Model-Informed Drug Development for Malaria Therapeutics.

Malaria is a critical public health problem resulting in substantial morbidity and mortality, particularly in developing countries. Owing to the development of resistance toward current therapies, novel approaches to accelerate the development efforts of new malaria therapeutics are urgently needed. There have been significant advancements in the development of in vitro and in vivo experiments that generate data used to inform decisions about the potential merit of new compounds. A comprehensive disease-drug model capable of integrating discrete data from different preclinical and clinical components would be a valuable tool across all stages of drug development. This could have an enormous impact on the otherwise slow and resource-intensive process of traditional clinical drug development.

Comparison of three non-human primate aerosol models for glanders, caused by Burkholderia mallei.

Burkholderia mallei is a gram-negative obligate animal pathogen that causes glanders, a highly contagious and potentially fatal disease of solipeds including horses, mules, and donkeys. Humans are also susceptible, and exposure can result in a wide range of clinical forms, i.e., subclinical infection, chronic forms with remission and exacerbation, or acute and potentially lethal septicemia and/or pneumonia. Due to intrinsic antibiotic resistance and the ability of the organisms to survive intracellularly, current treatment regimens are protracted and complicated; and no vaccine is available. As a consequence of these issues, and since B. mallei is infectious by the aerosol route, B. mallei is regarded as a major potential biothreat agent. To develop optimal medical countermeasures and diagnostic tests, well characterized animal models of human glanders are needed. The goal of this study was to perform a head-to-head comparison of models employing three commonly used nonhuman primate (NHP) species, the African green monkey (AGM), Rhesus macaque, and the Cynomolgus macaque. The natural history of infection and in vitro clinical, histopathological, immunochemical, and bacteriological parameters were examined. The AGMs were the most susceptible NHP to B. mallei; five of six expired within 14 days. Although none of the Rhesus or Cynomolgus macaques succumbed, the Rhesus monkeys exhibited abnormal signs and clinical findings associated with B. mallei infection; and the latter may be useful for modeling chronic B. mallei infection. Based on the disease progression observations, gross and histochemical pathology, and humoral and cellular immune response findings, the AGM appears to be the optimal model of acute, lethal glanders infection. AGM models of infection by B. pseudomallei, the etiologic agent of melioidosis, have been characterized recently. Thus, the selection of the AGM species provides the research community with a single NHP model for investigations on acute, severe, inhalational melioidosis and glanders.

Th17 cells are long lived and retain a stem cell-like molecular signature.

Th17 cells have been described as short lived, but this view is at odds with their capacity to trigger protracted damage to normal and transformed tissues. We report that Th17 cells, despite displaying low expression of CD27 and other phenotypic markers of terminal differentiation, efficiently eradicated tumors and caused autoimmunity, were long lived, and maintained a core molecular signature resembling early memory CD8(+) cells with stem cell-like properties. In addition, we found that Th17 cells had high expression of Tcf7, a direct target of the Wnt and ß-catenin signaling axis, and accumulated ß-catenin, a feature observed in stem cells. In vivo, Th17 cells gave rise to Th1-like effector cell progeny and also self-renewed and persisted as IL-17A-secreting cells. Multipotency was required for Th17 cell-mediated tumor eradication because effector cells deficient in IFN-γ or IL-17A had impaired activity. Thus, Th17 cells are not always short lived and are a less-differentiated subset capable of superior persistence and functionality.

Multiple Dose Pharmacokinetic Models Predict Bioavailability of Toxins in Vertebrate Herbivores.

In this paper, compartmental pharmacokinetic models are built to predict the concentration of toxic phytochemical in the gastrointestinal tract and blood following oral intake by an individual vertebrate herbivore. The existing single and multiple dose pharmacokinetic models are extended by inclusion of impulsive differential equations which account for an excretion factor whereby unchanged toxins are excreted in the feces due to gastrointestinal mobility. An index α is defined to measure the fraction of bioavailability attributed to the excretion factor of gastrointestinal motility. Sensitivity analysis was conducted and suggests, for any toxin, the bioavailability index α depends mostly on absorption rate of toxin from gastrointestinal tract into the blood, frequency of elimination due to gastrointestinal motility, and the frequency of toxin intake, under the model assumptions.

In Vitro and In Vivo Activity of Amiodarone Against Ebola Virus.

At the onset of the 2013-2016 epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD), no vaccine or antiviral medication was approved for treatment. Therefore, considerable efforts were directed towards the concept of drug repurposing or repositioning. Amiodarone, an approved multi-ion channel blocker for the treatment of cardiac arrhythmia, was reported to inhibit filovirus entry in vitro. Compassionate use of amiodarone in EVD patients indicated a possible survival benefit. In support of further clinical testing, we confirmed anti-Ebola virus activity of amiodarone in different cell types. Despite promising in vitro results, amiodarone failed to protect guinea pigs from a lethal dose of Ebola virus.

Characterization and pathogenesis of aerosolized eastern equine encephalitis in the common marmoset (Callithrix jacchus).

BACKGROUND: Licensed antiviral therapeutics and vaccines to protect against eastern equine encephalitis virus (EEEV) in humans currently do not exist. Animal models that faithfully recapitulate the clinical characteristics of human EEEV encephalitic disease, including fever, drowsiness, anorexia, and neurological signs such as seizures, are needed to satisfy requirements of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for clinical product licensing under the Animal Rule. METHODS: In an effort to meet this requirement, we estimated the median lethal dose and described the pathogenesis of aerosolized EEEV in the common marmoset (Callithrix jacchus). Five marmosets were exposed to aerosolized EEEV FL93-939 in doses ranging from 2.4 × 101 PFU to 7.95 × 105 PFU. RESULTS: The median lethal dose was estimated to be 2.05 × 102 PFU. Lethality was observed as early as day 4 post-exposure in the highest-dosed marmoset but animals at lower inhaled doses had a protracted disease course where humane study endpoint was not met until as late as day 19 post-exposure. Clinical signs were observed as early as 3 to 4 days post-exposure, including fever, ruffled fur, decreased grooming, and leukocytosis. Clinical signs increased in severity as disease progressed to include decreased body weight, subdued behavior, tremors, and lack of balance. Fever was observed as early as day 2-3 post-exposure in the highest dose groups and hypothermia was observed in several cases as animals became moribund. Infectious virus was found in several key tissues, including brain, liver, kidney, and several lymph nodes. Clinical hematology results included early neutrophilia, lymphopenia, and thrombocytopenia. Key pathological changes included meningoencephalitis and retinitis. Immunohistochemical staining for viral antigen was positive in the brain, retina, and lymph nodes. More intense and widespread IHC labeling occurred with increased aerosol dose. CONCLUSION: We have estimated the medial lethal dose of aerosolized EEEV and described the pathology of clinical disease in the marmoset model. The results demonstrate that the marmoset is an animal model suitable for emulation of human EEEV disease in the development of medical countermeasures.

Modeling viral kinetics and treatment outcome during alisporivir interferon-free treatment in hepatitis C virus genotype 2 and 3 patients.

UNLABELLED: Alisporivir (ALV) is a cyclophilin inhibitor with pan-genotypic activity against hepatitis C virus (HCV). Here, we characterize the viral kinetics observed in 249 patients infected with HCV genotypes 2 or 3 and treated for 6 weeks with different doses of ALV with or without ribavirin (RBV). We use this model to predict the effects of treatment duration and different doses of ALV plus RBV on sustained virologic response (SVR). Continuous viral decline was observed in 214 (86%) patients that could be well described by the model. All doses led to a high level of antiviral effectiveness equal to 0.98, 0.96, and 0.90 in patients treated with 1,000, 800, and 600 mg of ALV once-daily, respectively. Patients that received RBV had a significantly faster rate of viral decline, which was attributed to an enhanced loss rate of infected cells, δ (mean δ = 0.35 d(-1) vs. 0.21 d(-1) in patients ± RBV, respectively; P = 0.0001). The remaining 35 patients (14%) had a suboptimal response with flat or increasing levels of HCV RNA after 1 week of treatment, which was associated with ALV monotherapy, high body weight, and low RBV levels in patients that received ALV plus RBV. Assuming full compliance and the same proportion of suboptimal responders, the model predicted 71% and 79% SVR after ALV 400 mg with RBV 400 mg twice-daily for 24 and 36 weeks, respectively. The model predicted that response-guided treatment could allow a reduction in mean treatment duration to 25.3 weeks and attain a 78.6% SVR rate. CONCLUSION: ALV plus RBV may represent an effective IFN-free treatment that is predicted to achieve high SVR rates in patients with HCV genotype 2 or 3 infection.

Effect of a Pluronic(®) P123 formulation on the nitric oxide-generating drug JS-K.

PURPOSE: O(2)-(2,4-dinitrophenyl)1-[(4-ethoxycarbonyl)piperazin-1-yl]diazen-1-ium-1,2-diolate] or JS-K is a nitric oxide-producing prodrug of the arylated diazeniumdiolate class with promising anti-tumor activity. JS-K has challenging solubility and stability properties. We aimed to characterize and compare Pluronic(®) P123-formulated JS-K (P123/JS-K) with free JS-K. METHODS: We determined micelle size, shape, and critical micelle concentration of Pluronic(®) P123. Efficacy was evaluated in vitro using HL-60 and U937 cells and in vivo in a xenograft in NOD/SCID IL2Rγ (null) mice using HL-60 cells. We compared JS-K and P123/JS-K stability in different media. We also compared plasma protein binding of JS-K and P123/JS-K. We determined the binding and Stern Volmer constants, and thermodynamic parameters. RESULTS: Spherical P123/JS-K micelles were smaller than blank P123. P123/JS-K formulation was more stable in buffered saline, whole blood, plasma and RPMI media as compared to free JS-K. P123 affected the protein binding properties of JS-K. In vitro it was as efficacious as JS-K alone when tested in HL-60 and U937 cells and in vivo greater tumor regression was observed for P123/JS-K treated NOD/SCID IL2Rγ (null) mice when compared to free JS-K-treated NOD/SCID IL2Rγ (null) mice. CONCLUSIONS: Pluronic(®) P123 solubilizes, stabilizes and affects the protein binding characteristics of JS-K. P123/JS-K showed more in vivo anti-tumor activity than free JS-K.

Tidal volume and plateau pressure use for acute lung injury from 2000 to present: a systematic literature review.

OBJECTIVE: Since publication of the Respiratory Management of Acute Lung Injury and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARMA) trial in 2000, use of tidal volume (VT) less than or equal to 6 mL/kg predicted body weight with corresponding plateau airway pressures (PPlat) less than or equal to 30 cm H2O has been advocated for acute lung injury. However, compliance with these recommendations is unknown. We therefore investigated VT (mL/kg predicted body weight) and PPlat (cm H2O) practices reported in studies of acute lung injury since ARMA using a systematic literature review (i.e., not a meta-analysis). DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Scopus, and EMBASE. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials and nonrandomized studies enrolling patients with acute lung injury from May 2000 to June 2013 and reporting VT. DATA EXTRACTION: Whether the study was a randomized controlled trial or a nonrandomized study and performed or not at an Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Network center; in randomized controlled trials, the pre- and postrandomization VT (mL/kg predicted body weight) and PPlat (cm H2O) and whether a VT protocol was used postrandomization; in nonrandomized studies, baseline VT and PPlat. DATA SYNTHESIS: Twenty-two randomized controlled trials and 71 nonrandomized studies were included. Since 2000 at acute respiratory distress syndrome Network centers, routine VT was similar comparing randomized controlled trials and nonrandomized studies (p = 0.25) and unchanged over time (p = 0.75) with a mean value of 6.81 (95% CI, 6.45, 7.18). At non-acute respiratory distress syndrome Network centers, routine VT was also similar when comparing randomized controlled trials and nonrandomized studies (p = 0.71), but decreased (p = 0.001); the most recent estimate for it was 6.77 (6.22, 7.32). All VT estimates were significantly greater than 6 (p ≤ 0.02). In randomized controlled trials employing VT protocols, routine VT was reduced in both acute respiratory distress syndrome Network (n = 4) and non-acute respiratory distress syndrome Network (n = 11) trials (p ≤ 0.01 for both), but even postrandomization was greater than 6 (6.47 [6.29, 6.65] and 6.80 [6.42, 7.17], respectively; p ≤ 0.0001 for both). In 59 studies providing data, routine PPlat, averaged across acute respiratory distress syndrome Network or non-acute respiratory distress syndrome Network centers, was significantly less than 30 (p ≤ 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: For clinicians treating acute lung injury since 2000, achieving VT less than or equal to 6 mL/kg predicted body weight may not have been as attainable or important as PPlat less than or equal to 30 cm H2O. If so, there may be equipoise to test if VT less than or equal to 6 mL/kg predicted body weight are necessary to improve acute lung injury outcome.

A Modern Curriculum for Training Scientists in Model-Informed Drug Development: Progress Report on FDA Grant to Train Regulatory Scientists.

Under US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grant (2U18FD005320-06), the Critical Path Institute (C-Path) and experienced private sector partners collaborated with global health organizations to create didactic video materials in an e-learning format on model-informed drug development (MIDD) topics relevant to a non-modeling audience. Several multinational pharmaceutical companies contributed case studies illustrating the application of the MIDD approach in practice. Training videos were created and divided into several modules: introducing the MIDD landscape for drug development and regulatory science, a review of various model types used for MIDD, discussions of how models inform drug development and regulatory decisions, future goals of MIDD, and discussions on the interconnectedness of models used for MIDD. Examples and vignettes from stakeholders and thought leaders were included. These educational materials fill a gap between academic and "on the job training" for regulators, academic, and industry scientists, delivering insights and value for those performing modeling and non-modelers reviewing the output of modeling and simulation work. A total of 13 hours of video content is currently available. A small panel of FDA reviewers is currently beta-testing the learning management system (LMS). Future efforts for this MIDD training initiative will include expansion of the content via an expanded and diverse faculty, 1:1 online mentorship sessions, and eventually broader access to this resource consistent with an open science approach and curriculum. The MIDD training LMS can accommodate a diverse learning ecosystem; further development may also accommodate different audiences in the future.

Changes in microRNA and mRNA expression with differentiation of human bronchial epithelial cells.

We studied the changes in expression of microRNAs (miRNAs or miRs) and mRNA in normal human bronchial epithelial cells as they differentiate from an undifferentiated monolayer to a differentiated pseudostratified epithelium after 28 days of air-liquid interface (ALI) culture. After 28 days in ALI, the epithelial cells differentially expressed basal, ciliated, and goblet cell markers. Using Affymetrix microarrays, 20 human miRNAs were found to be up-regulated, whereas 35 miRNAs were found to be down-regulated in differentiated cells compared with undifferentiated cells. An analysis of changes in global mRNA expression revealed that 1,201 probe sets demonstrated an 8-fold change (FC) or greater at Day 28 of ALI culture. Of these, 816 were up-regulated and 385 were down-regulated. With differentiation, miR-449a increased (FC, 38.15), and was related to changes in mRNA for cell division cycle 25 homolog A (FC, 0.11). MiR-455 decreased (FC, 0.12) and was related to changes in mRNA for the epithelial cell marker, mucin 1 (FC, 136). Transfection with anti-miR-449 or miR-455-3p resulted in changes in target protein expression (cell division cycle 25 homolog A and mucin 1, respectively), whereas transfection with reporter genes with 3'-untranslated regions of these targets confirmed control of expression through that structure. Therefore, changes in specific miRNAs during human airway epithelial cell differentiation control gene and protein expression important for differentiation.

In vivo reduction of cell-free methemoglobin to oxyhemoglobin results in vasoconstriction in canines.

BACKGROUND: Cell-free hemoglobin (Hb) in the vasculature leads to vasoconstriction and injury. Proposed mechanisms have been based on nitric oxide (NO) scavenging by oxyhemoglobin (oxyHb) or processes mediated by oxidative reactions of methemoglobin (metHb). To clarify this, we tested the vascular effect and fate of oxyHb or metHb infusions. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Twenty beagles were challenged with 1-hour similar infusions of (200 µmol/L) metHb (n = 5), oxyHb (n = 5), albumin (n = 5), or saline (n = 5). Measurements were taken over 3 hours. RESULTS: Infusions of the two pure Hb species resulted in increases in mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), systemic vascular resistance index, and NO consumption capacity of plasma (all p < 0.05) with the effects of oxyHb being greater than that from metHb (MAP; increase 0 to 3 hr; 27 ± 6% vs. 7 ± 2%, respectively; all p < 0.05). The significant vasoconstrictive response of metHb (vs. albumin and saline controls) was related to in vivo autoreduction of metHb to oxyHb, and the vasoactive Hb species that significantly correlated with MAP was always oxyHb, either from direct infusion or after in vivo reduction from metHb. Clearance of total Hb from plasma was faster after metHb than oxyHb infusion (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that greater NO consumption capacity makes oxyHb more vasoactive than metHb. Additionally, metHb is reduced to oxyHb after infusion and cleared faster or is less stable than oxyHb. Although we found no direct evidence that metHb itself is involved in acute vascular effects, in aggregate, these studies suggest that metHb is not inert and its mechanism of vasoconstriction is due to its delayed conversion to oxyHb by plasma-reducing agents.

Pharmacokinetic evaluation of the penetration of antituberculosis agents in rabbit pulmonary lesions.

Standard antituberculosis (anti-TB) therapy requires the use of multiple drugs for a minimum of 6 months, with variable outcomes that are influenced by a number of microbiological, pathological, and clinical factors. This is despite the availability of antibiotics that have good activity against Mycobacterium tuberculosis in vitro and favorable pharmacokinetic profiles in plasma. However, little is known about the distribution of widely used antituberculous agents in the pulmonary lesions where the pathogen resides. The rabbit model of TB infection was used to explore the hypothesis that standard drugs have various abilities to penetrate lung tissue and lesions and that adequate drug levels are not consistently reached at the site of infection. Using noncompartmental and population pharmacokinetic approaches, we modeled the rate and extent of distribution of isoniazid, rifampin, pyrazinamide, and moxifloxacin in rabbit lung and lesions. Moxifloxacin reproducibly showed favorable partitioning into lung and granulomas, while the exposure of isoniazid, rifampin, and pyrazinamide in lesions was markedly lower than in plasma. The extent of penetration in lung and lesions followed different trends for each drug. All four agents distributed rapidly from plasma to tissue with equilibration half-lives of less than 1 min to an hour. The models adequately described the plasma concentrations and reasonably captured actual lesion concentrations. Though further refinement is needed to accurately predict the behavior of these drugs in human subjects, our results enable the integration of lesion-specific pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) indices in clinical trial simulations and in in vitro PK-PD studies with M. tuberculosis.

Adoptively transferred effector cells derived from naive rather than central memory CD8+ T cells mediate superior antitumor immunity.

Effector cells derived from central memory CD8(+) T cells were reported to engraft and survive better than those derived from effector memory populations, suggesting that they are superior for use in adoptive immunotherapy studies. However, previous studies did not evaluate the relative efficacy of effector cells derived from naïve T cells. We sought to investigate the efficacy of tumor-specific effector cells derived from naïve or central memory T-cell subsets using transgenic or retrovirally transduced T cells engineered to express a tumor-specific T-cell receptor. We found that naïve, rather than central memory T cells, gave rise to an effector population that mediated superior antitumor immunity upon adoptive transfer. Effector cells developed from naïve T cells lost the expression of CD62L more rapidly than those derived from central memory T cells, but did not acquire the expression of KLRG-1, a marker for terminal differentiation and replicative senescence. Consistent with this KLRG-1(-) phenotype, naïve-derived cells were capable of a greater proliferative burst and had enhanced cytokine production after adoptive transfer. These results indicate that insertion of genes that confer antitumor specificity into naïve rather than central memory CD8(+) T cells may allow superior efficacy upon adoptive transfer.

Use of RWE to Inform Regulatory, Public Health Policy, and Intervention Priorities for the Developing World.

For low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) to benefit from real-world evidence (RWE)/real-world data (RWD) in both product registration ("regulatory") decision making and in product utilization policy ("policy") decision making, they need to overcome several challenges. They need to deploy more electronic health records systems (EHRs), adjust for confounder variables, build trust between stakeholders, and create laws and regulations for local generation of data that are assented for secondary use. The role of procurers and their use of RWE/RWD in the LMIC context likewise is in a state of ongoing development. Procurers of health products are strong players currently in the "access" chain as LMICs continue to work on strengthening governmental health technology assessment (HTA) bodies. Procurers' use of RWE is presently at an early stage and is mostly indirect, leveraging RWE results that are produced by researchers in high-income countries (HICs), often under considerably different regulatory and policy objectives and constraints compared to LMICs' epidemiology and priorities. Pending wider deployment of EHRs and other RWE sources, stakeholders must realize that populations from HIC RWE (i) can be devised to closely resemble phenotypic patterns in LMIC populations and (ii) can be analyzed to align with LMICs' unmet needs.

Caloric restriction in leptin deficiency does not correct myocardial steatosis: failure to normalize PPAR{alpha}/PGC1{alpha} and thermogenic glycerolipid/fatty acid cycling.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence supports an antilipotoxic role for leptin in preventing inappropriate peripheral tissue lipid deposition. Obese, leptin-deficient mice develop left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy and myocardial steatosis with increased apoptosis and decreased longevity. Here we investigated the cardiac effects of caloric restriction versus leptin repletion in obese leptin-deficient (ob/ob) mice. METHODS: Echocardiography was performed on 7 mo old C57BL/6 wild-type mice (WT) and ob/ob mice fed ad libitum, leptin-repleted (LR-ob/ob), or calorie-restricted (CR-ob/ob) for 4 wk. Ventricular tissue was examined by electron microscopy (EM), triglyceride (TAG) content, oil red O staining, mitochondrial coupling assay, and microarray expression profiling. RESULTS: LR and CR-ob/ob mice showed decreased body and heart weight, and LV wall thickness compared with ad libitum ob/ob mice. LV fractional shortening was decreased in ad libitum ob/ob mice, but restored to WT in LR and CR groups. However, myocardial lipid content by EM and TAG analysis revealed persistent cardiac steatosis in the CR-ob/ob group. Although CR restored mitochondrial coupling to WT levels, PPARα was suppressed and genes associated with oxidative stress and cell death were upregulated in CR-ob/ob animals. In contrast, LR eliminated cardiac steatosis, normalized mitochondrial coupling, and restored PGC1α and PPARα expression, while inducing core genes involved in glycerolipid/free fatty acid (GL/FFA) cycling, a thermogenic pathway that can reduce intracellular lipids. CONCLUSIONS: Thus, CR in the absence of leptin fails to normalize cardiac steatosis. GL/FFA cycling may be, at least in part, leptin-dependent and a key pathway that protects the heart from lipid accumulation.

A prospective evaluation of the biochemical, metabolic, hormonal and structural bone changes associated with bortezomib response in multiple myeloma patients.

We prospectively evaluated the bone changes associated with proteasome inhibition using single agent bortezomib in relapsed or refractory myeloma patients. Ten patients received bortezomib 1.3 mg/m(2) per days 1, 4, 8 and 11 for three 21-day cycles, and 6 patients received 1 mg/m(2) per day with the same schedule. Bone architecture and metabolism changes were assessed by bone markers, micro-CT, bone histomorphometry, tetracycline labeling and serum parathormone levels. Bone parameter variations were compared by response to treatment. Microarchitectural changes were observed in all evaluable responsive patients. Bone alkaline phosphatase changes were associated with disease response (≥PR vs. others P=0.03 cycle 1, day 11) serum parathormone levels were also significantly increased (P=0.04 on days 11, 21, 33) in responding individuals. This study demonstrates that the myeloma control produced by proteasome inhibition is associated with bone changes and to a discrete pattern of hormonal variation.

Community screening and treatment of asymptomatic carriers of Plasmodium falciparum with artemether-lumefantrine to reduce malaria disease burden: a modelling and simulation analysis.

BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic carriers of Plasmodium falciparum serve as a reservoir of parasites for malaria transmission. Identification and treatment of asymptomatic carriers within a region may reduce the parasite reservoir and influence malaria transmission in that area. METHODS: Using computer simulation, this analysis explored the impact of community screening campaigns (CSC) followed by systematic treatment of P. falciparum asymptomatic carriers (AC) with artemether-lumefantrine (AL) on disease transmission. The model created by Okell et al (originally designed to explore the impact of the introduction of treatment with artemisinin-based combination therapy on malaria endemicity) was modified to represent CSC and treatment of AC with AL, with the addition of malaria vector seasonality. The age grouping, relative distribution of age in a region, and degree of heterogeneity in disease transmission were maintained. The number and frequency of CSC and their relative timing were explored in terms of their effect on malaria incidence. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the factors with the greatest impact on the model predictions. RESULTS: The simulation showed that the intervention that had the largest effect was performed in an area with high endemicity (entomological inoculation rate, EIR > 200); however, the rate of infection returned to its normal level in the subsequent year, unless the intervention was repeated. In areas with low disease burden (EIR < 10), the reduction was sustained for over three years after a single intervention. Three CSC scheduled in close succession (monthly intervals) at the start of the dry season had the greatest impact on the success of the intervention. CONCLUSIONS: Community screening and treatment of asymptomatic carriers with AL may reduce malaria transmission significantly. The initial level of disease intensity has the greatest impact on the potential magnitude and duration of malaria reduction. When combined with other interventions (e.g. long-lasting insecticide-treated nets, rapid diagnostic tests, prompt diagnosis and treatment, and, where appropriate, indoor residual spraying) the effect of this intervention can be sustained for many years, and it could become a tool to accelerate the reduction in transmission intensity to pre-elimination levels. Repeated interventions at least every other year may help to prolong the effect. The use of an effective diagnostic tool and a highly effective ACT, such as AL, is also vital. The modelling supports the evaluation of this approach in a prospective clinical trial to reduce the pool of infective vectors for malaria transmission in an area with marked seasonality.