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1.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(1): e17026, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37962145

RESUMEN

Many grassland ecosystems and their associated biodiversity depend on the interactions between fire and land-use, both of which are shaped by socioeconomic conditions. The Eurasian steppe biome, much of it situated in Kazakhstan, contains 10% of the world's remaining grasslands. The break-up of the Soviet Union in 1991, widespread land abandonment and massive declines in wild and domestic ungulates led to biomass accumulation over millions of hectares. This rapid fuel increase made the steppes a global fire hotspot, with major changes in vegetation structure. Yet, the response of steppe biodiversity to these changes remains unexplored. We utilized a unique bird abundance dataset covering the entire Kazakh steppe and semi-desert regions together with the MODIS burned area product. We modeled the response of bird species richness and abundance as a function of fire disturbance variables-fire extent, cumulative burned area, fire frequency-at varying grazing intensity. Bird species richness was impacted negatively by large fire extent, cumulative burned area, and high fire frequency in moderately grazed and ungrazed steppe. Similarly, overall bird abundance was impacted negatively by large fire extent, cumulative burned area and higher fire frequency in the moderately grazed steppe, ungrazed steppe, and ungrazed semi-deserts. At the species level, the effect of high fire disturbance was negative for more species than positive. There were considerable fire legacy effects, detectable for at least 8 years. We conclude that the increase in fire disturbance across the post-Soviet Eurasian steppe has led to strong declines in bird abundance and pronounced changes in community assembly. To gain back control over wildfires and prevent further biodiversity loss, restoration of wild herbivore populations and traditional domestic ungulate grazing systems seems much needed.


Asunto(s)
Aves , Ecosistema , Animales , Aves/fisiología , Biodiversidad , Biomasa , Herbivoria , Pradera
2.
Environ Sci Technol ; 58(32): 14260-14270, 2024 Aug 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39096297

RESUMEN

Fine-mode aerosol optical depth (fAOD) is a vital proxy for the concentration of anthropogenic aerosols in the atmosphere. Currently, the limited data length and high uncertainty of the satellite-based data diminish the applicability of fAOD for climate research. Here, we propose a novel pretrained deep learning framework that can extract information underlying each satellite pixel and use it to create new latent features that can be employed for improving retrieval accuracy in regions without in situ data. With the proposed model, we developed a new global fAOD (at 0.5 µm) data from 2001 to 2020, resulting in a 10% improvement in the overall correlation coefficient (R) during site-based independent validation and a 15% enhancement in non-AERONET site areas validation. Over the past two decades, there has been a noticeable downward trend in global fAOD (-1.39 × 10-3/year). Compared to the general deep-learning model, our method reduces the global trend's previously overestimated magnitude by 7% per year. China has experienced the most significant decline (-5.07 × 10-3/year), which is 3 times greater than the global trend. Conversely, India has shown a significant increase (7.86 × 10-4/year). This study bridges the gap between sparse in situ observations and abundant satellite measurements, thereby improving predictive models for global patterns of fAOD and other climate factors.


Asunto(s)
Aerosoles , Aprendizaje Profundo , Atmósfera/química , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Imágenes Satelitales
3.
Environ Res ; 252(Pt 4): 119063, 2024 Jul 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38740292

RESUMEN

The high uncertainty regarding global gross primary production (GPP) remains unresolved. This study explored the relationships between phenology, physiology, and annual GPP to provide viable alternatives for accurate estimation. A statistical model of integrated phenology and physiology (SMIPP) was developed using GPP data from 145 FLUXNET sites to estimate the annual GPP for various vegetation types. By employing the SMIPP model driven by satellite-derived datasets of the global carbon uptake period (CUP) and maximal carbon uptake capacity (GPPmax), the global annual GPP was estimated for the period from 2001 to 2018. The results demonstrated that the SMIPP model accurately predicted annual GPP, with relative root mean square error values ranging from 11.20 to 19.29% for forest types and 20.49-35.71% for non-forest types. However, wetlands, shrublands, and evergreen forests exhibited relatively low accuracies. The average, trend, and interannual variation of global GPP during 2001-2018 were 132.6 Pg C yr-1, 0.25 Pg C yr-2, and 1.57 Pg C yr-1, respectively. They were within the ranges estimated in other global GPP products. Sensitivity analysis revealed that GPPmax had comparable effects to CUP in high-latitude regions but significantly greater impacts at the global scale, with sensitivity coefficients of 0.85 ± 0.23 for GPPmax and 0.46 ± 0.28 for CUP. This study provides a simple and practical method for estimating global annual GPP and highlights the influence of GPPmax and CUP on global-scale annual GPP.


Asunto(s)
Carbono , Carbono/metabolismo , Carbono/análisis , Bosques , Estaciones del Año , Ciclo del Carbono
4.
Environ Res ; 247: 118412, 2024 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38316380

RESUMEN

The temperature of surface and epilimnetic waters, closely related to regional air temperatures, responds quickly and directly to climatic changes. As a result, lake surface temperature (LSWT) can be considered an effective indicator of climate change. In this study, we reconstructed and investigated historical and future LSWT across different scenarios for over 80 major lakes in mainland Southeast Asia (SEA), an ecologically diverse region vulnerable to climate impacts. Five different predicting models, incorporating statistical, machine and deep learning approaches, were trained and validated using ERA5 and CHIRPS climatic feature datasets as predictors and 8-day MODIS-derived LSWT from 2000 to 2020 as reference dataset. Best performing model was then applied to predict both historical (1986-2020) and future (2020-2100) LSWT for SEA lakes, utilizing downscaled climatic CORDEX-SEA feature data and multiple Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP). The analysis uncovered historical and future thermal dynamics and long-term trends for both daytime and nighttime LSWT. Among 5 models, XGboost results the most performant (NSE 0.85, RMSE 1.14 °C, MAE 0.69 °C, MBE -0.08 °C) and it has been used for historical reconstruction and future LSWT prediction. The historical analysis revealed a warming trend in SEA lakes, with daytime LSWT increasing at a rate of +0.18 °C/decade and nighttime LSWT at +0.13 °C/decade over the past three decades. These trends appeared of smaller magnitude compared to global estimates of LSWT change rates and less pronounced than concurrent air temperature and LSWT increases in neighbouring regions. Projections under various RCP scenarios indicated continued LSWT warming. Daytime LSWT is projected to increase at varying rates per decade: +0.03 °C under RCP2.6, +0.14 °C under RCP4.5, and +0.29 °C under RCP8.5. Similarly, nighttime LSWT projections under these scenarios are: +0.03 °C, +0.10 °C, and +0.16 °C per decade, respectively. The most optimistic scenario predicted marginal increases of +0.38 °C on average, while the most pessimistic scenario indicated an average LSWT increase of +2.29 °C by end of the century. This study highlights the relevance of LSWT as a climate change indicator in major SEA's freshwater ecosystems. The integration of satellite-derived LSWT, historical and projected climate data into data-driven modelling has enabled new and a more nuanced understanding of LSWT dynamics in relation to climate throughout the entire SEA region.


Asunto(s)
Ecosistema , Lagos , Cambio Climático , Temperatura , Agua
5.
Environ Res ; 255: 119141, 2024 Aug 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38754606

RESUMEN

The increasing air pollution in the urban atmosphere is adversely impacts the environment, climate and human health. The alarming degradation of air quality, atmospheric conditions, economy and human life due to air pollution needs significant in-depth studies to ascertain causes, contributions and impacts for developing and implementing an effective policy to combat these issues. This work lies in its multifaceted approach towards comprehensive understanding and mitigating severe pollution episodes in Delhi and its surrounding areas. We investigated the aerosol dynamics in the post-monsoon season (PMS) from 2019 to 2022 under the influence of both crop residue burning and meteorological conditions. The study involves a broad spectrum of factors, including PM2.5 concentrations, active fire events, and meteorological parameters, shedding light on previously unexplored studies. The average AOD550 (0.79) and PM2.5 concentration (140.12 µg/m³) were the highest in 2019. PM2.5 was higher from mid-October to mid-November each year, exceeding the WHO guideline of 15 µg/m³ (24 h) by 27-34 times, signifying a public health emergency. A moderate to strong correlation between PM2.5 and AOD was found (r = 0.65) in 2021. The hotspot region accounts for almost 50% (2019), 47.51% (2020), 57.91% (2021) and 36.61% (2022) of the total fire events. A statistically significant negative non-linear correlation (r) was observed between wind speed (WS) and both AOD and PM2.5 concentration, influencing air quality over the region. HYSPLIT model and Windrose result show the movement of air masses predominated from the North and North-West direction during PMS. This study suggest to promotes strategies such as alternative waste management, encouraging modern agricultural practices in hot-spot regions, and enforcing strict emission norms for industries and vehicles to reducing air pollution and its detrimental effects on public health in the region and also highlights the need for future possibilities of research to attract the global attention.


Asunto(s)
Aerosoles , Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Material Particulado , India , Aerosoles/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Estaciones del Año , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Incendios , Productos Agrícolas
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(9)2021 03 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33619088

RESUMEN

Fires are a major contributor to atmospheric budgets of greenhouse gases and aerosols, affect soils and vegetation properties, and are a key driver of land use change. Since the 1990s, global burned area (BA) estimates based on satellite observations have provided critical insights into patterns and trends of fire occurrence. However, these global BA products are based on coarse spatial-resolution sensors, which are unsuitable for detecting small fires that burn only a fraction of a satellite pixel. We estimated the relevance of those small fires by comparing a BA product generated from Sentinel-2 MSI (Multispectral Instrument) images (20-m spatial resolution) with a widely used global BA product based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images (500 m) focusing on sub-Saharan Africa. For the year 2016, we detected 80% more BA with Sentinel-2 images than with the MODIS product. This difference was predominately related to small fires: we observed that 2.02 Mkm2 (out of a total of 4.89 Mkm2) was burned by fires smaller than 100 ha, whereas the MODIS product only detected 0.13 million km2 BA in that fire-size class. This increase in BA subsequently resulted in increased estimates of fire emissions; we computed 31 to 101% more fire carbon emissions than current estimates based on MODIS products. We conclude that small fires are a critical driver of BA in sub-Saharan Africa and that including those small fires in emission estimates raises the contribution of biomass burning to global burdens of (greenhouse) gases and aerosols.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Carbono/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Imágenes Satelitales , Incendios Forestales , África , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Incendios , Estaciones del Año
7.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(2)2024 Jan 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38257635

RESUMEN

In order to enhance the retrieval accuracy of cloud top height (CTH) from MODIS data, neural network models were employed based on Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) data. Three types of methods were established using MODIS inputs: cloud parameters, calibrated radiance, and a combination of both. From a statistical standpoint, models with combination inputs demonstrated the best performance, followed by models with calibrated radiance inputs, while models relying solely on calibrated radiance had poorer applicability. This work found that cloud top pressure (CTP) and cloud top temperature played a crucial role in CTH retrieval from MODIS data. However, within the same type of models, there were slight differences in the retrieved results, and these differences were not dependent on the quantity of input parameters. Therefore, the model with fewer inputs using cloud parameters and calibrated radiance was recommended and employed for individual case studies. This model produced results closest to the actual cloud top structure of the typhoon and exhibited similar cloud distribution patterns when compared with the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) CTHs from a climatic statistical perspective. This suggests that the recommended model has good applicability and credibility in CTH retrieval from MODIS images. This work provides a method to improve accurate CTHs from MODIS data for better utilization.

8.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(5)2024 Feb 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38475140

RESUMEN

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is an important resource for a variety of tasks. The data are mostly free of charge and combine high spatial and temporal resolution with reliable data collection over a historical timeframe. When remote sensing is used to provide LST data, such as the MODA11 product using information from the MODIS sensors attached to NASA satellites, data acquisition can be hindered by clouds or cloud shadows, occluding the sensors' view on different areas of the world. This makes it difficult to take full advantage of the high resolution of the data. A common solution to interpolating LST data is statistical interpolation methods, such as fitting polynomials or thin plate spine interpolation. These methods have difficulties in incorporating additional knowledge about the research area and learning local dependencies that can help with the interpolation process. We propose a novel approach to interpolating remote sensing LST data in a fixed research area considering local ground-site air temperature measurements. The two-step approach consists of learning the LST from air temperature measurements, where the ground-site weather stations are located, and interpolating the remaining missing values with partial convolutions within a U-Net deep learning architecture. Our approach improves the interpolation of LST for our research area by 44% in terms of RMSE, when compared to state-of-the-art statistical methods. Due to the use of air temperature, we can provide coverage of 100%, even when no valid LST measurements were available. The resulting gapless coverage of high resolution LST data will help unlock the full potential of remote sensing LST data.

9.
J Environ Manage ; 368: 122075, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39121630

RESUMEN

Lake water surface temperature (LWST) is a critical component in understanding the response of freshwater ecosystems to climate change. Traditional estimation of LWST estimation considers water surface bodies to be static. Our work proposes a novel open-source web application, IMPART, designed for estimating dynamic LWST using Landsat reflectance and MODIS temperature datasets from 2004 to 2022. Results presented globally for over 342 lakes reveal a root mean square deviation of 0.86 °C between static and dynamic LWST. Additionally, our results demonstrate that 57% of the lakes exhibit a statistically significant difference between the static and dynamic LWST values. Improved LWST will ultimately enhance our ability to comprehensively monitor and respond to the impacts of climate change on freshwater ecosystems worldwide. Furthermore, based on the Koppen-Geiger climate classification, our zonal analysis demonstrates the deviation between static and dynamic LWST. It identifies specific zones where considering waterbodies as dynamic entities is essential.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Ecosistema , Lagos , Temperatura , Agua Dulce , Monitoreo del Ambiente
10.
J Environ Manage ; 360: 121134, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38749137

RESUMEN

Chlorophyll a (Chla) concentration can be used as an indicator of algal biomass, and the accumulation of algal biomass in water column is essential for the emergence of surface blooms. By using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) data, a machine learning algorithm was previously developed to assess algal biomass within the euphotic depth (Beu). Here, a long-term Beu dataset of Lake Taihu from 2003 to 2020 was generated to examine its spatio-temporal dynamics, sensitivity to environmental factors, and variations in comparison to the surface algal bloom area. During this period, the daily Beu (total Beu within the whole lake) exhibited temporal fluctuations between 40 and 90 t Chla, with an annual average of 63.32 ± 5.23 t Chla. Notably, it reached its highest levels in 2007 (72.34 t Chla) and 2017 (73.57 t Chla). Moreover, it demonstrated a clear increasing trend of 0.197 t Chla/y from 2003 to 2007, followed by a slight decrease of 0.247 t Chla/y after 2017. Seasonal variation showed a bimodal annual cycle, characterized by a minor peak in March âˆ¼ April and a major peak in July âˆ¼ September. Spatially, the average pixel-based Beu (total Beu of a unit water column) ranged from 21.17 to 49.85 mg Chla, with high values predominantly distributed in the northwest region and low values in the central region. The sensitivity of Beu to environmental factors varies depending on regions and time scales. Temperature has a significant impact on monthly variation (65.73%), while the level of nutrient concentrations influences annual variation (55.06%). Wind speed, temperature, and hydrodynamic conditions collectively influence the spatial distribution of Beu throughout the entire lake. Algal bloom biomass can capture trend changes in two mutant years as well as bimodal phenological changes compared to surface algal bloom area. This study can provide a basis for scientific evaluation of water environment and a reference for monitoring algal biomass in other similar eutrophic lakes.


Asunto(s)
Biomasa , Eutrofización , Lagos , Fitoplancton , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Clorofila A/análisis , Imágenes Satelitales , Estaciones del Año
11.
J Environ Manage ; 356: 120576, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38513585

RESUMEN

Lakes in taiga and tundra regions may be silently undergoing changes due to global warming. One of those changes is browning in lake color. The browning interacts with the carbon cycle, ecosystem dynamics, and water quality in freshwater systems. However, spatiotemporal variabilities of browning in these regions have not been well documented. Using MODIS remote sensing reflectance at near ultraviolet wavelengths from 2002 to 2021 on the Google Earth Engine platform, we quantified long-term browning trends across 7616 lakes (larger than 10 km2) in taiga and tundra biomes. These lakes showed an overall decreased trend in browning (Theil-Sen Slope = 0.00015), with ∼36% of these lakes showing browning trends, and ∼1% of these lakes showing statistically significant (p-value <0.05) browning trends. The browning trends more likely occurred in small lakes in high latitude, low ground ice content regions, where air temperature increased and precipitation decreased. While temperature is projected to increase in response to climate change, our results provide one means to understand how biogeochemical cycles and ecological dynamics respond to climate change.


Asunto(s)
Ecosistema , Lagos , Taiga , Tundra , Cambio Climático
12.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(5): 473, 2024 Apr 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662282

RESUMEN

Aerosol optical depth (AOD) serves as a crucial indicator for assessing regional air quality. To address regional and urban pollution issues, there is a requirement for high-resolution AOD products, as the existing data is of very coarse resolution. To address this issue, we retrieved high-resolution AOD over Kanpur (26.4499°N, 80.3319°E), located in the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) region using Landsat 8 imageries and implemented the algorithm SEMARA, which combines SARA (Simplified Aerosol Retrieval Algorithm) and SREM (Simplified and Robust Surface Reflectance Estimation). Our approach leveraged the green band of the Landsat 8, resulting in an impressive spatial resolution of 30 m of AOD and rigorously validated with available AERONET observations. The retrieved AOD is in good agreement with high correlation coefficients (r) of 0.997, a low root mean squared error of 0.035, and root mean bias of - 4.91%. We evaluated the retrieved AOD with downscaled MODIS (MCD19A2) AOD products across various land classes for cropped and harvested period of agriculture cycle over the study region. It is noticed that over the built-up region of Kanpur, the SEMARA algorithm exhibits a stronger correlation with the MODIS AOD product compared to vegetation, barren areas and water bodies. The SEMARA approach proved to be more effective for AOD retrieval over the barren and built-up land categories for harvested period compared with the cropping period. This study offers a first comparative examination of SEMARA-retrieved high-resolution AOD and MODIS AOD product over a station of IGP.


Asunto(s)
Aerosoles , Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Ciudades , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Imágenes Satelitales , India , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Aerosoles/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Algoritmos
13.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(10): 911, 2024 Sep 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39251519

RESUMEN

In this study, we applied a multivariate logistic regression model to identify deforested areas and evaluate the current effects on environmental variables in the Brazilian state of Rondônia, located in the southwestern Amazon region using data from the MODIS/Terra sensor. The variables albedo, temperature, evapotranspiration, vegetation index, and gross primary productivity were analyzed from 2000 to 2022, with surface type data from the PRODES project as the dependent variable. The accuracy of the models was evaluated by the parameters area under the curve (AUC), pseudo R2, and Akaike information criterion, in addition to statistical tests. The results indicated that deforested areas had higher albedo (25%) and higher surface temperatures (3.2 °C) compared to forested areas. There was a significant reduction of the EVI (16%), indicating water stress, and a decrease in GPP (18%) and ETr (23%) due to the loss of plant biomass. The most precise model (91.6%) included only surface temperature and albedo, providing important information about the environmental impacts of deforestation in humid tropical regions.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Bosques , Brasil , Modelos Logísticos , Temperatura
14.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(8): 706, 2024 Jul 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38970725

RESUMEN

The ability of the land surface temperature (LST) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to examine land surface change is regarded as an important climate variable. However, no significant systematic examination of urbanization concerning environmental variables has been undertaken in the narrow valley of Thimphu, Bhutan. Therefore, this study investigated the impact of land use/land cover (LULC) dynamics on LST, NDVI, and elevation, using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data collected in Thimphu, Bhutan, from 2000 to 2020. The results showed that LSTs varied substantially among different land use types, with the highest occurring in built-up areas and the lowest occurring in forests. There was a strong negative linear correlation between the LST and NDVI in built-up areas, indicating the impact of anthropogenic activities. Moreover, elevation had a noticeable effect on the LST and NDVI, which exhibited very strong opposite patterns at lower elevations. In summary, LULC dynamics significantly influence LST and NDVI, highlighting the importance of understanding spatiotemporal patterns and their effects on ecological processes for effective land management and environmental conservation. Moreover, this study also demonstrated the applicability of relatively low-cost, moderate spatial resolution satellite imagery for examining the impact of urban development on the urban environment in Thimphu city.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo del Ambiente , Imágenes Satelitales , Urbanización , Bután , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Temperatura , Tecnología de Sensores Remotos , Ciudades , Bosques , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales
15.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(6): 515, 2024 May 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709284

RESUMEN

Drought events threaten freshwater reservoirs and agricultural productivity, particularly in semi-arid regions characterized by erratic rainfall. This study evaluates a novel technique for assessing the impact of drought on LULC variations in the context of climate change from 2018 to 2022. Various data sources were harnessed, encompassing Sentinel-2 satellite imagery for LULC classification, climate data from the CHIRPS and AgERA5 databases, geomorphological data from JAXA's ALOS satellite, and a drought indicator (Vegetation Health Index (VHI)) derived from MODIS data. Two classifier models, namely gradient tree boost (GTB) and random forest (RF), were trained and assessed for LULC classification, with performance evaluated by overall accuracy (OA) and kappa coefficient (K). Notably, the GTB model exhibited superior performance, with OA > 90% and a K > 0.9. Over the period from 2018 to 2022, Fez experienced LULC changes of 19.92% expansion in built-up areas, a 34.86% increase in bare land, a 17.86% reduction in water bodies, and a 37.30% decrease in agricultural land. Positive correlations of 0.81 and 0.89 were observed between changes in agricultural LULC, rainfall, and VHI. Furthermore, mild drought conditions were identified in the years 2020 and 2022. This study emphasizes the importance of AI and remote sensing techniques in assessing drought and environmental changes, with potential applications for improving existing drought monitoring systems.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura , Sequías , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Aprendizaje Automático , Tecnología de Sensores Remotos , Agricultura/métodos , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Cambio Climático , Imágenes Satelitales
16.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(9): 810, 2024 Aug 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39141225

RESUMEN

Forest fires pose significant environmental and socioeconomic threats, particularly in regions such as Central India, where forest ecosystems are vital for biodiversity and local livelihoods. Understanding forest fire dynamics and identifying fire risk zones are crucial for effective mitigation. The current study explores the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest fires in the Khandwa and North Betul forest divisions in the Central Indian region over 22 years using Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope tests on MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) fire point data. We found a nonsignificant increase in forest fires in both divisions. Khandwa showed a nonsignificant slope rise of more than three events per year, while North Betul revealed an increase of around one event per year. The lack of statistical significance suggests that upward trends of forest fire events may result from random fluctuations rather than consistent patterns. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed significant clustering of fire incidents in both regions. Khandwa confirmed moderate clustering (Moran's I = 0.043), whereas North Betul showed robust clustering (Moran's I = 0.096). Kernel density estimation further identified high-risk clusters in both divisions, necessitating zonal-wise targeted fire management strategies. Fire risk zonation was developed using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), combining 10 environmental and socioeconomic factors. The AHP model, validated using MODIS fire data, showed reliable accuracy. The results revealed many of both divisions in the high- to very high-risk categories. Approximately, 45% of the area of the Khandwa and nearly 50% of the area of North Betul fall under high to very high fire risk zones. Khandwa's high-risk areas mainly lie in the northern and southeastern parts, while North Betul lies in the northwestern and north-eastern regions. The identified fire-prone areas indicate the pressing need for local or region-specific fire prevention and mitigation strategies. Thus, the findings of this study provide valuable insights into forest fire risk management and contribute to more focused research and methodological developments.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo del Ambiente , Bosques , Incendios Forestales , India , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Ecosistema , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Incendios , Árboles
17.
Glob Chang Biol ; 29(16): 4620-4637, 2023 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37254258

RESUMEN

Grassland ecosystems cover up to 40% of the global land area and provide many ecosystem services directly supporting the livelihoods of over 1 billion people. Monitoring long-term changes in grasslands is crucial for food security, biodiversity conservation, achieving Land Degradation Neutrality goals, and modeling the global carbon budget. Although long-term grassland monitoring using remote sensing is extensive, it is typically based on a single vegetation index and does not account for temporal and spatial autocorrelation, which means that some trends are falsely identified while others are missed. Our goal was to analyze trends in grasslands in Eurasia, the largest continuous grassland ecosystems on Earth. To do so, we calculated Cumulative Endmember Fractions (annual sums of monthly ground cover fractions) derived from MODIS 2002-2020 time series, and applied a new statistical approach PARTS that explicitly accounts for temporal and spatial autocorrelation in trends. We examined trends in green vegetation, non-photosynthetic vegetation, and soil ground cover fractions considering their independent change trajectories and relations among fractions over time. We derived temporally uncorrelated pixel-based trend maps and statistically tested whether observed trends could be explained by elevation, land cover, SPEI3, climate, country, and their combinations, all while accounting for spatial autocorrelation. We found no statistical evidence for a decrease in vegetation cover in grasslands in Eurasia. Instead, there was a significant map-level increase in non-photosynthetic vegetation across the region and local increases in green vegetation with a concomitant decrease in soil fraction. Independent environmental variables affected trends significantly, but effects varied by region. Overall, our analyses show in a statistically robust manner that Eurasian grasslands have changed considerably over the past two decades. Our approach enhances remote sensing-based monitoring of trends in grasslands so that underlying processes can be discerned.


Asunto(s)
Ecosistema , Pradera , Humanos , Clima , Biodiversidad , Suelo
18.
Environ Sci Technol ; 57(48): 19881-19890, 2023 Dec 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37962866

RESUMEN

Coarse-mode aerosol optical depths (cAODs) are critical for understanding the impact of coarse particle sizes, especially dust aerosols, on climate. Currently, the limited data length and high uncertainty of satellite products diminish the applicability of cAOD for climate research. Here, we propose a spatiotemporal coaction deep-learning model (SCAM) for the retrieval of global land cAOD (500 nm) from 2001-2021. In contrast to conventional deep-learning models, the SCAM considers the impacts of spatiotemporal feature interactions and can simultaneously describe linear and nonlinear relationships for retrievals. Based on these unique characteristics, the SCAM considerably improved global daily cAOD accuracies and coverages (R = 0.82, root-mean-square error [RMSE] = 0.04). Compared to official products from the multiangle imaging spectroradiometer (MISR), the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS), and the polarization and directionality of Earth's reflectances (POLDER) instrument, as well as the physical-deep learning (Phy-DL) derived cAOD, the SCAM cAOD improved the monthly R from 0.44 to 0.88 and more accurately captured over the desert regions. Based on the SCAM cAOD, daily dust cases decreased over the Sahara, Thar Desert, Gobi Desert, and Middle East during 2001-2021 (>3 × 10-3/year). The SCAM-retrieved cAOD can contribute considerably to resolving the climate change uncertainty related to coarse-mode aerosols. Our proposed method is highly valuable for reducing uncertainties regarding coarse aerosols and climate interactions.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Aprendizaje Profundo , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Polvo/análisis , Aerosoles/análisis
19.
Environ Sci Technol ; 57(28): 10373-10381, 2023 07 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37347705

RESUMEN

Hurricane Katrina (category 5 with maximum wind of 280 km/h when the eye is in the central Gulf of Mexico) made landfall near New Orleans on August 29, 2005, causing millions of cubic meters of disaster debris, severe flooding, and US$125 billion in damage. Yet, despite numerous reports on its environmental and economic impacts, little is known about how much debris has entered the marine environment. Here, using satellite images (MODIS, MERIS, and Landsat), airborne photographs, and imaging spectroscopy, we show the distribution, possible types, and amount of Katrina-induced debris in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Satellite images collected between August 30 and September 19 show elongated image features around the Mississippi River Delta in a region bounded by 92.5°W-87.5°W and 27.8°N-30.25°N. Image spectroscopy and color appearance of these image features indicate that they are likely dominated by driftwood (including construction lumber) and dead plants (e.g., uprooted marsh) and possibly mixed with plastics and other materials. The image sequence shows that if aggregated together to completely cover the water surface, the maximal debris area reached 21.7 km2 on August 31 to the east of the delta, which drifted to the west following the ocean currents. When measured by area in satellite images, this perhaps represents a historical record of all previously reported floating debris due to natural disasters such as hurricanes, floodings, and tsunamis.


Asunto(s)
Tormentas Ciclónicas , Desastres , Golfo de México , Inundaciones , Mississippi
20.
Environ Res ; 220: 115125, 2023 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36592806

RESUMEN

Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP) experiences high loading of particulate and gaseous pollutants all year around and is considered to be the most polluted regions of India. Understanding the effect of landscape determinants on air pollution in IGP regions is crucial to make its environment sustainable. We examined satellite retrievals of OMI NO2 and SO2, and MODIS AOD to analyse the long-term trend, spatio-seasonal pattern and dynamics of aerosols, NO2 and SO2 over three IGP regions, namely Upper Indo-Gangetic plain (UIGP), Middle Indo-Gangetic plain (MIGP) and Lower Indo-Gangetic plain (LIGP) over the period 2005-2019. IGP experienced an overall increment in AOD (R2 = 0.63) and SO2 (R2 = 0.67) values, with LIGP (AOD, R2 = 0.8 & SO2, R2 = 0.8) experiencing the largest rate of enhancement. The levels of NO2 (R2 = 0.2) experienced a decrement after 2012 (owing to implementation of vehicle emission policy) except in MIGP, with UIGP (R2 = 0.23) exhibiting the largest rate of decrement. Seasonal heterogeneity in the nature of sources was observed over IGP regions. AOD (0.61 ± 0.1) and NO2 value (3.82 ± 0.98 × 1015 molecules/cm2) were found highest during post-monsoon in UIGP owing to crop residue burning activity. The value of NO2 (3.8 ± 1.4 × 1015 molecules/cm2) in MIGP was found highest during pre-monsoon due to high consumption of coal in power plants for summer cooling demand. The highest SO2 level (0.09 ± 0.06 DU) was observed during post-monsoon in UIGP, as a large number of brick kilns are fired during this period. Correlations among landscape determinants and pollutants revealed that topography is the dominant variable that affect the spatial pattern of AOD compared to vegetation and land use. Lower elevation tends to have high AOD values compared to higher elevation. Vegetation-AOD relationship showed an inverse association in IGP regions and is influenced by factors such as seasonal meteorology and size of the airborne particles. Vegetation possesses positive relationship with SO2 and NO2, implying no pollution abatement effect on SO2 and NO2 pollutants. Built-up change has deteriorating effect as well as quenching effect on pollutants. Increase in built terrain have deteriorated the air quality in UIGP whereas it favored in suppressing the aerosol level in LIGP.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Ambientales , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Meteorología , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Estaciones del Año , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , India , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Aerosoles/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis
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