High-risk symptoms do not predict gastric cancer precursors.

BACKGROUND & STUDY AIMS: Gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is the most common precursor of gastric cancer. Our aim is to determine if presenting symptoms predict gastric cancer precursor lesions in a high-risk population. PATIENT AND METHODS: Consecutive unique patients evaluated by endoscopy for upper gastrointestinal symptoms at the Los Angeles County Hospital between 2010 and 2014 were evaluated. Presenting symptoms were classified as low- or high-risk depending on the procedure indication as coded using the Clinical Outcomes Research Initiative (CORI) system. Endoscopy and histology results were used to classify findings as benign, GIM, high-risk GIM, or malignant. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with premalignant or malignant gastric findings who had high-risk clinical indications for endoscopy relative to those with benign results. RESULTS: A total of 3699 patients underwent endoscopy to evaluate upper gastrointestinal symptoms. There were 373 (10.1%) patients with GIM of which 278 had high-risk GIM. One hundred and sixty (4.3%) patients were diagnosed with gastric cancer. High-risk indications for upper endoscopy predicted gastric cancer (OR 1.8 [95% CI 1.3-2.6]) but not GIM (OR 1.0 [0.8-1.3]) or high-risk GIM (OR 0.9 [0.7-1.2]). Hispanic or Asian patients and patients >50 years old were more likely to have GIM, high-risk GIM, and cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Performance of upper endoscopy for high-risk indications is inadequate to detect GIM and marginal for malignancy. At risk patients should undergo upper endoscopy for both low- and high-risk symptoms. Screening certain populations deserve additional study and may, in fact, be cost-effective.