Rationale and design of ApoA-I Event Reducing in Ischemic Syndromes II (AEGIS-II): A phase 3, multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study to investigate the efficacy and safety of CSL112 in subjects after acute myocardial infarction.

Acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients remain at high risk for recurrent events. Cholesterol efflux, mediated by apolipoprotein A-I, removes excess cholesterol from atherosclerotic plaque and transports it to the liver for excretion. Impaired cholesterol efflux is associated with higher cardiovascular (CV) event rates among both patients with stable coronary artery disease and recent MI. CSL112, a novel intravenous formulation of apolipoprotein A-I (human) derived from human plasma, increases cholesterol efflux capacity. AEGIS-II is a phase 3, multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial investigating the efficacy and safety of CSL112 compared to placebo among high-risk acute MI participants. Eligibility criteria include age ≥ 18 years with type 1 (spontaneous) MI, evidence of multivessel stable coronary artery disease, and presence of diabetes requiring pharmacotherapy, or ≥2 of the following: age ≥ 65 years, prior MI, or peripheral artery disease. A target sample of 17,400 participants will be randomized 1:1 to receive 4 weekly infusions of CSL112 6 g or placebo, initiated prior to or on the day of discharge and within 5 days of first medical contact. The primary outcome is the time to first occurrence of the composite of CV death, MI, or stroke through 90 days. Key secondary outcomes include the total number of hospitalizations for coronary, cerebral, or peripheral ischemia through 90 days and time to first occurrence of the composite primary outcome through 180 and 365 days. AEGIS-II will be the first trial to formally test whether enhancing cholesterol efflux can reduce the rate of recurrent major adverse CV events.

A systematic review of randomized trials comparing double versus triple antithrombotic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Prior randomized controlled trials (RCT) evaluating the optimal antithrombotic therapies for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have not been powered to evaluate ischemic outcomes. We compared double therapy with oral anticoagulation (OAC) and a P2Y12 inhibitor to triple therapy with an OAC + dual antiplatelet therapy in patients with AF requiring PCI. METHODS: Using PRISMA guidelines, we searched for RCTs including patients with AF as an indication for OAC and undergoing PCI or medical management of acute coronary syndrome. The results were pooled using fixed-effects and random-effects models to estimate the overall effect of double therapy versus triple therapy on ischemic and bleeding outcomes. RESULTS: We identified four RCTs, comprising 10,238 patients (5,498 double therapy, 4,740 triple therapy). Trial-reported major adverse cardiovascular events were similar between double therapy and triple therapy (fixed effect model OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.94-1.26). However, stent thrombosis (61/5,496 double therapy vs. 33/4738 triple therapy; fixed effect model OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.02-2.40; number needed to treat with triple therapy = 242) favored triple therapy. Bleeding outcomes were less frequent with double therapy (746/5470 vs. 950/4710; fixed effect model OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.53-0.65; number needed to harm with triple therapy = 16), but with significant heterogeneity (Q = 8.33, p = .04; I2 = 64%), as were intracranial hemorrhages (19/5470 vs. 30/4710; fixed effect model OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.31-0.96). CONCLUSIONS: Double therapy in patients with AF requiring OAC following PCI or Acute coronary syndrome has a significantly better safety profile than triple therapy but may be associated with a modest increased risk of stent thrombosis.

Extended prophylaxis of venous thromboembolism with betrixaban in acutely ill medical patients with and without cancer: insights from the APEX trial.

Acutely ill medical patients with cancer are at increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Thromboprophylaxis is recommended in the presence of cancer, but its safety is not known. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of extended prophylaxis with betrixaban in cancer patients enrolled in the APEX trial. APEX was a randomized, double-blind trial comparing oral betrixaban 80 mg qd administered for 35-42 days with subcutaneous enoxaparin 40 mg qd administered for 10 ± 4 days. Patients with acute medical illness and a history of cancer or active cancer were eligible for inclusion. Primary efficacy outcome was VTE (composite of symptomatic VTE and asymptomatic proximal deep vein thrombosis); primary safety outcome was major bleeding. Of 7513 patients enrolled in the APEX trial, 959 patients (12.8%), 499 randomized to betrixaban and 460 to enoxaparin, had cancer. The primary efficacy outcome occurred in 5.7% of cancer patients treated with betrixaban and in 6.2% treated with enoxaparin (p = 0.95). No significant interaction according to the presence or absence of cancer was observed (p = 0.36). Major bleeding events occurred in 0.8% of patients in the betrixaban group and in 0% in the enoxaparin group (p = 0.13), with no significant interaction (p = 0.07). The composite of major and clinically relevant non-major bleeds was similar between the two groups (2.9% and 2.0%, respectively, RR 1.43, 95% CI 0.63-3.27). Betrixaban was similarly effective in the reduction of VTE among subjects with and without cancer. The incidence of major bleeding was similarly low.

The CSL112-2001 trial: Safety and tolerability of multiple doses of CSL112 (apolipoprotein A-I [human]), an intravenous formulation of plasma-derived apolipoprotein A-I, among subjects with moderate renal impairment after acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: CSL112 (apolipoprotein A-I [human]) is a plasma-derived apolipoprotein A-I developed for early reduction of cardiovascular risk following an acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The safety of CSL112 among AMI subjects with moderate, stage 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. METHODS: CSL112_2001, a multicenter, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, double-blind, randomized phase 2 trial, enrolled patients with moderate CKD within 7 days following AMI. Enrollment was stratified on the basis of estimated glomerular filtration rate and presence of diabetes requiring treatment. Patients were randomized in a 2:1 ratio to receive 4 weekly infusions of CSL112 6 g or placebo. The co-primary safety end points were renal serious adverse events (SAEs) and acute kidney injury, defined as an increase ≥26.5 µmol/L in baseline serum creatinine for more than 24 hours, during the treatment period. RESULTS: A total of 83 patients were randomized (55 CSL112 vs 28 placebo). No increase in renal SAEs was observed in the CSL112 group compared with placebo (CSL112 = 1 [1.9%], placebo = 4 [14.3%]). Similarly, no increase in acute kidney injury events was observed (CSL112 = 2 [4.0%], placebo = 4 [14.3%]). Rates of other SAEs were similar between groups. CSL112 administration resulted in increases in ApoA-I and cholesterol efflux similar to those observed in patients with AMI and normal renal function or stage 2 CKD enrolled in the ApoA-I Event Reducing in Ischemic Syndromes I trial. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate the acceptable safety of the 6-g dose of CSL112 among AMI subjects with moderate stage 3 CKD and support inclusion of these patients in a phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial powered to assess efficacy.

Most Promising Therapies in Interventional Cardiology.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The last 40 years of clinical research in interventional cardiology were extraordinarily innovative. This article will review the most promising up and coming interventional cardiovascular therapies, with a primary focus on the treatment of coronary artery disease. RECENT FINDINGS: From the first stent, to the first transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), and the left appendage closure technique, percutaneous interventions revolutionized the treatment of multiple diseases and dramatically improved the prognosis of many patients. While these advances have decreased the risk of mortality in some patients (such as ST-elevation myocardial infarction), 15% of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients still experience recurrent ischemic events within the first year, challenging us to develop new pharmaceutical targets and new devices. The continued emergence of data supporting inflammation as a risk factor and pharmacologic target as well as data supporting the importance of cholesterol efflux have identified novel therapeutic targets that may play a major role in the improvement of prognosis of patients with coronary artery disease. In addition, novel medical devices are being developed to allow even earlier detection of acute cardiac events and to support high-risk percutaneous coronary interventions. Advances in computing and the ability to analyze large datasets will allow us to use artificial intelligence to augment the clinician patient experience, both in and out of the catheterization laboratory, with live procedural guidance as well as pre- and post-operative prognostication tools.

Symptomatic event reduction with extended-duration betrixaban in acute medically ill hospitalized patients.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 15%-30% of patients in trials of medical thromboprophylaxis will have missing compression ultrasound (CUS) data. The goal of the present analysis was to perform analyses to minimize missing data. METHODS: The APEX trial randomized 7,513 acutely medically ill hospitalized patients to thromboprophylaxis with either betrixaban for 35-42 days or enoxaparin for 6-14 days. A modified intent-to-treat (mITT) analysis was performed and included all subjects administered study drug, irrespective of CUS performance, and an analysis of symptomatic events which do not require performance of a CUS (symptomatic deep vein thrombosis, nonfatal pulmonary embolism, and venous thromboembolism (VTE)-related mortality). RESULTS: In the mITT population, betrixaban significantly reduced the primary end point (which included both symptomatic and CUS events) (165 [4.4%] vs 223 [6.0%]; relative risk = 0.75; 95% CI 0.61-0.91; P = .003; absolute risk reduction [ARR] = 1.6%; number needed to treat [NNT] = 63). Betrixaban also reduced symptomatic VTE through day 42 (35 [1.28%] vs 54 [1.88%], hazard ratio [HR] = 0.65; 95% CI 0.42-0.99; P = .044; ARR = 0.6%; NNT=167) as well as through day 77 (37 [1.02%] vs 67 [1.89%]; HR= 0.55; 95% CI 0.37-0.83; P = .003; ARR = 0.87%; NNT=115) as well as the individual end point of nonfatal pulmonary embolism (9 [0.25%] vs 20 [0.55%]; HR= 0.45; 95% CI 0.21-0.99; P = .041; ARR = 0.30%; NNT=334). On an "as-treated" basis, 80 mg of betrixaban reduced VTE-related mortality through day 77 (10 [0.34%] vs. 22 [0.79%]; HR=0.46; 95% CI 0.22-0.96; P = .035; ARR = 0.45%; NNT=223). CONCLUSION: In an mITT analysis of all patients administered study drug, extended-duration betrixaban reduced the primary end point as well as symptomatic events. In an as-treated analysis, 80 mg of betrixaban reduced VTE-related death.

Increased benefit of betrixaban among patients with a history of venous thromboembolism: a post-hoc analysis of the APEX trial.

Hospitalized acute medically ill patients with a history of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are at increased risk for recurrent VTE. We characterized the efficacy and safety of betrixaban for prevention of recurrent VTE in these high risk patients. The APEX trial randomized 7513 acutely ill hospitalized medical patients at risk for developing VTE to receive either betrixaban for 35-42 days or enoxaparin for 10 ± 4 days to prevent VTE. This exploratory post-hoc analysis assessed the efficacy and safety of betrixaban versus enoxaparin among subjects with and without prior VTE. Time-to-multiple symptomatic VTE events was also calculated. Approximately 8% of subjects in both arms had prior VTE, which was associated with a fourfold increase in adjusted risk of VTE [MV OR 4.03, 95% CI 3.06-5.30, p < 0.001]. Betrixaban reduced VTE compared with enoxaparin among subjects with prior VTE [32 (10.4%) vs. 55 (18.9%), RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.38-0.86, p = 0.006, ARR 8.5%, NNT 12] and without prior VTE [133 (3.9%) vs. 168 (4.9%), RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.99, p = 0.042, ARR 1.0%, NNT 100] (interaction p > 0.05). Additionally, four subjects in the enoxaparin arm and one subject in the betrixaban arm experienced a recurrent VTE. Compared with enoxaparin, betrixaban use was associated with reduction of recurrent VTE events through the active treatment period [36 vs. 57, HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.41-0.97, p = 0.045] and through the end of study [38 vs. 71, HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.36-0.81, p = 0.004]. Prior VTE is associated with a fourfold increase in the risk of VTE among hospitalized medically ill patients. Only 12 such patients would need to be treated with betrixaban versus enoxaparin to prevent an additional VTE endpoint. Betrixaban reduced not only the first but also all recurrent VTE events in a time-to-any-event analysis. TRIAL REGISTRATION: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov , Unique identifier: NCT01583218.

Total bleeding with rivaroxaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation receiving antiplatelet therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention.

Among atrial fibrillation (AF) patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), rivaroxaban with background antiplatelet therapy significantly reduced the first occurrence of bleeding compared to triple therapy with warfarin. This study hypothesized that total bleeding events, including those beyond the first event, would be reduced with rivaroxaban-based regimens. In the PIONEER AF-PCI trial, 2099 patients in the modified intention-to-treat population were randomized to three groups and followed for 12 months: (1) rivaroxaban 15 mg once daily plus a P2Y12 inhibitor (N = 696); (2) rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily plus dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) (N = 706); and (3) dose-adjusted warfarin plus DAPT (N = 697). Descriptive statistics for the number of subjects who experienced one or more bleeding events were calculated. The total number of bleeding events was compared across treatment groups using the Wei, Lin, and Weissfeld method. A total of 514 and 439 events of clinically significant bleeding and bleeding requiring medical attention occurred throughout the study. Compared to triple therapy with warfarin, rivaroxaban-based regimen was associated with a reduction in total events of clinically significant bleeding (Group 1 vs. Group 3: HR 0.64 [95% CI 0.49-0.85], p < 0.001, NNT = 11; Group 2 vs. Group 3: HR 0.62 [95% CI 0.48-0.80], p < 0.001, NNT = 10). Similarly, rivaroxaban reduced the total bleeding events requiring medical attention (Group 1 vs. Group 3: HR 0.66 [95% CI 0.49-0.89], p < 0.001, NNT = 14; Group 2 vs. Group 3: HR 0.64 [95% CI 0.48-0.85], p = 0.002, NNT = 13). Rivaroxaban-based regimen reduced the total bleeding events compared with VKA-based triple therapy in stented AF patients. One clinically significant bleeding event could be prevented with rivaroxaban use for every 10-11 patients treated, and one bleeding requiring medical attention could be prevented with rivaroxaban for every 13-14 patients treated. These data provide evidence that total bleeding events, including those beyond the first event, are reduced with rivaroxaban-based antithrombotic regimens. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01830543 (PIONEER AF-PCI).

The safety and efficacy of full- versus reduced-dose betrixaban in the Acute Medically Ill VTE (Venous Thromboembolism) Prevention With Extended-Duration Betrixaban (APEX) trial.

BACKGROUND: The APEX trial assessed the safety and efficacy of extended-duration thromboprophylaxis using betrixaban versus standard dosing of enoxaparin among hospitalized, acutely ill medical patients. The 80-mg betrixaban dose was halved to 40 mg among subjects with severe renal insufficiency and those receiving a concomitant strong P-glycoprotein inhibitor. METHODS: This analysis assessed the pharmacokinetics, efficacy, and safety of full- (80 mg) and reduced-dose (40 mg) betrixaban relative to enoxaparin in the APEX trial. RESULTS: The median concentration of betrixaban among subjects administered the 80-mg dose was higher than that of the 40-mg dose (19 ng/mL vs 11 ng/mL, P<.001). In the primary analysis cohort 1 (d-dimer ≥2× upper limit of normal), the primary efficacy outcome (asymptomatic proximal deep vein thrombosis, symptomatic proximal or distal deep vein thrombosis, symptomatic nonfatal pulmonary embolism, or venous thromboembolism-related death) was significantly reduced among subjects treated with 80 mg of extended-duration betrixaban versus enoxaparin (6.27% [95/1516] vs 8.39% [130/1549], relative risk reduction=0.26 [0.04-0.42], P=.023), and similarly in the entire primary efficacy outcome population (4.87% [122/2506] vs 7.06% [181/2562], relative risk reduction=0.30 [0.13-0.44], P=.001). There was no difference in the primary outcome for subjects treated with 40 mg betrixaban vs enoxaparin across cohorts. In addition, there was no excess of major bleeding associated with either betrixaban dose compared with enoxaparin. CONCLUSIONS: The 80-mg betrixaban dose achieves higher plasma concentrations than the 40-mg dose and, in contrast to the 40-mg dose, is associated with improved efficacy across all cohorts relative to standard-dose enoxaparin without an excess risk of major bleeding in the management of medically ill subjects.

Competing risk analysis in a large cardiovascular clinical trial: An APEX substudy.

Competing risk methods are time-to-event analyses that account for fatal and/or nonfatal events that may potentially alter or prevent a subject from experiencing the primary endpoint. Competing risk methods may provide a more accurate and less biased estimate of the incidence of an outcome but are rarely applied in cardiology trials. APEX investigated the efficacy of extended-duration betrixaban versus standard-duration enoxaparin to prevent a composite of symptomatic deep-vein thrombosis (proximal or distal), nonfatal pulmonary embolism, or venous thromboembolism (VTE)-related death in acute medically ill patients (n = 7513). The aim of the current analysis was to determine the efficacy of betrixaban vs standard-duration enoxaparin accounting for non-VTE-related deaths using the Fine and Gray method for competing risks. The proportion of non-VTE-related death was similar in both the betrixaban (133, 3.6%) and enoxaparin (136, 3.7%) arms, P = .85. Both the traditional Kaplan-Meier method and the Fine and Gray method accounting for non-VTE-related death as a competing risk showed equal reduction of VTE events when comparing betrixaban to enoxaparin (HR/SHR = 0.65, 95% 0.42-0.99, P = 0.046). Due to the similar proportion of non-VTE-related deaths in both treatment arms and the use of a univariate model, the Fine and Gray method provided identical results to the traditional Cox model. Using the Fine and Gray method in addition to the traditional Cox proportional hazards method can indicate whether the presence of a competing risk, which is dependent of the outcome, altered the risk estimate.

Computerized Cognitive Rehabilitation of Attention and Executive Function in Acquired Brain Injury: A Systematic Review.

OBJECTIVE: Comprehensive review of the use of computerized treatment as a rehabilitation tool for attention and executive function in adults (aged 18 years or older) who suffered an acquired brain injury. DESIGN: Systematic review of empirical research. MAIN MEASURES: Two reviewers independently assessed articles using the methodological quality criteria of Cicerone et al. Data extracted included sample size, diagnosis, intervention information, treatment schedule, assessment methods, and outcome measures. RESULTS: A literature review (PubMed, EMBASE, Ovid, Cochrane, PsychINFO, CINAHL) generated a total of 4931 publications. Twenty-eight studies using computerized cognitive interventions targeting attention and executive functions were included in this review. In 23 studies, significant improvements in attention and executive function subsequent to training were reported; in the remaining 5, promising trends were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Preliminary evidence suggests improvements in cognitive function following computerized rehabilitation for acquired brain injury populations including traumatic brain injury and stroke. Further studies are needed to address methodological issues (eg, small sample size, inadequate control groups) and to inform development of guidelines and standardized protocols.

Self-Reported Traumatic Brain Injury, Health and Rate of Chronic Multisymptom Illness in Veterans From the 1990-1991 Gulf War.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) was not considered to be common in the 1990-1991 Gulf War (GW). Therefore, the relationship between TBI and chronic health symptoms experienced by GW veterans is unknown. Health symptoms reported by veterans deployed more recently to this region (Operations Enduring and Iraqi Freedom) are similar to those of GW veterans and have been primarily attributed to TBI. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationships among self-reported TBI, health symptoms, chronic multisymptom illness (CMI), and health-related quality of life among GW veterans. PARTICIPANTS: Participants included 1 274 GW veterans from the Devens Cohort Study, 156 of whom self-reported a history of TBI (12.2% of the sample). DESIGN: Cross-sectional retrospective analysis of existing survey data. MAIN MEASURES: A 52-item health symptom checklist and the RAND 36-Item Health short Form Survey. RESULTS: Self-reported TBI in GW Veterans is related to increased rates of health symptoms, CMI, and poorer health-related quality of life. CONCLUSIONS: Gulf War veterans' self-reported exposure to TBI is related to increased rates of chronic health symptoms and CMI, which interfere with everyday activities of daily living.

Microstructured Reflective Coatings on Commodity Textiles for Passive Personal Cooling.

As the effects of climate change become more severe and widespread, maintaining personal thermal homeostasis becomes necessary for survival. In principle, advanced textiles and garments have the ability to leverage light absorption, transmission and/or reflection, in addition to straightforward convection, to heat or cool bodies in extreme temperature conditions. For cooling, in particular, surfaces adept at selectively reflecting or refracting high-energy incident light (200 nm-2.5 mm) from the sun while transmitting or emitting infrared light (8-13 mm) from radiant body heat boast the ability to maintain cooler body temperatures, even when exposed to direct sunlight and the open sky. Here, we present a strategy to transform common clothing into implements for passive personal cooling. As confirmed by Mie scattering calculations, cheap and biocompatible calcium carbonate and barium sulfate micro/nanoparticles are found to serve as suitable reflectors for radiative cooling. Finite-difference time domain simulations reveal, surprisingly, that higher reflectance is achieved with surface coatings containing these materials, as compared to extruded metamaterial fibers containing CaCO3 and BaSO4 particles embedded within a polymer matrix. A stepwise process involving photoinitiated chemical vapor deposition and ion-exchange driven crystal growth is used to create a lamellar composite coating comprised of alternating CaCO3 and BaSO4 nano/microparticle layers directly on the surface of common fabrics. A polyester poplin fabric coated in this manner shows a cooling ability of up to 8 °C compared to an uncoated sample, achieving a maximum cooling of 6 °C below ambient temperature. Wash and durability testing of the lamellar coating reveal no mechanical degradation and no evident attenuation in the material's performance, affirming its resilience and long-term effectiveness as a functional textile coating for personal cooling. We also assess the performance of our coated fabrics in multiple outdoor environments to conclude that we can achieve up to 3.4 °C of sub-ambient cooling in optically complex built environments.

Longitudinal Assessment of Health Symptoms in Relation to Neurotoxicant Exposures in 1991 Gulf War Veterans: The Ft. Devens Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: This analysis examined the relationship between Gulf War (GW) exposures and health symptoms reported in three time periods over 20 years in Ft. Devens Cohort veterans. METHODS: Repeated logistic regression models examined the association of exposures and health symptoms over time. Models included baseline age, active duty status, post-traumatic stress disorder status, sex, and time since deployment as covariates. RESULTS: Exposure to tent heaters was associated with increased odds of crying easily and muscle twitching. Exposure to pyridostigmine bromide (PB) pills was associated with increased odds of depression and fatigue. Exposure to the Khamisiyah sarin plume was associated with increased odds of trouble concentrating and crying easily. CONCLUSION: This longitudinal analysis demonstrated an association between neurotoxicant exposures and increased odds of cognitive/mood, fatigue, and neurological symptoms. In addition, most symptoms increased over time since deployment regardless of exposure.

Relation of White Blood Cell Count to Bleeding and Ischemic Events in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome (from the ATLAS ACS 2-TIMI 51 Trial).

An elevated white blood cell (WBC) count is associated with an increased risk of ischemic events among acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients, but the association between WBC count and bleeding in ACS patients is not well established. The aim of this analysis was to assess and compare the association between WBC count and the occurrence of short- and long-term bleeding and ischemic events. This was a post hoc analysis of the ATLAS ACS2-TIMI 51 trial. A subset of patients had a WBC count measurement at baseline (n = 14,231, 91.6%). Univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to determine if there is an association between WBC count at baseline and a composite outcome of Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) major and minor bleeds at 30 days and 1 year. Variables with a p <0.2 in the univariate analysis were included as potential parameters in the backward selection process A similar multivariable model was constructed to assess the association between WBC count and a composite ischemic endpoint of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke. An increased risk of bleeding per a 1 × 109/L increase in WBC at baseline was observed at 30 days (Adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.08 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.17, p = 0.019) but not at 1 year (Adjusted HR 1.02 95% CI 0.97 to 1.08, p = 0.409). Additionally, an increased risk of ischemia per a 1 × 109/L increase in WBC at baseline was observed at 30 days (Adjusted HR 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.12, p = 0.002) and at 1 year (Adjusted HR 1.05 95% CI 1.02 to 1.08, p = 0.001 at 1 year). In conclusion, a higher WBC count at baseline was associated with an increased risk of the composite bleeding endpoint by 30 days but not at 1 year. The association between WBC count and the risk of the composite ischemic endpoint was significant at 30 days and 1 year.

Machine learning to predict venous thrombosis in acutely ill medical patients.

BACKGROUND: The identification of acutely ill patients at high risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE) may be determined clinically or by use of integer-based scoring systems. These scores demonstrated modest performance in external data sets. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the performance of machine learning models compared to the IMPROVE score. METHODS: The APEX trial randomized 7513 acutely medically ill patients to extended duration betrixaban vs. enoxaparin. Including 68 variables, a super learner model (ML) was built to predict VTE by combining estimates from 5 families of candidate models. A "reduced" model (rML) was also developed using 16 variables that were thought, a priori, to be associated with VTE. The IMPROVE score was calculated for each patient. Model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration to predict a composite VTE end point. The frequency of predicted risks of VTE were plotted and divided into tertiles. VTE risks were compared across tertiles. RESULTS: The ML and rML algorithms outperformed the IMPROVE score in predicting VTE (c-statistic: 0.69, 0.68 and 0.59, respectively). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit P-value was 0.06 for ML, 0.44 for rML, and <0.001 for the IMPROVE score. The observed event rate in the lowest tertile was 2.5%, 4.8% in tertile 2, and 11.4% in the highest tertile. Patients in the highest tertile of VTE risk had a 5-fold increase in odds of VTE compared to the lowest tertile. CONCLUSION: The super learner algorithms improved discrimination and calibration compared to the IMPROVE score for predicting VTE in acute medically ill patients.

Implantable Cardiac Alert System for Early Recognition of ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: Symptoms remain a poor prompt for acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Timely restoration of perfusion in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction is associated with improved left ventricular function and survival. OBJECTIVES: This report details the results of ALERTS (AngelMed for Early Recognition and Treatment of STEMI), a multicenter, randomized trial of an implantable cardiac monitor that alerts patients with rapidly progressive ST-segment deviation. METHODS: High-risk ACS subjects (N = 907) were randomized to a control (alarms deactivated) or treatment group for 6 months, after which alarms were activated in all subjects. The primary safety endpoint was absence of system-related complications (>90%). The composite primary efficacy endpoint was cardiac/unexplained death, new Q-wave myocardial infarction, or detection to presentation time >2 h. RESULTS: Safety was met with 96.7% freedom from system-related complications (n = 30). The efficacy endpoint for a confirmed occlusive event within 7 days was not significantly reduced in the treatment compared with control group (16 of 423 [3.8%] vs. 21 of 428 [4.9%], posterior probability = 0.786). Within a 90-day window, alarms significantly decreased detection to arrival time at a medical facility (51 min vs. 30.6 h; Pr [pt < pc] >0.999). In an expanded analysis using data after the randomized period, positive predictive value was higher (25.8% vs. 18.2%) and false positive rate significantly lower in the ALARMS ON group (0.164 vs. 0.678 false positives per patient-year; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The implantable cardiac system detects early ST-segment deviation and alerts patients of a potential occlusive event. Although the trial did not meet its pre-specified primary efficacy endpoint, results suggest that the device may be beneficial among high-risk subjects in potentially identifying asymptomatic events. (AngelMed for Early Recognition and Treatment of STEMI [ALERTS]; NCT00781118).

Rates of Chronic Medical Conditions in 1991 Gulf War Veterans Compared to the General Population.

Prevalence of nine chronic medical conditions in the population-based Ft. Devens Cohort (FDC) of GW veterans were compared with the population-based 2013⁻2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cohort. Excess prevalence was calculated as the difference in prevalence estimates from the Ft. Devens and NHANES cohorts; and confidence intervals and p-values are based on the standard errors for the two prevalence estimates. FDC males were at increased risk for reporting seven chronic medical conditions compared with NHANES males. FDC females were at decreased risk for high blood pressure and increased risk for diabetes when compared with NHANES females. FDC veterans reporting war-related chemical weapons exposure showed higher risk of high blood pressure; diabetes; arthritis and chronic bronchitis while those reporting taking anti-nerve gas pills had increased risk of heart attack and diabetes. GW veterans are at higher risk of chronic conditions than the general population and these risks are associated with self-reported toxicant exposures.