cohorts (n = 722 and n = 966). CONCLUSION: Preoperative cTn adds incremental value above patient- and procedure-related variables as well as routine laboratory variables in the prediction of PMI.

Artificial intelligence to improve ischemia prediction in Rubidium Positron Emission Tomography-a validation study.

Background: Patients are referred to functional coronary artery disease (CAD) testing based on their pre-test probability (PTP) to search for myocardial ischemia. The recommended prediction tools incorporate three variables (symptoms, age, sex) and are easy to use, but have a limited diagnostic accuracy. Hence, a substantial proportion of non-invasive functional tests reveal no myocardial ischemia, leading to unnecessary radiation exposure and costs. Therefore, preselection of patients before ischemia testing needs to be improved using a more predictive and personalised approach. Aims: Using multiple variables (symptoms, vitals, ECG, biomarkers), artificial intelligence-based tools can provide a detailed and individualised profile of each patient. This could improve PTP assessment and provide a more personalised diagnostic approach in the framework of predictive, preventive and personalised medicine (PPPM). Methods: Consecutive patients (n = 2417) referred for Rubidium-82 positron emission tomography were evaluated. PTP was calculated using the ESC 2013/2019 and ACC 2012/2021 guidelines, and a memetic pattern-based algorithm (MPA) was applied incorporating symptoms, vitals, ECG and biomarkers. Five PTP categories from very low to very high PTP were defined (i.e., < 5%, 5-15%, 15-50%, 50-85%, > 85%). Ischemia was defined as summed difference score (SDS) ≥ 2. Results: Ischemia was present in 37.1%. The MPA model was most accurate to predict ischemia (AUC: 0.758, p < 0.001 compared to ESC 2013, 0.661; ESC 2019, 0.673; ACC 2012, 0.585; ACC 2021, 0.667). Using the < 5% threshold, the MPA's sensitivity and negative predictive value to rule out ischemia were 99.1% and 96.4%, respectively. The model allocated patients more evenly across PTP categories, reduced the proportion of patients in the intermediate (15-85%) range by 29% (ACC 2012)-51% (ESC 2019), and was the only tool to correctly predict ischemia prevalence in the very low PTP category. Conclusion: The MPA model enhanced ischemia testing according to the PPPM framework:The MPA model improved individual prediction of ischemia significantly and could safely exclude ischemia based on readily available variables without advanced testing ("predictive").It reduced the proportion of patients in the intermediate PTP range. Therefore, it could be used as a gatekeeper to prevent patients from further unnecessary downstream testing, radiation exposure and costs ("preventive").Consequently, the MPA model could transform ischemia testing towards a more personalised diagnostic algorithm ("personalised"). Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-023-00341-5.

Extending the no objective testing rules to patients triaged by the European Society of Cardiology 0/1-hour algorithms.

AIMS: After rule-out of non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) with the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1 h-algorithms, it is unclear which patients require further anatomical or functional cardiac testing. To test the safety and efficacy of the no-objective-testing (NOT)-rules after NSTEMI rule-out by the ESC 0/1 h-algorithms. METHODS AND RESULTS: International, prospective, diagnostic multicentre study enrolling adult patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency department. Central adjudication of final diagnosis by two independent cardiologists using information including cardiac imaging. Primary endpoints were the safety and efficacy of the NOT-rules for the rule-out of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary endpoints included 365-day and 2-year MACE. Among 4804 and 4569 patients with available 0/1 h high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn)T-Elecsys or hs-cTnI-Architect concentrations, 2783 (58%) and 2252 (49%) were eligible for application of the NOT-rules after rule-out of NSTEMI by the ESC hs-cTnT/I-0/1h-algorithm. The first rule identified 26% of patients with a sensitivity of 100% (95%CI 98.3-100%) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% (95% CI, n.c.). The second and third rules both identified 31% of patients with a sensitivity of 99.5% (95% CI 97.4-99.9%) and a NPV of 99.9% (95% CI 99.2-99.9%). Similar findings emerged for hs-cTnI. High safety was confirmed for rule-out of 365-day and 2-year MACE and proven to be superior to the HEART Score. CONCLUSION: All three NOT-rules performed very well for rule-out of MACE. The third NOT-rule best balanced feasibility, safety, and efficacy by identifying nearly one out of three patients as low-risk and may not require further cardiac testing. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00470587.