Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is associated with increased all-cause mortality in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recently, international experts proposed redefining non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), based on modified criteria. It is suspected that outcomes such as mortality may differ for these clinical entities. We studied the impact of MAFLD and NAFLD on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in US adults. METHODS: We analyzed data from 7,761 participants in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and their linked mortality through 2015. NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonographic evidence of hepatic steatosis without other known liver diseases. MAFLD was defined based on the criteria proposed by an international expert panel. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to study all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality between MAFLD and NAFLD, with adjustments for known risk factors. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 23 years, individuals with MAFLD had a 17% higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17; 95% CI 1.04-1.32). Furthermore, MAFLD was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality. NAFLD per se did not increase the risk of all-cause mortality. Individuals who met both definitions had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.00-1.26), while individuals who met the definition for MAFLD but not NAFLD had a 1.7-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.19-2.32). Estimates for all-cause mortality were higher for those with advanced fibrosis and MAFLD than for those with advanced fibrosis and NAFLD. CONCLUSIONS: In this US population-based study, MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, while NAFLD demonstrated no association with all-cause mortality after adjusting for metabolic risk factors. LAY SUMMARY: Our findings provide further support for the idea that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a part of a broader multi-system disease that also includes obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, and high cholesterol. Therefore, re-defining NAFLD as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) may help improve our understanding of predictors that increase the risk of death.

The Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Comorbidity Index predicts survival after allogeneic transplant for nonmalignant diseases.

Despite improvements, mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) for nonmalignant diseases remains a significant problem. We evaluated whether pre-HCT conditions defined by the HCT Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) predict probability of posttransplant survival. Using the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research database, we identified 4083 patients with nonmalignant diseases transplanted between 2007 and 2014. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS) using the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by multivariable Cox regression models. Increasing HCT-CI scores translated to decreased 2-year OS of 82.7%, 80.3%, 74%, and 55.8% for patients with HCT-CI scores of 0, 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and ≥5, respectively, regardless of conditioning intensity. HCT-CI scores of 1 to 2 did not differ relative to scores of 0 (HR, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.93-1.34]), but HCT-CI of 3 to 4 and ≥5 posed significantly greater risks of mortality (HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.09-1.63]; and HR, 2.31 [95% CI, 1.79-2.96], respectively). The effect of HCT-CI differed by disease indication. Patients with acquired aplastic anemia, primary immune deficiencies, and congenital bone marrow failure syndromes with scores ≥3 had increased risk of death after HCT. However, higher HCT-CI scores among hemoglobinopathy patients did not increase mortality risk. In conclusion, this is the largest study to date reporting on patients with nonmalignant diseases demonstrating HCT-CI scores ≥3 that had inferior survival after HCT, except for patients with hemoglobinopathies. Our findings suggest that using the HCT-CI score, in addition to disease-specific factors, could be useful when developing treatment plans for nonmalignant diseases.

Efficacy and safety of direct-acting oral anticoagulants compared to vitamin K antagonists in COVID-19 outpatients with cardiometabolic diseases.

BACKGROUND: It remains uncertain if prior use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in COVID-19 outpatients with multimorbidity impacts prognosis, especially if cardiometabolic diseases are present. Clinical outcomes 30-days after COVID-19 diagnosis were compared between outpatients with cardiometabolic disease receiving vitamin K antagonist (VKA) or direct-acting OAC (DOAC) therapy at time of COVID-19 diagnosis. METHODS: A study was conducted using TriNetX, a global federated health research network. Adult outpatients with cardiometabolic disease (i.e. diabetes mellitus and any disease of the circulatory system) treated with VKAs or DOACs at time of COVID-19 diagnosis between 20-Jan-2020 and 15-Feb-2021 were included. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance cohorts receiving VKAs and DOACs. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission/mechanical ventilation (MV) necessity, intracranial haemorrhage (ICH)/gastrointestinal bleeding, and the composite of any arterial or venous thrombotic event(s) at 30-days after COVID-19 diagnosis. RESULTS: 2275 patients were included. After PSM, 1270 patients remained in the study (635 on VKAs; 635 on DOACs). VKA-treated patients had similar risks and 30-day event-free survival than patients on DOACs regarding all-cause mortality, ICU admission/MV necessity, and ICH/gastrointestinal bleeding. The risk of any arterial or venous thrombotic event was 43% higher in the VKA cohort (hazard ratio 1.43, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.98; Log-Rank test p = 0.029). CONCLUSION: In COVID-19 outpatients with cardiometabolic diseases, prior use of DOAC therapy compared to VKA therapy at the time of COVID-19 diagnosis demonstrated lower risk of arterial or venous thrombotic outcomes, without increasing the risk of bleeding.

Ten-year risk of fatal cardiovascular disease and its association with metabolic risk factors among waste pickers in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death among non-communicable diseases in South Africa. Several metabolic risk factors contribute to the development of CVD. Informal workers such as waste pickers could be unhealthy lifestyle naive, and most public health research on CVD does not include this understudied population. This study estimated the 10-year risk of fatal CVD and its association with metabolic risk factors in an understudied study population of waste pickers in Johannesburg, South Africa. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among waste pickers in two landfill sites in Johannesburg. We used the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) risk charts to estimate the 10-year risk of fatal CVD. We then employed ordinary least squares regression to assess the association between the 10-year risk of fatal CVD with metabolic risk factors. Other variables adjusted in the regression model were HIV status, education, income, injuries from work, clinic visits in the previous 12 months, and alcohol consumption. RESULTS: A total of 370 waste pickers were included in this analysis, 265 (73.41%) were males. The mean age of the participants was 34 years. The majority were between the age of 20 and 39 years. More than 55% of the waste pickers did not visit a clinic in the previous 12 months, and 68.57% were smoking. The 10-year survival probability from CVD was more than 99% for both males and females. In the multivariable regression model, elevated blood glucose showed a non-significant increase in the mean percentage of 10-year risk of fatal CVD. Waste pickers who were overweight/obese, and hypertensive had high statistically significant mean percentages of the 10-year risk of fatal CVD compared to those who did not have the metabolic risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Prevention of 10-year risk of fatal CVD in this understudied population of waste pickers should target the control of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes. Health awareness and education for waste pickers will be an important step in reducing the burden of these metabolic risk factors. We further recommend that health systems should recognize waste pickers as a high-risk group and consider extensive CVDs surveillance.

Fatty liver, cardiometabolic disease and mortality.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We discuss the findings of the most recent metanalyses on the association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), cardiometabolic disease and mortality. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent metanalyses have shown that NAFLD is associated with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, which can be diagnosed by liver biopsy only in tertiary care centers, is often associated with liver fibrosis, which has been shown by metanalyses to increase both cardiovascular and liver-related mortality. Hyperlipidemia, lipotoxicity and impaired insulin secretion are among the possible mechanisms underlying the association of NAFLD with T2DM and CVD. Metanalyses of the association between NAFLD and mortality in the general population, where risk stratification cannot be performed on the basis of liver biopsy, have given contradictory results. SUMMARY: To establish conclusively whether NAFLD adds to known prognostic factors of death in the general population will require a shared operational definition of NAFLD, purposefully designed cohort studies, and the use of clinically relevant measures of effect size.

Role of gut microbiota in sex- and diet-dependent metabolic disorders that lead to early mortality of androgen receptor-deficient male mice.

The gut microbiota is involved in metabolic disorders induced by androgen deficiency after sexual maturation in males (late-onset hypogonadism). However, its role in the energy metabolism of congenital androgen deficiency (e.g., androgen-insensitive syndrome) remains elusive. Here, we examined the link between the gut microbiota and metabolic disease symptoms in androgen receptor knockout (ARKO) mouse by administering high-fat diet (HFD) and/or antibiotics. HFD-fed male, but not standard diet-fed male or HFD-fed female, ARKO mice exhibited increased feed efficiency, obesity with increased visceral adipocyte mass and hypertrophy, hepatic steatosis, glucose intolerance, insulin resistance, and loss of thigh muscle. In contrast, subcutaneous fat mass accumulated in ARKO mice irrespective of the diet and sex. Notably, all HFD-dependent metabolic disorders observed in ARKO males were abolished after antibiotics administration. The ratios of fecal weight-to-food weight and cecum weight-to-body weight were specifically reduced by ARKO in HFD-fed males. 16S rRNA sequencing of fecal microbiota from HFD-fed male mice revealed differences in microbiota composition between control and ARKO mice. Several genera or species (e.g., Turicibacter and Lactobacillus reuteri, respectively) were enriched in ARKO mice, and antibiotics treatment spoiled the changes. Furthermore, the life span of HFD-fed ARKO males was shorter than that of control mice, indicating that androgen deficiency causes metabolic dysfunctions leading to early death. These findings also suggest that AR signaling plays a role in the prevention of metabolic dysfunctions, presumably by influencing the gut microbiome, and improve our understanding of health consequences in subjects with hypogonadism and androgen insensitivity.

Risks of cause-specific mortality in offspring of pregnancies complicated by hypertensive disease of pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: Fetal environment has a substantial influence on an individual's health throughout their life course. Animal models of hypertensive disease of pregnancy have demonstrated adverse health outcomes among offspring exposed to hypertensive disease of pregnancy in utero. Although there are numerous descriptions of the neonatal, infant, and pediatric outcomes of human offspring affected by hypertensive disease of pregnancy, there are few data in US populations on later life outcomes, including mortality. OBJECTIVE: To assess risk for early mortality among offspring of pregnancies complicated by hypertensive disease of pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study of offspring born to women with singleton or twin pregnancies between 1947 and 1967 with birth certificate information in the Utah Population Database. We identified offspring from delivery diagnoses of gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, or eclampsia. Offspring from these pregnancies (exposed) were matched to offspring of pregnancies without hypertensive disease of pregnancy (unexposed) by maternal age at delivery, birth year, sex, and multiple gestation. We also identified unexposed siblings of exposed offspring for a separate sibling analysis. Mortality follow-up of all offspring continued through 2016, at which time they would have been 49-69 years old. Adjusted hazard ratios for cause-specific mortality comparing exposed with unexposed offspring were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We compared mortality risks for 4050 exposed offspring and 6989 matched unexposed offspring from the general population and 7496 unexposed siblings. Mortality risks due to metabolic, respiratory, digestive, nervous, and external causes of death did not differ between exposed and unexposed groups. Mortality risks from cardiovascular disease were greater in exposed offspring compared with unexposed offspring (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-2.12). In sex-specific models among the general population, cardiovascular disease mortality was significantly associated with exposure among male patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.92; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.88) but not among female patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.94). An interaction between hypertensive disease of pregnancy exposure and birth order on cardiovascular disease mortality was significant (P=.047), suggesting that the effect of hypertensive disease of pregnancy on cardiovascular disease mortality increased with higher birth order. Among siblings, the association between hypertensive disease of pregnancy exposure and cardiovascular disease mortality was not significant (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.39; 95% confidence interval, 0.99-1.95), and this was also true for sex-specific analyses of males (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.94) and females (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-3.04). As in the general population, there was a significant interaction between hypertensive disease of pregnancy exposure and birth order on cardiovascular disease mortality (P=.011). CONCLUSION: In a US population, overall mortality risks are greater for offspring of pregnancies complicated by hypertensive disease of pregnancy compared with unexposed offspring. Among siblings, there was not a significant association between hypertensive disease of pregnancy exposure and cardiovascular disease mortality.

Comparison of the beta-hydroxybutyrate, glucose, and lactate concentrations derived from postmortem proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy and biochemical analysis for the diagnosis of fatal metabolic disorders.

PURPOSE: The detection and quantification of metabolites relevant for the diagnosis of fatal metabolic disorders by proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy (1H-MRS) was recently demonstrated. This prospective study aimed to compare the concentrations of beta-hydroxybutyrate (BHB), glucose (GLC), and lactate (LAC) derived from both biochemical analyses and 1H-MRS for the diagnosis of fatal metabolic disorders. METHODS: In total, 20 cases with suspected fatal metabolic disorders were included in the study. For the agreement based on thresholds, the concentrations of BHB and GLC in the vitreous humor (VH) from the right vitreous and in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) from the right lateral ventricle were derived from 1H-MRS and biochemical analyses. The predefined thresholds for pathological elevations were 2.5 mmol/l for BHB and 10 mmol/l for GLC based on the literature. In addition, concentrations of the same metabolites in white matter (WM) tissue from the corona radiata of the right hemisphere were analyzed experimentally using both methods. To enable the biochemical analysis, a dialysate of WM tissue was produced. For all three regions, the LAC concentration was determined by both methods. RESULTS: The conclusive agreement based on thresholds was almost perfect between both methods with only one disagreement in a total of 70 comparisons due to the interference of a ferromagnetic dental brace. The differences in the concentrations between both methods showed high standard deviations. Confidence intervals of the bias not including 0 were found in CSF-GLC (- 3.1 mmol/l), WM-GLC (1.1 mmol/l), and WM-LAC (- 6.5 mmol/l). CONCLUSION: Despite a considerable total error attributable to both methods, MRS derives the same forensic conclusions as conventional biochemical analyses. An adaptation of the protocol to reduce the detected errors and more data are needed for the long-term validation of MRS for the diagnosis of fatal metabolic disorders. The production of WM dialysates cannot be recommended due to high glycolytic loss.

Mortality patterns in patients with diabetes mellitus at a Nigerian tertiary hospital: A 10-Year autopsy study.

OBJECTIVES: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a global health problem with associated high morbidity and mortality. This study was a retrospective review of post-mortem examination findings of hospitalised patients with DM for causes of death. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective, cross-sectional autopsy review of all the patients with DM in our hospital between January 2008 and December 2017 was conducted. The causes of death were classified into cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, acute diabetic emergencies, infection, cancers and unnatural deaths. The demographic data and clinicopathological parameters were extracted, and the data were analysed using the SPSS software version 23. RESULTS: A total of 1092 cases of autopsy were done within the study period, of which 91 cases were on patients with diabetes accounting for 8.3%. Infections with sepsis were the major cause of death, accounting for 51.6% followed by cardiovascular diseases (16.5%), cancers (14.3%), acute diabetic emergencies (6.6%) and cerebrovascular accidents (6.6%), with renal complications and road traffic accidents accounting for 2.2% each. Patients' age ranged from 31 to 84 years, with a modal age of 57 years. There was a male predominance with a male-to-female ratio of 1.5:1. Systemic hypertension co-morbidity was statistically significantly more common in patients aged 60 and above (P = 0.035). The most common lesion observed in the kidneys was benign nephrosclerosis (43.2%). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that majority of our patients with diabetes mellitus die from infections with attendant sepsis. Older patients appear to have co-morbid systemic hypertension. Patient education on infection prevention and prompt treatment might be life-saving.

Advancing metabolism research to overcome low litter survival in metabolically stressed mice.

Elucidating the mechanism underlying the transmission of metabolic disease to subsequent generations requires robust preclinical mouse breeding strategies. Western diets rich in fat and carbohydrates are contributing factors in the rise of diabetes and obesity rates worldwide. Therefore, determining the impact of Western diets consumed by parents on offspring and future generations is critical for understanding the perpetuation of these diseases. Specifically, epigenetic regulation and transgenerational inheritance of metabolic disease is an emerging field of study requiring robust murine models. However, a major challenge to transgenerational studies is offspring mortality, exacerbated by maternal stress during pregnancy. Here, we describe a challenge experienced in our metabolic research in Western diet-fed female mice leading to the loss of litters via pup mortality and cannibalism by the mother. Furthermore, our study evaluates various breeding schemes with pregnancy efficiency and refined husbandry techniques to overcome pup mortality and infanticide, to characterize dams' and pups' metabolic characteristics, and to determine the impact on physiology of dams under detailed breeding schemes.

Evolving Trends in Liver Transplant for Metabolic Liver Disease in the United States.

Indications for liver transplantation (LT) in metabolic disease are evolving. We reviewed the US experience with primary LT for metabolic disease in the Scientific Registry for Transplant Recipients (October 1987 to June 2017) to determine the following: temporal changes in indications, longterm outcomes, and factors predicting survival. Patients were grouped by the presence of structural liver disease (SLD) and whether the defect was confined to the liver. There were 5996 patients who underwent LT for metabolic disease, 2354 (39.3%) being children. LT for metabolic disease increased in children but not in adults. Children experienced a 6-fold increase in LT for metabolic disease without SLD. Indications for LT remained stable in adults. Living donor liver transplantation increased between era 1 and era 3 from 5.6% to 7.6% in children and 0% to 4.5% in adults. Patient and graft survival improved with time. The latest 5-year patient survival rates were 94.5% and 81.5% in children and adults, respectively. Outcomes were worse in adults and in those with extrahepatic disease (P < 0.01), whereas SLD did not affect outcomes. Survival improved with younger age at LT until age <2 years. On multivariate analysis, diagnostic category, inpatient status, age at LT, and transplant era significantly predicted outcomes in all ages with male sex predicting survival in childhood only. Children without structural disease were less likely to die awaiting LT and had improved post-LT survival compared with children with chronic liver disease. In conclusion, LT for metabolic disease is increasingly used for phenotypic correction in children; extrahepatic manifestations significantly impact survival at all ages; where indicated, transplantation should not be unnecessarily delayed; and the development of new allocation models may be required.

A Report of 7-Year Experience on Pediatric Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Continuous renal replacement therapies (CRRTs) either as continuous venovenous hemofiltration (CVVH) or hemodiafiltration (CVVHD) are used frequently in critically ill children. Many clinical variables and technical issues are known to affect the result. The factors that could be modified to increase the survival of renal replacement are sought. As a contribution, we present the data on 104 patients who underwent CRRT within a 7-year period. MATERIALS AND METHOD: A total of 104 patients admitted between 2009 and 2016 were included in the study. The demographic information, admittance pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) scores, indication for CRRT, presence of fluid overload, CRRT modality, durations of CRRT, and pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) stay were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors. RESULTS: The overall rate of survival was 51%. Patients with fluid overload had significantly increased rate of death, CRRT duration, and PICU stay. Multiorgan dysfunction syndrome as the indication for CRRT was significantly related to decreased survival when compared to acute renal failure and acute attacks of metabolic diseases. The CRRT modality was not different between survivors and nonsurvivors. Standardized mortality ratio of the group was calculated to be 0.8. CONCLUSION: The CRRT in critically ill patients is successful in achieving fluid removal and correction of metabolic imbalances caused by organ failures or attacks of inborn errors of metabolism. It has a positive effect on expected mortality in high-risk PICU patients. To affect the outcome, follow-up should be focused on starting therapy in early stages of fluid overload. Prospective studies defining relative importance of risk factors causing mortality can assist in building up guidelines to affect the outcome.

The Guinea-Bissau Twin Registry Update: A Platform for Studying Twin Mortality and Metabolic Disease.

Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest natural twinning rate in the world. Unfortunately, due to lack of adequate care during pregnancy, labor and postnatally, twin mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa also remains very high. Thus, it has been estimated that one in five twins dies during the childhood years. In spite of this, surprisingly few twin studies have been conducted in the region, making additional epidemiological data much needed. In 2009, we established one of the first twin registries in Sub-Saharan Africa at the Bandim Health Project in Guinea-Bissau. The registry had two main objectives. First, we wanted to describe the twinning rate and mortality patterns among newborn twins, including mortality risk factors and hospitalization patterns. Such studies can help the local clinicians improve twin health by identifying the most vulnerable children. Second, and in light of the rapidly increasing diabetes rates in Africa, we wanted to use the registry to particularly focus on metabolic disorders. Twins are often born with low birth weight, which according to the 'thrifty phenotype hypothesis' could predispose them to metabolic disorders later in life. Yet, no such 'fetal programming' data have previously been available from African twins despite the fact that nutritional patterns and influences from other factors (e.g., infections) could be markedly different here compared to high-income settings. In this article, we summarize the findings and current status of the Guinea-Bissau twin registry.

Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.

BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of risk factor exposure and attributable burden of disease. By providing estimates over a long time series, this study can monitor risk exposure trends critical to health surveillance and inform policy debates on the importance of addressing risks in context. METHODS: We used the comparative risk assessment framework developed for previous iterations of GBD to estimate levels and trends in exposure, attributable deaths, and attributable disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), by age group, sex, year, and location for 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks from 1990 to 2016. This study included 481 risk-outcome pairs that met the GBD study criteria for convincing or probable evidence of causation. We extracted relative risk (RR) and exposure estimates from 22 717 randomised controlled trials, cohorts, pooled cohorts, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources, according to the GBD 2016 source counting methods. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL), we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. Finally, we explored four drivers of trends in attributable burden: population growth, population ageing, trends in risk exposure, and all other factors combined. FINDINGS: Since 1990, exposure increased significantly for 30 risks, did not change significantly for four risks, and decreased significantly for 31 risks. Among risks that are leading causes of burden of disease, child growth failure and household air pollution showed the most significant declines, while metabolic risks, such as body-mass index and high fasting plasma glucose, showed significant increases. In 2016, at Level 3 of the hierarchy, the three leading risk factors in terms of attributable DALYs at the global level for men were smoking (124·1 million DALYs [95% UI 111·2 million to 137·0 million]), high systolic blood pressure (122·2 million DALYs [110·3 million to 133·3 million], and low birthweight and short gestation (83·0 million DALYs [78·3 million to 87·7 million]), and for women, were high systolic blood pressure (89·9 million DALYs [80·9 million to 98·2 million]), high body-mass index (64·8 million DALYs [44·4 million to 87·6 million]), and high fasting plasma glucose (63·8 million DALYs [53·2 million to 76·3 million]). In 2016 in 113 countries, the leading risk factor in terms of attributable DALYs was a metabolic risk factor. Smoking remained among the leading five risk factors for DALYs for 109 countries, while low birthweight and short gestation was the leading risk factor for DALYs in 38 countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. In terms of important drivers of change in trends of burden attributable to risk factors, between 2006 and 2016 exposure to risks explains an 9·3% (6·9-11·6) decline in deaths and a 10·8% (8·3-13·1) decrease in DALYs at the global level, while population ageing accounts for 14·9% (12·7-17·5) of deaths and 6·2% (3·9-8·7) of DALYs, and population growth for 12·4% (10·1-14·9) of deaths and 12·4% (10·1-14·9) of DALYs. The largest contribution of trends in risk exposure to disease burden is seen between ages 1 year and 4 years, where a decline of 27·3% (24·9-29·7) of the change in DALYs between 2006 and 2016 can be attributed to declines in exposure to risks. INTERPRETATION: Increasingly detailed understanding of the trends in risk exposure and the RRs for each risk-outcome pair provide insights into both the magnitude of health loss attributable to risks and how modification of risk exposure has contributed to health trends. Metabolic risks warrant particular policy attention, due to their large contribution to global disease burden, increasing trends, and variable patterns across countries at the same level of development. GBD 2016 findings show that, while it has huge potential to improve health, risk modification has played a relatively small part in the past decade. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Bloomberg Philanthropies.

Metabolic and cardiovascular benefits of hydroxychloroquine in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) has been shown to improve survival rates in other inflammatory diseases. We aimed to assess the available literature on the cardiovascular impact of HCQ in patients with RA. METHODS: We systematically searched for studies evaluating the effects of HCQ on cardiovascular outcomes of known risk factors for CVD in patients with RA. Databases searched were MEDLINE (via PubMed), EMBase, Cochrane Library and the American College of Rheumatology and European League Against Rheumatism annual meetings. A meta-analysis was performed with a random-effects model, estimating mean differences (MDs), HRs and 95% CIs. Data were extracted by one investigator and independently checked by another. RESULTS: The literature search revealed 185 articles and abstracts of interest; further examination resulted in 16 studies fulfilling the criteria. The MDs between HCQ users and non-users in levels of total, low-density and high-density cholesterol and triglycerides were -9.8 (95% CI -14.0 to -5.6), -10.6 (95% CI -14.2 to -7.0), +4.1 (95% CI 2.2 to 6.0) and -19.2 (95% CI -27.2 to -11.1), respectively. Diabetes incidence was lower for HCQ ever users than never users (HR 0.59 (95% CI 0.49 to 0.70)). HCQ seemed to decrease insulin resistance and incidence of CVD, but data were too few for meta-analysis. CONCLUSION: Besides its limited efficacy for disease activity and progression, HCQ may benefit the metabolic profile and to a lesser extent cardiovascular events in patients with RA, which suggests its usefulness combined with other conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs.

Severity of OSAS, CPAP and cardiovascular events: A follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggested obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome (OSAS) as a major risk factor for incident cardiovascular events. However, the relationship between OSAS severity, the use of continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) treatment and the development of cardiovascular disease is still matter of debate. STUDY OBJECTIVES: The aim was to test the association between OSAS and cardiovascular events in patients with concomitant cardio-metabolic diseases and the potential impact of CPAP therapy on cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: Prospective observational cohort study of consecutive outpatients with suspected metabolic disorders who had complete clinical and biochemical workup including polysomnography because of heavy snoring and possible OSAS. The primary endpoint was a composite of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). RESULTS: Median follow-up was 81.3 months, including 434 patients (2701.2 person/years); 83 had a primary snoring, 84 had mild, 93 moderate and 174 severe OSAS, respectively. The incidence of MACCE was 0.8% per year (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.2-2.1) in primary snorers and 2.1% per year (95% CI 1.5-2.8) for those with OSAS. A positive association was observed between event-free survival and OSAS severity (log-rank test; P = .041). A multivariable Cox regression analysis showed obesity (HR = 8.011, 95% CI 1.071-59.922, P = .043), moderate OSAS (vs non-OSAS HR = 3.853, 95% CI 1.069-13.879, P = .039) and severe OSAS (vs non-OSAS HR = 3.540, 95% CI 1.026-12.217, P = .045) as predictors of MACCE. No significant association was observed between CPAP treatment and MACCE (log-rank test; P = .227). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the role of moderate/severe OSAS as a risk factor for incident MACCE. CPAP treatment was not associated with a lower rate of MACCE.

Clinical outcomes of unrelated cord blood transplantation in children with malignant and non-malignant diseases: Multicenter experience in China.

This multicenter retrospective study included 184 children with malignant and non-malignant diseases who underwent UCBT between January 1998 and August 2012. The malignant disease group included 101 children with ALL, AML, CML, JMML, and MDS, and the non-malignant disease group included 83 children with PID, ß-thalassemia, IMD BMF, and HLH. The median duration to neutrophil and platelet engraftment was 16 and 35 days in the malignant disease group vs 15 and 38 days in the non-malignant disease group. The cumulative incidence of grade II-IV aGVHD and cGVHD was 25.6% and 13.5% in the malignant disease group vs 19.7% and 11.1% in the non-malignant disease group, respectively. The median duration and cumulative incidence of neutrophil and platelet engraftment, and the cumulative incidence of grade II-IV aGVHD and cGVHD were similar between the two groups. Of the 184 pediatric patients, 114 patients survived during a median follow-up period of 14 months (range 4-138). The 5-year OS and DFS were not statistically different between the two groups (56.3% and 46.1% in malignant disease group vs 68.5% and 52.8% in non-malignant disease group). The above results indicate that UCB is a viable source for HSCT for children with malignant or non-malignant diseases, especially in urgent cases.

Obesity, weight change, and mortality in older adults with metabolic abnormalities.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It is expected that older adults with metabolic abnormalities may benefit from weight loss; however, data on this population are limited. Our study was to assess the effect of obesity and weight change on mortality risk in older adults with metabolic abnormalities. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 3649 Chinese older adults aged 60-90 years with metabolic abnormalities were included between 2000 and 2014. Weight change between two health checkup periods was calculated. During a median follow-up period of 37 months, 503 all-cause mortality and 235 cardiovascular disease mortality occurred. Death rate was the lowest in overweight participants and in the participants with weight stability. After adjustment for covariates, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of overweight participants for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality were 0.71 (0.59, 0.86) and 0.72 (0.55, 0.95), respectively, whereas obesity was not significantly associated with mortality risk. Furthermore, relative to weight stability, risks of mortality significantly increased with the increase in weight loss or weight gain, except small weight gain. These associations were unchanged when the participants were stratified by baseline covariates and even when several definitions of weight change were considered. CONCLUSIONS: Overweight was associated with less mortality risk, and obesity was not associated with mortality risk in older adults with metabolic abnormalities. Mortality risk increased with the increase in weight loss or weight gain, regardless of body weight levels at the baseline. These findings suggest that maintaining a stable weight may be the best choice in older adults with metabolic abnormalities.

Do Medical Complications Impact Long-Term Outcomes in Prolonged Disorders of Consciousness?

OBJECTIVE: To investigate medical complications (MCs) occurring within 6 months postinjury in brain-injured patients with prolonged disorders of consciousness (DoC) and to evaluate impact of MC on mortality and long-term clinical outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING: Rehabilitation unit for acquired DoC. PARTICIPANTS: Patients (N=194) with DoC (142 in vegetative state [VS], 52 in minimally conscious state; traumatic etiology 43, anoxic 69, vascular 82) consecutively admitted to a neurorehabilitation unit within 1-3 months postonset. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality and improvements in clinical diagnosis and functional disability level (assessed by Coma Recovery Scale-Revised [CRS-R] and Disability Rating Scale) at 12, 24, and 36 months postonset. RESULTS: Within 6 months postinjury, 188 of 194 patients (>95%) developed at least 1 MC and 142 of them (73%) showed at least 1 severe MC. Respiratory and musculoskeletal-cutaneous MCs were the most frequent, followed by endocrino-metabolic abnormalities. Follow-up, complete in 189 of 194 patients, showed that male sex and endocrine-metabolic MCs were associated with higher risk of mortality at all timepoints. Old age, anoxic etiology, lower CRS-R total scores, and diagnosis of VS at study entry predicted no clinical and functional improvements at most timepoints; however, epilepsy predicted no improvement in diagnosis at 24 months postonset only. CONCLUSIONS: MCs are very frequent in patients with DoC within at least 6 months after brain injury, regardless of clinical diagnosis, etiology, and age. Endocrino-metabolic MCs are independent predictors of mortality at all timepoints; however,epilepsy predicted poor long-term outcome. Occurrence and severity of MCs in patients with DoC call for long-term appropriate levels of care after the postacute phase.