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1.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(3): e1270-e1276, 2023 02 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36001447

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is conflicting evidence on whether prior azithromycin (AZM) exposure is associated with reduced susceptibility to AZM (AZMRS) among persons infected with Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG). METHODS: The study population included Public Health-Seattle and King County Sexual Health Clinic (SHC) patients with culture-positive NG infection at ≥1 anatomic site whose isolates were tested for AZM susceptibility in 2012-2019. We used multivariate logistic regression to examine the association of time since last AZM prescription from the SHC in ≤12 months with subsequent diagnosis with AZMRS NG (minimum inhibitory concentration [MIC], ≥2.0 µg/mL) and used linear regression to assess the association between the number of AZM prescriptions in ≤12 months and AZM MIC level, controlling for demographic, behavioral, and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 2155 unique patients had 2828 incident NG infections, 156 (6%) of which were caused by AZMRS NG. AZMRS NG was strongly associated with receipt of AZM from the SHC in the prior 29 days (adjusted odds ratio, 6.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.76 to 25.90) but not with receipt of AZM in the prior 30-365 days. Log AZM MIC level was not associated with the number of AZM prescriptions within ≤12 months (adjusted correlation, 0.0004; 95% CI, -.04 to .037) but was associated with number of prescriptions within <30 days (adjusted coefficient, 0.56; 95% CI, .13 to .98). CONCLUSIONS: Recent individual-level AZM treatment is associated with subsequent AZMRS gonococcal infections. The long half-life and persistence of subtherapeutic levels of AZM may result in selection of resistant NG strains in persons with recent AZM use.


Asunto(s)
Gonorrea , Salud Sexual , Humanos , Azitromicina/farmacología , Azitromicina/uso terapéutico , Gonorrea/tratamiento farmacológico , Gonorrea/epidemiología , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana , Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Ceftriaxona/uso terapéutico
2.
Sex Transm Infect ; 99(6): 380-385, 2023 Aug 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36609346

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Epidemiological treatment of persons who are sexual contacts to partners with Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) and Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) often results in treatment of uninfected persons, which may increase the risk of antibiotic-resistant infections. We sought to identify the predictors of NG and/or CT infections to develop a risk score that could be used to limit epidemiological treatment to persons most likely to have these infections. METHODS: We included visits to the Public Health - Seattle & King County Sexual Health Clinic by asymptomatic cisgender men who have sex with men (MSM) aged ≥18 who presented as a sexual contact to partner(s) with CT or NG infection between 2011 and 2019. We used logistic regression to estimate the odds of CT and/or NG infections associated with demographic and clinical predictors, selecting the final set of predictors using the Akaike information criteria and obtaining score weights from model coefficients. We used a cross-validation approach to obtain average model discrimination from each of 10 models, leaving out 10% of the data, and evaluated sensitivity and specificity at various score cut-offs. RESULTS: The final model for predicting NG or CT infection included seven predictors (age <35 years, HIV status, receptive oral sex in the prior 2 months, CT diagnosis, condomless receptive anal intercourse, condomless insertive anal intercourse and methamphetamine use in the prior 12 months). Model discrimination, as measured by the receiver operating curve, was 0.60 (95% CI 0.54 to 0.66). Sensitivity for detection of infection was ≥90% for scores ≥3, ≥5 and ≥7; specificity for these cut-offs was <16%. At scores ≥9, ≥12 and ≥14, specificity increased but sensitivity decreased to ≤76%. CONCLUSIONS: Our risk score did not sufficiently discriminate between asymptomatic MSM with and without NG/CT infection. Additional studies evaluating epidemiological treatment as a standard of care in diverse populations are needed to guide best practices in the management of contacts to NG/CT infection.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Chlamydia , Gonorrea , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Masculino , Humanos , Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Homosexualidad Masculina , Chlamydia trachomatis , Prevalencia , Conducta Sexual , Factores de Riesgo , Infecciones por Chlamydia/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Chlamydia/epidemiología , Gonorrea/diagnóstico , Gonorrea/epidemiología
3.
Sex Transm Infect ; 99(5): 317-323, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36601742

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Bacterial vaginosis-associated bacterium 2 (BVAB2), Mageeibacillus indolicus and Sneathia spp are highly predictive of bacterial vaginosis (BV) in cisgender women. They have been associated with non-gonococcal urethritis (NGU) in cisgender men in some but not all populations. We evaluated this association in a cross-sectional study of cisgender men who have sex with women only (MSW). METHODS: MSW without gonorrhoea attending a sexual health clinic (SHC) from 2014 to 2018 completed a computer-assisted self-interview, clinical interview and examination. NGU was defined as ≥5 polymorphonuclear leucocytes/high-power field in urethral exudates plus either urethral symptoms or visible discharge. Urine was tested for Chlamydia trachomatis and Mycoplasma genitalium using Aptima (Hologic) and for BVAB2, M. indolicus, Sneathia spp, Trichomonas vaginalis, Ureaplasma urealyticum, Haemophilus influenzae, herpes simplex virus and adenovirus using quantitative PCR. RESULTS: Of 317 MSW age 17-71, 67 (21.1%) had Sneathia spp, 36 (11.4%) had BVAB2, and 17 (5.4%) had M. indolicus at enrolment. Having ≥3 partners in the past 2 months was the only characteristic that was more common among MSW with than those without these bacteria (BVAB2: 47% vs 23%, M. indolicus: 53% vs 24%, Sneathia spp: 42% vs 22%; p≤0.03 for all). One-hundred seventeen men (37%) were diagnosed with NGU at enrolment. There was no significant association of BVAB2, M. indolicus or Sneathia spp with NGU (adjusted OR=0.59, 95% CI 0.14 to 2.43; aOR=3.40, 95% CI 0.68 to 17.06; aOR=0.46, 95% CI 0.16 to 1.27). Of 109 MSW with monthly samples, 34 (31.2%) had one of the bacteria at one or more follow-up visits, 22 of which were co-colonised with >1. Median persistence over 6 months did not differ significantly (BVAB2=30.5 days, IQR=28-87; M. indolicus=87 days, IQR=60-126; Sneathia spp=70 days, IQR=30-135; p≥0.20 for each comparison). CONCLUSIONS: Neither BVAB2, M. indolicus nor Sneathia spp were associated with increased risk of prevalent NGU in MSW attending an SHC.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Mycoplasma , Uretritis , Vaginosis Bacteriana , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Adolescente , Uretritis/microbiología , Vaginosis Bacteriana/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Estudios Transversales , Chlamydia trachomatis , Fusobacterias , Infecciones por Mycoplasma/epidemiología
4.
Sex Transm Dis ; 50(8): 506-511, 2023 08 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37213183

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Anecdotal reports suggest that partner services (PS) are less successful among people with repeat sexually transmitted infection (STI) diagnoses and/or previous PS interactions. We examine whether having repeated STI diagnoses and/or PS interactions is associated with PS outcomes among men who have sex with men (MSM). METHODS: With STI surveillance and PS data for MSM diagnosed with gonorrhea, chlamydia, and/or syphilis from 2007 to 2018, in King County, WA, we used Poisson regression models to examine the relationships between PS outcomes (e.g., completing a PS interview and providing identifying information for a contact) with (1) number of previous STI case episodes and (2) number of previous PS interviews completed. RESULTS: Of the 18,501 MSM STI case patients initiated for interview in the analytic period (2011-2018), 13,232 (72%) completed a PS interview, and 8,030 (43%) had at least 1 prior PS interview. The proportion of initiated cases successfully interviewed declined from 71% among those with no previous PS interview to 66% among those with ≥3 prior interviews. Similarly, the proportion of interviews with ≥1 partner identified declined with greater numbers of previous PS interviews (from 46% [0 interviews] to 35% [≥3 interviews]). In multivariate models, having ≥1 prior PS interview was negatively associated with completing a subsequent interview and providing partner locating information. CONCLUSIONS: Having a history of STI PS interviews is associated with less PS engagement among MSM. New approaches to PS should be explored to address the growing epidemic of STIs among MSM.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Chlamydia , Gonorrea , Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual , Masculino , Humanos , Homosexualidad Masculina , Parejas Sexuales , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/diagnóstico , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/prevención & control , Gonorrea/diagnóstico , Gonorrea/epidemiología , Gonorrea/prevención & control , Fatiga , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Infecciones por Chlamydia/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Chlamydia/epidemiología , Infecciones por Chlamydia/prevención & control
5.
J Urban Health ; 100(1): 215-226, 2023 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36580235

RESUMEN

National trends in gonorrhea rates may obscure informative local variations in morbidity. We used group-based trajectory models to identify groups of counties with similar gonorrhea rate trajectories among non-Hispanic White (NHW) and non-Hispanic Black (NHB) females using county-level data on gonorrhea cases in US females from 2003 to 2018. We assessed models with 1-15 groups and selected final models based on fit statistics and identification of divergent trajectory groups with distinct intercepts and/or slopes. We mapped counties by assigned trajectory group and examined the association of county characteristics with group membership. We identified 7 distinct gonorrhea trajectory groups for NHW females and 9 distinct trajectory groups for NHB females. All identified groups for NHW female morbidity experienced increasing gonorrhea rates with a limited range (11.6-183.3/100,000 NHW females in 2018); trajectories of NHB female morbidity varied widely in rates (146.6-966.0/1000 NHB females in 2018) and included 3 groups of counties that experienced a net decline in gonorrhea rates. Counties with higher NHW female morbidity had lower adult sex ratios, lower health insurance coverage, and lower marital rates among NHW adults. Counties with higher NHB female morbidity were more urban, experienced higher rates of poverty, and had lower rates of marriage among NHB adults. Morbidity patterns did not always follow geographic proximity, which could be explained by variation in social determinants of health. Our results demonstrated a highly heterogenous gonorrhea epidemic among NHW and NHB US females, which should prompt further analysis into the differential drivers of gonorrhea morbidity.


Asunto(s)
Gonorrea , Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Gonorrea/epidemiología , Gonorrea/etnología , Morbilidad , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Blanco , Negro o Afroamericano
6.
Sex Transm Dis ; 48(5): 341-346, 2021 05 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33044377

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Incidence and risk factors for nongonococcal urethritis (NGU) remain poorly defined. We conducted a cohort study to estimate the incidence of NGU and identify risk factors in men who have sex with women. METHODS: We enrolled cisgender male sexually transmitted disease clinic attendees 16 years or older who reported exclusively female partners. At enrollment and 6 monthly follow-up visits, men underwent a clinical examination, provided urethral swab and urine specimens, completed a sexual behavior survey and biweekly diaries, and were tested for Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) and Mycoplasma genitalium (MG) using Aptima assays (Hologic, Inc). Nongonococcal urethritis was defined as ≥5 polymorphonuclear leukocytes per high-power field plus either urethral symptoms or visible discharge. We estimated the incidence of NGU overall, asymptomatic and symptomatic NGU, non-CT/non-MG NGU, and CT/MG-associated NGU using Poisson regression for clustered outcomes. We performed relative risk binomial regression for clustered data to identify characteristics associated with incident NGU. RESULTS: From August 2014 to July 2018, 307 participants at risk for NGU contributed 109.4 person-years. Median age was 32 years, and 52% were White. At enrollment, 107 men had NGU; of these, 88% were symptomatic, 27% had CT, and 22% had MG. Fifty men had 60 cases of incident NGU (incidence rate, 56 per 100 person-years; 95% confidence interval, 43-74). Unlike prevalent NGU at enrollment, CT/MG-associated incident NGU was rare (incidence rate, 7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4-15), and most (78%) incident NGU was asymptomatic. Risk factors for incident NGU were ≤ high school education (adjusted rate ratio [ARR], 2.45; 95% CI, 1.19-5.00), history of CT (ARR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.08-4.27), history of NGU (ARR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.27-5.62), and NGU at enrollment (ARR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.04-3.98). Neither condom use nor having a new partner was associated with incident NGU; Black race was only associated with incident symptomatic and non-CT/non-MG NGU. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of NGU was high, predominantly non-CT/non-MG and asymptomatic. Future studies should investigate the etiology and clinical significance of asymptomatic NGU.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Mycoplasma , Uretritis , Adulto , Chlamydia trachomatis , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Infecciones por Mycoplasma/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Conducta Sexual , Uretritis/epidemiología
7.
Sex Transm Dis ; 47(10): 665-671, 2020 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32649579

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Current Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines recommend that clinicians empirically treat the sex partners of persons with Neisseria gonorrhoeae (GC) or Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) infection before confirming that they are infected. It is possible that this practice, known as epidemiologic treatment, results in overtreatment for uninfected persons and may contribute to development of antimicrobial resistance. We sought to quantify the number of patients who received epidemiologic treatment and the proportion of those who were overtreated. METHODS: We reviewed records from a municipal sexually transmitted disease clinic in Seattle, WA, from 1994 to 2018 to identify visits by asymptomatic patients seeking care because of sexual contact to a partner with GC and/or CT. We defined overtreatment as receipt of antibiotic(s) in the absence of a positive GC/CT test result and calculated the proportions of contacts epidemiologically treated and tested positive for GC/CT and overtreated in five 5-year periods stratified by sex and gender of sex partner. We used the Cochran-Armitage test to assess for temporal trends. RESULTS: The number of asymptomatic contacts epidemiologically treated for GC/CT increased from 949 to 3159 between the 1994-1998 and 2014-2018 periods. In 2014-2018, 55% of persons were overtreated, most (82.1%) of these were men who have sex with men (MSM). The proportion of MSM overtreated decreased from 74% to 65% (P < 0.01), but the total number of overtreated MSM increased from 172 to 1428. DISCUSSION: A high proportion of persons receiving epidemiologic treatment of GC/CT are uninfected. The current practice of routinely treating all sex partners of persons with GC/CT merits reconsideration in light of growing antimicrobial resistance.


Asunto(s)
Gonorrea , Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Chlamydia trachomatis , Femenino , Gonorrea/tratamiento farmacológico , Gonorrea/epidemiología , Homosexualidad Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Minorías Sexuales y de Género
8.
Sex Transm Dis ; 45(3): 152-157, 2018 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29420442

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Differences in partner services outcomes in men who have sex with men (MSM) by HIV serostatus have not been explored as a potential driver of differential early syphilis (ES) burden in this population. METHODS: We compared partner services outcomes (number of partners named, notified, tested, diagnosed, and treated) between HIV-positive and HIV-negative MSM initiated for ES partner services in Texas from 2013 to 2016 using logistic regression and Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney tests. Logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between HIV serostatus and having a no-partner-initiated (NPI) partner services interview controlling for demographic characteristics, prior partner services interactions, and geosocial phone application use. RESULTS: A total of 4161 HIV-positive MSM and 5254 HIV-negative MSM were initiated for ES partner services. HIV-positive MSM named fewer partners than did HIV-negative MSM (mean, 1.2 vs. 1.9; P < 0.001) and had lower indices of partners notified, tested, diagnosed, and treated. HIV seropositivity was significantly associated with NPI. However, this association was not significant when limited to MSM with previous partner services interviews (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.06; P = 0.38); in this subset of MSM, using geosocial phone application was negatively associated with having an NPI interview (aRR, 0.90), and having 1 (aRR, 1.33) or more than 1 previous NPI interview (aRR, 1.57) was associated with an NPI interview during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Suboptimal outcomes for syphilis partner service may result in missed opportunities for testing and treatment of sexual contacts, which could allow for propagation of syphilis. Implementation of innovative protocols is needed to ensure that partner services continue to be an effective and acceptable method of syphilis disease intervention in MSM.


Asunto(s)
Seropositividad para VIH , VIH/inmunología , Minorías Sexuales y de Género/estadística & datos numéricos , Sífilis/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Seronegatividad para VIH , Homosexualidad Masculina , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Oportunidad Relativa , Parejas Sexuales
9.
Sex Transm Dis ; 50(2): 98-103, 2023 02 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36219764

RESUMEN

Spatial analyses of gonorrhea morbidity among women often highlight the Southeastern United States but may not provide information on geographic variation in the magnitude of racial disparities; such maps also focus on geographic space, obscuring underlying population characteristics. We created a series of visualizations depicting both county-level racial disparities in female gonorrhea diagnoses and variations in population size. We calculated county- and region-level race-specific relative rates (RelR) and between-race rate differences (RDs) and rate ratios (RRs) comparing gonorrhea case rates in non-Hispanic Black (NHB) versus non-Hispanic White (NHW) women. We then created proportional symbol maps with color representing counties' RelR/RD/RR category and symbol size representing counties' female population. Gonorrhea rates among NHB women were highest in the Midwest (718.7/100,000) and West (504.8), rates among NHW women were highest in the West (74.1) and Southeast (72.1). The RDs were highest in the Midwest (654.6 excess cases/100,000) and West (430.7), whereas the RRs were highest in the Northeast (12.4) and Midwest (11.2). Nearly all US counties had NHB female rates ≥3× those in NHW women, with NHB women in most highly populated counties experiencing ≥9-fold difference in gonorrhea rates. Racial disparities in gonorrhea were not confined to the Southeast; both relative and absolute disparities were equivalent or larger in magnitude in areas of the Northeast, Midwest, and West. Our findings help counter damaging regional stereotypes, provide evidence to refocus prevention efforts to areas of highest disparities, and suggest a useful template for monitoring racial disparities as an actionable public health metric.


Asunto(s)
Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Blanco , Humanos , Femenino , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Población Negra , Etnicidad , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud
10.
J Urban Health ; 92(1): 168-81, 2015 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25347955

RESUMEN

This analysis presents a method for estimating the population of men who have sex with men (MSM) at the county and metropolitan area level in Texas. Surveillance data consistently demonstrate that MSM experience a high burden of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). Numerous studies have shown that MSM are also vulnerable to many other health concerns such as suicide, substance abuse, domestic violence and assault, homelessness, and mental illness. However, compilation of rates of HIV, STIs, and other health issues is dependent on estimation of population denominators. In the absence of systematic, consistent, and direct assessment of sexual orientation and gender identity in national surveys, it is difficult to estimate the size of at-risk populations. Previous estimates at the national and state level have been calculated using varied methodologies. However, to date, statewide estimates at the county level have only been produced for the state of Florida. County-level and metropolitan area estimates of MSM population were produced using three modified models developed by Lieb et al. These models used data on population and same-sex households from the US Census, along with estimates of sexual behavior from the National Survey on Family Growth. These models produce an estimate of 599,683 MSM in Texas (6.4 % of the adult male population). Metropolitan areas with the highest percentage of MSM population include Dallas and Austin (10.3 and 9.8 %, respectively). County-level estimates of MSM population range from 1.0 to 12.9 %. These local estimates are critical to targeting vulnerable populations and effective allocation of resources for prevention and treatment programs.


Asunto(s)
Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Homosexualidad Masculina/etnología , Homosexualidad Masculina/estadística & datos numéricos , Grupos Raciales/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducta Sexual/etnología , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Anciano , Comparación Transcultural , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Estadísticos , Vigilancia de la Población , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Texas/epidemiología , Población Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven
11.
J Infect Dis ; 208 Suppl 3: S189-96, 2013 Dec 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24265478

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Most reports about respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in developing countries rely on sentinel surveillance, from which population incidence is difficult to infer. We used the proportion of RSV infections from population-based surveillance with data from a healthcare utilization survey to produce estimates of RSV incidence in Damanhour district, Egypt. METHODS: We conducted population-based surveillance in 3 hospitals (2009-2012) and 3 outpatient clinics (2011-2012) in Damanhour district. Nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal specimens from hospitalized patients with acute respiratory illness and outpatients with influenza-like illness were tested by real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for RSV. We also conducted a healthcare utilization survey in 2011-2012 to determine the proportion of individuals who sought care for respiratory illness. RESULTS: Among 5342 hospitalized patients and 771 outpatients, 12% and 5% tested positive for RSV, respectively. The incidence of RSV-associated hospitalization and outpatient visits was estimated at 24 and 608 (per 100 000 person-years), respectively. Children aged <1 year experienced the highest incidence of RSV-associated hospitalizations (1745/100 000 person-years). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the utility of combining a healthcare utilization survey and population-based surveillance data to estimate disease incidence. Estimating incidence and outcomes of RSV disease is critical to establish the burden of RSV in Egypt.


Asunto(s)
Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/aislamiento & purificación , Adulto , Egipto/epidemiología , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/virología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Adulto Joven
12.
AIDS ; 35(12): 2007-2015, 2021 10 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34138770

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We used data from a routine HIV testing program to develop risk scores to identify patients with undiagnosed HIV infection while reducing the number of total tests performed. DESIGN: Multivariate logistic regression. METHODS: We included demographic factors from HIV testing data collected in 134 Botswana Ministry of Health & Wellness facilities during two periods (1 October 2018- 19 August 2019 and 1 December 2019 to 30 March 2020). In period 2, the program collected additional demographic and risk factors. We randomly split each period into prediction/validation datasets and used multivariate logistic regression to identify factors associated with positivity; factors with adjusted odds ratios at least 1.5 were included in the risk score with weights equal to their coefficient. We applied a range of risk score cutoffs to validation datasets to determine tests averted, test positivity, positives missed, and costs averted. RESULTS: In period 1, three factors were significantly associated with HIV positivity (coefficients range 0.44-0.87). In period 2, 12 such factors were identified (coefficients range 0.44-1.37). In period 1, application of risk score cutoff at least 1.0 would result in 50% fewer tests performed and capture 61% of positives. In period 2, a cutoff at least 1.0 would result in 13% fewer tests and capture 96% of positives; a cutoff at least 2.0 would result in 40% fewer tests and capture 83% of positives. Costs averted ranged from 12.1 to 52.3%. CONCLUSION: Botswana's testing program could decrease testing volume but may delay diagnosis of some positive patients. Whether this trade-off is worthwhile depends on operational considerations, impact of testing volume on program costs, and implications of delayed diagnoses.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Seropositividad para VIH , Botswana/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Prueba de VIH , Humanos , Factores de Riesgo
13.
PLoS One ; 16(3): e0248563, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33765010

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Multiple case definitions are used to identify hospitalized patients with community-acquired acute respiratory infections (ARI). We evaluated several commonly used hospitalized ARI case definitions to identify influenza cases. METHODS: The study included all patients from a population-based surveillance site in Damanhour, Egypt hospitalized for a broad set of criteria consistent with community acquired ARIs. Naso- and oropharyngeal (NP/OP) swabs were tested for influenza using RT-PCR. Sensitivity, specificity and PPV for influenza identification was compared between the 2014 WHO Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) definition (fever ≥38°C and cough with onset within 10 days), the 2011 WHO SARI definition (fever ≥38°C and cough with onset within 7 days), the 2006 PAHO SARI definition, the International Emerging Infections Program (IEIP) pneumonia case definition, and the International Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) case definitions for moderate and severe pneumonia. RESULTS: From June 2009-December 2012, 5768 NP/OP swabs were obtained from 6113 hospitalized ARI patients; 799 (13.9%) were influenza positive. The 2014 WHO SARI case definition captured the greatest number of ARI patients, influenza positive patients and ARI deaths compared to the other case definitions examined. Sensitivity for influenza detection was highest for the 2014 WHO SARI definition with 88.6%, compared to the 2011 WHO SARI (78.2%) the 2006 PAHO SARI (15.8%) the IEIP pneumonia (61.0%) and the IMCI moderate and severe pneumonia (33.8% and 38.9%) case definitions (IMCI applies to <5 only). CONCLUSIONS: Our results support use of the 2014 WHO SARI definition for identifying influenza positive hospitalized SARI cases as it captures the highest proportion of ARI deaths and influenza positive cases. Routine use of this case definition for hospital-based surveillance will provide a solid, globally comparable foundation on which to build needed response efforts for novel pandemic viruses.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Pandemias , Vigilancia de Guardia , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Egipto/epidemiología , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
15.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 11(1): 23-32, 2017 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27458989

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Acute Respiratory Infections (ARI) are responsible for nearly two million childhood deaths worldwide. A limited number of studies have been published on the epidemiology of viral respiratory pathogens in Egypt. METHODS: A total of 6113 hospitalized patients >1 month of age with suspected ARI were enrolled between June 23, 2009 and December 31, 2013. Naso- and oropharyngeal specimens were collected and tested for influenza A and B, respiratory syncytial virus, human metapneumovirus, adenovirus, and parainfluenza viruses 1-3. Blood specimens from children 1-11 months were cultured and bacterial growth was identified by polymerase chain reaction. Results from a healthcare utilization survey on the proportion of persons seeking care for ARI was used to calculate adjusted ARI incidence rates in the surveillance population. RESULTS: The proportion of patients with a viral pathogen detected decreased with age from 67% in patients age 1-11 months to 19% in patients ≥65 years of age. Influenza was the dominant viral pathogen detected in patients ≥1 year of age (13.9%). The highest incidence rates for hospitalized ARI were observed in children 1-11 months (1757.9-5537.5/100 000 population) and RSV was the most commonly detected pathogen in this age group. CONCLUSION: In this study population, influenza is the largest viral contributor to hospitalized ARIs and children 1-11 months of age experience a high rate of ARI hospitalizations. This study highlights a need for surveillance of additional viral pathogens and alternative detection methods for bacterial pathogens, which may reveal a substantial proportion of as yet unidentified etiologies in adults.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Vigilancia de la Población , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/etiología , Enfermedad Aguda/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Egipto/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/virología , Masculino , Metapneumovirus/patogenicidad , Persona de Mediana Edad , Orofaringe/virología , Orthomyxoviridae/patogenicidad , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/virología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/patogenicidad , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Estaciones del Año , Adulto Joven
16.
PLoS One ; 9(11): e111393, 2014.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25369023

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: There is a large spectrum of viral, bacterial, fungal, and prion pathogens that cause central nervous system (CNS) infections. As such, identification of the etiological agent requires multiple laboratory tests and accurate diagnosis requires clinical and epidemiological information. This hospital-based study aimed to determine the main causes of acute meningitis and encephalitis and enhance laboratory capacity for CNS infection diagnosis. METHODS: Children and adults patients clinically diagnosed with meningitis or encephalitis were enrolled at four reference health centers. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was collected for bacterial culture, and in-house and multiplex RT-PCR testing was conducted for herpes simplex virus (HSV) types 1 and 2, mumps virus, enterovirus, varicella zoster virus (VZV), Streptococcus pneumoniae, HiB and Neisseria meningitidis. RESULTS: Out of 140 enrolled patients, the mean age was 23.9 years, and 58% were children. Bacterial or viral etiologies were determined in 51% of patients. Five Streptococcus pneumoniae cultures were isolated from CSF. Based on in-house PCR analysis, 25 patients were positive for S. pneumoniae, 6 for N. meningitidis, and 1 for H. influenzae. Viral multiplex PCR identified infections with enterovirus (n = 26), VZV (n = 4), and HSV-1 (n = 2). No patient was positive for mumps or HSV-2. CONCLUSIONS: Study findings indicate that S. pneumoniae and enteroviruses are the main etiologies in this patient cohort. The utility of molecular diagnostics for pathogen identification combined with the knowledge provided by the investigation may improve health outcomes of CNS infection cases in Georgia.


Asunto(s)
Encefalitis/diagnóstico , Meningitis/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Líquido Cefalorraquídeo/microbiología , Líquido Cefalorraquídeo/virología , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , ADN Bacteriano/análisis , ADN Viral/análisis , Encefalitis/microbiología , Encefalitis/virología , Enterovirus/genética , Enterovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Femenino , Georgia (República) , Haemophilus influenzae/genética , Haemophilus influenzae/aislamiento & purificación , Herpesvirus Humano 1/genética , Herpesvirus Humano 1/aislamiento & purificación , Herpesvirus Humano 2/genética , Herpesvirus Humano 2/aislamiento & purificación , Herpesvirus Humano 3/genética , Herpesvirus Humano 3/aislamiento & purificación , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Meningitis/microbiología , Meningitis/virología , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa Multiplex , Neisseria meningitidis/genética , Neisseria meningitidis/aislamiento & purificación , Pacientes , Streptococcus pneumoniae/genética , Streptococcus pneumoniae/aislamiento & purificación , Adulto Joven
17.
Vaccine ; 29(38): 6704-11, 2011 Sep 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21624421

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In Bolivia, in 2008, the under-five mortality rate is 54 per 1000 live births. Diarrhea causes 15% of these deaths, and 40% of pediatric diarrhea-related hospitalizations are caused by rotavirus illness (RI). Rotavirus vaccination (RV), subsidized by international donors, is expected to reduce morbidity, mortality, and economic burden to the Bolivian state. Estimates of illness and economic burden of RI and their reduction by RV are essential to the Bolivian state's policies on RV program financing. The goal of this report is to estimate the economic burden of RI and the cost-effectiveness of the RV program. METHODS: To assess treatment costs incurred by the healthcare system, we abstracted medical records from 287 inpatients and 6751 outpatients with acute diarrhea between 2005 and 2006 at 5 sentinel hospitals in 4 geographic regions. RI prevalence rates were estimated from 4 years of national hospital surveillance. We used a decision-analytic model to assess the potential cost-effectiveness of universal RV in Bolivia. RESULTS: Our model estimates that, in a 5-year birth cohort, Bolivia will incur over US$3 million in direct medical costs due to RI. RV reduces, by at least 60%, outpatient visits, hospitalizations, deaths, and total direct medical costs associated with rotavirus diarrhea. Further, RV was cost-savings below a price of US$3.81 per dose and cost-effective below a price of US$194.10 per dose. Diarrheal mortality and hospitalization inputs were the most important drivers of rotavirus vaccine cost-effectiveness. DISCUSSION: Our data will guide Bolivia's funding allocation for RV as international subsidies change.


Asunto(s)
Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por Rotavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Rotavirus/prevención & control , Vacunas contra Rotavirus/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra Rotavirus/economía , Vacunación/economía , Bolivia/epidemiología , Preescolar , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Infecciones por Rotavirus/economía
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