Development and internal validation of a clinical prediction model for spontaneous abortion risk in early pregnancy

Abstract Objective: This study aimed to develop and internally validate a prediction model for estimating the risk of spontaneous abortion in early pregnancy. Methods: This prospective cohort study included 9,895 pregnant women who received prenatal care at a maternal health facility in China from January 2021 to December 2022. Data on demographics, medical history, lifestyle factors, and mental health were collected. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to develop the prediction model with spontaneous abortion as the outcome. The model was internally validated using bootstrapping techniques, and its discrimination and calibration were assessed. Results: The spontaneous abortion rate was 5.95% (589/9,895) 1. The final prediction model included nine variables: maternal age, history of embryonic arrest, thyroid dysfunction, polycystic ovary syndrome, assisted reproduction, exposure to pollution, recent home renovation, depression score, and stress score 1. The model showed good discrimination with a C-statistic of 0.88 (95% CI 0.87‒0.90) 1, and its calibration was adequate based on the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (p = 0.27). Conclusions: The prediction model demonstrated good performance in estimating spontaneous abortion risk in early pregnancy based on demographic, clinical, and psychosocial factors. Further external validation is recommended before clinical application.

HLA-B27 did not protect against COVID-19 in patients with axial spondyloarthritis - data from the ReumaCov-Brasil Registry

Abstract Background Some studies have suggested the HLA-B27 gene may protect against some infections, as well as it could play a benefit role on the viral clearance, including hepatitis C and HIV. However, there is lack of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic data in spondyloarthritis (SpA) patients. Aim To evaluate the impact of HLA-B27 gene positivity on the susceptibility and severity of COVID-19 and disease activity in axial SpA patients. Methods The ReumaCoV-Brasil is a multicenter, observational, prospective cohort designed to monitor immunemediated rheumatic diseases patients during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Brazil. Axial SpA patients, according to the ASAS classification criteria (2009), and only those with known HLA-B27 status, were included in this ReumaCov-Brasil's subanalysis. After pairing them to sex and age, they were divided in two groups: with (cases) and without (control group) COVID-19 diagnosis. Other immunodeficiency diseases, past organ or bone marrow transplantation, neoplasms and current chemotherapy were excluded. Demographic data, managing of COVID-19 (diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes, including hospitalization, mechanical ventilation, and death), comorbidities, clinical details (disease activity and concomitant medication) were collected using the Research Electronic Data Capture (REDCap) database. Data are presented as descriptive analysis and multiple regression models, using SPSS program, version 20. P level was set as 5%. Results From May 24th, 2020 to Jan 24th, 2021, a total of 153 axial SpA patients were included, of whom 85 (55.5%) with COVID-19 and 68 (44.4%) without COVID-19. Most of them were men (N = 92; 60.1%) with mean age of 44.0 ± 11.1 years and long-term disease (11.7 ± 9.9 years). Regarding the HLA-B27 status, 112 (73.2%) patients tested positive. There were no significant statistical differences concerning social distancing, smoking, BMI (body mass index), waist circumference and comorbidities. Regarding biological DMARDs, 110 (71.8%) were on TNF inhibitors and 14 (9.15%) on IL-17 antagonists. Comparing those patients with and without COVID-19, the HLA-B27 positivity was not different between groups (n = 64, 75.3% vs. n = 48, 48%, respectively; p = 0.514). In addition, disease activity was similar before and after the infection. Interestingly, no new episodes of arthritis, enthesitis or extra-musculoskeletal manifestations were reported after the COVID-19. The mean time from the first symptoms to hospitalization was 7.1 ± 3.4 days, and although the number of hospitalization days was numerically higher in the B27 positive group, no statistically significant difference was observed (5.7 ± 4.11 for B27 negative patients and 13.5 ± 14.8 for B27 positive patients; p = 0.594). Only one HLA-B27 negative patient died. No significant difference was found regarding concomitant medications, including conventional or biologic DMARDs between the groups. Conclusions No significant difference of COVID-19 frequency rate was observed in patients with axial SpA regarding the HLA-B27 positivity, suggesting a lack of protective effect with SARS-CoV-2 infection. In addition, the disease activity was similar before and after the infection. Trial registration This study was approved by the Brazilian Committee of Ethics in Human Research (CONEP), CAAE 30186820.2.1001.8807, and was registered at the Brazilian Registry of Clinical Trials - REBEC, RBR-33YTQC. All patients read and signed the informed consent form before inclusion.

Seguimiento de pacientes con pie diabético en un hospital de alta complejidad del norte del Perú / Follow-up of patients with diabetic foot in a highly complex hospital in northern Peru

RESUMEN Introducción. El pie diabético es una complicación frecuente de la diabetes. Los datos son escasos en el norte peruano. Objetivo. Describir la evolución clínica del pie diabético en un hospital de Lambayeque-Perú, entre los años 2018 y 2019. Métodos. Estudio descriptivo, prospectivo. Los pacientes fueron captados por emergencia/consulta y seguidos por la unidad de pie diabético mediante visitas diarias y curaciones. Resultados. Seguimiento desde agosto del 2018 a octubre 2019. Hubo 136 pacientes; mediana de edad: 63 años (RIC= 54-86) y 50,38% fueron hombres. La mediana de años con diabetes y tiempo de hospitalización fue 10 años y 10 días; 40% y 21% tuvo trauma y amputación previa. Las frecuencias de hipertensión arterial, nefropatía diabética, enfermedad renal crónica, síndrome coronario agudo y evento cerebrovascular previo fueron: 52,9%, 26,4%, 33,3%, 2,9% y 16,6%, respectivamente; 50,7% tuvo compromiso de pie derecho, 58,1% del izquierdo y 8,6%, de ambos. El Wagner inicial más frecuente fue IV: 30,16%, seguido de II: 25,40% y el final más frecuente fue IV: 42,15% seguido del II: 22,31%. Se amputaron 41,22%, mayores: 28,24% y menores 11,8%; 25,6% fueron supracondíleas; 39,6% tuvo sepsis, evolución desfavorable 38,58% y fallecieron 9,44%. En los amputados, la mediana de días antes de la amputación fue 12. Conclusiones. La frecuencia de amputación y mortalidad fue mayor a la de estudios anteriores. Hubo una alta frecuencia de evolución desfavorable: amputación/muerte o empeoramiento de la gangrena.

ABSTRACT Introduction. Diabetic foot is a frequent complication of diabetes. Data are scarce in northern Peru. Objective. To describe the clinical evolution of the diabetic foot in a hospital in Lambayeque-Peru, between 2018 and 2019. Methods. Descriptive, prospective study. The patients were recruited by emergency/consultation and followed by the diabetic foot unit through daily visits and dressings. Results. Follow-up from August 2018 to October 2019. There were 136 patients; median age: 63 years (IQR = 54-86) and 50.38% were men. The median number of years with diabetes and hospitalization time was 10 years and 10 days; 40% and 21% had trauma and previous amputation. The frequencies of high blood pressure, diabetic nephropathy, chronic kidney disease, previous acute coronary syndrome and cerebrovascular event were: 52.9%, 26.4%, 33.3%, 2.9% and 16.6%, respectively; 50.7% had involvement of the right foot, 58.1% of the left and 8.6% of both. The most frequent initial Wagner was IV: 30.16%, followed by II: 25.40% and the most frequent final was IV: 42.15% followed by II: 22.31%. 41.22% were amputated, mayor amputations: 28.24% and minor amputations 11.8%; 25.6% were supracondylar; 39.6% had sepsis, 38.58% unfavorable evolution and 9.44% died. In amputees, the median number of days before amputation was 12. Conclusions. The frequency of amputation and mortality was higher than in previous studies. There was a high frequency of unfavorable evolution: amputation/death or worsening of gangrene.

One-year adolescent bone mineral density and bone formation marker changes through the use or lack of use of combined hormonal contraceptives / Alterações na densidade mineral óssea e nos marcadores de formação óssea em adolescentes usuárias ou não de contraceptivos hormonais orais combinados por período de um ano

Abstract Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of two low-dose combined oral contraceptives on bone metabolism in adolescents for one year. Methods: This was a quasi-experimental study. The adolescents were divided into three groups: oral contraceptives 1 (n = 42) (20 µg EE/150 µg desogestrel), oral contraceptives 2 (n = 66) (30 µg EE/3 mg drospirenone), and a control group (n = 70). Adolescents underwent anthropometric assessment and densitometry (dual-energy X-ray). Bone age and bone formation markers (osteocalcin and bone alkaline phosphatase) were evaluated. The oral contraceptives users were evaluated again after 12 months. Linear regression analysis was used to indirectly study the effect of each additional year of chronological age on anthropometric and densitometric variables as well as on bone markers in the control group. Results: At study entry, no significant differences were observed between the oral contraceptives 1, oral contraceptives 2, and controls in the analyzed variables. Linear regression analysis showed an increase in bone mineral density and bone mineral content for each additional year. There was a significant reduction in bone alkaline phosphatase levels; no significant difference was observed for osteocalcin in control individuals. Comparison of dual-energy X-ray variables at baseline and after one year showed no significant differences in the oral contraceptives 1 or oral contraceptives 2 groups. A significant reduction in bone alkaline phosphatase and osteocalcin levels was observed in both the oral contraceptives 1 and oral contraceptives 2 groups. Conclusion: Adolescent women gain peak bone mass during this phase of life. Two low-dose combined oral hormonal contraceptives were associated with lower bone gain and lower bone formation markers than in untreated controls.

Resumo: Objetivo: O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar os efeitos de dois contraceptivos orais combinados de baixa dosagem por um ano sobre o metabolismo ósseo em adolescentes. Métodos: Este foi um estudo quase experimental. As adolescentes foram divididas em três grupos: contraceptivos orais 1 (n = 42) (20 µg de EE/150 µg de desogestrel), contraceptivos orais 2 (n = 66) (30 µg EE/3 mg de drospirenona) e grupo controle (n = 70). As adolescentes foram submetidas à avaliação antropométrica e densitometria (raio-X de dupla energia). Foram avaliados a idade óssea e os marcadores de formação óssea (osteocalcina e fosfatase alcalina óssea). As usuárias de contraceptivos orais foram novamente avaliadas após 12 meses. A análise de regressão linear foi utilizada para estudar, indiretamente, o efeito de cada ano adicional da idade cronológica sobre as variáveis antropométricas e densitométricas e sobre os marcadores ósseos no grupo de controle. Resultados: No início do estudo, não foram observadas diferenças significativas nas variáveis analisadas entre as usuárias de contraceptivos orais 1, contraceptivos orais 2 e o grupo controle. A análise de regressão linear mostrou um aumento na densidade mineral óssea e no conteúdo mineral ósseo para cada ano adicional. Houve uma redução significativa nos níveis de fosfatase alcalina óssea e não foi observada diferença significativa para osteocalcina nos indivíduos controles. A comparação das variáveis do raio-X de dupla energia no início e após um ano não mostrou diferença significativa no grupo de contraceptivos orais 1 ou contraceptivos orais 2. Foi observada uma redução significativa nos níveis de fosfatase alcalina óssea e osteocalcina nos dois grupos contraceptivos orais 1 e contraceptivos orais 2. Conclusão: As adolescentes atingiram o pico de massa óssea durante essa fase da vida. Duas formulações de contraceptivos hormonais orais de baixa dosagem, após um ano de uso, se associaram a menor incremento na densidade mineral óssea e menor concentração de marcadores de formação óssea quando confrontados com resultados de adolescentes não usuárias de contraceptivos.

E-cigarette use and its association with smoking reduction and cessation intentions among Mexican smokers / Uso de cigarros electrónicos y su asociación con la reducción en el consumo de cigarros convencionales y la intención de dejar de fumar entre fumadores mexicanos

Abstract: Objective: Evaluate the patterns of e-cigarette use and their association with smoking behavior. Materials and methods: We analyzed data from a population-based representative cohort of adult smokers who participated in the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation Surveys in Mexico. The analytic sample (n=760) was restricted to participants who were followed up from wave 6 (2012) to wave 7 (2014-2015). GEE models regressed e-cigarette use at follow-up and changes in cigarettes per day (CPD) between waves, on baseline sociodemographic variables, smoking status (daily, non-daily, quit), e-cigarette trial, and quit intentions. Results: Smokers who were younger, had a higher income, and had tried e-cigarettes at baseline were more likely to be current e-cigarette users at follow-up. E-cigarette use at follow-up was not associated with a change in CPD over time. Conclusions: E-cigarette use does not appear to have promoted smoking cessation or reduction in this sample of Mexican smokers.

Resumen: Objetivo: Evaluar los patrones de uso de cigarros electrónicos y su asociación con el uso de tabaco. Material y métodos: Se usaron datos de una cohorte de fumadores adultos mexicanos de la Encuesta Internacional de Evaluación de Políticas del Control del Tabaco (n=760) con seguimiento de la ronda 6 (2012) a la 7 (2014-2015). Se usaron modelos GEE para evaluar el uso de cigarros electrónicos y el cambio en el número de cigarros por día (CPD) en variables de la basal sobre características sociodemográficas, consumo del cigarro (diario, no diario, haber dejado de fumar), prueba de cigarros electrónicos e intención de dejar de fumar. Resultados: Fumadores jóvenes, con ingresos altos y que probaron cigarros electrónicos en la medición basal tenían más posibilidad de usar cigarros electrónicos. No se encontró relación entre uso de cigarros electrónicos y cambio en CPD. Conclusiones: Los cigarros electrónicos no parecen promover el abandono ni la reducción del consumo de cigarros en esta muestra de fumadores mexicanos.

Proteína 3 contendo um domínio NACHT, porção C-terminal rica em repetições de leucina e de domínio pirina e LL-37: valor prognóstico de novos biomarcadores em pneumonia adquirida na comunidade / NACHT, LRR, and PYD domains-containing Protein 3 and LL-37: prognostic value of new biomarkers in community-acquired pneumonia

RESUMO Objetivo Este estudo teve como objetivo determinar os níveis séricos de proteína 3 contendo um domínio NACHT, porção C-terminal rica em repetições de leucina e de domínio pirina (NLRP3) e catelicidina LL-37, bem como investigar sua importância prognóstica em pneumonia adquirida na comunidade (PAC). Métodos Este estudo prospectivo incluiu 76 pacientes com PAC. Foram obtidos dados demográficos e características clínicas. Os níveis séricos de NLRP3 e LL-37 foram determinados por meio do teste ELISA. A correlação entre NLRP3 e LL-37 foi estimada por intermédio da análise de Spearman. A associação entre NLRP3 e LL-37 com 30 dias de taxa de sobrevida e de mortalidade foi avaliada pela curva de Kaplan-Meier e análise de regressão logística. Resultados Os níveis séricos de NLRP3 estavam elevados, enquanto os níveis de LL-37 apresentaram redução significativa em pacientes com PAC grave. Observou-se correlação significativa entre os níveis séricos de NLRP3 e LL-37 em pacientes com PAC. Pacientes com níveis elevados de NLRP3 e níveis reduzidos de LL-37 exibiram maior taxa de sobrevida em 30 dias e de mortalidade quando comparados com aqueles com níveis inferiores de NLRP3 e LL-37. Conclusões Pacientes com PAC grave tendem a apresentar níveis séricos elevados de NLRP3 e níveis reduzidos de LL-37, o que pode ser utilizado como um potencial biomarcador prognóstico.

ABSTRACT Objective This study aimed to determine the serum levels of NACHT, Leucine-rich repeat (LRR), and Pyrin (PYD) domains-containing Protein 3 (NLRP3) and cathelicidin LL-37, and investigate their prognostic significance in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods The sample of this prospective study was composed of 76 consecutive patients with CAP. Demographic data and clinical characteristics were collected. Serum levels of NLRP3 and LL-37 were determined by ELISA. Spearman's analysis was used to evaluate the correlation between NLRP3 and LL-37. Association of NLRP3 and LL-37 with 30-day survival and mortality rates was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier curve and logistic regression analysis. Results Serum NLRP3 significantly increased whereas serum LL-37 significantly decreased in patients with severe CAP. Significant correlation was observed between serum NLRP3 and LL-37 in CAP patients. Patients with higher levels of NLRP3 and lower levels of LL-37 showed lower 30-day survival rate and higher mortality compared with those with lower NLRP3 and higher LL-37 levels. Conclusion Severe CAP patients tend to present higher serum NLRP3 and lower serum LL-37, which might serve as potential biomarkers for CAP prognosis.

Evaluation and comparison of open and closed tibia shaft fractures in a quaternary reference center / Comparação das fraturas diafisárias de tibia expostas e fechadas em um serviço quaternário

ABSTRACT Introduction Tibia shaft fractures are among the most common in orthopedic practice, but Brazilian literature remains limited on the subject. Objective To evaluate the characteristics of tibia shaft fractures and conduct a comparison between exposed and closed fractures of the tibia. Methods This comparative prospective study examined all tibia shaft fractures admitted to our services over a twelve-month period. The cases were evaluated according to age, trauma mechanism, sex, associated fractures, treatment, hospital stay, and readmission rate during the six months after discharge. Results Fifty-three cases met the inclusion criteria. The average age was 36 years (SD 14.3) and 83% were males (p<0.001). Traffic accidents were responsible for 73.6% of fractures (p<0.001). Exposed fractures were found in 52.8% of the cases (p=0.56). When initial treatment consisted of stabilization with external fixation, these cases were more likely to be rehospitalized (p=0.009). Cases of open fracture also had longer hospital stays (p<0.001) and a higher readmission rate (p=0.028). Conclusion Open fractures are associated with more severe trauma, expressed in longer hospital stays and high rates of readmission. Cases of fracture which were initially treated with external fixation had a higher readmission rate. Level of Evidence II; Prospective comparative study.

RESUMO Introdução Fratura diafisária de tíbia é uma das fraturas mais comuns na prática ortopédica, porém a literatura brasileira ainda é limitada na sua avaliação. Objetivo Avaliar as características das fraturas diafisárias de tíbia e realizar uma comparação entre as expostas e fechadas. Material e Métodos Foi realizado um estudo, prospectivo comparativo por 12 meses, com todas as fraturas diafisárias de tíbia admitidas. Os pacientes foram avaliados nos seguintes critérios: idade, mecanismo de trauma, sexo, fraturas associadas, tratamento, tempo de internação e índice de reinternação nos seis meses subsequentes à alta. Resultados Foram avaliados 53 casos que se encaixavam nos critérios de inclusão. A idade média dos pacientes avaliados no nosso estudo era de 36 anos (DP14,3), 83% eram homens (p<0,001). Acidente de tráfego foi responsável por 73,6% (p<0,001). Lesões expostas foram encontradas em 52,8% (p=0,56). O fixador externo, quando utilizado como método de estabilização inicial, apresentou maior índice de reinternação (p=0,009). As lesões expostas apresentaram tempo de internação (p<0,001) e índice de reinternação superior as fechadas (p=0,028). Conclusões As fraturas expostas estão envolvidas com traumas de maior gravidade, tanto pelo tempo aumentado de internação hospitalar quanto pelo alto índice de reinternação. Fraturas tratadas inicialmente com fixador externo apresentam maior taxa de reinternação. Nível de Evidência II; Estudo prospectivo comparativo.

Impact of cartilage graft size on success of tympanoplasty / Impacto do tamanho do enxerto de cartilagem no sucesso da timpanoplastia

Abstract Introduction: In the last decade, there has been an increasing use of cartilage grafts in the primary repair of tympanic membrane perforations. The major advantages of cartilage are its stiffness and its very low metabolic requirements, which make it particularly suitable for difficult conditions, such as subtotal perforations, adhesive otitis and reoperation. Objective: To analyze the impact of different perforation sizes requiring different sizes of cartilage on the anatomical and functional outcome after tympanoplasty. Methods: Through this prospective non-controlled, non-randomized study, 50 patients underwent cartilage type 1 tympanoplasty (20 females and 30 males), with a mean age of 19.3 ± 9.8 years. According to size of perforation, patients were subdivided into three groups, Group I had perforation >50% of tympanic membrane area, in Group II patients the perforations were 25-50% of tympanic membrane area, and in Group III the perforations were ≤25% of tympanic membrane. All patients had pre and postoperative Pure Tone Average and Air Bone Gap frequencies (0.5, 1, 2, 4 kHz). All patients were followed up at least 12 months after operation. Results: The anatomical success rate among all patients was 92%, all groups showed statistical significant improvement between pre and postoperative air bone gap, no significant correlation between size of cartilage graft and degree of air bone gap improvement was noticed among the three groups. Conclusion: Size of a cartilage graft has no impact on degree of hearing improvement or anatomical success rate after tympanoplasty.

Resumo Introdução: Na última década, tem havido um interesse crescente no uso de enxertos de cartilagem como opção para o reparo de perfurações primárias de membrana timpânica. As principais vantagens da cartilagem são a sua rigidez e o metabolismo braditrófico, o que a torna particularmente adequada para condições difíceis, tais como perfurações subtotais, otite adesiva e reoperações. Objetivo: Analisar o impacto de diferentes tamanhos de perfuração, portanto diferentes tamanhos de cartilagem, sobre o desfecho anatômico e funcional da timpanoplastia. Método: Através deste estudo prospectivo, não controlado, não randomizado, 50 pacientes foram submetidos a timpanoplastia de cartilagem tipo 1 (20 mulheres e 30 homens), com idade média de 19,3 ± 9,8 anos. De acordo com o tamanho da perfuração, os pacientes foram subdivididos em três grupos, Grupo I com perfuração > 50% da área da membrana timpânica, Grupo II com perfuração de 25%-50% da área da membrana timpânica, Grupo III com perfuração ≤ 25% da membrana timpânica. Todos apresentavam Audiometria tonal pura pré e pós-operatório - gap Aéreo-Ósseo para frequências testadas (0,5, 1, 2, 4 kHz). Todos os pacientes foram acompanhados por pelo menos 12 meses após a cirurgia. Resultados: A taxa de sucesso anatômico entre todos os pacientes foi de 92%, todos os grupos apresentaram melhoria estatisticamente significante entre pré e pós-operatório nos três grupos, não houve correlação significante entre o tamanho do enxerto de cartilagem e observou-se algum grau de melhoria do gap nos 3 grupos. Conclusão: O tamanho do enxerto de cartilagem não tem impacto sobre o grau de melhoria da audição ou na taxa de sucesso anatômico após timpanoplastia.

Identificación de predictores serológicos de recaída en pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico: estudio prospectivo de 12 meses / Identification of relapse aerological predictors in patients with systemic lupus erythematous: a prospective study of 12 months

Introducción: las investigativos efectuadas no han tenido éxito en la búsqueda de biomarcadores serológicos o clínicos suficientemente confiables para predecir las recaídas en el lupus eritematoso sistémico (LES). Objetivo: definir el valor predictivo de las especificidades de anticuerpos antinucleares para la recaída del LES y de la nefritis lúpica. Métodos: estudio analítico, observacional, longitudinal y prospectivo en 120 pacientes adultos con LES inactivo (SLEDAI-2K ≤ 5 puntos). La presencia basal de siete especificidades antinucleares, C3 y C4 bajos se correlacionaron con la ocurrencia de recaída del LES (incrementos en la puntuación de SLEDAI-2K ≥ 4) y de la nefritis lúpica mediante análisis univariado. Las variables más valiosas fueron evaluadas adicionalmente como predictoras con un modelo de regresión logística multivariada para calcular los odds ratio (OR). Resultados: las recaídas del LES y de la nefritis lúpica se observaron en 51 (42,5 por ciento) y 29 (24,2 por ciento) de los pacientes, respectivamente. En el análisis multivariado emergieron como factores de riesgo para la recaída del LES la presencia de los anticuerpos anti-Nu (OR= 1523,0; p < 0,001) y los anti-DNAdc (OR= 12,1; p= 0,044) y de la nefritis lúpica, los anti-Nu (OR= 92,9; p< 0,001) y el C3 bajo (OR= 7,1; p= 0,007), La sub-representación de los anti-RNP resultó un factor de riesgo para la recaída del LES y de la nefritis lúpica (OR= 0,023; p= 0,009 y OR= 0,1; p= 0,025). Conclusiones: los pacientes con LES positivos de anticuerpos anti-Nu, anti-DNAdc o niveles bajos del C3 presentaron un riesgo mayor de recaída del LES y de la nefritis lúpica en los próximos 12 meses, lo que señala la necesidad de estrechar su monitoreo clínico(AU)

Introduction: the research carried out have not been successful in finding serological biomarkers or sufficiently reliable biomarkers for predicting relapse in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Objective: setermine the predictive value of specific antinuclear antibodies for relapse of SLE and lupus nephritis. Methods: an analytical, observational, longitudinal and prospective study was carried out in 120 adult patients with inactive SLE (SLEDAI-2K ≤ 5 points). The baseline presence of seven antinuclear specificities, low C3 and C4 were correlated with the occurrence of SLE relapse (increases in score SLEDAI-2K ≥ 4) and lupus nephritis by univariate analysis. The most valuable variables were further evaluated as predictors a multivariate logistic regression model to calculate the odds ratio (OR). Results: SLE and lupus nephritis relapses were observed in 51 (42.5 percent) and 29 (24.2 percent) patients, respectively. The presence of anti-Nu (OR= 1523.0, P < 0.001) antibodies and anti-dsDNA (OR= 12.1; p = 0.044) and lupus nephritis, anti-Nu (OR= 92.9; p < 0.001) and low C3 (OR= 7.1; p= 0.007) emerged as risk factors for relapse of SLE in multivariate analysis. The underrepresentation of anti-RNP was a risk factor for relapse of SLE and lupus nephritis (OR = 0.023; p= 0.009; OR = 0.1; p= 0.025). Conclusions: SLE patients with positive anti-Nu, anti-dsDNA and low levels of C3 had a higher risk of relapse of SLE and lupus nephritis in the succeeding 12 months, signaling the need for close clinical monitoring(AU)

Incidence of vertebral fractures in calcium and vitamin D-supplemented postmenopausal Brazilian women with osteopenia or osteoporosis: data from Arzoxifene Generations Trial

ABSTRACT Objective Vertebral fracture is the most common osteoporotic fracture, affecting quality of life and increasing mortality. Epidemiological data on incidence of vertebral fracture are scarce in Brazil and throughout Latin America. Our aim was to determine vertebral fracture incidence and risk factors in a female Brazilian population. Subjects and methods Postmenopausal women with low bone mass were studied from the Brazilian placebo group of Arzoxifene Generations Trial (n = 974), followed for up to 5 years. The primary endpoint was new vertebral fractures, detected by X-Ray. Experimental design defined two strata: A. Osteoporosis or previous vertebral fracture with osteopenia; B. Osteopenia without previous fracture. Previous fracture, T-score, ionized calcium, alkaline phosphatase, creatinine and glucose were analyzed at baseline. Crude and adjusted incidence rates of vertebral fractures were estimated and Poisson regression model was used. Results Incidence rate was 7.7 (95% CI of 5.4 to 10.9) per 1,000 person-years (PY), increasing as a function of age. Women with new vertebral fractures had higher prevalence of previous nonvertebral fracture after menopause, were older and had lower lumbar spine (LS) T-score. Fracture risk increased by 46% for each unit reduction in LS T-score. Variables correlated with new vertebral fracture were age (p = 0.034), LS T-score, stratum A (p = 0.001 for both) and previous nonvertebral fracture after menopause (p = 0.019). In the final model, LS T-score was the strongest predictor. Conclusions Incidence rate of vertebral fracture of 7.7 per 1,000 PY. Age and previous fractures were associated with new vertebral fracture, but LS T-score was the most important predictor.

Evaluación de resultados de un programa de rehabilitación psicosocial integral (Centro de Día) para personas con trastorno mental grave y persistente / Evaluation of results of a comprehensive psychosocial rehabilitation program (Day Centre) for people with severe and persistent mental illness

Se realizó un análisis prospectivo de los datos epidemiológicos, clínicos, de funcionamiento y calidad de vida de 108 pacientes con trastorno mental grave y persistente que ingresaron y permanecieron durante un mínimo de 6 meses en un programa de rehabilitación psicosocial integral (Centro de Día) durante un lapso de 10 años. Perfil prevalente de los pacientes: varón,soltero, desocupado, viviendo con su familia, con diagnóstico de esquizofrenia en una relación de 3 a 1 respecto a otras patologías, y con muchos años de evolución. La población permaneció en el programa durante 16 meses (mediana). Para la población del espectro esquizofrénico (pee) las mejorías fueron modestas pero estadísticamente significativas en la sintomatología positiva y negativa, y en el funcionamiento general con mejores desempeños en el área social. No se constataron cambios en la calidad de vida. El 62 % de la población pee egresó con actividad ocupacional, en su mayoría de carácter protegido o con apoyo. La mejoría funcional y sintomática parece definirse en los primeros 6 meses en el programa. La edad al ingreso, el haber completado la enseñanza secundaria y el hecho de tener antecedentes laborales no resultaron predictivos de evolución y resultados. Una menor edad al ingreso se correlacionó con una mayor sintomatología negativa al inicio. El antecedente de consumo de sustancias psicoactivas se correlacionó con mayor sintomatología positiva. Se encontró una asociación significativa entre la administración de antipsicóticos de primera generación y la mejoría en síntomas y funcionamientos. La mayor colaboración de la familia con el programa se asoció a un menor deterioro social al egreso

Doenças de chinchilas (Chinchilla lanigera) / Diseases of chinchilla (Chinchilla lanigera)

As doenças de chinchilas foram estudadas através da avaliação de laudos de necropsia entre janeiro de 1997 e dezembro de 2011. Em 202 chinchilas necropsiadas, 189 (93,5%) tiveram o diagnóstico determinado, e 13 (6,5%) tiveram diagnóstico inconclusivo, por ausência de lesões ou autólise acentuada. Dentre as 202 chinchilas computadas, 162 eram fêmeas (80%), 37 eram machos (18%), e em quatro chinchilas (2%) o sexo não foi anotado. As chinchilas tinham entre um dia a 12 anos de idade. As doenças foram agrupadas nas seguintes categorias: doenças inflamatórias, doenças causadas por intoxicações, doenças causadas por agentes físicos, doenças metabólicas, doenças parasitárias, doenças degenerativas, distúrbios circulatórios, neoplasmas, distúrbios do desenvolvimento e "outros distúrbios". As doenças inflamatórias foram as mais prevalentes (52 casos [25,7%]) e foram representadas por casos de gastrite (10 casos), listeriose (5 casos), septicemia (5 casos), broncopneumonia bacteriana (4 casos), enterite necrosante (4 casos), piometra (4 casos), diarreia com isolamento de Proteus sp. (3 casos), abscessos subcutâneos e em linfonodos (2 casos), endometrite (2 casos), otite (2 casos), pielonefrite (2 casos), abscesso do ligamento redondo do fígado (1 caso), pneumonia fibrinosa (1 caso), pneumonia intersticial (1 caso), hepatite e colecistite com isolamento de Salmonella sp. (1 caso), histiocitose pulmonar (1 caso), miosite linfo-histiocítica (1 caso) e um caso de dermatofitose (Trichopyton metagrophytes). O segundo grupo de doenças mais prevalentes foram as intoxicações (22,3%), representado por 45 casos de intoxicação por salinomicina. As doenças causadas por agentes físicos (21 casos [10,4%]) incluíam casos de traumas causados por outros animais (8 casos), automutilação após injeção intramuscular (8 casos), prolapso de reto (3 casos) e parto distócico (2 casos). A categoria de doenças metabólicas foi representada por 16 casos (7,9%) de lipidose hepática. As doenças parasitárias (8 casos [4%]) consistiram em infestação por pulga (4 casos), piolho (3 casos) e giardíase (1 caso). Doenças degenerativas (4 casos [2,5%]) incluíam insuficiência renal crônica (2 casos), necrose aleatória de hepatócitos (1 caso) e necrose muscular de origem desconhecida (1 caso). Os distúrbios circulatórios incluíram dois casos (0,99%) de insuficiência cardíaca congestiva. Neoplasmas foram representados por dois casos (0,99%) de adenocarcinoma gástrico. Um caso de atresia ani, associado a ausência do trato reprodutor, intestino grosso e rins policíticos representou a categoria de distúrbios do desenvolvimento (0,5%). Algumas doenças não se enquadraram nas categorias acima e foram enquadradas em "outros distúrbios" (38 casos [18,8%]). Nesta categoria, doenças dentárias foi o distúrbio mais comum, diagnosticado em 9% (18 de 202) de todas as chinchilas examinadas. Seguido por casos de hipertermia (14 casos), dois casos de anemia, dois casos de metaplasia de células adiposas do córtex da adrenal, e dois casos de mucometra.(AU)

Diseases of chinchilla were studied through the review of necropsy reports of 202 postmortem examinations carried out in this species from January 1997 to December 2011. One hundred and eighty nine of these necropsies (93.5%) had a conclusive diagnosis and in 13 (6.5%) a conclusive diagnosis was not reached due either absence of lesions or advanced autolysis. One hundred and sixty two (80%) of the necropsied chinchilla were females and 37 (18%) were males and the sex was not recorded in four cases (2%). Ages of necropsied chinchillas varied from one day to 12-years-old. The encountered diseases were grouped in the following categories: inflammatory diseases, diseases caused by intoxications, diseases caused by physical agents, metabolic diseases, parasitism, degenerative diseases, circulatory disturbances, developmental disorders and "other disorders". Inflammatory diseases were the most prevalent (52 cases [25.7%]) and included gastritis (10 cases), necrotizing enteritis (6 cases), listeriosis (5 cases), septicemia (5 cases), bacterial bronchopneumonia (4 cases), pyometra (4 cases), diarrhea associated with Proteus sp. (3 cases), subcutaneous and lymph node abscesses (2 cases), endometritis (2 cases), otitis (2 cases), pyelonephritis (2 cases), abscesses in hepatic the round ligament (1 cases), fibrinous pneumonia (1 case), interstitial pneumonia (1 case), hepatitis and cholecystitis associated with Salmonella sp. (1 case), pulmonary histiocytosis (1 case), and dermatophytosis by Trichopyton metagrophytes (1 case). The second most prevalent group of diseases was that caused by intoxications (22,3% of the cases) including 45 cases of intoxication by salinomycin. Diseases caused by physical agents (21 cases [10.4%]) included trauma cases caused by other animals (8 cases), self mutilation secondary to intramuscular injection (8 cases), rectal prolapsed (3 cases) and dystocia (2 cases). Metabolic diseases were represented by 16 cases (7.9%) of hepatic lipidosis. Parasitic diseases were represented by 8 cases (4%) flea (4 cases) lice (3 cases) infestations and one case o giardiasis. Degenerative diseases (4 cases or 2,5%) included two cases of chronic renal failure, one case of scattered hepatocellular necrosis and one case of muscle necrosis of unknown origin. Circulatory disturbances included two cases (0.99%) of congestive heart failure. Neoplasms were represented by two cases (0.99%) of gastric adenocarcinoma. Developmental disorders included one (0,5%) case of atresia ani associated with polycystic kidneys and absence of reproductive tract and large intestine. Thirty eight cases (18.8%) did not fit in any of the above categories and were placed as "other disorders". In this category dental disease was the most commonly (8 cases or 9%) diagnosed disorder, followed by 14 cases (6,9%) of hyperthermia, tow cases of anemia, two cases of fat metaplasia of adrenal cortex and two cases of mucometra.(AU)

Fraturas expostas: estudo epidemiológico e prospectivo / Open fractures: prospective and epidemiological study

OBJETIVO: Traçar o perfil epidemiológico dos pacientes atendidos em uma unidade de urgência com diagnóstico de fratura exposta. MATERIAIS E MÉTODOS: O trabalho é do tipo epidemiológico, prospectivo, descritivo, observacional, das fraturas expostas atendidas por amostra de conveniência na instituição, no período de 1 setembro de 2005 a 31 de março de 2007. A coleta dos dados foi através de questionário com diversas variáveis. RESULTADOS: Obtivemos 342 pacientes portadores de 346 fraturas, sendo a maioria do sexo masculino (86,84 por cento), com idade média de 30,41 anos e tempo médio de internação de 6,87 dias. As profissões encontradas foram os estudantes (21,92 por cento), seguido dos "motoboys" (11,40 por cento). Os acidentes ocorreram em vias públicas (57,30 por cento), acometendo os ossos da perna (37,86 por cento) e classificadas como grau III (45,36 por cento). Lesões associadas ocorreram em 27,19 por cento, apresentando 11,11 por cento de complicações. Houve consumo de bebida alcoólica (12,86 por cento) e drogas (1,46 por cento) nas 6 horas que antecederam o trauma. CONCLUSÃO: Houve o predomínio do paciente jovem do sexo masculino, com ensino fundamental incompleto, acidentes de trânsito, no período das 19hs às 0hs, acometendo os ossos da perna e classificadas como grau III. As lesões associadas e complicações precoces estão mais relacionadas às lesões de maior gravidade.

OBJECTIVE: to delineate the epidemiological profile of patients attended by an emergency unit, diagnosed with open fractures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is an epidemiological, prospective, descriptive, observational study of open fractures attended at the institution, selected by convenience sampling, in the period September 1, 2005 to March 31, 2007. The data were collected from patients using a questionnaire with multiple variables. RESULTS: we obtained 342 patients with 346 open fractures. The majority of the patients were male (86.84 percent), with an average age of 30.41 years and average hospitalization time of 6.87 days. The main professions were students (21.92 percent), followed by motorcycle couriers (11.40 percent). The accidents occurred on public roads (57.30 percent), affecting mainly the leg bones (37.86 percent) and classified as level III (45.36 percent). Associated injuries occurred in 27.19 percent, with 11.11 percent complications. There was evidence of alcohol consumption (12.86 percent) and drug use (1.46 percent) in the six hours prior to the trauma. CONCLUSION: The patients were mainly young, male, with incomplete school education. The main cause of the traumas was road accidents, occurring at night (between 7 pm and midnight), with leg bone injuries classified as level III. The associated injuries and early complications were predominantly related to injuries of greater severity.

Estudo clínico durante 13 anos de 190 chagásicos crônicos de Mambaí, Goiás, Brasil / A 13-year clinical study on 190 chronic chagasic patients from Mambaí, Goiás, Brazil

A prospective study was performed on the clinical, electrocardiographic (ECG) and radiologic aspects of the esophagus in 190 chagasic patients, for on average follow-up period of 13 years. We found 108 (56.8%) patients who remained in the same clinical state, 72 (37.9%) patients with progressive illness and 10 (5.3%) patients whose previous ECG abnormalities subsided. Thirty nine out of 72 patients with progressive disease developed cardiopathy or aggravation of previous illness, 32 developed into megaesophagus or an existing picture deteriorated and 12 developed or showed worsening of the colopathy. Of 72 patients, 11 presented with associated forms. The development of cardiopathy was greater in males 29.6% (21/71) than in females 15.1% (18/119), p =0.015. There were 19 new cases of cardiopathy, and 20 of aggravated previous disease. The incidence of megaesophagus was 14.9% (23/154), with nine patients whose previous disease worsened. The progression of colopathy was greater in females 9.2% (11/119) than in males 1.4% (1/71), p = 0.026.

Foram estudados prospectivamente 190 chagásicos, do ponto de vista clínico, eletrocardiográfico e abreugráfico do esôfago, no período médio de 13 anos, sendo encontrados 108 (56,8%) com a forma clínica inalterada, 72 (37,9%) com doença progressiva e 10 (5,3%) nos quais houve normalização do eletrocardiograma. Nos 72, em que a doença progrediu, 39 desenvolveram cardiopatia ou agravaram a já existente, 32 evoluíram para, ou pioraram o megaesôfago prévio e, 12 evoluíram para colopatia ou agravaram a já existente. Dentre os 72, 11 tinham formas clínicas associadas. A evolução da cardiopatia foi maior no sexo masculino 29,6% (21/71) que no feminino 15,1% (18/119), p = 0,015. Houve 19 casos novos de cardiopatia e 20 agravaram a cardiopatia prévia. A incidência de megaesôfago foi 14,9% (23/154) e nove agravaram o megaesôfago já existente. A evolução da colopatia foi maior no sexo feminino 9,2% (11/119), que no masculino 1,4% (1/71), p =0,026.