Characterizing advanced heart failure risk and hemodynamic phenotypes using interpretable machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Although previous risk models exist for advanced heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), few integrate invasive hemodynamics or support missing data. This study developed and validated a heart failure (HF) hemodynamic risk and phenotyping score for HFrEF, using Machine Learning (ML). METHODS: Prior to modeling, patients in training and validation HF cohorts were assigned to 1 of 5 risk categories based on the composite endpoint of death, left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation or transplantation (DeLvTx), and rehospitalization in 6 months of follow-up using unsupervised clustering. The goal of our novel interpretable ML modeling approach, which is robust to missing data, was to predict this risk category (1, 2, 3, 4, or 5) using either invasive hemodynamics alone or a rich and inclusive feature set that included noninvasive hemodynamics (all features). The models were trained using the ESCAPE trial and validated using 4 advanced HF patient cohorts collected from previous trials, then compared with traditional ML models. Prediction accuracy for each of these 5 categories was determined separately for each risk category to generate 5 areas under the curve (AUCs, or C-statistics) for belonging to risk category 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5, respectively. RESULTS: Across all outcomes, our models performed well for predicting the risk category for each patient. Accuracies of 5 separate models predicting a patient's risk category ranged from 0.896 +/- 0.074 to 0.969 +/- 0.081 for the invasive hemodynamics feature set and 0.858 +/- 0.067 to 0.997 +/- 0.070 for the all features feature set. CONCLUSION: Novel interpretable ML models predicted risk categories with a high degree of accuracy. This approach offers a new paradigm for risk stratification that differs from prediction of a binary outcome. Prospective clinical evaluation of this approach is indicated to determine utility for selecting the best treatment approach for patients based on risk and prognosis.

Experimental observation of near-wall effects during the puncture of soft solids.

Performing conventional mechanical characterization techniques on soft materials can be challenging due to issues such as limited sample volumes and clamping difficulties. Deep indentation and puncture is a promising alternative as it is an information-rich measurement with the potential to be performed in a high-throughput manner. Despite its promise, the method lacks standardized protocols, and open questions remain about its possible limitations. Addressing these shortcomings is vital to ensure consistent methodology, measurements, and interpretation across samples and labs. To fill this gap, we examine the role of finite sample dimensions (and by extension, volume) on measured forces to determine the sample geometry needed to perform and unambiguously interpret puncture tests. Through measurements of puncture on a well-characterized elastomer using systematically varied sample dimensions, we show that the apparent mechanical response of a material is in fact sensitive to near-wall effects, and that additional properties, such as the sliding friction coefficient, can only be extracted in the larger dimension case where such effects are negligible.

Central Sleep Apnea in Patients With Coronary Heart Disease Taking P2Y12 Inhibitors.

ABSTRACT: Central sleep apnea (CSA) is common in patients with heart failure. Recent studies link ticagrelor use with CSA. We aimed to evaluate CSA prevalence in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) and whether ticagrelor use is associated with CSA. We reviewed consecutive patients with CHD who underwent a polysomnography (PSG) test over a 5-year period from 3 sleep centers. We sampled patients who were on ticagrelor or clopidogrel during a PSG test at a 1:4 ticagrelor:clopidogrel ratio. Patients with an active opioid prescription during PSG test were excluded. Age, left ventricle (LV) dysfunction, and P2Y12 inhibitor use were included in a multivariate logistic regression. A total of 135 patients were included with 26 on ticagrelor and 109 on clopidogrel (age 64.1 ± 11.4, 32% male). High CSA burden (12%) and strict CSA (4.4%) were more common in patients on ticagrelor than in those on clopidogrel (27% vs. 8.3% and 10.0% vs. 1.8%). Ticagrelor use (vs. clopidogrel) was associated with high CSA burden (OR 3.53, 95% CI 1.04-12.9, P = 0.039) and trended toward significance for strict CSA (OR 6.32, 95% CI 1.03-51.4, P = 0.052) when adjusting for age and LV dysfunction. In an additional analysis also adjusting for history of atrial fibrillation, ticagrelor use and strict CSA became significantly associated (OR 10.0, 95% CI 1.32-117, P = 0.035). CSA was uncommon in patients with CHD undergoing sleep studies. Ticagrelor use (vs. clopidogrel) was associated with high CSA burden and trended toward significance for strict CSA.

Right atrial structural remodeling predict worse outcomes in transcatheter mitral valve repair.

BACKGROUND: In the current study, we assess the predictive role of right and left atrial volume indices (RAVI and LAVI) as well as the ratio of RAVI/LAVI (RLR) on mortality following transcatheter mitral valve repair (TMVr). METHODS: Transthoracic echocardiograms of 158 patients who underwent TMVr at a single academic medical center from 2011 to 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. RAVI and LAVI were calculated using Simpson's method. Patients were stratified based on etiology of mitral regurgitation (MR). Cox proportional-hazard regression was created utilizing MR type, STS-score, and RLR to assess the independent association of RLR with survival. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to analyze the association between RAVI and LAVI with all-cause mortality. Hemodynamic values from preprocedural right heart catheterization were also compared between RLR groups. RESULTS: Among 123 patients included (median age 81.3 years; 52.5% female) there were 50 deaths during median follow-up of 3.0 years. Patients with a high RAVI and low LAVI had significantly higher all-cause mortality while patients with high LAVI and low RAVI had significantly improved all-cause mortality compared to other groups (p = 0.0032). RLR was significantly associated with mortality in patients with both functional and degenerative MR (p = 0.0038). Finally, Cox proportion-hazard modeling demonstrated that an elevated RLR above the median value was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality [HR = 2.304; 95% CI = 1.26-4.21, p = 0.006] when MR type and STS score were accounted for. CONCLUSION: Patients with a high RAVI and low LAVI had significantly increased mortality than other groups following TMVr suggesting RA remodeling may predict worse outcomes following the procedure. Concordantly, RLR was predictive of mortality independent of MR type and preprocedural STS-score. These indices may provide additional risk stratification in patients undergoing evaluation for TMVr.

Mechanical resilience of the sessile tunicate Botryllus schlosseri.

We demonstrate that the sessile tunicate Botryllus schlosseri is remarkably resilient to applied loads by attaching the animals to an extensile substrate subjected to quasistatic equiradial loads. Animals can withstand radial extension of the substrate to strain values as high as 20% before they spontaneously detach. In the small to moderate strain regime, we found no relationship between the dynamic size of the external vascular bed and the magnitude of applied stretch, despite known force sensitivities of the vascular tissue at the cellular level. We attribute this resilience to the presence and mechanical properties of the tunic, the cellulose-enriched gel-like substance that encases the animal bodies and surrounding vasculature.

Positional obstructive sleep apnea in patients with atrial fibrillation.

PURPOSE: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common, potentially modifiable condition implicated in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF). The presence and severity of OSA is largely sleep position-dependent, yet there is high variability in positional dependence among patients with OSA. We investigated the prevalence of positional OSA (POSA) and examined associated factors in patients with AF. METHODS: We recruited an equal number of patients with and without AF who underwent diagnostic polysomnography. Patients included had ≥ 120 min of total sleep time with 30 min of sleep in both supine and lateral positions. POSA was defined as an overall apnea hypopnea index (AHI) ≥ 5/h, supine AHI (sAHI) ≥ 5/h, and sAHI greater than twice the non-supine AHI. POSA prevalence was compared in patients with and without AF adjusting for age, sex, OSA severity, and heart failure. RESULTS: A total of patients (male: 56%, mean age 62 years) were included. POSA prevalence was similar between the two groups (46% vs. 39%; p = 0.33). Obesity and severe OSA (AHI ≥ 30/h) were associated with low likelihood of POSA (OR [CI] of 0.17 [0.09-0.32] and 0.28 [0.12-0.62]). In patients with AF, male sex was associated with a higher likelihood of POSA (OR [CI] of 3.16 [1.06-10.4]). CONCLUSION: POSA is common, affecting more than half of patients with AF, but the prevalence was similar in those without AF. Obesity and more severe OSA are associated with lower odds of POSA. Positional therapy should be considered in patients with mild OSA and POSA.

Academic cardiac electrophysiologists' perspectives on sleep apnea care.

PURPOSE: Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) is an important, modifiable risk factor in the pathophysiology of arrhythmias including atrial fibrillation (AF). The purpose of the study was to evaluate cardiac electrophysiologists' (EPs) perception of OSAS. METHODS: We designed a 27-item online Likert scale-based survey instrument entailing several domains: (1) relevance of OSAS in EP practice, (2) OSAS screening and diagnosis, (3) perception on treatments for OSAS, (4) opinion on the OSAS care model. The survey was distributed to 89 academic EP programs in the USA and Canada. While the survey instrument questions refer to the term sleep apnea (SA), our discussion of the diagnosis, management, and research on the sleep disorder is more accurately described with the term OSAS. RESULTS: A total of 105 cardiac electrophysiologists from 49 institutions responded over a 9-month period. The majority of respondents agreed that sleep apnea (SA) is a major concern in their practice (94%). However, 42% reported insufficient education on SA during training. Many (58%) agreed that they would be comfortable managing SA themselves with proper training and education and 66% agreed cardiac electrophysiologists should become more involved in management. Half of EPs (53%) were not satisfied with the sleep specialist referral process. Additionally, a majority (86%) agreed that trained advanced practice providers should be able to assess and manage SA. Time constraints, lack of knowledge, and the referral process are identified as major barriers to EPs becoming more involved in SA care. CONCLUSIONS: We found that OSAS is widely recognized as a major concern for EP. However, incorporation of OSAS care in training and routine practice lags. Barriers to increased involvement include time constraints and education. This study can serve as an impetus for innovation in the cardiology OSAS care model.

Identifying Disease of Interest With Deep Learning Using Diagnosis Code.

BACKGROUND: Autoencoder (AE) is one of the deep learning techniques that uses an artificial neural network to reconstruct its input data in the output layer. We constructed a novel supervised AE model and tested its performance in the prediction of a co-existence of the disease of interest only using diagnostic codes. METHODS: Diagnostic codes of one million randomly sampled patients listed in the Korean National Health Information Database in 2019 were used to train, validate, and test the prediction model. The first used AE solely for a feature engineering tool for an input of a classifier. Supervised Multi-Layer Perceptron (sMLP) was added to train a classifier to predict a binary level with latent representation as an input (AE + sMLP). The second model simultaneously updated the parameters in the AE and the connected MLP classifier during the learning process (End-to-End Supervised AE [EEsAE]). We tested the performances of these two models against baseline models, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) and naïve Bayes, in the prediction of co-existing gastric cancer diagnosis. RESULTS: The proposed EEsAE model yielded the highest F1-score and highest area under the curve (0.86). The EEsAE and AE + sMLP gave the highest recalls. XGB yielded the highest precision. Ablation study revealed that iron deficiency anemia, gastroesophageal reflux disease, essential hypertension, gastric ulcers, benign prostate hyperplasia, and shoulder lesion were the top 6 most influential diagnoses on performance. CONCLUSION: A novel EEsAE model showed promising performance in the prediction of a disease of interest.

Coronary perfusion pressure is associated with adverse outcomes in advanced heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial perfusion is an important determinant of cardiac function. We hypothesized that low coronary perfusion pressure (CPP) would be associated with adverse outcomes in heart failure. Myocardial perfusion impacts the contractile efficiency thus a low CPP would signal low myocardial perfusion in the face of increased cardiac demand as a result of volume overload. METHODS: We analyzed patients with complete hemodynamic data in the Evaluation Study of Congestive Heart Failure and Pulmonary Artery Catheterization Effectiveness trial using Cox Proportional Hazards regression for the primary outcome of the composite risk of death, heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device [(LVAD). DT × LVAD] and the secondary outcome of the composite risk of DT × LVAD and heart failure hospitalization (DT × LVADHF). CPP was calculated as the difference between diastolic blood pressure and pulmonary artery wedge pressure. Heart failure categories (ischemic vs non-ischemic) were also stratified based on CPP strata. RESULTS: The 158 patients (56.7 ± 13.6 years, 28.5% female) studied had a median CPP of 40 mmHg (IQR 35-52 mmHg). During 6 months of follow-up, 35 (22.2%) had the composite primary outcome and 109 (69.0%) had the composite secondary outcome. When these outcomes were then stratified based on the median, CPP was associated with these outcomes. Increasing CPP was associated with lower risk of both the primary outcome of DT × LVAD (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.99 p = .002) and as well as the secondary outcome of DT × LVADHF (p = .0008) There was significant interaction between CPP and ischemic etiology (p = .04). CONCLUSION: A low coronary artery perfusion pressure below (median) 40mmHg in patients with advanced heart failure undergoing invasive hemodynamic monitoring with a pulmonary artery catheter was associated with adverse outcomes. CPP could useful in guiding risk stratification of advanced heart failure patients and timely evaluation of advanced heart failure therapies.

Relationship of ejection fraction and natriuretic peptide trajectories in heart failure with baseline reduced and mid-range ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of trajectories of neurohormones relative to left ventricular function over time in heart failure with reduced and mid-range EF (HFrEF and HFmrEF) is poorly defined. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) trajectories in HFrEF and HFmrEF. METHODS: Analyses of LVEF and BNP trajectories after incident HF admissions presenting with abnormal LV systolic function were performed using 3 methods: a Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying covariates, a dual longitudinal-survival model with shared random effects, and an unsupervised analysis to capture 3 discrete trajectories for each parameter. RESULTS: Among 1,158 patients (68.9 ± 13.0 years, 53.3% female), both time-varying LVEF measurements (P=.001) and log-transformed BNP measurements (p-values=2 × 10-16) were independently associated with survival during 6 years after covariate adjustment. In the dual longitudinal/survival model, both LVEF and BNP trajectories again were independently associated with survival (P<.0001 in each model); however, LVEF was more dynamic than BNP (P <.0001 for time covariate in LVEF longitudinal model versus P=.88 for the time covariate in BNP longitudinal model). In the unsupervised analysis, 3 discrete LVEF trajectories (dividing the cohort into approximately thirds) and 3 discrete BNP trajectories were identified. Discrete LVEF and BNP trajectories had independent prognostic value in Kaplan-Meier analyses (P<.0001), and substantial membership variability across BNP and LVEF trajectories was noted. CONCLUSION: Although LVEF trajectories have greater temporal variation, BNP trajectories provide additive prognostication and an even stronger association with survival times in heart failure patients with abnormal LV systolic function.

Systemic arterial pulsatility index (SAPi) predicts adverse outcomes in advanced heart failure patients.

Ventriculo-arterial (VA) coupling has been shown to have physiologic importance in heart failure (HF). We hypothesized that the systemic arterial pulsatility index (SAPi), a measure that integrates pulse pressure and a proxy for left ventricular end-diastolic pressure, would be associated with adverse outcomes in advanced HF. We evaluated the SAPi ([systemic systolic blood pressure-systemic diastolic blood pressure]/pulmonary artery wedge pressure) obtained from the final hemodynamic measurement in patients randomized to therapy guided by a pulmonary arterial catheter (PAC) and with complete data in the Evaluation Study of Congestive Heart Failure and Pulmonary Artery Catheterization Effectiveness (ESCAPE) trial. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed for the outcomes of (a) death, transplant, left ventricular assist device (DTxLVAD) or hospitalization, (DTxLVADHF) and (b) DTxLVAD. Among 142 patients (mean age 56.8 ± 13.3 years, 30.3% female), the median SAPi was 2.57 (IQR 1.63-3.45). Increasing SAPi was associated with significant reductions in DTxLVAD (HR 0.60 per unit increase in SAPi, 95% CI 0.44-0.84) and DTxLVADHF (HR 0.81 per unit increase, 95% CI 0.70-0.95). Patients with a SAPi ≤ 2.57 had a marked increase in both outcomes, including more than twice the risk of DTxLVAD (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.11-4.30) over 6 months. Among advanced heart failure patients with invasive hemodynamic monitoring in the ESCAPE trial, SAPi was strongly associated with adverse clinical outcomes. These findings support further investigation of the SAPi to guide treatment and prognosis in HF undergoing invasive hemodynamic monitoring.

Cardiac point-of-care ultrasound publication trends.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiac point-of-care ultrasound (c-POCUS) is an increasingly implemented diagnostic tool with the potential to guide clinical management. We sought to characterize and analyze the existing c-POCUS literature with a focus on the temporal trends and differences across specialties. METHODS: A literature search for c-POCUS and related terms was conducted using Ovid (MEDLINE and Embase) and Web of Science databases through 2020. Eligible publications were classified by publication type and topic, author specialty, geographical region of senior author, and journal specialty. RESULTS: The initial search produced 1761 potential publications. A strict definition of c-POCUS yielded a final total of 574 cardiac POCUS manuscripts. A yearly increase in c-POCUS publications was observed. Nearly half of publications were original research (48.8%) followed by case report or series (22.8%). Most publications had an emergency medicine senior author (38.5%), followed by cardiology (20.8%), anesthesiology (12.5%), and critical care (12.5%). The proportion authored by emergency medicine and cardiologists has decreased over time while those by anesthesiology and critical care has generally increased, particularly over the last decade. First authorship demonstrated a similar trend. Articles were published in emergency medicine (24.4%) and cardiology journals (20.5%) with comparable frequency. CONCLUSION: The annual number of c-POCUS publications has steadily increased over time, reflecting the increased recognition and utilization of c-POCUS. This study can help inform clinicians of the current state of c-POCUS and augment the discussion surrounding barriers to continued adoption across all specialties.

Continuous Noninvasive Blood Pressure Monitoring of Beat-By-Beat Blood Pressure and Heart Rate Using Caretaker Compared With Invasive Arterial Catheter in the Intensive Care Unit.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the accuracy of noninvasively-derived peripheral arterial blood pressure (BP) by the Caretaker device (CT) against invasively measured arterial BP and the fidelity of heart rate variability by CT compared with electrocardiogram (ECG)-derived data. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Adult surgical and trauma patients admitted to the intensive care unit. SETTING: Academic tertiary care medical center. INTERVENTIONS: In a prospective manner, beat-by-beat BP by CT was recorded simultaneously with invasive arterial BP measured in patients in the intensive care unit. Invasive arterial BPs were compared with those obtained by the CT system. All comparisons among the CT data, arterial catheter data, and ECG data were postprocessed. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: From 37 enrolled patients, 34 were included with satisfactory data that overlapped between arterial catheter and CT. A total of 87,757 comparative data points were obtained for the 40-minute time window comparisons of the 34 patients, spanning approximately 22.5 hours in total. Systolic BP and diastolic BP correlations (Pearson coefficient), as well as the mean difference (standard deviation), were 0.92 and -0.36 (7.57) mmHg and 0.83 and -2.11 (6.00) mmHg, respectively. The overall interbeat correlation was 0.99, with the mean difference between interbeats obtained with the arterial BP and the CT of -0.056 ms (6.0). CONCLUSIONS: This study validated the noninvasive tracking of BP using the CT device, and the pulse decomposition analysis approach is possible within the guidelines of the standard.

A systemic congestive index (systemic pulse pressure to central venous pressure ratio) predicts adverse outcomes in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Invasive hemodynamics may provide a more nuanced assessment of cardiac function and risk phenotyping in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. The systemic pulse pressure (SPP) to central venous pressure (CVP) ratio represents an integrated index of right and left ventricular function and thus may demonstrate an association with valvular heart surgery outcomes. This study hypothesized that a low SPP/CVP ratio would be associated with mortality in valvular surgery patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study examined adult valvular surgery patients with preoperative right heart catheterization from 2007 through 2016 at a single tertiary medical center (n = 215). Associations between the SPP/CVP ratio and mortality were investigated with univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Among 215 patients (age 69.7 ± 12.4 years; 55.8% male), 61 died (28.4%) over a median follow-up of 5.9 years. A SPP/CVP ratio <7.6 was associated with increased mortality (relative risk 1.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-2.67, p = .019) and increased length of stay (11.56 ± 13.73 days vs. 7.93 ± 4.92 days, p = .016). It remained an independent predictor of mortality (adjusted odds ratio 3.99, 95% CI 1.47-11.45, p = .008) after adjusting for CVP, mean pulmonary artery pressure, aortic stenosis, tricuspid regurgitation, smoking status, diabetes mellitus, dialysis, and cross-clamp time. CONCLUSIONS: A low SPP/CVP ratio was associated with worse outcomes in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery. This metric has potential utility in preoperative risk stratification to guide patient selection, prognosis, and surgical outcomes.

Pulse arrival time, a novel sleep cardiovascular marker: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Pulse arrival time (PAT) is commonly used to estimate blood pressure response. We hypothesised that PAT response to obstructive respiratory events would be associated with increased cardiovascular risk in people with obstructive sleep apnoea. METHODS: PAT, defined as the time interval between electrocardiography R wave and pulse arrival by photoplethysmography, was measured in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Sleep study participants. The PAT response to apnoeas/hypopnoeas was defined as the area under the PAT waveform following respiratory events. Cardiovascular outcomes included markers of subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD): left ventricular mass, carotid plaque burden score and coronary artery calcification (CAC) (cross-sectional) and incident composite CVD events (prospective). Multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazard regressions were performed. RESULTS: A total of 1407 participants (mean age 68.4 years, female 47.5%) were included. Higher PAT response (per 1 SD increase) was associated with higher left ventricular mass (5.7 g/m2 higher in fourth vs first quartile, p<0.007), higher carotid plaque burden score (0.37 higher in fourth vs first quartile, p=0.02) and trended to greater odds of CAC (1.44, 95% CI 0.98 to 2.15, p=0.06). A total of 65 incident CVD events were observed over the mean of 4.1 (2.6) years follow-up period. Higher PAT response was associated with increased future CVD events (HR: 1.20, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.42, p=0.03). CONCLUSION: PAT is independently associated with markers of subclinical CVD and incident CVD events. Respiratory-related PAT response is a novel and promising polysomnography metric with cardiovascular implications.

MAGGIC, STS, and EuroSCORE II Risk Score Comparison After Aortic and Mitral Valve Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score with the established Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) and EuroSCORE II risk prediction models regarding mortality discrimination after aortic and mitral valve surgery. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Single tertiary academic medical center. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 259 patients who underwent open aortic valve replacement or open mitral valve repair/replacement from 2009-2014. INTERVENTIONS: Retrospective chart review. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: MAGGIC, STS, and EuroSCORE II risk scores for each patient were studied using binary logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analysis for the primary endpoint of one-year mortality and secondary endpoint of 30-day mortality. One-year mortality C-statistics were similar across risk scores (STS 0.709, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.578-0.841; MAGGIC 0.673, 95% CI 0.547-0.799; EuroSCORE II 0.642, 95% CI 0.521-0.762; p = 0.56 between STS and MAGGIC; p = 0.20 between STS and EuroSCORE II; and p = 0.69 between MAGGIC and EuroSCORE II). Thirty-day mortality C-statistics also were similar between STS (0.797, 95% CI 0.655-0.939; p < 0.0001 v null hypothesis), MAGGIC (0.721, 95% CI 0.581-0.860; p = 0.33 v STS), and EuroSCORE II (0.688, 95% CI 0.557-0.818; p = 0.06 v STS; p = 0.68 v MAGGIC). CONCLUSIONS: The MAGGIC risk score performs similarly to STS and EuroSCORE II risk models in mortality discrimination after aortic and mitral valve surgery, albeit in a small sample size. This finding has important implications in establishing MAGGIC as a viable prognostic model in this population subset, with fewer variables and ease of use representing key advantages over STS and EuroSCORE II.

Pulmonary Artery Proportional Pulse Pressure (PAPP) Index Identifies Patients With Improved Survival From the CardioMEMS Implantable Pulmonary Artery Pressure Monitor.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary artery proportional pulse pressure (PAPP) was recently shown to have prognostic value in heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and pulmonary hypertension. We tested the hypothesis that PAPP would be predictive of adverse outcomes in patients with implantable pulmonary artery pressure monitor (CardioMEMS™ HF System, St. Jude Medical [now Abbott], Atlanta, GA, USA). METHODS: Survival analysis with Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate all-cause deaths and HF hospitalisation (HFH) in CHAMPION trial1 patients who received treatment with the CardioMEMS device based on the PAPP. RESULTS: Among 550 randomised patients, 274 had PAPP ≤ the median value of 0.583 while 276 had PAPP>0.583. Patients with PAPP≤0.583 (versus PAPP>0.583) had an increased risk of HFH (HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.16-1.68, p=0.0004) and experienced a significant 46% reduction in annualised risk of death with CardioMEMS treatment (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.31-0.92) during 2-3 years of follow-up. This survival benefit was attributable to the treatment benefit in patients with HFrEF and PAPP≤0.583 (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.28-0.90, p<0.05). Patients with PAPP>0.583 or HF with preserved EF (HFpEF) had no significant survival benefit with treatment (p>0.05). CONCLUSION: Lower PAPP in HFrEF patients with CardioMEMS constitutes a higher mortality risk status. More studies are needed to understand clinical applications of PAPP in implantable pulmonary artery pressure monitors.

Association of obesity with arterial stiffness: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Arterial stiffness (AS) and obesity are recognized as important risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between AS and obesity. AS was defined as high augmentation index (AIx) and low elasticity (C1, large artery elasticity; C2, small artery elasticity) in participants enrolled in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis at baseline. We compared AIx, C1, and C2 by body mass index (BMI) (< 25, 25-29.9, 30-39.9, ⩾ 40 kg/m2) and waist-hip ratio (WHR) (< 0.85, 0.85-0.99, ⩾ 1). The obesity-AS association was tested across 10-year age intervals. Among 6177 participants (62 ± 10 years old, 52% female), a significant inverse relationship was observed between obesity and AS. After adjustments for CVD risk factors, participants with a BMI > 40 kg/m2 had 5.4% lower AIx (mean difference [Δ] = -0.82%; 95% CI: -1.10, -0.53), 15.4% higher C1 (Δ = 1.66 mL/mmHg ×10; 95% CI: 1.00, 2.33), and 40.2% higher C2 (Δ = 1.49 mL/mmHg ×100; 95% CI: 1.15, 1.83) compared to those with a BMI < 25 kg/m2 (all p for trend < 0.001). Participants with a WHR ⩾ 1 had 5.6% higher C1 (∆ = 0.92 mL/mmHg ×10; 95% CI: 0.47, 1.37) compared to those with a WHR < 0.85. The WHR had a significant interaction with age on AIx and C2, but not with BMI; the inverse relationships of the WHR with AIx and C2 were observed only in participants < 55 years between the normal (WHR < 0.85) and the overweight (0.85 ⩽ WHR < 0.99) groups. Different associations of WHR and BMI with arterial stiffness among older adults should be further investigated.

Electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality in patients presenting with ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: P wave indices represent electrocardiographic marker of left atrial pathology. We hypothesized that P wave would be more abnormal in patients presenting with ischemic stroke than a comparable group without ischemic stroke. METHODS: We compared P wave terminal force in V1 (PTFV1) between patients admitted with ischemic stroke (case) and patients followed in cardiology clinic (control) at a single medical center. Using logistic regression models, we tested for an association between abnormal PTFV1 (> 4000 µV ms) and ischemic stroke. We also defined several optimal cut-off values of PTFV1 using a LOESS plot and estimated odds ratio of ischemic stroke when moving from one cut-point level to the next higher-level. RESULTS: A total of 297 patients (case 147, control 150) were included. PTFV1 was higher in patients with vs. those without ischemic stroke (median 4620 vs 3994 µV ms; p=0.006). PTFV1 was similar between cardioembolic/cryptogenic and other stroke subtypes. In multivariable analyses adjusting for sex, obesity, age, and hypertension, the association between abnormal PTFV1 and ischemic stroke ceased to be significant (OR 1.53 [0.95, 2.50], p=0.083). Increase to the next cutoff level of PTFV1 (900, 2000, 3000, 4000, 5000, and 6000 µV ms) was associated with 18% increase in odds of having ischemic stroke (vs. no ischemic stroke) (OR 1.18 [1.02, 1.36], p=0.026). CONCLUSION: Patients presenting with acute ischemic stroke are more likely to have abnormal PTFV1. These findings from a real-world clinical setting support the results of cohort studies that left atrial pathology manifested as abnormal PTFV1 is associated with ischemic stroke.

Obstructive Sleep Apnea and Structural/Functional Properties of the Thoracic Ascending Aorta: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

BACKGROUND: Structural and functional properties of the proximal thoracic aorta have important implications in clinical and subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). We examined whether obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is associated with proximal aortic size and aortic stiffness in a multi-ethnic community-based cohort. METHODS: The sample included the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Sleep Ancillary study participants without known CVD who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. The main exposure variable was OSA severity based on the polysomnography-derived apnea hypopnea index (AHI; normal, AHI <5/h; mild, 5≤ AHI <15/h; moderate to severe, AHI ≥15/h). The study outcomes were ascending aortic diameter (AoD, cm), aortic pulse wave velocity (AoPWV, m/s), and ascending aortic distensibility (AAD, %/mm Hg). Analyses were performed in the overall sample and in sex-specific strata, adjusted for multiple potential confounders. RESULTS: The 708 participants were 55.9% female and on average 68 years old (54-93 years). There was a significant trend (p < 0.0001) of greater mean (SD) AoD across the three OSA groups: normal (n = 87), 3.13 cm (0.35); mild (n = 215), 3.25 (0.34); moderate to severe (n = 406), 3.37 (0.36). In adjusted analysis, participants with moderate to severe OSA had a greater mean AoD compared with the normal group: adjusted mean difference (95% CI), 0.12 cm (0.05, 0.20), p = 0.002. This AoD gradient was observed in women but not in men (p for interaction = 0.02). No differences were found in AoPWV or AAD among the OSA groups. CONCLUSION: In a diverse community-based cohort, moderate to severe OSA (vs. no OSA) was associated with a larger ascending AoD in women.