Systematic evaluation of narrow-sense validity of polygenic risk score for prostate cancer in a Chinese prostate biopsy cohort.

The aim of this study was to assess the narrow-sense validity of polygenic risk score (PRS) for prostate cancer (PCa) in a Chinese prostate biopsy cohort. We performed an observational prospective study with 2640 men who underwent prostate biopsy. Germline DNA samples were genotyped and PRS was calculated for each subject using 17 PCa risk-associated genetic variants. Additional GWAS data of the ChinaPCa dataset was also used to compliment the evaluation process. The mean PRS was 1.02 in patients with negative biopsy results, which met the baseline benchmark. The mean PRS was significantly higher in the PCa cases (1.32 vs. 1.02, p = 5.56 × 10-17 ). Significant dose-response associations between PRS values and odds ratios for PCa were observed. However, the raw calibration slope was 0.524 and the average bias score between the observed risk and uncorrected PRS value was 0.307 in the entire biopsy cohort. After applying a correction factor derived from a training set, the corrected calibration slope improved to 1.002 in a testing set. Similar and satisfied results were also seen in the ChinaPCa dataset and two datasets combined, while the calibration results were inaccurate when the calibration process were performed mutually between two different study populations. In conclusion, assessing the narrow-sense validity of PRS is necessary prior to its clinical implementation for accurate individual risk assessment.

Genetic polymorphisms at 19q13.33 are associated with [-2]proPSA (p2PSA) levels and provide additional predictive value to prostate health index for prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Prostate health index (phi), a derivative of [-2]proPSA (p2PSA), has shown better accuracy than prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in prostate cancer (PCa) detection. The present study was to investigate whether previously identified PSA-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) influence p2PSA or phi levels and lead to potential clinical utility. METHODS: We conducted an observational prospective study with 2268 consecutive patients who underwent prostate biopsy in three tertiary medical centers from August 2013 to March 2019. Genotyping data of the 46 candidate genes with a ± 100 kb window were tested for association with p2PSA and phi levels using linear regression. Multivariable logistic regression models were performed and internally validated using repeated tenfold cross-validation. We further calculated personalized phi cutoff values based on the significant genotypes. Discriminative performance was assessed using decision curve analysis and net reclassification improvement (NRI) index. RESULTS: We detected 11 significant variants at 19q13.33 which were p2PSA-associated independent of PCa. The most significant SNP, rs198978 in KLK2 (Pcombined = 5.73 × 10-9 ), was also associated with phi values (Pcombined = 3.20 × 10-6 ). Compared to the two commonly used phi cutoffs of 27.0 and 36.0, the personalized phi cutoffs had a significant NRI for PCa ranged from 5.23% to 9.70% among men carrying variant types (all p < .01). CONCLUSION: Rs198978, is independently associated with p2PSA values, and can improve the diagnostic ability of phi for PCa using personalized cutoff values.

Family history is significantly associated with prostate cancer and its early onset in Chinese population.

BACKGROUND: Family history (FH) of prostate cancer (PCa) in Chinese population is poorly understood. The objective of this study is to evaluate the association between FH and PCa in a Chinese biopsy cohort. METHODS: Consecutive patients who received 10 to 12 core systematic prostate biopsies from April 2013 to October 2018 in three medical centers were enrolled in this study. Demographic information and clinical information were obtained through prebiopsy questionnaire, including cancer FH, age, and total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA). RESULTS: Of 2321 patients, 83 (3.6%) were reported a FH of PCa. The positive biopsy rate in these patients was 54.2%, significantly higher than the patients without the family history of PCa (42.6%; relative risk [RR] = 1.27; P = .024). In patients with positive FH of breast cancer gene (BRCA)-related cancers (breast, ovarian, and prostate cancer, n = 154), 74 (48.1%) were diagnosed as PCa, higher than those without FH (42.7%; RR = 1.13; P = .112). Multivariate logistic regression analysis (after adjusting for age and tPSA values) showed that there was 2.1-fold increased risk of PCa in patients with positive FH of PCa (P = .005), and 1.6-fold increased risk in patients with positive FH of BRCA-related cancers (P = .019). However, there was no significant association between FH of PCa or BRCA-related cancer and high-grade PCa after adjusting age and tPSA level (P = .404 for PCa, P = 0.991 for BRCA-related cancers). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with positive FH of PCa had 2.1-fold higher risk of PCa, and patients with positive FH of BRCA-related cancers had 1.6-fold higher risk in this biopsy cohort of Chinese population. Patients with positive FH of PCa or BRCA-related cancers would have earlier age at onset of PCa.

Concept and benchmarks for assessing narrow-sense validity of genetic risk score values.

BACKGROUND: While higher genetic risk score (GRS) has been statistically associated with increased disease risk (broad-sense validity), the concept and tools for assessing the validity of reported GRS values from tests (narrow-sense validity) are underdeveloped. METHODS: We propose two benchmarks for assessing the narrow-sense validity of GRS. The baseline benchmark requires that the mean GRS value in a general population approximates 1.0. The calibration benchmark assesses the agreement between observed risks and estimated risks (GRS values). We assessed benchmark performance for three prostate cancer (PCa) GRS tests, derived from three SNP panels with increasing stringency of selection criteria, in a PCa chemoprevention trial where 714 of 3225 men were diagnosed with PCa during the 4-year follow-up. RESULTS: GRS from Panels 1, 2, and 3 were all statistically associated with PCa risk; P = 5.58 × 10-3 , P = 1 × 10-3 , and P = 1.5 × 10-13 , respectively (broad-sense validity). For narrow-sense validity, the mean GRS value among men without PCa was 1.33, 1.09, and 0.98 for Panels 1, 2, and 3, respectively (baseline benchmark). For assessing the calibration benchmark, observed risks were calculated for seven groups of men with GRS values <0.3, 0.3-0.79, 0.8-1.19, 1.2-1.49, 1.5-1.99, 2-2.99, and ≥3. The calibration slope (higher is better) was 0.15, 0.12, and 0.60, and the bias score (lower is better) between the observed risks and GRS values was 0.08, 0.08, and 0.02 for Panels 1, 2, and 3, respectively. CONCLUSION: Performance differed considerably among GRS tests. We recommend that all GRS tests be evaluated using the two benchmarks before clinical implementation for individual risk assessment.

Genetic risk score modifies the effect of APOE on risk and age onset of Alzheimer's disease.

Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based genetic risk score (GRS) and APOE genotype are both important in risk prediction of Alzheimer's disease (AD); however, the interaction between GRS and APOE has not been extensively investigated. Our objective was to determine whether GRS modifies the APOE effect on AD risk and age at onset (AAO). The study included 774 AD cases and 767 controls of European descent. Population standardized GRS was calculated based on 17 previously implicated AD risk-associated SNPs. Association was analyzed using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan-Meier curve. We found that GRS was significantly associated with AD risk and the association was stronger among APOE ε4 carriers. Compared to ε4 non-carriers, the Odds Ratio (OR) for AD was 8.09 (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 4.98-13.63) for ε4 carriers with high-GRS (≥1.5). In contrast, the OR was 2.55 (95% CI: 1.46-4.49) for ε4 carriers with low-GRS (<0.6). In conclusion, these results suggest SNP-based GRS may supplement APOE for better assessment of inherited risk and age of onset of AD.

A comprehensive evaluation of CHEK2 germline mutations in men with prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Germline mutations in CHEK2 have been associated with prostate cancer (PCa) risk. Our objective is to examine whether germline pathogenic CHEK2 mutations can differentiate risk of lethal from indolent PCa. METHODS: A case-case study of 703 lethal PCa patients and 1455 patients with low-risk localized PCa of European, African, and Chinese origin was performed. Germline DNA samples from these patients were sequenced for CHEK2. Mutation carrier rates and their association with lethal PCa were analyzed using the Fisher exact test and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: In the entire study population, 40 (1.85%) patients were identified as carrying one of 15 different germline CHEK2 pathogenic or likely pathogenic mutations. CHEK2 mutations were detected in 16 (2.28%) of 703 lethal PCa patients compared with 24 (1.65%) of 1455 low-risk PCa patients (P = 0.31). No association was found between CHEK2 mutation status and early-diagnosis or PCa-specific survival time. However, the most common mutation in CHEK2, c.1100delC (p.T367 fs), had a significantly higher carrier rate (1.28%) in lethal PCa patients than low-risk PCa patients of European American origin (0.16%), P = 0.0038. The estimated Odds Ratio of this mutation for lethal PCa was 7.86. The carrier rate in lethal PCa was also significantly higher than that (0.46%) in 32 461 non-Finnish European subjects from the Exome Aggregation Consortium (ExAC) (P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: While overall CHEK2 mutations were not significantly more common in men with lethal compared to low-risk PCa, the specific CHEK2 mutation, c.1100delC, appears to contribute to an increased risk of lethal PCa in European American men.

Germline mutations in PPFIBP2 are associated with lethal prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Few genes have germline mutations which predispose men to more aggressive prostate cancer (PCa). This study evaluated the contribution of germline loss of function (LOF) variants in PPFIBP2 to risk of lethal PCa. METHODS: A case-case study of 1414 PCa patients with lethal PCa and low-risk localized PCa was performed. Germline DNA samples from these patients were sequenced for PPFIBP2. Mutation carrier rates and association with lethal PCa were analyzed using the Fisher exact test, logistic regression, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: In the entire study population, eight patients, all of European ancestry, were identified as carrying PPFIBP2 pathogenic or likely pathogenic mutations. Seven (1.52%) of 462 lethal PCa patients were carriers compared with only one (0.12%) carrier in 810 low-risk PCa patients, P = 0.0029. The estimated Odds Ratio (OR) of carrying PPFIBP2 mutation for lethal PCa was 13.8 in European American population. The PPFIBP2 loss-of-function mutation carrier rate in lethal PCa cases was also higher than in 33 370 non-Finnish European individuals from the Exome Aggregation Consortium (ExAC) (carrier rate of 0.17%, P = 1.92 × 10-5 ) and in 498 men with localized PCa from The Cancer Genome Atlas cohort (TCGA) cohort (carrier rate of 0%, P = 0.0058). Survival analysis in European American lethal cases revealed PPFIBP2 mutation status as an independent predictor of shorter survival after adjusting for age at diagnosis, PSA at diagnosis, and genetic background (hazard ratio = 2.62, P = 0.034). CONCLUSIONS: While larger studies are needed, germline mutations in a novel gene, PPFIBP2, differentiated risk for lethal PCa from low-risk cases and were associated with shorter survival times after diagnosis.

Germline mutations in DNA repair genes are associated with bladder cancer risk and unfavourable prognosis.

OBJECTIVES: To perform a systematic evaluation of whether germline DNA repair gene mutations in bladder cancer (BCa) are associated with increased risk of BCa and aggressive disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Germline DNA from 98 patients with BCa was analysed for 54 DNA repair genes using a customized targeted sequencing panel. Population control data were obtained from the public databases the Exome Aggregation Consortium database and the Genome Aggregation Database. Mutation pathogenicity was annotated based on American College of Medical Genetics criteria, mutation frequencies in the general population and the ClinVar database. Mutation frequencies were compared based on case-control and case-case designs for disease risks, disease aggressiveness and outcomes. RESULTS: The frequency of pathogenic/likely pathogenic germline DNA repair gene mutations was 10.2% among patients with BCa. Within the subset of patients with carcinoma invading the bladder muscle, the frequency was 15.8%, ~2.4-fold higher than in patients with non-muscle invasive BCa (6.67%). The mutation frequency among patients with early-onset disease (at age <45 years) was ~3-fold higher than among those diagnosed after age 45 years (28.57% vs 8.79%). Mutation carriers had a significantly higher frequency of unfavourable clinical outcomes (disease recurrence or progression to metastatic BCa) than non-carriers (50.0% vs 13.64%; P = 0.013). CONCLUSION: Pathogenic and likely pathogenic mutations in DNA repair genes were associated with unfavourable prognosis of BCa.

Prostate health index significantly reduced unnecessary prostate biopsies in patients with PSA 2-10 ng/mL and PSA >10 ng/mL: Results from a Multicenter Study in China.

BACKGROUND: The performance of prostate health index (phi) in predicting prostate biopsy outcomes has been well established for patients with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values between 2 and 10 ng/mL. However, the performance of phi remains unknown in patients with PSA >10 ng/mL, the vast majority in Chinese biopsy patients. We aimed to assess the ability of phi to predict prostate cancer (PCa) and high-grade disease (Gleason Score ≥7) on biopsy in a Chinese population. METHODS: This is a prospective, observational, multi-center study of consecutive patients who underwent a transrectal ultrasound guided prostate biopsy at four hospitals in Shanghai, China from August 2013 to December 2014. RESULTS: In the cohort of 1538 patients, the detection rate of PCa was 40.2%. phi had a significantly better predictive performance for PCa than total PSA (tPSA). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were 0.90 and 0.79 for phi and tPSA, respectively, P < 0.0001. A considerable proportion of patients in the cohort had PSAs >10 ng/mL (N = 838, 54.5%). The detection rates of PCa were 35.9% and 57.7% in patients with tPSA 10.1-20 and 20.1-50 ng/mL, respectively. The AUCs of phi (0.79 and 0.89, for these two groups, respectively) were also significantly higher than tPSA (0.57 and 0.63, respectively), both P < 0.0001. If a phi ≤35 was used as the cutoff, 599/1538 (39%) biopsies could have been avoided at a cost of missing small numbers of PCa patients: 49 (7.93%) PCa patients, including 18 (3.69%) high-grade tumors. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this study suggest that phi can be used to predict PCa and high-grade disease in Chinese men with high PSA levels (>10 ng/mL).

Elevated hardness of peripheral gland on real-time elastography is an independent marker for high-risk prostate cancers.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the role of quantitative real-time elastography (RTE) features on differentiation between high-risk prostate cancer (PCA) and non-high-risk prostatic diseases in the initial transperineal biopsy setting. METHODS: We retrospectively included 103 patients with suspicious PCA who underwent both RTE and initial transperineal prostate biopsy. Patients were grouped into high-risk and non-high-risk categories according to the D'Amico's risk stratification. With computer assistance based on MATLAB programming, three features were extracted from RTE, i.e., the median hardness within peripheral gland (PG) (H med), the ratio of the median hardness within PG to that outside PG (H ratio), and the ratio of the hard area within PG to the total PG area (H ar). A multiple regression model incorporating an RTE feature, age, transrectal ultrasound finding, and prostate volume was used to identify markers for high-risk PCA. RESULTS: Forty-seven patients (45.6%) were diagnosed with PCA and 34 (33.0%) were diagnosed with high-risk PCA. Three RTE features were all statistically higher in high-risk PCA than in non-high-risk diseases (p < 0.001), indicating that the PGs in high-risk PCA patients were harder than those in non-high-risk patients. A high H ratio, high age, and low prostate volume were found to be independent markers for PCAs (p < 0.05), among which the high H ratio was the only independent marker for high-risk PCAs (p = 0.012). When predicting high-risk PCAs, the multiple regression achieved an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.755, sensitivity of 73.5%, and specificity of 71.0%. CONCLUSIONS: The elevated hardness of PG identified high-risk PCA and served as an independent marker of high-risk PCA. As a non-invasive imaging modality, the RTE could be potentially used in routine clinical practice for the detection of high-risk PCA to decrease unnecessary biopsies and reduce overtreatment.

Performance of serum prostate-specific antigen isoform [-2]proPSA (p2PSA) and the prostate health index (PHI) in a Chinese hospital-based biopsy population.

BACKGROUND: The use of serum [-2]proPSA (p2PSA) and its derivative, the prostate health index (PHI), in detecting prostate cancer (PCa) have been consistently shown to have better performance than total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) in discriminating biopsy outcomes in western countries. However, little is known about their performance in Chinese men. Our objective is to test the performance of p2PSA and PHI and their added value to tPSA in discriminating biopsy outcomes in Chinese men. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent prostate biopsy in three tertiary hospitals in Shanghai, China during 2012-2013 were recruited. Serum tPSA, free PSA (fPSA), and p2PSA were measured centrally using Beckman Coulter's DxI 800 Immunoassay System. The primary outcome is PCa and the secondary outcome is high-grade PCa (Gleason Score of 4 + 3 or worse). Discriminative performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), detection rate and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Among 636 patients who underwent prostate biopsy, PHI was a significant predictor of biopsy outcomes, independent of other clinical variables. The AUC in discriminating PCa from non-PCa was consistently higher for PHI than tPSA in the entire cohort (0.88 vs. 0.81) as well as in patients with tPSA at 2-10 ng/ml (0.73 vs. 0.53), at 10.1-20 ng/ml (0.81 vs. 0.58), and at tPSA >20 ng/ml (0.90 vs. 0.80). The differences were statistically significant in all comparisons, P < 0.01. To detect 90% of all PCa in the cohort, 362 and 457 patients would need to be biopsied based on PHI and tPSA cutoff, respectively, a 21% reduction for PHI. Similar results were found for discriminating high-grade PCa. CONCLUSIONS: PHI provides added value over tPSA in discriminating PCa and high-grade PCa in patients who underwent prostate biopsy in China.

Plateau effect of prostate cancer risk-associated SNPs in discriminating prostate biopsy outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Additional prostate cancer (PCa) risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) continue to be identified. It is unclear whether addition of newly identified SNPs improves the discriminative performance of biopsy outcomes over previously established SNPs. METHODS: A total of 667 consecutive patients that underwent prostate biopsy for detection of PCa at Huashan Hospital and Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China were recruited. Genetic scores were calculated for each patient using various combinations of 29 PCa risk-associated SNPs. Performance of these genetic scores for discriminating prostate biopsy outcomes were compared using the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The discriminative performance of genetic score derived from a panel of all 29 SNPs (24 previous and 5 new) was similar to that derived from the 24 previously established SNPs, the AUC of which were 0.60 and 0.61, respectively (P = 0.72). When SNPs with the strongest effect on PCa risk (ranked based on contribution to the total genetic variance from an external study) were sequentially added to the models for calculating genetic score, the AUC gradually increased and peaked at 0.62 with the top 13 strongest SNPs. Under the 13-SNP model, the PCa detection rate was 21.52%, 36.74%, and 51.98%, respectively for men with low (<0.5), intermediate (0.5-1.5), and high (>1.5) genetic score, P-trend = 9.91 × 10(-6). CONCLUSION: Genetic score based on PCa risk-associated SNPs implicated to date is a significant predictor of biopsy outcome. Additional small-effect PCa risk-associated SNPs to be discovered in the future are unlikely to further improve predictive performance.

Prediction of prostate cancer from prostate biopsy in Chinese men using a genetic score derived from 24 prostate cancer risk-associated SNPs.

BACKGROUND: Twenty-four prostate cancer (PCa) risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in Chinese men have been cataloged. We evaluated whether these SNPs can independently predict outcomes of prostate biopsy, and improve the predictive performance of existing clinical variables. METHODS: Three hundred eight consecutive patients that underwent prostate biopsy for detection of PCa at Huashan Hospital, Shanghai, China between April 2011 and August 2012 were recruited. Clinical variables such as serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels and peripheral blood samples were collected prior to a 10-core biopsy. A genetic score based on these 24 PCa associated SNPs was calculated for each individual. RESULTS: Among 308 patients underwent prostate biopsy, 141 (45.8%) were diagnosed with PCa. Genetic score was significantly higher in patients with PCa (median = 1.30) than without (median = 0.89), P = 3.81 × 10(-6). The difference remained significant after adjusting for age and total PSA, P = 0.007. The PCa detection rate increased with increasing genetic score; 26.3%, 43.2%, and 60.0% for men with lower (<0.5), average (0.5-1.5), and higher (>1.5) genetic score, respectively, P(-trend) = 0.0003. For patients with moderately elevated PSA levels (1.6-20 ng/ml), the PCa detection rate was 31.2% overall and was 16.7%, 31.2%, and 40.9% for men with lower (<0.5), average (0.5-1.5), and higher (>1.5) genetic score, respectively, P(-trend) = 0.03. For patients with PSA ≥ 20 ng/ml, however, the PCa detection rates were high (>69%) regardless of genetic score. CONCLUSION: A genetic score based on PCa risk-associated SNPs is an independent predictor of prostate biopsy outcomes in Chinese men and may be helpful to determine the need for prostate biopsy among patients within a "gray zone" of PCa risk.

The Combined Effect of Polygenic Risk Score and Prostate Health Index in Chinese Men Undergoing Prostate Biopsy.

To date, the combined effect of polygenic risk score (PRS) and prostate health index (phi) on PCa diagnosis in men undergoing prostate biopsy has never been investigated. A total of 3166 patients who underwent initial prostate biopsy in three tertiary medical centers from August 2013 to March 2019 were included. PRS was calculated on the basis of the genotype of 102 reported East-Asian-specific risk variants. It was then evaluated in the univariable or multivariable logistic regression models that were internally validated using repeated 10-fold cross-validation. Discriminative performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) index. Compared with men in the first quintile of age and family history adjusted PRS, those in the second, third, fourth, and fifth quintiles were 1.86 (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.34-2.56), 2.07 (95%CI: 1.50-2.84), 3.26 (95%CI: 2.36-4.48), and 5.06 (95%CI: 3.68-6.97) times as likely to develop PCa (all p < 0.001). Adjustment for other clinical parameters yielded similar results. Among patients with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) at 2-10 ng/mL or 2-20 ng/mL, PRS still had an observable ability to differentiate PCa in the group of prostate health index (phi) at 27-36 (Ptrend < 0.05) or >36 (Ptrend ≤ 0.001). Notably, men with moderate phi (27-36) but highest PRS (top 20% percentile) would have a comparable risk of PCa (positive rate: 26.7% or 31.3%) than men with high phi (>36) but lowest PRS (bottom 20% percentile positive rate: 27.4% or 34.2%). The combined model of PRS, phi, and other clinical risk factors provided significantly better performance (AUC: 0.904, 95%CI: 0.887-0.921) than models without PRS. Adding PRS to clinical risk models could provide significant net benefit (NRI, from 8.6% to 27.6%), especially in those early onset patients (NRI, from 29.2% to 44.9%). PRS may provide additional predictive value over phi for PCa. The combination of PRS and phi that effectively captured both clinical and genetic PCa risk is clinically practical, even in patients with gray-zone PSA.

Genetic Polymorphisms of the Telomerase Reverse Transcriptase Gene in Relation to Prostate Tumorigenesis, Aggressiveness and Mortality: A Cross-Ancestry Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) has been consistently associated with prostate cancer (PCa) risk. However, few studies have explored the association between TERT variants and PCa aggressiveness. METHODS: Individual and genetic data were obtained from UK Biobank and a Chinese PCa cohort (Chinese Consortium for Prostate Cancer Genetics). RESULTS: A total of 209,694 Europeans (14,550 PCa cases/195,144 controls) and 8873 Chinese (4438 cases/4435 controls) were involved. Nineteen susceptibility loci with five novel ones (rs144704378, rs35311994, rs34194491, rs144020096, and rs7710703) were detected in Europeans, whereas seven loci with two novel ones (rs7710703 and rs11291391) were discovered in the Chinese cohort. The index SNP for the two ancestries was rs2242652 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.12-1.20, p = 4.12 × 10-16) and rs11291391 (OR = 1.73, 95%CI:1.34-2.25, p = 3.04 × 10-5), respectively. SNPs rs2736100 (OR = 1.49, 95%CI:1.31-1.71, p = 2.91 × 10-9) and rs2853677 (OR = 1.74, 95%CI:1.52-1.98, p = 3.52 × 10-16) were found significantly associated with aggressive PCa, while rs35812074 was marginally related to PCa death (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.61, 95%CI:1.04-2.49, p = 0.034). Gene-based analysis showed a significant association of TERT with PCa (European: p = 3.66 × 10-15, Chinese: p = 0.043) and PCa severity (p = 0.006) but not with PCa death (p = 0.171). CONCLUSION: TERT polymorphisms were associated with prostate tumorigenesis and severity, and the genetic architectures of PCa susceptibility loci were heterogeneous among distinct ancestries.

Machine learning-based prognosis signature for survival prediction of patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

The sole clinicopathological characteristic is not enough for the prediction of survival of patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). However, the survival prediction model constructed by machine learning technology for patients with ccRCC using clinicopathological features is rarely reported yet. In this study, a total of 5878 patients diagnosed as ccRCC from four independent patient cohorts were recruited. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis was implemented to identify optimal clinicopathological characteristics and calculate each coefficient to construct the prognosis model. In addition, weighted gene co-expression network and gene enrichment analysis associated with risk score were also carried out. Three clinicopathologic features were selected for the construction of the prognosis risk score model as the prognostic factors of ccRCC, including tumor size, tumor grade, and tumor stage. In the CPTAC (Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium) cohort, the General cohort, the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) cohort, and the Huashan cohort, patients with high-risk score had worse clinical outcomes than patients with low-risk score (hazard ratio 5.15, 4.64, 3.96, and 5.15, respectively). Further functional enrichment analysis demonstrated that our machine learning-based risk score was significantly connected with some cell proliferation-related pathways, consisting of DNA repair, cell division, and cell cycle. In summary, we developed and validated a machine learning-based prognosis prediction model, which might contribute to clinical decision-making for patients with ccRCC.

Prostate Health Index (phi) and its derivatives predict Gleason score upgrading after radical prostatectomy among patients with low-risk prostate cancer.

To analyze the performance of the Prostate Health Index (phi) and its derivatives for predicting Gleason score (GS) upgrading between prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy (RP) in the Chinese population, an observational, prospective RP cohort consisting of 351 patients from two medical centers was established from January 2017 to September 2020. Pathological reclassification was determined by the Gleason Grade Group (GG). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and logistic regression (LR) models were used to evaluate the predictive performance of predictors. In clinically low-risk patients with biopsy GG ≤2, phi (odds ratio [OR] = 1.80, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.14-2.82, P = 0.01) and its derivative phi density (PHID; OR = 2.34, 95% CI: 1.30-4.20, P = 0.005) were significantly associated with upgrading to GG ≥3 after RP, and the results were confirmed by multivariable analysis. Similar results were observed in patients with biopsy GG of 1 for the prediction of upgrading to RP GG≥2. Compared to the base model (AUC = 0.59), addition of the phi or PHID could provide additional predictive value for GS upgrading in low-risk patients (AUC = 0.69 and 0.71, respectively, both P < 0.05). In conclusion, phi and PHID could predict GS upgrading after RP in clinically low-risk patients.

Genome-Wide 3'-UTR Single Nucleotide Polymorphism Association Study Identifies Significant Prostate Cancer Risk-Associated Functional Loci at 8p21.2 in Chinese Population.

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are involved in the regulation of gene expression via incomplete base pairing to sequence motifs at the three prime untranslated regions (3'-UTRs) of mRNAs and play critical roles in the etiology of cancers. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the 3'-UTR miRNA-binding regions may influence the miRNA affinity. However, this biological mechanism in prostate cancer (PCa) remains unclear. Here, a three-stage genome-wide association study of 3'-UTR SNPs (n=33 117) is performed in 5515 Chinese men. Three genome-wide significant variants are discovered at 8p21.2 (rs1567669, rs4872176, and rs4872177), which are all located in a linkage disequilibrium region of the NKX3-1 gene. Phenome-wide association analysis using the FinnGen data reveals a specific association of rs1567669 with PCa over 2,264 disease endpoints. Expression quantitative trait locus analyses based on both Chinese PCa cohort and the GTEx database show that risk alleles of these SNPs are significantly associated with low expression of NKX3-1. Based on the MirSNP database, dual-luciferase reporter assays show that risk alleles of these SNPs downregulate the expression of NKX3-1 via increased miRNA binding. These results indicate that the SNPs at the 3'-UTR of NKX3-1 significantly downregulate NKX3-1 expression by influencing the affinity of miRNA and increase the PCa risk.

The Clinical Implications and Molecular Mechanism of CX3CL1 Expression in Urothelial Bladder Cancer.

BACKGROUND: CX3CL1 is a chemokine that may play important roles in cancer immune regulation. Its mechanism in bladder cancer (BCa) is poorly understood. The objective of the current study was to evaluate the association between CX3CL1 and BCa and the related biological mechanisms. METHODS: A total of 277 patients with BCa were enrolled in the present study. The association between CX3CL1 expression and disease outcome was evaluated. In vitro and in vivo experiments were performed using the TCCSUP cell line to investigate the function of CX3CL1 in BCa. RESULTS: Compared with low expression, high expression of CX3CL1 was significantly associated with poorer progression-free survival (hazard ratio [HR]=2.03, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.26-3.27, P=0.006), cancer-specific survival (HR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.59-2.93, P<0.001), and overall survival (HR=1.55, 95% CI: 1.08-2.24, P=0.039). Multivariable Cox regression analysis suggested that CX3CL1 was an independent prognostic factor for BCa outcomes. In vitro and in vivo experiments indicated that high expression of CX3CL1 was significantly associated with cell proliferation (P<0.001) and invasion (P<0.001). Gene expression profiling results showed that after CX3CL1 knockdown, CDH1 was significantly upregulated, while ETS1, RAF1, and EIF4E were significantly downregulated. Pathway enrichment analysis suggested that the ERK/MAPK signaling pathway was significantly inhibited (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CX3CL1 is an independent predictor of a poor prognosis in BCa and can promote the proliferation and invasion of BCa cells.

A Germline Variant at 8q24 Contributes to the Serum p2PSA Level in a Chinese Prostate Biopsy Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: The clinical performance of [-2]proPSA (p2PSA) and its derivatives in predicting the presence and aggressiveness of prostate cancer (PCa) has been well evaluated in prostate biopsy patients. However, no study has been performed to evaluate the common genetic determinants that affect serum level of p2PSA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Here, we performed a two-stage genome-wide association study (GWAS) on the p2PSA level in Chinese men who underwent a transperineal ultrasound-guided prostate biopsy at Huashan Hospital, Shanghai Cancer Center, and Ruijin Hospital in Shanghai, China. Germline variants significantly associated with the p2PSA level in the first stage (n = 886) were replicated in the second stage (n = 1,128). Multivariate linear regression was used to assess the independent contribution of confirmed single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and known covariates, such as age, to the level of p2PSA. RESULTS: A novel non-synonymous SNP, rs72725879, in region 8q24.21 of the PRNCR1 gene was significantly associated with the serum level of p2PSA in this two-stage GWAS (p = 2.28 × 10-9). Participants with homozygous "T" alleles at rs72725879 had higher p2PSA levels compared to allele "C" carriers. This variant was also nominally associated with PCa risk (p-combined = 3.44 × 10-18). The association with serum level of p2PSA was still significant after adjusting for PCa risk and age (p = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that the genetic variants in the 8q24.21 region are associated with the serum level of p2PSA in a large-scale Chinese population. By taking inherited variations between individuals into account, the findings of these genetic variants may help improve the performance of p2PSA in predicting prostate cancer.