Thyroid cancer.

The past 5-10 years have brought in a new era in the care of patients with thyroid cancer, with the introduction of transformative diagnostic and management options. Several international ultrasound-based thyroid nodule risk stratification systems have been developed with the goal of reducing unnecessary biopsies. Less invasive alternatives to surgery for low-risk thyroid cancer, such as active surveillance and minimally invasive interventions, are being explored. New systemic therapies are now available for patients with advanced thyroid cancer. However, in the setting of these advances, disparities exist in the diagnosis and management of thyroid cancer. As new management options are becoming available for thyroid cancer, it is essential to support population-based studies and randomised clinical trials that will inform evidence-based clinical practice guidelines on the management of thyroid cancer, and to include diverse patient populations in research to better understand and subsequently address existing barriers to equitable thyroid cancer care.

A comparison of cardiovascular disease, cancer, mortality, and Graves' ophthalmopathy following treatment for hyperthyroidism: A Bayesian network meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This network meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association of anti-thyroid drugs (ATD), radioactive iodine (RAI), and thyroidectomy with subsequent outcomes in patients with newly-diagnosed hyperthyroidism. METHODS: The Ovid Medline, Ovid Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for observational studies and randomized controlled trials. Included studies were published on or before 1st May 2022 involving at least two of the treatments among ATD, RAI, and thyroidectomy for hyperthyroidism. Pairwise comparisons and Bayesian network meta-analysis were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and their credible interval (CrI) of outcomes, including cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, overall mortality, and Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO). RESULTS: A total of 22 cohort studies with 131,297 hyperthyroidism patients were included. Thyroidectomy was associated with lower risks of mortality and GO than ATD (HR = 0.54, 95% CrI: 0.31, 0.96; HR = 0.31, 95% CrI: 0.12, 0.64) and RAI (HR = 0.62, 95% CrI: 0.41, 0.95; HR = 0.18, 95% CrI: 0.07, 0.35). RAI had a higher risk of GO (HR = 1.70, 95% CrI: 1.02, 2.99) than ATD treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This Bayesian network meta-analysis indicated that thyroidectomy was associated with lower risks of mortality and GO in newly-diagnosed hyperthyroid patients compared to ATD and RAI. Relative to ATD, RAI therapy increased the risk of GO.

Parathyroidectomy versus oral cinacalcet on cardiovascular parameters in peritoneal dialysis patients with advanced secondary hyperparathyroidism (PROCEED): a randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: This trial aimed to evaluate oral cinacalcet versus total parathyroidectomy (PTx) with forearm autografting on cardiovascular surrogate outcomes and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) measures in dialysis patients with advanced secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT). DESIGN: In this pilot prospective randomized trial conducted in two university-affiliated hospitals, 65 adult peritoneal dialysis patients with advanced SHPT were randomized to receive either oral cinacalcet or PTx. Primary endpoints were changes in left ventricular (LV) mass index by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and coronary artery calcium scores (CACS) over 12 months. Secondary endpoints included changes in heart valves calcium scores, aortic stiffness, biochemical parameters of chronic kidney disease-mineral bone disease (CKD-MBD) and HRQOL measures over 12 months. RESULTS: Changes in LV mass index, CACS, heart valves calcium score, aortic pulse wave velocity and HRQOL did not differ between groups or within groups, despite significant reductions in plasma calcium, phosphorus and intact parathyroid hormone in both groups. Cinacalcet-treated patients experienced more cardiovascular-related hospitalizations than those who underwent PTx (P = .008) but the difference became insignificant after adjusting for baseline difference in heart failure (P = .43). With the same monitoring frequency, cinacalcet-treated patients had fewer hospitalizations due to hypercalcemia (1.8%) than patients who underwent PTx (16.7%) (P = .005). No significant changes were observed in HRQOL measures in either group. CONCLUSIONS: Both cinacalcet and PTx effectively improved various biochemical abnormalities of CKD-MBD and stabilized but did not reduce LV mass, coronary artery and heart valves calcification, or arterial stiffness, or improve patient-centered HRQOL measures in PD patients with advanced SHPT. Cinacalcet may be used in place of PTx for treating advanced SHPT. Long-term and powered studies are required to evaluate PTx versus cinacalcet on hard cardiovascular outcomes in dialysis patients. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01447368.

Efficacy of single-session radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in rendering euthyroidism for persistent/relapsed Graves' disease, a pilot study.

OBJECTIVES: Graves' disease (GD) is the most common cause of hyperthyroidism. Antithyroid drug (ATD) is often the first-line treatment but > 50% patients suffer a relapse when ATD is discontinued. Surgery or radioiodine remains the current options of definitive treatment in these patients. This pilot study examined the short-term efficacy of single-session thyroid radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as a novel definitive treatment for persistent/relapsed GD. METHODS: Consecutive patients with persistent/relapsed GD requiring ATD were considered. Those with a clear surgical indication, either thyroid lobe volume ≥ 20 mL; those who were pregnant or lactating; and those who had any severe medical conditions that would pose extra treatment risks were excluded. Eligible patients received ultrasound-guided RFA of the entire bulk of thyroid gland. Thyroid function tests were monitored bi-monthly. The primary outcome was disease remission rate, defined as a state of biochemical euthyroidism or hypothyroidism without ATD. Secondary outcomes were complication rates. RESULTS: Of the 68 patients considered, 15 (22.1%) patients were eligible. Most were females (93.3%). The median age was 37 (IQR 31-48) years old. The disease remission rates were 79.0% at 6 months and 73.3% at 12 months. Among the 4 patients who relapsed after RFA, three required less ATD dose than before RFA. RFA was well-tolerated in the ambulatory setting. There were no vocal cord palsy, skin burn, hematoma, or thyroid storm after RFA. CONCLUSIONS: In well-selected patients, single-session RFA of the thyroid gland may be a potential treatment for patients with persistent/relapsed GD. It is a safe and well-tolerated ambulatory procedure. KEY POINTS: • Radiofrequency ablation of the thyroid gland is an efficacious treatment for persistent/relapsed Graves' disease in well-selected patients. • Radiofrequency ablation of the thyroid gland for the treatment of persistent/relapsed Graves' disease is a safe and well-tolerated ambulatory procedure. • Radiofrequency ablation of the thyroid gland may be a potential alternative treatment for well-selected patients with persistent/relapsed GD who do not wish to undergo either thyroidectomy or radioactive iodine or continue antithyroid drugs.

Value assignment and uncertainty evaluation for anion and single-element reference solutions incorporating historical information.

The National Institute of Standards and Technology, which is the national metrology institute of the USA, assigns certified values to the mass fractions of individual elements in single-element solutions, and to the mass fractions of anions in anion solutions, based on gravimetric preparations and instrumental methods of analysis. The instrumental method currently is high-performance inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy for the single-element solutions, and ion chromatography for the anion solutions. The uncertainty associated with each certified value comprises method-specific components, a component reflecting potential long-term instability that may affect the certified mass fraction during the useful lifetime of the solutions, and a component from between-method differences. Lately, the latter has been evaluated based only on the measurement results for the reference material being certified. The new procedure described in this contribution blends historical information about between-method differences for similar solutions produced previously, with the between-method difference observed when a new material is characterized. This blending procedure is justified because, with only rare exceptions, the same preparation and measurement methods have been used historically: in the course of almost 40 years for the preparation methods, and of 20 years for the instrumental methods. Also, the certified values of mass fraction, and the associated uncertainties, have been very similar, and the chemistry of the solutions also is closely comparable within each series of materials. If the new procedure will be applied to future SRM lots of single-element or anion solutions routinely, then it is expected that it will yield relative expanded uncertainties that are about 20 % smaller than the procedure for uncertainty evaluation currently in use, and that it will do so for the large majority of the solutions. However, more consequential than any reduction in uncertainty, is the improvement in the quality of the uncertainty evaluations that derives from incorporating the rich historical information about between-method differences and about the stability of the solutions over their expected lifetimes. The particular values listed for several existing SRMs are given merely as retrospective illustrations of the application of the new method, not to suggest that the certified values or their associated uncertainties should be revised.

Clinical outcomes of chemotherapy-based therapies for previously treated advanced colorectal cancer: a systematic literature review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate clinical outcomes of standard therapies in previously treated, advanced colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. METHODS: A systematic literature review was conducted in Embase, MEDLINE, and CENTRAL databases (January 2000-July 2021), annual oncology conferences (2019-2021), and clinicaltrials.gov to identify studies evaluating the use of licensed interventions in second-line or later settings. The primary outcome of interest was objective response rate (ORR) and secondary outcomes included progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). ORR was pooled using the Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation. For survival outcomes, published Kaplan-Meier curves for OS and PFS were digitized to re-construct individual patient-level data and pooled following the methodology described by Combescure et al. (2014). RESULTS: Twenty-three trials evaluating standard chemotherapies with or without targeted therapies across 4,791 advanced CRC patients contributed to our meta-analysis. In the second-line setting, the random effects pooled estimate of ORR was 22.4% (95% confidence interval (CI): 18.0, 27.1), median PFS was 7.0 months (95% CI: 6.4, 7.4), and median OS was 14.9 months (95% CI: 13.6, 16.1). In the third-line or later setting, the random effects pooled estimate of ORR was 1.7% (95% CI: 0.8, 2.7), median PFS was 2.3 months (95% CI: 2.0, 2.8), and median OS was 8.2 months (95% CI: 7.1, 9.1). CONCLUSION: Standard treatments have limited efficacy in the second-line or later setting with worsening outcomes in later lines. Given the global burden of CRC, further research into novel and emerging therapeutic options following treatment failure is needed.

Psychometric properties of EQ-5D-5L for use in patients with Graves' disease.

BACKGROUND: The EQ-5D-5 L is a commonly used generic measure of health. This study aimed to evaluate the psychometric properties of the EQ-5D-5 L in patients with Graves' disease (GD). METHODS: A prospective cohort of patients with GD recruited at three public hospitals in Hong Kong completed the EQ-5D-5 L and ThyPRO-39 questionnaires at baseline, 1-month, and 6-month follow-ups. Convergent validity was tested by examining the Spearman correlation between EQ-5D-5 L and ThyPRO-39 scores at baseline. 1-month test-retest reliability was assessed by Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC), Gwet's Agreement Coefficient 2 (AC2), and percentage agreement. Responsiveness of EQ-5D-5 L index and EQ-VAS scores was assessed using effect size statistics (standardized effect size [SES] and standardized response mean [SRM]). RESULTS: Of 125 recruited patients, 101 (80.8%) and 100 (80.0%) patients were followed up at 1- and 6-month, respectively. For convergent validity, there was a moderate negative correlation between EQ-5D-5 L index or EQ-VAS score and ThyPRO-39 overall QoL-impact score (-0.350, -0.451), between EQ-VAS score and composite score (-0.483), and strong negative correlation between EQ-5D-5 L index score and composite score (-0.567). The Gwet's AC2 and percentage agreement were the highest in self-care (0.964 and 0.967), followed by mobility (0.952 and 0.962), usual activities (0.934 and 0.948), pain/discomfort (0.801 and 0.887), and anxiety/depression (0.788 and 0.882). The ICC for the EQ-5D-5 L index and the EQ-VAS was 0.707 and 0.700. For patients who reported having 'worsened' health at 6-month follow-up, the SES and SRM were - 0.66 and - 0.42 for EQ-5D-5 L index and - 1.15 and - 1.00 for EQ-VAS, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The EQ-5D-5 L demonstrated convergent validity, test-retest reliability, and responsiveness to worsened health status among patients with GD.

Discharge of postoperative patients with an opioid prescription is associated with increased persistent opioid use, healthcare expenditures and mortality: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The risk factors for persistent opioid use after surgical discharge and the association between opioid prescription at discharge and postoperative emergency department visits, readmission, and mortality are unclear. METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study involved opioid-naive patients who underwent surgical procedures from January 1, 2000 to November 30, 2020. The data source was Hong Kong Hospital Authority Clinical Management System electronic health record. The primary outcome was the incidence of new persistent opioid use. Other study outcomes included 30-day emergency department visits, 30-day readmission, and 30-day all-cause mortality. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between opioid prescription at discharge and persistent opioid use, emergency department visits, readmission, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 1 month with 36 104 person-years, 438 128 patients (opioid prescription: 32 932, no opioid prescription: 405 196) who underwent surgical procedures were analysed, of whom 15 112 (3.45%) had persistent opioid use after discharge. Prescribing opioids on discharge was associated with increased risks of developing persistent opioid use (odds ratio [OR]: 2.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.19-2.40, P<0.001), 30-day emergency department visits (OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.23-1.33, P<0.001), 30-day readmission (OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.13-1.20, P<0.001), and 30-day all-cause mortality (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.53-1.86, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of patients undergoing surgery, an opioid prescription on discharge was associated with a higher chance of persistent opioid use and increased risks of postoperative emergency department visits, readmission, and mortality. Minimising opioid prescriptions on discharge could improve perioperative patient outcomes.

Pre-operative Cinacalcet Administration Reduces Immediate Post-operative Hypocalcemia Following Total Parathyroidectomy in Severe Renal Hyperparathyroidism.

BACKGROUND: In severe renal hyperparathyroidism (RHPT), whether administrating Cinacalcet before total parathyroidectomy can reduce post-operative hypocalcemia remains unclear. We compared post-operative calcium kinetics between those who took Cinacalcet before surgery (Group I) and those who did not (Group II). METHODS: Patients with severe RHPT (defined by PTH ≥ 100 pmol/L) who underwent total parathyroidectomy between 2012 and 2022 were analyzed. Standardized peri-operative protocol of calcium and vitamin D supplementation was followed. Blood tests were performed twice daily in the immediate post-operative period. Severe hypocalcemia was defined as serum albumin-adjusted calcium < 2.00 mmol/L. RESULTS: Among 159 patients who underwent parathyroidectomy, 82 patients were eligible for analysis (Group I, n = 27; Group II, n = 55). Demographics and PTH levels before Cinacalcet administration were comparable (Group I: 169 ± 49 pmol/L vs Group II: 154 ± 45, p = 0.209). Group I had significantly lower pre-operative PTH (77 ± 60 pmol/L vs 154 ± 45, p < 0.001), higher post-operative calcium (p < 0.05), and lower rate of severe hypocalcemia (33.3% vs 60.0%, p = 0.023). Longer duration of Cinacalcet use correlated with higher post-operative calcium levels (p < 0.05). Cinacalcet use for > 1 year resulted in fewer severe post-operative hypocalcemia than non-users (p = 0.022, OR 0.242, 95% CI 0.068-0.859). Higher pre-operative ALP independently correlated with severe post-operative hypocalcemia (OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.17-7.77, p = 0.022). CONCLUSION: In severe RHPT, Cinacalcet led to significant drop in pre-operative PTH, higher post-operative calcium levels, and less frequent severe hypocalcemia. Longer duration of Cinacalcet use correlated with higher post-operative calcium levels, and the use of Cinacalcet for > 1 year reduced severe post-operative hypocalcemia.

A Prospective Study Evaluating the Feasibility and Accuracy of Post-operative Laryngeal Ultrasonography (LUSG) in Assessment of Vocal Cord Function After Esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: Vocal cord paresis (VCP) is a serious complication after esophagectomy. Conventional diagnosis of VCP relies on flexible laryngoscopy (FL), which is invasive. Laryngeal ultrasonography (LUSG) is non-invasive and convenient. It has provided accurate VC evaluation after thyroidectomy but it is unclear if it is just as accurate following esophagectomy. This prospective study evaluated the feasibility and accuracy of LUSG in VC assessment on day-1 after esophagectomy. METHODS: Consecutive patients from a tertiary teaching hospital who underwent elective esophagectomy were prospectively recruited. All received pre-operative FL, and post-operative LUSG and FL on Day-1, each performed by a blinded, independent assessor. The primary outcomes were feasibility and accuracy of LUSG in the diagnosis of VCP on Day-1 post-esophagectomy. The accuracy of voice assessment (VA) was analyzed. RESULTS: Twenty-six patients were eligible for analysis. The median age was 70 years (66-73). Majority were male (84.6%). Twenty-five (96.2%) received three-phase esophagectomy. Twenty-four (96%) had same-stage anastomosis at the neck. Three (11.5%) developed temporary and one (3.8%) developed permanent unilateral VCP. Overall VC visualization rate by LUSG was 100%; sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value (NPV) and accuracy of LUSG were 75.0%, 100%, 100%, 98.0%, 98.1% respectively, and superior to VA. Combining LUSG with VA findings could pick up all VCPs i.e. improved sensitivity and NPV to 100%. CONCLUSION: LUSG is a highly feasible, accurate and non-invasive method to evaluate VC function early after esophagectomy. Post-operative FL may be avoided in patients with both normal LUSG and voice.

Epidemiology and outcomes of medically attended and microbiologically confirmed bacterial foodborne infections in solid organ transplant recipients.

Food-safety measures are recommended to solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients. However, the burden of foodborne infections in SOT recipients has not been established. We describe the epidemiology and outcomes of bacterial foodborne infections in a nationwide cohort including 4405 SOT recipients in Switzerland between 2008 and 2018. Participants were prospectively followed for a median of 4.2 years with systematic collection of data on infections, and patient and graft-related outcomes. We identified 151 episodes of microbiologically confirmed bacterial foodborne infections occurring in median 1.6 years (IQR 0.58-3.40) after transplantation (131 [88%] Campylobacter spp. and 15 [10%] non-typhoidal Salmonella). The cumulative incidence of bacterial foodborne infections was 4% (95% CI 3.4-4.8). Standardized incidence rates were 7.4 (95% CI 6.2-8.7) and 4.6 (95% CI 2.6-7.5) for Campylobacter and Salmonella infections, respectively. Invasive infection was more common with Salmonella (33.3% [5/15]) compared to Campylobacter (3.2% [4/125]; p = .001). Hospital and ICU admission rates were 47.7% (69/145) and 4.1% (6/145), respectively. A composite endpoint of acute rejection, graft loss, or death occurred within 30 days in 3.3% (5/151) of cases. In conclusion, in our cohort bacterial foodborne infections were late post-transplant infections and were associated with significant morbidity, supporting the need for implementation of food-safety recommendations.

Characterising the epidemic spread of influenza A/H3N2 within a city through phylogenetics.

Infecting large portions of the global population, seasonal influenza is a major burden on societies around the globe. While the global source sink dynamics of the different seasonal influenza viruses have been studied intensively, its local spread remains less clear. In order to improve our understanding of how influenza is transmitted on a city scale, we collected an extremely densely sampled set of influenza sequences alongside patient metadata. To do so, we sequenced influenza viruses isolated from patients of two different hospitals, as well as private practitioners in Basel, Switzerland during the 2016/2017 influenza season. The genetic sequences reveal that repeated introductions into the city drove the influenza season. We then reconstruct how the effective reproduction number changed over the course of the season. While we did not find that transmission dynamics in Basel correlate with humidity or school closures, we did find some evidence that it may positively correlated with temperature. Alongside the genetic sequence data that allows us to see how individual cases are connected, we gathered patient information, such as the age or household status. Zooming into the local transmission outbreaks suggests that the elderly were to a large extent infected within their own transmission network. In the remaining transmission network, our analyses suggest that school-aged children likely play a more central role than pre-school aged children. These patterns will be valuable to plan interventions combating the spread of respiratory diseases within cities given that similar patterns are observed for other influenza seasons and cities.

Long-term outcome of patients treated with antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine or surgery for persistent or relapsed Graves' disease.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare long-term mortality, morbidity, and cumulative healthcare costs between antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine, and surgical treatment for patients with persistent or relapsed Graves' disease. METHODS: Data on patients with persistent or relapsed Graves' disease between 2006 and 2018 were retrieved from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Hazard ratios (HRs) estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare the risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease, atrial fibrillation, psychological disease, Graves' ophthalmopathy, and cancer across treatment groups. The 10-year healthcare cost and change in co-morbidity status were also estimated. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 79 months (22 636 person-years), a total of 3443 patients (antithyroid drug 2294, radioactive iodine 755, surgery 394) were analysed. Compared with antithyroid drug treatment, surgery was associated with significantly lower risks of all-cause mortality (HR 0.40, 95 per cent c.i. 0.36 to 0.45), cardiovascular disease (HR 0.54, 0.48 to 0.60), atrial fibrillation (HR 0.11, 0.09 to 0.14), psychological disease (HR 0.85, 0.79 to 0.92), Graves' ophthalmopathy (HR 0.09, 0.08 to 0.10), and cancer (HR 0.56, 0.50 to 0.63). Patients who underwent surgery also had a lower risk of all outcome events than those in the radioactive iodine group. The 10-year direct cumulative healthcare cost was €14 754 for surgery compared with €17 390 for antithyroid drugs, and €17 918 for the radioactive iodine group. CONCLUSION: Patients who underwent surgery for persistent or relapsed Graves' disease had lower risks of all-cause mortality and analysed morbidities. The 10-year cumulative healthcare cost in the surgery group was lowest among the three treatment alternatives.

Relevance of deceased donor proteinuria for kidney transplantation: A comprehensive national cohort study.

PURPOSE: Proteinuria is frequent in patients with nephropathies and associated with progressive kidney disease and risk for end stage kidney disease. However, the relevance of deceased donor proteinuria on transplant outcome remains uncertain. In this nationwide cohort study, we evaluated the prevalence of proteinuria in deceased donor candidates and measured the impact on outcome after kidney transplantation. METHODS: Data from the Swiss Organ Allocation System and the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study were analyzed, comprising 1725 donors and 1516 recipients transplanted between 2008 and 2019. We correlated urine findings with donor characteristics and quantified the impact of proteinuria on allograft function at 12 months and survival. RESULTS: Proteinuria influenced allocation decisions in 4.5% of nonimmunological organ declines and was the leading cause for decline in 0.2% of cases. 74.1%, 51.4%, and 35.3% of donor candidates had a baseline proteinuria above 15, 30, and 50 mg protein/mmol urine creatinine, respectively. Proteinuria above 30 mg/mmol was associated with female donor sex, mechanical resuscitation, acute kidney injury, and time delay between ICU entry and urine sampling. Donor proteinuria was not associated with patient or allograft survival, nor allograft function at 12 months. CONCLUSION: We report a high prevalence of proteinuria in donor candidates, without evidence of a deleterious impact of proteinuria on graft function and/or survival. Therefore, low-level proteinuria should not be considered a limiting contraindication for kidney allocation in deceased donor transplant.

Using Intra-Operative Laryngeal Ultrasonography as a Real-Time Tool in Assessing Vocal Cord Function During Radiofrequency Ablation of the Thyroid Gland.

BACKGROUND: Inadvertent injury of the recurrent laryngeal nerve can occur during radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of thyroid nodules. Methods to avoid permanent injury have not been described. Laryngeal ultrasonography (LUSG) can assess the function of vocal cords (VCs) in real time. The present study aimed to evaluate the feasibility and accuracy of LUSG in assessing real-time VC function during RFA of benign thyroid nodules. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing RFA for benign thyroid nodules under local anesthesia were included. Spontaneous VC movements were checked with intra-operative LUSG (iLUSG) following each transverse ablation plane. In case of reduced VC movement, the ablation was stopped immediately. Post-ablation VC function was rechecked by LUSG on day-0 and flexible laryngoscopy (FL) on day-7. A concordance with day-0 LUSG or day-7 FL was a "true positive" or "true negative" depending on the presence or absence of VC palsy (VCP). Accuracy was calculated as the sum of all true positives and negatives divided by total nerves-at-risk. RESULTS: Of 65 eligible patients, 56 (86.2%) were females. Twelve (18.5%) patients had bilateral lobe RFA, while 53 (81.5%) had unilateral RFA. The total number of nerves-at-risk was 77. Three unilateral VCPs (3.9%) were initially detected on iLUSG and confirmed by day-0 LUSG. All recovered fully within one week. The overall accuracy of iLUSG was 100%. CONCLUSION: iLUSG is a highly accurate method that permits real-time feedback on the function of the VCs during RFA procedure. Real-time detection of VCP may prevent permanent injury. Methodological routine use of iLUSG is recommended during thyroid RFA.

Safety and Efficacy of Single-Session Radiofrequency Ablation Treatment for Benign Non-toxic Multinodular Goiter.

BACKGROUND: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is an effective treatment for benign thyroid nodules. However, it remains unclear if ablating multiple nodules in single-session offers comparable safety and efficacy to ablating single nodule. Our study compared early complication rate and 6-month nodule shrinkage between multiple-nodules ablation and single-nodule ablation by RFA. METHODS: Among the 174 eligible patients undergoing RFA of one or more benign thyroid nodules, 85 (48.8%) had single-nodule ablation (group I) while 89 (51.1%) had two or three nodules ablation (group II). The 6-month nodule shrinkage of each nodule (by volume reduction ratio) (VRR) was calculated by (Baseline volume - volume at 6-month)/(Baseline volume)*100 and compared between two groups. To determine independent predictors for VRR, a multivariate analysis was done by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Patients in group II reported significantly higher pain scores during and 2-h after treatment than group I (42.31 vs. 29.66, p = 0.029 and 38.21 vs. 26.18, p = 0.037, respectively). Two vocal cord paresis occurred in each group. 3- and 6-month VRR of the largest nodule were comparable between two groups (67.39% vs. 63.89%, p = 0.248 and 77.29% vs. 73.38%, p = 0.182). Similar 3- and 6-month VRR were observed for 2 and 3 largest nodules in group II. In multivariate analysis, total energy given per nodule volume (OR = 1.007, 95% CI = 1.001-1.012, p = 0.036) was the only independent predictor for 6-month VRR. CONCLUSION: In the presence of multinodular goiter, ablating two or more nodules by RFA within one session appears to offer a comparable level of safety and efficacy to ablating single nodule.

Burden, epidemiology, and outcomes of microbiologically confirmed respiratory viral infections in solid organ transplant recipients: a nationwide, multi-season prospective cohort study.

Solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients are exposed to respiratory viral infection (RVI) during seasonal epidemics; however, the associated burden of disease has not been fully characterized. We describe the epidemiology and outcomes of RVI in a cohort enrolling 3294 consecutive patients undergoing SOT from May 2008 to December 2015 in Switzerland. Patient and allograft outcomes, and RVI diagnosed during routine clinical practice were prospectively collected. Median follow-up was 3.4 years (interquartile range 1.61-5.56). Six hundred ninety-six RVIs were diagnosed in 151/334 (45%) lung and 265/2960 (9%) non-lung transplant recipients. Cumulative incidence was 60% (95% confidence interval [CI] 53%-69%) in lung and 12% (95% CI 11%-14%) in non-lung transplant recipients. RVI led to 17.9 (95% CI 15.7-20.5) hospital admissions per 1000 patient-years. Intensive care unit admission was required in 4% (27/691) of cases. Thirty-day all-cause case fatality rate was 0.9% (6/696). Using proportional hazard models we found that RVI (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.45; 95% CI 1.62-3.73), lower respiratory tract RVI (aHR 3.45; 95% CI 2.15-5.52), and influenza (aHR 3.57; 95% CI 1.75-7.26) were associated with graft failure or death. In this cohort of SOT recipients, RVI caused important morbidity and may affect long-term outcomes, underlying the need for improved preventive strategies.

Outcomes of Graves' Disease Patients Following Antithyroid Drugs, Radioactive Iodine, or Thyroidectomy as the First-line Treatment.

BACKGROUND: The long-term outcomes of first-line choice among ATD, RAI, and thyroidectomy for GD patients remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: To compare the long-term morbidity, mortality, relapse, and costs of GD patients receiving first-line treatment. METHODS: A population-based retrospective cohort of GD patients initiating first-line treatment with ATD, RAI, or thyroidectomy as a first-line primary treatment between 2006 and 2018 from Hong Kong Hospital Authority was analyzed. Risks of all-cause mortality, CVD, AF, psychological disease, diabetes, and hypertension were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The 10-year healthcare costs, change of comorbidities, and risk of relapse were compared across treatments. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 90 months with 47,470 person-years, 6385 patients (ATD, 74.93%; RAI, 19.95%; thyroidectomy, 5.12%) who received first-line treatment for GD were analyzed. Compared with ATD group, patients who had undergone surgery had significantly lower risks of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.363, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.332-0.396], CVD (HR = 0.216, 95% CI = 0.195-0.239), AF (HR = 0.103, 95% CI = 0.085-0.124), psychological disease (HR = 0.279, 95% CI = 0.258-0.301), diabetes (HR = 0.341, 95% CI = 0.305-0.381), and hypertension (HR = 0.673, 95% CI = 0.632-0.718). Meanwhile, RAI group was also associated with decreased risks of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.931, 95% CI = 0.882-0.982), CVD (HR = 0.784, 95% CI = 0.742-0.828), AF (HR = 0.622, 95% CI = 0.578-0.67), and psychological disease (HR = 0.895, 95% CI = 0.855-0.937). The relapse rate was 2.41% in surgery, 75.60% in ATD, and 19.53% in RAI group. The surgery group was observed with a significant lower Charlson Comorbidity Index score than the other 2 groups at the tenth-year follow-up. The mean 10-year cumulative healthcare costs in ATD, RAI, and surgery group was US$23915, US$24260, and US$20202, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: GD patients who received surgery as an initial treatment appeared to have lower chances of all-cause mortality, CVD, AF, psychological disease, diabetes, and hypertension in the long-term when compared to those treated with ATD or RAI. The surgery group had the lowest relapse and direct healthcare costs among the 3 treatment modalities. This long-term cohort study suggested surgery may have a larger role to play as an initial treatment for GD patients.

Evaluating key characteristics of ideal colorectal cancer screening modalities: the microsimulation approach.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) can effectively reduce CRC incidence and mortality. Besides colonoscopy, tests for the detection of biomarkers in stool, blood, or serum, including the fecal immunochemical test (FIT), ColoGuard, Epi proColon, and PolypDx, have recently been advanced. We aimed to identify the characteristics of theoretic, highly efficient screening tests and calculated the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of available screening tests. METHODS: Using the microsimulation-based colon modeling open-source tool (CMOST), we simulated 142,501 theoretic screening tests with variable assumptions for adenoma and carcinoma sensitivity, specificity, test frequency, and adherence, and we identified highly efficient tests outperforming colonoscopy. For available screening tests, we simulated 10 replicates of a virtual population of 2 million individuals, using epidemiologic characteristics and costs assumptions of the United States. RESULTS: Highly efficient theoretic screening tests were characterized by high sensitivity for advanced adenoma and carcinoma and high patient adherence. All simulated available screening tests were effective at 100% adherence to screening and at expected real-world adherence rates. All tests were cost effective below the threshold of 100,000 U.S. dollars per life year gained. With perfect adherence, FIT was the most effective and cost-efficient intervention, whereas Epi proColon was the most effective at expected real-world adherence rates. In our sensitivity analysis, assumptions for patient adherence had the strongest impact on effectiveness of screening. CONCLUSIONS: Our microsimulation study identified characteristics of highly efficient theoretic screening tests and confirmed the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of colonoscopy and available urine-, blood-, and stool-based tests. Better patient adherence results in superior effectiveness for CRC prevention in the whole population.

Predicting colorectal cancer risk from adenoma detection via a two-type branching process model.

Despite advances in the modeling and understanding of colorectal cancer development, the dynamics of the progression from benign adenomatous polyp to colorectal carcinoma are still not fully resolved. To take advantage of adenoma size and prevalence data in the National Endoscopic Database of the Clinical Outcomes Research Initiative (CORI) as well as colorectal cancer incidence and size data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, we construct a two-type branching process model with compartments representing adenoma and carcinoma cells. To perform parameter inference we present a new large-size approximation to the size distribution of the cancer compartment and validate our approach on simulated data. By fitting the model to the CORI and SEER data, we learn biologically relevant parameters, including the transition rate from adenoma to cancer. The inferred parameters allow us to predict the individualized risk of the presence of cancer cells for each screened patient. We provide a web application which allows the user to calculate these individual probabilities at https://ccrc-eth.shinyapps.io/CCRC/. For example, we find a 1 in 100 chance of cancer given the presence of an adenoma between 10 and 20mm size in an average risk patient at age 50. We show that our two-type branching process model recapitulates the early growth dynamics of colon adenomas and cancers and can recover epidemiological trends such as adenoma prevalence and cancer incidence while remaining mathematically and computationally tractable.