Modelling African horse sickness emergence and transmission in the South African control area using a deterministic metapopulation approach.

African horse sickness is an equine orbivirus transmitted by Culicoides Latreille biting midges. In the last 80 years, it has caused several devastating outbreaks in the equine population in Europe, the Far and Middle East, North Africa, South-East Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa. The disease is endemic in South Africa; however, a unique control area has been set up in the Western Cape where increased surveillance and control measures have been put in place. A deterministic metapopulation model was developed to explore if an outbreak might occur, and how it might develop, if a latently infected horse was to be imported into the control area, by varying the geographical location and months of import. To do this, a previously published ordinary differential equation model was developed with a metapopulation approach and included a vaccinated horse population. Outbreak length, time to peak infection, number of infected horses at the peak, number of horses overall affected (recovered or dead), re-emergence, and Rv (the basic reproduction number in the presence of vaccination) were recorded and displayed using GIS mapping. The model predictions were compared to previous outbreak data to ensure validity. The warmer months (November to March) had longer outbreaks than the colder months (May to September), took more time to reach the peak, and had a greater total outbreak size with more horses infected at the peak. Rv appeared to be a poor predictor of outbreak dynamics for this simulation. A sensitivity analysis indicated that control measures such as vaccination and vector control are potentially effective to manage the spread of an outbreak, and shortening the vaccination window to July to September may reduce the risk of vaccine-associated outbreaks.

Development of Differentiating Infected from Vaccinated Animals (DIVA) Real-Time PCR for African Horse Sickness Virus Serotype 1.

African horse sickness (AHS) is a highly infectious and often fatal disease caused by 9 serotypes of the orbivirus African horse sickness virus (AHSV). In March 2020, an AHS outbreak was reported in Thailand in which AHSV serotype 1 was identified as the causative agent. Trivalent live attenuated vaccines serotype 1, 3, and 4 were used in a targeted vaccination campaign within a 50-km radius surrounding the infected cases, which promptly controlled the spread of the disease. However, AHS-like symptoms in vaccinated horses required laboratory diagnostic methods to differentiate infected horses from vaccinated horses, especially for postvaccination surveillance. We describe a real-time reverse transcription PCR-based assay for rapid characterization of the affecting field strain. The development and validation of this assay should imbue confidence in differentiating AHS-vaccinated horses from nonvaccinated horses. This method should be applied to determining the epidemiology of AHSV in future outbreaks.

On All Fours: Transient Laborers, the Threat of Movement, and the Aftermath of Disease.

African horse sickness (AHS) plagued the Middle East in 1944 for the first time. It spread into Palestine during a transformative period, as the role of animals as global migrant-laborers was shifting; soon after, automated machines would relieve their burden and transform the relations between farmers, traders, the state and its policing powers, and the global market. By following the movement and management of this outbreak of the disease, along with medical knowledge and tools of prevention and treatment, the article demonstrates that animal health and mobility were substantial matters of concern in British Palestine. It shows, furthermore, that AHS became a catalyst in dismantling the economic, social, and cultural value of animals of burden and their handlers.

African horse sickness: an ancient disease for a current threat / La peste équine : une maladie ancienne pour une menace actuelle

African horse sickness (AHS) is a major arthropod-borne disease that causes significant losses in horses in sub-Saharan Africa. It is caused by the African horse sickness virus (AHSV), which is transmitted during a blood meal by Culicoides biting midges. The distribution of historical African culicoid vectors increases due to global warming. In addition, recent (Thailand, 2020) and earlier (Iberian Peninsula, 1965-66/1987-90) AHS outbreaks outside Africa demonstrate the adaptation of the virus to endogenous species in AHS-free regions, similar to what has been observed for bluetongue disease in recent decades. Therefore, many regions are considered at risk of introduction of AHS which could have important economic consequences for the equine industry. Overall, this prone the European Union to launch research programs to get better diagnostic and prophylactic tools.

La peste équine est une arbovirose majeure qui entraîne des pertes importantes chez les chevaux en Afrique subsaharienne. Elle est provoquée par le virus de la peste équine (African horse sickness virus, AHSV) dont la transmission s'effectue au cours d'un repas sanguin par des petits moucherons hématophages appartenant au genre Culicoides. En outre, les espèces vectrices historiques de culicoïdes présentes en Afrique voient leur aire de répartition s'étendre en lien avec le réchauffement climatique à l'échelle mondiale. Par ailleurs, des épisodes épizootiques récents (Thaïlande, 2020) ou un peu plus anciens (péninsule ibérique, 1965-66/1987-90) en dehors du continent africain soulignent la capacité d'adaptation du virus à des espèces vectrices autochtones, à l'instar de ce qui a été observé pour la fièvre catarrhale ovine ces dernières décennies. Ces facteurs laissent craindre à tout moment une introduction de la peste équine dans des régions indemnes. L'urgence est donc donnée actuellement par l'Union européenne pour se doter de meilleurs outils diagnostiques et prophylactiques afin de prévenir des conséquences économiques brutales pour l'industrie équine.

African Horse Sickness Virus Serotype 1 on Horse Farm, Thailand, 2020.

To investigate an outbreak of African horse sickness (AHS) on a horse farm in northeastern Thailand, we used whole-genome sequencing to detect and characterize the virus. The viruses belonged to serotype 1 and contained unique amino acids (95V,166S, 660I in virus capsid protein 2), suggesting a single virus introduction to Thailand.

Pathogen detection and disease diagnosis in wildlife: challenges and opportunities.

The availability of rapid, highly sensitive and specific molecular and serologic diagnostic assays, such as competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (cELISA), has expedited the diagnosis of emerging transboundary animal diseases, including bluetongue (BT) and African horse sickness (AHS), and facilitated more thorough characterisation of their epidemiology. The development of assays based on real-time, reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) to detect and identify the numerous serotypes of BT virus (BTV) and AHS virus (AHSV) has aided in-depth studies of the epidemiology of BTV infection in California and AHSV infection in South Africa. The subsequent evaluation of pan-serotype, real-time, RT-PCR-positive samples through the use of serotype-specific RT-PCR assays allows the rapid identification of virus serotypes, reducing the need for expensive and time-consuming conventional methods, such as virus isolation and serotype-specific virus neutralisation assays. These molecular assays and cELISA platforms provide tools that have enhanced epidemiologic surveillance strategies and improved our understanding of potentially altered Culicoides midge behaviour when infected with BTV. They have also supported the detection of subclinical AHSV infection of vaccinated horses in South Africa. Moreover, in conjunction with whole genome sequence analysis, these tests have clarified that the mechanism behind recent outbreaks of AHS in the AHS-controlled area of South Africa was the result of the reversion to virulence and/or genome reassortment of live attenuated vaccine viruses. This review focuses on the use of contemporary molecular diagnostic assays in the context of recent epidemiologic studies and explores their advantages over historic virus isolation and serologic techniques.

La disponibilité d'essais diagnostiques moléculaires et sérologiques rapides, hautement sensibles et spécifiques tels que l'épreuve immuno-enzymatique de compétition (ELISAc), a accéléré le diagnostic des maladies animales transfrontalières émergentes, dont la fièvre catarrhale ovine (FCO) et la peste équine, et contribué à dresser un tableau épidémiologique plus complet de ces maladies. Grâce à la mise au point d'essais basés sur l'amplification en chaîne par polymérase en temps réel couplée à une transcription inverse (RT­PCR) qui permettent de détecter et d'identifier les nombreux sérotypes du virus de la fièvre catarrhale du mouton et du virus de la peste équine, des études approfondies ont pu être conduites sur l'épidémiologie de l'infection par le virus de la fièvre catarrhale du mouton en Californie et de l'infection par le virus de la peste équine en Afrique du Sud. L'évaluation postérieure des échantillons positifs à une RT­PCR en temps réel de groupe (détectant le virus quel que soit le sérotype) au moyen de RT­PCR spécifiques de chaque sérotype permet d'identifier rapidement le sérotype causal et de limiter le recours à des méthodes classiques onéreuses et chronophages comme l'isolement viral ou les essais de neutralisation virale spécifiques de chaque sérotype. Les outils fournis par ces essais moléculaires et par les plateformes ELISAc ont renforcé les stratégies de surveillance épidémiologique et permis de mieux connaître les altérations potentielles de comportement chez les tiques Culicoides infectées par le virus de la fièvre catarrhale du mouton. Ils ont également contribué à détecter les cas d'infection asymptomatique par le virus de la peste équine chez des chevaux vaccinés en Afrique du Sud. En outre, associés avec l'analyse de séquences du génome entier, ces tests ont révélé que le mécanisme sous-jacent aux récents foyers de peste équine dans la zone de contrôle en Afrique du Sud correspondait à une réversion vers la virulence et/ou à un réassortiment du génome des souches de vaccin à virus vivant atténué. Les auteurs passent en revue l'utilisation des essais de diagnostic moléculaire de nouvelle génération dans le contexte de récentes études épidémiologiques et cherchent à établir leurs avantages par rapport aux techniques classiques d'isolement viral et de recherche sérologique.

La existencia de ensayos moleculares y serológicos de diagnóstico rápidos y de gran sensibilidad y especificidad, como el ensayo inmunoenzimático de competición (ELISAc), ha acelerado el diagnóstico de enfermedades animales transfronterizas emergentes, como la lengua azul o la peste equina, y facilitado una caracterización más exhaustiva de su epidemiología. La creación de ensayos basados en la reacción en cadena de la polimerasa acoplada a transcripción inversa (RT?PCR) en tiempo real para detectar y caracterizar los numerosos serotipos de los virus de la lengua azul y la peste equina ha ayudado a estudiar a fondo la epidemiología de sendos episodios infecciosos causados por el virus de la lengua azul en California y por el virus de la peste equina en Sudáfrica. El subsiguiente análisis de las muestras positivas a la prueba de RT?PC en tiempo real de cualquier serotipo con empleo de ensayos RT?PCR dirigidos específicamente contra uno u otro serotipo permite identificar rápidamente los serotipos víricos, lo que hace menos necesario el uso de métodos convencionales más caros y largos, como el aislamiento del virus o técnicas de neutralización vírica adaptadas específicamente a un serotipo. Estos dispositivos de ensayo molecular o de ELISAc ponen a nuestra disposición herramientas que potencian las estrategias de vigilancia epidemiológica y ayudan a conocer mejor las eventuales alteraciones del comportamiento de los jejenes Culicoides al ser infectados por el virus de la lengua azul. Estas técnicas han ayudado también a detectar en Sudáfrica casos de infección asintomática por el virus de la peste equina en caballos vacunados. Estas pruebas, además, empleadas en combinación con el análisis de secuencias genómicas completas, han servido para aclarar que el mecanismo subyacente a los recientes brotes de peste equina surgidos en la zona de Sudáfrica donde la enfermedad estaba bajo control fue fruto de la reversión a la virulencia y/o el reordenamiento genómico de virus vacunales atenuados. Los autores, centrándose en el uso de modernos ensayos moleculares de diagnóstico como parte de recientes estudios epidemiológicos, examinan las ventajas que ofrecen en comparación con las tradicionales técnicas serológicas y de aislamiento vírico.

Diagnostic applications of molecular and serological assays for bluetongue and African horse sickness.

The availability of rapid, highly sensitive and specific molecular and serologic diagnostic assays, such as competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (cELISA), has expedited the diagnosis of emerging transboundary animal diseases, including bluetongue (BT) and African horse sickness (AHS), and facilitated more thorough characterisation of their epidemiology. The development of assays based on real-time, reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) to detect and identify the numerous serotypes of BT virus (BTV) and AHS virus (AHSV) has aided in-depth studies of the epidemiology of BTV infection in California and AHSV infection in South Africa. The subsequent evaluation of pan-serotype, real-time, RT-PCR-positive samples through the use of serotype-specific RT-PCR assays allows the rapid identification of virus serotypes, reducing the need for expensive and time-consuming conventional methods, such as virus isolation and serotype-specific virus neutralisation assays. These molecular assays and cELISA platforms provide tools that have enhanced epidemiologic surveillance strategies and improved our understanding of potentially altered Culicoides midge behaviour when infected with BTV. They have also supported the detection of subclinical AHSV infection of vaccinated horses in South Africa. Moreover, in conjunction with whole genome sequence analysis, these tests have clarified that the mechanism behind recent outbreaks of AHS in the AHS-controlled area of South Africa was the result of the reversion to virulence and/or genome reassortment of live attenuated vaccine viruses. This review focuses on the use of contemporary molecular diagnostic assays in the context of recent epidemiologic studies and explores their advantages over historic virus isolation and serologic techniques.

La disponibilité d'essais diagnostiques moléculaires et sérologiques rapides, hautement sensibles et spécifiques tels que l'épreuve immuno-enzymatique de compétition (ELISAc), a accéléré le diagnostic des maladies animales transfrontalières émergentes, dont la fièvre catarrhale ovine (FCO) et la peste équine, et contribué à dresser un tableau épidémiologique plus complet de ces maladies. Grâce à la mise au point d'essais basés sur l'amplification en chaîne par polymérase en temps réel couplée à une transcription inverse (RT­PCR) qui permettent de détecter et d'identifier les nombreux sérotypes du virus de la fièvre catarrhale du mouton et du virus de la peste équine, des études approfondies ont pu être conduites sur l'épidémiologie de l'infection par le virus de la fièvre catarrhale du mouton en Californie et de l'infection par le virus de la peste équine en Afrique du Sud. L'évaluation postérieure des échantillons positifs à une RT­PCR en temps réel de groupe (détectant le virus quel que soit le sérotype) au moyen de RT­PCR spécifiques de chaque sérotype permet d'identifier rapidement le sérotype causal et de limiter le recours à des méthodes classiques onéreuses et chronophages comme l'isolement viral ou les essais de neutralisation virale spécifiques de chaque sérotype. Les outils fournis par ces essais moléculaires et par les plateformes ELISAc ont renforcé les stratégies de surveillance épidémiologique et permis de mieux connaître les altérations potentielles de comportement chez les tiques Culicoides infectées par le virus de la fièvre catarrhale du mouton. Ils ont également contribué à détecter les cas d'infection asymptomatique par le virus de la peste équine chez des chevaux vaccinés en Afrique du Sud. En outre, associés avec l'analyse de séquences du génome entier, ces tests ont révélé que le mécanisme sous-jacent aux récents foyers de peste équine dans la zone de contrôle en Afrique du Sud correspondait à une réversion vers la virulence et/ou à un réassortiment du génome des souches de vaccin à virus vivant atténué. Les auteurs passent en revue l'utilisation des essais de diagnostic moléculaire de nouvelle génération dans le contexte de récentes études épidémiologiques et cherchent à établir leurs avantages par rapport aux techniques classiques d'isolement viral et de recherche sérologique.

La existencia de ensayos moleculares y serológicos de diagnóstico rápidos y de gran sensibilidad y especificidad, como el ensayo inmunoenzimático de competición (ELISAc), ha acelerado el diagnóstico de enfermedades animales transfronterizas emergentes, como la lengua azul o la peste equina, y facilitado una caracterización más exhaustiva de su epidemiología. La creación de ensayos basados en la reacción en cadena de la polimerasa acoplada a transcripción inversa (RT?PCR) en tiempo real para detectar y caracterizar los numerosos serotipos de los virus de la lengua azul y la peste equina ha ayudado a estudiar a fondo la epidemiología de sendos episodios infecciosos causados por el virus de la lengua azul en California y por el virus de la peste equina en Sudáfrica. El subsiguiente análisis de las muestras positivas a la prueba de RT?PC en tiempo real de cualquier serotipo con empleo de ensayos RT?PCR dirigidos específicamente contra uno u otro serotipo permite identificar rápidamente los serotipos víricos, lo que hace menos necesario el uso de métodos convencionales más caros y largos, como el aislamiento del virus o técnicas de neutralización vírica adaptadas específicamente a un serotipo. Estos dispositivos de ensayo molecular o de ELISAc ponen a nuestra disposición herramientas que potencian las estrategias de vigilancia epidemiológica y ayudan a conocer mejor las eventuales alteraciones del comportamiento de los jejenes Culicoides al ser infectados por el virus de la lengua azul. Estas técnicas han ayudado también a detectar en Sudáfrica casos de infección asintomática por el virus de la peste equina en caballos vacunados. Estas pruebas, además, empleadas en combinación con el análisis de secuencias genómicas completas, han servido para aclarar que el mecanismo subyacente a los recientes brotes de peste equina surgidos en la zona de Sudáfrica donde la enfermedad estaba bajo control fue fruto de la reversión a la virulencia y/o el reordenamiento genómico de virus vacunales atenuados. Los autores, centrándose en el uso de modernos ensayos moleculares de diagnóstico como parte de recientes estudios epidemiológicos, examinan las ventajas que ofrecen en comparación con las tradicionales técnicas serológicas y de aislamiento vírico.

Sero-surveillance of emerging viral diseases in camels and cattle in Nouakchott, Mauritania: an abattoir study.

This study reports the monitoring of several emerging viral pathogens in Mauritania, which was carried out by the analysis of bovine and camel samples taken at the slaughterhouse of Nouakchott. Blood and serum were collected by random sampling from 159 camels and 118 cattle in March 2013 at the large animals abattoir in Nouakchott. Serological tests for Rift Valley Fever (RVF), Peste des Petits Ruminants (PPR), West Nile disease (WND), epizootic haemorrhagic disease (EHD) and African horse sickness (AHS) were carried out using commercial ELISA kits. The samples, which resulted positives for PPR, WND and AHS, were tested with the confirmatory virus neutralization test (VNT). According to ELISA results, serological prevalence of RVF was 45% (95% CI 52.3-37.7) in camels and 16% (95% CI 22.6-9.4) in cattle. The difference between the observed prevalences in camels and in cattle was significant (p value ≤ 0.01). PPR was absent in camels and had 12% prevalence (95% CI, 17.86-6.14) in cattle. Furthermore, camels showed 92% (95% CI, 96.1-87.9) prevalence of WNV, 73% (95% CI, 82.3-63.64) of EHD and 3% (95% CI, 5.6-0.4) of AHS. This data are of relevance since provided useful feedbacks on the circulation of the pathogens in field. Moreover, this survey provided new information on the susceptibility of camels to several emerging pathogens and on the possible use of this species as sentinel animal.

Sero-epidemioloical survey on African horse sickness virus among horses in Khartoum State, Central Sudan.

BACKGROUND: African horse sickness virus (AHSV) is an infectious non contagious insect-transmitted double-stranded (ds) RNA orbivirus of the family Reoviridae. AHSV causes an often fatal hemorrhagic infection with high mortality among selected breeds of Arabian horses. This study was conducted to avail some information with regard to the prevalence and associated risk factors of AHSV among ecotype breeds of horses in central Sudan. METHODS: Sera were collected from 320 horses, which were selected randomly from four localities and employed in the study. A competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (cELISA) was used to screen sampled sera for AHSV-specific immunoglobulin G (Ig G) antibodies. RESULTS: Seropositivity to AHSV Ig G was detected in 275 out of the 320 horse sera, thus accounting for a prevalence rate of 85.9%. Potential risk factors to AHSV infection were reported to be associated with horse breed (OR = 5.0, CI = 0.07-2.104, p-value = 0.039) and activity of the horse (OR = 3.21, CI = 0.72-1.48, p- value = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of AHSV in Khartoum State of Central Sudan necessitates the need for continuous surveillance for AHSV infection to prevent a possible disease outbreak in this region of the African continent.

Molecular and serological surveillance of African horse sickness virus in eastern and central Saudi Arabia.

African horse sickness virus (AHSV) is one of the most devastating viral diseases of the family Equidae. Infection with AHSV threatens not only the Saudi equine industry but also the equine industry worldwide. This is due to the high morbidity and mortality rates among the infected population of up to 100%. The World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE) lists AHSV among its notifiable diseases; this requires Member Countries to monitor the situation with regard to AHSV very carefully in order to avoid the spread of the virus. The OIE also suggests the systematic monitoring of AHSV in the equine population at regular intervals. The main aim of the current study is to perform molecular and serological surveillance on different horse populations in eastern and central regions of Saudi Arabia. To achieve this aim, the authors collected 361 serum samples, 103 whole blood samples and 323 swabs from Al-Hasa, Dammam, Al-Jubail, Al-Qateef, Riyadh and Al-Qassim. Commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kits were used to detect AHSV antibodies and commercial real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) kits were used to detect AHSV nucleic acids in blood and swabs. The results of this study demonstrate the absence of anti-AHSV antibodies in the sera of tested animals. Furthermore, no viral nucleic acids were detected in the collected blood and swab samples, as evaluated by real-time AHSV-RT-PCR. Moreover, all tested samples collected during 2014-2016 were negative for AHSV. This confirms that the horse populations studied in the eastern and central regions of Saudi Arabia during 2014-2016 were AHSV free.

Le virus de la peste équine est responsable d'une des maladies virales les plus dévastatrices affectant les membres de la famille des Equidae. Les infections par le virus de la peste équine sont une menace pour le secteur équin saoudien et plus largement pour celui du monde entier. La gravité de cette menace est due aux taux de morbidité et de mortalité extrêmement élevés dans les populations atteintes, pouvant atteindre 100 %. L'infection par le virus de la peste équine fait partie des maladies à déclaration obligatoire de l'Organisation mondiale de la santé animale (OIE) ; de ce fait, les Pays membres doivent suivre la situation sanitaire de leur cheptel au regard du virus de la peste équine afin d'éviter sa propagation. L'OIE recommande également de réaliser un dépistage systématique et régulier du virus de la peste équine dans la population équine. Les auteurs présentent les résultats d'une étude basée sur la surveillance moléculaire et sérologique de plusieurs populations de chevaux dans les régions orientale et centrale de l'Arabie saoudite. Pour les besoins de cette étude, les auteurs ont prélevé 323 échantillons de sérum, 103 échantillons de sang entier et 323 écouvillons de chevaux provenant des localités d'Al-Hasa, Dammam, Al-Jubail, Al-Qatif, Riyad et Al-Qasim. Une épreuve immuno-enzymatique (ELISA) sous forme de kits du commerce a été utilisée pour détecter la présence d'anticorps dirigés contre le virus de la peste équine ; la présence dans le sang et les écouvillons d'acides nucléiques spécifiques du virus de la peste équine a été détectée au moyen d'une amplification en chaîne par polymérase couplée à une transcription inverse (RT­PCR) du commerce. Les résultats de cette étude ont montré l'absence d'anticorps dirigés contre le virus de la peste équine dans le sérum des animaux testés. De même, la RT­PCR en temps réel n'a pas détecté d'acides nucléiques spécifiques du virus de la peste équine dans les prélèvements de sang ni les écouvillons analysés. En outre, tous les échantillons collectés entre 2014 et 2016 et soumis à un test ont donné des résultats négatifs pour le virus de la peste équine. Ces résultats confirment que les populations de chevaux étudiées entre 2014 et 2016 dans les régions orientale et centrale de l'Arabie saoudite étaient indemnes de peste équine.

El virus de la peste equina provoca una de las enfermedades víricas más devastadoras que afectan a la familia de los équidos. La infección por este virus amenaza al sector equino no solo de Arabia Saudí, sino del mundo entero, dado que en las poblaciones infectadas las tasas de morbilidad y mortalidad pueden llegar al 100%. La Organización Mundial de Sanidad Animal (OIE) tiene incluida esta infección en su lista de enfermedades de declaración obligatoria, lo que obliga a sus Países Miembros a seguir muy de cerca la situación sanitaria al respecto para evitar que el virus se disemine. La OIE también sugiere hacer periódicamente controles sistemáticos de la presencia del virus en la población equina. Los autores describen un estudio encaminado básicamente a realizar operaciones de vigilancia molecular y serológica de diferentes poblaciones de caballos de las regiones oriental y central de Arabia Saudí. Para ello, los autores obtuvieron 361 muestras de suero, 103 muestras de sangre entera y 323 hisopados en las áreas de Al Hasa, Dammam, Jubail, Qatif, Riad y Casim. Para detectar anticuerpos contra el virus de la peste equina utilizaron un estuche comercial de ensayo inmunoenzimático (ELISA) y para detectar la presencia de ácidos nucleicos del virus en muestras sanguíneas e hisopados un estuche comercial de reacción en cadena de la polimerasa con retrotranscriptasa (RT­PCR) en tiempo real. Los resultados del estudio demuestran la ausencia de anticuerpos contra el virus en el suero de los animales analizados. La técnica de RT­PCR en tiempo real tampoco deparó indicio alguno de la presencia de ácido nucleico vírico en las muestras de sangre e hisopados. Además, todas las muestras analizadas obtenidas entre 2014 y 2016 resultaron negativas para el virus, lo que confirma que las poblaciones equinas estudiadas durante ese periodo en las regiones central y oriental de Arabia Saudí estaban libres del virus de la peste equina.

African Horse Sickness Caused by Genome Reassortment and Reversion to Virulence of Live, Attenuated Vaccine Viruses, South Africa, 2004-2014.

African horse sickness (AHS) is a hemorrhagic viral fever of horses. It is the only equine disease for which the World Organization for Animal Health has introduced specific guidelines for member countries seeking official recognition of disease-free status. Since 1997, South Africa has maintained an AHS controlled area; however, sporadic outbreaks of AHS have occurred in this area. We compared the whole genome sequences of 39 AHS viruses (AHSVs) from field AHS cases to determine the source of 3 such outbreaks. Our analysis confirmed that individual outbreaks were caused by virulent revertants of AHSV type 1 live, attenuated vaccine (LAV) and reassortants with genome segments derived from AHSV types 1, 3, and 4 from a LAV used in South Africa. These findings show that despite effective protection of vaccinated horses, polyvalent LAV may, paradoxically, place susceptible horses at risk for AHS.

Outdoor and indoor monitoring of livestock-associated Culicoides spp. to assess vector-free periods and disease risks.

BACKGROUND: Within the last few decades Culicoides spp. (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae) emerged Europe-wide as a major vector for epizootic viral diseases e.g. caused by Bluetongue (BT) or Schmallenberg virus. In accordance with the EU regulation 1266/2007, veterinary authorities are requested to determine vector-free periods for loosing trade and movement restrictions of susceptible livestock. Additionally, the widely used basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is optionally applied for risk assessment of vector-borne diseases. Values of R0 < 1 indicate periods with no disease transmission risk. For the determination of vector-free period and R0 a continuously operating daily Culicoides spp. monitoring in Vienna (Austria) was established. It covered the period 2009-2013 and depicts the seasonal vector abundance indoor and outdoor. Future BT and African horse sickness (AHS) outbreak risks were estimated by projecting R0 to climate change scenarios. Therefore, temperature-dependent vector parameters were applied. RESULTS: The vector-free period lasted about 100 days inside stables, while less than five Culicoides were trapped outdoors on 150 days per season, i.e. winter half year. Additionally, the potential outbreak risk was assessed for BT and AHS. For BT, a basic reproduction number of R0 > 1 was found each year between June and August. The periods without transmission risk, i.e. R0 < 1, were notably higher (200 days). Contrary, values of R0 < 1 were estimated for AHS during the whole period. Finally, the basic reproduction numbers were projected to the future by using temperature forecasts for the period 2014-2100. While the mean summer peak values for BT increase from of R0 = 2.3 to R0 = 3.4 until 2100 (1.1/100 years), no risk for AHS was estimated even under climate warming assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: Restrictions to trade and movement are always associated with an economic impact during epidemic diseases. To minimize these impacts, risk assessments based on the vector-free period or the basic reproduction number R0 can essentially support veterinary authorities to improve protection and control measurements.

A spatiotemporal model to assess the introduction risk of African horse sickness by import of animals and vectors in France.

BACKGROUND: African horse sickness (AHS) is a major, Culicoides-borne viral disease in equines whose introduction into Europe could have dramatic consequences. The disease is considered to be endemic in sub-Saharan Africa. Recent introductions of other Culicoides-borne viruses (bluetongue and Schmallenberg) into northern Europe have highlighted the risk that AHS may arrive in Europe as well. The aim of our study was to provide a spatiotemporal quantitative risk model of AHS introduction into France. The study focused on two pathways of introduction: the arrival of an infectious host (PW-host) and the arrival of an infectious Culicoides midge via the livestock trade (PW-vector). The risk of introduction was calculated by determining the probability of an infectious animal or vector entering the country and the probability of the virus then becoming established: i.e., the virus's arrival in France resulting in at least one local equine host being infected by one local vector. This risk was assessed using data from three consecutive years (2010 to 2012) for 22 regions in France. RESULTS: The results of the model indicate that the annual risk of AHS being introduced to France is very low but that major spatiotemporal differences exist. For both introduction pathways, risk is higher from July to October and peaks in July. In general, regions with warmer climates are more at risk, as are colder regions with larger equine populations; however, regional variation in animal importation patterns (number and species) also play a major role in determining risk. Despite the low probability that AHSV is present in the EU, intra-EU trade of equines contributes most to the risk of AHSV introduction to France because it involves a large number of horse movements. CONCLUSION: It is important to address spatiotemporal differences when assessing the risk of ASH introduction and thus also when implementing efficient surveillance efforts. The methods and results of this study may help develop surveillance techniques and other risk reduction measures that will prevent the introduction of AHS or minimize AHS' potential impact once introduced, both in France and the rest of Europe.

African horse sickness.

African horse sickness (AHS) is a devastating disease of equids caused by an arthropod-borne virus belonging to the Reoviridae family, genus Orbivirus. It is considered a major health threat for horses in endemic areas in sub-Saharan Africa. African horse sickness virus (AHSV) repeatedly caused large epizootics in the Mediterranean region (North Africa and southern Europe in particular) as a result of trade in infected equids. The unexpected emergence of a closely related virus, the bluetongue virus, in northern Europe in 2006 has raised fears about AHSV introduction into Europe, and more specifically into AHSV-free regions that have reported the presence of AHSV vectors, e.g. Culicoides midges. North African and European countries should be prepared to face AHSV incursions in the future, especially since two AHSV serotypes (serotypes 2 and 7) have recently spread northwards to western (e.g. Senegal, Nigeria, Gambia) and eastern Africa (Ethiopia), where historically only serotype 9 had been isolated. The authors review key elements of AHS epidemiology, surveillance and prophylaxis.

Development and Validation of Three Triplex Real-Time RT-PCR Assays for Typing African Horse Sickness Virus: Utility for Disease Control and Other Laboratory Applications.

The African horse sickness virus (AHSV) belongs to the Genus Orbivirus, family Sedoreoviridae, and nine serotypes of the virus have been described to date. The AHSV genome is composed of ten linear segments of double-stranded (ds) RNA, numbered in decreasing size order (Seg-1 to Seg-10). Genome segment 2 (Seg-2) encodes outer-capsid protein VP2, the most variable AHSV protein and the primary target for neutralizing antibodies. Consequently, Seg-2 determines the identity of the virus serotype. An African horse sickness (AHS) outbreak in an AHS-free status country requires identifying the serotype as soon as possible to implement a serotype-specific vaccination program. Considering that nowadays 'polyvalent live attenuated' is the only commercially available vaccination strategy to control the disease, field and vaccine strains of different serotypes could co-circulate. Additionally, in AHS-endemic countries, more than one serotype is often circulating at the same time. Therefore, a strategy to rapidly determine the virus serotype in an AHS-positive sample is strongly recommended in both epidemiological situations. The main objective of this study is to describe the development and validation of three triplex real-time RT-PCR (rRT-PCR) methods for rapid AHSV serotype detection. Samples from recent AHS outbreaks in Kenia (2015-2017), Thailand (2020), and Nigeria (2023), and from the AHS outbreak in Spain (1987-1990), were included in the study for the validation of these methods.

Using probability boxes to model elicited information: a case study.

Governments are responsible for making policy decisions, often in the face of severe uncertainty about the factors involved. Expert elicitation can be used to fill information gaps where data are not available, cannot be obtained, or where there is no time for a full-scale study and analysis. Various features of distributions for variables may be elicited, for example, the mean, standard deviation, and quantiles, but uncertainty about these values is not always recorded. Distributional and dependence assumptions often have to be made in models and although these are sometimes elicited from experts, modelers may also make assumptions for mathematical convenience (e.g., assuming independence between variables). Probability boxes (p-boxes) provide a flexible methodology to analyze elicited quantities without having to make assumptions about the distribution shape. If information about distribution shape(s) is available, p-boxes can provide bounds around the results given these possible input distributions. P-boxes can also be used to combine variables without making dependence assumptions. This article aims to illustrate how p-boxes may help to improve the representation of uncertainty for analyses based on elicited information. We focus on modeling elicited quantiles with nonparametric p-boxes, modeling elicited quantiles with parametric p-boxes where the elicited quantiles do not match the elicited distribution shape, and modeling elicited interval information.

Knowledge base and effectiveness of online continuing education about foreign animal diseases for equine veterinarians.

The purpose of this study was to assess the effectiveness of two different methods of online education using the knowledge base of African horse sickness (AHS) among US equine veterinarians as a model. An e-mail was sent to US veterinary members of the American Association of Equine Practitioners (AAEP), inviting them to participate in a complementary online educational opportunity. We determined participants' baseline knowledge of AHS by their responses in an AHS case scenario. Participants were then randomly assigned to either a Webinar module or a text-formatted module, followed by an educational assessment quiz. Educational effectiveness was measured by considering the difference between the educational assessment quiz score and the baseline knowledge score. Of the 5,394 members from the AAEP list, 309 veterinarians agreed to participate, but only 211 completed the entire study. The median baseline knowledge score from the case scenario was 20 out of a perfect score of 100 points. The median assessment quiz score after the participants had access to the AHS educational material was 90, which was significantly higher than the baseline knowledge score (p=.01). Educational effectiveness in the module formats showed no significant difference (p=.81). Results from this study suggest that online education modules, once accessed, may improve participants' knowledge of veterinary diseases.

Culicoides-borne Orbivirus epidemiology in a changing climate.

Orbiviruses are of significant importance to the health of wildlife and domestic animals worldwide; the major orbiviruses transmitted by multiple biting midge (Culicoides) species include bluetongue virus, epizootic hemorrhagic disease virus, and African horse sickness virus. The viruses, insect vectors, and hosts are anticipated to be impacted by global climate change, altering established Orbivirus epidemiology. Changes in global climate have the potential to alter the vector competence and extrinsic incubation period of certain biting midge species, affect local and long-distance dispersal dynamics, lead to range expansion in the geographic distribution of vector species, and increase transmission period duration (earlier spring onset and later fall transmission). If transmission intensity is associated with weather anomalies such as droughts and wind speeds, there may be changes in the number of outbreaks and periods between outbreaks for some regions. Warmer temperatures and changing climates may impact the viral genome by facilitating reassortment and through the emergence of novel viral mutations. As the climate changes, Orbivirus epidemiology will be inextricably altered as has been seen with recent outbreaks of bluetongue, epizootic hemorrhagic disease, and African horse sickness outside of endemic areas, and requires interdisciplinary teams and approaches to assess and mitigate future outbreak threats.

Influence of full-time housing in vector-protected facilities on equine cortisol levels, heart rate, and behavior during the African horse sickness outbreak in Thailand.

Horses were provided full-time housing in unfamiliar vector-protected facilities during the African horse sickness (AHS) outbreak in Thailand. This study aimed to investigate the impact of this housing arrangement on the equine stress response. Nine healthy horses were housed in both a traditional barn and a vector-protected barn. Equine behavior and stress response data were collected in association with the housing environment and time of day. The mean behavioral score of horses housed in the vector-protected barn was lower at night than during the day. In addition, the horses' mean heart rate at night was lower than their heart rate during the day, irrespective of housing condition. Furthermore, although blood cortisol peaked at 6:00 AM and was lowest at 6:00 PM under both housing conditions, daily fluctuations in blood cortisol levels were correlated with changes in humidity and temperature in both environments. Finally, horses housed in the traditional barn exhibited earlier decreases in cortisol levels relative to the horses in the vector-protected barn. This result indicates that housing horses in vector-protected facilities may impose stress.

The seroprevalence of African horse sickness virus, and risk factors to exposure, in domestic dogs in Tshwane, South Africa.

Dogs are the only non-equid species to develop the fatal form of African horse sickness (AHS). Research conducted in 2013 questioned the long-held belief that naturally occurring cases of AHS in dogs were contracted exclusively through the ingestion of contaminated horse meat. Culicoides midges, the vector of AHS virus (AHSV) for horses, have an aversion to dog blood meals and dogs were believed to be dead-end or incidental hosts. More recently, dog mortalities have occurred in the absence of horse meat consumption and vector transmission has been suspected. The current study is a retrospective serological survey of AHSV exposure in dogs from an endemic area. Dog sera collected from dogs (n = 366) living in the city of Tshwane, Gauteng Province, South Africa, were randomly selected from a biobank at a veterinary teaching hospital, corresponding to the years 2014-2019. The study used a laboratory in-house indirect recombinant VP7 antigen-based enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (iELISA) with a test cut-off calculated from AHSV exposure-free dog sera (n = 32). Study AHSV seroprevalence was 6 % (22/366) with an estimated true prevalence of 4.1 % (95 % confidence interval (CI) = 1.3-8.1 %). Incidence was estimated for dogs with multiple serological results with seroconversion occurring at a rate of 2.3 seroconversions per 10 dog years at risk (95 % CI = 0.6-6.2). A subsection of the study sera was tested with AHSV viral neutralisation test (VN) (n = 42) for serotype determination. Antibodies to AHSV serotype 6 were most prevalent (90 %) in VN seropositive dogs (n = 20) with most dogs seemingly subclinically infected (>95 %). Seroprevalence descriptively varied by year and identified risk factors were annual rainfall > 754 mm (odds ratio (OR) = 5.76; 95 % CI = 2.22 - 14.95; p < 0.001), medium human population densities, 783-1663 people/km2 (OR = 7.14; 95 % CI = 1.39 - 36.73; p = 0.019) and 1664-2029 people/km2 (OR = 6.74; 95 % CI = 1.40 - 32.56; p = 0.018), and the month of March (OR = 5.12; 95 % CI = 1.41 - 18.61; p = 0.013). All identified risk factors were consistent with midge-borne transmission to dogs. The relatively high seroprevalence and seroconversion rates suggest frequent exposure of dogs to AHSV and indicates the need to investigate the role dogs might play in the overall epidemiology and transmission of AHSV.