Small Target-YOLOv5: Enhancing the Algorithm for Small Object Detection in Drone Aerial Imagery Based on YOLOv5.

Object detection in drone aerial imagery has been a consistent focal point of research. Aerial images present more intricate backgrounds, greater variation in object scale, and a higher occurrence of small objects compared to standard images. Consequently, conventional object detection algorithms are often unsuitable for direct application in drone scenarios. To address these challenges, this study proposes a drone object detection algorithm model based on YOLOv5, named SMT-YOLOv5 (Small Target-YOLOv5). The enhancement strategy involves improving the feature fusion network by incorporating detection layers and implementing a weighted bidirectional feature pyramid network. Additionally, the introduction of the Combine Attention and Receptive Fields Block (CARFB) receptive field feature extraction module and DyHead dynamic target detection head aims to broaden the receptive field, mitigate information loss, and enhance perceptual capabilities in spatial, scale, and task domains. Experimental validation on the VisDrone2021 dataset confirms a significant improvement in the target detection accuracy of SMT-YOLOv5. Each improvement strategy yields effective results, raising the average precision by 12.4 percentage points compared to the original method. Detection improvements for large, medium, and small targets increase by 6.9%, 9.5%, and 7.7%, respectively, compared to the original method. Similarly, applying the same improvement strategies to the low-complexity YOLOv8n results in SMT-YOLOv8n, which is comparable in complexity to SMT-YOLOv5s. The results indicate that, relative to SMT-YOLOv8n, SMT-YOLOv5s achieves a 2.5 percentage point increase in average precision. Furthermore, comparative experiments with other enhancement methods demonstrate the effectiveness of the improvement strategies.

Surveillance of premalignant gastric cardia lesions: A population-based prospective cohort study in China.

In our study, we aimed to assess the long-term risk of gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA) for patients with different histological cardia lesions to inform future guidelines for GCA screening in China. We conducted a population-based prospective study among 9740 subjects who underwent upper endoscopy screening during 2005 to 2009 and followed until December 2017. Cumulative incidence and mortality rates of GCA were calculated by the baseline histological diagnoses, and the hazard ratios (HRs), overall and by age and sex, were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards models. During a median follow-up of 10 years, we identified 123 new GCA cases (1.26%) and 31 GCA deaths (0.32%). The age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of GCA were 128.71/100 000 and 35.69/100 000 person-years, and cumulative incidence rate in patients with cardia high-grade dysplasia (CHGD), cardia low-grade dysplasia (CLGD) and atrophic carditis (AC)/cardia intestinal metaplasia (CIM) was 25%, 3.05% and 1.58%, respectively. The progression rate and cancer risk of GCA increased monotonically with each step in Correa's cascade. Individuals aged 50 to 69 years had 4.4 times higher GCA incidence than those aged 40 to 49 years. Patients with CLGD had a significantly higher 3-year GCA incidence than the normal group, while patients with AC/CIM had a comparable GCA risk during 3-year follow-up but a higher risk at 5-year intervals. Our results suggested a postponed starting age of 50 years for GCA screening, immediate treatment for patients with CHGD, a 3-year surveillance interval for patients with CLGD, and a lengthened surveillance interval of 5 years for patients with AC/CIM.

Colorectal cancer burden and trends: Comparison between China and major burden countries in the world.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize the colorectal cancer (CRC) burden and trend in the world, and compare the difference of CRC burden between other countries and China. METHODS: Incidence and mortality data were extracted from the GLOBOCAN2018 and Cancer Incidence in Five Continents. Age-specific incidence trend was conducted by Joinpoint analysis and average annual percent changes were calculated. RESULTS: About 1.85 million new cases and 0.88 million deaths were expected in 2018 worldwide, including 0.52 million (28.20%) new cases and 0.25 million (28.11%) deaths in China. Hungary had the highest age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in the world, while for China, the incidence and mortality rates were only half of that. CRC incidence and mortality were highly correlated with human development index (HDI). Unlike the rapid increase in Republic of Korea and the downward trend in Canada and Australia, the age-standardized incidence rates by world standard population in China and Norway were rising gradually. The age-specific incidence rate in the age group of 50-59 years in China was increasing rapidly, while in Republic of Korea and Canada, the fastest growing age group was 30-39 years. CONCLUSIONS: The variations of CRC burden reflect the difference of risk factors, as well as levels of HDI and screening (early detection activities). The burden of CRC in China is high, and the incidence of CRC continues to increase, which may lead to a sustained increase in the burden of CRC in China in the future. Screening should be expanded to control CRC, and focused on young people in China.

Lead-time bias in esophageal cancer screening in high-risk areas in China.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate what extent lead-time bias is likely to affect endoscopic screening effectiveness for esophageal cancer in the high-risk area in China. METHODS: A screening model based on the epidemiological cancer registry data, yielding a population-level incidence and mortality rates, was carried out to simulate study participants in the high-risk area in China, and investigate the effect of lead-time bias on endoscopic screening with control for length bias. RESULTS: Of 100,000 participants, 6,150 (6.15%) were diagnosed with esophageal squamous dysplasia during the 20-year follow-up period. The estimated lead time ranged from 1.67 to 5.78 years, with a median time of 4.62 years [interquartile range (IQR): 4.07-5.11 years] in the high-risk area in China. Lead-time bias exaggerated screening effectiveness severely, causing more than a 10% overestimation in 5-year cause-specific survival rate and around a 43% reduction in cause-specific hazard ratio. The magnitude of lead-time bias on endoscopic screening for esophageal cancer varied depending on the screening strategies, in which an inverted U-shaped and U-shaped effects were observed in the 5-year cause-specific survival rate and cause-specific hazard ratio respectively concerning a range of ages for primary screening. CONCLUSIONS: Lead-time bias, usually causing an overestimation of screening effectiveness, is an elementary and fundamental issue in cancer screening. Quantification and correction of lead-time bias are essential when evaluating the effectiveness of endoscopic screening in the high-risk area in China.

Signatures within esophageal microbiota with progression of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is one of the dominant malignances worldwide, but currently there is less focus on the microbiota with ESCC and its precancerous lesions. METHODS: Paired esophageal biopsy and swab specimens were obtained from 236 participants in Linzhou, China. Data from 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing were processed using quantitative insights into microbial ecology (QIIME2) and R Studio to evaluate differences. The Wilcoxon rank sum test and Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test were used to compare diversity and characteristic genera by specimens and participant groups. Ordinal logistic regression model was used to build microbiol prediction model. RESULTS: Microbial diversity was similar between biopsy and swab specimens, including operational taxonomic unit (OTU) numbers and Shannon index. There were variations and similarities of esophageal microbiota among different pathological characteristics of ESCC. Top 10 relative abundance genera in all groups include Streptococcus, Prevotella, Veillonella, Actinobacillus, Haemophilus, Neisseria, Alloprevotella, Rothia, Gemella and Porphyromonas. Genus Streptococcus, Haemophilus, Neisseria and Porphyromonas showed significantly difference in disease groups when compared to normal control, whereas Streptococcus showed an increasing tendency with the progression of ESCC and others showed a decreasing tendency. About models based on all combinations of characteristic genera, only taken Streptococcus and Neisseria into model, the prediction performance was the ideal one, of which the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.738. CONCLUSIONS: Esophageal biopsy and swab specimens could yield similar microbial characterization. The combination of Streptococcus and Neisseria has the potential to predict the progression of ESCC, which is needed to confirm by large-scale, prospective cohort studies.

Gas-Phase Photoelectrocatalysis for Breaking Down Nitric Oxide.

Photoelectrocatalysis (PEC) produces high-efficiency electron-hole separation by applying a bias voltage between semiconductor-based electrodes to achieve high photocatalytic reaction rates. However, using PEC to treat polluted gas in a gas-phase reaction is difficult because of the lack of a conductive medium. Herein, we report an efficient PEC system to oxidize NO gas by using parallel photoactive composites (TiO2 nanoribbons-carbon nanotubes) coated on stainless-steel mesh as photoanodes in a gas-phase chamber and Pt foil as the working electrode in a liquid-phase auxiliary cell. Carbon nanotubes (CNTs) were utilized as conductive scaffolds to enhance the interaction between TiO2 and stainless-steel skeletons for accelerated photogenerated electron transfer. Such a PEC system exhibited super-high performance for the treatment of indoor NO gas (550 ppb) with high selectivity for nitrate under UV-light irradiation owing to the conductive, intertwined network structure of the photoanode, fast photocarrier separation, and longer photogenerated hole lifetime. The photogenerated holes were proven to be the most important active sites for directly driving PEC oxidation of indoor NO gas, even in the absence of water vapor. This work created an efficient PEC air-purification filter for treating indoor polluted air under ambient conditions.

Distinguishable Detection of Ultraviolet, Visible, and Infrared Spectrum with High-Responsivity Perovskite-Based Flexible Photosensors.

Distinguishable detection of the ultraviolet, visible, and infrared spectrum is promising and significant for the super visual system of artificial intelligences. However, it is challenging to provide a photosensor with such broad spectral response ability. In this work, the ultraviolet, visible, and infrared spectrum is distinguished by developing serial photosensors based on perovskite/carbon nanotube hybrids. Oraganolead halide perovskites (CH3 NH3 PbX3 ) possess remarkable optoelectronic properties and tunable optical band gaps by changing the halogens, and integration with single-walled carbon nanotubes can further improve their photoresponsivities. The CH3 NH3 PbCl3 -based photosensor shows a responsivity up to 105 A W-1 to ultraviolet and no obvious response to visible light, which is superior to that of most ultraviolet sensors. The CH3 NH3 PbBr3 -based photosensor exhibits a high responsivity to visible light. Serial devices of the two hybrid photosensors with comparable electric and sensory performances can distinguish the spectrum of ultraviolet, visible, and infrared even with varying light intensities. The photosensors also demonstrate excellent mechanical flexibility and bending stability. By taking full advantages of the oraganolead halide perovskites, this work provides flexible high-responsivity photosensors specialized for ultraviolet, and gives a simple strategy for distinguishable detection of ultraviolet, visible, and infrared spectrum based on the serial flexible photosensors.

Integration of Biomaterials into Sensors Based on Organic Thin-Film Transistors.

Sensors based on organic thin-film transistors (OTFTs) present various advantages, including high sensitivity and mechanical flexibility, thus possessing potential applications such as wearable devices and biomedical electronics for health monitoring, etc. However, such applications are partially limited by the biocompatibility, biodegradability, and sensitivity to target analytes of OTFT-based sensors, which can be improved by the incorporation of diverse biomaterials. This article presents a brief review from the viewpoint of the type of the integrated biomaterials, including naturally occurring biomacromolecules such as proteins, enzymes, and deoxyribonucleic acid, as well as biocompatible polymers such as polylactide, poly(lactide-co-glycolide), poly(ethylene glycol), cellulose, polydimethylsiloxane, parylene, etc. It is believed that future work in this field should be devoted to the selectivity, sensitivity, and stability improvement as well as the high-level integration and sophistication on the basis of the OTFT-based sensors for physical, chemical, and biological sensing applications.

The Obesity Paradox Is Not Observed in Critically Ill Patients on Early Enteral Nutrition.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between body mass index and mortality in a large, ICU population and determine if the relationship is observed among a subgroup of patients ordered early enteral nutrition. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study within a national clinical mixed ICU database of patients admitted between January 1, 2008, and June 30, 2015. SETTING: Initial ICU admissions among patients monitored by tele-ICU programs and recorded in the Philips eICU Research Institute database. PATIENTS: A total of 1,042,710 adult patient stays with ICU length of stay more than 24 hours, of which 74,771 were ordered enteral nutrition within the first 48 hours. INTERVENTION: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Patient stays from 409 ICUs were included. The average age, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV score, and hospital mortality were 63.6 years, 56.7, and 9.0%, respectively. Hospital mortality among body mass index categories was estimated by multivariable modified Poisson regression models. Compared with the body mass index category 25.0-29.9 kg/m, hospital mortality was higher among underweight (body mass index, < 18.5; relative risk, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.32-1.39), normal weight (body mass index, 18.5-24.9; relative risk, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.09-1.12), and the extremely obese (body mass index, ≥ 50.0; relative risk, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.05-1.15). However, the risk was not statistically different from patients with body mass index 30.0-49.9 kg/m. Among patients ordered early enteral nutrition, the risk of mortality in the body mass index category 25.0-29.9 kg/m was not statistically different from those in the normal weight or extremely obese groups. CONCLUSIONS: A survival advantage for overweight and obese patients was observed in this large cohort of critically ill patients. However, among those ordered early enteral nutrition, the survival disadvantage for body mass index categories less than 25.0 kg/m was minimal or unobservable when compared with higher body mass index categories.

Fluid intake and risk of bladder cancer in the Nurses' Health Studies.

Increase in fluid intake may reduce bladder cancer risk by decreasing the contact time between carcinogens in urine and bladder epithelium. However, this association has not been examined in a large cohort of women. The association between total fluid intake and bladder cancer risk in two large prospective women's cohorts with 427 incident bladder cancer cases was examined. Detailed information on total fluid intake was collected by repeated food frequency questionnaires over time. Multivariable relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results from the two cohorts were pooled together using the random-effects model. Using the average values from the earliest two dietary assessments and lowest quartile as reference, a suggestive inverse association was observed between total fluid intake and overall bladder cancer risk (RR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.61-1.12, p-value for trend: 0.08), and invasive bladder cancer risk (RR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.23-0.97, p-value for trend: 0.04). Among heavy cigarette smokers, women with the highest quartile of total fluid intake had a 38% decrease in bladder cancer risk (RR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.41-0.93, p-value for trend: 0.02). The findings suggested that total fluid intake may reduce bladder cancer risk for female smokers, as well as reduce the risk of invasive bladder cancer.

Indoor air pollution from solid fuels and peripheral blood DNA methylation: findings from a population study in Warsaw, Poland.

DNA methylation is a potential mechanism linking indoor air pollution to adverse health effects. Fetal and early-life environmental exposures have been associated with altered DNA methylation and play a critical role in progress of diseases in adulthood. We investigated whether exposure to indoor air pollution from solid fuels at different lifetime periods was associated with global DNA methylation and methylation at the IFG2/H19 imprinting control region (ICR) in a population-based sample of non-smoking women from Warsaw, Poland. Global methylation and IFG2/H19 ICR methylation were assessed in peripheral blood DNA from 42 non-smoking women with Luminometric Methylation Assay (LUMA) and quantitative pyrosequencing, respectively. Linear regression models were applied to estimate associations between indoor air pollution and DNA methylation in the blood. Compared to women without exposure, the levels of LUMA methylation for women who had ever exposed to both coal and wood were reduced 6.70% (95% CI: -13.36, -0.04). Using both coal and wood before age 20 was associated with 6.95% decreased LUMA methylation (95% CI: -13.79, -0.11). Further, the negative correlations were more significant with exposure to solid fuels for cooking before age 20. There were no clear associations between indoor solid fuels exposure before age 20 and through the lifetime and IFG2/H19 ICR methylation. Our study of non-smoking women supports the hypothesis that exposure to indoor air pollution from solid fuels, even early-life exposure, has the capacity to modify DNA methylation that can be detected in peripheral blood.

Smokeless tobacco and risk of head and neck cancer: evidence from a case-control study in New England.

Current studies suggesting that smokeless tobacco use increases the risk of head and neck cancer are hampered by small numbers. Consequently, there remains uncertainty in the magnitude and significance of this risk. We examined the relationship between smokeless tobacco use and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) in a population-based case-control study with 1,046 cases and 1,239 frequency-matched controls. Logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), adjusting for age, gender, race, education level, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption. A nonsignificant elevated association between having ever used smokeless tobacco and HNSCC risk (OR = 1.20, 95% CI: 0.67-2.16) was observed. Individuals who reported 10 or more years of smokeless tobacco use had a significantly elevated risk of HNSCC (OR = 4.06, 95% CI: 1.31-12.64), compared to never users. In an analysis restricted to never cigarette smokers, a statistically significant association was observed between ever use of smokeless tobacco and the risk of HNSCC (OR = 4.21, 95% CI: 1.01-17.57). These findings suggest that long-term use of smokeless tobacco increases the risk of HNSCC.

Mortality following fragility hip fracture in China: a record linkage study.

Mortality risk declined over time. Patients with fragility hip fracture experienced an approximate ninefold excess mortality, peaking shortly after fracture, in comparison with that of the general population. Continuous efforts in lowering the occurrence of hip fracture have the potential to improve the survival of the elderly population in China. PURPOSE: Hip fractures in older adults often lead to an elevated risk of death. However, few studies investigated mortality risk following hip fracture in mainland China. This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the crude mortality and excess mortality after fragility hip fractures in Lishui residents aged 50 years and older. METHODS: Patients having a fragility hip fracture between October 2013 and August 2019 were identified from the Lishui District Inpatient Data Collection and followed up until August 2020. Death information was ascertained from the linked death registry records. We calculated the follow-up mortality rate and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as well as the standard mortality ratios (SMRs) in comparison with the mortality rates of Lishui residents. RESULTS: During the study period, a total of 808 patients (63.4% females) with an average age of 75 years were admitted for fragility hip fractures. The 1st, 2nd, and 3rd year follow-up mortality rates were 16.51, 6.06, and 5.03 per 100 person-year, respectively. The SMRs were 8.46 (6.94, 9.97), 5.74 (4.86, 6.63), and 4.63 (3.98, 5.27) for the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd year following fragility hip fracture. CONCLUSION: Although mortality risk declined over time, patients with fragility hip fracture experienced an approximate ninefold excess mortality, peaking shortly after fracture, in comparison with that of the general population. Continuous efforts in lowering the occurrence of hip fracture have the potential to improve the survival of the elderly population in China.

Optimal starting age of endoscopic screening for esophageal cancer in China: A multicenter prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although endoscopic screening for esophageal cancer has been performed in high-risk areas in China for decades, there is limited and inconsistent evidence regarding the starting age for individuals participating in screening. The aim of this study is to investigate the optimal starting age of esophageal cancer screening. METHODS: This study is based on a multicenter prospective cohort consisting 338,017 permanent residents aged 40-69 years in six high-risk areas of esophageal cancer in China. The participation rate, detection rate, hazard ratios (HRs), cumulative incidence and mortality and number needed to screen (NNS) were calculated in each age group. Screening burden, benefit and risk were compared among screening strategies with different initiation ages to explore the optimal starting age for population-based screening in high-risk areas. RESULTS: Individuals aged 50-69 had a higher participation rate, a higher detection rate and improved screening effectiveness than those aged 40-49. The endoscopic screening had no significant effect on reducing the incidence of esophageal cancer in individuals under 55 and mortality in individuals under 45. Increasing the starting age to 50 years reduced the screening demand and NNS by 40% and 55%, and resulted in 12% of detectable positive cases, 16% of preventable incident cases, and 14% of preventable deaths being missed. CONCLUSIONS: Postponing the starting age of endoscopic screening to 50 years might yield a more-favorable balance between screening benefit and burden in high- risk areas with limited resources.

Reexamination of total fluid intake and bladder cancer in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study Cohort.

It has been hypothesized that high fluid intake may reduce contact time between carcinogens and bladder epithelium and consequently reduce carcinogenesis. Epidemiologic studies examining fluid intake and bladder cancer have been extremely inconsistent, ranging from strong inverse to strong positive associations. The authors reevaluated the association between fluid intake and bladder cancer among 47,909 participants in the prospective Health Professionals Follow-up Study over a period of 22 years. During follow-up (1986-2008), 823 incident bladder cancer cases were diagnosed. Information on fluid intake was collected by using the food frequency questionnaire at baseline and every 4 years thereafter. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to adjust for risk factors for bladder cancer. Total fluid intake was inversely associated with bladder cancer when the analysis was based on the baseline diet (relative risk = 0.76, 95% confidence interval: 0.60, 0.97), comparing the highest total daily fluid intake quintile (>2,531 mL/day) with the lowest quintile (<1,290 mL/day) (P(trend) = 0.01). However, no association was detected when the analysis was based on recent diet or cumulative updated diet. The updated analysis for total fluid intake and bladder cancer was attenuated compared with the original findings from the first 10-year follow-up period.

Environmental tobacco smoke and the risk of pancreatic cancer among non-smokers: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Experimental studies have linked exposure to tobacco-specific nitrosamines with pancreatic carcinogenesis. A number of epidemiological studies have examined the association between environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and risk of pancreatic cancer but they have not yet been jointly summarised. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between exposure to ETS and risk of pancreatic cancer by systematically reviewing and synthesising the available evidence. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive literature search using MEDLINE and EMBASE and manual searching of the reference lists of the relevant research reports and review articles to identify full texts and abstracts published through October 2011. We used the random-effects model to pool summary relative risks (RR) comparing the highest category of exposure to ETS to people who had never been exposed. RESULTS: Exposure to ETS during childhood was not associated with risk of pancreatic cancer (three prospective and two retrospective studies; summary RR 1.12; 95% CI 0.89 to 1.43). In addition, no association was found with exposure to ETS during adulthood at home (five prospective and three retrospective studies; summary RR 1.23; 95% CI 0.86 to 1.77) or at work (one prospective and two retrospective studies; summary RR 0.94; 95% CI 0.67 to 1.33). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis does not provide evidence for an association between exposure to ETS and risk of pancreatic cancer.

Microbial Diversity and Composition in Six Different Gastrointestinal Sites among Participants Undergoing Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in Henan, China.

The objective of this study was to describe and compare the dynamic microbiota characteristics in the gastrointestinal (GI) tract in Chinese participants via high-throughput sequencing techniques. The study collected saliva, esophageal swab, cardia biopsy, noncardia biopsy, gastric juice, and fecal specimens from 40 participants who underwent upper GI tract cancer screening in Linzhou (Henan, China) in August 2019. The V4 region of 16S rRNA genes was amplified and sequenced using the Illumina MiniSeq platform. The observed amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) gradually decreased from saliva to esophageal swab, cardia biopsy, noncardia biopsy, and gastric juice specimens and then increased from gastric juice to fecal specimens (P < 0.05). Each GI site had its own microbial characteristics that overlapped those of adjacent sites. Characteristic genera for each site were as follows: Neisseria and Prevotella in saliva, Streptococcus and Haemophilus in the esophagus, Helicobacter in the noncardia, Pseudomonas in gastric juice, Faecalibacterium, Roseburia, and Blautia in feces, and Weissella in the cardia. Helicobacter pylori-positive participants had decreased observed ASVs (cardia, P < 0.01; noncardia, P < 0.001) and Shannon index values (cardia, P < 0.001; noncardia, P < 0.001) compared with H. pylori-negative participants both in cardia and noncardia specimens. H. pylori infection played a more important role in the microbial composition of noncardia than of cardia specimens. In gastric juice, the gastric pH and H. pylori infection had similar additive effects on the microbial diversity and composition. These results show that each GI site has its own microbial characteristics that overlap those of adjacent sites and that differences and commonalities between and within microbial compositions coexist, providing essential foundations for the continuing exploration of disease-associated microbiota. IMPORTANCE Upper gastrointestinal (UGI) tract cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide, while limited attention has been paid to the UGI microbiota. Microbial biomarkers, such as Fusobacteria nucleatum and Helicobacter pylori, bring new ideas for early detection of UGI tract cancer, which may be a highly feasible method to reduce its disease burden. This study revealed that each gastrointestinal site had its own microbial characteristics that overlapped those of adjacent sites. There were significant differences between the microbial compositions of the UGI sites and feces. Helicobacter pylori played a more significant role in the microbial composition of the noncardia stomach than in that of the cardia. Gastric pH and Helicobacter pylori had similar additive effects on the microbial diversity of gastric juice. These findings played a key role in delineating the microbiology spectrum of the gastrointestinal tract and provided baseline information for future microbial exploration covering etiology, primary screening, treatment, outcome, and health care products.

Gastric and esophageal cancer in China 2000 to 2030: Recent trends and short-term predictions of the future burden.

BACKGROUND: Gastric and esophageal cancer (GEC) have made a great contribution to the cancer burden in China. This study aims to report GEC incidence and mortality trends in 2000-2015 and their predictions to 2030. METHODS: We collected GEC data from 22 cancer registries for Joinpoint temporal trend analysis between 2000 and 2015 and average annual percent change was calculated. Based on the historical changes, combined with the 2015 GEC national incidence and mortality rate, the rate from 2016 to 2030 was predicted grouped by sex and age. The crude rate, standardized rate, and cumulative rate were calculated. The number of cases were obtained by multiplying the United Nations' World Population Prospects and the predicted rate of corresponding years. Attribution changes between 2015 and 2030 were apportioned into demographics and risk factors. RESULTS: There were decreasing trends of age-standardized incidence rate world (ASIRW) and age-standardized mortality rate world (ASMRW) during 2000-2015 in China (p < 0.05), the decline was more significant for the age group of 40-49 years in men and the age group of 50-59 years in women. It was predicted that in 2030, about 549,724 new cases and 394,576 deaths of GEC would occur in China. Compared with 2015, the numbers of new GEC cases and deaths in 2030 decreased by 15.24% and 17.62%, respectively. From 2020 to 2030, GEC ASIRW and ASMRW were predicted to decline from 24.98 to 17.47 and from 17.41 to 11.82 per 100,000, respectively. The number of new cases decreased by about 15.24% with changing demographic (44.48%) and risk (-59.72%) and the number of deaths decreased by about 17.62% with changing demographic (47.18%) and risk (-64.80%). CONCLUSIONS: Although GEC incidence and mortality rates showed downward trends, the disease burden remains heavy in China. The current prevention and control strategy are effective which need to be carried on.

Prediction Models for Gastric Cancer Risk in the General Population: A Systematic Review.

Risk prediction models for gastric cancer could identify high-risk individuals in the general population. The objective of this study was to systematically review the available evidence about the construction and verification of gastric cancer predictive models. We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for articles that developed or validated gastric cancer risk prediction models up to November 2021. Data extracted included study characteristics, predictor selection, missing data, and evaluation metrics. Risk of bias (ROB) was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). We identified a total of 12 original risk prediction models that fulfilled the criteria for analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) ranged from 0.73 to 0.93 in derivation sets (n = 6), 0.68 to 0.90 in internal validation sets (n = 5), 0.71 to 0.92 in external validation sets (n = 7). The higher-performing models usually include age, salt preference, Helicobacter pylori, smoking, body mass index, family history, pepsinogen, and sex. According to PROBAST, at least one domain with a high ROB was present in all studies mainly due to methodologic limitations in the analysis domain. In conclusion, although some risk prediction models including similar predictors have displayed sufficient discriminative abilities, many have a high ROB due to methodologic limitations and are not externally validated efficiently. Future prediction models should adherence to well-established standards and guidelines to benefit gastric cancer screening. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: Through systematical reviewing available evidence about the construction and verification of gastric cancer predictive models, we found that most models have a high ROB due to methodologic limitations and are not externally validated efficiently. Future prediction models are supposed to adherence to well-established standards and guidelines to benefit gastric cancer screening.