Stool-Based Testing for Post-Polypectomy Colorectal Cancer Surveillance Safely Reduces Colonoscopies: The Molecular Stool Testing for Colorectal Cancer Surveillance Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Colonoscopy-based surveillance to prevent colorectal cancer (CRC) causes substantial burden for patients and health care. Stool tests may help to reduce surveillance colonoscopies by limiting colonoscopies to individuals at increased risk of advanced neoplasia. METHODS: This cross-sectional observational study included individuals aged 50-75 years with surveillance indication. Before bowel preparation, participants collected samples for a multitarget stool DNA test and 2 fecal immunochemical tests (FITs). Test accuracy was calculated for all surveillance indications. For the post-polypectomy indication only, which is the most common and is associated with a relatively low CRC risk, long-term impact of stool-based surveillance was evaluated with the Adenoma and Serrated Pathway to Colorectal Cancer model. Stool-based strategies were simulated to tune each test's positivity threshold to obtain strategies at least as effective as colonoscopy surveillance. RESULTS: There were 3453 individuals with results for all stool tests and colonoscopy; 2226 had previous polypectomy, 1003 had previous CRC, and 224 had a familial risk. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for advanced neoplasia were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.69-0.75) for the multitarget stool DNA test, 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.64) for the FIT OC-SENSOR (Eiken Chemical Co, Tokyo, Japan) and 0.59 (95% CI, 0.56-0.61) for the FIT FOB-Gold (Sentinel, Milan, Italy). Stool-based post-polypectomy surveillance strategies at least as effective as colonoscopy surveillance reduced the number of colonoscopies by 15%-41% and required 5.6-9.5 stool tests over a person's lifetime. Multitarget stool DNA-based surveillance was more costly than colonoscopy surveillance, whereas FIT-based surveillance saved costs. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that stool-based post-polypectomy surveillance strategies can be safe and cost-effective, with potential to reduce the number of colonoscopies by up to 41%. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, Number: NCT02715141.

Importance of complete response for outcomes of pregnancy in patients with autoimmune hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: While some articles describe outcome of pregnancy in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), there are less data evaluating influence of AIH control on maternal and perinatal outcomes. This study analysed outcomes of pregnancy and related possible risk factors in AIH. METHOD: A retrospective multicentre cohort study on pregnancy in AIH was performed in 11 hospitals in the Netherlands. Maternal and neonatal outcomes were collected from records and completed by interview. Risk factors-including incomplete response, relapse and cirrhosis-for adverse outcomes were identified using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Ninety-seven pregnancies in 50 women resulted in 70 deliveries (72%) with a live birth rate of 98.5%. AIH relapse occurred in 6% during pregnancy, and in 27% of post-partum episodes. Absence of complete biochemical response at conception was identified as risk factor for the occurrence of gestational and post-partum relapses. Relapse of AIH in the year before conception was a risk factor for the occurrence of both gestational relapses and post-partum relapses. No complete biochemical response increased the risk for hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP). Cirrhosis was found to be a risk factor for miscarriages, but not for other outcomes. CONCLUSION: Pregnancy in AIH is related to an increased incidence of maternal and fetal/neonatal complications; in most cases, outcome is good. Incomplete biochemical response at conception or relapse in the year before conception are risk factors for gestational and post-partum relapses, for hypertensive disorders and for ICP. Cirrhosis was a risk factor for miscarriages.

Electronic Nose Sensor Drift Affects Diagnostic Reliability and Accuracy of Disease-Specific Algorithms.

Sensor drift is a well-known disadvantage of electronic nose (eNose) technology and may affect the accuracy of diagnostic algorithms. Correction for this phenomenon is not routinely performed. The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of eNose sensor drift on the development of a disease-specific algorithm in a real-life cohort of inflammatory bowel disease patients (IBD). In this multi-center cohort, patients undergoing colonoscopy collected a fecal sample prior to bowel lavage. Mucosal disease activity was assessed based on endoscopy. Controls underwent colonoscopy for various reasons and had no endoscopic abnormalities. Fecal eNose profiles were measured using Cyranose 320®. Fecal samples of 63 IBD patients and 63 controls were measured on four subsequent days. Sensor data displayed associations with date of measurement, which was reproducible across all samples irrespective of disease state, disease activity state, disease localization and diet of participants. Based on logistic regression, corrections for sensor drift improved accuracy to differentiate between IBD patients and controls based on the significant differences of six sensors (p = 0.004; p < 0.001; p = 0.001; p = 0.028; p < 0.001 and p = 0.005) with an accuracy of 0.68. In this clinical study, short-term sensor drift affected fecal eNose profiles more profoundly than clinical features. These outcomes emphasize the importance of sensor drift correction to improve reliability and repeatability, both within and across eNose studies.

Health outcomes of 1000 children born to mothers with inflammatory bowel disease in their first 5 years of life.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to describe the long-term health outcomes of children born to mothers with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and to assess the impact of maternal IBD medication use on these outcomes. DESIGN: We performed a multicentre retrospective study in The Netherlands. Women with IBD who gave birth between 1999 and 2018 were enrolled from 20 participating hospitals. Information regarding disease characteristics, medication use, lifestyle, pregnancy outcomes and long-term health outcomes of children was retrieved from mothers and medical charts. After consent of both parents, outcomes until 5 years were also collected from general practitioners. Our primary aim was to assess infection rate and our secondary aims were to assess adverse reactions to vaccinations, growth, autoimmune diseases and malignancies. RESULTS: We included 1000 children born to 626 mothers (381 (61%) Crohn's disease, 225 (36%) ulcerative colitis and 20 (3%) IBD unclassified). In total, 196 (20%) had intrauterine exposure to anti-tumour necrosis factor-α (anti-TNF-α) (60 with concomitant thiopurine) and 240 (24%) were exposed to thiopurine monotherapy. The 564 children (56%) not exposed to anti-TNF-α and/or thiopurine served as control group. There was no association between adverse long-term health outcomes and in utero exposure to IBD treatment. We did find an increased rate of intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP) in case thiopurine was used during the pregnancy without affecting birth outcomes and long-term health outcomes of children. All outcomes correspond with the general age-adjusted population. CONCLUSION: In our study, we found no association between in utero exposure to anti-TNF-α and/or thiopurine and the long-term outcomes antibiotic-treated infections, severe infections needing hospital admission, adverse reactions to vaccinations, growth failure, autoimmune diseases and malignancies.

Follow-up endoscopy for benign-appearing gastric ulcers has no additive value in detecting malignancy: It is time to individualise surveillance endoscopy.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of endoscopic follow-up for gastric ulcers. METHODS: All cases of gastric ulcers diagnosed at our teaching hospital between September 2005 and November 2011 were reviewed. The cases were selected by using ENDOBASE, an endoscopy documentation system. The characteristics of the ulcers and their histology were analysed. RESULTS: During the study period 321 cases with a gastric ulcer were diagnosed, including 214 benign ulcers (67 %) and 107 malignant ulcers (33 %). The mean age of the population was 71 years. In 200 patients (62 %) the ulcers were classified as benign appearing at the first endoscopy. However, in five of these patients, the ulcers eventually were malignant. In all of these five patients the index gastroscopy revealed a non-benign histology. Therefore, the sensitivity of a benign appearance of the ulcer in combination with histology at the first endoscopy is 100 % to rule out malignancy. In 121 patients (38 %) the ulcers were explicitly labelled as potentially malignant in the report of the first endoscopy. Of these potentially malignant-appearing ulcers, 102 (84 %) were indeed malignant as confirmed by histology. The other 19 ulcers (16 %) were benign at follow-up. The sensitivity of the three potential malignant characteristics at endoscopy was: dirty base 79 %, elevated border 94 % and irregular border 91 %. The specificity was 93, 82 and 89 %, respectively. The median diameter of the ulcers was significantly higher in the malignant group compared to the benign ulcer group (p < 0.0001). The accuracy of endoscopic malignancy diagnosis was as follows: sensitivity of 0.98 and specificity 0.84, positive predictive value 0.84 and negative predictive value 0.98. In total, 546 gastroscopies were performed in these 321 patients, of which 225 were follow-up endoscopies. By not monitoring ulcers considered benign in both appearance and histology, 173 gastroscopies would not have been performed, resulting in a decline of 77 % of the follow-up endoscopies performed. CONCLUSION: Endoscopic follow-up of gastric ulcers considered benign by appearance and with benign histology showed no additive value in detecting unsuspected malignancy in this study. This strategy could reduce health costs and save distress to patients.

Therapeutic drug monitoring of methotrexate in patients with Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) has the potential to improve efficacy and diminish side effects. Measuring methotrexate-polyglutamate (MTX-PG) in erythrocytes might enable TDM for methotrexate in patients with Crohn's disease (CD). AIM: To investigate the relationship between MTX-PGs and methotrexate drug survival, efficacy and toxicity METHODS: In a multicentre prospective cohort study, patients with CD starting subcutaneous methotrexate without biologics were included and followed for 12 months. Primary outcome was subcutaneous methotrexate discontinuation or requirement for step-up therapy. Secondary outcomes included faecal calprotectin (FCP), Harvey Bradshaw Index (HBI), hepatotoxicity and gastrointestinal intolerance. Erythrocyte MTX-PGs were analysed at weeks 8, 12, 24 and 52 or upon treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: We included 80 patients with CD (mean age 55 ± 13y, 35% male) with a median FCP of 268 µg/g (IQR 73-480). After the 12-month visit, 21 patients (26%) were still on subcutaneous methotrexate monotherapy. Twenty-one patients stopped because of disease activity, 29 because of toxicity, and four for both reasons. Five patients ended study participation or stopped methotrexate for another reason. A higher MTX-PG3 concentration was associated with a higher rate of methotrexate drug survival (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.75-0.99), lower FCP (ß -3.7, SE 1.3, p < 0.01) and with biochemical response (FCP ≤250 if baseline >250 µg/g; OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.3). Higher MTX-PGs were associated with less gastrointestinal intolerance. There was no robust association between MTX-PGs and HBI or hepatotoxicity. CONCLUSIONS: Higher MTX-PG3 concentrations are related to better methotrexate drug survival and decreased FCP levels. Therefore, MTX-PG3 could be used for TDM if a target concentration can be established.

Burn-out and employability rates are impacted by the level of job autonomy and workload among Dutch gastroenterologists.

BACKGROUND: Increasing burn-out rates among gastroenterologists make it necessary to find ways to prevent burn-out and to stimulate their ability and willingness to continue working (i.e., their employability). Understanding their antecedents might help organizations to prevent burn-out and to enhance employability among this occupational group. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to provide insight in the relationship between job characteristics and job crafting behavior on the one hand and job outcomes (burn-out symptoms and employability) on the other hand. METHODS: Data from two surveys in 2020 and 2021 were collected in a longitudinal study among 238 Dutch gastroenterologists. The data were analyzed with multiple linear regression analyses and paired-samples t-tests. RESULTS: Job characteristics, specifically job aspects that require sustained physical and/or psychological effort or skills (i.e., job demands), are important predictors of burn-out symptoms among gastroenterologists. Specifically, high quantitative and emotional workload are significantly related to more burn-out symptoms. No strong relationship was found between job crafting and burn-out symptoms. Furthermore, job aspects that reduce the negative impact of these demanding aspects and that help to achieve work goals (i.e., job resources), and job demands to some extent, significantly predict employability. In particular, high job autonomy is related to higher employability, and high quantitative workload is associated with lower employability. Job crafting does not significantly affect employability. Furthermore, levels of burn-out symptoms and employability differed only little across time. CONCLUSION: In gastroenterologists, a high quantitative workload and emotional workload are associated with a higher burn-out risk, while low job autonomy and high quantitative workload are associated with more negative perceptions of employability. To prevent burn-out and to create positive perceptions of employability, it is important to take these aspects into account.

Anemia and Iron Deficiency in Outpatients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Ubiquitous Yet Suboptimally Managed.

Background: Iron deficiency (ID) and anemia in patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) are associated with a reduced quality of life. We assessed the prevalence of ID and anemia in Dutch outpatients with IBD and compared routine ID(A) management among medical professionals to the European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation (ECCO) treatment guidelines. Methods: Between January and November 2021, consecutive adult outpatients with IBD were included in this study across 16 Dutch hospitals. Clinical and biochemical data were extracted from medical records. Additionally, medical professionals filled out questionnaires regarding routine ID(A) management. Results: In total, 2197 patients (1271 Crohn's Disease, 849 Ulcerative Colitis, and 77 IBD-unclassified) were included. Iron parameters were available in 59.3% of cases. The overall prevalence of anemia, ID, and IDA was: 18.0%, 43.4%, and 12.2%, respectively. The prevalence of all three conditions did not differ between IBD subtypes. ID(A) was observed more frequently in patients with biochemically active IBD than in quiescent IBD (ID: 70.8% versus 23.9%; p < 0.001). Contrary to the guidelines, most respondents prescribed standard doses of intravenous or oral iron regardless of biochemical parameters or inflammation. Lastly, 25% of respondents reported not treating non-anemic ID. Conclusions: One in five patients with IBD suffers from anemia that­despite inconsistently measured iron parameters­is primarily caused by ID. Most medical professionals treat IDA with oral iron or standard doses of intravenous iron regardless of biochemical inflammation; however, non-anemic ID is often overlooked. Raising awareness about the management of ID(A) is needed to optimize and personalize routine care.

Microbiota composition and mucosal immunity in patients with asymptomatic diverticulosis and controls.

INTRODUCTION: The etiology of diverticulosis is still poorly understood. However, in patients with diverticulitis, markers of mucosal inflammation and microbiota alterations have been found. The aim of this study was to evaluate potential differences of the gut microbiota composition and mucosal immunity between patients with asymptomatic diverticulosis and controls. METHODS: We performed a prospective study on patients who underwent routine colonoscopy for causes not related to diverticular disease or inflammatory bowel disease. Participants were grouped based on the presence or absence of diverticula. Mucosal biopsies were obtained from the sigmoid and transverse colon. Microbiota composition was analyzed with IS-pro, a 16S-23S based bacterial profiling technique. To predict if patients belonged to the asymptomatic diverticulosis or control group a partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) regression model was used. Inflammation was assessed by neutrophil and lymphocyte counts within the taken biopsies. RESULTS: Forty-three patients were enrolled. Intestinal microbiota profiles were highly similar within individuals for all phyla. Between individuals, microbiota profiles differed substantially but regardless of the presence (n = 19) of absence (n = 24) of diverticula. Microbiota diversity in both sigmoid and transverse colon was similar in all participants. We were not able to differentiate between diverticulosis patients and controls with a PLS-DA model. Mucosal lymphocyte counts were comparable among both groups; no neutrophils were detected in any of the studied biopsies. CONCLUSIONS: Microbiota composition and inflammatory markers were comparable among asymptomatic diverticulosis patients and controls. This suggests that the gut microbiota and mucosal inflammation do not play a major role in the pathogenesis of diverticula formation.

An unusual cause of duodenal obstruction in adults.

BACKGROUND: Intestinal malrotation refers to a spectrum of anomalies of midgut rotation and fixation at various stages during early embryonic development. In adults, malrotation manifests itself mainly in chronic non-specific abdominal complaints and may therefore be easily misdiagnosed beyond infancy. CASE PRESENTATION: We present a case of an 82-year-old Caucasian man with vomiting and abdominal pain owing to malrotation complicated by duodenal obstruction and intestinal ischaemia confirmed by radiologic evaluation and autopsy report. CONCLUSION: Although intestinal malrotation is generally discovered near birth, our case demonstrates that physicians should consider this diagnosis at advanced age as well. In addition, particularly radiologic findings are supportive in diagnosing malrotation.

Assessment of serum matrix metalloproteinases MMP-2 and MMP-9 after human liver transplantation: increased serum MMP-9 level in acute rejection.

BACKGROUND: Alterations in synthesis and breakdown of extracellular matrix components play a role in acute rejection after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) are capable of degrading basement membranes and are involved in the process of tissue remodelling in inflammation and liver fibrosis. METHODS: We examined MMP-2 and MMP-9 in serum of 33 patients before and during 1 year after OLT, in 60 controls as well as in some specimens of cirrhotic liver and control liver tissue. RESULTS: Serum MMP-2 levels before OLT were significantly higher compared with controls and decreased approximately 50% after OLT. Also, the MMP-2 content of cirrhotic liver specimens was significantly higher compared with normal liver. MMP-9 in serum and liver tissue of patients were similar to controls, but serum levels showed a peak at 1 week after OLT. At this time-point, total and active/inhibitor-complexed MMP-9 was significantly higher in patients with rejection (n=13) compared with those without rejection (n=20). The relative amount of MMP-9 in the active/inhibitor-complexed form did not differ between each group over time. Immunohistochemical staining at 1 week after OLT showed increased numbers of MMP-9-positive inflammatory cells in the portal triads of patients with rejection. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with acute allograft rejection have elevated serum levels of MMP-9 1 week after OLT, which was most likely derived from inflammatory cells. An increased MMP-2 serum level and liver tissue content was found in patients with cirrhosis, which decreased after OLT. These observations indicate active involvement of MMP-2 and -9 in end-stage liver disease and OLT.

Assessment of the clinical significance of serum matrix metalloproteinases MMP-2 and MMP-9 in patients with various chronic liver diseases and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) have the ability to degrade basement membranes and may thus play an important role in extracellular matrix turnover in liver fibrosis and carcinogenesis. Serum levels of MMPs have been suggested as diagnostic markers in these processes. We measured serum MMP-2 and MMP-9 by ELISA in 91 patients with chronic liver disease, including 25 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and in 60 controls. MMP-2 was significantly higher in patients with chronic liver disease compared to controls, and increased with Child-Pugh class. There was a significant correlation between MMP-2 and liver function (bilirubin, albumin, and prothrombin time), and a strong opposite correlation between MMP-9 and these parameters. MMP-2 levels in patients with HCC were significantly higher than in controls, but comparable to patients with chronic liver disease without this malignancy. MMP-9 yielded no significant differences between patients with or without HCC and controls. Serum MMP-2 and to a lesser extent MMP-9 correlate with the severity of liver disease and may reflect changes in extracellular matrix remodeling. Due to a considerable overlap in patients with chronic liver disease with or without HCC, MMP-2 and MMP-9 can not be used as a diagnostic marker for HCC.

Plasma MMP-2 and MMP-9 and their inhibitors TIMP-1 and TIMP-2 during human orthotopic liver transplantation. The effect of aprotinin and the relation to ischemia/reperfusion injury.

Uncontrolled activation of matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) can result in tissue injury and inflammation, yet little is known about the activation of MMPs during orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). OLT is associated with increased fibrinolytic activity due to elevated plasmin generation. The serine-protease plasmin not only causes degradation of fibrin clots but is also thought, amongst others, to play a role in the activation of some matrix metalloproteinases. We therefore studied the evolution of MMP-2 and -9 plasma concentrations during OLT and the effect of serine-protease inhibition by aprotinin on the level and activation of these MMPs. In a group of 24 patients who participated in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study we determined serial MMP-2 and MMP-9 plasma levels during transplantation using ELISA (total MMP), activity assays (activatable MMP) and zymography. In addition, the MMP-inhibitors TIMP-1 and TIMP-2 were assessed by ELISA. The putative regulating factors tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) and tissue-type plasminogen activator (t-PA) were assessed as well. Patients were administered high-dose aprotinin, regular-dose aprotinin or placebo during surgery. Plasma TIMP-1, TIMP-2 and MMP-2 level gradually decreased during transplantation. Approximately two-thirds of total MMP-2 appeared to be in its activatable proMMP form. No release of MMP-2 from the graft could be detected. In contrast, plasma levels of MMP-9 increased sharply during the anhepatic and postreperfusion periods. Peak MMP-9 levels of about eight times above baseline were found at 30 minutes after reperfusion. Most MMP-9 appeared to be in its active/inhibitor-complexed form. No significant differences were observed between the three treatment groups. However, in patients with more severe ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury the MMP-9 concentration, particularly of the active/inhibitor-complexed form, remained high at 120 minutes postreperfusion compared to patients with no or mild I/R injury. The decrease in plasma levels of MMP-2, TIMP-1 and TIMP-2 during OLT occurred irrespective of the severity of the I/R injury. There was a significant correlation between MMP-9 and t-PA levels, but not with TNF-alpha. In conclusion, OLT is associated with a sharp increase of MMP-9 during the anhepatic and postreperfusion periods, which coincided with the changes in t-PA. MMP-2, TIMP-1 and TIMP-2 gradually decreased during OLT. The composition of these MMPs was not altered by the use of aprotinin, suggesting that serine-protease/plasmin-independent pathways are responsible for MMP regulation during OLT. In addition, only MMP-9 seems to be involved in I/R injury during human liver transplantation.

Cost and quality-adjusted life year differences in the treatment of active ulcerative colitis using once-daily 4 g or twice-daily 2g mesalazine dosing.

BACKGROUND: Improved compliance in active ulcerative colitis (UC) is likely to improve healthcare efficiency by reducing time spent in active mild to moderate UC state. To establish whether once daily (OD) mesalazine offers economic advantages over twice daily (BD) dosing in active UC, we evaluated the outcomes and costs of a recently published randomized study. METHODS: A cost-effectiveness model with four week Markov cycles was developed to reflect current treatment practices in the Netherlands with OD and BD mesalazine for active UC. The health service perspective of the Netherlands was reflected in the model and considered a 32week time horizon with 4 weekly Markov cycles. Outcomes evaluated in the model were time spent in active and remission UC and the corresponding health-related quality of life associated with different clinical states. This was then used to derive quality adjusted life-years (QALYs) at each treatment stage. RESULTS: A greater proportion of subjects on 4 g OD achieved remission at weeks 4 and 8 compared with 2g BD. After 32 weeks the average costs per patient with active UC were €3097 and €3548 for those treated with OD and BD mesalazine respectively, with an average saving of €451 per patient treated with OD mesalazine. The average costs per QALY for OD and BD mesalazine were €5433 and €6324 for OD and BD, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the results from a single randomized study, OD dosing resulted in a shorter time spent in active UC which resulted in lower healthcare costs.

[A women with an altered defaecation pattern]. / Een vrouw met een veranderd defecatiepatroon.

A 74-year-old woman went to the gastroenterologist because of an altered defaecation pattern. Colonoscopy could not be completed due to sigmoid angulation. A CT-scan of the colon showed that the colon was located in the left side of the abdomen, as a result of embryonic non-rotation of the intestine. In adults this is generally asymptomatic. Non-specific abdominal complaints or volvulus seldom occur. Surgical intervention is rarely necessary.

Relatively high risk for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis not responding to ursodeoxycholic acid.

BACKGROUND: The reported incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) varies from 0.7-3.8%, whereas in cirrhotic patients the risk is considerably higher. Age, male sex, cirrhosis, and portal hypertension are reported risk factors. It has been suggested that ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) may protect against HCC. We aimed to define risk factors for the development of HCC at the time of PBC diagnosis and to identify, among patients treated with UDCA for a long term, a subgroup that could benefit from screening. METHODS: Prospective multicenter cohort study of patients with established PBC treated with 13-15 mg/kg/day UDCA. Age, sex, antimitochondrial antibodies, bilirubin, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate amino transferase, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, Mayo Risk Score, prognostic class (based on bilirubin and albumin levels), and response to UDCA (normalization of bilirubin and/or albumin levels) were analyzed as potential risk factors in Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Three hundred and seventy-five patients were included, median follow-up was 9.7 years. HCC occurred in nine patients, corresponding with an annual incidence of 0.2%. The factor significantly associated with the development of HCC was the response to UDCA (P<0.001). The risk for HCC was highest in the group of nonresponders to UDCA: the 10 years incidence of HCC was 9% and the 15 years incidence was 20%. The number needed to screen in this subgroup was 11. CONCLUSION: In UDCA treated PBC patients the risk of HCC is relatively low. The main risk factor for HCC in this study was the absence of biochemical response to UDCA after 1-year treatment.