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PURPOSE: This study characterizes attitudes and decision-making around the desire for future children in young women newly diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer and assesses how clinical factors and perceived risk may impact these attitudes. METHODS: This is a prospective study in women < 45 years with newly diagnosed stage 1-3 breast cancer. Patients completed a REDCap survey on fertility and family-building in the setting of hypothetical risk scenarios. Patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics were collected through surveys and medical record. RESULTS: Of 140 study patients [median age = 41.4 (range 23-45)], 71 (50.7%) were interested in having children. Women interested in future childbearing were younger than those who were not interested (mean = 35.2 [SD = 5.2] vs 40.9 years [3.90], respectively, p < 0.001), and more likely to be childless (81% vs 31%, p < 0.001). 54 women (77.1% of patients interested in future children) underwent/planned to undergo oocyte/embryo cryopreservation before chemotherapy. Interest in future childbearing decreased with increasing hypothetical recurrence risk, however 17% of patients wanted to have children despite a 75-100% hypothetical recurrence risk. 24.3% of patients wanted to conceive < 2 years from diagnosis, and 35% of patients with hormone receptor positive tumors were not willing to complete 5 years of hormone therapy. CONCLUSION: Many young women diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer prioritize childbearing. Interest in having a biologic child was not associated with standard prognostic risk factors. Interest decreased with increasing hypothetical recurrence risk, though some patients remained committed to future childbearing despite near certain hypothetical risk. Individual risk assessment should be included in family-planning discussions throughout the continuum of care as it can influence decision-making.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Preservación de la Fertilidad , Infertilidad Femenina , Humanos , Femenino , Adulto , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Estudios Prospectivos , FertilidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is increasing interest in documenting disparities in pain management for racial and ethnic minorities and patients with language barriers. Previous studies have found differential prescription patterns of opioids for racial and ethnic minority group and patients having limited English proficiency (LEP) after arthroplasty. However, there is a knowledge gap regarding how the intersection of these sociodemographic factors is associated with immediate postoperative pain management. This study aimed to explore language and racial-ethnic disparities in short-term opioid utilization after total hip and knee arthroplasty. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who underwent total hip and knee arthroplasty from 2015 to 2019 at an urban medical center. The primary predictor variables included LEP status and racial-ethnic category, and the primary outcome variables were oral morphine equivalents (OMEs) during 2 distinct postoperative periods: the first 12 hours after surgery and from the end of surgery to the end of postoperative day (POD) 1. Patient characteristics and perioperative metrics were described by language status, race, and ethnicity using nonparametric tests, as appropriate. We performed an adjusted generalized estimating equation to assess the total effect of the intersection of LEP and racial-ethnic categories on short-term postoperative opioid use in mean ratios (MRs). RESULTS: This study included a total of 4090 observations, in which 7.9% (323) patients had LEP. Patients reported various racial-ethnic categories, with 72.7% (2975) non-Hispanic White, and minority groups including non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander (AAPI), Hispanic/Latinx, non-Hispanic Black/African American, and Others. Patients self-identifying as non-Hispanic AAPI received fewer OME regardless of LEP status during the first 12 hours postoperatively (MR for English proficient [EP], 0.12 [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.08-0.18]; MR for LEP, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.13-0.37]) and from end of surgery to the end of POD 1 (MR for EP, 0.24 [95% CI, 0.16-0.37]; MR for LEP, 0.42, [95% CI, 0.24-0.73]) than EP non-Hispanic White. Hispanic/Latinx patients with LEP received lower amounts of OME during the first postoperative 12 hours (MR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.17-0.53) and from end of surgery to the end of POD 1 (MR, 0.42; 95% CI 0.23-0.79) than EP non-Hispanic White. Furthermore, within the non-Hispanic White group, those with LEP received fewer OME within the first 12 hours (MR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.13-0.83). CONCLUSIONS: We identified an association between LEP, racial-ethnic identity, and short-term postoperative OME utilization after total knee and hip arthroplasty. The observed differences in opioid utilization imply there may be language and racial-ethnic disparities in acute pain management and perioperative care.
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BACKGROUND: Breast cancer survivors are at a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality compared with the general population. The impact of objective social and built neighborhood attributes on CVD risk in a cohort of female breast cancer survivors was examined. METHODS: The 3975 participants came from the Pathways Study, a prospective cohort of women with invasive breast cancer from an integrated health care system in northern California. Women diagnosed with breast cancer from 2006 through 2013 were enrolled on average approximately 2 months after diagnosis. Their baseline addresses were geocoded and appended to neighborhood attributes for racial/ethnic composition, socioeconomic status (SES), population density, urbanization, crime, traffic density, street connectivity, parks, recreational facilities, and retail food environment. Incident CVD events included ischemic heart disease, heart failure, cardiomyopathy, or stroke. Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations of neighborhood attributes with CVD risk, which accounted for clustering by block groups. Fully adjusted models included sociodemographic, clinical, and behavioral factors. RESULTS: During follow-up through December 31, 2018, 340 participants (8.6%) had CVD events. A neighborhood racial/ethnic composition measure, percent of Asian American/Pacific Islander residents (lowest quintile hazard ratio [HR], 1.85; 95% CI, 1.03-3.33), and crime index (highest quartile HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.08-2.03) were associated with the risk of CVD events independent of individual SES, hormone receptor status, treatment, cardiometabolic comorbidities, body mass index, and physical activity. CONCLUSIONS: With the application of a socio-ecological framework, how residential environments shape health outcomes in women with breast cancer and affect CVD risk in this growing population can be understood.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Supervivientes de Cáncer , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Características de la ResidenciaRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Pseudocirrhosis is a term used to describe changes in hepatic contour that mimic cirrhosis radiographically, but lack the classic pathologic features of cirrhosis. This radiographic finding is frequently found in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC), but the risk factors and clinical consequences are poorly understood. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we identified patients with MBC and pseudocirrhosis who were treated at a single center from 2002 to 2021. We used chart extraction and radiology review to determine demographic characteristics, treatment history, imaging features, and complications of pseudocirrhosis. RESULTS: 120 patients with MBC and pseudocirrhosis were identified with the following BC subtypes: hormone receptor (HR) positive, HER2 negative (n = 99, 82.5%), HR+/HER2+ (n = 14, 11.7%), HR- /HER2+ (n = 3, 2.5%), and triple negative (TNBC; n = 4, 3.3%). All patients had liver metastases and 82.5% (n = 99) had > 15 liver lesions. Thirty-six patients (30%) presented with de novo metastatic disease. Median time from MBC diagnosis to pseudocirrhosis was 29.2 months. 50% of patients had stable or responding disease at the time of pseudocirrhosis diagnosis. Sequelae of pseudocirrhosis included radiographic ascites (n = 97, 80.8%), gastric/esophageal varices (n = 68, 56.7%), splenomegaly (n = 26, 21.7%), GI bleeding (n = 12, 10.0%), and hepatic encephalopathy (n = 11, 9.2%). Median survival was 7.9 months after pseudocirrhosis diagnosis. Radiographic ascites was associated with shorter survival compared to no radiographic ascites (42.8 vs. 76.2 months, p = < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest case series of patients with MBC and pseudocirrhosis. Nearly all patients had HR+ MBC and extensive liver metastases. Survival was short after pseudocirrhosis and prognosis worse with radiographic ascites.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Ascitis , Pronóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/secundario , Receptor ErbB-2RESUMEN
Individuals with neurofibromatosis type 1 develop rat sarcoma virus (RAS)-mitogen-activated protein kinase-mitogen-activated and extracellular signal-regulated kinase (RAS-MAPK-MEK)-driven nerve tumors called neurofibromas. Although MEK inhibitors transiently reduce volumes of most plexiform neurofibromas in mouse models and in neurofibromatosis type 1 (NF1) patients, therapies that increase the efficacy of MEK inhibitors are needed. BI-3406 is a small molecule that prevents Son of Sevenless (SOS)1 interaction with Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncoprotein (KRAS)-GDP, interfering with the RAS-MAPK cascade upstream of MEK. Single agent SOS1 inhibition had no significant effect in the DhhCre;Nf1 fl/fl mouse model of plexiform neurofibroma, but pharmacokinetics (PK)-driven combination of selumetinib with BI-3406 significantly improved tumor parameters. Tumor volumes and neurofibroma cell proliferation, reduced by MEK inhibition, were further reduced by the combination. Neurofibromas are rich in ionized calcium binding adaptor molecule 1 (Iba1)+ macrophages; combination treatment resulted in small and round macrophages, with altered cytokine expression indicative of altered activation. The significant effects of MEK inhibitor plus SOS1 inhibition in this preclinical study suggest potential clinical benefit of dual targeting of the RAS-MAPK pathway in neurofibromas. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Interfering with the RAS-mitogen-activated protein kinase (RAS-MAPK) cascade upstream of mitogen activated protein kinase kinase (MEK), together with MEK inhibition, augment effects of MEK inhibition on neurofibroma volume and tumor macrophages in a preclinical model system. This study emphasizes the critical role of the RAS-MAPK pathway in controlling tumor cell proliferation and the tumor microenvironment in benign neurofibromas.
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Neurofibroma Plexiforme , Neurofibroma , Neurofibromatosis 1 , Animales , Ratones , Modelos Animales de Enfermedad , Quinasas MAP Reguladas por Señal Extracelular/metabolismo , Quinasas de Proteína Quinasa Activadas por Mitógenos , Neurofibroma/tratamiento farmacológico , Neurofibroma Plexiforme/tratamiento farmacológico , Neurofibromatosis 1/tratamiento farmacológico , Neurofibromatosis 1/patología , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas/farmacología , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas/uso terapéutico , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas p21(ras)/metabolismo , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas p21(ras)/uso terapéutico , Microambiente Tumoral , Proteína SOS1/metabolismoRESUMEN
Interest has grown in synthesizing participant level data of a study with relevant external aggregate information. Several efficient and flexible procedures have been developed under the assumption that the internal study and the external sources concern the same population. This homogeneity condition, albeit commonly being imposed, is hard to check due to limitedly available external information in aggregate data forms. Bias may be introduced when the assumption is violated. In this article, we propose a penalized likelihood approach that avoids undesirable bias by simultaneously selecting and synthesizing consistent external aggregate information. The proposed approach provides a general framework which incorporate consistent external information from heterogeneous study populations as long as the conditional distribution of the dependent variable under investigation is same and differences in the independent variable distributions are properly accounted for via a semi-parametric density ratio model. The proposed approach also properly accounts for the sampling errors in the external information. A two-step estimator and an optimization algorithm are proposed for computation. We establish the selection and estimation consistency and the asymptotic normality of the two-step estimator. The proposed approach is illustrated with an analysis of gestational weight gain management studies.
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Algoritmos , Humanos , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Sesgo , Sesgo de SelecciónRESUMEN
Interest in incorporating historical data in the clinical trial has increased with the rising cost of conducting clinical trials. The intervention arm for the current trial often requires prospective data to assess a novel treatment, and thus borrowing historical control data commensurate in distribution to current control data is motivated in order to increase the allocation ratio to the current intervention arm. Existing historical control borrowing adaptive designs adjust allocation ratios based on the commensurability assessed through study-level summary statistics of the response agnostic of the distributions of the trial subject characteristics in the current and historical trials. This can lead to distributional imbalance of the current trial subject characteristics across the treatment arms as well as between current control data and borrowed historical control data. Such covariate imbalance may threaten the internal validity of the current trial by introducing confounding factors that affect study endpoints. In this article, we propose a Bayesian design which borrows and updates the treatment allocation ratios both covariate-adaptively and commensurate to covariate dependently assessed similarity between the current and historical control data. We employ covariate-dependent discrepancy parameters which are allowed to grow with the sample size and propose a regularized local regression procedure for the estimation of the parameters. The proposed design also permits the current and the historical controls to be similar to varying degree, depending on the subject level characteristics. We evaluate the proposed design extensively under the settings derived from two placebo-controlled randomized trials on vertebral fracture risk in post-menopausal women.
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Teorema de Bayes , Proyectos de Investigación , Femenino , Humanos , Simulación por Computador , Estudios Prospectivos , Tamaño de la Muestra , Ensayos Clínicos como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Premenstrual syndrome (PMS) affects women's physical and mental health. Depression, stress, sleep disturbance, and eating attitude problems have been known to influence PMS. Furthermore, restrictions of daily life due to the COVID-19 pandemic have led to changes in sleep patterns and eating attitudes. Thus, it is necessary to closely examine how these factors affect PMS. This study aimed to examine the levels of PMS, stress, depression, sleep disturbance, and eating attitude problems among female college students who experience dysmenorrhea and determine the factors associated with PMS. METHODS: A cross-sectional online survey design was conducted using a convenience sample of 143 female college students in C City, South Korea. Data were collected from September 1 to 19, 2021 in South Korea using an online self-administered survey. Differences in participants' level of PMS according to physical health variables (e.g., smoking, water intake, menstrual pain intensity) and psychological issues (i.e., stress, depression, sleep disturbances, and eating attitude problems) were assessed with independent sample t-tests and one-way ANOVAs. Correlational analyses between these variables were also conducted. Additionally, multiple regression was performed to identify the factors influencing PMS. RESULTS: PMS severity was between normal (27.3%) and premenstrual dysphoric disorder (PMDD) (72.7%). PMS was associated positively with depression (r = .284, p = 001), stress (r = .274, p = .001), sleep disturbance (r = .440, p < .001), and eating attitude problems (r = .266, p = .001). Additionally, menstrual pain intensity (ß = 0.204), sleep disturbances (ß = 0.375), and eating attitude problems (ß = 0.202) were found to influence PMS. The regression model was significant (F = 16.553, p < .001) with an explanatory power of 24.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the influencing factors of PMS identified in this study, interventions for participants experiencing PMS should be made. We propose that further study should be conducted to examine whether the severity of PMS changes according to menstrual pain, the pattern and degree of its change, and the paths through which sleep quality and eating attitude problems affect PMS.
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Dismenorrea , Síndrome Premenstrual , Femenino , Humanos , Dismenorrea/epidemiología , Dismenorrea/complicaciones , Estudios Transversales , Pandemias , Síndrome Premenstrual/epidemiología , Síndrome Premenstrual/psicología , EstudiantesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Case management programs assisting patients with social needs may improve health and avoid unnecessary health care use, but little is known about their effectiveness. OBJECTIVE: This large-scale study assessed the population-level impact of a case management program designed to address patients' social needs. DESIGN: Single-site randomized encouragement design with administrative enrollment from an eligible population and intention-to-treat analysis. Study participants were enrolled between August 2017 and December 2018 and followed for 1 year. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04000074). SETTING: Contra Costa County, an economically and culturally diverse community in the San Francisco Bay Area. PARTICIPANTS: 57 972 randomized enrollments of adult Medicaid patients at elevated risk for health care use (top 15%) to the intervention or control group. INTERVENTION: Enrollees were offered 12 months of social needs case management, which provided more intensive services to patients with higher demonstrated needs. MEASUREMENTS: Medical use was measured via emergency department (ED) visits and inpatient admissions, some of which were classified as avoidable. RESULTS: Participants in the intervention group visited the ED at ratios of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.91 to 1.00) for all visits and 0.97 (CI, 0.92 to 1.03) for avoidable visits relative to the control group. The intervention group was hospitalized at ratios of 0.89 (CI, 0.81 to 0.98) for all admissions and 0.72 (CI, 0.55 to 0.88) for avoidable admissions. LIMITATIONS: Only 40% of the intervention group engaged with the program. The program was in continual development during the trial period. CONCLUSION: Although social needs case management programs may reduce health care use, these savings may not cover full program costs. More work is needed to identify ways to increase patient uptake and define characteristics of successful programs. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Contra Costa Health Services via the Medicaid waiver program.
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Manejo de Caso , Medicaid , Adulto , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Hospitalización , Hospitales , Humanos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Previous studies have independently validated the prognostic relevance of residual cancer burden (RCB) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. We used results from several independent cohorts in a pooled patient-level analysis to evaluate the relationship of RCB with long-term prognosis across different phenotypic subtypes of breast cancer, to assess generalisability in a broad range of practice settings. METHODS: In this pooled analysis, 12 institutes and trials in Europe and the USA were identified by personal communications with site investigators. We obtained participant-level RCB results, and data on clinical and pathological stage, tumour subtype and grade, and treatment and follow-up in November, 2019, from patients (aged ≥18 years) with primary stage I-III breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery. We assessed the association between the continuous RCB score and the primary study outcome, event-free survival, using mixed-effects Cox models with the incorporation of random RCB and cohort effects to account for between-study heterogeneity, and stratification to account for differences in baseline hazard across cancer subtypes defined by hormone receptor status and HER2 status. The association was further evaluated within each breast cancer subtype in multivariable analyses incorporating random RCB and cohort effects and adjustments for age and pretreatment clinical T category, nodal status, and tumour grade. Kaplan-Meier estimates of event-free survival at 3, 5, and 10 years were computed for each RCB class within each subtype. FINDINGS: We analysed participant-level data from 5161 patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy between Sept 12, 1994, and Feb 11, 2019. Median age was 49 years (IQR 20-80). 1164 event-free survival events occurred during follow-up (median follow-up 56 months [IQR 0-186]). RCB score was prognostic within each breast cancer subtype, with higher RCB score significantly associated with worse event-free survival. The univariable hazard ratio (HR) associated with one unit increase in RCB ranged from 1·55 (95% CI 1·41-1·71) for hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative patients to 2·16 (1·79-2·61) for the hormone receptor-negative, HER2-positive group (with or without HER2-targeted therapy; p<0·0001 for all subtypes). RCB score remained prognostic for event-free survival in multivariable models adjusted for age, grade, T category, and nodal status at baseline: the adjusted HR ranged from 1·52 (1·36-1·69) in the hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative group to 2·09 (1·73-2·53) in the hormone receptor-negative, HER2-positive group (p<0·0001 for all subtypes). INTERPRETATION: RCB score and class were independently prognostic in all subtypes of breast cancer, and generalisable to multiple practice settings. Although variability in hormone receptor subtype definitions and treatment across patients are likely to affect prognostic performance, the association we observed between RCB and a patient's residual risk suggests that prospective evaluation of RCB could be considered to become part of standard pathology reporting after neoadjuvant therapy. FUNDING: National Cancer Institute at the US National Institutes of Health.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Neoplasia Residual , Receptor ErbB-2/análisis , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The risks associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its associated illness, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), among patients with a cancer diagnosis have not been fully characterized. This study leverages data from a multi-institutional cohort study, the University of California Cancer COVID Consortium, to evaluate outcomes associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection among patients with cancer. METHODS: Clinical data were collected from March to November 2020 and included patient demographics, cancer history and treatment, SARS-CoV-2 exposure and testing, and COVID-19 clinical management and outcomes. Multivariate ordinal logistic regression permitting unequal slopes was used to evaluate the impact of demographic, disease, and treatment factors on SARS-CoV-2 related hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality. FINDINGS: Among all evaluated patients (n = 303), 147 (48%) were male, 118 (29%) were older adults (≥65 years old), and 104 (34%) were non-Hispanic white. A subset (n = 63, 21%) had hematologic malignancies and the remaining had solid tumors. Patients were hospitalized for acute care (n = 79, 26%), ICU-level care (n = 28, 9%), or died (n = 21, 7%) due to COVID-19. Patients with ≥2 comorbidities were more likely to require acute care (odds ratio [OR] 2.09 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.23-3.55]). Cough was identified as a significant predictor of ICU hospitalization (OR 2.16 [95% CI, 1.03-4.57]). Importantly, mortality was associated with an active cancer diagnosis (OR 3.64 [95% CI, 1.40-9.5]) or advanced age (OR 3.86 [95% CI, 1.2-12.44]). INTERPRETATION: This study observed that patients with active cancer or advanced age are at an increased risk of death from COVID-19. These study observations can inform risk counseling related to COVID-19 for patients with a cancer diagnosis.
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COVID-19 , Neoplasias , Anciano , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Neoplasias/terapia , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
With the increasing availability of data in the public domain, there has been a growing interest in exploiting information from external sources to improve the analysis of smaller scale studies. An emerging challenge in the era of big data is that the subject-level data are high dimensional, but the external information is at an aggregate level and of a lower dimension. Moreover, heterogeneity and uncertainty in the auxiliary information are often not accounted for in information synthesis. In this paper, we propose a unified framework to summarize various forms of aggregated information via estimating equations and develop a penalized empirical likelihood approach to incorporate such information in logistic regression. When the homogeneity assumption is violated, we extend the method to account for population heterogeneity among different sources of information. When the uncertainty in the external information is not negligible, we propose a variance estimator adjusting for the uncertainty. The proposed estimators are asymptotically more efficient than the conventional penalized maximum likelihood estimator and enjoy the oracle property even with a diverging number of predictors. Simulation studies show that the proposed approaches yield higher accuracy in variable selection compared with competitors. We illustrate the proposed methodologies with a pediatric kidney transplant study.
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Proyectos de Investigación , Niño , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Funciones de VerosimilitudRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Perioperative normal saline administration remains common practice during kidney transplantation. The authors hypothesized that the proportion of balanced crystalloids versus normal saline administered during the perioperative period would be associated with the likelihood of delayed graft function. METHODS: The authors linked outcome data from a national transplant registry with institutional anesthesia records from 2005 to 2015. The cohort included adult living and deceased donor transplants, and recipients with or without need for dialysis before transplant. The primary exposure was the percent normal saline of the total amount of crystalloids administered perioperatively, categorized into a low (less than or equal to 30%), intermediate (greater than 30% but less than 80%), and high normal saline group (greater than or equal to 80%). The primary outcome was the incidence of delayed graft function, defined as the need for dialysis within 1 week of transplant. The authors adjusted for the following potential confounders and covariates: transplant year, total crystalloid volume, surgical duration, vasopressor infusions, and erythrocyte transfusions; recipient sex, age, body mass index, race, number of human leukocyte antigen mismatches, and dialysis vintage; and donor type, age, and sex. RESULTS: The authors analyzed 2,515 records. The incidence of delayed graft function in the low, intermediate, and high normal saline group was 15.8% (61/385), 17.5% (113/646), and 21% (311/1,484), respectively. The adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) for delayed graft function was 1.24 (0.85 to 1.81) for the intermediate and 1.55 (1.09 to 2.19) for the high normal saline group compared with the low normal saline group. For deceased donor transplants, delayed graft function in the low, intermediate, and high normal saline group was 24% (54/225 [reference]), 28.6% (99/346; adjusted odds ratio, 1.28 [0.85 to 1.93]), and 30.8% (277/901; adjusted odds ratio, 1.52 [1.05 to 2.21]); and for living donor transplants, 4.4% (7/160 [reference]), 4.7% (14/300; adjusted odds ratio, 1.15 [0.42 to 3.10]), and 5.8% (34/583; adjusted odds ratio, 1.66 [0.65 to 4.25]), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: High percent normal saline administration is associated with delayed graft function in kidney transplant recipients.
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Funcionamiento Retardado del Injerto/inducido químicamente , Funcionamiento Retardado del Injerto/epidemiología , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Atención Perioperativa/efectos adversos , Solución Salina/administración & dosificación , Solución Salina/efectos adversos , Adulto , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Funcionamiento Retardado del Injerto/diagnóstico , Femenino , Humanos , Trasplante de Riñón/tendencias , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Atención Perioperativa/métodos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
We propose a nonparametric bivariate varying coefficient generalized linear model to predict a mean response trajectory in the future given an individual's characteristics at present or an earlier time point in a longitudinal study. Given the measurement time of the predictors, the coefficients vary as functions of the future time over which the prediction of the mean response is concerned and illustrate the dynamic association between the future response and the earlier measured predictors. We use a nonparametric approach that takes advantage of features of both the kernel and the spline methods for estimation. The resulting coefficient estimator is asymptotically consistent under mild regularity conditions. We also develop a new bootstrap approach to construct simultaneous confidence bands for statistical inference about the coefficients and the predicted response trajectory based on the coverage rate of bootstrap estimates. We use the Framingham Heart Study to illustrate the methodology. The proposed procedure is applied to predict the probability trajectory of hypertension risk given individuals' health condition in early adulthood and to examine the impact of risk factors in early adulthood on a long-term risk of hypertension over several decades.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Adulto , Humanos , Modelos Lineales , Estudios Longitudinales , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Synthesizing external aggregated information has been proven useful in improving estimation efficiency when conducting statistical analysis using a limited amount of data. In this paper, we develop a unified framework for combining information from high-dimensional individual-level data and potentially low-dimensional external aggregate data under the Cox model. We summarize various forms of external aggregated information by population estimating equations and propose a penalized empirical likelihood approach to borrow information from these estimating equations. The proposed methods possess the flexibility to handle the case where individual-level data and external aggregate data are from heterogeneous populations. Specifically, a penalized empirical likelihood ratio test is developed to check for the potential heterogeneity, and a semiparametric density ratio model is postulated to account for the heterogeneity. Moreover, we study the impact of uncertainty in the auxiliary information on the efficiency gain and propose a modified variance estimator to adjust for the uncertainty. The proposed estimators enjoy the oracle property and are asymptotically more efficient than the penalized partial likelihood estimator that does not exploit the external aggregated information. Simulation studies show improvement in both estimation efficiency and variable selection over the competitors. The proposed approaches are applied to the analysis of a pediatric kidney transplant study for illustration.
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Proyectos de Investigación , Niño , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , IncertidumbreRESUMEN
The goal of the optimal treatment regime is maximizing treatment benefits via personalized treatment assignments based on the observed patient and treatment characteristics. Parametric regression-based outcome learning approaches require exploring complex interplay between the outcome and treatment assignments adjusting for the patient and treatment covariates, yet correctly specifying such relationships is challenging. Thus, a robust method against misspecified models is desirable in practice. Parsimonious models are also desired to pursue a concise interpretation and to avoid including spurious predictors of the outcome or treatment benefits. These issues have not been comprehensively addressed in the presence of competing risks. Recognizing that competing risks and group variables are frequently present, we propose a doubly robust estimation with adaptive L 1 penalties to select important variables at both group and within-group levels for competing risks data. The proposed method is applied to hematopoietic cell transplantation data to personalize the graft source choice for treatment-related mortality (TRM). While the existing medical literature attempts to find a uniform solution ignoring the heterogeneity of the graft source effects on TRM, the analysis results show the effect of the graft source on TRM could be different depending on the patient-specific characteristics.
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The present study examined the relationships between housing environments and health and well-being among older adults with physical disabilities in South Korea. Data are from the 2014 National Survey on Persons with Disabilities. We modelled four health and well-being outcomes - perceived stress, depressive symptoms, suicidal ideation, and life satisfaction - by various housing environments among 2,077 older adults with physical disabilities. The results illustrate that home ownership and perceived house accessibility are associated with health and well-being. Findings indicate that efforts to promote the health of older adults with physical disabilities need to be accompanied by improvements in their housing environment.
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Personas con Discapacidad , Vivienda , Anciano , Estado de Salud , Humanos , República de Corea , Ideación SuicidaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: We developed objective measurements of preoperative and residual tumor volume, and debulking rate, to evaluate their prognostic value for neuroendocrine liver metastasis (NELM). METHODS: Seventy-three patients who underwent surgery for NELM were analyzed retrospectively. Indices of preoperative and postoperative residual tumor volume (pre-volume index [VI] and post-VI) were calculated as the sum of the cubes of individual tumor diameters on preoperative and postoperative imaging, respectively. The debulking rate (%) was calculated as 100 - 100 × post-VI/pre-VI. The classification and regression trees method was used to classify pre-VI and post-VI. RESULTS: Overall survival (OS) was discriminated by preoperative tumor volume (5-year OS rates, 87.8% for low pre-VI and 60.1% for high pre-VI; P = .037) and residual tumor volume (5-year OS rates, 88.1% for low post-VI and 24.8% for high post-VI; P < .001). In contrast, debulking rates of 100%, ≥90%, and <90% did not discriminate OS (5-year OS rates, 88.0%, 61.9%, and 58.9%, respectively, not significant). In multivariate analysis, residual tumor volume (high post-VI, hazard ratio, 6.40; 95% confidence interval, 1.45-32.3) was an independent prognostic factor for OS. CONCLUSIONS: Objective measurement of tumor volume demonstrates that residual tumor volume is prognostic after surgery for NELM.
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Bayesian dynamic borrowing designs facilitate borrowing information from historical studies. Historical data, when perfectly commensurate with current data, have been shown to reduce the trial duration and the sample size, while inflation in the type I error and reduction in the power have been reported, when imperfectly commensurate. These results, however, were obtained without considering that Bayesian designs are calibrated to meet regulatory requirements in practice and even no-borrowing designs may use information from historical data in the calibration. The implicit borrowing of historical data suggests that imperfectly commensurate historical data may similarly impact no-borrowing designs negatively. We will provide a fair appraiser of Bayesian dynamic borrowing and no-borrowing designs. We used a published selective adaptive randomization design and real clinical trial setting and conducted simulation studies under varying degrees of imperfectly commensurate historical control scenarios. The type I error was inflated under the null scenario of no intervention effect, while larger inflation was noted with borrowing. The larger inflation in type I error under the null setting can be offset by the greater probability to stop early correctly under the alternative. Response rates were estimated more precisely and the average sample size was smaller with borrowing. The expected increase in bias with borrowing was noted, but was negligible. Using Bayesian dynamic borrowing designs may improve trial efficiency by stopping trials early correctly and reducing trial length at the small cost of inflated type I error.
Asunto(s)
Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto/métodos , Proyectos de Investigación , Teorema de Bayes , Sesgo , Calibración , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Probabilidad , Tamaño de la MuestraRESUMEN
This quasi-experimental study with a nonequivalent control group pretest-posttest design was conducted to evaluate the effects of a psychological intervention program for 50 women with infertility (experimental group: 26, control group: 24) utilizing assisted reproductive technology. The experimental group received six four-hour sessions of intervention, with outcomes measured at baseline and four weeks post-intervention. The experimental group demonstrated significant improvements in marital intimacy (z = 6.528, p < .001) and sexual satisfaction (z = 3.148, p = .003) and significant reductions in depression (z = -4.850, p < .001) and fatigue (z = -4.597, p < .001). Thus, the program can alleviate depression and fatigue. Further, psychological intervention centered on the marital and personal dimensions may improve marital intimacy and sexual satisfaction.