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1.
Acta Orthop Belg ; 89(3): 381-392, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37935219

RESUMEN

Despite a fast-growing evidence-base examining the relationship of certain clinical and radiological factors such as smoking, BMI and herniation-type with rLDH, there remains much debate around which factors are clinically important. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify risk factors for recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) in adults after primary discectomy. A systematic literature search was carried out using Ovid-Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane library and Web of Science databases from inception to 23rd June-2022. Observational studies of adult patients with radiologically-confirmed rLDH after ≥3 months of the initial surgery were included, and their quality assessed using the Quality-In-Prognostic-Studies (QUIPS) appraisal tool. Meta-analyses of univariate and multivariate data and a sensitivity-analysis for rLDH post-microdiscectomy were performed. Twelve studies (n=4497, mean age:47.3; 34.5% female) were included, and 11 studies (n=4235) meta-analysed. The mean follow-up was 38.4 months. Mean recurrence rate was 13.1% and mean time-to-recurrence was 24.1 months (range: 6-90 months). Clinically, older age (OR:1.04, 95%CI:1.00-1.08, n=1014), diabetes mellitus (OR:3.82, 95%CI:1.58-9.26, n=2330) and smoking (OR:1.80, 95%CI:1.03- 3.14, n=3425) increased likelihood of recurrence. Radiologically, Modic-change type-2 (OR:7.93, 95%CI:5.70-11.05, n=1706) and disc extrusion (OR:12.23, 95%CI:8.60-17.38, n=1706) increased likelihood of recurrence. The evidence did not support an association between rLDH and sex; BMI; occupational labour/driving; alcohol-consumption; Pfirmann- grade, or herniation-level. Older patients, smokers, patients with diabetes, those with type-2 Modic-changes or disc extrusion are more likely to experience rLDH. Higher quality studies with robust adjustment of confounders are required to determine the clinical bearing of all other potential risk factors for rLDH.


Asunto(s)
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Desplazamiento del Disco Intervertebral , Humanos , Adulto , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Desplazamiento del Disco Intervertebral/diagnóstico por imagen , Desplazamiento del Disco Intervertebral/etiología , Desplazamiento del Disco Intervertebral/cirugía , Factores de Riesgo , Discectomía , Vértebras Lumbares/diagnóstico por imagen , Vértebras Lumbares/cirugía , Prolapso , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/cirugía , Resultado del Tratamiento
2.
BMC Med ; 18(1): 408, 2020 12 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33334341

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has placed significant pressure on health and social care. Survivors of COVID-19 may be left with substantial functional deficits requiring ongoing care. We aimed to determine whether pre-admission frailty was associated with increased care needs at discharge for patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. METHODS: Patients were included if aged over 18 years old and admitted to hospital with COVID-19 between 27 February and 10 June 2020. The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) was used to assess pre-admission frailty status. Admission and discharge care levels were recorded. Data were analysed using a mixed-effects logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, comorbidities, and admission CRP as a marker of severity of disease. RESULTS: Thirteen hospitals included patients: 1671 patients were screened, and 840 were excluded including, 521 patients who died before discharge (31.1%). Of the 831 patients who were discharged, the median age was 71 years (IQR, 58-81 years) and 369 (44.4%) were women. The median length of hospital stay was 12 days (IQR 6-24). Using the CFS, 438 (47.0%) were living with frailty (≥ CFS 5), and 193 (23.2%) required an increase in the level of care provided. Multivariable analysis showed that frailty was associated with an increase in care needs compared to patients without frailty (CFS 1-3). The adjusted odds ratios (aOR) were as follows: CFS 4, 1.99 (0.97-4.11); CFS 5, 3.77 (1.94-7.32); CFS 6, 4.04 (2.09-7.82); CFS 7, 2.16 (1.12-4.20); and CFS 8, 3.19 (1.06-9.56). CONCLUSIONS: Around a quarter of patients admitted with COVID-19 had increased care needs at discharge. Pre-admission frailty was strongly associated with the need for an increased level of care at discharge. Our results have implications for service planning and public health policy as well as a person's functional outcome, suggesting that frailty screening should be utilised for predictive modelling and early individualised discharge planning.


Asunto(s)
Cuidados Posteriores/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19 , Fragilidad/complicaciones , Calidad de Vida , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/rehabilitación , Estudios de Cohortes , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Fragilidad/rehabilitación , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Alta del Paciente , SARS-CoV-2
3.
Eur J Neurol ; 26(12): 1455-1463, 2019 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31231893

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The relationship of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with complications after stroke has not been fully characterized for the entire clinical spectrum of eGFR and for the fluctuation in eGFR during hospital stay. METHODS: Data from the Norfolk and Norwich Stroke Registry recorded between January 2003 and April 2015 were analysed. eGFR was categorized into six clinically relevant categories as per the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes guidelines. The change in eGFR during acute admission was categorized into the following: within 5% change (reference), 5%-20% decline, >20% decline, 5%-20% increase and >20% increase. All-cause mortality, recurrent stroke, incident myocardial infarction, prolonged hospital stay and stroke disability at discharge were outcomes of interest. RESULTS: In all, 10 329 stroke patients (mean age 77.8 years) were followed for a mean of 2.9 years (30 126 person-years). Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality were 0.91 (0.80-1.04), 0.96 (0.83-1.11), 1.23 (1.06-1.43), 1.54 (1.31-1.82) and 2.38 (1.91-2.97) for eGFR levels 60-89, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29 and <15 respectively, compared to eGFR ≥ 90 ml/min/1.73 m2 . The hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for eGFR change were 1.56 (1.36-1.79), 1.17 (1.05-1.30), 1.47 (1.32-1.62) and 1.71 (1.55-1.88) for >20% decline, 5%-20% decline, 5%-20% increase and >20% increase, respectively, compared to change within 5%. Results were similar for other outcomes except recurrent stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke patients with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m2 at hospital admission and >5% decline or increase in eGFR during hospital stay were at substantially higher risk of poor outcomes, particularly all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, prolonged hospital stay and disability at discharge.


Asunto(s)
Tasa de Filtración Glomerular/fisiología , Infarto del Miocardio/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/fisiopatología , Alta del Paciente , Pronóstico , Recurrencia , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/fisiopatología
4.
Age Ageing ; 48(3): 388-394, 2019 05 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30778528

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: frail patients in any age group are more likely to die than those that are not frail. We aimed to evaluate the impact of frailty on clinical mortality, readmission rate and length of stay for emergency surgical patients of all ages. METHODS: a multi-centre prospective cohort study was conducted on adult admissions to acute surgical units. Every patient presenting as a surgical emergency to secondary care, regardless of whether they ultimately underwent a surgical procedure was included. The study was carried out during 2015 and 2016.Frailty was defined using the 7-point Clinical Frailty Scale. The primary outcome was mortality at Day 90. Secondary outcomes included: mortality at Day 30, length of stay and readmission within a Day 30 period. RESULTS: the cohort included 2,279 patients (median age 54 years [IQR 36-72]; 56% female). Frailty was documented in patients of all ages: 1% in the under 40's to 45% of those aged 80+. We found that each incremental step of worsening frailty was associated with an 80% increase in mortality at Day 90 (OR 1.80, 95% CI: 1.61-2.01) supporting a linear dose-response relationship. In addition, the most frail patients were increasingly likely to stay in hospital longer, be readmitted within 30 days, and die within 30 days. CONCLUSIONS: worsening frailty at any age is associated with significantly poorer patient outcomes, including mortality in unselected acute surgical admissions. Assessment of frailty should be integrated into emergency surgical practice to allow prognostication and implementation of strategies to improve outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Urgencias Médicas , Anciano Frágil , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/mortalidad , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Anciano Frágil/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/tendencias , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo
5.
Int Psychogeriatr ; 31(10): 1491-1498, 2019 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30522546

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between falls and deficits in specific cognitive domains in older adults. DESIGN: An analysis of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) cohort. SETTING: United Kingdom community-based. PARTICIPANTS: 5197 community-dwelling older adults recruited to a prospective longitudinal cohort study. MEASUREMENTS: Data on the occurrence of falls and number of falls, which occurred during a 12-month follow-up period, were assessed against the specific cognitive domains of memory, numeracy skills, and executive function. Binomial logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association between each cognitive domain and the dichotomous outcome of falls in the preceding 12 months using unadjusted and adjusted models. RESULTS: Of the 5197 participants included in the analysis, 1308 (25%) reported a fall in the preceding 12 months. There was no significant association between the occurrence of a fall and specific forms of cognitive dysfunction after adjusting for self-reported hearing, self-reported eyesight, and functional performance. After adjustment, only orientation (odds ratio [OR]: 0.80; 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.65-0.98, p = 0.03) and verbal fluency (adjusted OR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.96-1.00; p = 0.05) remained significant for predicting recurrent falls. CONCLUSIONS: The cognitive phenotype rather than cognitive impairment per se may predict future falls in those presenting with more than one fall.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes por Caídas/estadística & datos numéricos , Disfunción Cognitiva/fisiopatología , Orientación , Conducta Verbal , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Disfunción Cognitiva/complicaciones , Función Ejecutiva , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Autoinforme , Reino Unido
6.
Med J Malaysia ; 74(2): 121-127, 2019 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31079122

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Hyponatraemia is the commonest electrolyte abnormality and has major clinical implications. However, few studies of hyponatraemia in the primary care setting has been published to date. OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence, potential causes and management of hyponatraemia and to identify factors associated with severity of hyponatraemia among older persons in a primary care setting. METHODS: Electronic records were searched to identify all cases aged ≥60 years with a serum sodium <135mmol/l, attending outpatient clinic in 2014. Patients' medical records with the available blood test results of glucose, potassium, urea and creatinine were reviewed. RESULTS: Of the 21,544 elderly, 5873 patients (27.3%) had electrolyte profile tests. 403 (6.9%) had hyponatraemia in at least one blood test. Medical records were available for 253, mean age 72.9±7.3 years, 178 (70.4%) had mild hyponatraemia, 75 (29.6%) had moderate to severe hyponatraemia. Potential causes were documented in 101 (40%). Patients with moderate to severe hyponatraemia were five times more likely to have a cause of hyponatraemia documented (p<0.01). Medications were the commonest documented cause of hyponatraemia (31.7%). Hydrochlorothiazide use was attributed in 25 (78.1%) of 32 with medication-associated hyponatraemia. Repeat renal profile (89%) was the commonest management of hypotonic hyponatraemia. CONCLUSION: Whilst hyponatraemia was common in the clinic setting, many cases were not acknowledged and had no clear management strategies. In view of mild hyponatraemia has deleterious consequences, future studies should determine whether appropriate management of mild hyponatraemia will lead to clinical improvement.


Asunto(s)
Hiponatremia/epidemiología , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Hospitales de Enseñanza/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Hiponatremia/diagnóstico , Hiponatremia/etiología , Incidencia , Malasia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
7.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 138(4): 293-300, 2018 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29749062

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is common and associated with adverse outcomes. Data on its impact beyond 1 year are scarce. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This observational study was conducted in a cohort of stroke patients admitted consecutively to a tertiary referral center in the east of England, UK (January 2003-April 2015). Logistic regression models examined inpatient mortality and length of stay (LOS). Cox regression models examined longer-term mortality at predefined time periods (0-90 days, 90 days-1 year, 1-3 years, and 3-10 years) for SAP. Effect of SAP on functional outcome at discharge was assessed using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 9238 patients (mean age [±SD] 77.61 ± 11.88 years) were included. SAP was diagnosed in 1083 (11.7%) patients. The majority of these cases (n = 658; 60.8%) were aspiration pneumonia. After controlling for age, sex, stroke type, Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project (OCSP) classification, prestroke modified Rankin scale, comorbidities, and acute illness markers, mortality estimates remained significant at 3 time periods: inpatient (OR 5.87, 95%CI [4.97-6.93]), 0-90 days (2.17 [1.97-2.40]), and 91-365 days (HR 1.31 [1.03-1.67]). SAP was also associated with higher odds of long LOS (OR 1.93 [1.67-2.22]) and worse functional outcome (OR 7.17 [5.44-9.45]). In this cohort, SAP did not increase mortality risk beyond 1 year post-stroke, but it was associated with reduced mortality beyond 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke-associated pneumonia is not associated with increased long-term mortality, but it is linked with increased mortality up to 1 year, prolonged LOS, and poor functional outcome on discharge. Targeted intervention strategies are required to improve outcomes of SAP patients who survive to hospital discharge.


Asunto(s)
Tiempo de Internación/tendencias , Neumonía/diagnóstico , Neumonía/mortalidad , Recuperación de la Función , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Hospitalización/tendencias , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Alta del Paciente/tendencias , Neumonía/etiología , Pronóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Resultado del Tratamiento
8.
Epidemiol Infect ; 145(6): 1285-1291, 2017 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28137330

RESUMEN

The co-existence of stroke and HIV has increased in recent years, but the impact of HIV on post-stroke outcomes is poorly understood. We examined the impact of HIV on inpatient mortality, length of acute hospital stay and complications (pneumonia, respiratory failure, sepsis and convulsions), in hospitalized strokes in Thailand. All hospitalized strokes between 1 October 2004 and 31 January 2013 were included. Data were obtained from a National Insurance Database. Characteristics and outcomes for non-HIV and HIV patients were compared and multivariate logistic and linear regression models were constructed to assess the above outcomes. Of 610 688 patients (mean age 63·4 years, 45·4% female), 0·14% (866) had HIV infection. HIV patients were younger, a higher proportion were male and had higher prevalence of anaemia (P < 0·001) compared to non-HIV patients. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors, hypertension and diabetes, were more common in the non-HIV group (P < 0·001). After adjusting for age, sex, stroke type and co-morbidities, HIV infection was significantly associated with higher odds of sepsis [odds ratio (OR) 1·75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·29-2·4], and inpatient mortality (OR 2·15, 95% CI 1·8-2·56) compared to patients without HIV infection. The latter did not attenuate after controlling for complications (OR 2·20, 95% CI 1·83-2·64). HIV infection is associated with increased odds of sepsis and inpatient mortality after acute stroke.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Pacientes Internos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sepsis/epidemiología , Análisis de Supervivencia , Tailandia/epidemiología
9.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 135(5): 553-559, 2017 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27397108

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To examine the usefulness of including sodium (Na) levels as a criterion to the SOAR stroke score in predicting inpatient and 7-day mortality in stroke. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from the Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital Stroke & TIA register (2003-2015) were analysed. Univariate and then multivariate models controlling for SOAR variables were used to assess the association between admission sodium levels and inpatient and 7-day mortality. The prognostic ability of the SOAR and SOAR Na scores for mortality outcomes at both time points were then compared using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) values from the Receiver Operating Characteristic curves. RESULTS: A total of 8493 cases were included (male=47.4%, mean (SD) 77.7 (11.6) years). Compared with normonatremia (135-145 mmol/L), hypernatraemia (>145 mmol/L) was associated with inpatient mortality and moderate (125-129 mmol/L) and severe hypontraemia (<125 mmol/L) with 7-day mortality after adjustment for stroke type, Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project classification, age, prestroke modified Rankin score and sex. The SOAR and SOAR-Na scores both performed well in predicting inpatient mortality with AUC values of .794 (.78-.81) and .796 (.78-.81), respectively. 7-day mortality showed similar results. Both scores were less predictive in those with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and more so in those with hypoglycaemia. CONCLUSION: The SOAR-Na did not perform considerably better than the SOAR stroke score. However, the performance of SOAR-Na in those with CKD and dysglycaemias requires further investigation.


Asunto(s)
Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Sodio/sangre , Accidente Cerebrovascular/sangre , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Biomarcadores/sangre , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Hospitalización/tendencias , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad
10.
Epidemiol Infect ; 144(4): 803-9, 2016 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26300532

RESUMEN

Little is known about cause-specific long-term mortality beyond 30 days in pneumonia. We aimed to compare the mortality of patients with hospitalized pneumonia compared to age- and sex-matched controls beyond 30 days. Participants were drawn from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer (EPIC)-Norfolk prospective population study. Hospitalized pneumonia cases were identified from record linkage (ICD-10: J12-J18). For this study we excluded people with hospitalized pneumonia who died within 30 days. Each case identified was matched to four controls and followed up until the end June 2012 (total 15 074 person-years, mean 6·1 years, range 0·08-15·2 years). Cox regression models were constructed to examine the all-cause, respiratory and cardiovascular mortality using date of pneumonia onset as baseline with binary pneumonia status as exposure. A total of 2465 men and women (503 cases, 1962 controls) [mean age (s.d.) 64·5 (8·3) years] were included in the study. Between a 30-day to 1-year period, hazard ratios (HRs) of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 7·3 [95% confidence interval (CI) 5·4-9·9] and 5·9 (95% CI 3·5-9·7), respectively (with very few respiratory deaths within the same period) in cases compared to controls after adjusting for age, sex, asthma, smoking status, pack years, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, diabetes, physical activity, waist-to-hip ratio, prevalent cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. All outcomes assessed also showed increased risk of death in cases compared to controls after 1 year; respiratory cause of death being the most significant during that period (HR 16·4, 95% CI 8·9-30·1). Hospitalized pneumonia was associated with increased all-cause and specific-cause mortality beyond 30 days.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Neumonía/complicaciones , Enfermedades Respiratorias/mortalidad , Adulto , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Causas de Muerte , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neumonía/mortalidad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedades Respiratorias/etiología , Factores de Tiempo
11.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 133(1): 41-8, 2016 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25968234

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Several models have been developed to predict mortality in ischaemic stroke. We aimed to evaluate systematically the performance of published stroke prognostic scores. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE in February 2014 for prognostic models (published between 2003 and 2014) used in predicting early mortality (<6 months) after ischaemic stroke. We evaluated discriminant ability of the tools through meta-analysis of the area under the curve receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) or c-statistic. We evaluated the following components of study validity: collection of prognostic variables, neuroimaging, treatment pathways and missing data. RESULTS: We identified 18 articles (involving 163 240 patients) reporting on the performance of prognostic models for mortality in ischaemic stroke, with 15 articles providing AUC for meta-analysis. Most studies were either retrospective, or post hoc analyses of prospectively collected data; all but three reported validation data. The iSCORE had the largest number of validation cohorts (five) within our systematic review and showed good performance in four different countries, pooled AUC 0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.87). We identified other potentially useful prognostic tools that have yet to be as extensively validated as iSCORE - these include SOAR (2 studies, pooled AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.78-0.80), GWTG (2 studies, pooled AUC 0.72, 95% CI 0.72-0.72) and PLAN (1 study, pooled AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.84-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: Our meta-analysis has identified and summarized the performance of several prognostic scores with modest to good predictive accuracy for early mortality in ischaemic stroke, with the iSCORE having the broadest evidence base.


Asunto(s)
Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico , Isquemia Encefálica/mortalidad , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Área Bajo la Curva , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Teóricos , Mortalidad/tendencias , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Estudios Retrospectivos
12.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 26(8): 722-34, 2016 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27052923

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: We aimed to examine the association between chocolate intake and the risk of incident heart failure in a UK general population. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to quantify this association. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data from a prospective population-based study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer (EPIC)-Norfolk cohort. Chocolate intake was quantified based on a food frequency questionnaire obtained at baseline (1993-1997) and incident heart failure was ascertained up to March 2009. We supplemented the primary data with a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies which evaluated risk of incident heart failure with chocolate consumption. A total of 20,922 participants (53% women; mean age 58 ± 9 years) were included of whom 1101 developed heart failure during the follow up (mean 12.5 ± 2.7 years, total person years 262,291 years). After adjusting for lifestyle and dietary factors, we found 19% relative reduction in heart failure incidence in the top (up to 100 g/d) compared to the bottom quintile of chocolate consumption (HR 0.81 95%CI 0.66-0.98) but the results were no longer significant after controlling for comorbidities (HR 0.87 95%CI 0.71-1.06). Additional adjustment for potential mediators did not attenuate the results further. We identified five relevant studies including the current study (N = 75,408). The pooled results showed non-significant 19% relative risk reduction of heart failure incidence with higher chocolate consumption (HR 0.81 95%CI 0.66-1.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that higher chocolate intake is not associated with subsequent incident heart failure.


Asunto(s)
Dulces , Chocolate , Conducta Alimentaria , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Anciano , Dulces/efectos adversos , Chocolate/efectos adversos , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Voluntarios Sanos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/prevención & control , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo
14.
Int J Clin Pract ; 69(9): 928-37, 2015 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25940136

RESUMEN

AIMS: To synthesise the evidence relating influenza and influenza-like symptoms to the risks of myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF) and stroke. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the evidence relating influenza and influenza-like symptoms to the risks of MI, HF and stroke. We systematically searched all MEDLINE and EMBASE entries up to August 2014 for studies of influenza vs. the cardiovascular outcomes above. We conducted random effects meta-analysis using inverse variance method for pooled odds ratios (OR) and evaluated statistical heterogeneity using the I(2) statistic. RESULTS: We identified 12 studies with a total of 84,003 participants. The pooled OR for risk of MI vs. influenza (serologically confirmed) was 1.27 (95% CI, confidence interval 0.54-2.95), I(2)  = 47%, which was significant for the only study that adjusted for confounders (OR 5.50, 95% CI 1.31-23.13). The pooled OR for risk of MI vs. influenza-like symptoms was 2.17 (95% CI 1.68-2.80), I(2)  = 0%, which was significant for both unadjusted (OR 2.23, 95% CI 1.65-3.01, five studies) and adjusted studies (OR 2.01, 95% CI 1.24-3.27, two studies). We found one study that evaluated stroke risk, one study in patients with HF, and one that evaluated mortality from MI - all of these studies suggested increased risks of events with influenza-like symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: There is an association between influenza-like illness and cardiovascular events, but the relationship is less clear with serologically diagnosed influenza. We recommend renewed efforts to apply current clinical guidelines and maximise the uptake of annual influenza immunisation among patients with cardiovascular diseases, to decrease their risks of MI and stroke.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Gripe Humana/complicaciones , Infarto del Miocardio/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Humanos , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto , Oportunidad Relativa , Factores de Riesgo
15.
Int J Clin Pract ; 69(9): 948-56, 2015 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25832133

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The ABCD(2) score is routinely used in assessment of transient ischaemic attack (TIA) to assess the risk of developing stroke. There remains uncertainty regarding whether the ABCD(2) score could be used to help predict extent of carotid artery stenosis (CAS). OBJECTIVES: We aimed to (i) collate and analyse all available published literature on this topic and (ii) compare the data from our local population to the existing evidence base. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective-observational study over a 6-month period using our East of England hospital-based TIA clinic data with a catchment population of ~750,000. We also searched the literature on studies reporting the association between ABCD(2) score and CAS. RESULTS: We included 341 patients in our observational study. The mean age in our cohort was 72.86 years (SD 10.91) with 52% male participants. ABCD(2) score was not significantly associated with CAS (p = 0.78). Only age > 60 years was significantly associated with ipsilateral (> 50%) and contralateral CAS (> 50% and > 70%) (p < 0.01) after controlling for other confounders. The systematic review identified four studies for inclusion and no significant association between ABCD(2) score and CAS was reported, confirming our findings. CONCLUSION: Our systematic review and observational study confirm that the ABCD(2) score does not predict CAS. However, our observational study has examined a larger number of possible predictors and demonstrates that age appears to be the single best predictor of CAS in patients presenting with a TIA. Selection of urgent carotid ultrasound scan thus should be based on individual patient's age and potential benefit of carotid intervention rather than ABCD(2) score.


Asunto(s)
Estenosis Carotídea/diagnóstico , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Estenosis Carotídea/fisiopatología , Femenino , Humanos , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/fisiopatología , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Estudios Retrospectivos , Literatura de Revisión como Asunto , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/fisiopatología
16.
Int J Clin Pract ; 69(6): 659-65, 2015 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25648886

RESUMEN

AIMS: The objective of this study is to externally validate the SOAR stroke score (Stroke subtype, Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project Classification, Age and prestroke modified Rankin score) in predicting hospital length of stay (LOS) following an admission for acute stroke. METHODS: We conducted a multi-centre observational study in eight National Health Service hospital trusts in the Anglia Stroke & Heart Clinical Network between September 2008 and April 2011. The usefulness of the SOAR stroke score in predicting hospital LOS in the acute settings was examined for all stroke and then stratified by discharge status (discharged alive or died during the admission). RESULTS: A total of 3596 patients (mean age 77 years) with first-ever or recurrent stroke (92% ischaemic) were included. Increasing LOS was observed with increasing SOAR stroke score (p < 0.001 for both mean and median) and the SOAR stroke score of 0 had the shortest mean LOS (12 ± 20 days) while the SOAR stroke score of 6 had the longest mean LOS (26 ± 28 days). Among patients who were discharged alive, increasing SOAR stroke score had a significantly higher mean and median LOS (p < 0.001 for both mean and median) and the LOS peaked among patients with score value of 6 [mean (SD) 35 ± 31 days, median (IQR) 23 (14-48) days]. For patients who died as in-patient, there was no significant difference in mean or median LOS with increasing SOAR stroke score (p = 0.68 and p = 0.79, respectively). CONCLUSION: This external validation study confirms the usefulness of the SOAR stroke score in predicting LOS in patients with acute stroke especially in those who are likely to survive to discharge. This provides a simple prognostic score useful for clinicians, patients and service providers.


Asunto(s)
Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/métodos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Enfermedad Aguda , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad
17.
Brain Inj ; 29(12): 1426-30, 2015.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26287759

RESUMEN

PRIMARY OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship between disability, length of stay (LOS) and anticholinergic burden (ACB) with people following acquired brain or spinal cord injury. RESEARCH DESIGN: A retrospective case note review assessed total rehabilitation unit admission. METHODS AND PROCEDURES: Assessment of 52 consecutive patients with acquired brain/spinal injury and neuropathy in an in-patient neuro-rehabilitation unit of a UK university hospital. Data analysed included: Northwick Park Dependency Score (NPDS), Rehabilitation complexity Scale (RCS), Functional Independence Measure and Functional Assessment Measure FIM-FAM (UK version 2.2), LOS and ACB. Outcome was different in RCS, NPDS and FIM-FAM between admission and discharge. MAIN OUTCOMES AND RESULTS: A positive change was reported in ACB results in a positive change in NPDS, with no significant effect on FIM-FAM, either Motor or Cognitive, or on the RCS. Change in ACB correlated to the length of hospital stay (regression correlation = -6.64; SE = 3.89). There was a significant harmful impact of increase in ACB score during hospital stay, from low to high ACB on NPDS (OR = 9.65; 95% CI = 1.36-68.64) and FIM-FAM Total scores (OR = 0.03; 95% CI = 0.002-0.35). CONCLUSIONS: There was a statistically significant correlation of ACB and neuro-disability measures and LOS amongst this patient cohort.


Asunto(s)
Antagonistas Colinérgicos/farmacología , Tiempo de Internación/tendencias , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Lesiones Encefálicas/fisiopatología , Lesiones Encefálicas/rehabilitación , Antagonistas Colinérgicos/efectos adversos , Personas con Discapacidad , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/tendencias , Recuperación de la Función , Centros de Rehabilitación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Traumatismos de la Médula Espinal/fisiopatología , Traumatismos de la Médula Espinal/rehabilitación
18.
Int J Clin Pract ; 68(10): 1190-2, 2014 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25269949

RESUMEN

The current demographical trend towards an increasingly elderly population combined with advances in end of life care calls for a deeper understanding and common terminology about the concept of futility and additional influences on the resuscitation decision-making process. Such improved understanding of medical futility and other contributing factors when making DNACPR orders would help to ensure that clinicians make appropriate and thoughtful decisions on whether to recommend resuscitation in a patient. When estimating medical futility a physician should consider the chance of survival over different time periods and balance this against the chance of adverse outcomes. This information can then be offered to the patient (or the relatives) so that the patient's views about what is acceptable for the survival chance, length and type of survival can be factored into the eventual decision. Given the lack of evidence in this area and the poor level of patient knowledge and the emotive nature of the topic, it is not surprising that clinicians find such discussions hard.


Asunto(s)
Reanimación Cardiopulmonar/ética , Toma de Decisiones/ética , Inutilidad Médica/ética , Órdenes de Resucitación/ética , Humanos
19.
Int J Clin Pract ; 68(6): 705-13, 2014 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24447402

RESUMEN

AIMS: We sought to identify the determinants of orthostatic hypotension (OH) among patients referred to the transient ischaemic attack (TIA) clinic. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on patients who attended the TIA clinic in a UK hospital between January 2006 and September 2009. Each patient had their supine and standing or sitting blood pressure measured. Logistic regression was used to estimate the univariate and multivariate odds of OH for the subgroups of patients based on their diagnosis. A 10% significance level for the univariate analysis was used to identify variables in the multivariate model. RESULTS: A total of 3222 patients were studied of whom 1131 had a TIA, 665 a stroke and 1426 had other diagnoses. The prevalence of either systolic or diastolic OH in the TIA, stroke and patients with other diagnoses was similar being 22% (n = 251), 24% (n = 162) and 20% (n = 292), respectively. Multivariate analyses showed age, prior history of TIA, and diabetes were independently significantly associated with systolic OH alone or diastolic OH alone or either systolic or diastolic OH [ORs 1.03 (1.02-1.05); 1.56 (1.05-2.31); 1.65 (1.10-2.47), respectively]. Among the patients with the diagnosis of stroke, peripheral vascular disease (PVD) was significantly associated with increased odds of OH (3.56, 1.53-8.31), whereas male gender had a significantly lower odds of OH (0.61, 0.42-0.88). In patients with other diagnoses, age (1.04, 1.02-1.05) and diabetes (1.47, 1.04-2.09) were associated with OH, whereas male gender was (0.76, 0.58-1.00) not associated with OH. CONCLUSION: Orthostatic hypotension is prevalent among patients presenting to TIA clinic. Previous history of vascular disease (prior TIA/stroke/PVD) appears to be a significant associate of OH in this patient population.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones de la Diabetes , Hipotensión Ortostática/etiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/complicaciones , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones
20.
Int J Clin Pract ; 68(8): 963-71, 2014 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24750544

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Many factors are associated with medication non-adherence in Parkinson's disease (PD), including complex treatment regimens, mood disorders and impaired cognition. However, interventions to improve adherence which acknowledge such factors are lacking. A phase II randomised controlled trial was conducted investigating whether Adherence Therapy (AT) improves medication adherence and quality of life (QoL) compared with routine care (RC) in PD. METHODS: Eligible PD patients and their spouse/carers were randomised to intervention (RC plus AT) or control (RC alone). Primary outcomes were change in adherence (Morisky Medication Adherence Scale) and QoL (Parkinson's Disease Questionnaire-39) from baseline to week-12 follow up. Secondary outcomes were MDS-UPDRS (part I, II, IV), Beliefs about Medication Questionnaire (BMQ), EuroQol (EQ-5D) and the Caregiving Distress Scale. Blinded data were analysed using logistic and linear regression models based on the intention-to-treat principle. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients and 46 spouse/carers completed the study (intervention: n = 38 patients, n = 24 spouse/carers). At week-12 AT significantly improved adherence compared with RC (OR 8.2; 95% CI: 2.8, 24.3). Numbers needed to treat (NNT) were 2.2 (CI: 1.6, 3.9). Compared with RC, AT significantly improved PDQ-39 (-9.0 CI: -12.2, -5.8), BMQ general harm (-1.0 CI: -1.9, -0.2) and MDS-UPDRS part II (-4.8 CI: -8.1, -1.4). No significant interaction was observed between the presence of a spouse/carer and the effect of AT. CONCLUSION: Adherence Therapy improved self-reported adherence and QoL in a PD sample. The small NNT suggests AT may be cost-effective. A larger pragmatic trial to test the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of AT by multiple therapists is required.


Asunto(s)
Actividades Cotidianas , Cumplimiento de la Medicación , Enfermedad de Parkinson/tratamiento farmacológico , Calidad de Vida , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedad de Parkinson/psicología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
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