Prognostic impact of Charlson's Age-Comorbidity Index and other risk factors in patients with pancreatic cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Few studies have evaluated the impact of risk factors and comorbidity on overall survival (OS) in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The aim was to investigate the prognostic importance of Charlson's age-comorbidity index (CACI) and other risk factors on prognosis in a clinical real-world cohort of PDAC patients. METHODS: A total of 1,159 patients with PDAC who had received at least one cycle of adjuvant or palliative chemotherapy were included from the Danish BIOPAC study. We analysed OS according to CACI, tobacco smoking, alcohol intake, performance status (PS), BMI and diabetes. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for OS using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up, 994 (86%) patients had died. The median OS was 298 days for all patients (range 3-3010) and shortest in patients with stage IV. No association with short OS was seen for CACI > 2, diabetes, alcohol abuse, tobacco smoking, hypertension, and high BMI. Multivariate analysis showed that stage (IV vs. I: HR = 9.05, 95% CI 5.17-15.84), PS (2 vs. 0: HR = 3.67, 2.92-4.61) and treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (yes vs. no: HR = 1.31, 1.06-1.61) were independent negative prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: We found that CACI, diabetes, tobacco smoking, alcohol abuse, hypertension, and high BMI were not associated with OS in a real-world cohort of patients with PDAC treated with chemotherapy. Only stage and PS were prognostic parameters.

Patterns of Palliative Chemotherapy and Survival in Patients With Pancreatic Cancer Focusing on Age: A Nationwide Real-World Danish Registry Study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to identify patterns of palliative chemotherapy (CTh) and the associated overall survival (OS) in patients with pancreatic cancer, with specific focus on age. METHODS: Between May 1, 2011, and April 30, 2016, 4260 patients were registered in the Danish Pancreatic Cancer Database. The 1715 patients receiving palliative CTh were retrieved. Age was grouped into less than 70, 70 to less than 75, and 75 years or more. RESULTS: Of the 1715 patients receiving first-line CTh, 586 (34%) underwent second-line CTh and 151 (9%) third-line CTh. First-line gemcitabine resulted in a significant worse survival compared with combination CTh, hazard ratio 1.51. For combination CTh, OS differed between the age groups, P < 0.01. The median OS in the less than 70 years (n = 547), 70 to less than 75 years (n = 163), and 75 years or more (n = 67) groups were 9.3, 9.6, and 7.2 months, respectively. No differences in survival were observed among patients receiving first-line gemcitabine (P = 0.35). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings are useful in treatment-related decision making in patients with pancreatic cancer. A significant survival benefit was observed for all patients after first-line combination CTh. The effect of combination CTh was most prominent among patients aged less than 75 years. By age, no differences in survival were observed in those receiving gemcitabine.

Pre-treatment serum vitamin D deficiency is associated with increased inflammatory biomarkers and short overall survival in patients with pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D deficiency and inflammation are associated with increased mortality. We investigated the relationship between pre-treatment serum vitamin D levels, inflammatory biomarkers (IL-6, YKL-40 and CRP) and overall survival (OS) in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients. METHODS: Pre-treatment serum vitamin D, IL-6, YKL-40 and CRP levels were determined in 1,267 patients with PDAC enrolled from July 2008 to September 2018 in the prospective BIOPAC study (NCT03311776). The patients were grouped according to vitamin D levels: sufficient >50 nmol/L, insufficient 25-50 nmol/L and deficient <25 nmol/L. RESULTS: Across all tumour stages, vitamin D-deficient patients had the highest median levels of IL-6 (8.3 pg/mL, range 0.7-91), YKL-40 (177 ng/ml, range 25-5279) and CRP (15.5 mg/L, range 0.8-384). The resected stage I and II patients with vitamin D deficiencies had a shorter median OS, 18.3 months (95% CI, 12.1-31.5 months) than those with sufficient levels, 29.7 months (95% CI, 22.3-36.1 months), and the hazard ratio for death was 1.55 (95% CI, 1.04-2.31; p = 0.03). In advanced PDAC, there was no significant difference in OS between the vitamin D groups. CONCLUSIONS: Vitamin D deficiency was associated with increased inflammatory biomarkers in all PDAC stages. The resected stage I and II patients with sufficient vitamin D levels had a higher OS than those with a vitamin D deficiency. However, there was no correlation between vitamin D levels and survival in advanced PDAC. Future studies need to investigate vitamin D supplementation effects on survival in PDAC.

Prognostic Value of Combined Detection of Serum IL6, YKL-40, and C-reactive Protein in Patients with Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND: IL6 and YKL-40 (also known as chitinase 3-like 1 protein, CHI3L1) are produced by pancreatic cancer cells and macrophages and activate inflammation. C-reactive protein (CRP) is synthesized mainly in hepatic cells and primarily stimulated by IL6. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of combined detection of serum IL6, YKL-40, and CRP in patients with pancreatic cancer receiving palliative chemotherapy. METHODS: In all, 592 patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer from five hospitals in Denmark were included in the BIOPAC biomarker study between 2008 and 2017. Pretreatment and longitudinal serum values of IL6 and YKL-40 were determined. Baseline CRP and CA19-9 values were available for the whole cohort. Patients were dichotomized as low versus high using cutoffs for IL6 of >4.92 pg/mL, YKL-40 of >95% age-corrected percentile, and CRP of >10 mg/L. The main outcome was overall survival. RESULTS: Combined elevations of serum IL6, YKL-40, and CRP were associated with worse survival in contrast to an isolated high concentration of a single marker. Serum IL6, YKL-40, and CRP were higher in patients with advanced stage disease and in patients with poor performance status. Higher IL6 and YKL-40 levels at the time of tumor progression and serum IL6 measured over time were associated with shorter overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Combined high baseline serum levels of IL6, YKL-40, and CRP are associated with poor survival. IMPACT: Assessment of systemic inflammation via measurements of IL6, YKL-40, and CRP may be important for pancreatic cancer prognostication.

Initial treatment and survival in 4163 Danish patients with pancreatic cancer: A nationwide unselected real-world register study.

BACKGROUND: Nationwide register data on the effect of primary treatment on survival in an unselected population of patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) have not been reported before. The study aim was to investigate the overall survival (OS) related to initial treatment with resection, chemotherapy, or best supportive care (BSC) in all patients diagnosed with PC in Denmark from 2011 to 2016. METHODS: From 1 May 2011 to 30 April 2016, 4260 patients with PC were identified in the Danish Pancreatic Cancer Database. Ninety-seven patients (2%) were excluded, 56 because of treatment with preoperative chemotherapy, 39 because of incorrect registration of diagnosis or treatment, and 2 because of loss to follow-up; thus, 4163 patients were included. RESULTS: The 718 patients (17%) receiving resection had a median overall survival (mOS) of 21.9 months (range 20.0-24.2). In the chemotherapy group of 1746 patients (42%), those treated with FOLFIRINOX had the longest mOS of 10.0 months (9.2-11.0), whereas those treated with gemcitabine had the shortest mOS of 5.1 months (4.8-5.6). The 1697 patients (41%) receiving BSC had a mOS of only 1.6 months (1.5-1.7). CONCLUSIONS: The resected PC cohort had an OS comparable with that reported in randomised controlled trials (RCTs). The mOS of the chemotherapy-treated patients was slightly shorter compared with the results from RCTs and reflects the unselected population in this study. During the last decade, a larger fraction of patients received anticancer treatment, but the BSC group was still large and showed extremely poor OS.