Scoring heart rate increases as a surrogate arousal marker on portable monitor studies for obstructive sleep apnea: Impact on diagnostic accuracy and clinical decision-making.

Cortical arousal-related hypopneas are not scored on type 3 home devices, which therefore limits their diagnostic accuracy for obstructive sleep apnea. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether scoring heart rate accelerations as surrogate markers of arousal improves type 3 portable monitor diagnostic agreement compared with polysomnography and improves therapeutic decision-making. We prospectively recruited patients evaluated for obstructive sleep apnea to undergo in-laboratory simultaneous full polysomnography + type 3 portable monitoring. Hypopnea events were scored on portable monitor studies with and without autonomic scoring, which was defined as an associated increase in pulse oximetry-derived heart rate ≥6 beats per min (autonomic hypopnea). Portable monitor diagnostic agreement compared with polysomnography with and without autonomic hypopnea scoring was assessed. We also evaluated whether reporting autonomic hypopnea scoring improves portable monitor clinical treatment decision agreement after four physicians reviewed clinical data and sleep study results (polysomnography, portable monitor with autonomic hypopnea, portable monitor without autonomic hypopnea). Eighty-two participants completed simultaneous polysomnography and in-laboratory portable monitor studies. Scoring autonomic hypopnea resulted in a decreased mean difference between in-laboratory portable monitor respiratory event index and polysomnography apnea-hypopnea index in Bland-Altman analysis (mean difference 14.6 per hr without versus 6.1 per hr with autonomic hypopnea scoring [p ˂ 0.01]), and increased intraclass correlation from 0.769 to 0.844. Inclusion of autonomic hypopnea scoring resulted in better accuracy between portable monitor and polysomnography expert's treatment decisions, and ultimately resulted in 24% fewer additional polysomnographies requested. The addition of pulse oximetry heart rate increases for autonomic hypopnea scoring during portable monitor resulted in better diagnostic agreement, improved clinical decision-making and reduced additional polysomnography testing.

The 2016 Melbourne thunderstorm asthma epidemic: Risk factors for severe attacks requiring hospital admission.

BACKGROUND: The world's most catastrophic and deadly thunderstorm asthma epidemic struck Melbourne, Australia, on November 21, 2016. OBJECTIVE: Among thunderstorm-affected patients presenting to emergency rooms (ERs), we investigated risk factors predicting severe attacks requiring admission to hospital. METHODS: Thunderstorm-affected patients were identified from ER records at the eight major Melbourne health services and interviewed by telephone. Risk factors for hospital admission were analyzed. RESULTS: We interviewed 1435/2248 (64%) of thunderstorm-affected patients, of whom 164 (11.4%) required hospital admission. Overall, rhinitis was present in 87%, and current asthma was present in 28%. Odds for hospital admission were higher with increasing age (odds ratio 1.010, 95% CI 1.002, 1.019) and among individuals with current asthma (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.87, 95% CI 1.26, 2.78). Prior hospitalization for asthma in the previous 12 months further increased the odds for hospital admission (aOR 3.16, 95% CI 1.63, 6.12). Among patients of Asian ethnicity, the odds for hospital admission were lower than for non-Asian patients (aOR 0.59, 95% CI 0.38, 0.94), but higher if born in Australia (OR = 5.42, 95% CI 1.56, 18.83). CONCLUSIONS: In epidemic thunderstorm asthma patients who presented to the ER, higher odds for hospital admission among patients with known asthma were further amplified by recent asthma admission, highlighting the vulnerability conferred by suboptimal disease control. Odds for hospital admission were lower in Asian patients born overseas, but higher in Asian patients born locally, than in non-Asian patients; these observations suggest susceptibility to severe thunderstorm asthma may be enhanced by gene-environment interactions.

Accuracy of portable devices in sleep apnea using oximetry-derived heart rate increases as a surrogate arousal marker.

PURPOSE: Type 3 home study (HS) monitors do not detect cortical arousal-related hypopneas and may therefore underestimate the polysomnography (PSG)-based apnea-hypopnea index (AHI). Our aim was to test the hypothesis that scoring hypopneas using heart rate accelerations as a surrogate marker for cortical arousal (autonomic hypopnea; AnH) improves the accuracy of HS for OSA diagnosis, using PSG AHI as the diagnostic gold standard. METHODS: We retrospectively identified patients referred for OSA who underwent complete PSG following an initial inconclusive HS. Respiratory events were scored using AASM research (Chicago) criteria with additional HS scoring for AnH, defined as hypopneas based on flow criteria associated with an increase in pulse oximetry-derived heart rate ≥ 6 beats/min. RESULTS: A total of 178 patients met inclusion criteria, with mean (±SD) HS AHI = 4.4 ± 4.2/h, which increased to 8.5 ± 5.3/h with AnH scoring. The hypopnea arousal index on subsequent PSG was 7.6 ± 7.7/h, with total AHI 15.6 ± 11.9/h. Bland-Altman analysis showed improved agreement between HS and PSG AHI (mean difference 11.2/h (95%CI 33.6, - 11.1) without vs. 7.2/h (95%CI 29.6, - 15.4) with AnH scoring). Overall diagnostic accuracy was improved with AnH scoring as reflected by an increased area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for AHI thresholds of 10 and 15 events/h. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective analysis, the diagnostic accuracy of type 3 HS was improved by the inclusion of hypopnea-associated heart rate increases as a surrogate marker of arousal. Prospective studies are warranted to evaluate the impact of AnH scoring on clinical decision-making and patient outcomes.

Effectiveness of an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery Program in Gynaecology Oncologic Surgery: A Single-Centre Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study sought to evaluate whether the partial implementation of an Early Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) program lowers length of hospital stay (LOS) without compromising postoperative outcome. METHODS: A single-centre prospective cohort study was conducted in a tertiary gynaecologic oncology department, by comparing standard perioperative care with a partially implemented ERAS protocol. Data on postoperative evolution were gathered for patients who underwent laparotomy for suspected or confirmed endometrial, adnexal, or cervical neoplasia between July 1, 2015 and June 30, 2017 at the Hôtel-Dieu de Québec. RESULTS: A total of 390 cases were identified; 140 patients followed the ERAS protocol, and 250 patients received standard perioperative care. The median LOS in hours was significantly reduced for patients in the ERAS group (65.5 hours [interquartile range 59.8, 71.0] vs. 69.0 hours [interquartile range 64.3, 81.0], P < 0.001). There was no difference in complication rates, neither grade 1 (3% vs. 7%, P = 0.155) nor grades 2 to 4 (7% vs. 5%, P = 0.577), or in readmission rates (0.7% vs. 1.2%, P > 0.99). CONCLUSION: Even a partially implemented ERAS program can significantly affect LOS without compromising patient care.

Coal mine dust lung disease in the modern era.

Coal workers' pneumoconiosis (CWP), as part of the spectrum of coal mine dust lung disease (CMDLD), is a preventable but incurable lung disease that can be complicated by respiratory failure and death. Recent increases in coal production from the financial incentive of economic growth lead to higher respirable coal and quartz dust levels, often associated with mechanization of longwall coal mining. In Australia, the observed increase in the number of new CWP diagnoses since the year 2000 has necessitated a review of recommended respirable dust exposure limits, where exposure limits and monitoring protocols should ideally be standardized. Evidence that considers the regulation of engineering dust controls in the mines is lacking even in high-income countries, despite this being the primary preventative measure. Also, it is a global public health priority for at-risk miners to be systemically screened to detect early changes of CWP and to include confirmed patients within a central registry; a task limited by financial constraints in less developed countries. Characteristic X-ray changes are usually categorized using the International Labour Office classification, although future evaluation by low-dose HRCT) chest scanning may allow for CWP detection and thus avoidance of further exposure, at an earlier stage. Preclinical animal and human organoid-based models are required to explore potential re-purposing of anti-fibrotic and related agents with potential efficacy. Epidemiological patterns and the assessment of molecular and genetic biomarkers may further enhance our capacity to identify susceptible individuals to the inhalation of coal dust in the modern era.

The economic burden of burned patients for hospitalization in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Burn injuries pose a significant burden on both patients and healthcare systems. Yet, costs arising from the consumption of resources by these patients are rarely examined in Canada. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess real-world costs resulting from the initial hospitalization of patients admitted to a major burn unit in Quebec, Canada. METHODS: A cost study based on a retrospective cohort was undertaken using in-hospital economic data matched to hospital chart data. Our cohort included all burn-injured patients admitted between April 1, 2017, and March 31, 2021, to the hospital's major burn unit during their initial hospitalization. Descriptive statistics were tabulated for sociodemographic and economic data. Costing data were analyzed unstratified and stratified according to burn severity (i.e., ≥ 20% of total body surface area [TBSA] vs. < 20%). Costs were presented in CAD 2021. RESULTS: Our cohort included 362 patients, including 65 (18%) with TBSA ≥ 20%. The average initial hospitalization cost was $32,360 ($22,783 for < 20% TBSA and $76,121 for ≥ 20% TBSA). CONCLUSION: Findings reveal that the total cost of the initial hospitalization, from a public hospital perspective, was $11,714,348. Our study underlines the substantial burden associated with burns and highlights the need for long-term cost evaluations.

Value-based comparison of ambulatory children with respiratory diseases in an emergency department and a walk-in clinic: a retrospective cohort study in Québec, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To compare health outcomes and costs given in the emergency department (ED) and walk-in clinics for ambulatory children presenting with acute respiratory diseases. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. SETTING: This study was conducted from April 2016 to March 2017 in one ED and one walk-in clinic. The ED is a paediatric tertiary care centre, and the clinic has access to lab tests and X-rays. PARTICIPANTS: Inclusion criteria were children: (1) aged from 2 to 17 years old and (2) discharged home with a diagnosis of upper respiratory tract infection (URTI), pneumonia or acute asthma. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was the proportion of patients returning to any ED or clinic within 3 and 7 days of the index visit. The secondary outcome measures were the mean cost of care estimated using time-driven activity-based costing and the incidence of antibiotic prescription for URTI patients. RESULTS: We included 532 children seen in the ED and 201 seen in the walk-in clinic. The incidence of return visits at 3 and 7 days was 20.7% and 27.3% in the ED vs 6.5% and 11.4% in the clinic (adjusted relative risk at 3 days (aRR) (95% CI) 3.17 (1.77 to 5.66) and aRR at 7 days 2.24 (1.46 to 3.44)). The mean cost (95% CI) of care (CAD) at the index visit was $C96.68 (92.62 to 100.74) in the ED vs $C48.82 (45.47 to 52.16) in the clinic (mean difference (95% CI): 46.15 (41.29 to 51.02)). Antibiotic prescription for URTI was less common in the ED than in the clinic (1.5% vs 16.4%; aRR 0.10 (95% CI 0.03 to 0.32)). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of return visits and cost of care were significantly higher in the ED, while antibiotic use for URTI was more frequent in the walk-in clinic. These data may help determine which setting offers the highest value to ambulatory children with acute respiratory conditions.

Phenotyping the Responses to Systemic Corticosteroids in the Management of Asthma Attacks (PRISMA): protocol for an observational and translational pilot study.

INTRODUCTION: Asthma and its associated exacerbation are heterogeneous. Although severe asthma attacks are systematically prescribed corticosteroids and often antibiotics, little is known about the variability of response to these therapies. Blood eosinophils and fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) are type 2 inflammation biomarkers that have established mechanistic, prognostic and theragnostic values in chronic asthma, but their utility in acute asthma is unclear. We speculate that the clinical and biological response to those treatments varies according to inflammometry and microbiological test results. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: An observational longitudinal pilot study with multimodal clinical and translational assessments will be performed on 50 physician-diagnosed ≥12-year-old asthmatics presenting with an asthma attack and 12 healthy controls, including blood eosinophil count (venous and point-of-care (POC) capillary blood), FeNO and testing for airway infection (sputum cultures and POC nasopharyngeal swabs). People with asthma will be assessed on day 0 and after a 7-day corticosteroid course, with home monitoring performed in between. The primary analysis will be the change in the forced expiratory volume in 1 s according to type 2 inflammatory status (blood eosinophils ≥0.15×109/L and/or FeNO ≥25 ppb) after treatment. Key secondary analyses will compare changes in symptom scores and the proportion of patients achieving a minimal clinically important difference. Exploratory analyses will assess the relationship between clinical, lung function, inflammatory and microbiome parameters; satisfaction plus reliability indices of POC tests; and sex-gender variability in treatment response. Ultimately, this pilot study will serve to plan a larger trial comparing the clinical and biological response to systemic corticosteroids according to inflammatory biomarkers, offering valuable guidance for more personalised therapeutic strategies in asthma attacks. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The protocol has been approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the CIUSSS de l'Estrie-CHUS, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada (#2023-4687). Results will be communicated in an international meeting and submitted to a peer-reviewed journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT05870215).

A value-based comparison of the management of respiratory diseases in walk-in clinics and emergency departments.

OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to compare some of the health outcomes and costs associated with value of care in emergency departments (ED) and walk-in clinics for ambulatory patients presenting with an acute respiratory disease. METHODS: A health records review was conducted from April 2016 through March 2017 in one ED and one walk-in clinic. Inclusion criteria were: (i) ambulatory patients at least 18 years old, (ii) discharged home with a diagnosis of upper respiratory tract infection (URTI), pneumonia, acute asthma, or acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Primary outcome was the proportion of patients returning to any ED or walk-in clinic within three and seven days of the index visit. Secondary outcomes were the mean cost of care and the incidence of antibiotic prescription for URTI patients. The cost of care was estimated from the Ministry of Health's perspectives using time-driven activity-based costing. RESULTS: The ED group included 170 patients and the walk-in clinic group 326 patients. The return visit incidences at three and seven days were, respectively, 25.9% and 38.2% in the ED vs. 4.9% and 14.7% in the walk-in clinic (adjusted relative risk (arr) of 4.7 (95% CI 2.6-8.6) and 2.7 (1.9-3.9)). The mean cost ($Cdn) of the index visit care was 116.0 (106.3-125.7) in the ED vs. 62.5 (57.7-67.3) in the walk-in clinic (mean difference of 56.4 (45.7-67.1)). Antibiotic prescription for URTI was 5.6% in the ED vs. 24.7% in the walk-in clinic (arr 0.2, 0.01-0.6). CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first in a larger research program to compare the value of care between walk-in clinics and the ED. The potential advantages of walk-in clinics over EDs (lower costs, lower incidence of return visits) for ambulatory patients with respiratory diseases should be considered in healthcare planning.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Notre objectif était de comparer certains des résultats sanitaires et des coûts associés à la valeur des soins dans les services d'urgence et les cliniques sans rendez-vous pour les patients ambulatoires souffrant d'une maladie respiratoire aiguë. MéTHODES: Une revue des dossiers médicaux a été réalisée d'avril 2016 à mars 2017 dans un service d'urgence et une clinique sans rendez-vous. Les critères d'inclusion étaient les suivants : (i) patients ambulatoires âgés d'au moins 18 ans, (ii) renvoyés chez eux avec un diagnostic d'infection des voies respiratoires supérieures (IVRS), de pneumonie, d'asthme aigu ou d'exacerbation aiguë de la maladie pulmonaire obstructive chronique. Le résultat primaire était la proportion de patients retournant à un service d'urgence ou à une clinique sans rendez-vous dans les trois et sept jours suivant la visite de référence. Les résultats secondaires étaient le coût moyen des soins et l'incidence de la prescription d'antibiotiques pour les patients atteints d'IVRS. Le coût des soins a été estimé à partir des perspectives du ministère de la santé, en utilisant la méthode de calcul des coûts par activité en fonction du temps. RéSULTATS: Le groupe des urgences comprenait 170 patients et le groupe des cliniques sans rendez-vous 326 patients. Les incidences des visites de retour à trois et sept jours étaient respectivement de 25,9 % et 38,2 % dans le service des urgences contre 4,9 % et 14,7 % à la clinique sans rendez-vous (risque relatif ajusté (arr) de 4,7 (IC à 95 % 2,6 à 8,6) et 2,7 (1,9-3,9)). Le coût moyen ($CAN) de la visite de référence était de 116,0 (106,3-125,7) aux urgences contre 62,5 (57,7-67,3) dans la clinique sans rendez-vous (différence moyenne de 56,4 (45,7-67,1)). La prescription d'antibiotiques pour l'IVRS était de 5,6 % aux urgences contre 24,7 % dans la clinique sans rendez-vous (arr 0,2, 0,01-0,6). CONCLUSIONS: Cette étude est la première d'un programme de recherche plus vaste visant à comparer la valeur des soins entre les cliniques sans rendez-vous et les urgences. Les avantages potentiels des cliniques sans rendez-vous par rapport aux services d'urgence (coûts moindres, incidence plus faible des visites de retour) pour les patients ambulatoires souffrant de maladies respiratoires devraient être pris en compte dans la planification des soins de santé.

Postpandemic Evaluation of the Eco-Efficiency of Personal Protective Equipment Against COVID-19 in Emergency Departments: Proposal for a Mixed Methods Study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on emergency department (ED) care in Canada and around the world. To prevent transmission of COVID-19, personal protective equipment (PPE) was required for all ED care providers in contact with suspected cases. With mass vaccination and improvements in several infection prevention components, our hypothesis is that the risks of transmission of COVID-19 will be significantly reduced and that current PPE use will have economic and ecological consequences that exceed its anticipated benefits. Evidence is needed to evaluate PPE use so that recommendations can ensure the clinical, economic, and environmental efficiency (ie, eco-efficiency) of its use. OBJECTIVE: To support the development of recommendations for the eco-efficient use of PPE, our research objectives are to (1) estimate the clinical effectiveness (reduced transmission, hospitalizations, mortality, and work absenteeism) of PPE against COVID-19 for health care workers; (2) estimate the financial cost of using PPE in the ED for the management of suspected or confirmed COVID-19 patients; and (3) estimate the ecological footprint of PPE use against COVID-19 in the ED. METHODS: We will conduct a mixed method study to evaluate the eco-efficiency of PPE use in the 5 EDs of the CHU de Québec-Université Laval (Québec, Canada). To achieve our goals, the project will include four phases: systematic review of the literature to assess the clinical effectiveness of PPE (objective 1; phase 1); cost estimation of PPE use in the ED using a time-driven activity-based costing method (objective 2; phase 2); ecological footprint estimation of PPE use using a life cycle assessment approach (objective 3; phase 3); and cost-consequence analysis and focus groups (integration of objectives 1 to 3; phase 4). RESULTS: The first 3 phases have started. The results of these phases will be available in 2023. Phase 4 will begin in 2023 and results will be available in 2024. CONCLUSIONS: While the benefits of PPE use are likely to diminish as health care workers' immunity increases, it is important to assess its economic and ecological impacts to develop recommendations to guide its eco-efficient use. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42022302598; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=302598. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/50682.

A Value-Based Comparison of the Management of Ambulatory Respiratory Diseases in Walk-in Clinics, Primary Care Practices, and Emergency Departments: Protocol for a Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: In Canada, 30%-60% of patients presenting to emergency departments are ambulatory. This category has been labeled as a source of emergency department overuse. Acting on the presumption that primary care practices and walk-in clinics offer equivalent care at a lower cost, governments have invested massively in improving access to these alternative settings in the hope that patients would present there instead when possible, thereby reducing the load on emergency departments. Data in support of this approach remain scarce and equivocal. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to compare the value of care received in emergency departments, walk-in clinics, and primary care practices by ambulatory patients with upper respiratory tract infection, sinusitis, otitis media, tonsillitis, pharyngitis, bronchitis, influenza-like illness, pneumonia, acute asthma, or acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. METHODS: A multicenter prospective cohort study will be performed in Ontario and Québec. In phase 1, a time-driven activity-based costing method will be applied at each of the 15 study sites. This method uses time as a cost driver to allocate direct costs (eg, medication), consumable expenditures (eg, needles), overhead costs (eg, building maintenance), and physician charges to patient care. Thus, the cost of a care episode will be proportional to the time spent receiving the care. At the end of this phase, a list of care process costs will be generated and used to calculate the cost of each consultation during phase 2, in which a prospective cohort of patients will be monitored to compare the care received in each setting. Patients aged 18 years and older, ambulatory throughout the care episode, and discharged to home with one of the aforementioned targeted diagnoses will be considered. The estimated sample size is 1485 patients. The 3 types of care settings will be compared on the basis of primary outcomes in terms of the proportion of return visits to any site 3 and 7 days after the initial visit and the mean cost of care. The secondary outcomes measured will include scores on patient-reported outcome and experience measures and mean costs borne wholly by patients. We will use multilevel generalized linear models to compare the care settings and an overlap weights approach to adjust for confounding factors related to age, sex, gender, ethnicity, comorbidities, registration with a family physician, socioeconomic status, and severity of illness. RESULTS: Phase 1 will begin in 2021 and phase 2, in 2023. The results will be available in 2025. CONCLUSIONS: The end point of our program will be for deciders, patients, and care providers to be able to determine the most appropriate care setting for the management of ambulatory emergency respiratory conditions, based on the quality and cost of care associated with each alternative. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): PRR1-10.2196/25619.

A Collaborative Model to Implement Flexible, Accessible and Efficient Oncogenetic Services for Hereditary Breast and Ovarian Cancer: The C-MOnGene Study.

Medical genetic services are facing an unprecedented demand for counseling and testing for hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) in a context of limited resources. To help resolve this issue, a collaborative oncogenetic model was recently developed and implemented at the CHU de Québec-Université Laval; Quebec; Canada. Here, we present the protocol of the C-MOnGene (Collaborative Model in OncoGenetics) study, funded to examine the context in which the model was implemented and document the lessons that can be learned to optimize the delivery of oncogenetic services. Within three years of implementation, the model allowed researchers to double the annual number of patients seen in genetic counseling. The average number of days between genetic counseling and disclosure of test results significantly decreased. Group counseling sessions improved participants' understanding of breast cancer risk and increased knowledge of breast cancer and genetics and a large majority of them reported to be overwhelmingly satisfied with the process. These quality and performance indicators suggest this oncogenetic model offers a flexible, patient-centered and efficient genetic counseling and testing for HBOC. By identifying the critical facilitating factors and barriers, our study will provide an evidence base for organizations interested in transitioning to an oncogenetic model integrated into oncology care; including teams that are not specialized but are trained in genetics.

Thunderstorm-triggered asthma: what we know so far.

Thunderstorm-triggered asthma (TA) is the occurrence of acute asthma attacks immediately following a thunderstorm. Epidemics have occurred across the world during pollen season and have the capacity to rapidly inundate a health care service, resulting in potentially catastrophic outcomes for patients. TA occurs when specific meteorological and aerobiological factors combine to affect predisposed patients. Thunderstorm outflows can concentrate aeroallergens, most commonly grass pollen in TA, at ground level to release respirable allergenic particles after rupture by osmotic shock related to humidity and rainfall. Inhalation of high concentrations of these aeroallergens by sensitized individuals can induce early asthmatic responses which are followed by a late inflammatory phase. Other environmental factors such as rapid temperature change and agricultural practices contribute to the causation of TA. The most lethal TA event occurred in Melbourne, Australia, in 2016. Studies on the affected individuals found TA to be associated with allergic rhinitis, ryegrass pollen sensitization, pre-existing asthma, poor adherence to inhaled corticosteroid preventer therapy, hospital admission for asthma in the previous year and outdoor location at the time of the storm. Patients without a prior history of asthma were also affected. These factors are important in extending our understanding of the etiology of TA and associated clinical indicators as well as possible biomarkers which may aid in predicting those at risk and thus those who should be targeted in prevention campaigns. Education on the importance of recognizing asthma symptoms, adherence to asthma treatment and controlling seasonal allergic rhinitis is vital in preventing TA. Consideration of allergen immunotherapy in selected patients may also mitigate risk of future TA. Epidemic TA events are predicted to increase in frequency and severity with climate change, and identifying susceptible patients and preventing poor outcomes is a key research and public health policy priority.

Continued loss of asthma control following epidemic thunderstorm asthma.

BACKGROUND: Epidemic thunderstorm asthma (ETSA) severely affected Melbourne, Australia in November 2016. There is scant literature on the natural history of individuals affected by ETSA. OBJECTIVE: A multicentre 12-month prospective observational study was conducted assessing symptomatology and behaviors of ETSA-affected individuals. METHODS: We used a structured phone questionnaire to assess asthma symptom frequency, inhaled preventer use, asthma action plan ownership and healthcare utilization over 12 months since the ETSA. Analysis of results included subgroup analyses of the "current," "past," "probable," and "no asthma" subgroups defined according to their original 2016 survey responses. RESULTS: Four hundred forty-two questionnaires were analyzed. Eighty percent of individuals reported ongoing asthma symptoms at follow-up, of which 28% were affected by asthma symptoms at least once a week. Risk of persistent asthma symptoms was significantly higher in those with prior asthma diagnosis, current asthma, and probable undiagnosed asthma (all p < 0.01). Of 442 respondents, 53% were prescribed inhaled preventers, of which 51% were adherent at least 5 days a week. Forty-two percent had a written asthma action plan and 16% had sought urgent medical attention for asthma in the preceding year. CONCLUSIONS: Following an episode of ETSA, patients experience a pivotal change in asthma trajectory with both loss of asthma control and persistence of de novo asthma. Suboptimal rates of inhaled preventer adherence and asthma action plan ownership may contribute to asthma exacerbation risk and susceptibility to future ETSA episodes. Longer-term follow-up is needed to determine the extent and severity of this apparent change.

Safer approaches to therapeutic modulation of TGF-ß signaling for respiratory disease.

The transforming growth factor (TGF)-ß cytokines play a central role in development and progression of chronic respiratory diseases. TGF-ß overexpression in chronic inflammation, remodeling, fibrotic process and susceptibility to viral infection is established in the most prevalent chronic respiratory diseases including asthma, COPD, lung cancer and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Despite the overwhelming burden of respiratory diseases in the world, new pharmacological therapies have been limited in impact. Although TGF-ß inhibition as a therapeutic strategy carries great expectations, the constraints in avoiding compromising the beneficial pleiotropic effects of TGF-ß, including the anti-proliferative and immune suppressive effects, have limited the development of effective pharmacological modulators. In this review, we focus on the pathways subserving deleterious and beneficial TGF-ß effects to identify strategies for selective modulation of more distal signaling pathways that may result in agents with improved safety/efficacy profiles. Adverse effects of TGF-ß inhibitors in respiratory clinical trials are comprehensively reviewed, including those of the marketed TGF-ß modulators, pirfenidone and nintedanib. Precise modulation of TGF-ß signaling may result in new safer therapies for chronic respiratory diseases.

The Melbourne epidemic thunderstorm asthma event 2016: an investigation of environmental triggers, effect on health services, and patient risk factors.

BACKGROUND: A multidisciplinary collaboration investigated the world's largest, most catastrophic epidemic thunderstorm asthma event that took place in Melbourne, Australia, on Nov 21, 2016, to inform mechanisms and preventive strategies. METHODS: Meteorological and airborne pollen data, satellite-derived vegetation index, ambulance callouts, emergency department presentations, and data on hospital admissions for Nov 21, 2016, as well as leading up to and following the event were collected between Nov 21, 2016, and March 31, 2017, and analysed. We contacted patients who presented during the epidemic thunderstorm asthma event at eight metropolitan health services (each including up to three hospitals) via telephone questionnaire to determine patient characteristics, and investigated outcomes of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. FINDINGS: Grass pollen concentrations on Nov 21, 2016, were extremely high (>100 grains/m3). At 1800 AEDT, a gust front crossed Melbourne, plunging temperatures 10°C, raising humidity above 70%, and concentrating particulate matter. Within 30 h, there were 3365 (672%) excess respiratory-related presentations to emergency departments, and 476 (992%) excess asthma-related admissions to hospital, especially individuals of Indian or Sri Lankan birth (10% vs 1%, p<0·0001) and south-east Asian birth (8% vs 1%, p<0·0001) compared with previous 3 years. Questionnaire data from 1435 (64%) of 2248 emergency department presentations showed a mean age of 32·0 years (SD 18·6), 56% of whom were male. Only 28% had current doctor-diagnosed asthma. 39% of the presentations were of Asian or Indian ethnicity (25% of the Melbourne population were of this ethnicity according to the 2016 census, relative risk [RR] 1·93, 95% CI 1·74-2·15, p <0·0001). Of ten individuals who died, six were Asian or Indian (RR 4·54, 95% CI 1·28-16·09; p=0·01). 35 individuals were admitted to an intensive care unit, all had asthma, 12 took inhaled preventers, and five died. INTERPRETATION: Convergent environmental factors triggered a thunderstorm asthma epidemic of unprecedented magnitude, tempo, and geographical range and severity on Nov 21, 2016, creating a new benchmark for emergency and health service escalation. Asian or Indian ethnicity and current doctor-diagnosed asthma portended life-threatening exacerbations such as those requiring admission to an ICU. Overall, the findings provide important public health lessons applicable to future event forecasting, health care response coordination, protection of at-risk populations, and medical management of epidemic thunderstorm asthma. FUNDING: None.