The ability of decline in intrinsic capacity to indicate the risk of mortality in older adults: A meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the ability of decline in intrinsic capacity to indicate the risk of mortality in older adults. DESIGN: Meta-analysis. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, Wanfang Database, CNKI, VIP, and CBM were searched for relevant studies published from inception to October 31, 2023. Stata17.0 software was used to perform the meta-analysis. A random effects model was used to pool the results of the risk of mortality (as hazard ratios, HRs) in older adults and decline in intrinsic capacity. The Newcastle Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of studies. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system was used to determine the confidence in the estimated effect of pooled outcomes. RESULTS: Twelve studies, with a total of 38,531 participants, were included in this meta-analysis. The findings show that older adults with intrinsic capacity decline have a higher risk of mortality (HR = 1.11, 95 % CI 1.08-1.14, I2 = 95.9 %, P<0.001) than older adults with normal intrinsic capacity. The pooled HR estimates for the locomotion, vitality, and cognitive dimensions of intrinsic capacity in the prediction of mortality were 0.89 (HR = 0.89, 95%CI 0.83-0.96, I2 = 41.3 %, P = 0.146), 0.76 (HR = 0.98, 95 % CI 0.59-0.97, I2 = 60.8 %, P = 0.078), and 0.99 (HR = 0.99, 95 % CI 0.98-1.00, I2 = 0.0 %, P = 0.664), respectively. The pooled HR estimates of the psychological dimension to predict mortality were not statistically significant (P > 0.05). GRADE evaluations of outcome indicators were of moderate confidence. CONCLUSIONS: Decline in intrinsic capacity is a significant predictor of mortality. Locomotion, vitality, and cognition dimensions can all predict mortality. Clinical personnel should early assess the intrinsic capacity of older adults, focusing on changes in the dimensions of locomotion and vitality, to identify the risk of mortality, avoid adverse health outcomes, and improve the quality of life of older adults. Review protocol registered in PROSPERO: CRD42023481246.

Intrinsic capacity decline as a predictor of functional disability in the elderly: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the predictive value of intrinsic capacity decline on functional disability among the elderly. DESIGN: Meta-analysis. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library, Wanfang Database, China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database (CNKI), Weipu Database (VIP), and Chinese Biomedical Database (CBM) were searched for relevant studies published from the inception until June 1, 2024. Stata 17.0 software was used to perform the meta-analysis. The methodological quality was evaluated using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale. The overall quality of evidence used GRADE guidelines to assess. A study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023475461). RESULTS: The meta-analysis included 8 cohort studies including 9744 elderly people. Functional disability including ADL disability (n = 6) and IADL disability (n = 7). The results showed that intrinsic capacity decline could predict ADL disability (HR = 1.08, 95 %CI 1.04-1.12; I2 = 98.2 %, P < 0.001) and IADL disability (HR = 1.11, 95 %CI 1.05-1.17; I2 = 96.4 %, P < 0.001). The overall risk of bias was low. And the grade of evidence that assessed by GRADE guidelines was rated as moderate. CONCLUSIONS: Intrinsic capacity decline is a predictor of functional disability in the elderly. Therefore, screening intrinsic capacity decline has important clinical implications for early identifying the risk of functional disability, which contributes to providing individualized interventions ahead of potential functional disability for the elderly, thereby preventing functional disability, improving the quality of life and promoting healthy aging.