Does iodine fortification affect the risk of atrial fibrillation in incident hyperthyroidism? A national register-based cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Iodine fortification (IF) induces an initial increase followed by a decrease in the incidence of hyperthyroidism in the general population. Within the population of hyperthyroid patients, the sex-, age- and subtype distribution changes after IF. The risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in hyperthyroid patients may be influenced by these factors. Therefore, we aimed to examine how the association between incident hyperthyroidism and AF was affected by IF increasing the population iodine intake from moderate-mild iodine deficiency to low adequacy. DESIGN, PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Incident hyperthyroid patients were included at the date of first inpatient or outpatient diagnosis, and AF diagnoses within 3 months before to 6 months after the index date were identified in Danish nationwide registers, 1997-2018. The relative risk (RR) of AF each calendar year (reference: 1997; IF introduced: 2000) was analyzed in Poisson regression models adjusted for age, sex, educational level, geographic region, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Overall, in 62,201 patients with incident hyperthyroidism 7.9% were diagnosed with AF. There was a minor nonsignificantly increased risk of AF during the first years after IF followed by a gradual decrease to RR 0.76 (0.62-0.94) in 2017. There were no statistically significant differences in the development in the risk of AF by sex, age group, or geographic region. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate that IF may reduce the risk of concomitant AF in hyperthyroid patients. If these results are confirmed, IF may not only reduce the population incidence of hyperthyroidism but also reduce the burden of morbidity in the remaining hyperthyroid patients.

[15O]H2O myocardial perfusion positron emission tomography: Added value of relative stress perfusion deficit in the prediction of significant coronary artery stenosis in a mixedpopulation.

BACKGROUND: It remains unknown whether estimation of the relative stress perfusion deficit offers added value in the prediction of significant coronary artery stenosis in myocardial perfusion imaging with [15O]H2O positron emission tomography (PET) in a population with high prevalence of established cardiac disease. METHODS: During eight months, we consecutively included all patients undergoing [15O]H2O PET and subsequent invasive coronary angiography (ICA). Significant stenosis was defined from ICA as fractional flow reserve ≤.8 or coronary artery narrowing of ≥70%. We calculated absolute and relative total perfusion deficits (aTPD and rTPD, respectively) as semiquantitative measures of the extent and severity of reduced stress perfusion. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to test the adjusted associations (odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI) with significant coronary artery stenosis. RESULTS: Of 800 patients undergoing [15O]H2O PET, 144 underwent ICA, where 142 patients had aTPD of ≥3% and 79 (55%) of these had at least one significant stenosis. In an adjusted analysis, rTPD (OR10% increase = 2.12 (1.44-3.12), P < .001), previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (OR = .11 (.03-.36), P < .001) and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (OR = .25 (.08-.84), P = .02) were independently associated with significant stenosis, whereas the association with aTPD (OR10% increase = 1.14 (.98-1.32), P = .08) was modest. CONCLUSIONS: In the presence of an absolute perfusion deficit (aTPD of ≥3%), rTPD may improve the prediction of significant stenosis in a heterogeneous population of patients examined with [15O]H2O PET. Furthermore, previous CABG and reduced LVEF are associated with nonstenotic perfusion deficiencies, suggesting caution when interpreting myocardial perfusion imaging in such patients.

Cardiovascular events according to blood pressure thresholds recommended by ACC/AHA.

AIM: The latest guidelines from ACC/AHA define hypertension at systolic blood pressure (SBP) 130-139 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) 80-89 mmHg in contrast to guidelines from ESC/ESH defining hypertension at SBP ≥ 140 mmHg or DBP ≥ 90 mmHg. The aim was to determine whether the ACC/AHA definition of hypertension identifies persons at elevated risk for future cardiovascular outcome. METHODS: In a Danish prospective cardiovascular study, 19,721 white men and women aged 20-98 years were examined up to five occasions between 1976 and 2015. The population was followed until December 2018. The ACC/AHA definition of the BP levels were applied: Normal: SBP <120 mmHg and DBP <80 mmHg, Elevated: SBP 120-129 mmHg and DBP <80 mmHg, Stage 1: SBP 130-139 mmHg or DBP 80-89 mmHg, Stage 2: SBP ≥140 mmHg or DBP ≥90 mmHg. Absolute 10-year risk was calculated taking repeated examinations, covariates, and competing risk into account. RESULTS: For all outcomes, the 10-year risk in stage 1 hypertension did not differ significantly from risk in subjects with normal BP: The 10-year risk of cardiovascular events in stage 1 hypertension was 14.1% [95% CI 13.2;15.0] and did not differ significantly from the risk in normal BP at 12.8% [95% CI 11.1;14.5] (p = 0.19). The risk was highest in stage 2 hypertension 19.4% [95% CI 18.9;20.0] and differed significantly from normal BP, elevated BP, and stage 1 hypertension (p < 0.001). The 10-year risk of cardiovascular death was 6.6% [95% CI 5.9;7.4] in stage 1 hypertension and did not differ significantly from the risk in normal BP at 5.7% [95% CI 4.1;7.3] (p = 0.33). CONCLUSIONS: Stage 1 hypertension as defined by the ACC/AHA guidelines has the same risk for future cardiovascular events as normal BP. In contrast, the definition of hypertension as suggested by ESC/ESH identifies patients with elevated risk of cardiovascular events.

Until 2017, there was worldwide agreement on defining hypertension at systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg.In 2017, the American Cardiology Societies (ACC and AHA) lowered the threshold for defining hypertension at SBP 130-139 mmHg or DBP 80-89 mmHg.Lowering the threshold might make healthy persons sick if the thresholds do not identify persons at high risk.Unnecessary medical treatment is associated with high economic cost for the health care systems.We wanted to explore whether applying the American BP definition in a Scandinavian population identified persons with elevated risk for cardiovascular disease.As part of the Copenhagen City Heart study, 19,721 men and women aged 20-98 years were followed from 1976.They went through up to five examinations between 1976 and 2018 including BP measurements.We applied the American BP thresholds and followed the persons until death or 2018.In Denmark all citizens have a unique identification number which is linked to all health care contacts and administrative registers.We used advanced statistical methods and linked the BP measurements with the data for cardiovascular disease and death date from the Danish registries for each person.The results showed that the American definition of hypertension has same risk for future cardiovascular disease as the definition of normal BP.This means that healthy persons will be diagnosed with hypertension if the US guidelines were applied in Denmark.

Cognitive-behavioural therapy reduces psychological distress in younger patients with cardiac disease: a randomized trial.

AIMS: To test whether usual outpatient cardiac rehabilitation (CR) supplemented by a cognitive-behavioural therapy (CBT) intervention may reduce anxiety and depression compared with usual CR. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this multicentre randomized controlled trial, 147 cardiac patients (67% men, mean age 54 years, 92% with coronary artery disease) with psychological distress defined as a hospital anxiety and depression scale (HADS) anxiety or depression score ≥8 were randomized to five sessions of group CBT plus usual CR (intervention, n = 74) or CR alone (control, n = 73). Patients with severe distress or a psychiatric diagnosis were excluded. The intervention was delivered by cardiac nurses with CBT training and supervised by a psychologist. A reference, non-randomized group (background, n = 41) of consecutive patients without psychological distress receiving usual CR was included to explore the effect of time on HADS score. The primary outcome, total HADS score after 3 months, improved more in the intervention than in the control group [the mean total HADS score improved by 8.0 (standard deviation 5.6) vs. 4.1 (standard deviation 7.8), P < 0.001]. Significant between-group differences were maintained after 6 months. Compared with the control group, the intervention group also had greater adherence to CR (P = 0.003), more improvement in the heart-related quality of life (HeartQoL) at 6 months (P < 0.01), and a significant reduction in cardiac readmissions at 12 months (P < 0.01). The background group had no significant change in HADS score over time. CONCLUSION: Brief CBT provided by cardiac nurses in relation to CR reduced anxiety and depression scores, improved HeartQoL and adherence to CR, and reduced cardiovascular readmissions. The programme is simple and may be implemented by CR nurses.

Women, lipids, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a call to action from the European Atherosclerosis Society.

Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in women and men globally, with most due to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Despite progress during the last 30 years, ASCVD mortality is now increasing, with the fastest relative increase in middle-aged women. Missed or delayed diagnosis and undertreatment do not fully explain this burden of disease. Sex-specific factors, such as hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, premature menopause (especially primary ovarian insufficiency), and polycystic ovary syndrome are also relevant, with good evidence that these are associated with greater cardiovascular risk. This position statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society focuses on these factors, as well as sex-specific effects on lipids, including lipoprotein(a), over the life course in women which impact ASCVD risk. Women are also disproportionately impacted (in relative terms) by diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and auto-immune inflammatory disease. All these effects are compounded by sociocultural components related to gender. This panel stresses the need to identify and treat modifiable cardiovascular risk factors earlier in women, especially for those at risk due to sex-specific conditions, to reduce the unacceptably high burden of ASCVD in women.

Validation of the ARIC prediction model for sudden cardiac death in the European population: The ESCAPE-NET project.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death is responsible for 10% to 20% of all deaths in Europe. The current study investigates how well the risk of sudden cardiac death can be predicted. To this end, we validated a previously developed prediction model for sudden cardiac death from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (USA). METHODS: Data from participants of the Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS) (n=9988) was used to externally validate the previously developed prediction model for sudden cardiac death. The model's performance was assessed through discrimination (C-statistic) and calibration by the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit (HL) statistics suited for censored data and visual inspection of calibration plots. Additional validation was performed using data from the Hoorn Study (N=2045), employing the same methods. RESULTS: During ten years of follow-up of CCHS participants (mean age: 58.7 years, 56.2% women), 425 experienced SCD (4.2%). The prediction model showed good discrimination for sudden cardiac death risk (C-statistic: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.79-0.83). Calibration was robust (HL statistic: P=0.8). Visual inspection of the calibration plot showed that the calibration could be improved. Sensitivity was 89.8%, and specificity was 60.6%. The positive and negative predictive values were 10.1% and 99.2%. Model performance was similar in the Hoorn Study (C-statistic: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.77-0.85 and the HL statistic: 1.00). CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the previously developed prediction model in North American adults performs equally well in identifying those at risk for sudden cardiac death in a general North-West European population. However, the positive predictive value is low.

82Rb and [15O]H2O myocardial perfusion PET imaging: a prospective head to head comparison.

BACKGROUND: 82Rb PET and [15O]H2O PET are both validated tracers for myocardical perfusion imaging but have not previously been compared clinically. During our site's transition from 82Rb to [15O]H2O PET, we performed a head-to-head comparison in a mixed population with suspected ischemic heart disease. METHODS: A total of 37 patients referred for perfusion imaging due to suspicion of coronary stenosis were examined with both 82Rb and [15O]H2O PET on the same day in rest and during adenosine-induced stress. The exams were rated by two blinded readers as normal, regional ischemia, globally reduced myocardial perfusion, or myocardial scarring. For [15O]H2O PET, regional ischemia was defined as two neighboring segments with average stress perfusion ≤ 2.3 mL/(min·g). Further, we evaluated a total perfusion deficit (TPD) of ≥ 10% as a more conservative marker of ischemia. RESULTS: [15O]H2O PET identified more patients with regional ischemia: 17(46%) vs 9(24%), agreement: 59% corresponding to a Cohen's kappa of .31 [95%CI .08-.53], (P < .001). Using the more conservative TPD ≥ 10%, the agreement increased to 86% corresponding to a kappa of .62 [95%CI .33-.92], (P = .001). For the subgroup of patients with no known heart disease (n = 18), the agreement was 94%. Interrater agreement was 95% corresponding to a kappa of .89 [95%CI .74-1.00] (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In clinical transition from 82Rb to [15O]H2O PET, it is important to take into account the higher frequency of patients with regional ischemia detected by [15O]H2O PET.

Unstable Angina as a Component of Primary Composite Endpoints in Clinical Cardiovascular Trials: Pros and Cons.

BACKGROUND: Unstable angina (UA) is a component of acute coronary syndrome that is only occasionally included in primary composite endpoints in clinical cardiovascular trials. The aim of this paper is to elucidate the potential benefits and disadvantages of including UA in such contexts. SUMMARY: UA comprises <10% of patients with acute coronary syndromes in contemporary settings. Based on the pathophysiological similarities, it is ideal as a part of a composite endpoint along with myocardial infarction (MI). By adding UA as a component of a primary composite endpoint, the number of events and feasibility of the trial should increase, thus decreasing its size and cost. Furthermore, UA has both economic and quality of life implications on a societal and an individual level. However, there are important challenges associated with the use of UA as an endpoint. With the introduction of high-sensitivity troponins, the number of individuals diagnosed with UA has decreased to rather low levels, with a reciprocal increase in the number of MI. In addition, UA is particularly challenging to define given the subjective assessment of the index symptoms, rendering a high risk of bias. To minimize bias, strict criteria are warranted, and events should be adjudicated by a blinded endpoint adjudication committee. KEY MESSAGES: UA should only be chosen as a component of a primary composite endpoint in cardiovascular trials after thoroughly evaluating the pros and cons. If it is chosen to include UA, appropriate precautions should be taken to minimize possible bias.

Coronary flow velocity reserve predicts adverse prognosis in women with angina and no obstructive coronary artery disease: results from the iPOWER study.

AIMS: Many patients with angina, especially women, do not have obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) yet have impaired prognosis. We investigated whether routine assessment of coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) is feasible and predicts adverse outcome in women with angina and no obstructive CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: After screening 7253, we included 1853 women with angina and no obstructive CAD on angiogram who were free of previous CAD, heart failure, or valvular heart disease in the prospective iPOWER (Improving Diagnosis and Treatment of Women with Angina Pectoris and Microvascular Disease) study. CMD was assessed by Doppler echocardiography in the left anterior descending artery as coronary flow velocity reserve (CFVR). Patients were followed for a composite outcome of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure, stroke, and coronary revascularization. CFVR was obtained in 1681 patients (91%) and the median CFVR was 2.33 (quartiles 1-3: 2.00-2.74). During a median follow-up of 4.5 years, 96 events occurred. In univariate Cox regression, CFVR was associated with the composite outcome {hazard ratio (HR) 1.07 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.11] per 0.1 unit decrease in CFVR; P < 0.001}, primarily driven by an increased risk of MI and heart failure. Results remained significant in multivariate analysis [HR 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.09) per 0.1 unit decrease in CFVR; P = 0.01]. In exploratory analyses, CFVR was also associated with the risk of repeated hospital admission for angina and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: Assessment of CFVR by echocardiography is feasible and predictive of adverse outcome in women with angina and no obstructive CAD. Results support a more aggressive preventive management of these patients and underline the need for trials targeting CMD.

Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction: A Practical Approach to Diagnosis and Management.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of diagnostic and treatment considerations in patients with coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) in the absence of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). RECENT FINDINGS: The prevalence of obstructive CAD in unselected patient populations referred for evaluation of angina is less than 10%. A significant proportion of patients with angina and no obstructive CAD have CMD, a condition associated with impaired cardiovascular prognosis. Non-invasive and invasive evaluation of coronary microvascular function is feasible and widely available, yet CMD is underdiagnosed and undertreated. A patient-tailored treatment approach guided by coronary microvascular testing shows promising results for patient-reported outcomes of symptom burden and quality of life. Coronary microvascular testing should be considered in angina patients with no obstructive CAD, before other causes of chest pain are explored. A patient-tailored treatment approach guided by a complete evaluation of epicardial anatomy and macro-and microvascular function may help optimize treatment strategy and prevent unnecessary medical interventions. More research is needed to establish the long-term effect of patient-tailored therapies on risk reduction in CMD.

The effect of occupational physical activity on dementia: Results from the Copenhagen Male Study.

Leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) reduces the risk of dementia, while the effect of occupational physical activity (OPA) on dementia is uncertain. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the effect of OPA on dementia. For comparison, also the association between LTPA and dementia was analyzed. In this longitudinal study, we used self-reported questionnaire data on OPA and LTPA collected in 1970-71 from 4721 male employees, who were 40-59 years old at baseline. Dementia was identified through national registers and participants were followed from they turned 60 years and until 2016. We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRR) and adjusted for age, socioeconomic status, marital status, and psychological stress. In additional analyses, we included health behaviors and blood pressure and mutually adjusted OPA and LTPA. We identified 697 dementia cases during 86 557 person-years. We found an IRR of 1.48 (95% CI: 1.05-2.10) among participants with high OPA compared with participants in sedentary jobs. Participants with high LTPA had a non-significantly lower IRR of dementia compared with participants with a sedentary leisure time. In conclusion, LTPA and OPA are differentially associated with dementia. Therefore, current recommendations regarding the beneficial effect of physical activity on dementia only concern LTPA, and more research on OPA and dementia is needed.

Diastolic function assessed with speckle tracking over a decade and its prognostic value: The Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: The ratio of transmitral early filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) may be a more accurate measure of LV filling pressure then ratio of early filling pressure to early tissue velocity. The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of age, sex, obesity, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, physical activity level, socioeconomic, and psychosocial status on E/e'sr over a decade. Additionally, the predictive value of ΔE/e'sr on future major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has never been explored. METHOD: The study included 623 participants from the general population, who participated in the 4th and 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS4 and CCHS5). Examinations were median 10 years apart. MACE was the composite endpoint of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and all-cause death. RESULTS: Follow-up time was median 5.7 years, and 43 (7%) experienced MACE. Mean age was 51 ± 14 years, and 43% were male. Mean ΔE/e'sr was 2.1 ± 23.0 cm. After multivariable adjustment for demographic, clinical, and biochemistry variables, high age (stand. ß-coef. = .24, P < .001) and mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) (stand. ß-coef. = .17, P < .001) were significantly associated with an accelerated increase in E/e'sr In multivariable Cox regression, E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of MACE (HR = 1.20, 95% CI [1.01; 1.42] per 10 cm increase for both). ΔE/e'sr did only provide incremental prognostic value to change in left atrial volume index of the conventional diastolic measurements. CONCLUSION: In the general population, age and MAP were predictors of an accelerated increase in E/e'sr over a decade. E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of future MACE.

An EAPCI Expert Consensus Document on Ischaemia with Non-Obstructive Coronary Arteries in Collaboration with European Society of Cardiology Working Group on Coronary Pathophysiology & Microcirculation Endorsed by Coronary Vasomotor Disorders International Study Group.

This consensus document, a summary of the views of an expert panel organized by the European Association of Percutaneous Cardiovascular Interventions (EAPCI), appraises the importance of ischaemia with non-obstructive coronary arteries (INOCA). Angina pectoris affects approximately 112 million people globally. Up to 70% of patients undergoing invasive angiography do not have obstructive coronary artery disease, more common in women than in men, and a large proportion have INOCA as a cause of their symptoms. INOCA patients present with a wide spectrum of symptoms and signs that are often misdiagnosed as non-cardiac leading to under-diagnosis/investigation and under-treatment. INOCA can result from heterogeneous mechanism including coronary vasospasm and microvascular dysfunction and is not a benign condition. Compared to asymptomatic individuals, INOCA is associated with increased incidence of cardiovascular events, repeated hospital admissions, as well as impaired quality of life and associated increased health care costs. This consensus document provides a definition of INOCA and guidance to the community on the diagnostic approach and management of INOCA based on existing evidence from research and best available clinical practice; noting gaps in knowledge and potential areas for further investigation.

Clinical outcomes after cardiac rehabilitation in elderly patients with and without diabetes mellitus: The EU-CaRE multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of patients with concomitant cardiovascular disease and diabetes mellitus (DM) is increasing rapidly. We aimed to compare the effectiveness of current cardiac rehabilitation (CR) programs across seven European countries between elderly cardiac patients with and without DM. METHODS: 1633 acute and chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) patients and patients after valve intervention with an age 65 or above who participated in comprehensive CR (3 weeks to 3 months, depending on centre) were included. Peak oxygen uptake (VO2 peak), body mass index, resting systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C), and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) were assessed before start of CR, at termination of CR (variable time point), and 12 months after start of CR, with no intervention after CR. Baseline values and changes from baseline to 12-month follow-up were compared between patients with and without DM using mixed models, and mortality and hospitalisation rates using logistic regression. RESULTS: 430 (26.3%) patients had DM. Patients with DM had more body fat, lower educational level, more comorbidities, cardiovascular risk factors, and more advanced CAD. Both groups increased their VO2 peak over the study period but with a significantly lower improvement from baseline to follow-up in patients with DM. In the DM group, change in HbA1c was associated with weight change but not with change in absolute VO2 peak. 12-month cardiac mortality was higher in patients with DM. CONCLUSIONS: While immediate improvements in VO2 peak after CR in elderly patients with and without DM were similar, 12-month maintenance of this improvement was inferior in patients with DM, possibly related to disease progression. Glycemic control was less favourable in diabetic patients needing insulin in the short- and long-term. Since glycemic control was only related to weight loss but not to increase in exercise capacity, this highlights the importance of weight loss in obese DM patients during CR. Trial registration NTR5306 at trialregister.nl; trial registered 07/16/2015; https://www.trialregister.nl/trial/5166.

An attempt to explain the bidirectional association between ischaemic heart disease, stroke and depression: a cohort and meta-analytic approach.

BACKGROUND: Depression and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are common diseases and associated in a bidirectional manner. AIMS: To examine whether a bidirectional association between CVD and depression could be explained by shared risk factors, misclassification of disease measures or non-response. METHOD: A total of 10 population-based cohorts including 93 076 men and women (mean age 54.4 years, s.d. = 9.2) and an additional 10 510 men (mean age 51.2 years, s.d. = 0.3) were followed for subsequent depression, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke in the Danish National Patient Registry from health examinations between 1982 and 2015 and until end of follow-up in 2017-2018. Exposures were physicians' diagnoses of IHD, stroke, depression or self-reported chest pain, depression, use of antidepressant medication and the Major Depression Inventory at the time of study entry in the Metropolit study. Associations were analysed using Cox proportional hazard regression with disease as time-dependent variables. RESULTS: IHD and stroke were associated with subsequent depression (hazard ratio (HR) for IHD: 1.79, 95% CI 1.43-2.23 and HR for stroke: 2.62, 95% CI 2.09-3.29) and the associations were present in both men and women. Adjustment for the shared risk factors socioeconomic status, lifestyle, body mass index, statin use and serum lipids did not change the risk estimates. Furthermore, depression was associated with higher risk of subsequent IHD (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.36-1.95) and stroke (HR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.63-2.30). The associations were also present when the analyses were based on self-reported disease measures or restricted to include non-responders. CONCLUSIONS: The bidirectional association between CVD and depression was not explained by shared risk factors, misclassification or non-response.

Can we walk away from cardiovascular disease risk or do we have to 'huff and puff'? A cross-sectional compositional accelerometer data analysis among adults and older adults in the Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether walking can decrease cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk or if high intensity physical activity (HIPA) is needed, and whether the association is modified by age. We investigated how sedentary behaviour, walking, and HIPA, were associated with systolic blood pressure (SBP), waist circumference (WC), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) among adults and older adults in a general population sample using compositional data analysis. Specifically, the measure of association was quantified by reallocating time between sedentary behaviour and 1) walking, and 2) HIPA. METHODS: Cross-sectional data from the fifth examination of the Copenhagen City Heart Study was used. Using the software Acti4, we estimated daily time spent in physical behaviours from accelerometer data worn 24 h/day for 7 days (i.e., right frontal thigh and iliac crest; median wear time: 6 days, 23.8 h/day). SBP, WC, and LDL-C were measured during a physical examination. Inclusion criteria were ≥ 5 days with ≥16 h of accelerometer recordings per day, and no use of antihypertensives, diuretics or cholesterol lowering medicine. The 24-h physical behaviour composition consisted of sedentary behaviour, standing, moving, walking, HIPA (i.e., sum of climbing stairs, running, cycling, and rowing), and time in bed. We used fitted values from linear regression models to predict the difference in outcome given the investigated time reallocations relative to the group-specific mean composition. RESULTS: Among 1053 eligible participants, we found an interaction between the physical behaviour composition and age. Age-stratified analyses (i.e.,

Ischemic heart failure as a complication of incident acute myocardial infarction: Timing and time trends: A national analysis including 78,814 Danish patients during 2000-2009.

Aim: Heart failure is a serious complication of acute myocardial infarction leading to poor prognosis. We aimed at exploring time trends of heart failure and their impact on mortality among patients with an incident acute myocardial infarction. Methods: From the National Patient Danish Registry we collected data on all patients hospitalized with an incident of acute myocardial infarction during 2000-2009 and identified cases with in-hospital heart failure (presented on admission or developing heart failure during acute myocardial infarction hospitalization) or post-discharge heart failure (a hospitalization or outpatient visit following acute myocardial infarction discharge), and assessed in-hospital, 30-day and 1-year mortality. Results: Of the 78,814 patients included in the study, 10,248 (13.0%) developed in-hospital heart failure. The odds of in-hospital heart failure declined 0.9% per year (odds ratio=0.991, 95% confidence interval: 0.983-0.999). In-hospital heart failure was associated with 13% (odds ratio=1.13, 95% confidence interval: 1.06-1.20) and 14% (odds ratio=1.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.20) higher in-hospital and 30-day mortality, respectively. Of the 61,637 patients discharged alive without in-hospital heart failure, 5978 (9.7%) experienced post-discharge heart failure, 4116 (6.7%) were hospitalized and 1862 (3.0%) were diagnosed at outpatient clinics. The risk of heart failure requiring hospitalization declined 5.5% per year (hazard ratio=0.945, 95% confidence interval: 0.934-0.955) whereas the risk of heart failure diagnosed at outpatient clinics increased 13.4% per year (hazard ratio=1.134, 95% confidence interval: 1.115-1.153). Post-discharge heart failure was associated with 239% (hazard ratio=3.39, 95% confidence interval: 3.18-3.63) higher 1-year mortality. Conclusions: In-hospital and post-discharge heart failure requiring hospitalization decreased whereas post-discharge heart failure diagnosed at outpatient clinics increased among incident acute myocardial infarction patients during 2000-2009. The development of heart failure, especially after acute myocardial infarction discharge, indicates a poor prognosis.

Perceived stress and dementia: Results from the Copenhagen city heart study.

Objectives: We investigated if perceived stress in midlife increased the risk of dementia. Furthermore, we explored differences between subgroups related to sex, age and employment status when reporting stress.Methods: In this longitudinal study, we used information on perceived stress from 10,814 participants (mean age 56.7 years). Participants were followed through Danish national registers for development of dementia. Participants were considered at risk of dementia from the date they turned 60 years. Perceived stress was assessed as a combination of self-reported intensity and frequency of stress, and categorized into low (score 0-1), medium (score 2-4), and high stress (score 5-6). We used Poisson regression to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) and adjusted for sociodemographic factors and psychiatric morbidity at baseline (main model) as well as cardio/cerebrovascular diseases and health behaviors at baseline (additional model).Results: The mean follow-up time was 13.8 years, and 1,519 participants were registered with dementia. Dementia risk was higher in participants reporting medium stress (IRR = 1.11, 95% CI: 0.99-1.24) and high stress (IRR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.13-1.65). Adjustment for cardio/cerebrovascular diseases and health behaviors did not alter the results. We did not find strong support for differences between subgroups, although the association between stress and dementia was stronger for those who were employed at the time of reporting high stress.Conclusion: Our results provide empirical support for an effect of perceived stress on the risk of dementia in old age.

Prediction of obstructive coronary artery disease and prognosis in patients with suspected stable angina.

AIMS: We hypothesized that the modified Diamond-Forrester (D-F) prediction model overestimates probability of coronary artery disease (CAD). The aim of this study was to update the prediction model based on pre-test information and assess the model's performance in predicting prognosis in an unselected, contemporary population suspected of angina. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 3903 consecutive patients free of CAD and heart failure and suspected of angina, who were referred to a single centre for assessment in 2012-15. Obstructive CAD was defined from invasive angiography as lesion requiring revascularization, >70% stenosis or fractional flow reserve <0.8. Patients were followed (mean follow-up 33 months) for myocardial infarction, unstable angina, heart failure, stroke, and death. The updated D-F prediction model overestimated probability considerably: mean pre-test probability was 31.4%, while only 274 (7%) were diagnosed with obstructive CAD. A basic prediction model with age, gender, and symptoms demonstrated good discrimination with C-statistics of 0.86 (95% CI 0.84-0.88), while a clinical prediction model adding diabetes, family history, and dyslipidaemia slightly improved the C-statistic to 0.88 (0.86-0.90) (P for difference between models <0.0001). Quartiles of probability of CAD from the clinical prediction model provided good diagnostic and prognostic stratification: in the lowest quartiles there were no cases of obstructive CAD and cumulative risk of the composite endpoint was less than 3% at 2 years. CONCLUSION: The pre-test probability model recommended in current ESC guidelines substantially overestimates likelihood of CAD when applied to a contemporary, unselected, all-comer population. We provide an updated prediction model that identifies subgroups with low likelihood of obstructive CAD and good prognosis in which non-invasive testing may safely be deferred.