A nomogram for predicting survival of head and neck mucosal melanoma.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to understand the clinical characteristics and better predict the prognosis of patients with mucosal melanoma of the head and neck (MMHN) using a nomogram. METHODS: Three hundred patients with nometastatic MMHN were included. Multivariable Cox regression was performed to analyze independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS), and these factors were used to develop a nomogram. Concordance indexes (C-indexes), calibration plots, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were performed to test the predictive performance of the nomogram in both the primary (n = 300) and validation cohorts (n = 182). RESULTS: The primary tumor site, T stage and N stage were independent risk factors for survival and were included in the nomogram to predict the 3- and 5-year OS, DFS, DMFS, and LRRFS in the primary cohort. The C-indexes (both > 0.700), well-fit calibration plots, and area under the ROC curve (both > 0.700) indicated the high diagnostic accuracy of the nomogram, in both the primary and validation cohorts. The patients were divided into three groups (high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk groups) according to their nomogram scores. The survival curves of OS, DFS, DMFS, and LRRFS were well separated by the risk groups in both cohorts (all P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram can stratify MMHN patients into clinically meaningful taxonomies to provide individualized treatment.

Analysis of the pachychoroid phenotype in an Asian population: methodology and baseline study population characteristics.

AIM: To describe the clinical characteristics in a cohort of patients with the pachychoroid phenotype and to evaluate the association of ocular and systemic factors with type of complications observed. METHODS: We report baseline findings from a prospective observational study which recruited subjects with subfoveal choroidal thickness (SFCT) of ≥300 µm on spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (OCT). Multimodal imaging was used to classify eyes as uncomplicated pachychoroid (UP) or pachychoroid disease with pachychoroid pigment epitheliopathy (PPE), central serous chorioretinopathy (CSC) or pachychoroid neovasculopathy (PNV) subtypes. RESULTS: Among 181 eyes of 109 participants (mean age 60.6 years, 33 (30.3%) female, 95 (7.2%) Chinese), 38 eyes (21.0%) had UP. Of 143 eyes (79.0%) with pachychoroid disease, 82 (45.3%), 41 (22.7%) and 20 (11.0%) had PPE, CSC and PNV, respectively. Addition of autofluorescence and OCT angiography to structural OCT led to reclassification of 31 eyes to a more severe category. Systemic and ocular factors evaluated, including SFCT, were not associated with disease severity. Comparison of PPE, CSC and PNV eyes showed no significant difference in OCT features of retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) dysfunction, but disruption of the ellipsoid zone (PPE 30.5% vs CSC 70.7% vs PNV 60%, p<0.001) and thinning of inner nuclear/inner plexiform layers (PPE 7.3% vs CSC 36.6% vs PNV 35%, p<0.001) were more frequent in CSC and PNV eyes. CONCLUSIONS: These cross-sectional associations suggest pachychoroid disease manifestations may reflect progressive decompensation from the choroid to the RPE then retinal layers. Planned follow-up of this cohort will be beneficial in clarifying the natural history of the pachychoroid phenotype.

Impacts of socio-economic determinants, spatial distance and climate factors on the confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 in China.

This study is to assess the influences of climate, socio-economic determinants, and spatial distance on the confirmed cases and deaths in the raise phase of COVID-19 in China. The positive confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 over the population size of 100,000 over every 5 consecutive days (the CCOPSPTT and DOPSPTT for short, respectively) covered from 25th January to 29th February, 2020 in five city types (i.e., small-, medium-, large-, very large- and super large-sized cities), along with the data of climate, socio-economic determinants, spatial distance of the target city to Wuhan city (DW, for short), and spatial distance between the target city and their local province capital city (DLPC, for short) were collected from the official websites of China. Then the above-mentioned influencing factors on CCOPSPTT and DOPSPTT were analyzed separately in Hubei and other provinces. The results showed that CCOPSPTT and DOPSPTT were significantly different among five city types outside Hubei province (p < 0.05), but not obviously different in Hubei province (p > 0.05). The CCOPSPTT had significant correlation with socio-economic determinants (GDP and population), DW, climate and time after the outbreak of COVID-19 outside Hubei province (p < 0.05), while was only significantly related with GDP in Hubei province (p < 0.05). The DOPSPTT showed significant correlation with socio-economic determinants, DW, time and CCOPSPTT outside Hubei province (p < 0.05), while was significantly correlated with GDP and CCOPSPTT in Hubei province (p < 0.05). Compared with other factors, socio-economic determinants have the largest relative contribution to variance of CCOPSPTT in all studied cities (> 78%). The difference of DOPSPTT among cities was mainly affected by CCOPSPTT. Our results showed that influences of city types on the confirmed cases and death differed between Hubei and other provinces. Socio-economic determinants, especially GDP, have higher impact on the change of COVID-19 transmission compared with other factors.

Ethnic variations of a retinoblastoma susceptibility gene (RB1) polymorphism in eight Asian populations.

An A --> G single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) at nucleotide 153,104 in the retinoblastoma susceptibility locus (RB1) at 13q14 was previously reported to be present only in Asians. In this study, we determined the distribution of this SNP in normal Southeast Asian populations (Chinese, Malay, Javanese, Thai, Filipino), in South Asian populations (Bangladeshi, Pakistani Pushtun and Indian) and in Chinese retinoblastoma cases and control subjects. The RB1 SNP was present in all populations at an overall frequency of =/< 0.18. Heterozygosity was higher in the Southeast Asian groups (0.14-0.34) than in the South Asian groups (Bangladeshi and Indian) (0.04-0.06). Significant differences in allele frequencies were found between the two population groups. Interestingly, our Pakistani population comprised of ethnic Pushtuns from northwest Pakistan was significantly different from the neighbouring Bangladeshi and Indian populations. No significant difference was found between Chinese case patients and control subjects. This RB1 SNP appears to be an ethnic variant prevalent in Southeast Asian populations and may be useful for studying RB1 inheritance by pedigree analysis.