Exploratory analyses of clinical trial data used for health technology assessments: a retrospective evaluation.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the validity and statistical limitations of exploratory analyses of clinical trial data commonly requested by agencies responsible for determining which medical products may be financed or reimbursed by a healthcare system. DESIGN: This was a retrospective review of efficacy and safety analyses conducted for German Health Technology Assessment (HTA) evaluations with a decision date between 2015 and 2020, and an illustrative safety-related exploratory analysis of data from two phase III clinical trials of verubecestat (an anti-amyloid drug whose development was stopped for lack of efficacy) as would be mandated by the German HTA agency. RESULTS: We identified 422 HTA evaluations of 404 randomised controlled clinical trials. For 140 trials (34.7%), the evaluation was based on subpopulations of participants in the originating confirmatory trial (175 subpopulations were assessed). In 57% (100 of 175), the subpopulation sample size was 50% or less of the original study population. Detailed analysis of five evaluations based on subpopulations of the original trial is presented. The safety-related exploratory analysis of verubecestat led to 206 statistical analyses for treatments and 812 treatment-by-subgroup interaction tests. Of 31 safety endpoints with an elevated HR (suggesting association with drug treatment), the HR for 81% of these (25 of 31) was not elevated in both trials. Of the 812 treatment-by-subgroup interactions evaluated, 26 had an elevated HR for a subgroup in one trial, but only 1 was elevated in both trials. CONCLUSIONS: Many HTA evaluations rely on subpopulation analyses and numerous post hoc statistical hypothesis tests. Subpopulation analysis may lead to loss of statistical power and uncontrolled influences of random imbalances. Multiple testing may introduce spurious findings. Decisions about benefits of medical products should therefore not rely on exploratory analyses of clinical trial data but rather on prospective clinical studies and careful synthesis of all available evidence based on prespecified criteria.

Kinetics of maternal hepatitis a antibody decay in infants: implications for vaccine use.

We conducted a seroepidemiologic study to evaluate the kinetics of maternal hepatitis A antibody decay in infants. Serum samples obtained from 200 infants at 2 and 4 months of age were tested for hepatitis A antibody. Seventy-six infants (38%) were hepatitis A antibody-positive with a geometric mean antibody titer of 2634 mIU/ml. Samples collected at 4, 6 and/or 12 months of age showed seropositivity rates of 100, 95 and 39%, respectively. These data indicate that maternal antibody levels remained high through the first 6 months of life but decayed significantly by 12 months of age.

Safety, tolerability and immunogenicity of low dose Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugated to the outer membrane protein complex of Neisseria meningitidis group B.

Infants vaccinated with three doses followed by a booster of either 1.0 microg of Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugated to the outer membrane protein complex of Neisseria meningitidis group B or H. influenzae 10-microg oligosaccharide vaccine conjugated to 25 microg mutant toxin (CRM197) isolated from Corynebacterium diphtheriae had protective antipolyribosylribitol phosphate concentrations.

Infant immune response to human rotavirus serotype G1 vaccine candidate reassortant WI79-9: different dose response patterns to virus surface proteins VP7 and VP4.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus is the leading cause of morbidity from gastroenteritis in the developed world and the leading cause of mortality from viral gastroenteritis (estimated 600000 deaths) worldwide. G1 is the most prevalent human serotype. Reassortant rotavirus between simian rotavirus RRV or bovine rotavirus WC3 and human strain rotaviruses have been extensively tested as candidate vaccines. Rotavirus (RV) reassortant strain WI79-9 consists of a human (strain WI79) G1 serotype VP7 surface protein on a bovine (strain WC3) background. It is a key component of a pentavalent (G1, G2, G3, G4 and P1) WC3 reassortant vaccine candidate, RotaTeq, now being tested in Phase III clinical trials. METHODS: We studied 84 infants between the ages of 2 and 8 months who received 3 oral doses of WI79-9. Serum neutralizing antibody was measured to the human (WI79 serotype P1 G1) and bovine (WC3 serotype P7 G6) parent RV after each dose. A significant response was defined as a > or =3-fold rise in antibody titer between the predose and postdose sera. RESULTS: In two separate cohorts of vaccinees given three doses of WI79-9 reassortant rotavirus, 68 to 75% of infants demonstrated a significant response to WC3 (VP4, P7) after Dose 1, fewer (24 to 39%) responses were detected after Dose 2 and rare (0 to 4%) additional responses occurred after Dose 3. The cumulative response rate to WC3 after three doses was 95% in both trials. In contrast 23 to 37% had a significant response to WI79 (VP7, G1) after Dose 1, and 57 to 61% had a significant response after Dose 2. Additional significant responses after Dose 3 led to a cumulative response of 70 to 84%. CONCLUSION: Two doses of G1 reassortant WI79 were necessary to induce significant antibody responses to human G1 (VP7) antigen in >50% of infants. Three doses were required to achieve significant antibody responses to VP7 in >70% of infants.

Inverse relationship between six week postvaccination varicella antibody response to vaccine and likelihood of long term breakthrough infection.

BACKGROUND: We used the large clinical database that supported the development of Oka/ Merck varicella vaccine to study the relationship between the primary varicella antibody response, as determined by gpELISA, an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay that detects antibodies to varicella-zoster virus (VZV) glycoprotein, and the subsequent risk of postvaccination breakthrough varicella. METHODS: We vaccinated 1,164 healthy children with a single dose of varicella vaccine containing 2900 to 9000 plaque-forming units/dose. The primary immune response to vaccination was determined by gpELISA 6 weeks after vaccination. Subjects were followed annually for 7 years to ascertain cases of breakthrough varicella. RESULTS: The estimated vaccine efficacy among children with a 6-week postvaccination antibody titer of > or = 5 gpELISA units was 95.5% (95% confidence interval, 94.2%, 96.8%) compared with 83.5% (95% confidence interval, 76.9%, 89.5%) for subjects with a titer of <5 gpELISA units. Children with a 6-week postvaccination antibody titer of <5 gpELISA units were 3.5 times more likely than those with a titer of > or = 5 gpELISA units to develop breakthrough varicella. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a 6-week postvaccination antibody titer of > or = 5 gpELISA units as an approximate correlate of protection. In addition we established an accelerated failure time model based on log normal hazard that predicted varicella breakthrough rates based on the distribution of 6-week postvaccination varicella antibody titers.

Safety, immunogenicity and efficacy in healthy infants of G1 and G2 human reassortant rotavirus vaccine in a new stabilizer/buffer liquid formulation.

BACKGROUND: A refrigerator-stable rotavirus (RV) vaccine that withstands gastric acid is anticipated to permit more widespread use of RV vaccine. OBJECTIVE: We investigated for the first time in infants an oral, liquid formulation of G1 and G2 human bovine reassortant rotavirus vaccine (HRRV) with a new stabilizer/buffer (S/B) containing sucrose, sodium phosphate and sodium citrate. METHODS: During 1997 through 1998, 731 healthy infants approximately 2 to 4 months of age were enrolled at 19 US sites to receive 3 HRRV or placebo doses approximately 6 to 8 weeks apart in a partially double blinded study. Infants were randomized to: (1) HRRV with no S/B but with prefeeding; (2) HRRV plus 1 of 3 different concentrations/volumes of S/B; or (3) placebo. RESULTS: No serious vaccine-related adverse experiences or intussusception cases were reported. No statistically significant differences were observed between vaccine and placebo recipients for fever (> or =38.1 degrees C) 0 to 7 days after any dose, irritability, vomiting or diarrhea incidence 0 to 42 days after any dose. Vaccine virus shedding among vaccine recipients was uncommon. Among S/B vaccine groups, proportions of infants with a > or =3-fold titer rise from baseline to Postdose 3 for G1 serum-neutralizing antibody (SNA), G2 SNA, WC3 SNA, serum anti-RV IgA, serum anti-RV IgG and stool anti-RV IgA were generally similar to those of the prefed non-S/B group. CONCLUSIONS: HRRV with a new S/B was generally well-tolerated; immunogenicity was generally similar to the prefed non-S/B group. No intussusception cases were reported, but the small sample size precluded a definitive conclusion. A large international clinical study is under way to address safety and efficacy of an S/B formulation of a pentavalent version of HRRV.

Vaccination with measles, mumps and rubella vaccine and varicella vaccine: safety, tolerability, immunogenicity, persistence of antibody and duration of protection against varicella in healthy children.

BACKGROUND: Administration of M-M-R II (Measles, Mumps and Rubella Virus Vaccine, Live) and VARIVAX [Varicella Virus Vaccine Live (Oka/Merck)] given concomitantly at separate injection sites during the same office visit could increase vaccine compliance by reducing the number of health care visits for immunizations. We compared the safety and immunogenicity of M-M-R II and VARIVAX given concomitantly at separate sites (Group A) with administration of the two vaccines 6 weeks apart (Group B) as well as the persistence of varicella antibody and the duration of protection afforded by varicella vaccine. METHODS: A total of 603 healthy children, ages 12 months to 6 years, with no history of measles, mumps, rubella, varicella and zoster or vaccination against these diseases, were randomized to either Group A or B and were followed for clinical reactions and serologic responses to all four viral components. Children were enrolled from August through December, 1993. Subjects were followed for 5 years to evaluate persistence of varicella antibody and breakthrough varicella rates. We compared breakthrough rates to expected attack rates in unvaccinated children to produce estimates of vaccine efficacy. RESULTS: Both vaccine regimens were generally well-tolerated. There were no significant differences between the groups in the rates of fever, injection site reactions or rashes after vaccination. Seroconversion rates and geometric mean titers for measles, mumps and rubella were not significantly different between groups. The varicella seroconversion rate and percentage with glycoprotein-based ELISA titers > or = 5.0 units were similar between the two groups (99.5 and 92.5% vs. 100 and 94.8% for Groups A and B, respectively), but the geometric mean titers were statistically significantly different (13.2 for Group A and 17.9 for Group B). Varicella antibody persistence rates were >98 to 100% during 6 years of follow-up in both groups. Compared with historical rates, varicella vaccine efficacy during 5 years was estimated to be 90.5% (95% confidence interval, 86.2%, 95.0%) and 88.9% (95% confidence interval, 83.7%, 93.7%) in Groups A and B, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Administration of M-M-R II and VARIVAX concomitantly at separate injection sites or 6 weeks apart was generally well-tolerated and immunogenic in healthy children 12 months to 6 years of age. VARIVAX administered with M-M-R II induced persistent immunity and long-term protection against breakthrough varicella infection.

Development of a measure of the burden of pain due to herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia for prevention trials: adaptation of the brief pain inventory.

UNLABELLED: In preparation for clinical trials of a vaccine against herpes zoster (HZ), we conducted a prospective, observational study to evaluate (1) the Zoster Brief Pain Inventory (ZBPI), an HZ-specific questionnaire to quantify HZ pain and discomfort, (2) an operational definition of postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), and (3) a severity-duration measure of the burden of illness caused by HZ. HZ patients aged 60 years or older (n = 121) were enrolled within 14 days of rash onset and completed ZBPI, McGill Pain Questionnaire Present Pain Intensity (PPI), quality of life (QoL), and activities of daily living (ADL) questionnaires on a predetermined schedule. Reliability, measured by intraclass correlation coefficients within 14 days of rash onset, ranged between 0.63 and 0.78. ZBPI pain scores were strongly correlated with other pain measures, interference with ADL, and worsening QoL. The operational definition of PHN, a ZBPI pain score of 3 or greater occurring 90 or more days after rash onset, had high agreement with pain worse than mild on the PPI (kappa = 0.72). The ZBPI pain severity-duration measure had high correlations with severity-duration measures of ADL interference, worsening QoL, and other pain scales. These findings support the validity and utility of the ZBPI, the definition of PHN, and the severity-duration measure of the burden of HZ illness. PERSPECTIVE: Herpes zoster pain, as measured by the ZBPI severity-duration measure, is associated with impairment in daily living activities and quality of life. The ZBPI measure appears useful for quantifying herpes zoster pain, postherpetic neuralgia, and impairment in daily living activities for clinical trials of herpes zoster prevention.

An open randomized study of inactivated hepatitis A vaccine administered concomitantly with typhoid fever and yellow fever vaccines.

BACKGROUND: Concomitant administration of several vaccines is a common practice when travel clinics prepare persons for international travel. The purpose of the study was to compare the immunogenicity and safety of hepatitis A, typhoid fever, and yellow fever vaccines administered concomitantly with hepatitis A vaccine administered alone and typhoid fever and yellow fever vaccines administered alone. METHODS: Healthy adults 18 to 55 years of age were randomized to receive either VAQTA, TyphimVi, and YF-VAX on day 0 and VAQTA at week 24 (Group 1); TyphimVi and YF-VAX on day 0 and an optional dose of VAQTA 1 month later (Group 2); or VAQTA at day 0 and week 24 (Group 3). RESULTS: From March to December 1997, a total of 240 subjects were enrolled, 80 in each treatment group. Most were female and Caucasian, and the mean age was 29.4 years. Four weeks after vaccine dose 1, seroconversion to protective antibody levels against hepatitis A was 95.9% in Group 1 and 100% in Group 3. In Group 1, 93.4% of subjects demonstrated at least a 4-fold rise in neutralizing antibody levels against typhoid, compared with 90% in Group 2. Serum neutralizing antibody against yellow fever developed in 98.6% of subjects in Group 1 compared with 100% in Group 2. CONCLUSIONS: These findings were consistent with similarity in the immune responses between treatment groups as defined a priori. The adverse experience (AE) profile did not appear to be substantially affected by concomitant administration of all three vaccines. Providing these three vaccines concomitantly can simplify the process of obtaining pretravel prophylaxis and may help ensure that all needed vaccines are administered.

Chest wall reconstruction with strattice in an immunosuppressed patient.

We report successful reconstruction of a challenging composite chest wall defect in an immunocompromised patient using a biologic mesh. Infection results in significant morbidity and mortality in immunocompromised patients. Thus, reconstruction in this population requires careful selection of appropriate materials to repair the defect. A 26-year-old woman with a cardiac paraganglioma required resection of the heart, portions of the great vessels, several ribs, and a large portion of the sternum, with subsequent orthotopic cardiac transplantation. Titanium plates were used to restore sternal continuity and Strattice was used for chest wall reconstruction. Strattice was selected due to its ability to become incorporated and resist wound infection, to provide stability to the rib cage, and to protect the newly transplanted heart. In our experience, Strattice provides a viable alternative to other biologics and is a safer alternative to synthetic mesh for chest wall reconstruction in immunocompromised patients.

Post-licensure comparative study of unusual high-pitched crying and prolonged crying following COMVAX and placebo versus PedvaxHIB and RECOMBIVAX HB in healthy infants.

BACKGROUND: In a previous clinical trial comparing COMVAX with its monovalent components, PedvaxHIB and RECOMBIVAX HB, one of 92 comparisons of post-vaccination adverse experiences revealed a higher rate of unusual, high-pitched crying following the second, but not the first or third doses of COMVAX compared with two monovalent control vaccines. Rates of prolonged crying were similar between groups at each visit. OBJECTIVES: To compare the frequencies of unusual, high-pitched crying between recipients of COMVAX plus placebo and recipients of PedvaxHIB plus RECOMBIVAX HB following the second vaccine doses (primary) and to summarize the frequency of unusual, high-pitched crying and prolonged crying after each vaccination visit. DESIGN: We enrolled 1215 healthy infants in a randomized, double blind, placebo-controlled study. Participating infants received study vaccines at 2 and 4 months of age and other routine childhood vaccines at 6-7 weeks and 3 months of age. Crying was evaluated via questionnaire at the time of enrollment (baseline) and daily from days 0 to 2 after each injection. RESULTS: Reports of unusual, high-pitched crying and prolonged crying were uncommon (<1%) prior to the first vaccination visit and were comparable in both treatment groups. After each injection, rates of unusual, high-pitched crying (range: 4.26-6.96%) and prolonged crying (range: 0-1.36%) appeared similar between treatment groups and for each vaccination visit. Crying resolved in all infants; no neurological impairment was reported. CONCLUSION: This study found no statistically significant differences in rates of unusual, high-pitched crying and prolonged crying in infants vaccinated with COMVAX plus placebo compared with infants vaccinated with its monovalent components, PedvaxHIB and RECOMBIVAX HB.

Safety, efficacy, and immunogenicity of a live, quadrivalent human-bovine reassortant rotavirus vaccine in healthy infants.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate safety, efficacy, and immunogenicity of live quadrivalent rotavirus vaccine (QRV) containing human-bovine (WC3) reassortant rotavirus serotypes G1, G2, G3, and P1a. STUDY DESIGN: This was a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial. During 1993 to 1994, at 10 US study sites, 439 healthy infants approximately 2 to 6 months of age, were enrolled to receive 3 doses of oral QRV or placebo at approximately 8-week intervals. RESULTS: The vaccine was generally well tolerated; no serious vaccine-related adverse experiences were reported. Risk differences and 95% confidence intervals suggested no differences between vaccine and placebo recipients in the incidences of fever, irritability, vomiting, or diarrhea during the 14 days after any dose. QRV was 74.6% efficacious (95% CI: 49.5%, 88.3%) in preventing rotavirus acute gastroenteritis (AGE), regardless of severity and 100% efficacious (95% CI: 43.5%, 100%) in preventing severe rotavirus AGE through one rotavirus season. Serotype G1 was identified in most infants with rotavirus AGE. A >or=3-fold rise in serum neutralizing antibody to G1 was observed in 57% (45/79) of vaccinees. A >or=3-fold rise in serum anti-rotavirus IgA and fecal anti-rotavirus IgA was observed in 88% (162/185) and 65% (104/159) of vaccinees, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: QRV was generally well tolerated, immungenic, and highly effective against rotavirus gastroenteritis.

A comparison of safety, tolerability and immunogenicity of Oka/Merck varicella vaccine and VARILRIX in healthy children.

This study compared safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of the Oka/Merck varicella vaccine and VARILRIX [Oka-RIT strain SmithKline Beecham Biologicals] in healthy children 12-24 months of age. Subjects were randomized in this double blind study to receive either a single dose of Oka/Merck varicella vaccine, (approximately 50,000 plaque forming units (PFU), Group A or approximately 16,000 PFU, Group B) or 1 dose of VARILRIX, (approximately 40,000 PFU/dose, Group C). Safety profiles in each treatment group were similar. The proportions of subjects achieving a 6-week postvaccination titer> or = 5 gpELISA units in Groups A, B or C were 97.1, 95.2 and 85.6%, respectively.