Copeptin levels in hospitalized infants and children with suspected vasopressin-dependent disorders: a case series.

OBJECTIVES: There have been recent advances assessing copeptin levels in adults with suspected disorders of vasopressin release. Very limited data exits on copeptin levels in children and infants, especially in a critically-ill hospitalized population where hyper- and hypo-natremia are very common. Our objective is to describe the institutional experience assessing copeptin levels in hospitalized infants and children with hyper- or hypo-natremia. METHODS: We performed a single-center retrospective case series of all infants, children, and adolescents who had an ultrasensitive plasma copeptin level obtained between 2019-2021. RESULTS: A total of 29 critically ill patients (6 infants) were identified with 38 % of patients having copeptin levels after neurosurgical procedures for tumors or trauma. Approximately 13/17 children with hypernatremia had central diabetes insipidus (central diabetes insipidus) to diagnose CDI, A copeptin level ≤ 4.9 pmol/L resulted in an 88 % sensitivity (95 % CI 47-99 %), and 66 % specificity (95 % CI 30-93 %). Amongst those with hyponatremia levels were more variable, 8/12 children had syndrome of inappropriate antidiuresis (SIAD) with copeptin levels ranging 4.7-72.6 pmol/L. CONCLUSIONS: While difficult to conclude due to multiple limitations, this case series highlights that typical copeptin cutoffs used to diagnose DI in adults in an ambulatory setting may also translate to a critically-ill pediatric population. Large prospective studies are needed to confirm this observation. In addition, postoperative copeptin levels could potentially be utilized as an additional marker to predict permanent from transient DI, but much larger studies are needed. Further work is needed to establish normative copeptin levels in infants and patients with SIAD.

Adolescents with Type 2 Diabetes: Overcoming Barriers to Effective Weight Management.

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) among children and adolescents has remarkably increased in the last two decades, particularly among ethnic minorities. Management of T2DM is challenging in the adolescent population due to a constellation of factors, including biological, socioeconomic, cultural, and psychological barriers. Weight reduction is an essential component in management of T2DM as weight loss is associated with improvement in insulin sensitivity and glycemic status. A family centered and culturally appropriate approach offered by a multidisciplinary team is crucial to address the biological, psychosocial, cultural, and financial barriers to weight management in youth with T2DM. Lifestyle interventions and pharmacotherapy have shown modest efficacy in achieving weight reduction in adolescents with T2DM. Bariatric surgery is associated with excellent weight reduction and remission of T2DM in youth. Emerging therapies for weight reduction in youth include digital technologies, newer GLP-1 agonists and endoscopic procedures.

Efficacy of Pharmacological Therapies for the Prevention of Fractures in Postmenopausal Women: A Network Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Osteoporosis and osteopenia are associated with increased fracture incidence in postmenopausal women. We aimed to determine the comparative effectiveness of various available pharmacological therapies. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, ISI Web of Science, and Scopus for randomized controlled trials that enrolled postmenopausal women with primary osteoporosis and evaluated the risk of hip, vertebral, or nonvertebral fractures. A network meta-analysis was conducted using the multivariate random effects method. RESULTS: We included 107 trials (193,987 postmenopausal women; mean age, 66 years; 55% white; median follow-up, 28 months). A significant reduction in hip fractures was observed with romosozumab, alendronate, zoledronate, risedronate, denosumab, estrogen with progesterone, and calcium in combination with vitamin D. A significant reduction in nonvertebral fractures was observed with abaloparatide, romosozumab, denosumab, teriparatide, alendronate, risedronate, zoledronate, lasofoxifene, tibolone, estrogen with progesterone, and vitamin D. A significant reduction in vertebral fractures was observed with abaloparatide, teriparatide, parathyroid hormone 1-84, romosozumab, strontium ranelate, denosumab, zoledronate, risedronate, alendronate, ibandronate, raloxifene, bazedoxifene, lasofoxifene, estrogen with progesterone, tibolone, and calcitonin. Teriparatide, abaloparatide, denosumab, and romosozumab were associated with the highest relative risk reductions, whereas ibandronate and selective estrogen receptor modulators had lower efficacy. The evidence for the treatment of fractures with vitamin D and calcium remains limited despite numerous large trials. CONCLUSIONS: This network meta-analysis provides comparative effective estimates for the various available treatments to reduce the risk of fragility fractures in postmenopausal women.

Diagnostic accuracy of the McGill thyroid nodule score in paediatric patients.

INTRODUCTION: Thyroid cancer is the most common paediatric endocrine cancer; accurate diagnosis and prompt management of paediatric thyroid nodules is critical. The McGill Thyroid Nodule Score (MTNS), based upon clinical, ultrasound (US) and cytology criteria, has recently been modified and studied in a pilot paediatric group with good results. We aim to describe the diagnostic accuracy of the paediatric modified MTNS (PMTNS) in a large paediatric cohort. METHODS: We utilized an established retrospective cohort between 1996 and 2015 of 99 patients ≤21 years old with 131 thyroid nodules. Two experienced paediatric radiologists, blinded to pathology and radiology reports, reviewed US features. We abstracted cytology, histology and laboratory results, assigning each nodule a PMTNS. PMTNS performance was compared to FNA and histology. RESULTS: Approximately 33% of nodules were malignant. The cohort was predominantly adolescent (mean age 15.4 ± 3.8 years). The average PMTNS for malignant and benign nodules, based on final histology, was 12.7 ± 4.3 and 1.7 ± 2.9, respectively. A PMTNS ≥8 resulted in a 93.2% sensitivity and 93.1% specificity for detecting malignancy, while a PMTNS ≥9 resulted in a 90.9% sensitivity and 96.6% specificity. However, Bethesda cytology category ≥4 independently had a 97.7% sensitivity and 94.0% specificity for detecting malignancy. The PMTNS had diminishing diagnostic accuracy in younger children compared with older children. CONCLUSION: Paediatric modified McGill Thyroid Nodule Score predicts malignancy, perhaps due to the score's emphasis on cytology results; however, the score is less accurate in younger patients. While cytology results remain reliable, further work is needed to develop a non-invasive scoring system to predict malignancy in children.

Ultrasonography and the American Thyroid Association Ultrasound-Based Risk Stratification Tool: Utility in Pediatric and Adolescent Thyroid Nodules.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric thyroid nodules are more likely to be malignant compared to those in adults and may have different concerning ultrasound (US) features. Recent adult guidelines stratify malignancy risk by US features. Our aim is to (1) describe and confirm US features that predict pediatric malignancy, and (2) apply the Adult American Thyroid Association (ATA) Risk Stratification Guidelines to a large pediatric cohort. METHODS: We identified 112 children with 145 thyroid nodules from 1996 to 2015. Two blinded pediatric radiologists independently read all US images, described multiple features, and reported their overall impression: benign, indeterminate, or malignant. Each nodule was assigned an ATA risk stratification category. Radiologists' impressions and ATA risk stratification were compared to histology and cytology results. RESULTS: Multiple US features including a solid composition, presence of microcalcifications, irregular margins, increased blood flow, and hypoechogenicity were associated with increased odds of malignancy. ATA risk stratification correlated with the radiologists' overall impression (p < 0.001). The sensitivity for detecting malignancy was comparable between both ATA stratification (91%) and the radiologists' overall impression (90%). The specificity of the radiologists' malignant overall impression (80%) was better compared to the ATA high risk stratification (54%). CONCLUSIONS: At our institution, pediatric radiologists' overall impressions had similar sensitivity but better specificity for detecting malignancy than the ATA risk stratification tool by our convention. However, neither US-based methods perfectly discriminated benign from malignant nodules, supporting the continued need for fine needle aspiration for suspicious nodules. Further work is needed to develop an US-based scoring system specific to pediatric patients.

Can the source of hyperandrogenism in adolescents with polycystic ovary syndrome predict metabolic phenotype?

In this study, we demonstrated an association between adrenal hyperandrogenism, as determined by dehydroepiandrostenedione-to-free testosterone (DHEA-S/FT) ratio, and metabolic phenotype in obese and lean adolescents with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). We compared 64 overweight/obese adolescents with PCOS (PCOS-O) with 18 lean (PCOS-L) adolescents. We analyzed the association between DHEA-S/FT ratios and metabolic parameters. Patients in the PCOS-O group were younger (median [interquartile range]) than those in the PCOS-L group (15 [15-17] vs. 16 [16-17] years; p = .04). The median DHEA-S/FT ratio and total testosterone concentrations did not differ. However, androstenedione concentrations were higher in the PCOS-L group (p = .02) and free testosterone levels lower in the PCOS-L group compared with the PCOS-O group (p = .02). Insulin resistance was present in 30 of 64 (46.9%) adolescents with PCOS-O compared with 1 of 18 (5.6%) with PCOS-L (p = .001). A significant negative correlation between DHEA-S/FT ratios and insulin concentrations in PCOS-O (p = .03) and PCOS-L (p = .04) groups was noted. In the PCOS-O group, the DHEA-S/FT ratio was negatively associated with serum triglyceride (p = .03) and total cholesterol concentrations (p = .02). We conclude that in adolescents with PCOS, a higher ratio of adrenal to ovarian androgens, signified by DHEA-S/FT, may be associated with a more favorable metabolic phenotype.

The Association of Weight Loss and Cardiometabolic Outcomes in Obese Children: Systematic Review and Meta-regression.

Background: Excess body weight in children is associated with multiple immediate and long-term medical comorbidities. We aimed to identify the degree of reduction in excess body weight associated with cardiometabolic changes (lipid panel, liver function tests, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure, glycosylated hemoglobin, and fasting blood glucose) in overweight and obese children. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Scopus through February 12, 2015. We included randomized controlled trials and cohort studies that evaluated interventions to treat pediatric obesity (medication, surgery, lifestyle, and community-based interventions) with ≥ a 6-month follow-up. We used a random effects meta-regression approach to assess the association between body mass index (BMI)/weight and cardiometabolic changes. Results: We included 42 studies (37 randomized controlled trials and five cohorts) enrolling 3807 children (mean age, 12.2 years; weight, 74.7 kg; and BMI, 31.7 kg/m2). Studies had overall moderate to low risk of bias. A 1-mm Hg decrease in SBP was significantly associated with a decrease of 0.16 kg/m2 (P = .04) in BMI. A 1-mg/dL increase in HDL was significantly associated with a 0.74-kg decrease in weight (P = .02). A 1-mg/dL decrease in triglycerides was significantly associated with a 0.1-kg decrease in weight (P = .03). The remaining associations were not statistically significant. Conclusions: Weight reduction in children is associated with significant changes in several cardiometabolic outcomes, particularly HDL, SBP, and triglycerides. The magnitude of improvement may help in setting expectations and may inform shared decision-making and counseling.

ORAL VERSUS TRANSDERMAL ESTROGEN IN TURNER SYNDROME: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS.

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing transdermal estrogens (TDEs) versus oral estrogens (OEs) in Turner syndrome (TS). METHODS: Randomized trials and observational comparative studies with a minimal follow-up of 6 months for skeletal and metabolic outcomes and serum hormone changes were included. Outcomes were pooled with a random effects model and are reported as mean differences between OE and TDE groups and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Of 845 candidate references, 4 studies were included. Both OEs and TDEs were associated with an increase in whole-body bone mineral density (BMD) z-score, with TDE therapy displaying a greater increase. OEs were associated with higher fasting glucose and total cholesterol. Both OEs and TDEs reduced low-density lipo-protein cholesterol (LDL-C) and increased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), with OEs providing a more favorable effect. The use of 17-ß estradiol was associated with a higher total cholesterol and lower LDL-C than TDE. No statistically significant difference was found between OEs and TDEs in body mass index, fat mass, fat free mass, insulin-like growth factor 1, insulin-like growth factor binding protein 3, fasting insulin, triglycerides, estradiol, or estrone levels. CONCLUSION: In girls with TS, TDEs may be associated with a more beneficial effect on fasting glucose, cholesterol, and whole-body BMD. However, OEs have a more favorable impact on LDL-C and HDL-C. 17-ß estradiol has a more favorable effect on LDL-C. ABBREVIATIONS: BMI = body mass index BMD = bone mineral density CI = confidence interval HDL-C = high density lipo-protein-cholesterol IGF-1 = insulin-like growth factor 1 IGF-BP3 = insulin-like growth factor binding protein 3 LDL-C = low density lipoprotein-cholesterol MD = mean difference OE = oral estrogen RCT = randomized controlled trial TDE = transdermal estrogen TS = Turner syndrome.

The Association of Weight Loss and Cardiometabolic Outcomes in Obese Children: Systematic Review and Meta-regression.

BACKGROUND: Excess body weight in children is associated with multiple immediate and long-term medical comorbidities. We aimed to identify the degree of reduction in excess body weight associated with cardiometabolic changes (lipid panel, liver function tests, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure, glycosylated hemoglobin, and fasting blood glucose) in overweight and obese children. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Scopus through February 12, 2015. We included randomized controlled trials and cohort studies that evaluated interventions to treat pediatric obesity (medication, surgery, lifestyle, and community-based interventions) with ≥ a 6-month follow-up. We used a random effects meta-regression approach to assess the association between body mass index (BMI)/weight and cardiometabolic changes. RESULTS: We included 42 studies (37 randomized controlled trials and five cohorts) enrolling 3807 children (mean age, 12.2 years; weight, 74.7 kg; and BMI, 31.7 kg/m2). Studies had overall moderate to low risk of bias. A 1-mm Hg decrease in SBP was significantly associated with a decrease of 0.16 kg/m2 (P = .04) in BMI. A 1-mg/dL increase in HDL was significantly associated with a 0.74-kg decrease in weight (P = .02). A 1-mg/dL decrease in triglycerides was significantly associated with a 0.1-kg decrease in weight (P = .03). The remaining associations were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Weight reduction in children is associated with significant changes in several cardiometabolic outcomes, particularly HDL, SBP, and triglycerides. The magnitude of improvement may help in setting expectations and may inform shared decision-making and counseling.

Diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration biopsy for thyroid malignancy: systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: To systematically appraise and summarize the available evidence about the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration biopsy (USFNA) for thyroid malignancy, and to explore the integration of these estimates with the probability of thyroid malignancy before USFNA. METHODS: A comprehensive search of multiple databases from each database's inception to August 2014 was performed. Eligible studies included those that evaluated patients with thyroid nodules who underwent USFNA and subsequent evaluation by histopathology or long-term follow-up. RESULTS: We identified 32 studies at moderate risk of bias evaluating the USFNA diagnostic characteristics for the diagnosis of thyroid malignancy. Results were imprecise and inconsistent across trials. The pooled likelihood ratio (LR) of thyroid malignancy for a benign USFNA result was 0.09 (95 % CI 0.06, 0.14; I (2) = 33 %), whereas the pooled LR for a malignant result was 197 (95 % CI, 68, 569; I (2) = 77 %). In the case of a suspicious for follicular neoplasm result, the pooled LR for malignancy was 0.6 (95 % CI, 0.4, 1.0; I (2) = 84 %) and 8.3 (95 % CI, 3.6, 19.2; I (2) = 89) for a result of suspicious for malignancy. CONCLUSION: The available evidence regarding the diagnostic accuracy of USFNA warrants only limited confidence due to risk of bias, imprecision, and inconsistency. However, some USFNA results (benign, malignant) are likely very helpful, by significantly changing the pre-test probability of thyroid cancer.

Outcomes of Parathyroidectomy in Patients with Primary Hyperparathyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Parathyroidectomy is a definitive treatment for primary hyperparathyroidism. Patients contemplating this intervention will benefit from knowledge regarding the expected outcomes and potential risks of the currently available surgical options. PURPOSE: To appraise and summarize the available evidence regarding benefits and harms of minimally invasive parathyroidectomy (MIP) and bilateral neck exploration (BNE). DATA SOURCES: A comprehensive search of multiple databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Scopus) from each database's inception to September 2014 was performed. STUDY SELECTION: Eligible studies evaluated patients with primary hyperparathyroidism undergoing MIP or BNE. DATA EXTRACTION: Reviewers working independently and in duplicate extracted data and assessed the risk of bias. DATA SYNTHESIS: We identified 82 observational studies and 6 randomized trials at moderate risk of bias. Most of them reported outcomes after MIP (n = 71). Using random-effects models to pool results across studies, the cure rate was 98 % (95 % CI 97-98 %, I (2) = 10 %) with BNE and 97 % (95 % CI 96-98 %, I (2) = 86 %) with MIP. Hypocalcemia occurred in 14 % (95 % CI 10-17 % I (2) = 93 %) of the BNE cases and in 2.3 % (95 % CI 1.6-3.1 %, I (2) = 87 %) with MIP (P < 0.001). There was a statistically significant lower risk of laryngeal nerve injury with MIP (0.3 %) than with BNE (0.9 %), but similar risk of infection (0.5 vs. 0.5 %) and mortality (0.1 vs. 0.5 %). LIMITATIONS: The available evidence, mostly observational, is at moderate risk of bias, and limited by indirect comparisons and inconsistency for some outcomes (cure rate, hypocalcemia). CONCLUSION: MIP and BNE are both effective surgical techniques for the treatment of primary hyperparathyroidism. The safety profile of MIP appears superior to BNE (lower rate of hypocalcemia and recurrent laryngeal nerve injury).

PREDICTORS OF BIOCHEMICAL REMISSION AND RECURRENCE AFTER SURGICAL AND RADIATION TREATMENTS OF CUSHING DISEASE: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS.

OBJECTIVE: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to synthesize the evidence about predictors that may affect biochemical remission and recurrence after transsphenoidal surgery (TSS), radiosurgery (RS), and radiotherapy (RT) in Cushing disease. METHODS: We searched multiple databases through December 2014 including original controlled and uncontrolled studies that enrolled patients with Cushing disease who received TSS (first-line), RS, or RT. We extracted data independently, in duplicates. Outcomes of interest were biochemical remission and recurrence. A meta-analysis was conducted using the random-effects model to estimate event rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: First-line TSS was associated with high remission (76% [95% CI, 72 to 79%]) and low recurrence rates (10% [95% CI, 6 to 16%]). Remission after TSS was higher in patients with microadenomas or positive-adrenocorticotropic hormone tumor histology. RT was associated with a high remission rate (RS, 68% [95% CI, 61 to 77%]; RT, 66% [95% CI, 58 to 75%]) but also with a high recurrence rate (RS, 32% [95% CI, 16 to 60%]; RT, 26% [95% CI, 14 to 48%]). Remission after RS was higher at short-term follow-up (≤2 years) and with high-dose radiation, while recurrence was higher in women and with lower-dose radiation. Remission was after RT in adults who received TSS prior to RT, and with lower radiation doses. There was heterogeneity (nonstandardization) in the criteria and cutoff points used to define biochemical remission and recurrence. CONCLUSION: First-line TSS is associated with high remission and low recurrence, while RS and RT are associated with reasonable remission rates but important recurrence rates. The current evidence warrants low confidence due to the noncomparative nature of the studies, high heterogeneity, and imprecision.

Accuracy of thyroid nodule sonography for the detection of thyroid cancer in children: systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Thyroid ultrasound (US) is a widely used tool for evaluating thyroid nodules. Various US features have been suggested as predictors of thyroid cancer in children. OBJECTIVE: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the diagnostic accuracy of different thyroid US features in detecting thyroid cancer in children. METHODS: We searched multiple online databases for cohort studies that enrolled paediatric patients with thyroid nodules (age <21 years) and evaluated the accuracy of 12 relevant ultrasound features. Diagnostic measures were pooled across studies using a random effects model. RESULTS: The search strategy yielded 1199 citations, of which 12 studies met the predefined inclusion criteria (750 nodules). The prevalence of thyroid cancer was 27·2% (40·8% in patients with a history of radiation exposure and 23·2% in patients without a history of exposure to radiation). The most common cancer was papillary thyroid cancer (86·7%). The presence of internal calcifications and enlarged cervical lymph nodes were the US features with the highest likelihood ratio [4·46 (95% CI: 1·87-10·64) and 4·96 (95% CI: 2·01-12·24), respectively] for thyroid cancer. A cystic nodule was the feature with highest likelihood ratio for benign nodules [1·96 (95% CI: 0·87-4·43)]. CONCLUSION: Thyroid US features are not highly accurate predictors of benign or malignant aetiology of thyroid nodules in children. Internal calcification may predict malignancy, and cystic appearance may suggest benign aetiology.

Menopausal Hormone Therapy and Mortality: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The objective was to assess the effect of menopausal hormonal therapy (MHT) on all-cause and cause-specific mortality. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of several databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Database of Systematic Reviews, and Scopus) from inception until August 2013. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of more than 6 months of duration comparing MHT with no treatment. Pairs of independent reviewers selected trials, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. We estimated risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the random-effects model. RESULTS: We included 43 RCTs at moderate risk of bias. Meta-analysis showed no effect on mortality (RR 0.99 [95% CI, 0.94-1.05]), regardless of MHT type or history of preexisting heart disease. No association was found between MHT and cardiac death (RR 1.04 [95% CI 0.87-1.23]) or stroke (RR 1.49 [95% CI 0.95-2.31]). Estrogen plus progesterone use was associated with a likely increase in breast cancer mortality (RR 1.96 [95% CI 0.98-3.94]), whereas estrogen use was not. MHT use was not associated with mortality of other types of cancer. In 5 trials, MHT was likely started at a younger age: 2 RCTs with mean age less than 60 and 3 RCTs with MHT started less than 10 years after menopause. Meta-analysis of these 5 RCTs showed a reduction of mortality with MHT (RR 0.70 [95% CI 0.52-0.95]). CONCLUSION: The current evidence suggests that MHT does not affect the risk of death from all causes, cardiac death and death from stroke or cancer. These data may be used to support clinical and policy deliberations about the role of MHT in the care of symptomatic postmenopausal women.

The Impact of Subclinical Disease and Mechanism of Detection on the Rise in Thyroid Cancer Incidence: A Population-Based Study in Olmsted County, Minnesota During 1935 Through 2012.

BACKGROUND: An ongoing epidemic of thyroid carcinoma (TC) has affected Americans since 1975. Understanding the contribution of subclinical disease and the mechanism of such disease detection may help to alter the course of this epidemic. METHODS: We used Rochester Epidemiology Project resources to examine the incidence of TC cases, disease specific mortality, and method of diagnosis during 1935 through 2012. During 2000-2012, we also extracted the mechanism of detection of clinically occult tumors. RESULTS: The age-adjusted incidence (AAI) for TC increased from 7.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.5-8.8] per 100,000 person-years (p-y) during 1990-1999 to 13.7 [CI 11.8-15.6] per 100,000 p-y during 2000-2012, with no change in disease-specific mortality since 1935. The incidence trend analysis stratified by the mechanism of detection revealed the AAI of clinically recognized TC was 5.5 per 100,000 p-y [CI 3.4-7.5] in 1960-1969, a rate similar to the incidence seen during 2000-2012. However, AAI of clinically occult TC increased from 0.2 per 100,000 p-y [CI 0.0-0.6] in 1935-1949 to 1.9 per 100,000 p-y [CI 1.2-2.9] in 1990-1999 and to 7.4 per 100,000 p-y [CI 6.0-8.8] in 2000-2012. During 2000-2012, the most frequent reasons for recognition of "occult" tumors were (1) incidental discovery during diagnostic neck imaging in 40 (19%), (2) pathology review of specimens from thyroid surgery for benign conditions in 29 (14%), and (3) investigations of patients with symptoms or palpable nodules that were clearly not associated with coexistent but occult TC but triggered the use of diagnostic neck imaging in 37 (27%). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study conducted in Olmsted County, Minnesota, the rapid increased incidence of TC during 2000-2012 can be completely attributed to the increased diagnosis of occult TCs, which are mainly found through the use of diagnostic neck imaging. The incidence of clinical TC and disease-specific TC mortality remains stable since 1970, implying that the observed increased incidence is due to the increased detection of subclinical lesions.

The accuracy of thyroid nodule ultrasound to predict thyroid cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: Significant uncertainty remains surrounding the diagnostic accuracy of sonographic features used to predict the malignant potential of thyroid nodules. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to summarize the available literature related to the accuracy of thyroid nodule ultrasound (US) in the prediction of thyroid cancer. METHODS: We searched multiple databases and reference lists for cohort studies that enrolled adults with thyroid nodules with reported diagnostic measures of sonography. A total of 14 relevant US features were analyzed. RESULTS: We included 31 studies between 1985 and 2012 (number of nodules studied 18,288; average size 15 mm). The frequency of thyroid cancer was 20%. The most common type of cancer was papillary thyroid cancer (84%). The US nodule features with the highest diagnostic odds ratio for malignancy was being taller than wider [11.14 (95% confidence interval 6.6-18.9)]. Conversely, the US nodule features with the highest diagnostic odds ratio for benign nodules was spongiform appearance [12 (95% confidence interval 0.61-234.3)]. Heterogeneity across studies was substantial. Estimates of accuracy depended on the experience of the physician interpreting the US, the type of cancer and nodule (indeterminate), and type of reference standard. In a threshold model, spongiform appearance and cystic nodules were the only two features that, if present, could have avoided the use of fine-needle aspiration biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: Low- to moderate-quality evidence suggests that individual ultrasound features are not accurate predictors of thyroid cancer. Two features, cystic content and spongiform appearance, however, might predict benign nodules, but this has limited applicability to clinical practice due to their infrequent occurrence.