Interpretable artificial intelligence to optimise use of imatinib after resection in patients with localised gastrointestinal stromal tumours: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend use of adjuvant imatinib therapy for many patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GISTs); however, its optimal treatment duration is unknown and some patient groups do not benefit from the therapy. We aimed to apply state-of-the-art, interpretable artificial intelligence (ie, predictions or prescription logic that can be easily understood) methods on real-world data to establish which groups of patients with GISTs should receive adjuvant imatinib, its optimal treatment duration, and the benefits conferred by this therapy. METHODS: In this observational cohort study, we considered for inclusion all patients who underwent resection of primary, non-metastatic GISTs at the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC; New York, NY, USA) between Oct 1, 1982, and Dec 31, 2017, and who were classified as intermediate or high risk according to the Armed Forces Institute of Pathology Miettinen criteria and had complete follow-up data with no missing entries. A counterfactual random forest model, which used predictors of recurrence (mitotic count, tumour size, and tumour site) and imatinib duration to infer the probability of recurrence at 7 years for a given patient under each duration of imatinib treatment, was trained in the MSKCC cohort. Optimal policy trees (OPTs), a state-of-the-art interpretable AI-based method, were used to read the counterfactual random forest model by training a decision tree with the counterfactual predictions. The OPT recommendations were externally validated in two cohorts of patients from Poland (the Polish Clinical GIST Registry), who underwent GIST resection between Dec 1, 1981, and Dec 31, 2011, and from Spain (the Spanish Group for Research in Sarcomas), who underwent resection between Oct 1, 1987, and Jan 30, 2011. FINDINGS: Among 1007 patients who underwent GIST surgery in MSKCC, 117 were included in the internal cohort; for the external cohorts, the Polish cohort comprised 363 patients and the Spanish cohort comprised 239 patients. The OPT did not recommend imatinib for patients with GISTs of gastric origin measuring less than 15·9 cm with a mitotic count of less than 11·5 mitoses per 5 mm2 or for those with small GISTs (<5·4 cm) of any site with a count of less than 11·5 mitoses per 5 mm2. In this cohort, the OPT cutoffs had a sensitivity of 92·7% (95% CI 82·4-98·0) and a specificity of 33·9% (22·3-47·0). The application of these cutoffs in the two external cohorts would have spared 38 (29%) of 131 patients in the Spanish cohort and 44 (35%) of 126 patients in the Polish cohort from unnecessary treatment with imatinib. Meanwhile, the risk of undertreating patients in these cohorts was minimal (sensitivity 95·4% [95% CI 89·5-98·5] in the Spanish cohort and 92·4% [88·3-95·4] in the Polish cohort). The OPT tested 33 different durations of imatinib treatment (<5 years) and found that 5 years of treatment conferred the most benefit. INTERPRETATION: If the identified patient subgroups were applied in clinical practice, as many as a third of the current cohort of candidates who do not benefit from adjuvant imatinib would be encouraged to not receive imatinib, subsequently avoiding unnecessary toxicity on patients and financial strain on health-care systems. Our finding that 5 years is the optimal duration of imatinib treatment could be the best source of evidence to inform clinical practice until 2028, when a randomised controlled trial with the same aims is expected to report its findings. FUNDING: National Cancer Institute.

Blue Ribbon Committee I Review: Findings and Impact.

OBJECTIVE: Review the subsequent impact of recommendations made by the 2004 American Surgical Association Blue Ribbon Committee (BRC I) Report on Surgical Education. BACKGROUND: Current leaders of the American College of Surgeons and the American Surgical Association convened an expert panel to review the impact of the BRC I report and make recommendations for future improvements in surgical education. METHODS: BRC I members reviewed the 2004 recommendations in light of the current status of surgical education. RESULTS: Some of the recommendations of BRC I have gained traction and have been implemented. There is a well-organized national curriculum and numerous educational offerings. There has been greater emphasis on preparing faculty to teach and there are ample opportunities for professional advancement as an educator. The number of residents has grown, although not at a pace to meet the country's needs either by total number or geographic distribution. The number of women in the profession has increased. There is greater awareness and attention to resident (and faculty) well-being. The anticipated radical change in the educational scheme has not been adopted. Training in surgical research still depends on the resources and interests of individual programs. Financing student and graduate medical education remains a challenge. CONCLUSIONS: The medical landscape has changed considerably since BRC I published its findings in 2005. A contemporary assessment of surgical education and training is needed to meet the future needs of the profession and our patients.

Patient metabolic profile defined by liver and muscle 18F-FDG PET avidity is independently associated with overall survival in gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: PET-CT-based patient metabolic profiling is a novel concept to incorporate patient-specific metabolism into gastric cancer care. METHODS: Staging PET-CTs, demographics, and clinicopathologic variables of gastric cancer patients were obtained from a prospectively maintained institutional database. PET-CT avidity was measured in tumor, liver, spleen, four paired muscles, and two paired fat areas in each patient. The liver to rectus femoris (LRF) ratio was defined as the ratio of SUVmean of liver to the average SUVmean of the bilateral rectus femoris muscles. Kaplan-Meier and Cox-proportional hazards models were used to identify the impact of LRF ratio on OS. RESULTS: Two hundred and one patients with distal gastroesophageal (48%) or gastric (52%) adenocarcinoma were included. Median age was 65 years, and 146 (73%) were male. On univariate analysis, rectus femoris PET-CT avidity and LRF ratio were significantly associated with overall survival (p < 0.05). LRF ratio was significantly higher in males, early-stage cancer, patients with an ECOG 0 or 1 performance status, patients with albumin > 3.5 mg/dL, and those with moderately differentiated tumor histology. In multivariable regression, gastric cancer stage, albumin, and LRF ratio were significant independent predictors of overall survival (LRF ratio HR = 0.73 (0.56-0.96); p = 0.024). Survival curves showed that the prognostic impact of LRF was associated with metastatic gastric cancer (p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated LRF ratio, a patient-specific PET-CT-based metabolic parameter, was independently associated with an improvement in OS in patients with metastatic gastric cancer. With prospective validation, LRF ratio may be a useful, host-specific metabolic parameter for prognostication in gastric cancer.

Unique Genomic Alterations and Microbial Profiles Identified in Patients With Gastric Cancer of African, European, and Asian Ancestry: A Novel Path for Precision Oncology.

OBJECTIVE: Here, we characterize differences in the genetic and microbial profiles of GC in patients of African (AFR), European, and Asian ancestry. BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer (GC) is a heterogeneous disease with clinicopathologic variations due to a complex interplay of environmental and biological factors, which may affect disparities in oncologic outcomes.. METHODS: We identified 1042 patients with GC with next-generation sequencing data from an institutional Integrated Mutation Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets assay and the Cancer Genomic Atlas group. Genetic ancestry was inferred from markers captured by the Integrated Mutation Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets and the Cancer Genomic Atlas whole exome sequencing panels. Tumor microbial profiles were inferred from sequencing data using a validated microbiome bioinformatics pipeline. Genomic alterations and microbial profiles were compared among patients with GC of different ancestries. RESULTS: We assessed 8023 genomic alterations. The most frequently altered genes were TP53 , ARID1A , KRAS , ERBB2 , and CDH1 . Patients of AFR ancestry had a significantly higher rate of CCNE1 alterations and a lower rate of KRAS alterations ( P < 0.05), and patients of East Asian ancestry had a significantly lower rate of PI3K pathway alterations ( P < 0.05) compared with other ancestries. Microbial diversity and enrichment did not differ significantly across ancestry groups ( P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Distinct patterns of genomic alterations and variations in microbial profiles were identified in patients with GC of AFR, European, and Asian ancestry. Our findings of variation in the prevalence of clinically actionable tumor alterations among ancestry groups suggest that precision medicine can mitigate oncologic disparities.

The African Research Group for Oncology: A decade fostering colorectal cancer research in Nigeria.

The African Research Group for Oncology (ARGO) was formed in 2013 to undertake methodologically rigorous cancer research in Nigeria, and to strengthen cancer research capacity in the country through training and mentorship of physicians, scientists, and other healthcare workers. Here, we describe how ARGO's work in colorectal cancer (CRC) has evolved over the past decade. This includes the consortium's scientific contributions to the understanding of CRC in Nigeria and globally and its research capacity-building program.

Five decades of sarcoma care at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center.

Early studies of the management of soft tissue sarcoma at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center were influenced by development of robust prospective long-term databases. Increasing capacity for molecular diagnostics has identified a myriad of subtypes with definable natural history. Accurate identification of tissue-specific risk of recurrence and disease-specific survival have increasingly allowed selective use of surgery, radiation therapy, and target-specific cytotoxic and immune therapies.

Fifty years of pancreas cancer care.

Resulting from 50 years of innovation, operations for pancreatic neoplasms can now be performed safely, albeit with significant but manageable morbidity. Molecular diagnosis has allowed for the identification of multiple distinct histopathologies with variable natural histories. Observation is now a strategy for selected indolent cysts and some neuroendocrine neoplasms. For ductal pancreatic adenocarcinoma, a long-term cure remains elusive and will require more than surgical resection for meaningful progress.

Histologic Subtype Defines the Risk and Kinetics of Recurrence and Death for Primary Extremity/Truncal Liposarcoma.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to define the prognostic significance of histologic subtype for extremity/truncal liposarcoma (LPS). BACKGROUND: LPS, the most common sarcoma, is comprised of 5 histologic subtypes. Despite their distinct behaviors, LPS outcomes are frequently reported as a single entity. METHODS: We analyzed data on all patients from a single-institution prospective database treated from July 1982 to September 2017 for primary, nonmetastatic, extremity or truncal LPS of known subtype. Clinicopathologic variables were tested using competing risk analyses for association with disease-specific death (DSD), distant recurrence (DR), and local recurrence (LR). RESULTS: Among 1001 patients, median follow-up in survivors was 5.4 years. Tumor size and subtype were independently associated with DSD and DR. Size, subtype, and R1 resection were independently associated with LR. DR was most frequent among pleomorphic and round cell LPS; the former recurred early (43% by 3 years), and the latter over a longer period (23%, 3 years; 37%, 10 years). LR was most common in dedifferentiated LPS, in which it occurred early (24%, 3 years; 33%, 5 years), followed by pleomorphic LPS (18%, 3 years; 25%, 10 years). CONCLUSIONS: Histologic subtype is the factor most strongly associated with DSD, DR, and LR in extremity/truncal LPS. Both risk and timing of adverse outcomes vary by subtype. These data may guide selective use of systemic therapy for patients with round cell and pleomorphic LPS, which carry a high risk of DR, and radiotherapy for LPS subtypes at high risk of LR when treated with surgery alone.

Outcome of 1000 Patients With Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor (GIST) Treated by Surgery in the Pre- and Post-imatinib Eras.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the results of surgery for gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) in the pre and post-imatinib eras at a single institution and to identify current prognostic clinicopathologic factors. BACKGROUND: Imatinib has radically changed the management of GIST, yet the magnitude of impact on outcome across the spectrum of GIST presentation and relevance of historical prognostic factors are not well defined. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 1000 patients who underwent surgery for GIST at our institution from 1982 to 2016. Patients were stratified by presentation status as primary tumor only (PRIM), primary with synchronous metastasis (PRIM + MET), or metachronous recurrence/metastases (MET), and also imatinib era (before and after it became available). Cox proportional-hazard models and Kaplan-Meier methods were used to model and estimate overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). RESULTS: OS was longer in the imatinib era compared with the pre-imatinib era in each presentation group, including in Miettinen high-risk primary tumors. Among PRIM patients from the pre-imatinib era, tumor site, size, and mitotic rate were independently associated with OS and RFS on multivariate analysis. PRIM patients in the imatinib era who received imatinib (neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant) had higher risk tumors, but after adjusting for treatment, only size >10 cm remained independently prognostic of RFS [hazard ratio (HR) 3.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.00-7.40, P < 0.0001) and OS (HR 3.37, 95% CI 1.60-7.13, P = 0.001)]. CONCLUSIONS: Patients treated in the imatinib era had prolonged OS across all presentations. In the imatinib era, among site, size, and mitotic rate, high-risk features were associated with treatment with the drug, but only size >10 cm correlated with outcome. Imatinib should still be prescribed for patients with high-risk features.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: Have IAP Consensus Guidelines Changed our Approach?: Results from a Multi-institutional Study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influence of consensus guidelines on the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and the subsequent changes in pathologic outcomes. BACKGROUND: Over time, multiple guidelines have been developed to identify high-risk IPMN. We hypothesized that the development and implementation of guidelines should have increased the percentage of resected IPMN with high-risk disease. METHODS: Memorial Sloan-Kettering (MSK), Johns Hopkins (JH), and Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) databases were queried for resected IPMN (2000-2015). Patients were categorized into main-duct (MD-IPMN) versus branch-duct (BD-IPMN). Guideline-specific radiographic/endoscopic features were recorded. High-risk disease was defined as high-grade dysplasia/carcinoma. Fisher's exact test was used to detect differences between institutions. Logistic regression evaluated differences between time-points [preguidelines (pre-GL, before 2006), Sendai (SCG, 2006-2012), Fukuoka (FCG, after 2012)]. RESULTS: The study included 1210 patients. The percentage of BD-IPMN with ≥1 high-risk radiographic feature differed between centers (MSK 69%, JH 60%, MGH 45%; P < 0.001). In MD-IPMN cohort, the presence of radiographic features such as solid component and main pancreatic duct diameter ≥10 mm also differed (solid component: MSK 38%, JH 30%, MGH 18%; P < 0.001; duct ≥10 mm: MSK 49%, JH 32%, MGH 44%; P < 0.001). The percentage of high-risk disease on pathology, however, was similar between institutions (BD-IPMN: P = 0.36, MD-IPMN: P = 0.48). During the study period, the percentage of BD-IPMN resected with ≥1 high-risk feature increased (52% pre-GL vs 67% FCG; P = 0.005), whereas the percentage of high-risk disease decreased (pre-GL vs FCG: 30% vs 20%). For MD-IPMN, there was not a clear trend towards guideline adherence, and the rate of high-risk disease was similar over the time (pre-GL vs FCG: 69% vs 67%; P = 0.63). CONCLUSION: Surgical management of IPMN based on radiographic criteria is variable between institutions, with similar percentages of high-risk disease. Over the 15-year study period, the rate of BD-IPMN resected with high-risk radiographic features increased; however, the rate of high-risk disease decreased. Better predictors are needed.

Prophylactic Lateral Neck Dissection for Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma is not Associated with Improved Survival.

BACKGROUND: Patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) often receive lateral lymph node dissection with total thyroidectomy when calcitonin levels are elevated, even in the absence of structural disease, but the effect of this intervention on disease-specific outcomes is not known. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients from 1986 to 2017 who underwent thyroidectomy with curative intent for MTC at our institution. The association of disease-specific survival and clinicopathologic features was examined using univariate and multivariate Cox regression. RESULTS: We identified 316 patients who underwent curative resection for MTC. Overall and disease-specific survival were 76% and 86%, respectively, at 10 years. To investigate the effect of prophylactic ipsilateral lateral lymph node dissection, we analyzed 89 patients without known structural disease in the neck lymph nodes at the time of resection and preoperative calcitonin > 200 pg/ml, of whom 45 had an ipsilateral lateral lymph node dissection (LND) and 44 did not. There were no differences in tumor size or preoperative calcitonin levels. There was no difference at 10 years in cumulative incidence of recurrence in the neck (20.9% LND vs. 30.4% no LND, p = 0.46), cumulative incidence of distant recurrence (18.3% vs. 18.4%, p = 0.97), disease-specific survival (86% vs. 93%, p = 0.53), or overall survival (82% vs. 90%, p = 0.6). CONCLUSION: Lateral neck dissection in the absence of clinical or radiologic abnormal lymph nodes is not associated with improved survival in patients with MTC.

Outcomes of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Clinical Stages 2 and 3 Gastric Cancer Patients: Analysis of Timing and Site of Recurrence.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyze timing and sites of recurrence for patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy for gastric cancer. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgical resection is the standard treatment for locally advanced gastric cancer in the West, but limited information exists as to timing and patterns of recurrence in this setting. METHODS: Patients with clinical stage 2 or 3 gastric cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by curative-intent resection between January 2000 and December 2015 were analyzed for 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) as well as timing and site of recurrence. RESULTS: Among 312 identified patients, 121 (38.8%) experienced recurrence during a median follow-up period of 46 months. The overall 5-year RFS rate was 58.9%, with RFS rates of 95.8% for ypT0N0, 81% for ypStage 1, 77.4% for ypStage 2, and 22.9% for ypStage 3. The first site of recurrence was peritoneal for 49.6%, distant (not peritoneal) for 45.5%, and locoregional for 11.6% of the patients. The majority of the recurrences (84.3%) occurred within 2 years. Multivariate analysis showed that ypT4 status was an independent predictor for recurrence within 1 year after surgery (odds ratio, 2.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-6.08; p = 0.030). CONCLUSIONS: The majority of the recurrences for patients with clinical stage 2 or 3 gastric cancer who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and underwent curative resection occurred within 2 years. After neoadjuvant chemotherapy, pathologic T stage was a useful risk predictor for early recurrence.

Detailed Analysis of Margin Positivity and the Site of Local Recurrence After Pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: The association between a positive surgical margin and local recurrence after resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has been reported. Assessment of the location of the a positive margin and the specific site of local recurrence has not been well described. METHODS: A prospectively maintained database was queried for patients who underwent R0/R1 pancreaticoduodenectomy for PDAC between 2000 and 2015. The pancreatic, posterior, gastric/duodenal, anterior peritoneal, and bile duct margins were routinely assessed. Postoperative imaging was reviewed for the site of first recurrence, and local recurrence was defined as recurrence located in the remnant pancreas, surgical bed, or retroperitoneal site outside the surgical bed. RESULTS: During the study period, 891 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy, and 390 patients had an initial local recurrence with or without distant metastases. The 5-year cumulative incidence of local recurrence by site included the remnant pancreas (4%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3-5%), the surgical bed (35%; 95% CI, 32-39%), and other regional retroperitoneal site (4%; 95% CI, 3-6%). In the univariate analysis, positive posterior margin (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50; 95% CI, 1.17-1.91; p = 0.001) and positive lymph nodes (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.06-1.75; p = 0.017) were associated with surgical bed recurrence, and in the multivariate analysis, positive posterior margin remained significant (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.09-1.81; p = 0.009). An isolated local recurrence was found in 197 patients, and a positive posterior margin was associated with surgical bed recurrence in this subgroup (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.08-2.10; p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: In this study, the primary association between site of margin positivity and site of local recurrence was between the posterior margin and surgical bed recurrence. Given this association and the limited ability to modify this margin intraoperatively, preoperative assessment should be emphasized.

Association of Obesity with Worse Operative and Oncologic Outcomes for Patients Undergoing Gastric Cancer Resection.

BACKGROUND: How obesity has an impact on operative and oncologic outcomes for gastric cancer patients is unclear, and the influence of obesity on response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has not been evaluated. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative gastrectomy for primary gastric cancer between 2000 and 2018 were retrospectively identified. After stratification for NAC, operative morbidity, mortality, overall survival (OS), and disease-specific survival (DSS) were compared among three body mass index (BMI) categories: normal BMI (< 25 kg/m2), mild obesity (25-35 kg/m2), and severe obesity (≥ 35 kg/m2). RESULTS: During the study period, 984 patients underwent upfront surgery, and 484 patients received NAC. Tumor stage did not differ among the BMI groups. However, the rates of pathologic response to NAC were significantly lower for the patients with severe obesity (10% vs 40%; p < 0.001). Overall complications were more frequent among the obese patients (44.3% for obese vs 24.9% for normal BMI, p < 0.001). Intraabdominal infections were also more frequent in obese patients (13.9% for obese vs 4.7% for normal BMI, p = 0.001). In the upfront surgery cohort, according to the BMI, OS and DSS did not differ, whereas in the NAC cohort, severe obesity was independently associated with worse OS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.87; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-3.48; p = 0.047] and disease-specific survival (DSS) (HR 2.08; 95% CI 1.07-4.05; p = 0.031). CONCLUSION: For the gastric cancer patients undergoing curative gastrectomy, obesity was associated with significantly lower rates of pathologic response to NAC and more postoperative complications, as well as shorter OS and DSS for the patients receiving NAC.

A comprehensive weight of evidence assessment of published acetaminophen genotoxicity data: Implications for its carcinogenic hazard potential.

In 2019, the California Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment initiated a review of the carcinogenic hazard potential of acetaminophen, including an assessment of its genotoxicity. The objective of this analysis was to inform this review process with a weight-of-evidence assessment of more than 65 acetaminophen genetic toxicology studies that are of widely varying quality and conformance to accepted standards and relevance to humans. In these studies, acetaminophen showed no evidence of induction of point or gene mutations in bacterial and mammalian cell systems or in in vivo studies. In reliable, well-controlled test systems, clastogenic effects were only observed in unstable, p53-deficient cell systems or at toxic and/or excessively high concentrations that adversely affect cellular processes (e.g., mitochondrial respiration) and cause cytotoxicity. Across the studies, there was no clear evidence that acetaminophen causes DNA damage in the absence of toxicity. In well-controlled clinical studies, there was no meaningful evidence of chromosomal damage. Based on this weight-of-evidence assessment, acetaminophen overwhelmingly produces negative results (i.e., is not a genotoxic hazard) in reliable, robust high-weight studies. Its mode of action produces cytotoxic effects before it can induce the stable, genetic damage that would be indicative of a genotoxic or carcinogenic hazard.

Assessment of the biochemical pathways for acetaminophen toxicity: Implications for its carcinogenic hazard potential.

In 2019 California's Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) initiated a review of the carcinogenic hazard potential of acetaminophen. In parallel with this review, herein we evaluated the mechanistic data related to the steps and timing of cellular events following therapeutic recommended (≤4 g/day) and higher doses of acetaminophen that may cause hepatotoxicity to evaluate whether these changes indicate that acetaminophen is a carcinogenic hazard. At therapeutic recommended doses, acetaminophen forms limited amounts of N-acetyl-p-benzoquinone-imine (NAPQI) without adverse cellular effects. Following overdoses of acetaminophen, there is potential for more extensive formation of NAPQI and depletion of glutathione, which may result in mitochondrial dysfunction and DNA damage, but only at doses that result in cell death - thus making it implausible for acetaminophen to induce the kind of stable, genetic damage in the nucleus indicative of a genotoxic or carcinogenic hazard in humans. The collective data demonstrate a lack of a plausible mechanism related to carcinogenicity and are consistent with rodent cancer bioassays, epidemiological results reviewed in companion manuscripts in this issue, as well as conclusions of multiple international health authorities.

Association of MRI T2 Signal Intensity With Desmoid Tumor Progression During Active Observation: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify predictors of desmoid progression during observation. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Untreated desmoids can grow, remain stable, or regress, but reliable predictors of behavior have not been identified. METHODS: Primary or recurrent desmoid patients were identified retrospectively from an institutional database. In those managed with active observation who underwent serial magnetic resonance imaging (MRIs) with T2-weighted sequences, baseline tumor size was recorded, and 2 radiologists independently estimated the percentage of tumor volume showing hyperintense T2 signal at baseline. Associations of clinical or radiographic characteristics with progression-free survival (PFS; by RECIST) were evaluated by Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier statistics. RESULTS: Among 160 patients with desmoids, 72 were managed with observation, and 37 of these had serial MRI available for review. Among these 37 patients, median age was 35 years and median tumor size was 4.7 cm; all tumors were extra-abdominal (41% in abdominal wall). Although PFS was not associated with size, site, or age, it was strongly associated with hyperintense T2 signal in ≥90% versus <90% of baseline tumor volume (as defined by the "test" radiologist; hazard ratio = 11.3, P = 0.003). For patients in the ≥90% group (n = 20), 1-year PFS was 55%, compared with 94% in the <90% group (n = 17). The percentage of baseline tumor volume with hyperintense T2 signal defined by a validation radiologist correlated with results of the test radiologist (ρ = 0.75). CONCLUSION: The percent tumor volume characterized by hyperintense T2 signal is associated with desmoid progression during observation and may help distinguish patients who would benefit from early intervention from those who may be reliably observed.

Treatment of colorectal cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa: Results from a prospective Nigerian hospital registry.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide. Mortality for CRC is improving in high income countries, but in low and middle income countries, rates of disease and death from disease are rising. In Sub-Saharan Africa, the ratio of CRC mortality to incidence is the highest in the world. This study investigated the nature of CRC treatment currently being offered and received in Nigeria. METHODS: Between April 2013 and October 2017, a prospective study of consecutively diagnosed cases of CRC was conducted. Patient demographics, clinical features, and treatment recommended and received was recorded for each case. Patients were followed during the study period every 3 months or until death. RESULTS: Three hundred patients were included in our analysis. Seventy-one percent of patients received a recommended surgical operation. Of those that didn't undergo surgery as recommended, 37% cited cost as the main reason, 30% declined due to personal reasons, and less than 5% absconded or were lost to follow up. Approximately half of patients (50.5%) received a chemotherapy regimen when it was recommended, and 4.1% received radiotherapy when this was advised as optimal treatment. With therapy, the median overall survival for patients diagnosed with stage III and stage IV CRC was 24 and 10.5 months respectively. Overall, we found significantly better median survival for patients that received the recommended treatment (25 vs 7 months; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: A number of patients were unable to receive the recommended treatment, reflecting some of the burden of untreated CRC in the region. Receiving the recommended treatment was associated with a significant difference in outcome. Improved healthcare financing, literacy, training, access, and a better understanding of tumor biology will be necessary to address this discrepancy.

Application of the DILIsym® Quantitative Systems Toxicology drug-induced liver injury model to evaluate the carcinogenic hazard potential of acetaminophen.

In 2019, the California Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) initiated a review of the carcinogenic hazard potential of acetaminophen. The objective of the analysis herein was to inform this review by assessing whether variability in patient baseline characteristics (e.g. baseline glutathione (GSH) levels, pharmacokinetics, and capacity of hepatic antioxidants) leads to potential differences in carcinogenic hazard potential at different dosing schemes: maximum labeled doses of 4 g/day, repeated doses above the maximum labeled dose (>4-12 g/day), and acute overdoses of acetaminophen (>15 g). This was achieved by performing simulations of acetaminophen exposure in thousands of diverse virtual patients scenarios using the DILIsym® Quantitative Systems Toxicology (QST) model. Simulations included assessments of the dose and exposure response for toxicity and mode of cell death based on evaluations of the kinetics of changes of: GSH, N-acetyl-p-benzoquinone-imine (NAPQI), protein adducts, mitochondrial dysfunction, and hepatic cell death. Results support that, at therapeutic doses, cellular GSH binds to NAPQI providing sufficient buffering capacity to limit protein adduct formation and subsequent oxidative stress. Simulations evaluating repeated high-level supratherapeutic exposures or acute overdoses indicate that cell death precedes DNA damage that could result in carcinogenicity and thus acetaminophen does not present a carcinogenicity hazard to humans at any dose.

A critical review of the acetaminophen preclinical carcinogenicity and tumor promotion data and their implications for its carcinogenic hazard potential.

In 2019 the California Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) initiated a review of the carcinogenic hazard potential of acetaminophen, including an assessment of the long-term rodent carcinogenicity and tumor initiation/promotion studies. The objective of the analysis herein was to inform this review process with a weight-of-evidence assessment of these studies and an assessment of the relevance of these models to humans. In most of the 14 studies, there were no increases in the incidences of tumors in any organ system. In the few studies in which an increase in tumor incidence was observed, there were factors such as absence of a dose response and a rodent-specific tumor supporting that these findings are not relevant to human hazard identification. In addition, we performed qualitative analysis and quantitative simulations of the exposures to acetaminophen and its metabolites and its toxicity profile; the data support that the rodent models are toxicologically relevant to humans. The preclinical carcinogenicity results are consistent with the broader weight of evidence assessment and evaluations of multiple international health authorities supporting that acetaminophen is not a carcinogenic hazard.