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BACKGROUND: The lack of consensus criteria of acute on chronic kidney injury (ACKI) affects the judgment for its clinical prognosis. METHODS: In this study, we analyzed the data from 711,615 hospitalized adults who had at least 2 serum creatinine (SCr) tests within 30 days. We estimated the reference change value (RCV) of SCr given initial SCr level in adults without known risks of acute kidney injury other than chronic kidney disease (CKD). We proposed a criterion for ACKI based on the RCV of SCr (cROCK), which defined ACKI as a ≥25% increase in SCr in 7 days. We validated cROCK by its association with the risks of in-hospital mortality, death after discharge, and CKD progression in a large cohort of patients with CKD stage 3. RESULTS: In 21,661 patients with CKD stage 3, a total of 3,145 (14.5%), 1,512 (7.0%), and 221 (1.0%) ACKI events were detected by both cROCK and Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO), cROCK only, and KDIGO only, respectively. cROCK detected 40% more ACKI events than KDIGO. Compared with patients without ACKI by both definitions, those with cROCK- but not KDIGO-defined ACKI had a significantly increased risk of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 5.53; 95% CI 3.75-8.16), death after discharge (HR 1.51; 95% CI 1.21-1.83), and CKD progression (OR 5.65; 95% CI 3.05-10.48). CONCLUSIONS: RCV-based criterion (cROCK) for ACKI is clinically valid in that it has a substantially improved sensitivity in identifying patients with high risk of adverse outcomes.
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Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , Creatinina/sangre , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , Lesión Renal Aguda/sangre , Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Lesión Renal Aguda/etiología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Admisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Pronóstico , Valores de Referencia , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/sangre , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/mortalidad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Current definitions of AKI do not take into account serum creatinine's high variability in children. METHODS: We analyzed data from 156,075 hospitalized children with at least two creatinine tests within 30 days. We estimated reference change value (RCV) of creatinine on the basis of age and initial creatinine level in children without kidney disease or known AKI risk, and we used these data to develop a model for detecting pediatric AKI on the basis of RCV of creatinine. We defined pediatric AKI according to pediatric reference change value optimized for AKI in children (pROCK) as creatinine increase beyond RCV of creatinine, which was estimated as the greater of 20 µmol/L or 30% of the initial creatinine level. RESULTS: Of 102,817 children with at least two serum creatinine tests within 7 days, 5432 (5.3%) had AKI as defined by pROCK compared with 15,647 (15.2%) and 10,446 (10.2%) as defined by pediatric RIFLE (pRIFLE) and Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO), respectively. Children with pROCK-defined AKI had significantly increased risk of death (hazard ratio, 3.56; 95% confidence interval, 3.15 to 4.04) compared with those without AKI. About 66% of patients with pRIFLE-defined AKI and 51% of patients with KDIGO-defined AKI, mostly children with initial creatinine level of <30 µmol/L, were reclassified as non-AKI by pROCK, and mortality risk in these children was comparable with risk in those without AKI by all definitions. CONCLUSIONS: pROCK criterion improves detection of "true" AKI in children compared with earlier definitions that may lead to pediatric AKI overdiagnosis.
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Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Causas de Muerte , Creatinina/sangre , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Lesión Renal Aguda/sangre , Lesión Renal Aguda/mortalidad , Adolescente , Factores de Edad , Niño , Preescolar , China , Estudios de Cohortes , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular/fisiología , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Pruebas de Función Renal , Masculino , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Valores de Referencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Factores SexualesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cervical and breast cancers are among the top 4 leading causes of cancer-related mortality in women. This study aimed to examine age-specific temporal trends in mortality for cervical and breast cancers in urban and rural areas of China from 2009 to 2021. METHODS: Age-specific mortality data for cervical and breast cancers among Chinese women aged 20-84 years were obtained from China's National Disease Surveillance Points system spanning the years 2009 to 2021. Negative binomial regression models were utilized to assess urban-rural differences in mortality rate ratios, while Joinpoint models with estimated average annual percent changes (AAPC) and slopes were employed to compare temporal trends and the acceleration of mortality rates within different age groups. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2021, there was a relative increase in age-specific mortality associated with the two cancers observed in rural areas compared with urban areas. A rising trend in the screening age of 35-64 [AAPC: 4.0%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5-7.6%, P = 0.026] for cervical cancer was noted in rural areas, while a stable trend (AAPC: - 0.7%, 95% CI - 5.8 to 4.6%, P = 0.78) was observed in urban areas. As for breast cancer, a stable trend (AAPC: 0.3%, 95% CI - 0.3 to 0.9%, P = 0.28) was observed in rural areas compared to a decreasing trend (AAPC: - 2.7%, 95% CI - 4.6 to - 0.7%, P = 0.007) in urban areas. Urban-rural differences in mortality rates increased over time for cervical cancer but decreased for breast cancer. Mortality trends for both cervical and breast cancers showed an increase with age across 4 segments, with the most significant surge in mortality observed among the 35-54 age group across urban and rural areas, periods, and regions in China. CONCLUSIONS: Special attention should be given to women aged 35-54 years due to mortality trends and rural-urban disparities. Focusing on vulnerable age groups and addressing rural-urban differences in the delivery of cancer control programs can enhance resource efficiency and promote health equity.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Población Rural , Población Urbana , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Adulto , China/epidemiología , Anciano , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/mortalidad , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Población Rural/tendencias , Población Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Población Urbana/tendencias , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Adulto Joven , Mortalidad/tendencias , Factores de EdadRESUMEN
Background and aim: Hepatitis C virus infection can lead to an enormous health burden worldwide. Investigating the changes in HCV-related burden between different countries could provide inferences for disease management. Hence, we aim to explore the temporal tendency of the disease burden associated with HCV infection in China, India, the United States, and the world. Methods: Detailed data on the total burden of disease related to HCV infection were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database. Joinpoint regression models were used to simulate the optimal joinpoints of annual percent changes (APCs). Further analysis of the age composition of each index over time and the relationship between ASRs and the socio-demographic Index (SDI) were explored. Finally, three factors (population growth, population aging, and age-specific changes) were deconstructed for the changes in the number of incidences, deaths, and DALYs. Results: It was estimated that 6.2 million new HCV infections, 0.54 million HCV-related deaths, and 15.3 million DALYs worldwide in 2019, with an increase of 25.4, 59.1, and 43.6%, respectively, from 1990, are mainly due to population growth and aging. China experienced a sharp drop in age-standardized rates in 2019, the United States showed an upward trend, and India exhibited a fluctuating tendency in the burden of disease. The incidence was increasing in all locations recently. Conclusion: HCV remains a global health concern despite tremendous progress being made. The disease burden in China improved significantly, while the burden in the United States was deteriorating, with new infections increasing recently, suggesting more targeted interventions to be established to realize the 2030 elimination goals.
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Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Hepatitis C/epidemiología , India/epidemiología , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Limited research exists on factors influencing the place of death (POD) or hospital deaths among lymphoma patients in China, despite the country's significant burden of lymphoid neoplasms. This study aimed to describe the distribution of POD among lymphoma patients and identify the factors associated with hospital lymphoma deaths to provide evidence for developing targeted healthcare policies. Data in this study were obtained from the National Mortality Surveillance System (NMSS). The distribution of POD among individuals who died from lymphoma was analyzed, and factors influencing the choice of dying in the hospital were examined. Chi-square test was employed to analyze the differences in characteristic distributions. Multilevel logistic regression analysis was identify the relationship between hospital deaths due to lymphoma and individual factors, as well as socioeconomic contextual variables. During 2013-2021, there were 66772 lymphoma deaths reported by the NMSS, including 44327 patients (66.39%) who died at home and 21211 (31.77%) died in the hospital. Female patients, those had a higher level of educational attainment, retired individuals, those died of non-Hodgkin lymphoma, residents of urban areas, patients between the ages of 0 and 14, and unmarried individuals had a higher probability of dying in hospitals. Improving health care providers' understanding of palliative care for cancer patients and prioritizing accessible services are essential to enhance the quality of end-of-life care. These approaches ensure the equitable allocation of healthcare resources and provide diverse options for minorities with specific preferences regarding end-of-life care.
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BACKGROUND: Asthma mortality among children and adolescents at the national level in China was unreported. The aim of this study was to analyze the mortality of asthma among children and adolescents in China using a nationally representative database. METHODS: This was a descriptive study using data from the Disease Surveillance Points (DSPs) system. All asthma-related deaths among children and adolescents aged 0-19 years occurring in DSPs across China from 2008 to 2018 were included. Multilevel Poisson regression models were used to compute the total, age-, gender-, region- and residence-specific asthma mortality rates and to investigate the significance of trends and factors associated with asthma mortality. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics were used to estimate the national asthma deaths. RESULTS: Total asthma mortality rate among Chinese children and adolescents fluctuated between 0.020 (0.009, 0.045) and 0.059 (0.025, 0.137) per 100,000 and showed an overall downward trend (RR, 0.909; 95% CI 0.854-0.968) during the study period (2008-2018). Asthma mortality rate was higher in the western China (RR 2.356, 95% CI 1.513, 3.669) and varied over a ninefold range among DSPs in China. The estimated number of deaths decreased by 51.38% from 2008 (n = 148; 95% CI 58,379) to 2018 (n = 71; 95% CI 34, 109). CONCLUSIONS: Asthma mortality rate among children and adolescents in China was at a low level compared to rates worldwide and decreased significantly from 2008 to 2018. Compared with most countries in the world, the number of asthma deaths was higher in China.
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Asma , Adolescente , Niño , China/epidemiología , Bases de Datos Factuales , HumanosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading causes of death in China. Little is known about the CVD burden and risk factors in Henan Province, China. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the CVD burden and main risk factors between 1990 and 2017 in the Henan Province in China. METHODS: The methodological framework and analytical strategies adopted in the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 were used. RESULTS: (1) Age-standardized mortality rate attributed to CVDs increased from 355.0 per 100,000 persons in 1990 to 364.1 per 100,000 persons in 2017 in Henan. (2) Age-standardized disability adjusted life years (DALYs) rate fell by 3.9% from 1990 to 2017. However, the number of DALYs attributed to CVDs increased by 75.9% from 4.2 million person-years in 1990 to 7.3 million person-years in 2017. (3) The age-standardized years lived with disability (YLDs) rate increased by 27.5% from 1990 to 2017. However, years of life lost (YLLs) rate decreased by 6.7% from 1990 to 2017. The contribution of YLLs to the DALYs decreased from 91.4% in 1990 to 89.2% in 2017. (4) Stroke (52.3%) and ischemic heart diseases (38.8%) accounted for 91.1% of total CVDs DALYs among adults in 2017. (5) Dietary factors such as high intake of sodium, alcohol use and low intake of fruits, high systolic blood pressure, and tobacco use were the top risk factors for CVDs, and the estimated population attributable fraction in 2017 was 69.4%, 56.7% and 25.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute burden of CVDs in Henan is still high, although age-standardized DALYs declined between 1990 and 2017. The prevention and control of stroke and ischemic heart diseases should focus on a few modifiable risk factors which mainly contributed to the burden of CVDs, such as dietary factors, high systolic blood pressure, and tobacco use.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Personas con Discapacidad , Adulto , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , China/epidemiología , Costo de Enfermedad , Humanos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the fourth cause of cancer death in China. We aimed to provide national and subnational estimates and changes of CRC premature mortality burden during 2005-2020. METHODS: Data from multi-source on the basis of the national surveillance mortality system were used to estimate mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of CRC in the Chinese population during 2005-2020. Estimates were generated and compared for 31 provincial-level administrative divisions in China. RESULTS: Estimated CRC deaths increased from 111.41 thousand in 2005 to 178.02 thousand in 2020; age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 10.01 per 100,000 in 2005 to 9.68 per 100,000 in 2020. Substantial reduction in CRC premature mortality burden, as measured by age-standardized YLL rate, was observed with a reduction of 10.20% nationwide. Marked differences were observed in the geographical patterns of provincial units, and they appeared to be obvious in areas with higher economic development. Population aging was the dominant driver which contributed to the increase in CRC deaths, followed by population growth and age-specific mortality change. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial discrepancies were observed in the premature mortality burden of CRC across China. Targeted considerations were needed to promote a healthy lifestyle, expand cost-effective CRC early screening and diagnosis, and improve medical treatment to reduce CRC mortality among high-risk populations and regions with inadequate healthcare resources.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , China/epidemiología , HumanosRESUMEN
This paper describes the lessons from scaling up a verbal autopsy (VA) intervention to improve data about causes of death according to a nine-domain framework: governance, design, operations, human resources, financing, infrastructure, logistics, information technologies and data quality assurance. We use experiences from China, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines and Solomon Islands to explore how VA has been successfully implemented in different contexts, to guide other countries in their VA implementation. The governance structure for VA implementation comprised a multidisciplinary team of technical experts, implementers and staff at different levels within ministries. A staged approach to VA implementation involved scoping and mapping of death registration processes, followed by pretest and pilot phases which allowed for redesign before a phased scale-up. Existing health workforce in countries were trained to conduct the VA interviews as part of their routine role. Costs included training and compensation for the VA interviewers, information technology (IT) infrastructure costs, advocacy and dissemination, which were borne by the funding agency in early stages of implementation. The complexity of the necessary infrastructure, logistics and IT support required for VA increased with scale-up. Quality assurance was built into the different phases of the implementation. VA as a source of cause of death data for community deaths will be needed for some time. With the right technical and political support, countries can scale up this intervention to ensure ongoing collection of quality and timely information on community deaths for use in health planning and better monitoring of national and global health goals.
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Autopsia , Causas de Muerte , China , Humanos , Mianmar , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To understand the status of HIV sexual transmission among HIV-sero-discordant spouses and HIV-sero-accordant spouses in Yunnan province, to discuss the related factors and to provide evidence for HIV prevention and control strategy. METHODS: Five places with serious epidemic and 3 moderate ones were voluntarily, randomly selected. According to time sequence, 300 spouses (600 people) with stable marriage were interviewed with questionnaire. RESULTS: HIV-sero-accordant spouses occupied for 40.7% of the total spouses under survey, with the others were HIV-sero-discordant ones. Among the ones that had already been diagnosed in the families, sexual transmission was their main mode of transmission, which was accounted for 68.3%, followed by IDU as 19.7%. After disclosed the HIV test outcomes to their spouses, 63.4% HIV-sero-discordant spouses and 47.0% HIV-sero-accordant ones changed their sexual behaviors. The rates of consistent condom use among the HIV-sero-discordant spouses increased from 16.8% to 95.0%, and in HIV-sero-accordant spouses increased from 8.2% to 60.9%. Data were analyzed by multi-factor logistic regression. Factors on influencing the sexual transmission in spouses would include condom use, frequency of sexual contacts and sexual transmission disease (STD) status etc. CONCLUSION: The main transmission mode for the first HIV infected spouse was sexual transmission. Factors influencing sexual transmission in spouses would include condom use, frequency of sexual contacts, STD situation and husband was the first one being infected in the families, etc. Disclosure of the HIV results to the spouses could make a significant changes in the frequencies of sexual contact as well as the rate of condom use.