De que morrem as crianças de 5 a 14 anos no estado do Rio de Janeiro? Análise do período 2000-2019 / What do children aged 5 to 14 years die from in the state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil? Trend analysis of the period 2000-2019

Resumo Objetivou-se investigar a magnitude e a tendência da mortalidade de crianças de 5 a 14 anos por causas, no estado do Rio de Janeiro, de 2000 a 2019. Estudo ecológico de tendência temporal utilizando dados do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM). Calcularam-se taxas de mortalidade por 100 mil crianças, por capítulos, grupos e categorias (CID-10). Estimou-se a série temporal por regressão joinpoint. As taxas de mortalidade de 10 a 14 anos foram superiores às da faixa de 5 a 9 anos. As cinco principais causas foram as mesmas de 5 a 14 anos, com diferente ordem de importância. As duas principais foram causas externas e neoplasias (31% e 15% para 5 a 9 anos; 45% e 11% para 10 a 14 anos). De 5 a 9 anos, a tendência da mortalidade teve declínio anual (8%) entre 2011 e 2015. De 10 a 14 anos, o declínio anual foi 1,3%, de 2000 a 2019. A mortalidade por causas externas decresceu em ambas as faixas, menos para a categoria "Agressão por arma de fogo" (meninos,10-14 anos) e "Afogamento" (meninos, 5-9 anos). A mortalidade por neoplasias ficou estável para todos. Doenças infecciosas e respiratórias decresceram de forma diferenciada entre os grupos. A maioria das causas de morte é evitável ou tratável, apontando necessidade de investimentos em saúde e intersetoriais.

Abstract This study investigated the magnitude and trends of cause-specific mortality among children 5 to 14 years of age in the state of Rio de Janeiro (RJ) from 2000 to 2019. We performed an ecological study, using data from the Mortality Information System (MIS). We calculated mortality rates per 100,000 children by chapters, groups, and categories of causes of death (ICD-10). Trends were estimated by joinpoint regression. Mortality rates among children aged 10 to 14 years were higher than those among children 5 to 9. The five leading causes of death were the same in both age groups, but they ranked differently. The two leading ones were external causes and neoplasms (31% and 15% among children aged 5 to 9 years; 45% and 11% among children aged 10 to 14 years). Among children 5 to 9 years, the mortality trend showed an annual decline (8%) from 2011 to 2015. Among children aged 10 to 14 years, the annual decline was 1.3% from 2000 to 2019. Mortality due to external causes decreased in both age groups, except for the category "Assault by unspecified firearm" (boys, 10 to 14 years) and "Unspecified drowning and submersion" (boys, 5 to 9 years). Mortality caused by neoplasms remained steady in both age groups. Infectious and respiratory diseases decreased differently between the two groups. Most causes of death are preventable or treatable, indicating the need for health and intersectoral investments.

What do children aged 5 to 14 years die from in the state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil? Trend analysis of the period 2000-2019. / De que morrem as crianças de 5 a 14 anos no estado do Rio de Janeiro? Análise do período 2000-2019.

This study investigated the magnitude and trends of cause-specific mortality among children 5 to 14 years of age in the state of Rio de Janeiro (RJ) from 2000 to 2019. We performed an ecological study, using data from the Mortality Information System (MIS). We calculated mortality rates per 100,000 children by chapters, groups, and categories of causes of death (ICD-10). Trends were estimated by joinpoint regression. Mortality rates among children aged 10 to 14 years were higher than those among children 5 to 9. The five leading causes of death were the same in both age groups, but they ranked differently. The two leading ones were external causes and neoplasms (31% and 15% among children aged 5 to 9 years; 45% and 11% among children aged 10 to 14 years). Among children 5 to 9 years, the mortality trend showed an annual decline (8%) from 2011 to 2015. Among children aged 10 to 14 years, the annual decline was 1.3% from 2000 to 2019. Mortality due to external causes decreased in both age groups, except for the category "Assault by unspecified firearm" (boys, 10 to 14 years) and "Unspecified drowning and submersion" (boys, 5 to 9 years). Mortality caused by neoplasms remained steady in both age groups. Infectious and respiratory diseases decreased differently between the two groups. Most causes of death are preventable or treatable, indicating the need for health and intersectoral investments.

Objetivou-se investigar a magnitude e a tendência da mortalidade de crianças de 5 a 14 anos por causas, no estado do Rio de Janeiro, de 2000 a 2019. Estudo ecológico de tendência temporal utilizando dados do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM). Calcularam-se taxas de mortalidade por 100 mil crianças, por capítulos, grupos e categorias (CID-10). Estimou-se a série temporal por regressão joinpoint. As taxas de mortalidade de 10 a 14 anos foram superiores às da faixa de 5 a 9 anos. As cinco principais causas foram as mesmas de 5 a 14 anos, com diferente ordem de importância. As duas principais foram causas externas e neoplasias (31% e 15% para 5 a 9 anos; 45% e 11% para 10 a 14 anos). De 5 a 9 anos, a tendência da mortalidade teve declínio anual (8%) entre 2011 e 2015. De 10 a 14 anos, o declínio anual foi 1,3%, de 2000 a 2019. A mortalidade por causas externas decresceu em ambas as faixas, menos para a categoria "Agressão por arma de fogo" (meninos,10-14 anos) e "Afogamento" (meninos, 5-9 anos). A mortalidade por neoplasias ficou estável para todos. Doenças infecciosas e respiratórias decresceram de forma diferenciada entre os grupos. A maioria das causas de morte é evitável ou tratável, apontando necessidade de investimentos em saúde e intersetoriais.

Tendência das desigualdades sociodemográficas no pré-natal na Baixada Litorânea do estado do Rio de Janeiro, 2000-2020: um estudo ecológico / Tendencia de las desigualdades sociodemográficas en la atención prenatal en la Baixada Litorânea, región del estado de Rio de Janeiro, Brasil, 2000-2020: un estudio ecológico / Trends in sociodemographic inequalities in prenatal care in Baixada Litorânea, a region of the state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2000-2020: an ecological study

Objetivo: Analisar a tendência das desigualdades sociodemográficas no acesso e utilização do pré-natal na Baixada Litorânea, estado do Rio de Janeiro, Brasil, em 2000-2020. Métodos: Estudo ecológico - série temporal - do número de consultas e da adequação do acesso ao pré-natal. Desigualdades absolutas (diferenças) e relativas (razões) foram calculadas entre categorias extremas das variáveis; tendências foram estimadas por regressão joinpoint. Resultados: Foram estudadas 185.242 gestantes. A proporção de ≥ 7 consultas aumentou anualmente 2,4% (IC95% 1,1;3,7) entre 2013 (54,4%) e 2020 (63,4%), estável para escolaridade menor que oito anos. A adequação de acesso aumentou 2,6% (IC95% 1,2;4,0) entre 2014 e 2020, estável para mulheres ≥ 35 anos e escolaridade ≥ 12 anos. Diminuíram desigualdades absolutas (entre 3,5% e 6,4%) para idade e raça/cor da pele, e relativas (entre 7,7% e 20,0%) para todas as variáveis. Conclusão: Acesso e número de consultas aumentaram, mas permaneceram menores para mulheres adolescentes, de baixa escolaridade e raça/cor da pele preta e parda.

Objetivo: Analizar la tendencia de las desigualdades sociodemográficas en el acceso y uso de la atención prenatal (APN) en la "Baixada Litorânea" en Rio de Janeiro, 2000-2020. Métodos: Estudio ecológico - serie temporal - del número de consultas y adecuación del acceso a la APN. Se calcularon desigualdades absolutas (diferencias) e relativas (razones) entre categorías extremas de variables. Tendencias fueron estimadas por regresión joinpoint. Resultados: Se estudiaron 185.242 gestantes. La proporción de ≥ 7 consultas aumentó en un 2,9% (IC95% 0,7;5,1), anualmente, entre 2013 (54,4%) e 2020 (64,7%), estable para menos de ocho años de escolaridad. La adecuación del acceso aumentó 2,6% (IC95% 1,2;4,0), estable en mujeres ≥ 35 años, e con ≥ 12 años de escolaridad. Disminuyeron las desigualdades absolutas (entre 3,5% y 6,4%) para edad y color/raza, y relativas (entre 7,7% y 20,0%) para todas las variables. Conclusión: Acceso e consultas aumentaron, pero persistieron menores entre adolescentes, baja escolaridad y raza/color de piel negro y marrón.

Objective: To analyze trends in sociodemographic inequalities in the access to and use of prenatal care in Baixada Litorânea, a region of the state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2000-2020. Methods: This was an ecological time-series study of the number of visits and adequacy of access to prenatal care. Absolute (differences) and relative (ratios) inequalities were calculated between extreme categories of variables; trends were estimated using joinpoint regression. Results: A total of 185,242 pregnant women were studied. A proportion of ≥ 7 visits increased annually by 2.4% (95%CI 1.1;3.7) between 2013 (54.4%) and 2020 (63.4%), stable for less than eight years of schooling. Adequacy of access increased 2.6% (95%CI 1.2;4.0) between 2014 and 2020, stable for women ≥ 35 years old and schooling ≥ 12 years. Absolute inequalities decreased (between 3.5% and 6.4%) for age and race/skin color, and relative inequalities decreased (between 7.7% and 20.0%) for all variables. Conclusion: Access and number of prenatal consultations increased, however, remained lower for adolescents, women with low level of schooling and those of Black and mixed race/skin color.

Trends in cause-specific mortality among children aged 5-14 years from 2005 to 2016 in India, China, Brazil, and Mexico: an analysis of nationally representative mortality studies.

BACKGROUND: With global survival increasing for children younger than 5 years of age, attention is required to reduce the approximately 1 million deaths of children aged 5-14 years occurring every year. Causes of death at these ages remain poorly documented. We aimed to explore trends in mortality by causes of death in India, China, Brazil, and Mexico, which are home to about 40% of the world's children aged 5-14 years and experience more than 200 000 deaths annually at these ages. METHODS: We examined data on 244 401 deaths in children aged 5-14 years from four nationally representative data sources that obtained direct distributions of causes of death: the Indian Million Death Study, the Chinese Disease Surveillance Points, mortality data from the Mexican Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía, and mortality data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. We present data on 12 main disease groups in all countries, with breakdown by communicable and nutritional diseases, non-communicable diseases, injuries, and ill-defined causes. To calculate age-specific and sex-specific death rates for each cause, we applied the national cause of death distribution to the UN mortality envelopes for 2005-16 for each country. FINDINGS: Unlike Brazil, China, and Mexico, communicable diseases still account for nearly half of deaths in India in children aged 5-14 years (73 920 [46·1%] of 160 330 estimated deaths in 2016). In 2016, India had the highest death rates in nearly every category, including from communicable diseases. Fast declines among girls in communicable disease mortality narrowed the gap by 2016 with boys in India (32·6 deaths per 100 000 girls vs 26·2 per 100 000 boys) and China (1·7 vs 1·5). In China, injuries accounted for the greatest proportions of deaths (20 970 [53·2%] of 39 430 estimated deaths, in which drowning was a leading cause). The homicide death rate at ages 10-14 years was higher for boys than for girls in Brazil, increasing annually by an average of 0·7% (0·3-1·1). In India and China, the suicide death rates were higher for girls than for boys at ages 10-14 years. By contrast, in Mexico it was higher for boys than for girls, increasing annually by an average of 2·8% (2·0-3·6). Deaths from transport injuries, drowning, and cancer are common in all four countries, with transport accidents among the top three causes of death for both sexes in all countries, except for Indian girls, and cancer in the top three causes for both sexes in Mexico, Brazil, and China. INTERPRETATION: Most of the deaths that occurred between 2005 and 2016 in children aged 5-14 years in India, China, Brazil, and Mexico arose from preventable or treatable conditions. This age group is important for extending some of the global disease-specific targets developed for children younger than 5 years of age. Interventions to control non-communicable diseases and injuries and to strengthen cause of death reporting systems are also required. FUNDING: WHO and the University of Toronto Connaught Global Challenge.

Causes of death among children aged 5-14 years in the WHO European Region: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.

BACKGROUND: The mortality burden in children aged 5-14 years in the WHO European Region has not been comprehensively studied. We assessed the distribution and trends of the main causes of death among children aged 5-9 years and 10-14 years from 1990 to 2016, for 51 countries in the WHO European Region. METHODS: We used data from vital registration systems, cancer registries, and police records from 1980 to 2016 to estimate cause-specific mortality using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. FINDINGS: For children aged 5-9 years, all-cause mortality rates (per 100 000 population) were estimated to be 46·3 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 45·1-47·5) in 1990 and 19·5 (18·1-20·9) in 2016, reflecting a 58·0% (54·7-61·1) decline. For children aged 10-14 years, all-cause mortality rates (per 100 000 population) were 37·9 (37·3-38·6) in 1990 and 20·1 (18·8-21·3) in 2016, reflecting a 47·1% (43·8-50·4) decline. In 2016, we estimated 10 740 deaths (95% UI 9970-11 542) in children aged 5-9 years and 10 279 deaths (9652-10 897) in those aged 10-14 years in the WHO European Region. Injuries (road injuries, drowning, and other injuries) caused 4163 deaths (3820-4540; 38·7% of total deaths) in children aged 5-9 years and 4468 deaths (4162-4812; 43·5% of total) in those aged 10-14 years in 2016. Neoplasms caused 2161 deaths (1872-2406; 20·1% of total deaths) in children aged 5-9 years and 1943 deaths (1749-2101; 18·9% of total deaths) in those aged 10-14 years in 2016. Notable differences existed in cause-specific mortality rates between the European subregions, from a two-times difference for leukaemia to a 20-times difference for lower respiratory infections between the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and EU15 (the 15 member states that had joined the European Union before May, 2004). INTERPRETATION: Marked progress has been made in reducing the mortality burden in children aged 5-14 years over the past 26 years in the WHO European Region. More deaths could be prevented, especially in CIS countries, through intervention and prevention efforts focusing on the leading causes of death, which are road injuries, drowning, and lower respiratory infections. The findings of our study could be used as a baseline to assess the effect of implementation of programmes and policies on child mortality burden. FUNDING: WHO and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Global and regional estimates of cancer mortality and incidence by site: II. Results for the global burden of disease 2000.

BACKGROUND: Mortality estimates alone are not sufficient to understand the true magnitude of cancer burden. We present the detailed estimates of mortality and incidence by site as the basis for the future estimation of cancer burden for the Global Burden of Disease 2000 study. METHODS: Age- and sex- specific mortality envelope for all malignancies by region was derived from the analysis of country life-tables and cause of death. We estimated the site-specific cancer mortality distributions from vital records and cancer survival model. The regional cancer mortality by site is estimated by disaggregating the regional cancer mortality envelope based on the mortality distribution. Estimated incidence-to-mortality rate ratios were used to back calculate the final cancer incidence estimates by site. RESULTS: In 2000, cancer accounted for over 7 million deaths (13% of total mortality) and there were more than 10 million new cancer cases world wide in 2000. More than 60% of cancer deaths and approximately half of new cases occurred in developing regions. Lung cancer was the most common cancers in the world, followed by cancers of stomach, liver, colon and rectum, and breast. There was a significant variations in the distribution of site-specific cancer mortality and incidence by region. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a regional variation, the most common cancers are potentially preventable. Cancer burden estimation by taking into account both mortality and morbidity is an essential step to set research priorities and policy formulation. Also it can used for setting priorities when combined with data on costs of interventions against cancers.

Global and regional estimates of cancer mortality and incidence by site: I. Application of regional cancer survival model to estimate cancer mortality distribution by site.

BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Disease 2000 (GBD 2000) study starts from an analysis of the overall mortality envelope in order to ensure that the cause-specific estimates add to the total all cause mortality by age and sex. For regions where information on the distribution of cancer deaths is not available, a site-specific survival model was developed to estimate the distribution of cancer deaths by site. METHODS: An age-period-cohort model of cancer survival was developed based on data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER). The model was further adjusted for the level of economic development in each region. Combined with the available incidence data, cancer death distributions were estimated and the model estimates were validated against vital registration data from regions other than the United States. RESULTS: Comparison with cancer mortality distribution from vital registration confirmed the validity of this approach. The model also yielded the cancer mortality distribution which is consistent with the estimates based on regional cancer registries. There was a significant variation in relative interval survival across regions, in particular for cancers of bladder, breast, melanoma of the skin, prostate and haematological malignancies. Moderate variations were observed among cancers of colon, rectum, and uterus. Cancers with very poor prognosis such as liver, lung, and pancreas cancers showed very small variations across the regions. CONCLUSIONS: The survival model presented here offers a new approach to the calculation of the distribution of deaths for areas where mortality data are either scarce or unavailable.

O Nao-dito da AIDS / The Hidden face of AIDS in Brazil

Historiam a evoluçao da epidemia de AIDS no Brasil do ponto de vista da construçao de representaçoes sociais acerca dos segmentos envolvidos na transmissao da doença. Enfatizam a necessidade de desmistificar a correlaçao simplista AIDS-transmissao homossexual. Procuram retirar do relativo esquecimento o papel dos usuários de drogas injetáveis e da transmissao heterossexual na disseminaçao da doença, "segmentos" cuja relevância epidemiológica,crescente em nosso meio, nao se tem feito acompanhar da devida atençao, seja porparte dos meios de comunicaçao, seja pelos orgaos formuladores de políticas de saúde

Mortalidade por câncer de trato digestivo no Estado do Rio de Janeiro: uma apreciaçao por estratificaçao / Mortality from cancer in the digestive system in the state of Rio de Janeiro: an assessment by stratification

O trabalho sobre a distribuiçao geográfica do câncer constituem, ainda hoje, inegável contribuiçao para estudos de natureza etiológica. Os tumores de trato digestivo revelam uma riqueza enorme de possibilidades de estudo, que encontra sua forma de expressao tanto na maneira como se distribuem no mundo, como no modo direto de contato com possíveis fatores exógenos, cuja participaçao na etiologia do câncer é amplamente aceita. O principal objetivo deste trabalho foi caracterizar perfil de mortalidade por neoplasmas de lábio, boca e faringe, de aparelho digestivo no Estado do Rio de Janeiro, no triênio 1979-1981. A análise foi estabelecida em duas etapas distintas. A primeira, visou a descriçao dos padroes de mortalidade pelas principais localizaçoes anatômicas de câncer do trato digestivo segundo as variáveis mencionadas anteriormente e estabeleceu comparaçoes regionais. Para apreciar tais diferenciais, foram utilizados indicadores como anos potenciais de vida perdidos e taxas cumulativas; e índices como amplitudes de variaçao e razao de taxas padronizadas. Além disso, procedeu-se a um mapeamento dos municípios quanto à força da mortalidade por neoplasmas malignos, segundo principais localizaçoes anatômicas do trato digestivo. Em etapa posterior, procurou-se analisar conjuntamente a mortalidade por câncer das diferentes localizaçoes de trato digestivo segundo município de residência e variáveis representativas das condiçoes sócio-econômicas e do grau de urbanizaçao, álem de indicadores demográficos e do perfil de morbi-mortalidade de cada município. Este objetivo foi atingido através dos procedimentos de Análise Fatorial e de Análise de Conglomerados. A partir da análise dos dados foi possível constatar que: 40% dos óbitos por neoplasmas malignos ocorridos no Estado do Rio de Janeiro, no triênio 1979-1981, foram devidos a localizaçoes do trato digestivo; a principal localizaçao anatômicas foi o estômago, e os municípios com maiores taxas de mortalidade se concentraram em uma "faixa" ao longo do Vale do Paraíba Fluminense, que se estendeu até o Centro-Leste Fluminense; as posiçoes de destaque ocupadas pelos neoplasmas malignos de estômago e intestino grosso sugerem estar ocorrendo, no Estado, um período de transiçao dos padroes tumorais; existe uma semelhança na distribuiçao geográfica da mortalidade por câncer de fígado e da hepatite; as maiores diferenças encontradas foram entre Capital e Interior, em relaçao aos tumores de cólon e reto; o Estado foi di