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Pediatr Transplant ; 24(7): e13779, 2020 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32720748

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: PELD scores are used to reduce waitlist mortality, but they do not accurately predict likelihood of prolonged length-of-stay or higher costs associated with it. This study aims to create a pediatric length-of-stay (LOS) index to predict increased risk of prolonged stay following liver transplantation. METHODS: The scoring system generated predicts length-of-stay following pediatric liver transplantation. With univariate and multivariate analyses on data from 5669 pediatric liver transplant recipients, independent recipient/donor risk factors for prolonged stay (>30 days) were identified. Multiple imputations accounted for missing variables. RESULTS: The most significant factors were ICU admission (OR 2.92, CI 2.27-3.75), recipient bilirubin >32 (OR 2.35, CI 1.70-3.25), and hemodialysis 1 week before transplantation (OR 2.27, CI 1.57-3.27). The LOS index assigns weighted scoring points to factors to predict prolonged stay (C-statistic of .72). The index demonstrated discrimination across the population after dividing it into quartiles for prolonged stay. CONCLUSIONS: The pediatric LOS index, utilizing 13 donor/recipient factors, can assess the risk for pediatric liver transplantation prolonged stay. Important predictive factors are hemodialysis, ICU admission, recipient weight and bilirubin, and recipient life support status.


Asunto(s)
Tiempo de Internación/tendencias , Trasplante de Hígado , Donantes de Tejidos , Receptores de Trasplantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Periodo Posoperatorio , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Listas de Espera/mortalidad , Adulto Joven
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