Body mass index and lung cancer risk: Pooled analysis of 10 prospective cohort studies in Japan.

Mounting evidence suggests that body mass index (BMI) is inversely associated with the risk of lung cancer. However, relatively few studies have explored this association in Asian people, who have a much lower prevalence of obesity than Caucasians. We pooled data from 10 prospective cohort studies involving 444,143 Japanese men and women to address the association between BMI and the risk of lung cancer. Study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated in each cohort using the Cox proportional hazards model. A meta-analysis was undertaken by combining the results from each cohort. Heterogeneity across studies was evaluated using Cochran's Q and I2statistics. During 5,730,013 person-years of follow-up, 6454 incident lung cancer cases (4727 men and 1727 women) were identified. Baseline BMI was inversely associated with lung cancer risk in men and women combined. While leanness (BMI <18.5) was associated with a higher risk of lung cancer (HR 1.35; 95% CI, 1.16-1.57), overweight and obesity were associated with a lower risk, with HRs of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.84) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.45-1.07), respectively. Every 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 21% lower risk of lung cancer (HR 0.79; 95% CI, 0.75-0.83; p < 0.0001). Our pooled analysis indicated that BMI is inversely associated with the risk of lung cancer in the Japanese population. This inverse association could be partly attributed to residual confounding by smoking, as it was more pronounced among male smokers.

The prognosis and risk factors for patients with complex karyotype myelodysplastic syndrome undergoing allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) is the curative treatment for myelodysplastic syndrome with a complex karyotype (CK-MDS). However, only a few studies have been limited to patients with CK-MDS undergoing allogeneic HCT. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for patients with CK-MDS undergoing allogeneic HCT. We included 691 patients with CK-MDS who received their first allogeneic HCT. The overall survival (OS) was the primary end-point, estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors were identified using a Cox proportional hazards model. The 3-year OS was 29.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 26.3-33.3). In the multivariable analysis, older age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.11-1.88), male sex (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.11-1.71), poor haematopoietic cell transplant comorbidity index (HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.20-1.81), red blood cell transfusion requirement (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.13-2.20), platelet transfusion requirement (HR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.46-2.35), not-complete remission (HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.16-2.06), a high number of karyotype abnormality (HR: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.18-2.25) and monosomal karyotype (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.05-2.12) were significantly associated with OS. Thus, the 3-year OS of allogeneic HCT was 29.8% in patients with CK-MDS, and we identified risk factors associated with poor OS.

Preoperative treatment response prediction for pancreatic cancer by multiple microRNAs in plasma exosomes: Optimization using machine learning and network analysis.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are involved in chemosensitivity through their biological activities in various malignancies, including pancreatic cancer (PC). However, single-miRNA models offer limited predictability of treatment response. We investigated whether a multiple-miRNA prediction model optimized via machine learning could improve treatment response prediction. METHODS: A total of 20 and 66 patients who underwent curative resection for PC after gemcitabine-based preoperative treatment were included in the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. Patients were classified according to their response to preoperative treatment. In the discovery cohort, miRNA microarray and machine learning were used to identify candidate miRNAs (in peripheral plasma exosomes obtained before treatment) associated with treatment response. In the validation cohort, miRNA expression was analyzed using quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction to validate its ability to predict treatment response. RESULTS: In the discovery cohort, six and three miRNAs were associated with good and poor responders, respectively. The combination of these miRNAs significantly improved predictive accuracy compared with using each single miRNA, with area under the curve (AUC) values increasing from 0.485 to 0.672 to 0.909 for good responders and from 0.475 to 0.606 to 0.788 for poor responders. In the validation cohort, improved predictive performance of the miRNA combination over single-miRNA prediction models was confirmed, with AUC values increasing from 0.461 to 0.669 to 0.777 for good responders and from 0.501 to 0.556 to 0.685 for poor responders. CONCLUSIONS: Peripheral blood miRNA profiles using an optimized combination of miRNAs may provide a more advanced prediction model for preoperative treatment response in PC.

Intestinal Bacteria Fluctuating in Early-Stage Colorectal Cancer Carcinogenesis are Associated with Diet in Healthy Adults.

This hospital-based, cross-sectional study aimed to explore the association between diet and fluctuating intestinal bacteria in early-stage colorectal cancer (CRC) (Atopobium parvulum, Actinomyces odontolyticus, Solobacterium moorei, and Bifidobacterium longum). Healthy participants (n = 212) who underwent total colonoscopy at National Cancer Center Hospital (Tokyo, Japan) were divided into two groups according to the relative abundance of bacteria in their feces: those in the top 25% of relative bacterial abundance as cases and the bottom 25% as controls. The participants were divided into three groups (low, medium, and high) according to their intake of food groups associated with CRC. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to estimate the association between dietary intake and higher relative abundance of bacteria. Dairy products were inversely associated with a higher relative abundance of A. parvulum, A. odontolyticus, and S. moorei, with odds ratios (high vs. low) and 95% confidence interval as follows: 0.16 (0.06-0.44), 0.25 (0.08-0.82), and 0.29 (0.11-0.78), respectively. Additionally, dietary fiber was inversely associated with a higher relative abundance of S.moorei (0.29 [0.11-0.78]). No association was observed between diet and B.longum. In conclusion, healthy adults with a higher intake of dairy products and fiber had lower odds of having a higher relative abundance of CRC-associated microbiota.

Association between tranexamic acid administration and mortality based on the trauma phenotype: a retrospective analysis of a nationwide trauma registry in Japan.

BACKGROUND: In trauma systems, criteria for individualised and optimised administration of tranexamic acid (TXA), an antifibrinolytic, are yet to be established. This study used nationwide cohort data from Japan to evaluate the association between TXA and in-hospital mortality among all patients with blunt trauma based on clinical phenotypes (trauma phenotypes). METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from the Japan Trauma Data Bank (JTDB) spanning 2019 to 2021. RESULTS: Of 80,463 patients with trauma registered in the JTDB, 53,703 met the inclusion criteria, and 8046 (15.0%) received TXA treatment. The patients were categorised into eight trauma phenotypes. After adjusting with inverse probability treatment weighting, in-hospital mortality of the following trauma phenotypes significantly reduced with TXA administration: trauma phenotype 1 (odds ratio [OR] 0.68 [95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57-0.81]), trauma phenotype 2 (OR 0.73 [0.66-0.81]), trauma phenotype 6 (OR 0.52 [0.39-0.70]), and trauma phenotype 8 (OR 0.67 [0.60-0.75]). Conversely, trauma phenotypes 3 (OR 2.62 [1.98-3.47]) and 4 (OR 1.39 [1.11-1.74]) exhibited a significant increase in in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to evaluate the association between TXA administration and survival outcomes based on clinical phenotypes. We found an association between trauma phenotypes and in-hospital mortality, indicating that treatment with TXA could potentially influence this relationship. Further studies are needed to assess the usefulness of these phenotypes.

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation versus conventional CPR in cardiac arrest: an updated meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis.

BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) may reduce mortality and improve neurological outcomes in patients with cardiac arrest. We updated our existing meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis to further evaluate ECPR compared to conventional CPR (CCPR). METHODS: We searched three international databases from 1 January 2000 through 1 November 2023, for randomised controlled trials or propensity score matched studies (PSMs) comparing ECPR to CCPR in both out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). We conducted an updated random-effects meta-analysis, with the primary outcome being in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included short- and long-term favourable neurological outcome and survival (30 days-1 year). We also conducted a trial sequential analysis to evaluate the required information size in the meta-analysis to detect a clinically relevant reduction in mortality. RESULTS: We included 13 studies with 14 pairwise comparisons (6336 ECPR and 7712 CCPR) in our updated meta-analysis. ECPR was associated with greater precision in reducing overall in-hospital mortality (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.50-0.79, high certainty), to which the trial sequential analysis was concordant. The addition of recent studies revealed a newly significant decrease in mortality in OHCA (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.45-0.84). Re-analysis of relevant secondary outcomes reaffirmed our initial findings of favourable short-term neurological outcomes and survival up to 30 days. Estimates for long-term neurological outcome and 90-day-1-year survival remained unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: We found that ECPR reduces in-hospital mortality, improves neurological outcome, and 30-day survival. We additionally found a newly significant benefit in OHCA, suggesting that ECPR may be considered in both IHCA and OHCA.

Post-discharge functional outcomes in older patients with sepsis.

BACKGROUND: The post-discharge prognosis of patients with sepsis remains a crucial issue; however, few studies have investigated the relationship between pre-sepsis health status and subsequent prognosis in a large population. This study aimed to examine the effect of the pre-sepsis care needs level on changes in care needs and mortality in patients with sepsis 1 year post-discharge. METHODS: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study including twelve municipalities in Japan that participated in the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence study between April 2014 and March 2022, with a total of 1,491,608 persons. The pre-hospitalization levels of care needs (baseline) were classified from low to high, as no care needs, support level and care needs level 1, care needs levels 2-3, and care needs levels 4-5 (fully dependent). The outcomes were changes in care needs level and mortality 1 year post-discharge, assessed by baseline care needs level using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: The care needs levels of 17,648 patients analyzed at baseline were as follows: no care needs, 7982 (45.2%); support level and care needs level 1, 3736 (21.2%); care needs levels 2-3, 3089 (17.5%); and care needs levels 4-5, 2841 (16.1%). At 1 year post-discharge, the distribution of care needs were as follows: no care needs, 4791 (27.1%); support level and care needs level 1, 2390 (13.5%); care needs levels 2-3, 2629 (14.9%); care needs levels 4-5, 3373 (19.1%); and death, 4465 (25.3%). Patients with higher levels of care needs exhibited an increased association of all-cause mortality 1 year post-discharge after adjusting for confounders [hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals: support level and care needs level 1, 1.05 (0.96, 1.15); care needs levels 2-3, 1.46 (1.33, 1.60); and care needs levels 4-5, 1.92 (1.75, 2.10); P for trend < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated care needs and mortality were observed in patients with sepsis within 1 year post-discharge. Older patients with sepsis and higher baseline levels of care needs had a high association of all-cause mortality 1 year post-discharge.

Dietary Consumption of Antioxidant Vitamins in Relation to Prostate Cancer Risk in Japanese Men: The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Many epidemiological studies have investigated dietary intake of antioxidant vitamins in relation to prostate cancer risk in Western countries, but the results are inconsistent. However, few studies have reported this relationship in Asian countries. METHODS: We investigated the association between intake of vitamins, including lycopene, α-carotene, ß-carotene, vitamin C, vitamin E, with prostate cancer risk in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective (JPHC) study. 40,720 men without history of cancer finished the food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) and were included in the study. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of prostate cancer risk were calculated according to the quintiles of energy-adjusted intake of vitamins using Cox models. RESULTS: After an average of 15.2 years (617,599 person-years in total) of follow-up, 1,386 cases of prostate cancer were identified, including 944 localized cases and 340 advanced cases. No associations were observed in consumption of antioxidant vitamins, including α-carotene, ß-carotene, vitamin C, and vitamin E, and prostate cancer risk. Although higher lycopene intake was associated with increased risk of prostate cancer (highest vs lowest quintile, HR 1.24; 95% CI, 1.04-1.47; P for trend = 0.01), there was a null association of lycopene intake with risk of prostate cancer detected by subjective symptoms (HR 1.12; 95% CI, 0.79-1.58; P for trend = 0.11). CONCLUSION: Our study suggested no association between antioxidant intake of vitamins and prostate cancer risk.

Mortality after partner's cancer diagnosis or death: A population-based prospective cohort study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The health statuses of closely connected individuals are interdependent. Little is known about mortality risk associated with partner's cancer diagnosis and cause-specific mortality risk associated with partner's death. METHODS: Relative risks for all-cause and cause-specific mortality following a partner's cancer diagnosis or death compared to the period when the partner is cancer-free and alive were investigated in the population-based prospective cohort study that enrolled 140,420 people at the age between 40-69 in 1990-1994. RESULTS: 55,050 participants (27,665 men and 27,385 women) who were identified as married couples were followed-up for 1,073,746.1 (518,368.5 in men and 555,377.6 in women) person-years, during which 9,816 deaths (7,217 in men and 2,599 in women) were observed. After a partner's cancer diagnosis, the mortality rate ratio (MRR) of all-cause mortality was not increased among both men and women, while an increase of externally-caused MRR was observed. The suicide MRR significantly increased among men (MRR = 2.90 [95% CI, 1.70-4.93]) and it persisted for more than 5 years. After a partner's death, the MRRs of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease (RD), and externally-caused mortality significantly increased only among men. Stratified analysis by smoking status among men showed significantly increased MRRs of CVD and RD mortality among former/current smokers, but not among never-smokers. CONCLUSION: Partner's cancer diagnosis did not increase all-cause mortality risk, but increased externally-caused mortality risk, especially suicide among men. The impact of partner's death on mortality risk differed by the mortality causes and sex, and smoking affected some of cause-specific mortality risk.

Adult Height and Risk of Colorectal Cancer: A Pooled Analysis of 10 Population-based Cohort Studies in Japan.

BACKGROUND: While tall stature has been linked to an increase in the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), its association with cancer in the colorectum and its subsites remains unclear among Asians. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies among adults in Japan. Each study estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CRC incidence associated with adult height were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression with adjustment of the same set of covariates were then pooled to estimate summary HRs incidence using random-effect models. RESULTS: We identified 9,470 CRC incidences among 390,063 participants during 5,672,930 person-years of follow-up. Men and women with tall stature had a higher risk of CRC and colon cancer. HRs for CRC, colon cancer, and distal colon cancer for the highest versus lowest height categories were 1.23 (95% CI, 1.07-1.40), 1.22 (95% CI, 1.09-1.36), and 1.27 (95% CI, 1.08-1.49), respectively, in men and 1.21 (95% CI, 1.09-1.35), 1.23 (95% CI, 1.08-1.40), and 1.35 (95% CI, 1.003-1.81), respectively, in women. The association with proximal colon cancer and rectal cancer was less evident in both sexes. CONCLUSION: This pooled analysis confirms the link between tall stature and a higher risk of CRC and colon cancer (especially distal colon) among the Japanese and adds evidence to support the use of adult height to identify those at a higher risk of CRC.

Postdischarge functional outcomes in older patients with acute heart failure in Japan: the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence study.

BACKGROUND: The association between care needs level (CNL) at hospitalisation and postdischarge outcomes in older patients with acute heart failure (aHF) has been insufficiently investigated. METHODS: This population-based cohort study was conducted using health insurance claims and CNL data of the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence study. Patients aged ≥65 years, discharged after hospitalisation for aHF between April 2014 and March 2022, were identified. CNLs at hospitalisation were classified as no care needs (NCN), support level (SL) and CNL1, CNL2-3 and CNL4-5 based on total estimated daily care time as defined by national standard criteria, and varied on an ordinal scale between SL&CNL1 (low level) to CNL4-5 (fully dependent). The primary outcomes were changes in CNL and death 1 year after discharge, assessed by CNL at hospitalisation using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Of the 17 724 patients included, 7540 (42.5%), 4818 (27.2%), 3267 (18.4%) and 2099 (11.8%) had NCN, SL&CNL1, CNL2-3 and CNL4-5, respectively, at hospitalisation. One year after discharge, 4808 (27.1%), 3243 (18.3%), 2968 (16.7%), 2505 (14.1%) and 4200 (23.7%) patients had NCN, SL&CNL1, CNL2-3, CNL4-5 and death, respectively. Almost all patients' CNLs worsened after discharge. Compared to patients with NCN at hospitalisation, patients with SL&CNL1, CNL2-3 and CNL4-5 had an increased risk of all-cause death 1 year after discharge (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.19 [1.09-1.31], 1.88 [1.71-2.06] and 2.56 [2.31-2.84], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Older patients with aHF and high CNL at hospitalisation had a high risk of all-cause mortality in the year following discharge.

Impact of time to revascularization on outcomes in patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with STEMI.

BACKGROUND: International guidelines recommend emergency coronary angiography in patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with ST-segment elevation on 12­lead electrocardiography. However, the association between time to revascularization and outcomes remains unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the association between time to revascularization and outcomes in patients with OHCA due to ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective, nationwide observational study included patients aged ≥18 years with OHCA due to STEMI who underwent PCI between 2014 and 2020. The time of the first return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) was defined as the time of first ROSC during resuscitation, regardless of the pre-hospital or in-hospital setting. The primary outcome was a 1-month favorable neurological outcome, defined as cerebral performance category 1 or 2. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association between the time to revascularization and favorable neurological outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 547 patients were included in this analysis. The multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that a shorter time from the first ROSC to revascularization was associated with 1-month favorable neurological outcomes (63/86 [73.3%] in the time from the first ROSC to revascularization ≤60 min group versus 98/193 [50.8%] in the >120 min group; adjusted OR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.11-0.56; P for trend, 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: Shorter time to revascularization was significantly associated with 1-month favorable neurological outcomes in patients with OHCA due to STEMI who underwent PCI.

Maternal diabetes and risk of offspring congenital heart diseases: the Japan Environment and Children's Study.

BACKGROUND: Few prospective cohort studies have examined the association between maternal diabetes, including pre-pregnancy and gestational diabetes, and the risk of congenital heart disease (CHD) in Asian offspring. METHODS: We examined the association between maternal diabetes and offspring CHD among 97,094 mother-singleton infant pairs in the Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS) between January 2011 and March 2014. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of offspring CHD based on maternal diabetes (pre-pregnancy diabetes and gestational diabetes) were estimated using logistic regression after adjusting for maternal age at delivery, pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), maternal smoking habits, alcohol consumption, annual household income, and maternal education. The diagnosis of CHD in the offspring was ascertained from the transcript of medical records. RESULTS: The incidence of CHD in the offspring was 1,132. Maternal diabetes, including both pre-pregnancy diabetes and gestational diabetes, was associated with a higher risk of offspring CHD: multivariable OR (95%CI) = 1.81 (1.40-2.33) for maternal diabetes, 2.39 (1.05-5.42) for pre-pregnancy diabetes and 1.77 (1.36-2.30) for gestational diabetes. A higher risk of offspring CHD was observed in pre-pregnancy BMI ≥25.0 kg/m2 (OR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.74-3.75) than in pre-pregnancy BMI <25.0 kg/m2 (OR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.05-2.10, p for interaction = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Maternal diabetes, including both pre-pregnancy and gestational, was associated with an increased risk of CHD in offspring.

Mediation effect of intestinal microbiota on the relationship between fiber intake and colorectal cancer.

Higher fiber intake has been associated with a lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) and has been shown to protect against CRC based on probable evidence. Recent studies revealed a possible mechanism whereby the interaction between intestinal microbiota and fiber intake mediates CRC risk. However, the specific intestinal bacteria and the amount of these bacteria involved in this mechanism are not fully known. Therefore, this single-center study aimed to determine whether specific intestinal bacteria mediated the relationship between fiber intake and CRC risk. We enrolled patients who received colonoscopy at National Cancer Center Hospital. This cross-sectional study included 180 patients with clinically diagnosed CRC and 242 controls. We conducted a causal mediation analysis to assess the natural indirect effect and natural direct effect of specific intestinal bacteria on association between fiber intake and CRC risk. The median age was 64 (interquartile range, 54-70) years, and 58% of the participants were males. We used metagenomics for profiling gut microbiomes. The relative abundance of each species in each sample was calculated. Among the candidate, Fusobacterium nucleatum and Gemella morbillorum had a significant natural indirect effect based on their highest fiber intake compared to the lowest fiber intake, with a risk difference (95% confidence interval, proportion of mediation effect) of -0.06 [-0.09 to -0.03, 23%] and -0.03 [-0.06 to -0.01, 10.5%], respectively. Other bacteria did not display natural indirect effects. In conclusion, Fusobacterium nucleatum and Gemella morbillorum were found to mediate the relationship between fiber intake and CRC risk.

Body mass index and esophageal and gastric cancer: A pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies in Japan.

The effect of body mass index (BMI) on esophageal and gastric carcinogenesis might be heterogeneous, depending on subtype or subsite. However, findings from prospective evaluations of BMI associated with these cancers among Asian populations have been inconsistent and limited, especially for esophageal adenocarcinoma and gastric cardia cancer. We performed a pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies to examine this association in 394,247 Japanese individuals. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), then pooled these estimates to calculate summary HRs with a random effects model. During 5,750,107 person-years of follow-up, 1569 esophageal cancer (1038 squamous cell carcinoma and 86 adenocarcinoma) and 11,095 gastric (728 cardia and 5620 noncardia) cancer incident cases were identified. An inverse association was observed between BMI and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (HR per 5-kg/m2 increase 0.57, 95% CI 0.50-0.65), whereas a positive association was seen in gastric cardia cancer (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.00-1.32). A nonsignificant and significant positive association for overweight or obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m2 ) relative to BMI <25 kg/m2 was observed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.80-2.17) and gastric cardia cancer (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46), respectively. No clear association with BMI was found for gastric noncardia cancer. This prospective study-the largest in an Asian country-provides a comprehensive quantitative estimate of the association of BMI with upper gastrointestinal cancer and confirms the subtype- or subsite-specific carcinogenic impact of BMI in a Japanese population.

Cholesterol and breast cancer risk: a cohort study using health insurance claims and health checkup databases.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to investigate the association between serum cholesterol and triglyceride levels and breast cancer risk in Japanese women. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the association between the levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides (TGs) and the incidence of breast cancer in a cohort study by using the health insurance claims and health checkup data from a database provided by JMDC Inc. We included 956,390 women who were insured between April 2008 and June 2019, identified breast cancer cases by using validated definitions, and estimated the risk of breast cancer by using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: During the 2,832,277 person-years observation period (median 2.4 years), 6284 participants were diagnosed with breast cancer. There was marginally significant association between LDL-C and breast cancer risk when comparing the highest and lowest quintiles and at the clinical cutoff values for diagnosing hyperlipidemia. HDL-C was not associated with breast cancer. However, when stratified by age groups (< 50 and ≥ 50), HDL-C was inversely associated with breast cancer risk in women over 50 years old. TG was not associated with breast cancer risk. CONCLUSION: In this population, there was a modest association of LDL-C at the clinical cutoff values for diagnosing hyperlipidemia (140 mg/mL), and there were no associations of HDL-C and TG with breast cancer risk.

Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak on Emergency Patients Hospitalized With Cardiocerebrovascular Diseases in Osaka Prefecture, Japan　- A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the transport and outcomes of emergency patients with cardiocerebrovascular diseases in Japan before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.Methods and Results: Data were extracted from a population-based registry in Osaka, Japan, from 2019 to 2021. There were almost no differences in the numbers of emergency patients hospitalized with myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure or their deaths. However, the number of cases of difficulty obtaining patient acceptance by hospitals increased in 2020 and 2021 compared with 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The numbers of emergency patients hospitalized with cardiocerebrovascular diseases and their deaths in Osaka were not affected by the COVID-19 epidemic.

Wider Dissemination of Simplified Chest Compression-Only Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Training Combined With Conventional Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Training and 10-Year Trends in Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Performed by Bystanders in a City.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about how to effectively increase bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), so we evaluated the 10-year trend of the proportion of bystander CPR in an area with wide dissemination of chest compression-only CPR (CCCPR) training combined with conventional CPR training.Methods and Results: We conducted a descriptive study after a community intervention, using a prospective cohort from September 2010 to December 2019. The intervention consisted of disseminating CCCPR training combined with conventional CPR training in Toyonaka City since 2010. We analyzed all non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients resuscitated by emergency medical service personnel. The primary outcome was the trend of the proportion of bystander CPR. We conducted multivariate logistic regression models and assessed the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) using a 95% confidence interval (CI) to determine bystander CPR trends. Since 2010, we have trained 168,053 inhabitants (41.9% of the total population of Toyonaka City). A total of 1,508 OHCA patients were included in the analysis. The proportion of bystander CPR did not change from 2010 (43.3%) to 2019 (40.0%; 1-year incremental AOR 1.02 [95% CI: 0.98-1.05]). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of bystander CPR did not increase even after wider dissemination of CPR training. In addition to continuing wider dissemination of CPR training, other strategies such as the use of technology are necessary to increase bystander CPR.

External Validation of the Japanese Clinical Score for Mortality Prediction in Patients With Acute Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: To predict mortality in patients with acute heart failure (AHF), we created and validated an internal clinical risk score, the KICKOFF score, which takes physical and social aspects, in addition to clinical aspects, into account. In this study, we validated the prediction model externally in a different geographic area.Methods and Results: There were 2 prospective multicenter cohorts (1,117 patients in Osaka Prefecture [KICKOFF registry]; 737 patients in Kochi Prefecture [Kochi YOSACOI study]) that had complete datasets for calculation of the KICKOFF score, which was developed by machine learning incorporating physical and social factors. The outcome measure was all-cause death over a 2-year period. Patients were separated into 3 groups: low risk (scores 0-6), moderate risk (scores 7-11), and high risk (scores 12-19). Kaplan-Meier curves clearly showed the score's propensity to predict all-cause death, which rose independently in higher-risk groups (P<0.001) in both cohorts. After 2 years, the cumulative incidence of all-cause death was similar in the KICKOFF registry and Kochi YOSACOI study for the low-risk (4.4% vs. 5.3%, respectively), moderate-risk (25.3% vs. 22.3%, respectively), and high-risk (68.1% vs. 58.5%, respectively) groups. CONCLUSIONS: The unique prediction score may be used in different geographic areas in Japan. The score may help doctors estimate the risk of AHF mortality, and provide information for decisions regarding heart failure treatment.

Time definition of reintubation most relevant to patient outcomes in critically ill patients: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Reintubation is a common complication in critically ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Although reintubation has been demonstrated to be associated with patient outcomes, its time definition varies widely among guidelines and in the literature. This study aimed to determine the association between reintubation and patient outcomes as well as the consequences of the time elapsed between extubation and reintubation on patient outcomes. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of critically ill patients conducted between April 2015 and March 2021. Adult patients who underwent mechanical ventilation and extubation in intensive care units (ICUs) were investigated utilizing the Japanese Intensive Care PAtient Database. The primary and secondary outcomes were in-hospital and ICU mortality. The association between reintubation and clinical outcomes was studied using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Among the patients who underwent reintubation, a Cox proportional hazard analysis was conducted to evaluate patient outcomes according to the number of days from extubation to reintubation. RESULTS: Overall, 184,705 patients in 75 ICUs were screened, and 1849 patients underwent reintubation among 48,082 extubated patients. After adjustment for potential confounders, multivariable analysis revealed a significant association between reintubation and increased in-hospital and ICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.520, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.359-1.700, and adjusted HR 1.325, 95% CI 1.076-1.633, respectively). Among the reintubated patients, 1037 (56.1%) were reintubated within 24 h after extubation, 418 (22.6%) at 24-48 h, 198 (10.7%) at 48-72 h, 111 (6.0%) at 72-96 h, and 85 (4.6%) at 96-120 h. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that in-hospital and ICU mortality was highest in patients reintubated at 72-96 h (adjusted HR 1.528, 95% CI 1.062-2.197, and adjusted HR 1.334, 95% CI 0.756-2.352, respectively; referenced to reintubation within 24 h). CONCLUSIONS: Reintubation was associated with a significant increase in in-hospital and ICU mortality. The highest mortality rates were observed in patients who were reintubated between 72 and 96 h after extubation. Further studies are warranted for the optimal observation of extubated patients in clinical practice and to strengthen the evidence for mechanical ventilation.