The Role of Maternal Preconception Adiposity in Human Offspring Sex and Sex Ratio.

We evaluated relationships between preconception adiposity and human offspring sex and sex ratio. Using data from a prospective preconception cohort nested within a randomized controlled trial based at 4 US clinical sites (2006-2012), we used logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for male:female sex ratio, and log-identity regression to estimate risk differences (RDs) and 95% CIs for male and female livebirth according to preconception adiposity measures. Inverse-probability weights accounted for potential selection bias. Among 603 women attempting pregnancy, there were meaningful reductions in sex ratio for the highest category of each adiposity measure. The lowest sex ratios were observed for obesity (body mass index of ≥30, calculated as weight (kg)/height (m)2, OR = 0.48, 95% CI: 0.26, 0.88) relative to normal body mass index, and the top tertiles (tertile 3) of serum leptin (OR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.80) and skinfold measurements (OR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.79) relative to the lowest tertiles. Reductions were driven by 11-15 fewer male livebirths per 100 women (for obesity, RD = -15, 95% CI: -23, -6.7; for leptin tertile 3, RD = -11, 95% CI: -20, -3.2; and for skinfolds tertile 3, RD = -11, 95% CI: -19, -3.3). We found that relationships between preconception adiposity measures and reduced sex ratio were driven by a reduction in male births.

Infant sex at birth and long-term maternal mortality.

BACKGROUND: Maternal adaptations may vary by foetal sex. Whether male infants influence long-term mortality in mothers remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to examine whether male infants increase the risk of maternal mortality. METHODS: This study included pregnant women enrolled at 12 US sites from 1959 to 1966 in the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP). Collaborative Perinatal Project records were linked to the National Death Index and the Social Security Master Death File to ascertain deaths until 2016. Foetal sex was determined by infant sex at birth, defined as the total number of male or female infants in pregnancies prior to or during enrolment in the CPP. In secondary analyses, exposure was defined as infant sex at the last CPP delivery. Outcomes included all-cause and underlying causes of mortality. We used Cox proportional hazards models weighted by the number of prior live births and stratified our models by parity and race/ethnicity. RESULTS: Among 48,188 women, 50.8% had a male infant at their last registered CPP pregnancy and 39.0% had a recorded death after a mean follow-up of 47.8 years (SD 10.5 years). No linear association was found between the number of liveborn males and all-cause mortality (primipara women: HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95, 1.09, multipara women, 1 prior live birth: HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.89, 1.03, multipara women, ≥2 prior live births: HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.85, 1.11). A similar trend was noted for cardiovascular- and cancer-related mortality. At the last delivery, women with a male infant did not have an increased risk of all-cause or cause-specific mortality compared to women with a female infant. These findings were consistent across racial/ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: Women who give birth to male infants, regardless of number, are not at increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality. These findings suggest that giving birth to male infants may not independently influence the long-term health of women.

Long-Term Mortality in Women With Pregnancy Loss and Modification by Race/Ethnicity.

Pregnancy loss is a common reproductive complication, but its association with long-term mortality and whether this varies by maternal race/ethnicity is not well understood. Data from a racially diverse cohort of pregnant women enrolled in the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP) from 1959 to 1966 were used for this study. CPP records were linked to the National Death Index and the Social Security Death Master File to identify deaths and underlying cause (until 2016). Pregnancy loss comprised self-reported losses, including abortions, stillbirths, and ectopic pregnancies. Among 48,188 women (46.0% White, 45.8% Black, 8.2% other race/ethnicity), 25.6% reported at least 1 pregnancy loss and 39% died. Pregnancy loss was associated with a higher absolute risk of all-cause mortality (risk difference, 4.0 per 100 women, 95% confidence interval: 1.4, 6.5) and cardiovascular mortality (risk difference, 2.2 per 100 women, 95% confidence interval: 0.8, 3.5). Stratified by race/ethnicity, a higher risk of mortality persisted in White, but not Black, women. Women with recurrent losses are at increased risk of death, both overall and across all race/ethnicity groups. Pregnancy loss is associated with death; however, it does not confer an excess risk above the observed baseline risk in Black women. These findings support the need to assess reproductive history as part of routine screening in women.

Prospectively assessed perceived stress associated with early pregnancy losses among women with history of pregnancy loss.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the association between perceived stress during peri-conception and early pregnancy and pregnancy loss among women who have experienced a prior pregnancy loss? SUMMARY ANSWER: Daily perceived stress above the median is associated with over a 2-fold risk of early pregnancy loss among women who have experienced a prior loss. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY?: Women who have experienced a pregnancy loss may be more vulnerable to stress while trying to become pregnant again. While prior research has indicated a link between psychological stress and clinically confirmed miscarriages, research is lacking among a pre-conceptional cohort followed prospectively for the effects of perceived stress during early critical windows of pregnancy establishment on risk of both hCG-detected pregnancy losses and confirmed losses, while considering important time-varying confounders. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Secondary data analysis of the EAGeR trial (2007-2011) among women with an hCG-detected pregnancy (n = 797 women). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Women from four US clinical centers enrolled pre-conceptionally and were followed ≤6 cycles while attempting pregnancy and, as applicable, throughout pregnancy. Perceived stress was captured via daily diaries and end-of-month questionnaires. Main outcome measures include hCG-detected and clinically recognized pregnancy losses. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Among women who had an hCG-confirmed pregnancy, 188 pregnancies (23.6%) ended in loss. Women with high (>50th percentile) versus low (≤50th percentile) peri-implantation or early pregnancy weekly perceived stress had an elevated risk of experiencing any pregnancy loss (hazard ratio (HR): 1.69, 95% CI: 1.13, 2.54) or clinical loss (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 0.96, 2.60), with higher risks observed for women experiencing an hCG-detected loss (HR: 2.16, 95% CI: 1.04, 4.46). Models accounted for women's age, BMI, employment, marital status, income, education, race, parity, prior losses, exercise and time-varying nausea/vomiting, caffeine, alcohol and smoking. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: We were limited in our ability to clearly identify the mechanisms of stress on pregnancy loss due to our sole reliance on self-reported perceived stress, and the lack of biomarkers of different pathways of stress. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study provides new insight on early pregnancy perceived stress and risk of pregnancy loss, most notably hCG-detected losses, among women with a history of a prior loss. Our study is an improvement over past studies in its ability to account for time-varying early pregnancy symptoms, such as nausea/vomiting, and lifestyle factors, such as caffeine, alcohol and smoking, which are also risk factors for psychological stress and pregnancy loss. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland (Contract numbers: HHSN267200603423, HHSN267200603424, HHSN267200603426, HHSN275201300023I). Additionally, K.C.S. was supported by the National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number K01AG058781. The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: #NCT00467363.

The Effect of Preconception-Initiated Low-Dose Aspirin on Human Chorionic Gonadotropin-Detected Pregnancy, Pregnancy Loss, and Live Birth : Per Protocol Analysis of a Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: A previous large randomized trial indicated that preconception-initiated low-dose aspirin (LDA) therapy did not have a positive effect on pregnancy outcomes. However, this trial was subject to nonadherence, which was not taken into account by the intention-to-treat approach. OBJECTIVE: To estimate per protocol effects of preconception-initiated LDA on pregnancy loss and live birth. DESIGN: The EAGeR (Effects of Aspirin on Gestation and Reproduction) trial was used to construct a prospective cohort for a post hoc analysis. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00467363). SETTING: 4 university medical centers in the United States. PARTICIPANTS: 1227 women between the ages of 18 and 40 years who had 1 or 2 previous pregnancy losses and were attempting pregnancy. MEASUREMENTS: Adherence to LDA or placebo, assessed by measuring pill bottle weights at regular intervals during follow-up. Primary outcomes were human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG)-detected pregnancies, pregnancy losses, and live births, determined by pregnancy tests and medical records. RESULTS: Relative to placebo, adhering to LDA for 5 of 7 days per week led to 8 more hCG-detected pregnancies (95% CI, 4.64 to 10.96 pregnancies), 15 more live births (CI, 7.65 to 21.15 births), and 6 fewer pregnancy losses (CI, -12.00 to -0.20 losses) for every 100 women in the trial. In addition, compared with placebo, postconception initiation of LDA therapy led to a reduction in the estimated effects. Furthermore, effects were obtained in a minimum of 4 of 7 days per week. LIMITATION: The EAGeR trial data for this study were analyzed as observational data, thus are subject to the limitations of prospective observational studies. CONCLUSION: Per protocol results suggest that preconception use of LDA at least 4 days per week may improve reproductive outcomes for women who have had 1 or 2 pregnancy losses. Increasing adherence to daily LDA seems to be key to improving effectiveness. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

The Safety of Low-Dose Aspirin on the Mode of Delivery: Secondary Analysis of the Effect of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine whether prenatal low-dose aspirin (LDA) therapy affects risk of cesarean versus vaginal delivery. STUDY DESIGN: This study is a secondary analysis of the randomized clinical effects of aspirin in gestation and reproduction (EAGeR) trial. Women received 81-mg daily aspirin or placebo from preconception to 36 weeks of gestation. Mode of delivery and obstetric complications were abstracted from records. Log-binomial regression models estimated relative risk (RR) of cesarean versus vaginal delivery. Data were analyzed among the total preconception cohort, as well as restricted to women who had a live birth. RESULTS: Among 1,228 women, 597 had a live birth. In the intent-to-treat analysis, preconception-initiated LDA was not associated with risk of cesarean (RR = 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98-1.07) compared with placebo. Findings were similar in just women with a live birth and when accounting prior cesarean delivery and parity. CONCLUSION: Preconception-initiated daily LDA was not associated with mode of delivery among women with one to two prior losses. KEY POINTS: · Aspirin was not associated with risk of cesarean section.. · Aspirin was not associated with mode of delivery.. · No increased risk of bleeding with use of aspirin..

Preconception leukocyte telomere length and pregnancy outcomes among women with demonstrated fecundity.

STUDY QUESTION: Is preconception leukocyte telomere length associated with fecundability, pregnancy loss and live birth among women attempting natural conception with a history of 1-2 prior pregnancy losses? SUMMARY ANSWER: Preconception leukocyte telomere length is not associated with fecundability, pregnancy loss or live birth. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: As women increasingly delay childbearing, accessible preconception biomarkers to predict pregnancy outcomes among women seeking natural conception could improve preconception counseling. Findings of small case-control or cross-sectional studies suggest that telomere attrition is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes among women undergoing fertility treatment, but prospective studies in non-clinical populations are lacking. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Participants included 1228 women aged 18-40 years with a history of 1-2 prior pregnancy losses who were recruited at four university medical centers (2006-2012). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Preconception leukocyte telomere length was measured at baseline using PCR and reported as a ratio (T/S) in relation to population-specific standard reference DNA. Women were followed for up to six cycles while attempting to conceive. Associations of telomere length with fecundability, live birth and pregnancy loss were estimated using discrete Cox proportional hazards models and log-binomial models. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: After adjustment for age, BMI, smoking and other factors, preconception telomere length was not associated with fecundability (Q4 vs Q1 FOR = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.79, 1.27), live birth (Q4 vs Q1 RR = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.85, 1.19), or pregnancy loss (Q4 vs Q1 RR = 1.12; 95% CI = 0.78, 1.62). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Telomere length was measured in leukocytes, which is an accessible tissue in women attempting natural conception but may not reflect telomere length in oocytes. Most women were younger than 35 years, limiting our ability to evaluate associations among older women. Participants had a history of 1-2 prior pregnancy losses; therefore, our findings may not be widely generalizable. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Despite prior research suggesting that telomere length may be associated with pregnancy outcomes among women seeking fertility treatment, our findings suggest that leukocyte telomere length is not a suitable biomarker of pregnancy establishment or maintenance among women attempting natural conception. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This research was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA; contract numbers HHSN267200603423, HHSN267200603424 and HHSN267200603426). The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00467363.

Adiposity is associated with anovulation independent of serum free testosterone: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity, a body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg/m2 , is linked to infertility, potentially through a greater risk of anovulation due to elevated androgens. Yet, previous studies have not directly assessed the impact of adiposity, or body fat, on anovulation in the absence of clinical infertility. OBJECTIVE: To characterise the associations between adiposity and anovulation among women menstruating on a regular basis. METHODS: Women from the EAGeR trial (n = 1200), a randomised controlled trial of low-dose aspirin and pregnancy loss among women trying to conceive, were used to estimate associations between adiposity and incident anovulation. Participants completed baseline questionnaires and anthropometry, and provided blood specimens. Women used fertility monitors for up to six consecutive menstrual cycles, with collection of daily first morning voids for hormone analysis in the first two menstrual cycles for prospective assessment of anovulation. Anovulation was assessed by urine pregnanediol glucuronide or luteinising hormone concentration or the fertility monitor. Weighted mixed-effects log-binomial regression was used to estimate associations between measures of adiposity and incident anovulation, adjusted for free (bioavailable) testosterone, anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH), serum lipids, and demographic and life style factors. RESULTS: 343 (28.3%) women experienced at least one anovulatory cycle. Anovulation risk was higher per kg/m2 greater BMI (relative risk [RR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01, 1.04), cm waist circumference (RR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00, 1.02), mm subscapular skinfold (RR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01, 1.03), and mm middle upper arm circumference (RR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01, 1.06) adjusted for serum free testosterone, AMH, lipids, and other factors. CONCLUSIONS: Adiposity may be associated with anovulation through pathways other than testosterone among regularly menstruating women. This may account in part for reported associations between greater adiposity and infertility among women having menstrual cycles regularly. Understanding the association between adiposity and anovulation might lead to targeted interventions for preventing infertility.

Sporadic anovulation is not an important determinant of becoming pregnant and time to pregnancy among eumenorrheic women: A simulation study.

BACKGROUND: Attaining pregnancy is conditional upon a series of complex processes, including adequately timed intercourse, ovulation, fertilisation, and implantation. Anovulation is a first-line treatment target for couples with difficulty conceiving and is frequently examined in studies of fecundability. OBJECTIVES: To identify whether sporadic anovulation is an important determinant of cumulative pregnancy rates and time to pregnancy among fertile women with regular menstrual cycles. METHODS: We simulated cumulative pregnancy rates and time to pregnancy for 12 consecutive menstrual cycles among 100 000 women based on data-driven probabilities of implantation, fertilisation, ovulation, and intercourse occurring in the fertile window. We assumed anovulation probabilities of 1%, 8%, or 14.5% and intercourse averaging once per week, every other day, or daily. The model incorporated reductions in implantation and fertilisation rates for successive cycles of non-pregnancy. RESULTS: After 12 cycles, a reduction in the per cycle incidence of anovulation from 14.5% to 1% resulted in a 4.0% higher cumulative pregnancy rate (86.7% vs 90.7%) and similar time to pregnancy (1-cycle median difference). In contrast, increasing mean unscheduled sexual intercourse frequency from weekly to every other day was associated with a 5-cycle median reduction in time to pregnancy (weekly: 7 cycles; every other day or daily: 2 cycles) and a 28.9% increase in the cumulative pregnancy rate (weekly: 59.9%, every other day: 88.8%; daily: 91.6%). CONCLUSIONS: In presumed fertile women with regular menstrual cycles, routine investigation of anovulation may not be an informative outcome in studies of fecundability, and routine testing to ensure ovulation and treatment of anovulation are unlikely to be medically necessary. While biomarkers or cervical fluid may help time intercourse to the fertile window, time to pregnancy can also be improved through increasing the frequency of unscheduled intercourse. These findings need corroboration in large preconception time to pregnancy studies.

Associations between blood cadmium and endocrine features related to PCOS-phenotypes in healthy women of reproductive age: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cadmium is an endocrine disrupting chemical that affects the hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal axis. Though evidence suggests its potential role in altering androgen synthesis and metabolic pathways that are characteristic of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), its relation in healthy women of reproductive age is largely unknown. As women with mild sub-clinical features of PCOS who do not meet the diagnostic criteria of PCOS may still experience reduced fecundability, investigating associations between cadmium and PCOS-phenotypes among healthy women may provide unique insight into the reproductive implications for many on the PCOS spectrum. Therefore, the objective of this study was to evaluate associations between cadmium and androgens, anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), and metabolic markers in women of reproductive age. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of 251 healthy premenopausal women without self-reported PCOS (mean age 27.3 years and BMI 24.1 kg/m2). Cadmium was measured in blood collected at baseline. Reproductive hormones and metabolic markers were measured in fasting serum 8 times per menstrual cycle for 2 cycles. Linear mixed models and Poisson regression with a robust error variance were used to examine associations between cadmium and reproductive hormones and metabolic markers and anovulation, respectively. RESULTS: Median (interquartile range) blood cadmium concentrations at baseline were 0.30 (0.19-0.43) µg/L. Higher levels of testosterone (2.2 %, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.4, 4.1), sex hormone-binding globulin (2.9 %, 95 % CI 0.5, 5.5), and AMH (7.7 %, 95 % CI 1.1, 14.9) were observed per 0.1 µg/L increase in cadmium concentrations. An 18 % higher probability of a mild PCOS-phenotype (95 % CI 1.06, 1.31), defined by a menstrual cycle being in the highest quartile of cycle-averaged testosterone and AMH levels, was also found per 0.1 µg/L increase in cadmium levels. No associations were observed for insulin and glucose. These findings were consistent even after analyses were restricted to non-smokers or further adjusted for dietary factors to account for potential sources of exposure. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, among healthy reproductive-aged women, cadmium was associated with endocrine features central to PCOS, but not with metabolic markers. These suggest its potential role in the hormonal milieu associated with PCOS even at low levels of exposure.

A Randomized Trial to Evaluate the Effects of Folic Acid and Zinc Supplementation on Male Fertility and Livebirth: Design and Baseline Characteristics.

The Folic Acid and Zinc Supplementation Trial (FAZST) was a multicenter, double-blind, block-randomized, placebo-controlled trial to determine whether folic acid and zinc supplementation in men improves semen quality and increases livebirth rate among couples seeking infertility treatment (2013-2017). Eligible men were aged 18 years or older with female partners aged 18-45 years, seeking infertility treatment. Men were randomized (1:1) to 5 mg folic acid and 30 mg elemental zinc daily or matching placebo for 6 months. Randomization was stratified by site and intended infertility treatment (in vitro fertilization (IVF), non-IVF/study site, and non-IVF/outside clinic). Follow-up of men continued for 6 months, and female partners were passively followed for a minimum of 9 months. Women who conceived were followed throughout pregnancy. Overall, 2,370 men were randomized during 2013-2017 (1,185 folic acid and zinc, 1,185 placebo); they had a mean age of 33 years and body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)2) of 29.8. Most participants were white (82%), well educated (83% with some college), and employed (72%). Participant characteristics were balanced across intervention arms. Study visits were completed by 89%, 77%, and 75% of men at months 2, 4, and 6, respectively. Here we describe the study design, recruitment, data collection, lessons learned, and baseline participant characteristics.

Prescription Opioid Use Among Populations of Reproductive Age: Effects on Fertility, Pregnancy Loss, and Pregnancy Complications.

Prescription opioid use is common among men and women of reproductive age, including during assisted-reproduction procedures. Opioid use disorder and chronic use are associated with harms to fertility and pregnancy outcomes, but it is unclear whether these associations extend to common short-term patterns of prescription opioid use. We conducted a literature review using PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus to identify studies of nonchronic, nondependent opioid use and reproductive endpoints including fertility, pregnancy loss, and pregnancy complications (i.e., preterm birth, birth weight, gestational diabetes, and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy). Seventeen studies were included. Although results of the studies suggest possible harms of short-term opioid use on fertility and pregnancy loss, methodologic limitations and the small number of studies make the literature inconclusive. This review highlights important data gaps that must be addressed to make conclusions about potential reproductive effects of short-term opioid use. These include the need for additional data on opioid use before clinically recognized pregnancy; accurate measurement of opioid exposure by multiple means with detailed information on the types and quantity of opioids used; assessment of important confounders, including opioid use indication, comorbidities, and use of other medications and substances; and studies of paternal opioid use, fertility, and pregnancy outcomes. A primary limitation of this review targeting studies of nonchronic opioid exposure is the possibility that selected studies included populations with unspecified chronic or dependent opioid use. Efforts to understand the impact of the prescription opioid epidemic should address potential reproductive harms of these medications among people of reproductive age.

Is opioid use safe in women trying to conceive?

Background: Opioids are commonly prescribed to women of reproductive age, including after delivery and miscarriage. However, to our knowledge, opioid use has not been frequently studied in relation to the common reproductive complications of impaired fecundability and pregnancy. We examined the association of opioid use during the critical window of pregnancy establishment with fecundability and pregnancy loss. Methods: We measured opioid use by urine screening and self-report at multiple time points during preconception and early pregnancy in a prospective cohort of women attempting conception (n=1228). The main outcomes included time to hCG-detected pregnancy and incidence of live birth and pregnancy loss. We estimated fecundability odds ratios (FOR) and risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, reproductive characteristics, and use of antidepressants, tobacco, alcohol, and marijuana. Results: Prevalence of preconception opioid use was 18% (n=226 of 1228), and in early pregnancy was 5% (n=33 of 685). Opioid use while attempting pregnancy was associated with reduced fecundability (FOR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.50, 1.0). Risk of pregnancy loss increased as opioid exposure was detected later in gestation, from the beginning of the cycle of conception (RR: 1.5; 95% CI 0.85, 2.6), to week 4 of pregnancy (RR: 2.1; 95% CI: 1.1, 4.1), and to week 4 and 8 of pregnancy (RR: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.3, 5.0). Conclusions: Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that opioid exposure while trying to conceive may be harmful, even among healthy, non-opioid-dependent women. Possible risks to fecundability and pregnancy viability are relevant to patients and providers when evaluating pain management approaches.ClinicalTrials.gov registration number: #NCT00467363.

Vital Status Ascertainment for a Historic Diverse Cohort of U.S. Women.

BACKGROUND: Studies linking large pregnancy cohorts with mortality data can address critical questions about long-term implications of gravid health, yet relevant US data are scant. We examined the feasibility of linking the Collaborative Perinatal Project, a large multiracial U.S. cohort study of pregnant women (n = 48,197; 1959-1966), to death records. METHODS: We abstracted essential National Death Index (NDI) (1979-2016) (n = 46,428). We performed a linkage to the Social Security Administration Death Master File through 2016 (n = 46,450). Genealogists manually searched vital status in 2016 for a random sample of women (n = 1,249). We conducted agreement analyses for women with abstracted data among the three sources. As proof of concept, we calculated adjusted associations between mortality and smoking and other sociodemographic factors using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: We successfully abstracted identifying information for most of the cohort (97%). National Death Index identified the greatest proportion of participants deceased (35%), followed by genealogists (31%) and Death Master File (23%). Estimates of agreement (κ [95% confidence interval]) between National Death Index and Death Master File were lower (0.52 [0.51, 0.53]) than for National Death Index and genealogist (0.66 [0.61, 0.70]). As expected, compared with nonsmokers, smoking ≥1 pack per day was associated with elevated mortality for all vital sources and was strongest for National Death Index. CONCLUSIONS: Linking this historic cohort with mortality records was feasible and agreed reasonably on vital status when compared with other data sources. Such linkage enables future examination of pregnancy conditions in relation to mortality in a diverse U.S. cohort.

Prediction of pregnancy loss by early first trimester ultrasound characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancy loss prediction based on routinely measured ultrasound characteristics is generally aimed toward distinguishing nonviability. Physicians also use ultrasound indicators for patient counseling, and in some cases to decide upon the frequency of follow-up sonograms. To improve clinical utility, allocation of cut-points should be based on clinical data for multiple sonographic characteristics, be specific to gestational week, and be determined by methods that optimize prediction. OBJECTIVES: To identify routinely measured features of the early first trimester ultrasound and the gestational age-specific cut-points that are most predictive of pregnancy loss. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of 617 pregnant women enrolled in the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction (EAGeR) trial; all women had 1-2 previous pregnancy losses and no documented infertility. Each participant had a single ultrasound with a detectable fetal heartbeat between 6 weeks 0 days and 8 weeks 6 days. Cut-points for low fetal heart rate and small crown-rump length were separately defined for gestational weeks 6, 7, and 8 to optimize prediction. Identity and log-binomial regression models were used to estimate absolute and relative risks, respectively, and 95% confidence intervals between jointly categorized low fetal heart rate, small crown-rump length, and clinical pregnancy loss. Adjusted models accounted for gestational age at ultrasound in weeks. Missing data were addressed using multiple imputation. RESULTS: A total of 64 women experienced a clinical pregnancy loss following the first ultrasound (10.4%), 7 were lost to follow-up (1.1%), and 546 women (88.5%) had a live birth. Low fetal heart rate and small crown-rump length (≤122, 123, and 158 bpm; ≤6.0, 8.5, and 10.9 mm for gestational weeks 6, 7, and 8, respectively) were independent predictors of clinical pregnancy loss, with greatest risks observed for pregnancies having both characteristics (relative risk, 2.08; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-2.91). The combination of low fetal heart rate and small crown-rump length was linked to a 16% (95% confidence interval, 9.1-23%) adjusted absolute increase in risk of subsequent loss, from 5.0% (95% confidence interval, 1.5-8.5%) to 21% (95% confidence interval, 15-27%). Abnormal yolk sac diameter or the presence of a subchorionic hemmhorage did not improve prediction of clinical pregnancy loss. CONCLUSION: Identified cut-points can be used by physicians for patient counseling, and in some cases to decide upon the frequency of follow-up sonograms. The specified criteria should not be used to diagnose nonviability.

Platelet activation and placenta-mediated adverse pregnancy outcomes: an ancillary study to the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction trial.

BACKGROUND: Platelet activation may play a role in the pathophysiology of placenta-mediated obstetrical complications, as evidenced by the efficacy of aspirin in preventing preeclampsia, but published data regarding the relationship between biomarkers for platelet activation and adverse obstetrical outcomes are sparse. In particular, it is unknown whether prepregnancy biomarkers of platelet activation are associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the following: (1) whether maternal plasma concentrations of platelet factor 4 are associated with risk of placenta-mediated adverse obstetrical outcomes, and (2) whether these associations are modified by low-dose aspirin. STUDY DESIGN: This ancillary study included measurement of platelet factor 4 among 1185 of 1228 women of reproductive age enrolled in the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction trial with available plasma samples, with relevant outcomes assessed among 584 women with pregnancies lasting at least 20 weeks' gestation. We measured platelet factor 4 in plasma samples obtained at the prepregnancy study visit (before randomization to low-dose aspirin or placebo), 12 weeks' gestation, and 28 weeks' gestation. The primary outcome was a composite of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, placental abruption, and small-for-gestational-age infant. We estimated the relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between platelet factor 4 and the composite and individual outcomes at each time point using log-binomial regression that was weighted to account for potential selection bias and adjusted for age, body mass index, education, income, and smoking. To evaluate the potential effect modification of aspirin, we stratified the analyses by aspirin treatment assignment. RESULTS: During follow-up, 95 women experienced the composite adverse obstetrical outcome, with 57 cases of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, 35 of small for gestational age, and 6 of placental abruption. Overall, prepregnancy platelet factor 4 was positively associated with the composite outcome (third tertile vs first tertile; relative risk, 2.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.38-4.03) and with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (third tertile vs first tertile; relative risk, 2.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-4.23). In analyses stratified by treatment group, associations were stronger in the placebo group (third tertile vs first tertile; relative risk, 3.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.42-7.93) than in the aspirin group (third tertile vs first tertile; relative risk, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.90-3.50). CONCLUSION: High concentrations of platelet factor 4 before pregnancy are associated with increased risk of placenta-mediated adverse pregnancy outcomes, particularly for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. Aspirin may mitigate the increased risk of these outcomes among women with higher plasma concentrations of preconception platelet factor 4, but low-dose aspirin nonresponders may require higher doses of aspirin or alternate therapies to achieve obstetrical risk reduction.

Vaginal bleeding and nausea in early pregnancy as predictors of clinical pregnancy loss.

BACKGROUND: Although nausea and vaginal bleeding are commonly experienced in early pregnancy, their prognostic value in predicting clinical pregnancy loss is not well understood. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to understand whether timing of bleeding and nausea symptoms can be used to predict risk of pregnancy loss among women with ultrasound-confirmed pregnancies. STUDY DESIGN: A cohort of 701 women with clinically confirmed pregnancies and 1 to 2 previous pregnancy losses were preconceptionally enrolled in the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction trial (2006-2012). Participants completed daily symptom diaries from 2 to 8 weeks' gestation and were prospectively monitored for detection of pregnancy loss. The risk of pregnancy loss was estimated for each observed bleeding and nausea pattern, and positive and negative predictive values for each pattern were calculated. RESULTS: Among 701 women, 211 (30.1%) reported any vaginal bleeding, and 639 (91.2%) reported any nausea. Most bleeding experienced by women was spotting and contained within a single episode. Within 2 to <4, 4 to <6, and 6 to 8 weeks' gestation, vaginal bleeding occurred in 5.9% (41) (5.7% live birth, 7.1% clinical pregnancy loss), 14.6% (102) (13.9% live birth, 18.6% clinical pregnancy loss), and 20.8% (146) (18.4% live birth, 32.4% clinical pregnancy loss) of women, respectively. Within the same gestational periods, nausea was reported in 22.7% (159) (23.2% live birth, 20.4% clinical pregnancy loss), 65.9% (462) (67.5% live birth, 58.4% clinical pregnancy loss), and 87.0% (610) (90.6% live birth, 69.0% clinical pregnancy loss) of women. Women who had bleeding without nausea between 6 and 8 weeks' gestation (3.6% prevalance) had the greatest risk of clinical pregnancy loss (risk difference=56.1%; 95% confidence interval, 37.6-74.7), a positive predictive value of 68.0% (49.7%, 86.3%), negative predictive value of 85.8% (83.2%, 88.4%), positive likelihood ratio of 11.1 (2.04, 20.1), and negative likelihood ratio of 0.86 (0.79, 0.93). Nausea and bleeding are clinical factors that predicted clinical pregnancy loss (area under the curve, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.88) similar to age, body mass index, blood pressure, and waist-to-hip ratio (area under the curve, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-0.88) measured preconceptionally. CONCLUSION: Women experiencing bleeding without nausea between 6 and 8 weeks' gestation had an increased risk of clinical pregnancy loss. Bleeding and nausea were not predictive risk factors of clinical pregnancy loss prior to 6 weeks' gestation.

Maternal Serum Lipid Trajectories and Association with Pregnancy Loss and Length of Gestation.

OBJECTIVE: We characterized lipid trajectories and investigated lipids and rate of pregnancy lipid change with the risk of pregnancy loss or preterm delivery <37 weeks. STUDY DESIGN: In a secondary analysis of 337 women with one to two prior losses assigned to placebo in a randomized controlled trial at four centers (2007-2012), cholesterol, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides were measured up to 6 months prepregnancy (time 0) and pregnancy up to 7 visits. Trajectories were created using linear mixed models. Multivariable logistic regression with adjustment for maternal characteristics and cholesterol was performed. RESULTS: Lipids decreased from prepregnancy to 4 to 5 weeks, followed by an increase, and were biphasic or triphasic depending on the lipid component. Between 4 and 8 weeks, for every 1-unit increase in HDL-C, there was a 22% decreased odds of loss <14 weeks (odds ratio: 0.78; 95% confidence interval: 0.60, 0.99) and 24% decreased odds of loss or preterm delivery 14 to <37 weeks (odds ratio: 0.76; 95% confidence interval: 0.60, 0.96). CONCLUSION: There were no associations with other lipid components or other time points. An impaired rise of HDL-C early in pregnancy may signal maladaptation to pregnancy that is associated with pregnancy loss or preterm delivery.

Effect of Folic Acid and Zinc Supplementation in Men on Semen Quality and Live Birth Among Couples Undergoing Infertility Treatment: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Dietary supplements marketed for male fertility commonly contain folic acid and zinc based on limited prior evidence for improving semen quality. However, no large-scale trial has examined the efficacy of this therapy for improving semen quality or live birth. Objective: To determine the effect of daily folic acid and zinc supplementation on semen quality and live birth. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Folic Acid and Zinc Supplementation Trial was a multicenter randomized clinical trial. Couples (n = 2370; men aged ≥18 years and women aged 18-45 years) planning infertility treatment were enrolled at 4 US reproductive endocrinology and infertility care study centers between June 2013 and December 2017. The last 6-month study visit for semen collection occurred during August 2018, with chart abstraction of live birth and pregnancy information completed during April 2019. Interventions: Men were block randomized by study center and planned infertility treatment (in vitro fertilization, other treatment at a study site, and other treatment at an outside clinic) to receive either 5 mg of folic acid and 30 mg of elemental zinc (n = 1185) or placebo (n = 1185) daily for 6 months. Main Outcomes and Measures: The co-primary outcomes were live birth (resulting from pregnancies occurring within 9 months of randomization) and semen quality parameters (sperm concentration, motility, morphology, volume, DNA fragmentation, and total motile sperm count) at 6 months after randomization. Results: Among 2370 men who were randomized (mean age, 33 years), 1773 (75%) attended the final 6-month study visit. Live birth outcomes were available for all couples, and 1629 men (69%) had semen available for analysis at 6 months after randomization. Live birth was not significantly different between treatment groups (404 [34%] in the folic acid and zinc group and 416 [35%] in the placebo group; risk difference, -0.9% [95% CI, -4.7% to 2.8%]). Most of the semen quality parameters (sperm concentration, motility, morphology, volume, and total motile sperm count) were not significantly different between treatment groups at 6 months after randomization. A statistically significant increase in DNA fragmentation was observed with folic acid and zinc supplementation (mean of 29.7% for percentage of DNA fragmentation in the folic acid and zinc group and 27.2% in the placebo group; mean difference, 2.4% [95% CI, 0.5% to 4.4%]). Gastrointestinal symptoms were more common with folic acid and zinc supplementation compared with placebo (abdominal discomfort or pain: 66 [6%] vs 40 [3%], respectively; nausea: 50 [4%] vs 24 [2%]; and vomiting: 32 [3%] vs 17 [1%]). Conclusions and Relevance: Among a general population of couples seeking infertility treatment, the use of folic acid and zinc supplementation by male partners, compared with placebo, did not significantly improve semen quality or couples' live birth rates. These findings do not support the use of folic acid and zinc supplementation by male partners in the treatment of infertility. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01857310.

Combining Biomarker Calibration Data to Reduce Measurement Error.

Biomarker assay measurement often consists of a two-stage process where laboratory equipment yields a relative measure which is subsequently transformed to the unit of interest using a calibration curve. The calibration curve establishes the relation between the measured relative units and sample biomarker concentrations using stepped samples of known biomarker concentrations. Samples from epidemiologic studies are often measured in multiple batches or plates, each with independent calibration experiments. Collapsing calibration information across batches before statistical analysis has been shown to reduce measurement error and improves estimation. Additionally, collapsing in practice can also create an additional layer of quality control (QC) and optimization in a part of the laboratory measurement process that is often highly automated. Principled recalibration is demonstrated via. a three-step process of identifying batches where recalibration might be beneficial, forming a collapsed calibration curve and recalibrating identified batches, and using QC data to assess the appropriateness of recalibration. Here, we use inhibin B measured in biospecimens from the BioCycle study using 50 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) batches (3875 samples) to motivate and display the benefits of collapsing calibration experiments, such as detecting and overcoming faulty calibration experiments, and thus improving assay coefficients of variation from reducing unwanted measurement error variability. Differences in the analysis of inhibin B by testosterone quartile are also demonstrated before and after recalibration. These simple and practical procedures are minor adjustments implemented by study personnel without altering laboratory protocols which could have positive estimation and cost-saving implications especially for population-based studies.