RESUMEN
Tendentious projections about COVID-19 in Brazil provided an appealing excuse for individuals and decision-makers to justify poor choices during a critical phase of the pandemic. The erroneous results likely contributed to premature resumption of in-person school classes and easing of restrictions on social contact, favoring the resurgence of COVID-19. In Manaus, the largest city in the Amazon region, the COVID-19 pandemic did not end in 2020 of its own accord, but rather rebounded in a disastrous second wave of the disease.
RESUMEN
Is Brazil's COVID-19 epicenter really approaching herd immunity? A recent study estimated that in October 2020 three-quarters of the population of Manaus (the capital of the largest state in the Brazilian Amazon) had contact with SARS-CoV-2. We show that 46% of the Manaus population having had contact with SARS-CoV-2 at that time is a more plausible estimate, and that Amazonia is still far from herd immunity. The second wave of COVID-19 is now evident in Manaus. We predict that the pandemic of COVID-19 will continue throughout 2021, given the duration of naturally acquired immunity of only 240 days and the slow pace of vaccination. Manaus has a large percentage of the population that is susceptible (35 to 45% as of May 17, 2021). Against this backdrop, measures to restrict urban mobility and social isolation are still necessary, such as the closure of schools and universities, since the resumption of these activities in 2020 due to the low attack rates of SARS-CoV-2 was the main trigger for the second wave in Manaus.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brasil/epidemiología , Pandemias , Inmunidad ColectivaRESUMEN
The city of Manaus (the capital of Brazil's state of Amazonas) has become a key location for understanding the dynamics of the global pandemic of COVID-19. Different groups of scientists have foreseen different scenarios, such as the second wave or that Manaus could escape such a wave by having reached herd immunity. Here we test five hypotheses that explain the second wave of COVID-19 in Manaus: 1) The greater transmissibility of the Amazonian (gamma or P.1) variant is responsible for the second wave; 2) SARS-CoV-2 infection levels during the first wave were overestimated by those foreseeing herd immunity, and the population remained below this threshold when the second wave began at the beginning of December 2020; 3) Antibodies acquired from infection by one lineage do not confer immunity against other lineages; 4) Loss of immunity has generated a feedback phenomenon among infected people, which could generate future waves, and 5) A combination of the foregoing hypotheses. We also evaluated the possibility of a third wave in Manaus despite advances in vaccination, the new wave being due to the introduction of the delta variant in the region and the loss of immunity from natural contact with the virus. We developed a multi-strain SEIRS (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed-Susceptible) model and fed it with data for Manaus on mobility, COVID-19 hospitalizations, numbers of cases and deaths. Our model contemplated the current vaccination rates for all vaccines applied in Manaus and the individual protection rates already known for each vaccine. Our results indicate that the SARS-CoV-2 gamma (P.1) strain that originated in the Amazon region is not the cause of the second wave of COVID-19 in Manaus, but rather this strain originated during the second wave and became predominant in January 2021. Our multi-strain SEIRS model indicates that neither the doubled transmission rate of the gamma variant nor the loss of immunity alone is sufficient to explain the sudden rise of hospitalizations in late December 2020. Our results also indicate that the most plausible explanation for the current second wave is a SARS-CoV-2 infection level at around 50% of the population in early December 2020, together with loss of population immunity and early relaxation of restrictive measures. The most-plausible model indicates that contact with one strain does not provide protection against other strains and that the gamma variant has a transmissibility rate twice that of the original SARS-CoV-2 strain. Our model also shows that, despite the advance of vaccination, and even if future vaccination advances at a steady pace, the introduction of the delta variant or other new variants could cause a new wave of COVID-19.
RESUMEN
In this manuscript, we point out that the federal government headed by President Bolsonaro has pursued a political agenda that contributed to the spread of COVID-19, transforming the country into a major repository for SARS-CoV-2 and its variants, thus representing a risk for worldwide containment efforts. Furthermore his actions are also weakening democratic institutions, which could counter his political agenda, effectively facilitating the spread of COVID-19. Thus, the perpetuation of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil is due to human behaviour factors, especially high-level public decision makers.
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COVID-19 , Gobierno Federal , Salud Global , Pandemias , Política , Brasil/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Salud Global/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
We report the first confirmed record of a SARS-CoV-2 immunity loss and reinfection for the Amazon region and for Brazil by the same virus lineage. The patient presented an asymptomatic condition the first time and an aggravated one after reinfection. We raise the possibility of a recessive genotype in the Amazonian population that does not generate an immune memory response to SARS-CoV-2.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19/inmunología , Reinfección/virología , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Brasil , Femenino , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
The laboratory tests recommended by the World Health Organization for detection of rabies virus and evaluation of specific antibodies are performed with fluorescent antibodies against the virus, the ribonucleoproteins (RNPs), or by monoclonal antibodies. In this study, we purified the rabies virus RNPs for the production of a conjugate presenting sensibility and specificity compatible with commercial reagents. The method employed for the purification of RNPs was ultracentrifugation in cesium chloride gradient, the obtained product being used for immunizing rabbits, from which the hyperimmune sera were collected. The serum used for conjugate production was the one presenting the highest titer (1/2,560) when tested by indirect immunofluorescence. The antibodies were purified by anion exchange chromatography (QAE-Sephadex A-50),conjugated to fluorescein isothiocyanate and separated by gel filtration (Sephadex G-50). The resulting conjugate presented titers of 1/400 and 1/500 when assayed by direct immunofluorescence (DIF) and simplified fluorescence inhibition microtest, respectively. Sensibility and specificity tests were performed by DIF in 100 central nervous system samples of different animal species, presenting 100% matches when compared with the commercial reagent used as standard, independent of the conservation state of the samples. The quality reached by our conjugate will enable the standardization of this reagent for use by the laboratories performing diagnosis of rabies in Brazil, contributing to the intensification of the epidemiological vigilance and research on this disease.
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Técnica del Anticuerpo Fluorescente Directa/métodos , Rabia/diagnóstico , Ribonucleoproteínas/inmunología , Proteínas Virales/inmunología , Animales , Anticuerpos Antivirales/química , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , Antígenos Virales/inmunología , Brasil , Línea Celular , Cricetinae , Fluoresceína-5-Isotiocianato/química , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G/química , Inmunoglobulina G/inmunología , Masculino , Conejos , Rabia/inmunología , Rabia/virología , Virus de la Rabia/inmunología , Virus de la Rabia/aislamiento & purificación , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Cultivo de VirusRESUMEN
CONTEXT: Although rare, coral snake envenomation is a serious health threat in Brazil, because of the highly neurotoxic venom and the scarcely available antivenom. The major bottleneck for antivenom production is the low availability of venom. Furthermore, the available serum is not effective against all coral snake species found in Brazil. An alternative to circumvent the lack of venom for serum production and the restricted protection of the actually available antivenom would be of great value. We compared the Brazilian coral snake and mono and polyvalent Australian antivenoms in terms of reactivity and protection. METHODS: The immunoreactivity of venoms from 9 coral snakes species were assayed by ELISA and western blot using the Brazilian Micrurus and the Australian pentavalent as well as monovalent anti-Notechis, Oxyuranus and Pseudechis antivenoms. Neutralization assays were performed in mice, using 3 LD50 of the venoms, incubated for 30 minutes with 100 µL of antivenom/animal. DISCUSSION: All the venoms reacted against the autologous and heterologous antivenoms. Nevertheless, the neutralization assays showed that the coral snake antivenom was only effective against M. corallinus, M. frontalis, M. fulvius, M. nigrocinctus and M. pyrrhocryptus venoms. On the other hand, the Australian pentavalent antivenom neutralized all venoms except the one from M. spixii. A combination of anti-Oxyuranus and Pseudechis monovalent sera, extended the protection to M. altirostris and, partially, to M. ibiboboca. By adding Notechis antivenom to this mixture, we obtained full protection against M. ibiboboca and partial neutralization against M. lemniscatus venoms. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings confirm the limited effectiveness of the Brazilian coral snake antivenom and indicate that antivenoms made from Australian snakes venoms are an effective alternative for coral snake bites in South America and also in the United States were coral snake antivenom production has been discontinued.
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Antivenenos/administración & dosificación , Venenos Elapídicos/antagonistas & inhibidores , Mordeduras de Serpientes/tratamiento farmacológico , Animales , Antivenenos/inmunología , Australia , Western Blotting , Brasil , Reacciones Cruzadas/inmunología , Venenos Elapídicos/inmunología , Elapidae , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Dosificación Letal Mediana , Ratones , Ratones Endogámicos BALB C , Pruebas de NeutralizaciónAsunto(s)
Betacoronavirus/patogenicidad , Infecciones por Coronavirus/transmisión , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/transmisión , Brasil/epidemiología , COVID-19 , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/psicología , Humanos , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Neumonía Viral/psicología , Políticas , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
PEGylation is a successful strategy for improving the biochemical and biopharmaceutical properties of proteins and peptides through the covalent attachment of polyethylene glycol chains. In this work, purified recombinant uricase from Candida sp. (UC-r) was modified by PEGylation with metoxypolyethilenoglycol-p-nitrophenyl-carbonate (mPEG-pNP) and metoxypolyethyleneglycol-4,6-dichloro-s-triazine (mPEG-CN). The UC-r-mPEG-pNP and UC-r-mPEG-CN conjugates retained 87% and 75% enzyme activity respectively. The K(M) values obtained 2.7x10(-5) M (mPEG-pNP) or 3.0x10(-5) M (mPEG-CN) for the conjugates as compared to 5.4x10(-5) M for the native UC-r, suggesting enhancement in the substrate affinity of the enzyme attached. The effects of pH and temperature on PEGylated UC-r indicated that the conjugates were more active at close physiological pH and were stable up to 70 degrees C. Spectroscopic study performed by circular dichroism at 20 degrees C and 50 degrees C did not show any relevant difference in protein structure between native and PEGylated UC-r. In rabbit and Balb/c mice, the native UC-r elicited an intense immune response being highly immunogenic. On the other hand, the PEGylated UC-r when injected chronically in mice did not induce any detectable antibody response. This indicates sufficient reduction of the immunogenicity this enzyme by mPEG-pNP or mPEG-CN conjugation, making it suitable for a possible therapeutical use.