The probabilistic model of Alzheimer disease: the amyloid hypothesis revised.

The current conceptualization of Alzheimer disease (AD) is driven by the amyloid hypothesis, in which a deterministic chain of events leads from amyloid deposition and then tau deposition to neurodegeneration and progressive cognitive impairment. This model fits autosomal dominant AD but is less applicable to sporadic AD. Owing to emerging information regarding the complex biology of AD and the challenges of developing amyloid-targeting drugs, the amyloid hypothesis needs to be reconsidered. Here we propose a probabilistic model of AD in which three variants of AD (autosomal dominant AD, APOE ε4-related sporadic AD and APOE ε4-unrelated sporadic AD) feature decreasing penetrance and decreasing weight of the amyloid pathophysiological cascade, and increasing weight of stochastic factors (environmental exposures and lower-risk genes). Together, these variants account for a large share of the neuropathological and clinical variability observed in people with AD. The implementation of this model in research might lead to a better understanding of disease pathophysiology, a revision of the current clinical taxonomy and accelerated development of strategies to prevent and treat AD.

Streptococcus Species Abundance in the Gut Is Linked to Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis in 8973 Participants From the SCAPIS Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Gut microbiota have been implicated in atherosclerotic disease, but their relation with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis is unclear. This study aimed to identify associations between the gut microbiome and computed tomography-based measures of coronary atherosclerosis and to explore relevant clinical correlates. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of 8973 participants (50 to 65 years of age) without overt atherosclerotic disease from the population-based SCAPIS (Swedish Cardiopulmonary Bioimage Study). Coronary atherosclerosis was measured using coronary artery calcium score and coronary computed tomography angiography. Gut microbiota species abundance and functional potential were assessed with shotgun metagenomics sequencing of fecal samples, and associations with coronary atherosclerosis were evaluated with multivariable regression models adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors. Associated species were evaluated for association with inflammatory markers, metabolites, and corresponding species in saliva. RESULTS: The mean age of the study sample was 57.4 years, and 53.7% were female. Coronary artery calcification was detected in 40.3%, and 5.4% had at least 1 stenosis with >50% occlusion. Sixty-four species were associated with coronary artery calcium score independent of cardiovascular risk factors, with the strongest associations observed for Streptococcus anginosus and Streptococcus oralis subsp oralis (P<1×10-5). Associations were largely similar across coronary computed tomography angiography-based measurements. Out of the 64 species, 19 species, including streptococci and other species commonly found in the oral cavity, were associated with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein plasma concentrations, and 16 with neutrophil counts. Gut microbial species that are commonly found in the oral cavity were negatively associated with plasma indole propionate and positively associated with plasma secondary bile acids and imidazole propionate. Five species, including 3 streptococci, correlated with the same species in saliva and were associated with worse dental health in the Malmö Offspring Dental Study. Microbial functional potential of dissimilatory nitrate reduction, anaerobic fatty acid ß-oxidation, and amino acid degradation were associated with coronary artery calcium score. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence of an association of a gut microbiota composition characterized by increased abundance of Streptococcus spp and other species commonly found in the oral cavity with coronary atherosclerosis and systemic inflammation markers. Further longitudinal and experimental studies are warranted to explore the potential implications of a bacterial component in atherogenesis.

Very short sleep duration reveals a proteomic fingerprint that is selectively associated with incident diabetes mellitus but not with incident coronary heart disease: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The molecular pathways linking short and long sleep duration with incident diabetes mellitus (iDM) and incident coronary heart disease (iCHD) are not known. We aimed to identify circulating protein patterns associated with sleep duration and test their impact on incident cardiometabolic disease. METHODS: We assessed sleep duration and measured 78 plasma proteins among 3336 participants aged 46-68 years, free from DM and CHD at baseline, and identified cases of iDM and iCHD using national registers. Incident events occurring in the first 3 years of follow-up were excluded from analyses. Tenfold cross-fit partialing-out lasso logistic regression adjusted for age and sex was used to identify proteins that significantly predicted sleep duration quintiles when compared with the referent quintile 3 (Q3). Predictive proteins were weighted and combined into proteomic scores (PS) for sleep duration Q1, Q2, Q4, and Q5. Combinations of PS were included in a linear regression model to identify the best predictors of habitual sleep duration. Cox proportional hazards regression models with sleep duration quintiles and sleep-predictive PS as the main exposures were related to iDM and iCHD after adjustment for known covariates. RESULTS: Sixteen unique proteomic markers, predominantly reflecting inflammation and apoptosis, predicted sleep duration quintiles. The combination of PSQ1 and PSQ5 best predicted sleep duration. Mean follow-up times for iDM (n = 522) and iCHD (n = 411) were 21.8 and 22.4 years, respectively. Compared with sleep duration Q3, all sleep duration quintiles were positively and significantly associated with iDM. Only sleep duration Q1 was positively and significantly associated with iCHD. Inclusion of PSQ1 and PSQ5 abrogated the association between sleep duration Q1 and iDM. Moreover, PSQ1 was significantly associated with iDM (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.06-1.53). PSQ1 and PSQ5 were not associated with iCHD and did not markedly attenuate the association between sleep duration Q1 with iCHD. CONCLUSIONS: We here identify plasma proteomic fingerprints of sleep duration and suggest that PSQ1 could explain the association between very short sleep duration and incident DM.

Birth weight and birth length affect future fracture risk differently in men and women.

We wanted to determine if there are any associations between birth factors and adult fracture risk. For women only, shorter birth length was associated with lower relative fracture risk. For women and men, individuals who were long at birth as well as tall in adulthood had a substantially higher relative fracture risk. PURPOSE: We aimed to examine associations between birth anthropometry and adult fracture risk and to investigate if developmental mismatch is associated with fracture risk. METHODS: We included 4635 participants (476 women and 4159 men; born 1921-1950) with hospital and national registry-based data on birth anthropometry and adult fractures (≥ 50 years). We tested associations by Cox proportional hazards regressions and present hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: In total, 1215 (26%) suffered ≥ 1 fracture during a mean observation period of 26 years. In women, unadjusted analyses indicated that both higher birth weight (HR 1.42 per kg (1.10-1.84)) and birth length (1.10 per cm (1.05-1.17)) were associated to higher adult fracture risk. After adjustment (year of birth and gestational age), statistical significance remained only for birth length, HR 1.10 per cm (1.04-1.17). For men, no associations were apparent. We found no associations between developmental mismatch (lower birth weight followed by higher adult weight) and adult fracture risk. However, for both sexes, being born tall and staying tall into adulthood was associated with a markedly higher (55-105%) relative fracture risk (HR women 2.09 (1.18-3.68), men 1.55 (1.19-2.03)) compared to being born short and remaining short in adulthood. CONCLUSION: In this study, being born shorter and lighter was associated with a lower risk for fractures ≥ 50 years in women. However, analyses indicated that tall adults who were also long at birth may be at markedly higher risk of fractures; this warrants further examinations.

Sex ratio at birth across 100 years in Sweden and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality - a national register study.

The human sex ratio at birth (SRB) undergoes temporary changes around a mean proportion of 0.51 male births. SRB has been well studied for historical, geographical, and secular trends, but until now not linked to health outcomes in the total population, e.g. for cardiovascular disease (CVD) or mortality during follow-up of birth cohorts. We used linkage analysis based on national registers in Sweden that cover all births from 1900 to 2016. SRB at birth was calculated by every 10-year birth cohort in all survivors living in 1997 for a follow-up analysis of risk of CVD and mortality with data from national registers. When the highest quartile of SRB was used as reference, a slightly increased risk of fatal CVD (HR 1.03 (95% confidence intervals, CI): 1.02-1.04), non-fatal CVD (HR 1.01; 95%CI: 1.01-1.02) and mortality (HR 1.02; 95%CI, 1.01-1.03) was found after full adjustments in men belonging to the lowest SRB quartile. A similar pattern was also found for fatal CHD in women. in the lowest SBR quartile compared to the highest, HR 1.03 (95%CI: 1.02-1.05). In conclusion, in birth cohorts with a relatively lower than expected number of males born, long-term adverse health effects were observed with slightly increased cardiovascular risk and total mortality at the population level. This could indicate that men belonging to so-called "culled cohorts" in a developed country during the 20th century are characterized by a slightly increased risk that could reflect negative early life influences and environmental exposures in pregnant women resulting in selective loss of male embryos or fetuses. In a public health perspective SRB could be of some importance to monitor as an aspect of birth statistics linked to relatively minor population health effects.

Inverse association between Paleolithic Diet Fraction and mortality and incidence of cardiometabolic disease in the prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study.

PURPOSE: Paleolithic Diet Fraction (PDF) estimates how large a portion of the absolute dietary intake stems from food groups included in the Paleolithic diet. In randomized controlled trials higher PDFs have been associated with healthier levels of cardiometabolic risk markers. Our aim was to build upon these findings by examining associations between PDF and mortality and incidence of cardiometabolic disease in the prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. METHODS: PDF was calculated from an interview-based, modified diet history method, and associations were estimated by using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. The examined cohort consisted of 24,104 individuals (44-74 years, 63% women) without previous coronary events, diabetes, or stroke at baseline (1992-1996). A total of 10,092 individuals died during a median follow-up of 18 years. RESULTS: Median PDF was 40% (0-90%). The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for PDF as a continuous variable (from 0 to 100%) were for risk of death from all causes 0.55 [95% CI 0.45, 0.66], tumor 0.68 [95% CI 0.49, 0.93], cardiovascular 0.55 [95% CI 0.39, 0.78], respiratory 0.44 [95% CI 0.21, 0.90], neurological 0.26 [95% CI 0.11, 0.60], digestive, 0.10 [95% CI 0.03, 0.30], and other diseases 0.64 [95% CI 0.41, 1.00]. The corresponding HR for risk of coronary event was 0.61 [95% 0.43, 0.86], for ischemic stroke it was 0.73 [95% 0.48, 1.09] and for type 2 diabetes it was 0.82 [95% 0.61, 1.10]. CONCLUSION: Observational data suggest an inverse association between PDF and all-cause as well as cause-specific mortality and incidence of cardiometabolic disease.

Periodontitis is associated with airflow obstruction in the Malmö Offspring Dental Study.

AIM: To investigate the association between periodontitis and lung function in the Malmö Offspring Dental Study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In all 1001 individuals (49.9% female, mean age: 44.6) from Malmö Offspring Dental Study were included. Periodontitis was assessed by a full-mouth examination protocol including bleeding on probing and classified according to the American Academy of Periodontology/Center for Disease Control definitions. Forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 ) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were expressed as absolute values and %predicted according to Global Lung Function Initiative reference values. FEV1 , FVC and FEV1 /FVC were analysed in relation to periodontal status using linear regression. RESULTS: Severe periodontitis was found in 7% of the population. Adjusted regression models showed significant associations between lung function and severe periodontitis with 2.1 unit lower FEV1 /FVC ratio (95% CI: -3.91, -0.23) and odds ratio (adjusted) of 2.56 (95% CI: 1.40, 4.75, p = .003) for airflow obstruction (FEV1 /FVC less than the lower limit of normal) if having severe periodontitis. Lower values of %predicted FEV1 and %predicted FVC, but not FEV1 /FVC, were found in individuals with >25% bleeding on probing. CONCLUSIONS: Severe periodontitis was associated with lower FEV1 /FVC ratio and airflow obstruction in the present cohort. More large-scale prospective studies and intervention studies are required for a comprehensive evaluation.

Evaluation of self-monitoring of blood pressure in the PERHIT study and the impact on glomerular function.

BACKGROUND: Although intensive blood pressure (BP) control has not been shown to slow the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), intensive BP control has been shown to reduce the risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes in the CKD population. The aim of this post-hoc study was to study the interplay between a self-monitoring BP system and glomerular function. METHODS: In all, 949 participants with hypertension underwent visits at baseline, after eight weeks and 12 months. Half of the participants received a BP monitor and installed a program on their mobile phone. During eight weeks, they measured daily and reported their BP values. RESULTS: Within the intervention group, BP and systolic BP (SBP) decreased from baseline to eight weeks and 12 months (p < .001). Pulse pressure (PP) and mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) decreased from baseline to eight weeks (p = .021 and p = .004) vs 12 months (p = .035 and p = .008). Within the control group, a decrease was observed from baseline to 12 months for SBP, diastolic BP (DBP) and PP (p = .025, p = .023 and p = .036). In the intervention group, we observed an association between a decrease in SBP, DBP, PP and MAP and a decrease in eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate), (p < .001, p < .001, p = .013 and p < .001). In the control group, similar results were observed for PP only (p = .027). Within the intervention group, eGFR decreased (p < .001) but within the control group, the decrease was non-significant (p = .051). CONCLUSION: We observed an association between a decrease in all BP components and eGFR decline within the normal range in the intervention group but not in the controls. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov [NCT03554382].

WHAT IS THE CONTEXTHypertension is a common risk factor and has been identified as the most important contributor to end stage renal disease (ESRD)At present, it is unclear if hypertension also plays a role in the gradual loss of kidney function that occurs with ageing in the general populationSome studies have found a link between baseline blood pressure and a decline in GFR (glomerular filtration rate), while others have shown no relationship or even higher GFRMost patients with hypertension attend primary care for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Home blood pressure monitoring in hypertension treatment is becoming increasingly commonThe PERson-centredness in Hypertension management using Information Technology (PERHIT) study was designed to evaluate the effect of supporting self-management on (home) blood pressure by the use of information technology and aimed to lower blood pressure in patients with hypertension in primary careThe aim of this sub-study was to evaluate whether a person-centred approach in the treatment of high blood pressure, according to PERHIT, will have an impact on kidney function in patients with hypertension.WHAT IS NEWBlood pressure reduction in the intervention group was associated with a greater fall of eGFR (estimated GFR)glomerular filtration rate), but within the normal range, present already after eight weeks.Our analyses showed significant interactions between improved treatment related to the blood pressure components and lowering of eGFR, suggesting that the association between blood pressure changes and eGFR reduction was most prominent in individuals undergoing more effective antihypertensive treatment.WHAT IS THE IMPACTOur study concerns a common patient group at primary healthcare centres. When blood pressure treatment is initiated, or when treatment is increased via the general practitioner, it is common practice to arrange for a follow-up check of kidney function estimates such as creatinine and eGFR. In many cases, unfortunately not in accordance with proven science and experience, hypertension medication might be discontinued, or the dose reduced due to a short-term deterioration of kidney function (eGFR) that often reverts to normal levels again. This is a development that must be observed and prevented.Our results show that intensified blood pressure control is associated with a reduction in glomerular function measured by eGFR, but within normal range.

Assessment and Management of Patients with Obesity and Hypertension in European Society of Hypertension Excellence Centres. A survey from the ESH Working Group on Diabetes and Metabolic Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare providers are faced with an increasing number of patients with obesity and arterial hypertension. Preventing obesity-associated hypertension and appropriately managing patients with established disease are both important. Hence, the aim of our study was to evaluate the clinical care of patients with obesity and hypertension among ESH Excellence Centres (ECs). METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional, international 30-item survey through e-mails. RESULTS: In total, 70 representatives of ECs participated (78% men) with 66% of them practicing medicine for more than 30 years and working in well-equipped clinics. Most were internists (41%) and cardiologists (37%) and 73% reported training on the management of obese patients with hypertension. A majority weigh their patients (77%) and evaluate patients for sleep disorders (93%). However, only 47% spend more than 5min to advise for lifestyle modification in general, 59% for weight loss, 56% for salt intake and 64% for exercise. Finally, a minority of participants ask patients if they like their body (6%) or about previous attempts to lose weight (28%), evaluate 24h urinary sodium excretion rate (22%) and provide written (15%) or personalized (10%) dietary advices. If the patient suffers also from type 2 diabetes mellitus, 66% switch treatment to GLP1 receptor agonists and 60% to SGLT2 inhibitors. CONCLUSION: Most clinicians in ESH ECs are well educated regarding obesity-associated hypertension, and clinics are sufficiently equipped to manage these patients, as well. However, several deficits were reported regarding efforts to address and implement obesity specific aspects and interventions to improve care in patients with obesity and hypertension.

Hypertension and obesity still remain two of the main cardiovascular risk factors worldwide.There is a need to lower the incidence of obesity-induced hypertension, and to focus on practical guidelines for the evaluation and management of patients with obesity and hypertension.This is a web-based survey to understand the current clinical practices in assessing/managing patients with obesity and hypertension in ESH Excellence Centres.Most clinicians in ESH ECs are well educated regarding obesity-associated hypertension.Clinics are sufficiently equipped to manage these patients.Several deficits were reported regarding efforts to address and implement obesity specific aspects and interventions to improve care in patients with obesity and hypertension.

Associations between daily home blood pressure measurements and self-reports of lifestyle and symptoms in primary care: the PERHIT study.

OBJECTIVE: To explore in a primary care setting the associations between patients' daily self-measured blood pressure (BP) during eight weeks and concurrent self-reported values of wellbeing, lifestyle, symptoms, and medication intake. We also explore these associations for men and women separately. DESIGN AND SETTING: The study is a secondary post-hoc analysis of the randomised controlled trial PERson-centeredness in Hypertension management using Information Technology (PERHIT). The trial was conducted in primary health care in four regions in Southern Sweden. PATIENTS: Participants (n = 454) in the intervention group in the PERHIT-trial used an interactive web-based system for self-management of hypertension for eight consecutive weeks. Each evening, participants reported in the system their wellbeing, lifestyle, symptoms, and medication adherence as well as their self-measured BP and heart rate. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Association between self-reported BP and 10 self-report lifestyle-related variables. RESULTS: Self-reported less stress and higher wellbeing were similarly associated with BP, with 1.0 mmHg lower systolic BP and 0.6/0.4 mmHg lower diastolic BP (p < 0.001). Adherence to medication had the greatest impact on BP levels (5.2/2.6 mmHg, p < 0.001). Restlessness and headache were also significantly associated with BP, but to a lesser extent. Physical activity was only significantly associated with BP levels for men, but not for women. CONCLUSION: In hypertension management, it may be important to identify patients with high-stress levels and low wellbeing. The association between medication intake and BP was obvious, thus stressing the importance of medication adherence for patients with hypertension.

Associations between daily home blood pressure (BP) and self-reports of lifestyle and symptoms have not been previously well explored.Self-reported higher wellbeing, lower restlessness, less stress, and higher medication adherence were significantly associated with lower same-day BP levels.Physical activity was significantly associated with same-day BP for men, but not for women.Using a hypertension management system may be a valuable tool for communication between the patient and physician.

Prognostic Value of Cardiovascular Biomarkers in the Population.

Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164 054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17 211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.

Interaction between plasma phospholipid odd-chain fatty acids and GAD65 autoantibodies on the incidence of adult-onset diabetes: the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Islet autoimmunity may progress to adult-onset diabetes. We investigated whether circulating odd-chain fatty acids (OCFA) 15:0 and 17:0, which are inversely associated with type 2 diabetes, interact with autoantibodies against GAD65 (GAD65Ab) on the incidence of adult-onset diabetes. METHODS: We used the European EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study including 11,124 incident adult-onset diabetes cases and a subcohort of 14,866 randomly selected individuals. Adjusted Prentice-weighted Cox regression estimated HRs and 95% CIs of diabetes in relation to 1 SD lower plasma phospholipid 15:0 and/or 17:0 concentrations or their main contributor, dairy intake, among GAD65Ab-negative and -positive individuals. Interactions between tertiles of OCFA and GAD65Ab status were estimated by proportion attributable to interaction (AP). RESULTS: Low concentrations of OCFA, particularly 17:0, were associated with a higher incidence of adult-onset diabetes in both GAD65Ab-negative (HR 1.55 [95% CI 1.48, 1.64]) and GAD65Ab-positive (HR 1.69 [95% CI 1.34, 2.13]) individuals. The combination of low 17:0 and high GAD65Ab positivity vs high 17:0 and GAD65Ab negativity conferred an HR of 7.51 (95% CI 4.83, 11.69), with evidence of additive interaction (AP 0.25 [95% CI 0.05, 0.45]). Low dairy intake was not associated with diabetes incidence in either GAD65Ab-negative (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.94, 1.02]) or GAD65Ab-positive individuals (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.79, 1.18]). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Low plasma phospholipid 17:0 concentrations may promote the progression from GAD65Ab positivity to adult-onset diabetes.

A nutritional biomarker score of the Mediterranean diet and incident type 2 diabetes: Integrated analysis of data from the MedLey randomised controlled trial and the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Self-reported adherence to the Mediterranean diet has been modestly inversely associated with incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in cohort studies. There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated using an objectively measured biomarker of the Mediterranean diet. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We derived a biomarker score based on 5 circulating carotenoids and 24 fatty acids that discriminated between the Mediterranean or habitual diet arms of a parallel design, 6-month partial-feeding randomised controlled trial (RCT) conducted between 2013 and 2014, the MedLey trial (128 participants out of 166 randomised). We applied this biomarker score in an observational study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study, to assess the association of the score with T2D incidence over an average of 9.7 years of follow-up since the baseline (1991 to 1998). We included 22,202 participants, of whom 9,453 were T2D cases, with relevant biomarkers from an original case-cohort of 27,779 participants sampled from a cohort of 340,234 people. As a secondary measure of the Mediterranean diet, we used a score estimated from dietary-self report. Within the trial, the biomarker score discriminated well between the 2 arms; the cross-validated C-statistic was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.94). The score was inversely associated with incident T2D in EPIC-InterAct: the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation of the score was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.77) following adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, and adiposity. In comparison, the HR per standard deviation of the self-reported Mediterranean diet was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86 to 0.95). Assuming the score was causally associated with T2D, higher adherence to the Mediterranean diet in Western European adults by 10 percentiles of the score was estimated to reduce the incidence of T2D by 11% (95% CI: 7% to 14%). The study limitations included potential measurement error in nutritional biomarkers, unclear specificity of the biomarker score to the Mediterranean diet, and possible residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that objectively assessed adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risk of T2D and that even modestly higher adherence may have the potential to reduce the population burden of T2D meaningfully. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) ACTRN12613000602729 https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=363860.

The chronic stress risk phenotype mirrored in the human retina as a neurodegenerative condition.

The brain is the key organ that orchestrates the stress response which translates to the retina. The retina is an extension of the brain and retinal symptoms in subjects with neurodegenerative diseases substantiated the eye as a window to the brain. The retina is used in this study to determine whether chronic stress reflects neurodegenerative signs indicative of neurodegenerative conditions. A three-year prospective cohort (n = 333; aged 46 ± 9 years) was stratified into stress-phenotype cases (n = 212) and controls (n = 121) by applying the Malan stress-phenotype index. Neurodegenerative risk markers included ischemia (astrocytic S100 calcium-binding protein B/S100B); 24-h blood pressure, proteomics; inflammation (tumor-necrosis-factor-α/TNF-α); neuronal damage (neuron-specific-enolase); anti-apoptosis of retinal-ganglion-cells (beta-nerve-growth-factor), astrocytic activity (glial-fibrillary-acidic-protein); hematocrit (viscosity) and retinal follow-up data [vessels; stress-optic-neuropathy]. Stress-optic-neuropathy risk was calculated from two indices: a newly derived diastolic-ocular-perfusion-pressure cut-point ≥68 mmHg relating to the stress-phenotype; combined with an established cup-to-disk ratio cut-point ≥0.3. Higher stress-optic-neuropathy (39% vs. 17%) and hypertension (73% vs. 16%) prevalence was observed in the stress-phenotype cases vs. controls. Elevated diastolic-ocular-perfusion-pressure, indicating hypoperfusion, was related to arterial narrowing and trend for ischemia increases in the stress-phenotype. Ischemia in the stress-phenotype at baseline, follow-up and three-year changes was related to consistent inflammation (TNF-α and cytokine-interleukin-17-receptor-A), neuron-specific-enolase increases, consistent apoptosis (chitinase-3-like protein 1, low beta-nerve-growth-factor), glial-fibrillary-acidic-protein decreases, elevated viscosity, vein widening as risk marker of endothelial dysfunction in the blood-retinal barrier, lower vein count, and elevated stress-optic-neuropathy. The stress-phenotype and related neurodegenerative signs of ongoing brain ischemia, apoptosis and endothelial dysfunction compromised blood-retinal barrier permeability and optic nerve integrity. In fact, the stress-phenotype could identify persons at high risk of neurodegeneration to indicate a neurodegenerative condition.

Orthostatic blood pressure adaptations, aortic stiffness, and central hemodynamics in the general population: insights from the Malmö Offspring Study (MOS).

PURPOSE: Arterial stiffness is independently associated with orthostatic hypotension in older individuals. The relationship between orthostatic blood pressure adaptation and aortic stiffness has not been thoroughly examined in a younger population. We investigated the relationship between orthostatic blood pressure adaptations, central aortic hemodynamics, and aortic stiffness in a cohort of predominantly younger and middle-aged adults. METHODS: We analyzed an observational, population-based study of 5259 individuals living in Malmö, Sweden. We related aortic stiffness and central hemodynamics assessed by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity and pulse wave analysis at the arteria radialis using Sphygmocor to orthostatic blood pressure adaptation after 3 min standing. RESULTS: The mean age of the population was 41.9 ± 14.5 years, and 52.1% were women. We observed the highest aortic stiffness and central aortic blood pressure measurements in the lowest and highest quartiles of orthostatic systolic blood pressure differences (p < 0.001). Aortic stiffness and central aortic blood pressure gradually decreased across increasing quartiles of orthostatic diastolic blood pressure difference (p < 0.001). After full adjustment, orthostatic diastolic blood pressure remained significantly associated with aortic stiffness (p = 0.001) and central aortic blood pressure (p < 0.001), whereas orthostatic systolic blood pressure was significantly associated only with central aortic systolic blood pressure (p = 0.009). No significant associations were found between subclinical orthostatic hypotension, aortic stiffness, and central hemodynamics. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate that altered blood pressure responses to orthostatic challenges, both blood pressure reductions and blood pressure increases, are independently and inversely associated with markers of aortic stiffness (vascular aging) in a predominantly young to middle-aged population.

Plasma Galectin-4 Levels Are Increased after Stroke in Mice and Humans.

Epidemiological studies have associated plasma galectin-4 (Gal-4) levels with prevalent and incident diabetes, and with an increased risk of coronary artery disease. To date, data regarding possible associations between plasma Gal-4 and stroke are lacking. Using linear and logistic regression analyses, we tested Gal-4 association with prevalent stroke in a population-based cohort. Additionally, in mice fed a high-fat diet (HFD), we investigated whether plasma Gal-4 increases in response to ischemic stroke. Plasma Gal-4 was higher in subjects with prevalent ischemic stroke, and was associated with prevalent ischemic stroke (odds ratio 1.52; 95% confidence interval 1.01-2.30; p = 0.048) adjusted for age, sex, and covariates of cardiometabolic health. Plasma Gal-4 increased after experimental stroke in both controls and HFD-fed mice. HFD exposure was devoid of impact on Gal-4 levels. This study demonstrates higher plasma Gal-4 levels in both experimental stroke and in humans that experienced ischemic stroke.

Plasma prostasin: a novel risk marker for incidence of diabetes and cancer mortality.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Diabetes is associated with an increased risk of cancer. Prostasin is an epithelial sodium channel stimulator that has been associated with suppression of tumours, glucose metabolism and hyperglycaemia-associated tumour pathology. However, the association between prostasin, diabetes and cancer mortality has not been well investigated in humans. We aim to investigate the associations between plasma prostasin and diabetes, and to explore whether prostasin has an effect on cancer mortality risk in individuals with hyperglycaemia. METHODS: Plasma prostasin was measured using samples from the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study Cardiovascular Cohort, and statistical analysis was performed from both sex-specific quartiles and per 1 SD. The cross-sectional association between plasma prostasin and diabetes was first studied in 4658 participants (age 57.5 ± 5.9 years, 39.9% men). After excluding 361 with prevalent diabetes, the associations of prostasin with incident diabetes and cancer mortality risk were assessed using Cox regression analysis. The interactions between prostasin and blood glucose levels as well as other covariates were tested. RESULTS: The adjusted OR for prevalent diabetes in the 4th vs 1st quartile of prostasin concentrations was 1.95 (95% CI 1.39, 2.76) (p for trend <0.0001). During mean follow-up periods of 21.9 ± 7.0 and 23.5 ± 6.1 years, respectively, 702 participants developed diabetes and 651 died from cancer. Prostasin was significantly associated with the incidence of diabetes. The adjusted HR for diabetes in the 4th vs 1st quartile of prostasin concentrations was 1.76 (95% CI 1.41, 2.19) (p for trend <0.0001). Prostasin was also associated with cancer mortality There was a significant interaction between prostasin and fasting blood glucose for cancer mortality risk (p for interaction =0.022), with a stronger association observed in individuals with impaired fasting blood glucose levels at baseline (HR per 1 SD change 1.52; 95% CI 1.07, 2.16; p=0.019). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Plasma prostasin levels are positively associated with diabetes risk and with cancer mortality risk, especially in individuals with high blood glucose levels, which may shed new light on the relationship between diabetes and cancer.

A healthy dietary metabolic signature is associated with a lower risk for type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The global burden of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes could be decreased by improving dietary factors, but identification of groups suitable for interventional approaches can be difficult. Reporting of dietary intake is prone to errors, and measuring of metabolites has shown promise in determining habitual dietary intake. Our aim is to create a metabolic signature that is associated with healthy eating and test if it associates with type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease risk. METHODS: Using plasma metabolite data consisting of 111 metabolites, partial least square (PLS) regression was used to identify a metabolic signature associated with a health conscious food pattern in the Malmö Offspring Study (MOS, n = 1538). The metabolic signature's association with dietary intake was validated in the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (MDC, n = 2521). The associations between the diet-associated metabolic signature and incident type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease (CAD) were tested using Cox regression in MDC and logistic regression in Malmö Preventive Project (MPP, n = 1083). Modelling was conducted unadjusted (model 1), adjusted for potential confounders (model 2) and additionally for potential mediators (model 3). RESULTS: The metabolic signature was associated with lower risk for type 2 diabetes in both MDC (hazard ratio: 0.58, 95% CI 0.52-0.66, per 1 SD increment of the metabolic signature) and MPP (odds ratio: 0.54, 95% CI 0.44-0.65 per 1 SD increment of the metabolic signature) in model 2. The results were attenuated but remained significant in model 3 in both MDC (hazard ratio 0.73, 95% CI 0.63-0.83) and MPP (odds ratio 0.70, 95% CI 0.55-0.88). The diet-associated metabolic signature was also inversely associated with lower risk of CAD in both MDC and MPP in model 1, but the association was non-significant in model 3. CONCLUSIONS: In this proof-of-concept study, we identified a healthy diet-associated metabolic signature, which was inversely associated with future risk for type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease in two different cohorts. The association with diabetes was independent of traditional risk factors and might illustrate an effect of health conscious dietary intake on cardiometabolic health.

Seasonal variation of vasopressin and its relevance for the winter peak of cardiometabolic disease: A pooled analysis of five cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Vasopressin concentration is typically higher at night, during stress, and in males, but readily lowered by water intake. Vasopressin is also a causal candidate for cardiometabolic disease, which shows seasonal variation. OBJECTIVE: To study whether vasopressin concentration varies by season in a temperate climate. METHODS: The vasopressin surrogate marker copeptin was analyzed in fasting plasma samples from five population-based cohorts in Malmö, Sweden (n = 25,907, 50.4% women, age 18-86 years). We investigated seasonal variation of copeptin concentration and adjusted for confounders in sinusoidal models. RESULTS: The predicted median copeptin level was 5.81 pmol/L (7.18 pmol/L for men and 4.44 pmol/L for women). Copeptin exhibited a distinct seasonal pattern with a peak in winter (mid-February to mid-March) and nadir in late summer (mid-August to mid-September). The adjusted absolute seasonal variation in median copeptin was 0.62 pmol/L (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50; 0.74, 0.98 pmol/L [95% CI 0.73; 1.23] for men and 0.46 pmol/L [95% CI 0.33; 0.59] for women). The adjusted relative seasonal variation in mean log copeptin z-score was 0.20 (95% CI 0.17; 0.24, 0.18 [95% CI 0.14; 0.23] in men and 0.24 [95% CI 0.19; 0.29] in women). The observed seasonal variation of copeptin corresponded to a risk increase of 4% for incident diabetes mellitus and 2% for incident coronary artery disease. CONCLUSION: The seasonal variation of the vasopressin marker copeptin corresponds to increased disease risk and mirrors the known variation in cardiometabolic status across the year. Moderately increased water intake might mitigate the winter peak of cardiometabolic disease.

Galectin-4 levels in hospitalized versus non-hospitalized subjects with obesity: the Malmö Preventive Project.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is strongly associated with the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the heterogenous nature of obesity in CVD-risk is still poorly understood. We aimed to explore novel CVD biomarkers and their possible association with presumed unhealthy obesity, defined as hospitalized subjects with obesity (HO). METHODS: Ninety-two proteins associated with CVD were analyzed in 517 (mean age 67 ± 6 years; 33.7% women) individuals with obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2) from the Malmö Preventive Project cohort, using a proximity extension array technique from the Olink CVD III panel. Individuals with at least one recorded hospitalization for somatic disease prior to study baseline were defined as HO phenotypes. Associations between proteins and HO (n = 407) versus non-hospitalized subjects with obesity (NHO, n = 110), were analyzed using multivariable binary logistic regression, adjusted for traditional risk factors. RESULTS: Of 92 analyzed unadjusted associations between biomarkers and HO, increased levels of two proteins were significant at a false discovery rate < 0.05: Galectin-4 (Gal-4) and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 1 (IGFBP-1). When these two proteins were included in logistic regression analyses adjusted for age and sex, Gal-4 remained significant. Gal-4 was independently associated with the HO phenotype in multivariable logistic regression analysis (OR 1.72; CI95% 1.16-2.54). Post-hoc analysis revealed that this association was only present in the subpopulation with diabetes (OR 2.26; CI95% 1.25-4.07). However, an interaction analysis was performed, showing no significant interaction between Gal-4 and prevalent diabetes (p = 0.16). CONCLUSIONS: In middle-aged and older individuals with obesity, increased Gal-4 levels were associated with a higher probability of HO. This association was only significant in subjects with diabetes only, further implying a role for Gal-4 in diabetes and its complications.