Pulmonary function and atherosclerosis in the general population: causal associations and clinical implications.

Reduced lung function is associated with cardiovascular mortality, but the relationships with atherosclerosis are unclear. The population-based Swedish CArdioPulmonary BioImage study measured lung function, emphysema, coronary CT angiography, coronary calcium, carotid plaques and ankle-brachial index in 29,593 men and women aged 50-64 years. The results were confirmed using 2-sample Mendelian randomization. Lower lung function and emphysema were associated with more atherosclerosis, but these relationships were attenuated after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Lung function was not associated with coronary atherosclerosis in 14,524 never-smokers. No potentially causal effect of lung function on atherosclerosis, or vice versa, was found in the 2-sample Mendelian randomization analysis. Here we show that reduced lung function and atherosclerosis are correlated in the population, but probably not causally related. Assessing lung function in addition to conventional cardiovascular risk factors to gauge risk of subclinical atherosclerosis is probably not meaningful, but low lung function found by chance should alert for atherosclerosis.

Reorganization of heart failure management and improved outcome - the 4D HF Project.

OBJECTIVES: Heart failure (HF) management is suboptimal in Sweden despite available evidence-based guidelines. To improve HF treatment, a comprehensive HF management program (4D project) was implemented in the Stockholm County (>2.1 million inhabitants). Design. A standardized care program centralized at five hospital-based HF clinics was implemented in 2014-2017. We registered from 2012 to 2017: (1) numbers of referrals and visits to HF clinics, (2) numbers of hospital admitted patients per million inhabitants, (3) dispensed HF medications after admission, and (4) covariate-adjusted 1-year all-cause mortality or HF readmission. Results. Yearly visits to the five HF outpatient clinics increased 3.4 times from 3,372 to 11,527. Dispensed HF drug prescriptions increased, in particular, for readmitted patients, compared to 2012 (p<.0001). Total number of hospital admitted HF patients as well as new-onset or readmitted HF patients decreased by 16, 13, and 20%, respectively (p < .0001). The combined 1-year mortality or HF readmission over the period was 48% (n = 17,124/35,880) and improved per year (HR 0.98 [0.97-0.99], p < .001) from 2012. Conclusion. A comprehensive standardized care HF management program including expanded HF clinics was associated with improved evidence-based medication, reduced HF hospitalization, and improvement of the combined outcome of 1-year mortality or HF readmission in Stockholm.

Assessment of Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI) reference equations for diffusing capacity in relation to respiratory burden in the Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study (SCAPIS).

The Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI) has recently published international reference values for diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (D LCO). Lower limit of normal (LLN), i.e. the 5th percentile, usually defines impaired D LCO We examined if the GLI LLN for D LCO differs from the LLN in a Swedish population of healthy, never-smoking individuals and how any such differences affect identification of subjects with respiratory burden.Spirometry, D LCO, chest high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) and questionnaires were obtained from the first 15 040 participants, aged 50-64 years, of the Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study (SCAPIS). Both GLI reference values and the lambda-mu-sigma (LMS) method were used to define the LLN in asymptomatic never-smokers without respiratory disease (n=4903, of which 2329 were women).Both the median and LLN for D LCO from SCAPIS were above the median and LLN from the GLI (p<0.05). The prevalence of D LCO GLI LLN but GLI LLN but GLI LLN and >SCAPIS LLN). No differences were found with regard to physician-diagnosed asthma.The GLI LLN for D LCO is lower than the estimated LLN in healthy, never-smoking, middle-aged Swedish adults. Individuals with D LCO above the GLI LLN but below the SCAPIS LLN had, to a larger extent, an increased respiratory burden. This suggests clinical implications for choosing an adequate LLN for studied populations.

Increased iron absorption in patients with chronic heart failure and iron deficiency.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency (ID) is common in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF), but the underlying causes are not fully understood. We investigated whether ID is associated with decreased iron absorption in patients with CHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed an oral iron-absorption test in 30 patients and 12 controls. The patients had CHF with reduced (n = 15) or preserved (n = 15) ejection fraction and ID, defined as s-ferritin < 100 µg/L, or s-ferritin 100-299 µg/L and transferrin saturation < 20%. The controls had no HF or ID and were of similar age and gender. Blood samples were taken before and 2 hours after ingestion of 100 mg ferroglycin sulphate. The primary endpoint was the delta plasma iron at 2 hours. The delta plasma iron was higher in the group with HF than in the control group (median increase 83.8 [61.5;128.5] µg/dL in HF vs 47.5 [30.7;61.5] µg/dL in controls, P = 0.001), indicating increased iron absorption. There was no significant difference between the groups with preserved or reduced ejection fraction (P = 0.46). CONCLUSION: We found increased iron absorption in patients with CHF and ID compared to controls without ID and HF, indicating that reduced iron absorption is not a primary cause of the high prevalence of ID in patients with CHF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT 2017-000158-21.

Metabolomic Profile in HFpEF vs HFrEF Patients.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are associated with metabolic derangements, which may have different pathophysiological implications. METHODS AND RESULTS: In new-onset HFpEF (EF of ≥50%, n = 46) and HFrEF (EF of <40%, n = 75) patients, 109 endogenous plasma metabolites including amino acids, phospholipids and acylcarnitines were assessed using targeted metabolomics. Differentially altered metabolites and associations with clinical characteristics were explored. Patients with HFpEF were older, more often female with hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and diabetes compared with patients with HFrEF. Patients with HFpEF displayed higher levels of hydroxyproline and symmetric dimethyl arginine, alanine, cystine, and kynurenine reflecting fibrosis, inflammation and oxidative stress. Serine, cGMP, cAMP, l-carnitine, lysophophatidylcholine (18:2), lactate, and arginine were lower compared with patients with HFrEF. In patients with HFpEF with diabetes, kynurenine was higher (P = .014) and arginine lower (P = .014) vs patients with no diabetes, but did not differ with diabetes status in HFrEF. Decreasing kynurenine was associated with higher eGFR only in HFpEF (Pinteraction = .020). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with new-onset HFpEF compared with patients with new-onset HFrEF display a different metabolic profile associated with comorbidities, such as diabetes and kidney dysfunction. HFpEF is associated with indices of increased inflammation and oxidative stress, impaired lipid metabolism, increased collagen synthesis, and downregulated nitric oxide signaling. Together, these findings suggest a more predominant systemic microvascular endothelial dysfunction and inflammation linked to increased fibrosis in HFpEF compared with HFrEF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03671122 https://clinicaltrials.gov.

Effects of a Tablet Computer on Self-care, Quality of Life, and Knowledge: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Conflicting results have been reported for telemonitoring in patients with heart failure (HF). We wanted to evaluate whether patients using a tablet computer aimed at improving self-care behavior could do so and also whether it affects quality of life and health-related quality of life, disease knowledge, and in-hospital days. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with HF (n = 82) were randomized to the intervention group (IG) with a tablet computer (giving information and advice) or the control group (CG) that was subject to standard care. Study was completed by 72 patients, with a mean (SD) age of 75 (8) years, 68% male, and 74% NYHA class III. Self-care behavior measured with the 9-item European Heart Failure Self-Care Behaviour Scale, health related quality of life measured by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, quality of life measured by the Swedish version of the Health Survey, knowledge measured by the Dutch Heart Failure Knowledge Scale, days in hospital, and adherence were analyzed. The IG displayed better 9-item European Heart Failure Self-Care Behaviour Scale score (median IG, 16.5 [interquartile range {IQR}, 12-22], vs median CG, 23.5 [IQR, 18.8-30.0]; P < .05) and improved health related quality of life (median IG, 72.7 [IQR, 50.8-87.9], vs median CG, 51.8 [IQR, 40.9-62.8]; P < .05). A significant difference in knowledge was seen, with an 11% increase in IG and a 1% decrease in CG (P < .05), as well as a reduction in hospital days in IG by 2.7 days per patient (relative risk, 0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.84; P < .05). CONCLUSION: The tablet computer significantly improved self-care behavior and health related quality of life, increased HF knowledge, and reduced hospital days.

Echocardiographic measures of atrial function may predict atrial fibrillation in stroke patients.

OBJECTIVE: In patients with a prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) and atrial fibrillation anticoagulant treatment is indicated. This study's purpose was to investigate if echocardiography can predict unknown AF in patients after stroke. DESIGN: Prospectively, 174 stroke/TIA patients without diagnosed AF underwent echocardiographic evaluation including tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) focusing on functional parameters of the left atrium and left ventricular diastolic function. AF screening was performed during 30 d. RESULTS: Fifteen patients (8.6%) were diagnosed with AF. Echocardiography in the AF group compared to those without AF, showed larger left atrial volume index (LAVI), (37.2 ± 6.7 vs. 31.6 ± 8.6 ml/m(2), p = 0.018), lower A' velocities in ventricular (5.9 ± 2.2 vs. 7.2 ± 1.6, p = 0.010) and atrial (4.8 ± 1.4 vs. 5.9 ± 1.4, p = 0.013) septa, higher LAVI/A' in ventricular septum (6.7 (5.0-8.7) vs. 4.2 (3.2-5.5), p = 0.001) and atrial septum (8.5 (5.9-11.0) vs. 5.1 (4.1-6.8), p = 0.003). Receiver operating characteristic analyses to detect AF was performed, area under the curve for LAVI was 0.71 (0.61-0.83), p = 0.008, and for LAVI/A' in ventricular septum 0.76 (0.59-0.93), p = 0.006 and atrial septum 0.78 (0.63-0.93), p = 0.002, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LAVI and measures of atrial contraction as measured by TDI predict unknown AF in patients after an stroke/TIA and may be used to detect silent AF.

Scatterer size estimation using the center frequency assessed from ultrasound time domain data.

Scatterer size estimation is useful when characterizing tissue using ultrasound. In all previous studies on scatterer size, the estimations are performed in the frequency domain and are thus subjected to a trade off in time-frequency resolution. This study focused on the feasibility of estimating scatterer size in the time domain using only the ultrasound center frequency, assuming a Gaussian-shaped pulse. A model for frequency normalization was derived and the frequency-dependent attenuation was compensated. Five phantoms with well-defined sizes of spherical glass beads were made and scanned with two different linear array transducers with variable center frequencies. A strong correlation (r = 0.99, p < 10-19) between the backscattered center frequency and the product between the wave number and scatterer radius was demonstrated. On average the scatterer diameter was underestimated by 6% ± 24%. These results suggest that estimation of scatterer size is possible using only the center frequency assessed in the time domain.

Patterns and the mediating role of avoidant coping style and illness perception on anxiety and depression in patients with chronic heart failure.

INTRODUCTION: Emotional distress in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) predicts mortality, hospital readmission and quality of life. The patient's avoidant coping style and beliefs about the disease have been linked to emotional distress in CHF. However, the pattern and transmitting effects of these variables are indefinite. AIM: This study aimed to examine the links between and the potential mediating role of illness perceptions and avoidant coping style on depression and anxiety in patients with CHF. METHOD: Self-assessment data from 103 patients with CHF were subjected to path analysis in two hypothesised models. The outcome measures were coping styles, illness perception, anxiety and depression. RESULTS: Avoidant coping had a direct adverse effect on anxiety and depression. The perception of symptom burden and personal control, significantly mediated the effect between avoidant coping and anxiety and depression. CONCLUSIONS: Avoidant coping style appears to influence not only emotional distress, but also a malignant symptom perception and low sense of control over the illness.

Patient-centred home-based management of heart failure. Findings from a randomised clinical trial evaluating a tablet computer for self-care, quality of life and effects on knowledge.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether a new home intervention system (HIS, OPTILOGG(®)) consisting of a specialised software, a tablet computer (tablet) wirelessly connected to a weight scale may improve self-care behaviour, health-related quality of life (HRQoL), knowledge about heart failure (HF) and reduce hospital days due to HF. DESIGN: 82 patients (32% females) with mean age: 75 ± 8 years hospitalised with HF were randomised at discharge to an intervention group (IG) equipped with the HIS or to a control group (CG) receiving standard HF information only. The tablet contained information about HF and lifestyle advice according to current guidelines. It also showed present dose of diuretic, changes in patient-measured weight and HRQoL over time. RESULTS: After 3 months the IG displayed a dramatic improvement in self-care with p < 0.05 (median IG: 17 [IQR: 13, 22] and CG: 21 [IQR: 17, 25]). The disease-specific HRQoL was measured by Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire. The IG had significantly higher score (median IG: 65.1 [IQR: 38.5, 83.3] vs. CG: 52.1 [IQR: 41.1, 64.1] p < 0.05) and an improved physical limitation (median IG: 54.2 [IQR: 37.7, 83.3] vs. CG: 45.8 [IQR: 25.0, 54.2] p < 0.05) There was no difference in knowledge. IG showed fewer HF-related days in the hospital, with 1.3 HF-related hospital days/patient versus 3.5 in CG (risk ratio: 0.38; 95% confidence interval: 0.31-0.46; p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: HF patients with a HIS tablet computer and scale improved in self-care and HRQoL. Days in hospital due to HF were reduced. A medical device that is easy to use can be a valuable tool for improving self-care and outcome in patients with HF.

Effect of B-type natriuretic peptide-guided treatment of chronic heart failure on total mortality and hospitalization: an individual patient meta-analysis.

AIMS: Natriuretic peptide-guided (NP-guided) treatment of heart failure has been tested against standard clinically guided care in multiple studies, but findings have been limited by study size. We sought to perform an individual patient data meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of NP-guided treatment of heart failure on all-cause mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Eligible randomized clinical trials were identified from searches of Medline and EMBASE databases and the Cochrane Clinical Trials Register. The primary pre-specified outcome, all-cause mortality was tested using a Cox proportional hazards regression model that included study of origin, age (<75 or ≥75 years), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF, ≤45 or >45%) as covariates. Secondary endpoints included heart failure or cardiovascular hospitalization. Of 11 eligible studies, 9 provided individual patient data and 2 aggregate data. For the primary endpoint individual data from 2000 patients were included, 994 randomized to clinically guided care and 1006 to NP-guided care. All-cause mortality was significantly reduced by NP-guided treatment [hazard ratio = 0.62 (0.45-0.86); P = 0.004] with no heterogeneity between studies or interaction with LVEF. The survival benefit from NP-guided therapy was seen in younger (<75 years) patients [0.62 (0.45-0.85); P = 0.004] but not older (≥75 years) patients [0.98 (0.75-1.27); P = 0.96]. Hospitalization due to heart failure [0.80 (0.67-0.94); P = 0.009] or cardiovascular disease [0.82 (0.67-0.99); P = 0.048] was significantly lower in NP-guided patients with no heterogeneity between studies and no interaction with age or LVEF. CONCLUSION: Natriuretic peptide-guided treatment of heart failure reduces all-cause mortality in patients aged <75 years and overall reduces heart failure and cardiovascular hospitalization.

Atrial fibrillation and biomarkers of myocardial fibrosis in heart failure.

OBJECTIVES: Alterations of collagen metabolism present in heart failure promote the fibrotic substrate for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). Myocardial collagen I synthesis and degradation can be assessed indirectly by circulating biomarkers such as the carboxy terminal propeptide (PICP) and carboxy-terminal telopeptide (CITP), respectively. DESIGN: We examined myocardial collagen type-I metabolism in 143 patients with systolic heart failure (New York Heart Association Class 2-4) in relation to coexisting AF. RESULTS: Mean age was 75 years, blood pressure 134/80 mm Hg, ejection fraction 34%, serum PICP 81 µg/L and CITP 8.3 µg/L, and median plasma brain natriuretic peptide 215 pg/L; 77 were in AF. PICP and CITP were related to left atrial diameter (r = 0.22, P = 0.013, and r = 0.26, P = 0.003) and CITP to pulmonary capillary wedge pressure and C-reactive protein (r = 0.19, P = 0.044, and r = 0.29, P = 0.003). A logistic regression suggested that PICP (odds ratio per 1 µg/L change 1.01, P = 0.012) and left ventricular end-diastolic volume (odds ratio per 1 mL change 0.98, P < 0.001) were independently associated with coexisting AF. CONCLUSION: Collagen type-I metabolism is associated to left atrial size. Heart failure patients with coexisting AF exhibit more altered collagen type-I metabolism than patients in sinus rhythm. This might represent more severe atrial and ventricular fibrosis.

Cardiac biopsies reveal differences in transcriptomics between left and right ventricle in patients with or without diagnostic signs of heart failure.

New or mild heart failure (HF) is mainly caused by left ventricular dysfunction. We hypothesised that gene expression differ between the left (LV) and right ventricle (RV) and secondly by type of LV dysfunction. We compared gene expression through myocardial biopsies from LV and RV of patients undergoing elective coronary bypass surgery (CABG). Patients were categorised based on LV ejection fraction (EF), diastolic function and NT-proBNP into pEF (preserved; LVEF ≥ 45%), rEF (reduced; LVEF < 45%) or normal LV function. Principal component analysis of gene expression displayed two clusters corresponding to LV and RV. Up-regulated genes in LV included natriuretic peptides NPPA and NPPB, transcription factors/coactivators STAT4 and VGLL2, ion channel related HCN2 and LRRC38 associated with cardiac muscle contraction, cytoskeleton, and cellular component movement. Patients with pEF phenotype versus normal differed in gene expression predominantly in LV, supporting that diastolic dysfunction and structural changes reflect early LV disease in pEF. DKK2 was overexpressed in LV of HFpEF phenotype, potentially leading to lower expression levels of ß-catenin, α-SMA (smooth muscle actin), and enhanced apoptosis, and could be a possible factor in the development of HFpEF. CXCL14 was down-regulated in both pEF and rEF, and may play a role to promote development of HF.

Iron deficiency in new onset heart failure: association with clinical factors and quality of life.

AIMS: The prevalence of iron deficiency (ID) in newly diagnosed heart failure (HF) and the progression of ID in patients after initiation of HF therapy are unknown. We aimed to describe the natural trajectory of ID in patients with new onset HF during the first year after HF diagnosis, assessing associations between ID, clinical factors, and quality of life (QoL). METHODS AND RESULTS: A prospective cohort of patients with new onset HF in hospitals or outpatient clinics at five major hospitals in Stockholm, Sweden, during 2015-2018 were analysed with clinical assessment, electrocardiogram, blood samples including iron levels, Minnesota living with heart failure questionnaire (MLHFQ), and echocardiogram at baseline and after 12 months. Of 547 patients with new-onset HF, 482 (88%) had complete iron data at baseline. Mean age was 70 years (interquartile range 61-77) and 311 (65%) were men; 55% of patients had ejection fraction (EF) ≤ 40%, 19% had EF 41-49%, and 26% had HF with preserved EF (HFpEF). At baseline, 163 patients (34%) had ID defined as ferritin <100 µg/L or ferritin 100-299 µg/L and transferrin saturation <20%. After 12 months of follow-up, 119 (32%) had ID of the 368 patients who had complete iron data both at baseline and after 12 months and did not receive intravenous (i.v.) iron during follow-up. During the first year after HF diagnosis, 19% had persistent ID, 13% developed ID, 11% resolved ID, and 57% never had ID, consequently 24% changed their classification. Anaemia at baseline was the strongest independent predictor of ID 1 year after diagnosis [odds ratio (OR) 3.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.88-8.13, P < 0.001], followed by HF hospitalization (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.24-3.95, P < 0.01), female sex (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.25-3.32, P < 0.01), HFpEF (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.13-3.39, P < 0.05), and diabetes mellitus (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.06-3.48, P < 0.05). ID was associated with low QoL at baseline (MLHFQ score mean difference 7.4 points, 95% CI 3.1-11.7, P < 0.001), but not at follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: About one third of patients with new onset HF had ID both at the time of HF diagnosis and after 1 year, though a quarter of the patients changed their ID status. Patients with anaemia, HF hospitalization, female gender, HFpEF, or diabetes mellitus at baseline were more likely to have ID after 1 year implying that these should be carefully screened for ID to find those in need of i.v. iron treatment.

The challenges of recruiting never-smokers with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease from the large population-based Swedish CArdiopulmonary bioImage study (SCAPIS) cohort.

Background: A substantial proportion of individuals with COPD have never smoked, and it is implied to be more common than previously anticipated but poorly studied. Aim: To describe the process of recruitment of never-smokers with COPD from a population-based cohort (n = 30 154). Methods: We recruited never-smokers with COPD, aged 50-75 years, from six University Hospitals, based on: 1) post broncho-dilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) < 0.70 and 2) FEV1 50-100% of predicted value and 3) being never-smokers (self-reported). In total 862 SCAPIS participants were identified, of which 652 were reachable and agreed to a first screening by telephone. Altogether 128 (20%) were excluded due to previous smoking or declined participation. We also applied a lower limit of normal (LLN) of FEV1/FVC (z-score<-1.64) according to the Global Lung Initiative to ensure a stricter definition of airflow obstruction. Results: Data on respiratory symptoms, health status, and medical history were collected from 492 individuals, since 32 were excluded at a second data review (declined or previous smoking), prior to the first visit. Due to not matching the required lung function criteria at a second spirometry, an additional 334 (68%) were excluded. These exclusions were by reason of: FEV1/FVC ≥0.7 (49%), FEV1 > 100% of predicted (26%) or z-score ≥ -1,64 (24%). Finally, 154 never-smokers with COPD were included: 56 (36%) women, (mean) age 60 years, FEV1 84% of predicted, FEV1/FVC: 0.6, z-score: -2.2, Oxygen saturation: 97% and BMI: 26.8 kg/m2. Conclusions: The challenges of a recruitment process of never-smokers with COPD were shown, including the importance of correct spirometry testing and strict inclusion criteria. Our findings highlight the importance of repeated spirometry assessments for improved accuracy in diagnosing COPD.

Rates and predictors of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

AIMS: The detailed sub-categories of death and hospitalization, and the impact of comorbidities on cause-specific outcomes, remain poorly understood in heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We sought to evaluate rates and predictors of cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV outcomes in HFpEF. METHODS: The Karolinska-Rennes study was a bi-national prospective observational study designed to characterize HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥45%). Patients were followed for cause-specific death and hospitalization. Baseline characteristics were pre-selected based on clinical relevance and potential eligibility criteria for HFpEF trials. The associations between characteristics and cause-specific outcomes were assessed with univariable and multivariable Cox regressions. RESULTS: Five hundred thirty-nine patients [56% females; median (inter-quartile range) age 79 (72-84) years; NT-proBNP/BNP 2448 (1290-4790)/429 (229-805) ng/L] were included. Over 1196 patient-years follow-up [median (min, max) 744 days (13-1959)], there were 159 (29%) deaths (13 per 100 patient-years: CV 5.1 per 100, dominated by HF 3.9 per 100; and non-CV 5.8 per 100, dominated by cancer, 2.3 per 100). There were 723 hospitalizations in 338 patients (63%; 60 per 100 patient-years: CV 33 per 100, dominated by HF 17 per 100; and non-CV 27 per 100, dominated by lung disease 5 per 100). Higher age and natriuretic peptides, lower serum natraemia and NYHA class III-IV were independent predictors of CV death; lower serum natraemia, anaemia and stroke of non-CV death; and anaemia and lower serum natraemia of non-CV death or hospitalizations. There were no apparent predictors of CV death or hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: In a clinical cohort hospitalized and diagnosed with HFpEF, death and hospitalization rates were roughly similar for CV and non-CV causes. CV deaths were predicted primarily by severity of HF; non-CV deaths primarily by anaemia and prior stroke. Lower serum sodium predicted both. Hospitalizations were difficult to predict.

Real-Time Monitoring of Lysosomal Membrane Permeabilization Using Acridine Orange.

Loss of lysosomal membrane integrity results in leakage of lysosomal hydrolases to the cytosol which might harm cell function and induce cell death. Destabilization of lysosomes often precede apoptotic or necrotic cell death and occur during both physiological and pathological conditions. The weak base acridine orange readily enters cells and accumulates in the acidic environment of lysosomes. Vital staining with acridine orange is a well-proven technique to observe lysosomal destabilization using fluorescence microscopy and flow cytometry. These analyses are, however, time consuming and only adapted for discrete time points, which make them unsuitable for large-scale approaches. Therefore, we have developed a time-saving, high-throughput microplate reader-based method to follow destabilization of the lysosomal membrane in real-time using acridine orange. This protocol can easily be adopted for patient samples since the number of cells per sample is low and the time for analysis is short.

Unleashing the Power of Very Small Data to Predict Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Introduction: In this article, we explore to what extent it is possible to leverage on very small data to build machine learning (ML) models that predict acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Methods: We build ML models using the small data collected during the eHealth Diary telemonitoring study between 2013 and 2017 in Sweden. This data refers to a group of multimorbid patients, namely 18 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) as the major reason behind previous hospitalisations. The telemonitoring was supervised by a specialised hospital-based home care (HBHC) unit, which also was responsible for the medical actions needed. Results: We implement two different ML approaches, one based on time-dependent covariates and the other one based on time-independent covariates. We compare the first approach with standard COX Proportional Hazards (CPH). For the second one, we use different proportions of synthetic data to build models and then evaluate the best model against authentic data. Discussion: To the best of our knowledge, the present ML study shows for the first time that the most important variable for an increased risk of future AECOPDs is "maintenance medication changes by HBHC". This finding is clinically relevant since a sub-optimal maintenance treatment, requiring medication changes, puts the patient in risk for future AECOPDs. Conclusion: The experiments return useful insights about the use of small data for ML.

The Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Which Symptom is Most Important to Monitor?

Background: GOLD 2023 defines an exacerbation of COPD (ECOPD) by a deterioration of breathlessness at rest (BaR), mucus and cough. The severity of an ECOPD is determined by the degree of BaR, ranging from 0 to 10. However, it is not known which symptom is the most important one to detect early of an ECOPD, and which symptom that predicts future ECOPDs best. Thus, the purpose of the present study was to find out which symptom is the most important one to monitor. Methods: We analysed data on COPD symptoms from the telehealth study The eHealth Diary. Frequent exacerbators (n = 27) were asked to daily monitor BaR and breathlessness at physical activity (BaPA), mucus and cough, employing a digital pen and symptom scales (0-10). Twenty-seven patients with 105 ECOPDs were analysed. The association between symptom development and the occurrence of exacerbations was evaluated using the Andersen-Gill formulation of the Cox proportional hazards model for the analysis of recurrent time-to-event data with time-varying predictors. Results: According to the criteria proposed by GOLD 2023, 42% ECOPDs were mild, 48% were moderate and 5% were severe, while 6% were undefinable. Mucus and cough improved over study time, while BaR and BaPA deteriorated. Mucus appeared earliest, which was the most prominent feature of the average exacerbation, and worsening of mucus increased the risk for a future ECOPD. There was a 58% increase in the risk of exacerbation per unit increase in mucus score. Conclusion: This study suggests that mucus worsening is the most important COPD symptom to monitor to detect ECOPDs early and to predict future risk för ECOPDs. In the present study, we also noticed a pronounced difference between GOLD 2022 and 2023. Hence, GOLD 2023 defined the ECOPD severity much lower than GOLD 2022 did.

Applying the Rome Proposal on Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Does Comorbid Chronic Heart Failure Matter?

Background: Chronic heart failure (CHF) is a common comorbidity among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Both exacerbations of COPD (ECOPDs) and exacerbations of CHF (ECHFs) display worsening of breathlessness at rest (BaR) and breathlessness at physical activity (BaPA). Comorbid CHF may have an impact on the vital signs assessed, when the Rome proposal (adopted by GOLD 2023) is applied on ECOPDs. Thus, the aim of the present study was to investigate the impact of comorbid CHF on ECOPDs severity, particularly focusing on the influence of comorbid CHF on BaR and BaPA. Methods: We analysed data on COPD symptoms collected from the telehealth study The eHealth Diary. Patients with COPD (n = 43) and patients with CHF (n = 41) were asked to daily monitor BaR and BaPA, employing a digital pen and scales for BaR and BaPA (from 0 to 10). Twenty-eight patients of the COPD patients presented with comorbid CHF. Totally, 125 exacerbations were analysed. Results: Exacerbations in the group with COPD patients and comorbid CHF were compared to the group with COPD patients without comorbid CHF and the group with CHF patients. Compared with GOLD 2022, the GOLD 2023 (the Rome proposal) significantly downgraded the ECOPD severity. Comorbid CHF did not interfere significantly on the observed difference. Comorbid CHF did not worsen BaR scores, assessed at inclusion and at the symptom peak of the exacerbations. Conclusion: In the present study, we find no evidence that comorbid CHF would interfere significantly with the parameters included in the Rome proposal (GOLD 2023). We conclude that the Rome proposal can be safely applied even on COPD patients with very advanced comorbid CHF.