Impact on Survival of Early Versus Late Initiation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy After Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Surgery: A Target Trial Emulation.

BACKGROUND: We examined the impact of early (0-4 weeks after discharge) versus late (> 4-8 weeks after discharge) initiation of adjuvant chemotherapy on pancreatic adenocarcinoma survival. METHODS: We used Danish population-based healthcare registries to emulate a hypothetical target trial using the clone-censor-weight approach. All eligible patients were cloned with one clone assigned to 'early initiation' and one clone assigned to 'late initiation'. Clones were censored when the assigned treatment was no longer compatible with the actual treatment. Informative censoring was addressed using inverse probability of censoring weighting. RESULTS: We included 1491 patients in a hypothetical target trial, of whom 32.3% initiated chemotherapy within 0-4 weeks and 38.3% between > 4 and 8 weeks after discharge for pancreatic adenocarcinoma surgery; 206 (13.8%) initiated chemotherapy after > 8 weeks, and 232 (15.6%) did not initiate chemotherapy. Median overall survival was 30.4 and 29.9 months in late and early initiators, respectively. The absolute differences in OS, comparing late with early initiators, were 3.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] - 1.5%, 7.9%), - 0.7% (95% CI - 7.2%, 5.8%), and 3.2% (95% CI - 2.8%, 9.3%) at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Late initiators had a higher increase in albumin levels as well as higher pretreatment albumin values. CONCLUSIONS: Postponement of adjuvant chemotherapy up to 8 weeks after discharge from pancreatic adenocarcinoma surgery is safe and may allow more patients to receive adjuvant therapy due to better recovery.

Effect of adjuvant chemotherapy after pancreatectomy in patients with node-negative pancreatic cancer: target trial emulation.

BACKGROUND: The effect of adjuvant therapy in node-negative pancreatic cancer is uncertain. The aim of this study was to estimate the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival after surgery for pancreatic cancer in patients with node-negative (pN0) and node-positive (pN+) disease using target trial emulation. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study emulating a hypothetical RCT by the clone-censor-weight approach using population-based Danish healthcare registries. The study included Danish patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for pancreatic cancer during 2008-2021, who were discharged alive no more than 4 weeks after surgery. At the time of discharge after surgery, the data for each patient were duplicated; one copy was assigned to the adjuvant chemotherapy strategy and the other to the no adjuvant chemotherapy strategy of the hypothetical trial. Copies were censored when the assigned treatment was no longer compatible with the observed treatment. To account for informative censoring, uncensored patients were weighted according to measured confounders. The primary outcomes were absolute difference in 2-year survival and median overall survival, comparing adjuvant with no adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: Some 424 patients with pN0 and 953 with pN+ disease were included. Of these, 62.0 and 74.6% respectively initiated adjuvant chemotherapy within the 8-week grace period. Among patients with pN0 tumours, the difference in 2-year survival between those with and without adjuvant therapy was -2.2 (95% c.i. -11.8 to 7.4)%. In those with pN+ disease, the difference in 2-year survival was 9.9 (1.6 to 18.1)%. Median overall survival was 24.9 (i.q.r. 12.8-49.4) and 15.0 (8.0-34.0) months for patients having adjuvant and no adjuvant therapy respectively. CONCLUSION: In a target trial emulation using observational data, adjuvant chemotherapy did not improve survival after surgery for node-negative pancreatic cancer.

Beta-blocker use and survival after pancreatic cancer surgery: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: We examined the association between use of beta-blockers and survival in pancreatic cancer patients after curative-intent surgery. METHODS: Using Danish healthcare registries, we conducted a population-based cohort study of all patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for pancreatic cancer in Denmark 1997-2021. We defined beta-blocker use according to exposure before surgery as current (≤90 days), recent (91-365 days), or former (366-730 days) use, requiring at least one filled prescription. Patients were followed from the date of surgery for up to 5 years. We used Cox regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs) of deaths with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for age, sex, year of diagnosis, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, liver disease, alcohol, and smoking. We also conducted an active comparator analysis, where we used angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin-receptor blockers as comparators instead of nonusers. RESULTS: We included 2592 patients, of which 16.7% were beta-blocker users. Median survival for the entire population was 24.4 months. Beta-blocker use was associated with increased mortality (adjusted HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.04-1.34). This was evident in current (adjusted HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.02-1.38) and recent (adjusted HR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.04-1.59) but not former (adjusted HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.64-1.43) users. In the active comparator analysis, the association between beta-blocker exposure and mortality attenuated slightly (adjusted HR: 1.12; 95% CI: 0.93-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: We observed an association between beta-blocker use and increased mortality in patients operated for pancreatic cancer. Findings are likely explained by confounding by indication.

High resection rates of colorectal liver metastases after standardized follow-up and multimodal management: an outcome study within the COLOFOL trial.

BACKGROUND: Outcome after colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) resection has improved over time, despite increased resection rates. Hence, it's crucial to identify all patients possible to treat with curative intent. The objectives of this study were to map recurrence pattern, treatment strategy and survival depending on treatment and follow-up strategy. METHODS: In the COLOFOL-trial, patients with radically resected stage II-III colorectal cancer were randomized to high-frequency (6, 12, 18, 24 and 36 months; HF) or low-frequency (12 and 36 months; LF) follow-up. In this study, all CRLM within 5 years were identified and medical files scrutinized. Overall survival (OS) was analysed in uni- and multivariable analyses. Primary endpoint was 5-year OS. RESULTS: Of 2442 patients, 235 (9.6%) developed metachronous CRLM of which 123 (52.3%) underwent treatment with curative intent, resulting in 5-year OS of 58%. Five-year OS for patients with CRLM was 43% after HF versus 24% after LF. The survival benefit was confirmed for HF 8 years from resection of the primary tumour, HR 0.63 (CI 0.46-0.85). CONCLUSION: A high proportion of metachronous CRLM was possible to treat with curative intent, yielding high survival rates. More intense follow-up after colorectal cancer resection might be of value in high-risk patients.

Circulating tumor DNA for prognosis assessment and postoperative management after curative-intent resection of colorectal liver metastases.

The recurrence rate of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) patients treated with curative intent is above 50%. Standard of care surveillance includes intensive computed tomographic (CT) imaging as well as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) measurements. Nonetheless, relapse detection often happens too late to resume curative treatment. This longitudinal cohort study enrolled 115 patients with plasma samples (N = 439) prospectively collected before surgery, postoperatively at day 30 and every third month for up to 3 years. Droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) was used to monitor serial plasma samples for somatic mutations. Assessment of ctDNA status either immediately after surgery, or serially during surveillance, stratified the patients into groups of high and low recurrence risk (hazard ratio [HR], 7.6; 95% CI, 3.0-19.7; P < .0001; and HR, 4.3; 95% CI, 2.3-8.1; P < .0001, respectively). The positive predictive value (PPV) of ctDNA was 100% in all postoperative analyses. In multivariable analyses, postoperative ctDNA status was the only consistently significant risk marker associated with relapse (P < .0001). Indeterminate CT findings were observed for 30.8% (21/68) of patients. All patients (9/21) that were ctDNA positive at the time of the indeterminate CT scan later relapsed, contrasting 42.6% (5/12) of those ctDNA negative (P = .0046). Recurrence diagnoses in patients with indeterminate CT findings were delayed (median 2.8 months, P < .0001). ctDNA status is strongly associated with detection of minimal residual disease and early detection of relapse. Furthermore, ctDNA status can potentially contribute to clinical decision-making in case of indeterminate CT findings, reducing time-to-intervention.

Disparity in use of modern combination chemotherapy associated with facility type influences survival of 2655 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

AIM: Academic and high volume hospitals have better outcome for pancreatic cancer (PC) surgery, but there are no reports on oncological treatment. We aimed to determine the influence of facility types on overall survival (OS) after treatment with chemotherapy for inoperable PC. MATERIAL AND METHODS: 2,657 patients were treated in Denmark from 2012 to 2018 and registered in the Danish Pancreatic Cancer Database. Facilities were classified as either secondary oncological units or comprehensive, tertiary referral cancer centers. RESULTS: The average yearly number of patients seen at the four tertiary facilities was 71, and 31 at the four secondary facilities. Patients at secondary facilities were older, more frequently had severe comorbidity and lived in non-urban municipalities. As compared to combination chemotherapy, monotherapy with gemcitabine was used more often (59%) in secondary facilities than in tertiary (34%). The unadjusted median OS was 7.7 months at tertiary and 6.1 months at secondary facilities. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.16 (confidence interval 1.07-1.27) demonstrated an excess risk of death for patients treated at secondary facilities, which disappeared when taking type of chemotherapy used into account. Hence, more use of combination chemotherapy was associated with the observed improved OS of patients treated at tertiary facilities. Declining HR's per year of first treatment indicated improved outcomes with time, however the difference among facility types remained significant. DISCUSSION: Equal access to modern combination chemotherapy at all facilities on a national level is essential to ensure equality in treatment results.

Intra-observer agreements in multidisciplinary team assessments of pancreatic cancer patients.

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: Treatment strategies for pancreatic cancer patients are made by a multidisciplinary team (MDT) board. We aimed to assess intra-observer variance at MDT boards. Participating units staged, assessed resectability, and made treatment allocations for the same patients as they did two years earlier. We disseminated clinical information and CT images of pancreatic cancer patients judged by one MDT board to have nonmetastatic pancreatic cancer to the participating units. All units were asked to re-assess the TNM stage, resectability, and treatment allocation for each patient. To assess intra-observer variance, we computed %-agreements for each participating unit, defined as low (<50%), moderate (50%-75%), and high (>75%) agreement. RESULTS: Eighteen patients were re-assessed by six MDT boards. The overall agreement was moderate for TNM-stage (ranging from 50%-70%) and resectability assessment (53%) but low for treatment allocation (46%). Agreement on resectability assessments was low to moderate. Findings were similar but more pronounced for treatment allocation. We observed a shift in treatment strategy towards increasing use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, particularly in patients with borderline resectable and locally advanced tumors. CONCLUSIONS: We found substantial intra-observer agreement variations across six different MDT boards of 18 pancreatic cancer patients with two years between the first and second assessment.

Statins and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis: A Danish nationwide population-based cohort study.

Statins (HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors) have antiinflammatory and possibly anticancer properties. We hypothesized that statin use is associated with lower risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis. This nationwide population-based cohort study included all Danish patients diagnosed with incident chronic pancreatitis from 1 January 1996 to 31 December 2012. We used the Danish National Prescription Registry to ascertain information on statin prescriptions for members of the study population before and after their pancreatitis diagnosis. We computed crude incidence rates, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pancreatic cancer, comparing statin users with nonusers. We computed HRs using Cox proportional hazards regression with statins treated as a time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic status and individual comorbidities. The study included 8,311 chronic pancreatitis patients with a median age of 54 years. We observed 153 pancreatic cancers during 60,365 person-years of follow-up. The unadjusted IRR comparing statin users with nonusers was 1.00 (95% CI: 0.60-1.60). Adjustment for potential confounders only had a small impact on the estimate (adjusted HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.56-1.44). Our findings suggest that statin use is not associated with pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Acute pancreatitis: 31-Year trends in incidence and mortality - A Danish population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Objectives: Increasing incidence rates and declining mortality rates have made acute pancreatitis a common cause of hospitalization. We aimed to examine 31-year trends in first-time hospitalization for acute pancreatitis, the subsequent short-term and long-term mortality, and the prognostic impacts of age, sex, and comorbidity. METHODS: In this nationwide Danish population-based cohort study of 47,711 incident cases, we computed the annual sex-specific age-standardized incidence rates of acute pancreatitis for 1988-2018. Among patients with incident hospitalization for acute pancreatitis, we computed sex-specific 30-day and 31-365-day mortality rates, stratified them, and performed proportional-hazards regression to estimate mortality rate ratios adjusted for sex, age, and comorbidity, measured by Charlson Comorbidity Index categories. RESULTS: From 1988 to 2018, the standardized incidence rate of acute pancreatitis per 100,000 person-years increased by 29% for men (28.8-37.0%) and by 148% for women (15.7-38.9%). Among patients with pancreatitis, the 30-day mortality declined from 10.0% in those diagnosed in 1988-1992 to 6.3% for those diagnosed in 2013-2017. The corresponding 31-365 day mortality increased from 5.5% to 6.0%. In comparing periods 1988-1992 and 2013-17, the adjusted 30-day mortality rate ratio was 0.36 (95% confidence interval: 0.32-0.41) and the adjusted 31-365 day mortality rate ratio was 0.64 (95% confidence interval: 0.56-0.74). Comorbidity was a strong predictor of mortality among patients with pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS: Over the 31 years of observations, annual rates of acute pancreatitis more than doubled among women, converging with those among men. The comorbidity burden was a strong prognostic factor for short and long-term mortality. Treatments for acute pancreatitis should focus on existing comorbidities.

Positive predictive value of acute and chronic pancreatitis diagnoses in the Danish National Patient Registry: A validation study.

Aims: To examine the validity of the diagnoses of acute and chronic pancreatitis registered in the Danish National Patient Registry. Methods: We identified all patients in the Danish National Patient Registry admitted to two Danish hospitals with acute or chronic pancreatitis from 1996 to 2013. From this population, we randomly sampled 100 patients with acute pancreatitis and 100 patients with chronic pancreatitis. For each cohort, we computed the positive predictive values and associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the discharge diagnosis of acute or chronic pancreatitis using medical records as the gold standard. Results: We identified 2617 patients with acute pancreatitis and 1284 patients with chronic pancreatitis discharged from either of the two hospitals during the study period. Of these, 776 (19.9%) had a diagnosis of both acute and chronic pancreatitis and are thus present in both cohorts. From the 200 sampled patients, a total of 138 (69.0%) medical records were available for review. The positive predictive value for a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis in the Danish National Patient Registry was 97.3% (95% CI 90.5-99.2%) and for chronic pancreatitis 83.1% (95% CI 72.2-90.3%). Conclusions: The validity of diagnoses of acute and chronic pancreatitis registered in the Danish National Patient Registry since 1996 is generally high.

Cholecystitis and risk of pancreatic, liver, and biliary tract cancer in patients undergoing cholecystectomy.

BACKGROUND: Cholecystitis before cholecystectomy may increase risk of cancers in the hepato-pancreato-biliary area. METHODS: A population-based cohort study of all patients undergoing cholecystectomy in Denmark during 1996-2015, using nationwide healthcare registries. We retrieved information on cholecystitis within two years before the date of surgery and information on pancreatic cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and biliary tract cancer. We examined cancer risk using a Cox model to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs). We also computed cumulative incidence functions with 95% CIs, comparing patients with and without cholecystitis before cholecystectomy. RESULTS: We included 132,794 patients, of which 73.0% were women. In the first five years of follow-up, we observed an increased risk of biliary tract cancer, but not pancreatic cancer or HCC, in patients with prior cholecystitis. After more than five years of follow-up, patients with prior cholecystitis had an increased risk of pancreatic cancer (adjusted HR: 1.26; 95% CI: 0.98-1.63) and possibly biliary tract cancer (adjusted HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 0.64-2.77). Long-term risk of HCC was decreased in patients with prior cholecystitis. For all cancers, the 20-year absolute risks were less than 1%. CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing cholecystectomy, prior cholecystitis was associated with increased risk of pancreatic and possibly biliary tract cancer.

Predictors of underlying pancreatic cancer in patients with acute pancreatitis: a Danish nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To identify demographic characteristics, comorbidities, medical procedures, and prescription drug use that may act as predictors of underlying pancreatic cancer in acute pancreatitis. METHODS: A cohort study of all patients admitted to Danish hospitals with incident acute pancreatitis during 1999-2015. The ability of age, sex, selected comorbidities, medical procedures, and prescription drug use to predict underlying pancreatic cancer in acute pancreatitis (i.e., pancreatic cancer diagnosed up to one year after acute pancreatitis) was examined. The absolute risk and odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of cancer was computed for each variable. RESULTS: 28,231 patients with incident acute pancreatitis, of which 283 (1.0%) had underlying pancreatic cancer, were included. Age >50 years was a predictor of pancreatic cancer with highest risk in patients aged 56-70 years. New-onset chronic pancreatitis (multivariable OR: 2.36 [95% CI: 1.35-4.14]) and new-onset diabetes (multivariable OR: 1.94 [95% CI: 1.30-2.92]) were also predictors of pancreatic cancer. Diagnoses of biliary or alcohol-related diseases were predictors of no underlying pancreatic cancer. Most variables examined had no or limited predictive ability. CONCLUSION: Age, new-onset chronic pancreatitis, new-onset diabetes, and absence of biliary or alcohol-related diseases were predictors of underlying pancreatic cancer in acute pancreatitis patients.

Antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis: a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Antihypertensives may inhibit pancreatic carcinogenesis. We examined the association between use of these drugs and pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide population-based cohort study of all chronic pancreatitis patients diagnosed in Denmark during 1996-2012. Using a Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year, we examined the risk of pancreatic cancer according to antihypertensive drug use. RESULTS: We included 8,311 patients with chronic pancreatitis and observed 153 pancreatic cancers during follow-up. At baseline, 2197 patients (26.4%) were exposed to at least one class of antihypertensive drugs. We did not observe any measurable associations between the use of antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest little evidence of an association between the use of antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis. Confirmation is warranted in future studies.

Perturbations of urea cycle enzymes during posthepatectomy rat liver failure.

Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) may occur after extended partial hepatectomy (PH). If malignancy is widespread in the liver, the size of PH and hence the size of the future liver remnant (FLR) may limit curability. We aimed to characterize differences in protein expression between different sizes of FLRs and identify proteins specific to the regenerative process of minimal-size FLR (MSFLR), with special focus on postoperative day (POD) 1 when PHLF is present. A total of 104 male Wistar rats were subjected to 30, 70, or 90% PH (MSFLR in rats), sham operation, or no operation. Blood and liver tissue were harvested at POD1, 3, and 5 (n = 8 per group). Protein expression was assessed by proteomic profiling by unsupervised two-dimensional polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (2D-PAGE) liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS), followed by supervised selected reaction monitoring (SRM)-MS/MS. In all, 1,035 protein spots were detected, 54 of which were significantly differentially expressed between groups and identifiable. During PHLF after PH(90%) at POD1, urea cycle and related proteins showed significant perturbations, including the urea cycle flux-regulating enzyme of carbamoyl phosphate synthase-1, ornithine transcarbamylase, and arginase-1, as well as the ornithine aminotransferase and propionyl-CoA carboxylase alpha chain. Plasma-ammonia increased significantly at POD1 after PH(90%), followed by a prompt decrease. At the protein level, we found perturbations of urea cycle and related enzymes in the MSFLR during PHLF. Our results suggest that these perturbations may augment urea cycle function, which may be pivotal for increased ammonia elimination after extensive PHs and potential PHLF.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is associated with high mortality. In a rat model of 90% hepatectomy, PHLF is present. Our results on liver tissue proteomics suggest that the ability of the liver remnant to sufficiently eliminate ammonia may be brought about by perturbation related to urea cycle proteins and that enhancing the urea cycle capacity may play a key role in surviving PHLF.

Acute Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Cancer Risk: A Nationwide Matched-Cohort Study in Denmark.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Acute pancreatitis may be a risk factor for pancreatic cancer; however, findings from studies on this association are conflicting. We investigated the association between acute pancreatitis and increased risk of pancreatic cancer. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study of all patients admitted to a hospital in Denmark with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis from January 1, 1980, through October 31, 2012. As many as 5 individuals from the general population without acute pancreatitis were matched for age and sex to each patient with acute pancreatitis. Pancreatic cancer risk was expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Cox models were stratified by age, sex, and year of pancreatitis diagnosis and adjusted for alcohol- and smoking-related conditions, and Charlson Comorbidity Index score. RESULTS: We included 41,669 patients diagnosed with incident acute pancreatitis and 208,340 comparison individuals. Patients with acute pancreatitis had an increased risk of pancreatic cancer compared with the age- and sex-matched general population throughout the follow-up period. The risk decreased over time but remained high after more than 5 years of follow-up (adjusted HR 2.02; 95% CI 1.57-2.61). Two- and 5-year absolute risks of pancreatic cancer among patients with acute pancreatitis were 0.70% (95% CI 0.62%-0.78%) and 0.87% (95% CI 0.78%-0.97), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study, we observed an association between a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis and long-term risk of pancreatic cancer.

The effect of postoperative gemcitabine on overall survival in patients with resected pancreatic cancer: A nationwide population-based Danish register study.

Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy following curative resection is the standard treatment for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PC). Randomized clinical trials using gemcitabine have shown a median overall survival (mOS) of 2 years and a 5-year survival rate of 15-20%. However, the effect of gemcitabine outside these trials is less clear. We examined the effect of postoperative gemcitabine on survival in an unselected cohort of patients receiving curative resection for PC in Denmark during a five-year period. Material and methods: From 1 May 2011 to 30 April 2016, 731 patients treated with curative resection were identified in the Danish Pancreatic Cancer Database (DPCD). Thirty patients died within 10 weeks postoperatively; 78 received other regimens or preoperative chemotherapy and were excluded. Of the remaining 623 patients, the chemotherapy (CT) group (n = 409, 66%) received gemcitabine within 10 weeks after resection, whereas the non-chemotherapy (NCT) group (n = 214, 34%) did not receive CT within 10 weeks. Results: CT patients were slightly younger than NCT patients but did not otherwise differ in baseline characteristics. The CT group showed a mOS of 24 months (95% CI; 21-27) and a 5-year survival rate of 22% (95% CI; 17-27); the NCT group had a mOS of 22 months (95% CI; 16-26, p = .27) and a 5-year survival rate of 26% (95% CI; 19-34, p = .66). Most patients (415/623) had lymph node metastases. Of these patients, those in the CT group (n = 280) had significantly longer mOS [20 months (95% CI; 18-24)] than those in the NCT group (n = 135) [14 months (95% CI; 11-17)]. Conclusions: In this national Danish cohort of PC patients undergoing resection between 2011 and 2016, the survival after postoperative gemcitabine was similar to that reported in previous clinical trials. However, the survival advantage of postoperative gemcitabine was limited to patients with lymph node metastases.

Metastasis directed therapy for liver and lung metastases from colorectal cancer-A population-based study.

About 10-20% of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) are candidates for metastasis directed therapies such as surgical resection, ablation and stereotactic radiotherapy. We examined the temporal changes in use of metastasis directed therapies and established prognostic factors for survival in a nationwide cohort study. The Danish nationwide medical registries were used to retrieve data on treatment for liver and/or lung metastasis in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer in the period 2000-2013. Overall survival through 2014 was calculated from the time of treatment of metastases by Kaplan-Meier method and mortality between groups was assessed using Cox regression. We report 2,912 patients undergoing a total of 3,602 procedures with an increased use of all modalities during 14 calendar years. Median survival was 3.7 years (interquartile range (IQR) 2.0-9.7 years). In the multivariate analysis, the nodal stage of the primary tumor had the most pronounced association with survival with a hazard ratio for mortality of 1.56 (95% CI: 1.33-1.83) for N2 stage with reference to N0. Furthermore, female gender, age, comorbidity, surgical treatment, administration of chemotherapy, and left-sided primary tumors were associated with improved prognosis in the multivariate analysis.

Adaptive growth changes in the liver remnant are affected by the size of hepatectomy in rats.

In this study we investigated the dynamics of hepatocyte hyperplasia and hypertrophy in rats subjected to increasing sizes of partial hepatectomy (PH). A total of 104 rats were randomized according to the size of PH. On postoperative days (PODs) 1, 3 and 5, blood was drawn and the remnant liver removed for stereological analysis. Liver parameters and regeneration rate were significantly affected by size of PH. On POD 1, hepatocyte volumes had increased significantly in all PH groups. On POD 3, all groups showed hepatocyte volumes approximating baseline. On POD 5, hepatocyte volumes were significantly lower in PH (90) than in baseline, sham and PH (30) rats. Increasing hepatocyte proliferation was not observed following PH (30). Following PH (70), cell proliferation was significantly elevated on PODs 1 and 3, and following PH (90) on PODs 3 and 5. In conclusion, general hypertrophy of hepatocytes after different size of PH was followed by hepatocyte proliferation only in the liver remnant of PH (70) and PH (90).

Diagnostic accuracy of CE-CT, MRI and FDG PET/CT for detecting colorectal cancer liver metastases in patients considered eligible for hepatic resection and/or local ablation.

PURPOSE: To compare the diagnostic performance of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and combined fluorodeoxyglucose/positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT) for detection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) in patients eligible for local treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This health-research ethics-committee-approved prospective consecutive diagnostic accuracy study, with written informed consent, included 80 cases (76 patients, four participating twice) between 29 June 2015 and 7 February 2017. Prior chemotherapy or local treatment did not exclude participation. Combined FDG-PET/CT including CE-CT and MRI was performed within 0-3 days shortly before local treatment. CE-CT and MRI images were read independently by two readers for each modality. The combined FDG-PET/CT images were read independently by two pairs of readers. A composite reference standard was used. Sensitivities, specificities and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCROC) were calculated and compared. RESULTS: In total, 260 CRLMs were confirmed. The MRI readers had significantly higher per-lesion sensitivity (85.9% and 83.8%) than both CE-CT readers (69.1% and 62.3%) and both PET/CT reader pairs (72.0% and 72.1%) (p<0.001). There were no significant differences in per-lesion specificity. MRI readers had significantly higher AUCROC (0.92 and 0.88) than both CE-CT readers (0.80 and 0.82) (p≤0.001). AUCROC for MR reader 1 was higher than that of both PET/CT reader pairs (0.83 and 0.84) (p≤0.0001). CONCLUSION: MRI performed significantly better than both CE-CT and combined FDG-PET/CT for detection of CRLM in consecutive patients eligible for local treatment irrespective of prior chemotherapy or local treatment. KEY POINTS: • Patients eligible for local treatment of colorectal liver-metastases require optimal imaging. • In 80 consecutive patients, MRI had superior per lesion diagnostic performance. • Findings were independent of prior treatment and type of planned local treatment. • Equally, MRI had superior diagnostic performance on per segment basis.

Chronic Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Cancer Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Chronic pancreatitis is a putative risk factor for pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to examine the magnitude and temporality of this association. We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE for observational studies investigating the association between chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer. We computed overall effect estimates (EEs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using a random-effects meta-analytic model. The EEs were stratified by length of follow-up from chronic pancreatitis diagnosis to pancreatic cancer (lag period). Robustness of the results was examined in sensitivity analyses. We identified 13 eligible studies. Pooled EEs for pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis were 16.16 (95% CI: 12.59-20.73) for patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer within 2 years from their chronic pancreatitis diagnosis. The risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis decreased when the lag period was increased to 5 years (EE: 7.90; 95% CI: 4.26-14.66) or a minimum of 9 years (EE: 3.53; 95% CI: 1.69-7.38). In conclusion, chronic pancreatitis increases the risk of pancreatic cancer, but the association diminishes with long-term follow-up. Five years after diagnosis, chronic pancreatitis patients have a nearly eight-fold increased risk of pancreatic cancer. We suggest that common practice on inducing a 2-year lag period in these studies may not be sufficient. We also recommend a close follow-up in the first years following a diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis to avoid overlooking a pancreatic cancer.